Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Beliche over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a real struggle. We’re looking at a dry spell for the first week. From Friday the 10th right through to Thursday the 17th of July, it’s pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly around 0.7 ft to 2 ft, and the energy is weak (54 to just 7). Even when the wind goes offshore, like on Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, there’s just not enough water moving to paddle for. It’s frustrating because the conditions look clean, but you’d be fighting for a ripple.

The real story starts to build from Saturday the 18th of July. The island wakes up. A solid pulse of NNW swell pushes in, hitting 6 ft by Saturday morning with a combined energy of 330 (moderate). The wind is a fresh offshore from the NNW at 22 mph, which means clean, lined-up waves, but that’s a strong breeze. By Saturday afternoon, it’s 7 ft with 430 energy, and it keeps climbing. Sunday the 19th sees 7 ft to 8 ft and energy jumping to 670 – this is where it gets serious. Monday the 20th holds around 6 ft to 6 ft, and Tuesday the 21st brings another kick with 6 ft and energy hitting 601.

Now, the real standout of the whole run looks like Saturday the 25th of July. The morning shows a solid 7 ft of NNW swell, energy of 764 (strong), and the wind is offshore from the NNW at 16 mph. That’s *moderate offshore and clean* – prime conditions. The water temp is around 70°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. The swell direction is straight out of the NNW, bang on the optimum for Beliche. This is a big swell though – over 8 ft in the afternoon, so this is expert territory. The waves will be powerful and lined up, but the period is short (8 seconds), so it’ll be a bit of a walled-up, punchy affair. Still, for a big wave crew, this is the best on offer.

Earlier in the week, Sunday the 18th and Monday the 19th are also pumping, but the wind is stronger (22-25 mph), which makes it gnarly. The Saturday the 25th has the best wind-to-swell ratio.

The final few days of the run, from the 22nd to the 24th, are a bit of a mixed bag. The swell sticks around but the wind shifts onshore or cross-shore, messing with the surface. The 24th morning has clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s still a big swell (6 ft) and the energy is moderate.

Honestly, if you’re a capable surfer, mark your calendar for the 25th of July. That’s the one. For the rest of us, the first week is a waiting game, and the second week requires a bit of a paddle and a lot of respect for the size.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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