Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with the down-low on the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag for sure—nothing’s really firing, but there’s a few windows to keep an eye on. The water temp is 68°F, which is about 3°F cooler than usual for this time of year, so a thicker suit might be the play.

We start on Monday, August 31st at Beliche (a beach and point set-up). The morning has a clean 3ft swell from the northwest, period of 9 seconds, with a fresh offshore breeze from the north at 22 mph. The combined swell energy is weak (313), and the report says it’s poor surf. The afternoon picks up a bit to 6ft from the NW, same period, but that strong offshore at 25 mph makes it a battle to paddle into. It’s clean, but not user-friendly.

Tuesday, September 1st stays similar: morning has a 7ft NW swell with a 9-second period, still with that strong offshore wind. Afternoon drops to 6ft but the wind is still strong offshore. Wednesday the 2nd sees a drop to 4ft in the morning, period down to 8 seconds, and the energy is still weak (305). The afternoon is the first real glimmer—5ft from the NW, period 8 seconds, with a moderate offshore wind at 16 mph. The conditions are “surfable but very ordinary,” so you could get some waves, but don’t expect anything special.

Thursday the 3rd of September offers a clean morning with 4ft from the NNW, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and energy is very weak (150). The wind is light (6 mph), so it’s glassy, but the swell is weak. The afternoon drops to 3ft and the wind swings cross-off, so it’s not great.

Friday the 4th is small—2ft to 3ft, short period, light winds. Saturday the 5th has a bit more size (4ft) but the wind shifts cross-on in the afternoon, bringing chop. The morning is clean with an ENE breeze at 6 mph, but the swell is weak.

Sunday the 6th of September is interesting. The morning has a 4ft swell from the NNW with a long period of 12 seconds, and cross-shore wind from the east at 12 mph. That’s a longer-period groundswell, which is better for this point break, but the cross-shore creates a bit of chop. The combined energy is moderate (545), but the report calls it poor surf. The afternoon is similar but with a cross-on wind.

The next week, from the 7th to the 14th, is a long stretch of weak, short-period swells, mostly under 3ft, with a mix of offshore and cross-off winds. The best of that lot is probably the 7th of September morning with 3ft from the NW and a gentle offshore, or the 14th September morning with 3ft and a weak NW swell. Nothing to write home about.

Then, on the 15th of September, things get a bit more interesting. Tuesday morning brings a solid 7ft swell from the NW with a long period of 14 seconds, and a light cross-shore wind from the east at 6 mph. The combined energy is strong (1574), so there’s plenty of power. The afternoon holds 6ft from the same direction, but the wind shifts to a cross-on from the SE, making it choppy. This is the standout swell of the window, but it’s also a bit of a caveat—that 14-second period is a long groundswell, which can make the waves break a bit too straight on a beach break like this, so it’s really best for the point or reef sections. The wind is light, so it’s clean in the morning, but the crowds are often here, so you’ll have company. This is definitely for the more experienced surfers, as 7ft is on the bigger side.

Overall, the first week is a grind with small, weak, or wind-affected surf. The real window is the 15th of September, which is promising but still a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. For now, the best bet is to wait for that Tuesday morning session.

Rusty.

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