Spew Pits Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at what’s on the table, and I won’t sugarcoat it – most of this 16-day window looks like a grind for us, with only a couple of bright spots worth getting excited about. The standout is Tuesday the 15th, which has a real moment where things come together, and Wednesday the 16th isn’t far behind. The rest is a long stretch of slop or waiting. Let’s break it down.

Spew Pits (reef, expert) is the only break with any data, so that’s where we’re pinned. Right now, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a solid 6 ft swell from the N on the 2nd, but with a short 8-second period and a 19 mph NNE cross-off wind, the wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions.” The combined swell energy’s moderate at best (417), but it’s messy, not clean. That swell drops to 5 ft and the wind stays cross-off, but the quality is still poor. This pattern holds for days – from the 3rd right through to the 11th, it’s a blur of 2 ft to 5 ft N/NNE swell with periods mostly 6–8 seconds, and the wind never lets up. The combined energy peaks at 540 on the 8th, but it’s still “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” There’s a gap here with no real recommendations from the 2nd to the 14th – that’s nearly two weeks of so-so to ugly surf. Not a single day in that stretch gets above a score of 1. It’s a rough run.

Then, finally, Tuesday the 15th rolls in, and there’s a flicker of hope. The morning session at Spew Pits shows 2 ft swell, but from the WNW at a much better 10-second period. The wind is a light 6 mph off the NNE, and the comment says “expect good surf conditions.” Clean, crisp, proper. The combined energy is moderate (238), but the direction WNW matches the optimum swell direction – NNW – pretty closely, and that longer period means the waves will have shape and push. It’s small but punchy for the reef. The water temp is 75°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year (anomaly 3°), so it’s nice and comfortable. Keep in mind, at an expert break, this small stuff can still be fun and technical.

After that, it gets a little iffy again. Wednesday the 16th morning has 3 ft from the NW (11-second period) with light winds, and the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary.” Still, that’s a decent window for a sneaky paddle. After that, it’s back into poor conditions through the 17th.

So, here’s the call: if you’re an expert who lives for clean, linking waves on a reef, your best bet is Tuesday morning the 15th. It’s not huge, but the quality will be there. Wednesday morning the 16th is a solid backup. The rest of this month? It’s a waiting game. The crowd at Spew Pits can show up sometimes, so you might have company, but if you’re out there at dawn on the 15th, it’ll be worth it for a few good ones. Hang in there.

- Rusty

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