Playa de Xago Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your stick. Rusty here, gonna talk you through the next few weeks at our local spot. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s some juice coming if you’re patient.

First thing, the water temp is running about 69°F, which is about 1°F warmer than usual for this time of year at Playa de Xago. Nothing crazy, just a touch on the mild side.

Right now, we’ve got a bit of a quiet spell. For the first couple of days – Thursday and Friday – it’s small and pretty average. Thursday has some tiny 2ft to 2ft waves out of the WNW, but the wind’s that messy cross-off won’t make it pretty. Friday morning cleans right up with glassy conditions, but the swell is only 2ft from the WNW with a short 8-second period. It's weak wave energy (80) and there's barely enough push to get a proper ride. Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a splash.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout window opens on Saturday the 5th. That morning the swell jumps to 5ft from the NW with a solid 14-second period, and the combined energy cranks up to a strong 938. This is proper groundswell – long lines, good power. Direction is NW, which is exactly what the wave wants. The wind is cross-off, so it won't be perfect, but it’s far from blown out. By the afternoon, it builds to 6ft, still with that long period (13 seconds), and the energy is 981. Conditions are cleaner too. This is the best session on offer for intermediate surfers. Any bigger and it might be too much for beginners, but at 5ft to 6ft, it’s got some push and shape without being a washing machine. Get on it.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off. Strong onshore wind from the WNW destroys the surface, turning those NW swell leftovers into messy closeouts. Not worth it. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are small and onshore again – just forget it.

There’s a little glimmer on Wednesday morning the 9th. That morning goes glassy, dead calm, with a clean 5ft swell from the NNW (9-second period, moderate energy at 300). It'll be clean and rideable, but the period is shorter, so it won’t have the grunt of the 5th. A good option if you missed the weekend.

After that, we drop back into the doldrums for about a week. From the 10th through the 14th, it’s mostly tiny – under 3ft – with iffy winds and weak energy (mostly below 100). The 15th Tuesday afternoon shows a spike in energy (413) with 3ft waves and a long 13-second period, but it’s whipped by a strong 19 mph cross-off wind. That’ll be choppy and tricky. Maybe worth a look for the power, but not clean.

Looking further out, the last few days of the forecast show some potential. Wednesday the 16th morning has a solid 4ft NW swell (10 seconds) with 426 energy and a clean cross-off breeze. Then in the afternoon, we see a spike to 8ft from the NE, but with only 8-second period and a moderate cross-off. It’s got huge energy (1016) but that short period means it’ll be a steep, dumpy shorebreak. For experts only. Thursday the 17th morning holds 6ft from the NE, still with that short 7-second period, but a lighter cross-off. Again, punchy and powerful, but not for the faint of heart.

The standout is definitely Saturday the 5th – that combination of 5-6ft NW groundswell, long period, and manageable wind. That’s the day to make plans. The 9th Wednesday morning is a close second for a glassy, clean session if you want smaller waves.

The gap after the 9th is a bummer – it’s pretty flat or messy until the 16th. That’s a dry stretch of nearly a week. It’s not unusual for this area when there’s no active swell train, but forecasts can change, so keep an eye.

Stay stoked, get the Saturday session, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty

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