El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

We’re staring at a bit of a quiet spell for the next week or so. The wind is mostly cross-shore and the swell is tiny and weak for days on end. Don’t get too excited yet, but there is some serious promise lurking in the second half of the outlook. Patience is going to be the name of the game.

For the first few days through the weekend and into the start of next week, it’s flat, bumpy, or just not worth paddling out. There’s a little bump of weak energy on Monday the 14th (combined energy of all swells directed here 106) with glassy conditions early, but the swell is only 2 ft from the NNW. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

The real story starts to build around the weekend of the 20th. Saturday the 19th sees a jump in size but the wind is still messy. Then Sunday the 20th is where it starts to get interesting. El Confital is the standout. The swell fills in to 4 ft to 4 ft from the north, and the wind goes totally glassy or light offshore. The water temp is a pleasant 75° which is about average for the time of year. This is the first truly good session.

But hold onto your board, because the absolute best window is shaping up for Monday the 21st through Wednesday the 23rd. There is a fantastic, clean pulse of long period groundswell. Monday afternoon the swell drops slightly to 2 ft but the period is a very long 17 seconds from the NNW. The combined swell energy jumps to 372, and it’s glassy. That’s a beautiful, clean, long-period groundswell – perfect for a reef setup like El Confital.

The crown jewel looks like Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd. Tuesday morning we’ve got 4 ft from the NNW at a very long 14 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is a strong 527. Wednesday morning holds similar size at 4 ft, also clean with a light offshore breeze and energy at 502. This is heavy, consistent, and clean for experts. Because the swell is over 5 ft it will be too big for beginners, and the long period will make it a proper groundswell that really stands up on the reef. Crowds are often here, so expect company for these sessions.

After that, it fades. Thursday the 24th drops right back off into small, choppy conditions, and the run of good surf is done.

So, to wrap it up: wait out the flat start. The best bets are the glassy Sunday the 20th through to the clean, long-period groundswell on Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd. That’s where the magic is.

Rusty.

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