Alfagar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at the run ahead for Alfagar. It’s a reef setup, and it’s inconsistent, so it’s not the kind of place that fires all the time. The water temperature is sitting at 70°, which is about 1° cooler than what’s normal for this time of year—so nothing wild, just a touch on the average side.

Honestly, the next week and a half is a bit of a drag. The first few days are a no-go: Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th have some weak swell, but the wind is all over the place, and the energy is just not there. The combined energy on Wednesday morning is only 45 (weak), and even when it bumps to 105 on Wednesday afternoon, the wind is a messy cross-off and the waves are poor. Friday the 11th through to Sunday the 14th are all small and messy, with swell heights barely scraping 2 ft and energy under 100 most of the time. You’ll be waiting a long time for a set that’s not worth the paddle.

Now, there’s a little glimmer on Monday the 14th morning. The wind is a light cross-off from the NE, and the swell is 2 ft from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds—a bit of groundswell energy. The energy is 70 (moderate). It’s “surfable but very ordinary,” so don’t expect a classic, but it’s the cleanest window in a dry spell. The offshore breeze will keep the surface nice, but it’s tiny.

The real standout, if you’re patient, is Thursday the 17th morning. The wind goes glassy—absolutely dead calm. The swell is 2 ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 109 (moderate). It’s not big, but it’s clean, and the direction is right for Alfagar’s optimum SW exposed reef. The sets will be small but lined up for the right take-off spot, and with no one likely to be out, it’s a quiet one. The afternoon goes onshore, though, so get in early.

After that, through the 18th to the 20th, it’s back to poor conditions—cross-shore winds and tiny waves. Then from the 21st of September, the swell picks up a notch: 3 ft on Monday morning, 3 ft through Tuesday, with energy hitting 219 (moderate) and even 222 (moderate) on Tuesday afternoon. But the wind is cross-onshore or onshore, making it choppy and messy. For a reef that’s already inconsistent, the quality is shot. The 23rd and 24th also have some moderate energy (114 and 104), but again, the wind is not cooperating.

So, to sum it up: the best bet in this 16-day window is Thursday the 17th morning. Glassy wind, 2 ft WNW swell, 109 energy, and it’s the one clean session. The 21st and 22nd have more size but the wind kills it. For a beginner, anything over 5 ft is too much, but nothing here gets above 3 ft, so it’s all small stuff. Long-period swells (like the 13-second one on Sunday the 13th afternoon) are groundswell, but with onshore wind and choppy conditions, it’s a waste. If you’re into kiting, the 21st and 22nd with moderate energy and cross-onshore winds might be more interesting than a paddle.

That’s the story, folks. Keep your eyes on the 17th.

Rusty

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