El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at El Confital.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is a flat, frustrating stretch. We’re looking at tiny swell, mostly around 0.3 ft to 1 ft, with a few pulses barely touching 0.7 ft. The wind is howling from the north at a steady 15 mph, right onshore or cross-shore, making a total mess of things. The combined swell energy is barely registering, with values like 10 or 16 (weak energy). There’s nothing to get excited about. This is a long, dry gap until the end of July.

Now, the standout – and it’s a big one – comes on Thursday, July 30th. A serious pulse of swell hits, with 7 ft waves from the north, at a 10-second period. The combined energy jumps to 894 on Thursday morning, hitting 947 in the afternoon (moderate to strong wave energy). That's a proper amount of water moving. But here’s the catch: the wind is still a cross-onshore at 15 mph, which is going to make it choppy. For a wave as heavy and expert-only as El Confital, this is still looking like a terrible session. The rating is “poor surf conditions” for a reason. It’s a lot of power, but no quality. This is more interesting for the kite crew than dedicated surfers.

Into Friday, July 31st, the swell drops a little, still around 6 ft to 7 ft from the north, but the wind stays messy and cross-shore. The energy is still there, around 820, but the score only just creeps up to a 1 out of 10, calling it marginal. Still not worth a paddle-out.

After that, the swell disappears again, with tiny 0.3 ft readings and the wind still nasty. There’s a glimmer on Monday, August 3rd, with 6 ft north swell and lighter cross-offshore winds from the north-northeast at 12 mph. The energy is 547 (moderate), and the wave state is clean. That’s your best shot in the whole window, but it’s a long way off and only scores a 2 out of 10. It’s promising but less certain this far out.

Overall, this is a brutal run for El Confital. We’ve got over a week of flatness, then a short burst of big, windy, poor-quality swell. Not the time to plan a trip.

Rusty

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