El Mongol Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at El Mongol over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The early days are pretty average, with small, weak, short-period swell and onshore winds making for messy conditions. The combined wave energy is low, sitting around 33 to 119, and honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for. The water temp is about 69°F, which is pretty normal for the time of year, with no real anomaly to speak of.

Things start to get interesting as we head into Monday the 27th. That morning, a clean NNW groundswell rolls in at 6ft with a 10-second period, and the wind is a sweet cross-offshore from the ENE. The combined energy hits 741, which is a solid moderate kick. This is the standout of the whole outlook – clean, fun waves for the intermediate crew. The afternoon stays clean but the energy drops a bit, and the conditions are more marginal.

Tuesday morning the 28th is still good, with 4ft NNW swell and clean cross-off winds, wave energy at 310. A solid option for a morning session. The wind then shifts and the afternoon gets a bit cross-onshore, so not as good.

After that, the swell backs off significantly. From Wednesday the 29th through to the first week of August, we’re looking at small, weak surf with periods under 10 seconds and energy readings mostly under 100. Winds are a mixed bag of onshore and cross-onshore, with a few glassy moments but no real push. The forecast is thin, and there’s a long gap of several days with no real recommendations.

Then, on Wednesday the 5th of August, there’s a flicker of hope. The morning brings a glassy 5ft NNW swell with a 9-second period, and combined energy of 346. The wind is glassy, so it’ll be clean, but the afternoon gets chopped up again. This is a promising but less certain option given it’s over a week away.

El Mongol is a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the swell, with an optimum direction from the NNW, so the better swells we see are a good match. Crowds are often around here, so expect company on the good days. The Monday morning session on the 27th is the one to aim for – it’s clean, has the most energy, and the swell direction is right on the money.

Rusty.

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