Cabo Lastres Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Cabo Lastres, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim run for the next two weeks. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but the first week and a half is a write-off. There’s a big gap of nothing but poor conditions until we get a tiny flicker of hope right at the end.

The pattern is dominated by weak, short-period windswell and a lot of cross-shore or cross-onshore wind. The water is currently running at 72°, which is a massive 5° warmer than usual – that’s very unusual for this time of year, so you might be able to surf in a spring suit, but don’t get your hopes up for the waves.

Starting from Tuesday the 21st of July right through to the 30th of July, it’s all poor surf. The swell is tiny, with heights barely scraping 3 ft, and the wind is a constant issue. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 200 (212) on the best of those days, and the period is a short, weak 6 to 7 seconds. It’s just messy, choppy, and not worth paddling out for.

The only glimmer of something different comes on Monday the 27th of July. We get a spike in the swell up to 6 ft from the NNW, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the combined energy jumps to 516, which is moderate. But the wind is a light cross-onshore (6 mph), and the forecast still calls it “marginal.” It’s not a standout, but it’s the closest thing to a pulse we’ve got. The mid-week after that fades back into the same weak, average stuff.

Then we hit a flat spell. From the 31st of July through to the 5th of August, the swell drops right off, with heights under 2 ft and energy values plunging into the double digits. There’s a morning of glassy conditions on the 2nd of August, and another glassy morning on the 4th of August, but the swell is just too small to do anything with. A 1 ft wave with a 9-second period is basically a lake ripple.

The best on offer? Honestly, it’s the Monday morning of the 27th of July. That 6 ft, 10-second NNW swell is the only time the ocean shows any real energy. It’s a point break, so a longer period groundswell from the NW can wrap in nicely, but with the wind being a light cross-onshore (6 mph), it’s not going to be perfect. It’s a “maybe” session, not a “must-go.” Cabo Lastres is a consistent, expert-level point break, so when it’s on, it’s on. But this isn’t one of those times.

For the second week, the outlook is even quieter. The glassy morning on the 4th of August is worth a mention, but with 2 ft of swell, it’s really just a paddle-around. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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