Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long, hard look at what’s coming down the pipeline for the next couple of weeks. I’ve got to be straight with you—this stretch is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a massive gap at the start with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for, and it stays that way for a long time.

The first day with any surf on offer is Saturday, August 1st, but even then, the conditions are just plain ugly. The combined energy jumps up to a moderate 196, with a 4ft swell from the NNW, but that’s a short-period windswell at just 6 seconds. The wind is a fresh offshore from the NNW at 19 mph, which sounds good in theory, but the wave comment says it all—poor surf conditions. The water temp is a very unusual 66°F, which is 5° colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a thick suit if you’re even thinking about it.

After that, the pattern just repeats. We get pulses of small swell, but the wind stays strong and cross-off, with no real quality. The energy fluctuates, but the scores are zero across the board. The best-looking bump on the radar is the morning of Friday, August 7th, with a 4ft swell from the WNW at 8 seconds, and a fresh offshore wind. The energy is a moderate 192, but again, the conditions are rated as poor. It’s the same story again on Saturday, August 8th: 5ft of NW swell, but the period is only 7 seconds, and it’s a messy, poor setup.

Honestly, there is not a single standout session in this entire 16-day window. The strongest pulses of swell happen, but the wind is always too strong, and the quality is never there. The only break on the list is Beliche, a beach and point setup that’s sheltered from the NW. It’s fairly consistent, but the crowds are often there, and the wind is always blowing from the north, which is offshore for this spot. The problem is, that offshore wind is too strong, and the swell is never clean enough to make it worth the drive. For the advanced crew, the 5ft on the 7th and 8th of August might be a challenge, but it’s not a good one. The short period means it’ll be a lumpy, walled-up mess.

What we’ve got here is a lot of wind and a lot of white water. If you’re a kitesurfer, some of these afternoons with the cross-off wind and 3ft+ of weak swell might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a tough run. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a blank run that feels normal for the area. Keep your gear ready, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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