Alfagar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

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Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Alright, let’s be straight with you from the start. Looking at this 16-day window for the Alfagar reef, it’s a tough stretch. The first real chance to even get a board wet comes on Saturday morning, August 1st, but it’s a real borderline call. We’ve got a weak 2ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined swell energy is sitting at 115 (moderate wave energy), but the real story is the water. It’s a full 3° colder than usual for this time of year, coming in at 66°. That’s a shock to the system, so bring a thick suit.

The one saving grace for that Saturday morning is the wind. It’s glassy, coming out of the NE at just 3 mph. That means the surface will be clean as a whistle. But honestly, the swell is just too small and weak to get excited about. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

The rest of that first week is a write-off. The afternoons get chopped up by westerly cross-shore winds, and the swell stays tiny. Sunday the 2nd, Monday the 3rd, Tuesday the 4th – all poor conditions. There’s a flicker of hope on Thursday morning, August 6th, with a clean offshore wind from the NNW at 15 mph, but that 1ft swell is barely a ripple. It’s just not worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a big gap. From the afternoon of Saturday, August 8th, all the way through to the morning of Tuesday, August 12th, there’s just nothing. The wind is messy, the swell is non-existent. You’re better off fixing your dings.

The next sniff of anything decent comes on Thursday morning, August 13th. We get a 3ft WNW swell with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 184 (moderate wave energy). The wind is glassy again, from the SSE at 3 mph. This is the best of a bad bunch – clean, but the swell is still very average. The afternoon will get ruined by a cross-onshore wind though.

Friday morning, August 14th, is the real standout of the entire period. The wind is calm, dead flat, glassy. The swell is 3ft from the NW, period 8 seconds, and the energy is 156 (moderate wave energy). This is your best bet. It’s still small, but the absolute glassy conditions on a reef setup like Alfagar, which is exposed to the SW optimum, will make it as good as it’s going to get. The wave direction is a bit off the optimum, but the total lack of wind is a massive positive for a clean, small-wave session.

Saturday morning, August 15th, also offers a bit of hope with a 4ft NW swell and a strong offshore wind from the NNW at 9 mph. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and weak, but it’s clean and ridable. The afternoon will be cross-shore and messy again.

To wrap it up, there’s no real epic swell in this forecast. The biggest wave day is that 4ft on Saturday the 15th, but the short period kills it. The standout window is the Friday morning, August 14th, with glassy conditions and a small, clean 3ft swell. It’s not going to be pumping, but for a quiet, clean session on a reef, that’s your pick. For the rest, it’s a lot of waiting. Forecasts can change, but right now, don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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