Mundaka Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at the forecast for Mundaka.

First up, I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for this legendary river-mouth wave. The energy just isn't there. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The combined energy barely cracks 69 at its best, and most of the time it’s sitting in the weak 20s and 30s. That’s not gonna push a proper wave down the point.

The first few days, from July 31st right through the first week of August, are all about swells under 2 ft with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds. That’s windswell, not the long-period groundswell that Mundaka needs to fire. The water temperature is 75°, which is 5° warmer than normal – that’s much warmer than you’d expect this time of year, a real oddity.

You’ll see some glassy mornings, like the morning of August 1st with a 2 ft NW swell and glassy wind, but it’s still “poor surf conditions” – just not enough size or period to get the sandbar working. The afternoon of August 1st goes cross-on with a NNE breeze, which doesn’t help.

The whole first week is a washout. There’s a small bump on August 8th morning with a 3 ft NW swell, but the period is a shocking 4 seconds – that’s just wind chop, not a rideable wave. The wind is cross-shore, so even that tiny bump is messy.

The second week doesn’t offer much hope either. August 11th has a 1 ft NW swell with a period of 11 seconds, which is better period, but the size is tiny and the wind is cross-on from the WNW at 9-12 mph, making for choppy conditions. The energy is only 51. August 14th morning has the biggest swell of the whole run at 3 ft from the WNW, but again, a short 5-second period and cross-on wind. The energy is still only 46.

The crowd situation at Mundaka is often busy, but with surf this poor, it’s not going to be an issue because nobody will be out. The break is consistent, but it’s consistently flat.

So, to be honest, there’s no standout session in this whole 16-day window. The best you could hope for is a glassy morning on a tiny day, like August 10th morning with a 2 ft NW swell, glassy ENE wind, and a bit more energy (44). But even that’s a long shot for a proper wave. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find a knee-high wave, but don’t expect anything worth the drive.

Rusty

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