Pantin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for us over the next couple of weeks. The story starts slow, real slow, but there’s some serious potential waiting for us if we’re patient.

First thing you gotta know: we’re looking at a stretch of flat or near-flat conditions for the first few days. Wednesday the 2nd through to the end of that week are basically a write-off. The swell is tiny, barely 2ft to 2ft, with weak energy (44-80), and the wind is a messy cross or cross-off. It’s ordinary. You could get wet but you won’t be smiling. That gap of poor surf runs for a good four or five days.

Now, Saturday the 5th morning, things start to get interesting. We see a jump in energy to 665, with a solid 3ft swell from the NNW, but the period is a super long 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The catch? It’s a bit of a tease – the forecast calls it “marginal,” and the wind is a moderate cross-off. The long period will make it a bit tricky at our beach breaks, but Pantin can handle it. The Saturday afternoon sees the swell build to 5ft from the NW with a 13-second period, energy hits 969. That’s getting fun, but still a bit marginal for a clear standout.

Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th are messy. Sunday brings onshore wind and chop, with a 5ft NW swell. Not good. Monday the 7th morning, we get a clean 6ft from the WNW, period 12 seconds, and a light cross-shore breeze. Energy is 1007, moderate to strong. That’s the first real glimmer of hope, but the wind shifts onshore by the afternoon, ruining it.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are back to poor conditions with fresh onshore winds. A forgettable mid-week.

Now, here’s where I get a bit excited. Thursday the 10th morning, we have glassy conditions at Pantin. The wind is dead calm from the north, and the swell is a clean 5ft from the NW, period 10 seconds. The water temp is about average for this time of year. That’s a solid window for a paddle. The crowd factor at Pantin is “often,” so expect company, but with clean, glassy waves, it’ll be worth it. That morning is a genuine standout.

The following week, the 11th and 12th, are a bit more mixed. Friday the 11th morning has a light cross-off breeze and a 4ft NW swell, but it’s not a huge standout. Saturday the 12th has light winds again with a 5ft NW swell, but the energy is lower (305). It’s surfable, but not epic.

Then we get to the real pay-off. Monday the 14th morning is clean again, with a 5ft swell from the west, period 10 seconds, and light offshores. Good energy at 428. But the real standout is Tuesday the 15th morning. Glassy conditions, a 5ft WNW swell, and 10-second period. Energy at 500. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the one to circle on your calendar.

And then, Wednesday the 16th morning, for the experienced crew. Glassy, 7ft swell from the WNW with a long 12-second period. Energy is a strong 1026. That’s proper, solid surf. It’s too big for beginners, but for the rest of you, that’s the session to aim for. The long period will make the sets powerful, so keep your wits about you.

After that, Thursday the 17th morning drops back to a 3ft swell with glassy conditions, but it’s a bit ordinary again.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a bust. The best of the best? Thursday the 10th morning for the glassy, fun-sized waves, and Tuesday the 15th morning for the clean, solid surf. The long-range standout on the 15th and 16th is promising, but the closer calls on the 10th and 14th are more reliable. Get out there and get wet.

Rusty.

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