Karramarro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right. Gather ‘round. This is Rusty.

To be straight with you – and I’m never anything else – this outlook is a rough one. For the next week and a half, we’re looking at a long stretch of barely rideable dribble. There’s only one window that shows any real hope, and that’s at the tail end of the 16 days, on Monday the 10th of August. The rest of the time, you’d be better off waxing a park bench.

The break we have to work with is Karramarro, a point break that takes a northwesterly swell. It's an advanced spot, and it's inconsitent – it rarely turns on. So when it does, you pay attention, but the crowds can show up. The water is sitting at 75°F on the Wednesday morning we have data for – that’s about 5°F above normal for this time of year, which is very unusual. Feels like a warm bath.

Alright, let’s walk through this dry spell. From Wednesday the 29th of July right through to Sunday the 9th of August, there’s just nothing doing. The swell is tiny – we’re talking 0.7ft to 3ft, with short periods mostly under 9 seconds. That’s anemic. The combined swell energy is weak, barely getting into double digits – many days it’s under 100 (like 57 or 34). The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, or glassy but with no wave to work with. It’s a gap of nearly two weeks where there’s no recommendation to paddle out. The forecast calls it “poor surf conditions” every single session. It’s a stubborn block of nothing. For a spot that’s already inconsitent, this kind of run is normal.

Now, Monday the 10th of August is the one that stands out. There’s a real shift. We get a 3ft swell from the NW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy finally ticks over to 138 – that’s moderate energy, and for this location, that’s a pulse. The wind on Monday *morning* is WNW at 9 mph, which is cross-offshore, and the report calls it clean. The waves will be surfable. Sure, it’s not a monster, but given the desert before it, this is the highlight. It’s still an advanced break at this size. By the afternoon the wind swings NW and picks up, making it less clean. So the window is Monday morning, the 10th of August. After that, it fades back into small, weak mush for the rest of the run. The long-range stuff after the 10th has no real energy either.

So, the one shot in this forecast is Monday the 10th of August morning at Karramarro. NW swell around 3ft, clean cross-offshore breeze. That’s it. Don’t hold your breath for anything else.

Stay keen,
Rusty

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