Playa de Xago Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you straight up—this next 16 days is a real mixed bag, and it’s gonna take some patience. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing good to start, then a few windows that’ll be worth paddling out for, especially if you can pick your hours.

The first real pulse of surf worth talking about hits on Monday the 27th of July. Up until then, it’s a write-off. Friday the 24th right through Sunday the 26th is just poor surf conditions—choppy, messy, onshore winds, tiny swell. You’re better off doing something else.

So, the standout session is hands down Monday morning, the 27th of July. Head to Playa de Xago. We’ve got a clean 5 ft swell rolling in from the NNW, with a 10-second period—that’s a nice groundswell, plenty of push. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the ENE at 9 mph, and the water is clean. The combined wave energy is solid at 448 (moderate to strong), so there’s some grunt in the water. This is an intermediate-level wave, very consistent, and it’s exposed to the NW swell, which is a good match for the optimum direction. It’s a spot that does get crowded often, so expect company. The water temperature anomaly is about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

Monday afternoon is still surfable, but the swell drops slightly to 5 ft and the wind picks up a touch, so the morning is your golden window.

Tuesday the 28th of July is also worth a look, especially the morning. Another 4 ft swell from the NW at 10 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the east. The energy is 281 (moderate). It’s clean, but not quite as punchy as Monday. Crowds are likely again.

After that, things fade. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th have tiny, weak swell with onshore winds. Friday the 31st is still poor. The next little flare-up comes on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is glassy—a glassy 3 ft swell from the WNW, but it’s only 8 seconds, so short-period and weak energy (191). It’s surfable, but ordinary. The afternoon is more interesting: 5 ft from the NW, period jumps to 11 seconds, and the energy gets up to 453. The wind is light cross-shore, so it might be worth a session, but the conditions are described as “marginal or questionable tide,” so keep an eye on the tide.

Sunday the 2nd of August sees the biggest swell of the whole outlook: 6 ft to 6 ft from the NW with an 11-second period, and energy values of 712 and 844 (strong). That’s a solid winter swell. But here’s the catch—the wind is onshore, and the conditions are marginal. For an intermediate surfer, 6 ft to 6 ft is pushing it, and with onshore wind, it’ll be lumpy. This one is really for the experts only, and even then, the quality isn’t great. It’s a beach break setup, so with that strong onshore wind, it might actually be more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th of August start to fade, with dropping swell and onshore winds. From Wednesday the 5th right through to the end of the outlook on Saturday the 8th of August, it’s back to tiny, weak, and choppy—nothing worth your time.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Monday morning, 27th July, at Playa de Xago, with a solid 5 ft groundswell, clean cross-offshore wind, and good energy. The second best is Tuesday morning, 28th July, slightly smaller but still clean. The bigger swell on Sunday 2nd August is powerful but messy, and the long-range stuff on Saturday 1st August is promising but less certain. Keep your expectations in check for the second week.

Rusty, signing off.

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