El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it's a bit of a slow start. For the first chunk of the forecast, we're looking at a long, drawn-out flat spell. From now through the end of July and into the first few days of August, the waves are barely a whisper. The combined swell energy is mostly in the single digits and low teens – think 10 to 24 – with tiny 0.3ft to 1ft slop. It's not surfable, mate. The wind is a persistent cross-shore or cross-offshore breeze from the north, mostly in the 12 to 18 mph range, which would just chop up any hope of a ride anyway. You're looking at about a 12-day stretch of nothing worth paddling for.

Then, things finally start to look up. On Monday the 3rd of August, we see a bit of a pulse. Swell height jumps to 4ft from the north, with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 145, which is a step up, but the wind is cross-onshore at 12 mph, making it a choppy, messy affair. The forecast says "poor surf conditions," so it's not going to be pretty, but at least there's something in the water. It might be more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers, to be honest.

The real standout, the one you've been waiting for, is Thursday the 6th of August. That morning, El Confital is looking like it could be the best session in a long time. The swell picks up to 3ft from the north-northwest with a solid period of 11 seconds, giving it some real grunt. The combined energy hits 209. But the best part? The wind is light, only 6 mph from the north-northeast, and it's a cross-offshore breeze, which means those waves are going to be clean and glassy. The forecast even says "expect good surf conditions." This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon also holds some promise with 3ft swell from the north and 242 energy, though the wind picks up a bit.

El Confital is a heavy, expert-only wave – a beach and reef setup that's very consistent and exposed to the west swell. Remember, it's an expert spot, and it can get crowded often. The water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is about 1°F warmer than average for this time of year, so nothing too unusual there.

So, ride the flat spell out, get your gear ready, and be ready to pounce on that Thursday the 6th of August. It's a long way off, so don't bet the farm on it, but it's the best promise we've got.

Rusty.

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