Les Sablettes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. I’ve had a good look at what’s coming up for Les Sablettes over the next sixteen days, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a grim run. The reef and point setup here is exposed to the NW, and the optimum swell direction is also NW, so you’d think it’d be a match made in heaven. But the wind and conditions are just not playing ball, and the forecast scores are so low they’re barely registering. There’s a long gap of almost nothing worthwhile, so let’s break it down.

Right now, we’re looking at the first surf mention on Saturday, July 4th, with a little 2 ft NW swell coming in at a 12-second period – that’s a proper groundswell, good energy (combined energy of 191 – moderate). But the wind is a light cross-shore from the WSW, which is no good for this spot, and the report says “poor surf conditions.” Not a shred of hope there. Saturday afternoon is even worse with onshore NW wind. That same day, the water temp is sitting at 74°, which is 3° above the long-term average, so a touch warmer than normal for July – feels nice, but it won’t save the surf.

Then we hit Sunday, July 5th – the one, and really only, standout in this whole outlook. Sunday morning is looking glassy with a light offshore N wind at just 5 km/h (3 mph). Swell is tiny at 2 ft from the N – not the optimum direction, and the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s weak windswell (combined energy of just 65 – weak). The report calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” This is the best we’ve got, and it’s still just a dribbler. The clean, glassy surface is a major positive, but the lack of size and energy means it’s only for the keenest on a longboard. The break is consistent, so there’s always something, but with that crowd rating of “often,” expect company for the tiny waves.

From Sunday afternoon right through to Saturday, July 19th, it’s a horrible stretch. Nearly every session is marked as “poor surf conditions” with onshore or cross-onshore wind, and sizes mostly staying below 3 ft. There is a pulse of bigger swell around July 12th and 13th, with 6 ft to 6 ft NW swell and moderate energy in the 400-500 range, but every single one of those has onshore wind or cross-onshore chop. It’s a total write-off – the swell is too big for the wind to be this bad, and it’ll be a mess. July 13th morning has a “marginal” tag, but with onshore wind and that size, it’s only for the hardcore or maybe kite surfers who don’t mind the chop.

Bottom line: There is no good surf on offer for the entire 16-day window. The one bright spot is Sunday morning, July 5th, for a tiny, glassy crumble, but that’s it. The rest is a blank run of poor conditions and wrong winds. For this area, a blank stretch like this does happen. The swell direction is right, but the wind gods are frowning. Hang in there – forecasts change.

Rusty

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