Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's happening at Beliche.

First off, that water temp is sitting at 66.6°F which is actually a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want to grab a slightly thicker suit if you're sensitive to it.

To be brutally honest, the outlook for the next week or so is pretty grim. We’ve got a real dead spell on our hands. From now through the end of July and into the very start of August, there's almost nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is small, weak, and the conditions are just ordinary. You'll see waist-high slop at best, with combined swell energy hanging out in the low hundreds, like 95 or 158 – that's weak sauce. It's clean enough at times with offshore wind, but the waves just don't have any push.

Then we hit a promising shift. The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday morning, August 3rd. That's when things finally start to fire up. We get a jump in swell to a solid 6.2ft from the NW, with combined energy ramping up to 497 (moderate). The wind is offshore from the NNW, so expect clean faces. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit fat and a little sectiony, but it's the first proper surf in a long stretch of nothing.

The standout of the entire 16-day window is Tuesday morning, August 4th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The swell builds to a nice 7.2ft from the NNW, with a massive combined energy of 635. That's serious, moderate-to-strong energy. Winds are offshore from the N, keeping it clean. At 7.2ft, this is getting into advanced territory, so beginners should sit this one out. The period is still a short 8 seconds, so while it’ll be powerful, it might close out a bit at the beach. For the more experienced crew, this is the best session on offer – solid, punchy waves and clean conditions.

After that, the swell slowly backs off through the rest of the week, but it stays surfable with clean offshore mornings. The wind does get gnarly by Friday the 7th, hitting 25 mph, making it a mission to paddle out even if it's clean.

Bottom line: suffer through the flat spell, get excited for the 3rd, and go all in on the morning of the 4th. That's your window.

Read more