El Mongol Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a decent run coming up at El Mongol, a reef set-up that’s fairly exposed to the swell and loves a good NNW direction. This spot is consistent and pulls in a mix of swells, so let’s get into it.

The week kicks off Monday morning with clean 4ft NW swell, 11-second period, and light E cross-off wind. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Combined energy sits at a moderate 277, and it’s glassy enough to have fun. Monday afternoon drops slightly to 3ft, still cross-off but a bit more breeze, and still rideable but nothing special.

Tuesday, the 15th, things fade. Morning is only 2ft from the NNW with a cross-on wind, and combined energy is weak at 121. Afternoon is even smaller and onshore. Not worth a paddle.

Wednesday the 16th is where it wakes up. Morning goes glassy – dead calm, 5ft from the NNW at 9 seconds, combined energy jumps to 401. Clean, punchy, and fun for intermediates. Afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-on breeze and 5ft, but still moderate energy at 603. Thursday morning is glassy again, 6ft NNW at 11 seconds, 644 energy – clean and solid. Afternoon goes cross-on and drops a bit.

Now, Friday the 18th morning is a standout. Glassy conditions, 6ft NNW at 9 seconds, and combined energy at 861 – that’s a strong, punchy wave with zero wind. It’s going to be clean and powerful. Afternoon gets interesting too – a 10ft NNW swell with a 14-second period hits, combined energy is a massive 3170. That’s a very long period groundswell, and at over 8ft, it’s expert-only territory. The wind goes cross, not ideal, but the power is there.

Saturday the 19th morning keeps the momentum: 8ft NNW at 13 seconds, cross-off wind, combined energy 1793 – excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are often here, so expect company. Afternoon is 7ft, still cross-off and clean. Sunday the 20th settles to 5ft morning and 5ft afternoon, both cross-off and clean, moderate energy.

Monday the 21st is another proper standout. Morning delivers 7ft NNW at 14 seconds, cross-off wind, combined energy 1555 – that’s excellent for experienced surfers. Afternoon holds at 7ft, same period, energy up to 1666, cross-off breeze. This is top-tier groundswell, and the reef will love it.

Tuesday the 22nd stays good: 5ft morning with glassy conditions and 800 energy, then 5ft afternoon cross-off. Wednesday the 23rd drops to 3ft morning, still clean, but afternoon fades with only 217 energy and poor conditions.

From Thursday the 24th through to the end of the month, it’s a mixed bag. Thursday morning has 3ft but ordinary quality, afternoon gets windy. Friday the 25th sees a 7ft ENE short-period swell (7 seconds) with moderate energy, but it’s marginal for quality. Saturday the 26th is better – 6ft NE at 7 seconds, cross-off, clean – but the period is short, so it’ll be lumpy. Sunday the 27th and Monday the 28th drop right off to tiny 2–2ft with no energy. Tuesday the 29th is similar, just 2ft.

Overall, the best on offer is Friday morning 18th and Monday the 21st – both have clean, powerful swell with good direction and glassy or cross-off wind. If you’re experienced, the Friday afternoon 10ft is a beast. Keep an eye on that.

Rusty.

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