Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is a tough one to call. Look, I've been staring at the charts for Beliche, and honestly, it's a bit of a heartbreaker for the next two weeks. We're looking at a real dry spell to kick things off.

For the first several days, starting Wednesday the 15th, it's flat. Tiny ankle-snappers at best, with that 1ft to 2ft WNW swell, and the combined energy is barely registering (44) – it's just not enough to push a board around. The wind is mostly cross-off or clean offshore, which is a tease, because the ocean just won't cooperate. This quiet patch is going to drag on for a while.

We finally see a pulse of size arrive on Monday the 20th. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the NNW, with the combined energy jumping to a solid 168. It's a short-period windswell though, only 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit lumpy and soft. Still, for the desperate, that morning with a fresh offshore breeze (22 mph) will be the first thing all week that actually looks like a surfable wave. But the forecast calls it "poor surf conditions" and I have to agree.

Through the rest of that week and into the next, it's a frustrating pattern. We get consistent offshore winds – a big positive – but the swell is all over the place. You'll see pulses on the 24th and 25th with 4ft to 4ft NW swells (energy around 155-162), but again, it's short-period stuff. The waves will be there, but don't expect anything with real shape or power.

The true standout, and it's a long-range call so don't hold me to it, is Thursday the 30th. That morning we get a jump to 5ft from the NNW with a combined energy of 239 – the strongest of the whole period. The wind will be a moderate cross-off from the NW at 12 mph, so it should be reasonably clean. This is the one day where Beliche might actually turn on with some proper head-high sets. But it's still a short-period swell (7 seconds), so it might not be the gem we're hoping for.

So, there you have it. A long, flat start, a few mediocre pulses in the middle, and one potentially fun day right at the end. If you've got to paddle out, the best bet on offer is that Thursday the 30th morning for the biggest, cleanest waves in the whole outlook. The rest of it is for getting a tan on the beach. The water temp is a pretty standard 69° – no surprises for July.

Stay patient, keep your eye on the charts, and maybe take the kiteboard out for the next week or so because that offshore wind and small swell is a dream for them.

Rusty.

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