Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down this next stretch. It’s a waiting game for the first week, with the ocean looking pretty ordinary. We have a long stretch of small, weak surf and a solid offshore breeze that’s keeping things clean, but there’s just not a lot of push behind it. The water is sitting at 67°, which is a few degrees colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want the rubber.

The opening days are pretty flat, with the swell hovering around the 3ft on Wednesday the 5th. That’s surfable, but it’s weak—the total energy is only around 145, which is pretty weak. It’s clean, mind you, but you’ll be fighting for a grovelly one. As we go through the rest of that first week and into the weekend, the swell actually drops out a bit. We’re seeing plenty of mornings with offshore wind, but the wave heights are down around 1ft to 2ft, and the energy numbers are just tiny. It’s a real flat spell for several days.

We get a little bump on Tuesday the 11th with 3ft to 4ft, but the period is short, around 6 seconds, so it’s not going to have much power. Still a bit weak for my liking. This pattern continues through to the middle of the month—clean conditions, but small, disorganized surf.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real action is looking like it’s going to kick off on Saturday the 15th, which is a week and a half away. The swell builds to 7ft from the NNW, and the energy jumps way up to 1088—that’s strong, very strong. The wind is howling offshore at 40 km/h, which is a double-edged sword. It’ll be glassy and clean, but it’s going to be hard work paddling into these waves. This is expert territory. That’s one of the two standout windows. The period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell mix, but there’s plenty of it.

Then, after a bit of a breather, we’re looking at Thursday the 20th for the second standout. The swell is pushing 7ft to 8ft from the NNW, with energy around 606. But the key difference is the wind. It drops to a gentle 15 km/h offshore in the afternoon, which is going to make it a million times easier to paddle into and keep the face nice and clean. That afternoon looks like the best of the whole 16-day stretch. It’s still big, so it’s not for the faint-hearted, but the conditions should be far more user-friendly than that Saturday blowout.

So, the long and short of it is: get your fix of flat spells this week, save your energy, and mark your calendar for the 20th. It’s a long way off, so don’t hold me to it just yet, but that’s the one I’ve got my eye on.

Rusty.

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