Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, givin’ it to you straight. This is gonna be a tough 16 days, no two ways about it. The models are showin’ a whole lot of nothin’ for the most part.

First up, Beliche, a beach and point that’s fairly consistent, but the forecast is a real letdown. The ocean is flat. We’re startin’ Friday morning with some clouds and a fresh north wind blowin’ offshore at 22 mph, which is clean, but the swell is a tiny 1 foot from the WNW with a 9-second period. The combined energy of all swells here is only 24 (weak). Water temp is 66°, which is about 4° colder than normal for this time of year—much colder than average, so you’ll feel that.

We’re lookin’ at a big gap of days. From Friday the 31st of July right through to the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August, it’s mostly poor surf conditions or flat. You’ll see tiny 1 to 2 foot waves with moderate offshore winds, but the energy is pathetic. The best of this early run is Saturday morning, August 1st, with a 2 foot swell from the west, 9-second period, and clear skies with a moderate NNW offshore breeze. The energy hits 156 (moderate), and it’s just “surfable but very ordinary.” That’s the peak of the first week, and it’s not sayin’ much.

The second week starts to show a bit more life, but the quality is still missin’. From Tuesday the 4th of August morning, we get a 3 foot WNW swell, 9 seconds, with 142 energy (moderate). Still, it’s described as ordinary. The wind stays mostly cross-off or fresh offshore, so it’s clean, but the waves are just… meh. By Saturday the 8th of August morning, we see the swell push up to 4 feet from the NW, 8-second period, with a fresh offshore breeze at 22 mph. The energy jumps to 306 (strong), but the wave comment still says “poor surf conditions.” That’s the theme.

The standout in the whole 16-day window, if you can call it that, is around Sunday the 9th of August through Tuesday the 11th of August. The swell holds around 4 to 5 feet from the NW, with periods of 6 to 8 seconds. The energy is strong, hittin’ 322 on Sunday morning and 248 on Tuesday morning. The wind is offshore—fresh N or NNW breezes—so it’ll be clean. But here’s the truth: the swell is short period (6-8 seconds) and a bit lumpy, and the wave comment never says “good.” It’s just poor conditions with energy. This is more of a kite-surfing setup if you ask me—strong wind, clean, but the waves are messy and weak for a paddle surfer.

For the real experts, Thursday the 13th of August morning sees a 6 foot swell from the NNW at 7 seconds, with 370 energy (strong) and a fresh offshore breeze. That’s the biggest swell in the run, but at 6 feet, it’s gettin’ into the “too big for beginners” territory, and the period is short, so it’ll be a bit of a washing machine. The afternoon gets a 6 foot swell from the NW, 7 seconds, 352 energy, but the wind goes cross-off. It’s still poor.

The final days, from the 14th to the 15th of August, drop off fast. Back to 2 feet and weak energy.

I’m not gonna lie—there’s no epic session in this run. The best bet is to keep an eye on the 8th to 11th of August for the strongest energy, but don’t expect perfection. The crowds at Beliche are often around, so that’s a factor. For now, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, though.

Rusty.

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