El Mongol Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at this El Mongol stretch for a while now. Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run for the next 16 days. There’s no surf worth shouting about until Monday morning, the 27th of July, and even then it’s a fleeting moment of hope before things go quiet again.

Let’s be real: the first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 26th is a mess—cross-on wind, poor conditions, and that tiny swell is just a waste of time. You’re better off staying on the beach with a cold one.

But Monday morning, the 27th, now that’s a window. The swell picks up to 6ft from the NNW, with a 10-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the ENE at 6 mph. The water’s sitting at 69°, which is pretty average for this time of year. The combined energy hits 637 (moderate), and it’s enough to get a few decent ones. This is a reef break, intermediate level, consistent, and it’s usually crowded—so expect company. The swell direction matches the optimum NNW, so it’ll line up well. This is the standout of the whole outlook. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and rideable. The afternoon holds up too, with a bit more energy (678) and the same cross-off wind, but it’s only a marginal call on the tide.

Tuesday the 28th offers a drop to 4ft in the morning, still clean cross-off, but the energy drops to 364. It’s surfable, but nothing special. The afternoon gets messy with a cross wind.

After that, it’s a long, grim stretch. From Wednesday the 29th right through to the end of the forecast on Monday the 10th of August, we’re looking at tiny, weak swells—mostly under 3ft—with poor wind directions, light winds, or glassy conditions that just can’t make up for the lack of size. The energy is pathetic, often below 100. There’s a brief moment on the 4th of August with a 2ft swell from the NNW at 10 seconds, glassy, but the energy is 234—still weak. It’s surfable, but ordinary. The 5th of August has a 4ft swell, but it’s cross-on and messy. Honestly, nothing else is worth paddling out for.

The best bet is Monday the 27th, morning. That’s your one shot. The rest of the window is a blank run—normal for this spot when the forecasts are this quiet. The gear’s better off on the rack for most of it.

Rusty.

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