Laredo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the stretch ahead.

To be straight with you, this is a tough run for a long while. The models are showing a whole lot of nothing for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a real flat spell, with the first faint pulse of energy not showing up until the 17th, and even that’s barely a ripple. The water’s running at 74°, which is a good couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want the boardshorts, but the wave count is going to be low.

For the first week and a half, we’re stuck with scraps. The swell is consistently under 3ft, with periods mostly in the 5 to 9 second range, which is just not enough to get anything going. The energy in the water is weak, with combined values mostly in the teens, 20s, and 30s (33, 29, 17, 20, 46, 38, 43, 49, 16, 14). It’s clean at times, like the glassy mornings on the 8th, 10th, and 12th, but with nothing behind it, it’s a flat, glassy ocean. You could probably paddle a SUP, but for surfing, it’s a write-off. The 14th and 15th will see a touch more energy (92, 79, 52) with some clean cross-off winds, but it’s still only 2ft of weak, short-period swell. Not worth the paddle.

We get a slight bump on the 17th, with the swell picking up to around 3ft and the energy jumping into the 100s (107, 106). The wind is offshore from the west, so it will be clean, but the period is a short 7-8 seconds and the size is still small. It’s a sign of life, but not a green light. The 18th and 19th are similar, with the 19th afternoon seeing a rise in energy to 112 with a moderate offshore breeze. Still, with that short period, it’s going to be a bit walled and soft.

Now, here’s the one to keep an eye on. The 22nd, which is a Saturday, is looking like the standout of the entire window. The guidance is pointing to a proper swell filling in, with the wave height pushing up to 5ft and the period stretching out to 11 seconds. The energy rating jumps to 505 and 478, which is a massive step up from what we’ve been seeing. The wind is forecast to be a solid offshore from the WNW at 15 mph, which should keep the lines clean. This is the day things finally turn on. Laredo is a sheltered spot with the optimum swell coming from the NW, and this looks like it will be lining up right. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and with 5ft, it’s getting to the top end of that range, but it should still be manageable. This is the day to free up your schedule.

So, in short: grin and bear the flat spell for the next couple of weeks. It’s not looking pretty, but the light at the end of the tunnel is the 22nd. That’s the one that’s got the juice, the right direction, and the offshore winds to make it worth the wait. It’s a long way out, but it’s got the makings of a proper session.

Rusty, out.

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