Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Alright, look. I gotta be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a real slow start, and it’s going to take a while for things to get interesting. The first solid wave energy we see won’t really show up until around August 5th, and even then, it’s not much to write home about. We’re looking at a big gap of barely rideable conditions before that.

Starting off, there’s nothing doing at all. From July 29th right through to the morning of August 5th, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at tiny, weak swells and mostly cross-off or fresh offshore winds that are just too strong for the small waves on offer. The water’s cold, sitting at 66°F, which is *much colder* than it should be for this time of year – that’s a 5°F difference, so you’ll want a thick suit. The energy is low, mostly under 100 (like 106 on the 29th or 89 on the 4th), and the wave comment just reads “poor surf conditions” over and over. It’s a no-go.

Beliche is a beach and point setup, and it’s sheltered, but with a NW optimum direction we’re not getting that love. The winds are relentless – moderate to fresh breezes from the NNW all day, keeping things choppy and hard to handle.

The first little glimmer comes on the morning of Wednesday, August 5th. The swell stays small at 3ft but the energy bumps up a bit (104), and we get a moderate offshore wind from the NNW. The comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – it’s a 1 out of 10 on the vibe scale. Still, it’s the first time you might squeeze into a waist-high dribbler. The period is 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell – not much push behind it.

Thursday, August 6th morning is similar: a 2ft swell from the NW, period climbing to 10 seconds, and energy at 120. The wind is off from the NNW, so it’s clean. The waves are still marginal, but you could have a quiet session if you’re desperate. It’s still “very ordinary conditions” though.

Honestly, the only standout in the whole run – and I mean the *only* one – is the morning of Saturday, August 8th. That’s the one to circle. For that morning session at Beliche, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy jumps right up to 437, which is moderate but the best we’ll see. The comment says “expect good surf conditions” and it gets a 2 out of 10, which is the highest score in the whole 16 days. The wind is offshore from the NNW, so it’ll be clean. The swell is a bit punchy for beginners at 5ft, but it’s manageable for intermediates. The longer period at 10 seconds means better-shaped waves and more energy, but also longer lulls between sets.

After that, it drops off again. The afternoon of the 8th gets messy with cross-off winds, and from the 9th onwards it’s just too much wind and building, sloppy swell. By Monday, August 11th, the swell hits 7ft from the NNW, but the wind is a howling 25 mph – described as “strong offshore and clean but hard to paddle into.” That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not recommended. The period drops to 7-8 seconds, so it’s just a mess of wind swell.

Basically, if you want the cleanest, most decent wave, it’s that Saturday morning, August 8th. Don’t hold your breath for the rest. It’s a long dry spell before that, and a quick fade after.

That’s the picture, mate.

- Rusty

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