El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Grab a coffee, because we gotta be straight with each other about the next couple of weeks. Honestly, looking out my window, there's not much happening for a while. We've got a big dry spell to start. The first bit of anything worth paddling out for doesn't show until Monday the 14th, and even then, it's a tease. The first real day to circle on the calendar isn't until Saturday the 19th.

So, the first few days are a wash. Thursday the 10th through Sunday the 13th? Forget it. Tiny, messy mush with cross-shore winds chopping everything up. The swell is tiny at 1 ft. to 2 ft., and the period is all over the place but weak. It's not worth waxing the board.

Monday the 14th at El Confital (expert, very consistent) – we finally get a little bump. The wind goes glassy in the morning with a light breeze from the south, then glassy again in the afternoon from the NNE. The wave energy is small, around (112) in the morning and (117) in the afternoon. Swell is a tiny 2 ft. to 2 ft. from the NNW with a long period of 13 seconds. That long period means the waves will be clean and lined up, but seriously lacking in power. Smallest of small waves for the experts. The water temp is a warm 75°, which is bang on average for this time of year. A nice paddle, not a proper session.

Tuesday the 15th through Friday the 18th? Back to the same old story. We get a tiny bump of swell, but the cross-wind returns. It’s clean in the mornings for a short while, but the swell is too small (1 ft. to 2 ft.) and weak to do anything fun. It's flat, basically.

Now, pay attention. Saturday the 19th is the one and only standout in this whole forecast. The early morning window on the 19th is the call. The wind is a cross-off from the NNE, which will groom El Confital into clean, lined-up walls. The swell picks up to 4 ft. from the north, with a period of 9 seconds and a combined energy of (265). That’s a moderate, punchy little swell for that spot. It’s not huge, but it’s the most energy we’ve seen in a week and a half. The wind is clean, the break is consistent, and the setup is right. This is the session. Keep in mind, it gets smaller and weaker in the afternoon, so be there early.

After that, we drift back into small, ordinary conditions right through to the 25th. The swell hangs around the 3 ft. to 3 ft. range from the north, but the energy drops off and the conditions are just "surfable" at best. The wind stays cross-off or offshore, keeping the surface clean, but the lack of size and power makes it a grovel session. Not bad, not good, just background noise.

That's it. The long-range stuff later in the month? A few pulses, but nothing to get excited about. This is a quiet patch with one bright spot. If you're keen, get on El Confital on the morning of the 19th. Otherwise, you're waiting.

Rusty.

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