El Mongol Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at El Mongol over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell of tiny surf and poor conditions for the first week or so. The water temp is sittin' around 69°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The whole first week, from Saturday the 1st all the way through to Wednesday the 5th, is a write-off. We’re talking ankle-snappers at best, with swell heights barely cracking 1 ft and a combined wave energy that’s weak as dishwater (58 to 85). The wind is mostly a mess of cross-onshore and onshore, and the conditions are just plain poor. Not worth paddling out for.

We finally get a tiny pulse of life on the morning of Thursday the 6th. The swell jumps to 4 ft out of the NW, with a moderate energy reading of 180, and the wind goes glassy. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s still pretty ordinary. If you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your window, but don’t expect much.

There’s another little whisper of energy on the morning of Sunday the 9th, with 2 ft from the NNW and a glassy wind, but again, it’s just ‘surfable’ – nothing to write home about.

The real standout, and the only one I’d get excited about, is the morning of Sunday the 16th. We’ve got a 3 ft NNW swell, but the combined energy is a solid 148 – that’s a moderate pulse, and the period is 7 seconds, which isn’t long but it’s got a bit of push. The wind is glassy, and that’s a major positive. It’s going to be clean. The swell direction is an ideal fit for the break, which is a reef setup. Just keep in mind that this break is consistent, but crowds are often here, so be ready for company. This is a promising one, but it’s still a week and a half out, so keep your fingers crossed.

For the rest of the week, it’s a whole lot of nothing. The swell stays tiny, the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are just poor. It’s a classic blank run for this area.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that Sunday the 16th, and don’t bother with the rest.

Rusty.

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