El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, the lads and ladies, this is Rusty with a look at what’s heading our way. I’ve got to be straight with you, this 16-day window is looking pretty bleak for a paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of quiet seas ahead.

Let’s be honest, the whole first week is a write-off. From Thursday, August 27th through to Wednesday, September 2nd, we’re looking at tiny swells and poor surf conditions across the board. There’s just nothing worth wetting a suit for. We’re talking about a solid 7-day gap there with no recommendations at all.

The first faint glimmer of hope shows up on Saturday, August 29th. Confital finally gets a pulse of energy. We’re looking at a NW swell pushing 5ft on Saturday morning, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a moderate wave energy reading (548), so there’s some push behind it. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, keeping things tidy. This is an expert-only wave anyway, and at this size, it's going to be a handful. But for those who know the place, it’s the first real chance in a while. The water is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, sitting around 76°F.

Don’t get too excited for the rest of the run. After that Saturday, it drops right back off. The following Sunday and Monday are back to poor, tiny waves. There’s another pulse of energy rolling in around Saturday, September 5th, with a 4ft N swell and a short 7-second period. It’s a bit of a messy cross-shore wind situation, so the quality’s going to be lacking. Monday, September 7th sees a NW swell with an 11-second period, but the wave energy is weak and the cross-onshore wind ruins the party.

The real standout, and I mean the only thing that looks worth planning for, is that Saturday, August 29th morning at Confital. After that, the forecast becomes even more uncertain. By the second week, specifically around Tuesday, September 8th and Wednesday, September 9th, we see another NW pulse building back up to 5ft, but it’s pinned under a strong cross-onshore wind. The energy jumps into the moderate range (264-278), but the quality will be poor. On Thursday, September 10th and Friday, September 11th, the winds finally ease off, with a glassy morning on Friday and light winds, but the swell has dropped right back down to ankle-biters.

Basically, there’s one single day that looks like it might fire, and it’s for experts only. The rest is a long, drawn-out wait. It doesn't often stay this poor for this long, so the forecasts could change for the better in the coming days, but as things stand, don't hold your breath.

Stay patient.
Rusty.

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