El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down in feet and miles.

Right now, the outlook for El Confital is pretty grim for a while. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing really happening on the wave front. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly just cross or cross-off, and the water is sitting at a warm 75°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. But don’t let that fool you – there’s barely a pulse in the water.

The first few days are a write-off. From Friday the 14th right through to the end of Monday the 17th, it’s all poor surf conditions with next to no energy. You’re looking at ankle-to-knee-high dribble, with the combined swell energy barely making it out of double digits (117 or less). The wind is a moderate breeze from the north-northeast, giving us a cross-off flow, but there’s just nothing to ride.

We finally see a little pulse of energy arrive on Tuesday the 18th. The swell height picks up to about 4ft from the north, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 237, which is moderate. The Tuesday afternoon session looks the best of the early run, with clean conditions and a cross-off breeze. Still, it’s only a 2 out of 10 quality call – surfable but nothing to get excited about.

Things flatline again from the 19th through the 24th. Tiny waves, poor conditions, and very low energy. There’s a brief flicker on Monday the 24th afternoon with a little 2ft swell from the north-northwest, energy at 125, but it’s still “very ordinary.”

Now, the standout window looks like it could be around Tuesday the 25th afternoon. We see a jump in swell size to about 6ft from the north, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy hits a strong 476. This is the only real pulse of size in the whole 16-day run. The wind is cross-off from the north-northeast at 12 mph, keeping the conditions clean. However, for a wave that size, El Confital is an expert-only spot anyway, and with that short period, it’s going to be a bit of a walled-up mess at the beach. It’s more of a challenge than a classic session. Definitely not for beginners.

After that, it’s back to small, poor conditions through to the end of the period. The last day, Saturday the 29th, shows a 3ft swell from the north-northwest with a longer period of 12 seconds and strong energy (494), but it’s rated as marginal. That one might have some shape, but it’s a long way out and uncertain.

Honestly, if you’re looking for a real clean, fun session at El Confital, this 16-day stretch doesn’t have much to offer. The Tuesday the 25th afternoon might be the only time the waves have any real push, but it’s raw and powerful – only for the brave. The rest is pretty much a flat spell. For a spot that’s very consistent usually, this is a weirdly barren run. Hang tight, the forecasts might change.

Rusty.

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