Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the horizon for this little corner of the coast.

Straight up, this is a long and frustrating wait for any decent surf. The next week and a half is basically a write-off for anything worth paddling out for. We’ve got a gap of nearly two weeks with nothing but tiny, weak waves or messy conditions. The swell energy is low, barely breaking 100 to start, and the wind is mostly cross-offshore, which keeps it clean but really does nothing for the wave size. Don’t bother waxing the board yet.

Now, the light at the end of the tunnel. It’s Thursday the 23rd of July when things finally look like they might come together. That morning at Beliche we’re looking at a solid 7 ft swell rolling in from the NNW. The wind shifts to offshore from the N at 12 mph, and with a period of 8 seconds, those waves will have some punch and shape. The combined energy jumps right up to 441 – that’s a serious step up in power. It’s not just clean; it’s got some push behind it. That kind of size over 5 ft is going to be too much for beginners, so this is one for the experienced crew. The crowds here are often there, so expect some company.

The afternoon of the 23rd looks even better on paper. The wind settles to a gentle offshore breeze from the NNE at 9 mph, the swell holds at 7 ft from the NNW, and the energy climbs to 476. The water temperature is sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year – no shock to the system.

But here’s the thing: Beliche is a beach and point setup, and it’s fairly consistent. For a swell of this size with that period, it’s going to be a proper groundswell event. The longer period (8 seconds is decent) and the direction lining up with its optimum (NW) means the point should handle it well and give some proper lines. The morning of Thursday 23rd is the true standout – that’s the session to circle on your calendar if you’ve got the skills. The afternoon of Friday 24th still has a good 6 ft from the NNW with a light cross-offshore breeze, but it’s not quite the peak of that run. Don’t sleep on it, but the 23rd is your best bet.

The run up to that is a real drag, so be patient. The forecasts can always shuffle a bit, but for now, you’re waiting for that Thursday the 23rd to score.

Rusty.

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