La Paloma Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks. It’s going to be a slow burner, so don’t go burning petrol on Saturday. We’ve got to wait for the ocean to wake up. But there’s some real potential in the forecast if you're keen to pick the right windows.

Right now, Saturday (the 12th), is a complete write-off. It’s tiny, weak, and messy. That little pulse of energy (47) is short-period and ugly. Not worth the paddle. Water is 67°F, which is pretty standard for this time of year. Bring the full suit.

The first real sign of life is Sunday morning, the 13th. Swell starts filling in from the NNW at 4ft with a better 12-second period. The energy is in the moderate range (447) and, the best part, it’s glassy. For La Paloma, this is the morning to get wet. The morning is the call – light E winds and clean conditions.

Monday (the 14th) has some leftover swell, still surfable at around 3ft from the NNW, but it’s weaker. The morning is glassy again, making it a decent backup, but Sunday looks cleaner.

Then it dies. Tuesday and Wednesday (15th-16th) are flat. The swell drops out, energy fades, and the wind gets messy. It’s a complete write-off, so save your energy. A couple of days of nothing.

Thursday (the 17th) sees a little more size with sets up to 5ft, but the period is short and it looks junky. Cross-shore winds will have it chopped up. Not worth the hassle.

And then it clicks. Friday morning, the 18th of September. This is where you need to be. A proper groundswell starts to move in overnight. Swell jumps to 4ft, the period stretches to a juicy 14 seconds, and that energy number is in the strong range (644). The wind is forecast to be glassy. This is the standout of the first week. It’s going to be clean, lined-up, and have real push. La Paloma, being exposed, will pick this up perfectly.

The following weekend has plenty of size. Saturday the 19th has solid 6ft sets in the morning with a clean cross-off wind. It's a good one, but might get a bit unruly later. Sunday the 20th is still fun but a step down in energy.

The next big date is a week from Monday, on the 21st. Another larger pulse of groundswell. The morning is showing 7ft from the NNW with a 14-second period and a massive energy reading of 1509. That’s a lot of water moving. This is for experts only; it’s going to be powerful and relentless. The wind looks clean in the morning, but that size is serious. If you're not confident in solid overhead surf, sit this one out.

Tuesday the 22nd is still pumping with 5ft and a 12-second period, and again, glassy conditions in the morning. It’s a big couple of days. After that, it slowly eases off through the rest of the week.

The final week is more of a waiting game. There are still waves, with some fun, clean mornings on the 24th and 25th. The 24th has a nice 4ft, 13-second swell with the wind swinging offshore in the morning – a great sign. But the energy is dropping, and by the 26th, we’re looking at onshore winds and deteriorating conditions before it fades out completely to tiny bumps.

So, to boil it down: be patient this weekend, get your fix on Sunday morning (13th) if you just need to get out there. But the two real highlight days are Friday the 18th and Monday the 21st. Friday will be the classic, clean one for everyone, and Monday will be the big, powerful one for the experts. Lock them in.

Rusty.

Read more