La Paloma Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break it down for you. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s on the menu for La Paloma over the next 16 days.

We’ve got a stretch of very small, very average conditions for the first week and a half, to be honest. It’s not a total write-off – there are a few decent moments if you’re keen, but nothing that’ll get your heart racing. The wind is going to be a major player, and for the most part, the swell is just too small.

The first real nod comes Sunday morning the 5th of July. It’s tiny – 2ft from the NNW, period of 10 seconds, cross-off breeze from the ENE at 6 mph. The water is sitting at 65.3°, which is a touch warmer than usual for the time of year (about 1.4° anomaly). The combined energy is weak (72). It’s clean, but it’s very ordinary.

Monday morning the 6th of July is the standout of the entire outlook, and that’s not saying much. We get a glassy, windless morning – WNW at 3 mph, which is basically nothing. The swell bumps up a notch to 3ft, but it’s coming from the NE with a terrible 5-second period. Combined energy is still weak (66). For a spot that’s very consistent and exposed to NW swells, this is the best you’ll get because of the glassy conditions. The wave quality will be clean, but that short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and weak. It’s a session for a longboard or a foiler, nothing more.

The rest of the week into the following Monday is grim. Onshore winds, tiny crumbly waves, and a lot of “poor surf conditions” labels. There’s nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, Sunday the 12th of July morning catches the eye on paper – 5ft from the NNW, period of 8 seconds. Combined energy jumps to moderate (267). But the wind is a cross-shore from the NE at 9 mph, and the conditions are described as marginal. It’s still a bit sloppy with that cross-chop. That 5ft might be too much for beginners, and without clean wind, it’s not a top pick. The 14th of July morning also offers 3.6ft with a cross-off breeze, but the energy (185) is still moderate and the quality is just “surfable but very ordinary”.

Honestly, the only time I’d be getting wet is Monday morning the 6th. It’s glassy, the swell is tiny but rideable, and the break is consistent. For the rest of this 16-day run, expect a lot of flat spells or choppy, small junk. The crowds at La Paloma can be there often, but with conditions this average, you might have it to yourself.

Stick with the longboard and keep an eye on the sky. It won’t stay this quiet forever.

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