Alfagar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s in store for Alfagar.

Straight up, this 16-day run is mostly a dud. We’re staring at a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and wind that’s doing us no favours. The first surf worth mentioning doesn’t pop up until the morning of Sunday the 6th, and even then it’s barely a ripple. From Thursday the 3rd through Saturday the 5th, forget it—knee-high slop with poor conditions.

Sunday the 6th morning gives us a little hope. Swell is just 1ft from the WNW, but with glassy wind and a 12-second period, the water’s dead flat. Combined energy is weak at 96, so don’t expect any power, but if you’ve got a log and some patience, it’s a chance to get wet. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.

The real standout is Monday the 7th. In the morning, we’ve got 3ft from the west with a solid 13-second period, a moderate offshore north wind, and combined energy of 299 (moderate). The afternoon, though—that’s the one. Swell hits 5ft from the WNW, 12 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze. Combined energy jumps to 968 (strong). That’s the best session of the whole forecast. The swell direction (WNW) lines up well enough with the optimum SW for this reef. Conditions will be clean. Crowds are possible, but since it’s an inconsistent spot, it might not be too packed.

Tuesday the 8th drops off fast. The morning’s surfable but ordinary with 3ft and a moderate offshore wind, but energy drops to 164. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are poor to ordinary. Then from Friday the 11th through Tuesday the 15th, it’s a dead zone—heights barely over 1ft, onshore or glassy on tiny swell.

But hold on—Wednesday the 16th morning throws a late curveball: 4ft from the NW with glassy conditions and combined energy at 216 (moderate). It’s a longer-range call, so keep an eye on it. The period’s only 8 seconds, so it’s a shorter-period swell, but the clean glass makes it rideable. Thursday the 17th morning also offers 4ft from the NW with a clean cross-off breeze and solid energy at 276, though it gets chopped out by afternoon.

Bottom line: if you want a proper session, Monday the 7th afternoon is the absolute winner. Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th mornings are worth watching, but the rest is a long flat spell. Expect to spend more time staring at the horizon than riding waves.

Rusty.

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