El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s cut straight to it. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and I’ll be honest with you, it’s a quiet one. The only break on the radar is El Confital, an expert-only beach and reef setup that’s very consistent but doesn’t see much love from the forecast. The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Looking at the whole run, there are no clear winners here. The first recommendation doesn’t come until the morning of Saturday, 29 August. Before that, the swell is tiny and the conditions are poor. From the 29th through to the 12th of September, there’s a lot of flat or marginal surf with poor quality ratings. The standout – and I use that term loosely – falls on the 29th. Saturday morning sees swell hitting about 5ft from the NNW with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined swell energy is moderate at 483. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 16 mph, which keeps things clean. That afternoon, the swell stays similar at 5ft from the N, with energy up to 530. The wind remains cross-off. It’s not pumping, but it’s the best we’ve got. Keep in mind, El Confital is an expert wave, and with 5ft swell, it’s getting solid for the crew who know what they’re doing. Crowds are often around this spot, so expect some company.

After that, the forecast drops off hard. For the rest of the window, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell and often messy winds. There’s a brief pulse of swell around Friday, 4 September, with 6ft from the N, but it’s a short-period 8-second windswell and the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. Not worth the paddle. The following days into the second week are mostly flat with weak energy readings in the dozens or low hundreds, and the wind stays cross or cross-off. Nothing to get excited about.

Don’t hold your breath for the second week either. The energy is weak, the periods are short, and the wind never really cleans it up. It’s a long gap of low-quality surf after the 29th, so if you’re keen, make the most of that Saturday session. Otherwise, this stretch is looking like a write-off for paddle surfing – but if the wind picks up, the kites might have a better time.

Stay patient, folks. Forecasts can change.

Rusty

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