El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a half is gonna be a tough paddle for not much return. We’re looking at a real dry spell here at El Confital. The swell is just about non-existent, with wave heights mostly hovering around that 1 to 2 feet mark. That’s ankle-biters at best, and the energy in the water is weak, with readings like 67 and 80 early on. It’s cross-shore wind, mostly, and even when it’s clean, there’s just nothing to push it. For a spot this exposed, it’s frustrating. You’d be bobbing around more than surfing.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday, August 19th. The swell finally starts to fill in, jumping to 4 feet out of the north with a 9-second period. You can feel the energy jump too – we’re talking 248 in the combined energy, which is a solid step up from the doldrums. The wind is light and cross-offshore, which will keep the face tidy. It’s not huge, but it’s rideable, and after this stretch of nothing, it’ll feel like a gift. The morning looks cleanest.

That pulse carries into Thursday, August 20th, with 4-foot waves and a similar northerly direction. Again, light winds, clean conditions. It’s a similar story, but the energy is a bit lower. Still, if you can only get out one day, these two are your best bet in the near term.

Then it gets a little tricky. Friday, August 21st sees the swell bump up to 5 feet, but the wind swings more northerly and picks up to 15 mph, putting a chop on it. The energy is up there, 339, but the quality drops. And by Saturday, August 22nd, it’s almost gone again – back down to a foot or less. That’s a classic tease.

Now, for the second week, keep your expectations in check. There’s another pulse on Sunday, August 23rd, with the swell pushing 6 feet out of the north, and the energy readings are strong – 669 and 577. That’s real power. But the wind is cross-shore at 15 mph, which will mess with the surface. It’s got size, but it might be a mess. This is more of a look-and-see.

After that, it just flatlines again. The last few days of August and into the 27th are basically back to ankle-biters, with the energy dropping to single digits. There’s a long-period south swell showing up on the 27th, but it’s tiny and won’t do anything for this north-facing spot.

So, bottom line: If you’re desperate, the 19th and 20th are your days. Everything else is a gamble or a flat-out washout. Keep the board waxed, but don’t get your hopes up for anything epic.

Rusty.

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