El Confital Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day outlook for the region is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak surf and less-than-ideal wind. The only real glimmer of hope comes right at the very tail end of the forecast, so you’ll need to be patient.

The first two weeks are basically a write-off. From Saturday the 1st of August all the way through to Saturday the 15th of August, the swell is small, the period is short, and the winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore. The wave energy is very weak, often with values under 100 (like 79 to 12), meaning there’s just no power in the water. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is about normal for this time of year, but that’s the only thing that’s normal. It’s a bleak run for paddle surfing.

Then, finally, on Sunday the 16th of August, things start to look a little more interesting. The standout window is that morning and afternoon at El Confital (Confital). This spot is a very consistent, exposed beach and reef break that’s only for experts. For the first time in the forecast, we see a real pulse of swell: 6 ft from the north, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 568 (moderate wave energy), which is a big step up from the flat spell. The wind is light and clean, blowing cross-offshore from the north-northeast at 12 mph, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is the only time in the whole 16 days that looks genuinely worth paddling out for.

The big caveat? This is a long-range call, so keep that in mind. It’s promising, but not a certainty. The rest of the two weeks? Honestly, if you’ve got a kite, that might be a more interesting option given the strong cross-shore winds and lack of swell. But for surfing, hold out for that Sunday the 16th at El Confital.

Rusty.

Read more