El Mongol Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at El Mongol.

Right off the bat, it’s a quiet start. Nothing much doing for the first week or so. We’re looking at a bit of a flat spell with tiny, wind-affected dribble. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Don’t get your hopes up for the first few days; it’s a long stretch of “poor surf conditions” all the way through to the end of the week and into the weekend.

Now, there’s a slow build starting on Sunday the 16th. The morning shows a knee-high 4 ft swell out of the north with a short period of 7 seconds, combined energy is moderate at 134. The wind is glassy, so it’ll be clean, but the waves are pretty ordinary. That theme continues into Monday the 17th – similar size, glassy morning, but the waves are just weak and uninspiring. The week after that gets even smaller, with barely a ripple through Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th.

But hold on. Friday the 21st starts to wake up. The morning brings a clean 3 ft swell from the northwest with a period of 10 seconds, and energy climbs to a moderate 174. Glassy wind, so the surface will be smooth, but the waves are still just “ordinary.” It’s a teaser.

The real standout comes on Saturday the 22nd. The morning is dead calm, glassy, with a 4 ft northwest swell at 10 seconds and energy at 264 – moderate but building. That afternoon, though, it kicks off. The swell jumps to a solid 8 ft from the north-northwest, with a period of 12 seconds and combined energy screaming at a massive 1854. That’s strong wave energy. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but the size is real. This is for experts only – that’s well over the 8 ft mark, so keep the beginners out of the water. It’s a big, powerful groundswell, and with that long period, it’ll be lining up nicely on this reef setup.

Sunday the 23rd is another cracker. The morning brings a clean 6 ft swell from the north-northwest at 10 seconds, with light cross-offshore wind and energy at 837. That’s “expect very good surf conditions” territory. The afternoon drops a touch to 6 ft, still clean with cross-offshore wind. Great, solid, rideable waves for experienced surfers. Monday the 24th holds clean smaller options at 4 ft with good winds, still a fun size.

So, the call is simple. Screw the first week. The best on offer is the afternoon of Saturday the 22nd for the big-wave hunters, and then Sunday the 23rd morning is your all-around winner – solid size, clean conditions, and that swell direction of NNW is right in the wheelhouse for El Mongol.

Rusty.

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