El Mongol Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. Rusty here, and I've got a proper look at what's coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks at El Mongol. This spot is a reef setup and it's about to fire, but you gotta pick your moments.

First up, a quick word on the water. It's doing its thing, feeling pretty standard for this time of year, nothing too wild temperature-wise.

So, we've got a bit of a slow start. Sunday the 13th kicks things off with some clean, waist-to-chest high swell from the NNW. It's got a decent 12-second period and the wind is a light cross-off, so it's totally rideable. The energy is moderate (608), and it's a nice way to ease into the week. Monday the 14th sees it drop a notch, still clean with a light breeze, but the swell backs off a bit.

Tuesday the 15th is a write-off. The wind shifts onshore and the swell gets sloppy and small. Don't even bother. Wednesday the 16th morning though? Magic. A brief moment of glassy conditions with a fresh 5 ft NW swell. The wind is dead calm out of the SSW, making it glassy. That's a window to sneak a session. The afternoon gets a bit messy again.

Now, here we go. Thursday the 17th morning is your first real standout. The wind goes glassy again out of the NW, and the swell is a solid 6 ft from the NNW with a 10-second period. The energy is pumping hard (795). This is clean, punchy reef surf. Get on it. The afternoon brings a cross-onshore mess, so make it a dawn patrol.

Friday the 18th morning is glassy again, smaller at 4 ft, but still fun. But hold onto your board, because Friday afternoon is where it gets serious. We’ve got a 8 ft NNW groundswell rolling in with a 14-second period. The wind is a light cross-off, and the wave energy is a massive 1945. This is heavy, powerful, expert-level surf. Tides are gonna be the key here at a reef, but if you've got the skill, this is the pick for the experienced crew. Saturday the 19th keeps the goodness going with glassy 7 ft waves in the morning and clean 6 ft in the afternoon.

Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st are the absolute peak of the window. We're looking at 8 ft to 8 ft of long-period NNW groundswell, 14 to 15 seconds between sets. The energy readings are in the thousands (2419 and 2266). The wind is a steady light cross-off from the east. This is world-class, powerful, hollow reef territory. If you see a forecast like this and you're not an expert, stay on the beach and watch. For the big dogs, this is as good as it gets.

The second week settles down but stays quality. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd have clean 6 ft to 4 ft surf, perfect for a high-performance longboard or a fish. The crowds are "often" here, so expect some company, especially on these good days. Thursday the 24th afternoon has a weird 6 ft swell from the NE with a short period.

Towards the end, Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th see a bigger but messier ENE swell. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, creating bumpy conditions. Saturday the 26th morning though is glassy with a big 8 ft swell, but the short 8-second period might make it fat and close out. It's a kite surfer's dream, more than a paddle surfer's. Then it all fades out to tiny, weak waves from the 27th onward.

Bottom line: Focus on the dawn patrols on Thursday 17th morning, and then the magic window from Friday 18th afternoon through Monday 21st. That's your time to score. The rest is fun filler or a miss.

Rusty.

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