Playa de Xago Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this isn’t a blockbuster forecast. We’ve got some surf, but it’s a real mixed bag. The standout window is this first weekend and into Monday, with a pulse of NW groundswell that has some grunt to it. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re paddling out at Playa de Xago.

Best bet of the whole run will be Saturday the 5th. The morning kicks off with a solid 5ft NW swell at 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a solid 872 (moderate), but the wind is a cross-off from the east at 12 mph, keeping things clean. The afternoon even pushes up to 6ft with a 13-second period and the energy jumps to 1147. That afternoon session is the pick of the bunch. It’s very consistent here and with NW being the optimum direction, this is where you want to be. Just be aware, crowds are often a thing here, so get out there early.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off. Rain showers and a cross-on wind from the WNW kill any hope of quality. You’ll be battling bumpy lines and small ripples. Not worth the wetsuit peel.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting: Monday morning the 7th. The swell drops right back to 3ft, but it’s from the WNW at 13 seconds with zero wind – complete glass. Combined energy is 421 (moderate). For a point break or reef setup, that long period makes for clean, lined-up waves, but at a beach break like Playa de Xago, the long period can make it close out a bit. Still, for a glassy morning on small swell, it’s a nice paddle.

Tuesday the 8th is similar – small, but glassy again in the morning with a 3ft WNW swell (10-sec period, energy 204). Clean and cruisy.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Wednesday the 9th sees a jump in size to a 7ft NNW swell (13 seconds, energy 1442 in the morning – strong), but the wind is cross-on from the north at 6 mph, bringing bumps and ripples. That’s a lot of water but messy. Not the one.

Thursday the 10th shapes up nicely though – morning glass, 5ft NNW swell (10 seconds, energy 453). That’s a solid, clean morning with decent power. Afternoon stays glassy but drops a little.

From Friday the 11th right through to the end of the second week, it’s a long, slow grind. We’ve got several days where the swell drops under 3ft or the period gets short and weak, like Sunday the 14th with 2ft – energy down to 82 (weak). The wind stays cross-off or offshore, but there’s just no push. From around the 12th to the 20th, you’re looking at mostly small, weak, and ordinary conditions. The combined energies mostly stay below 200, and a couple of days don’t even crack 100. It’s a real flat spell for the area.

The only other slight blip is Wednesday the 16th – a 5ft NNE swell at a short 7 seconds (energy 246) in the morning, clean wind. But that short period means weak, mushy waves. It’s surfable, but don’t expect any juice.

Honestly, if you’re serious, make your move on Saturday the 5th afternoon and Thursday the 10th morning. The rest is mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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