Pantin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’ve scanned the charts for the next 16 days, and I’m looking at some flat spells, some howling winds, and a few moments where the stars might just align. Let’s break it down, wave by wave.

Right now and for the next week, it’s a tough sit. The water temp at Pantin is sitting at 62°, which is running a bit cooler than we’d expect for this time of year. The swell is tiny, with the combined energy barely registering (67), and the wind is all over the place. That first window on Wednesday July 15th has some clouds and a light SW breeze, but the waves are only 2 ft from the west, and the setup is poor. Nothing to get excited about here.

We roll into Thursday July 16th, and it’s glassy in the morning, but the swell has dropped to just 1 ft. The energy is even weaker (37). Glassy conditions are a dream, but you need something to ride. It’s a skunk session.

Friday July 17th through Sunday July 20th is a mess of inconsistent, small surf and building winds. Saturday June 18th sees the swell try to pick up, but it’s short-period (6 seconds) and the wind is a fresh cross-shore from the NE at 18 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The waves top out at 3 ft, but it’s a messy, unappealing combo.

The real shift comes on Monday July 20th. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the NNE, with a combined energy of 943. That’s proper, powerful stuff. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NE at 25 mph, which will clean it up. But here’s the thing – 8 ft is expert territory only. This is a big, powerful wave for a beach break setup. The period is only 8 seconds, so it’s not a classic groundswell, but the raw energy is there. The next morning, Tuesday July 21st, drops to 5 ft from the NNE, with energy at 285, and the wind is still a clean cross-off from the ENE at 22 mph. This is the window. Pantin on Tuesday morning July 21st is the stand-out. The swell is a solid 5 ft, the wind is cross-offshore, keeping the faces clean. The combined energy is moderate (285). It’s a bit of a windy paddle, but the waves will have shape. This is your best bet for a proper session.

After that, the swell backs off. Wednesday July 22nd morning has a tiny 3 ft wave with clean winds, but the energy is low (118). It’s surfable, but ordinary. The rest of the week into the end of July is a mix of small, weak swell (1 ft to 4 ft) and mostly cross or onshore winds. There’s a brief spike on Sunday July 26th with 5 ft from the N, but the wind is messy and the energy is still moderate (351). It’s a marginal call.

The final few days of the month, from July 28th to the 30th, are a return to tiny, weak swell, with no real punch. The long-period (11 seconds) filter on the 28th is a tease, but it’s only 1 ft.

So, the honest truth: this is a long, quiet stretch. The first real chance to get wet is that Tuesday July 21st morning. After that, forecasts can change, but as it stands, it’s a waiting game. Don’t expect much volume across the week.

Rusty.

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