Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Beliche over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ve got to tell you – this is a rough stretch. For a break that’s normally fairly consistent, the whole 16‑day window is looking pretty bleak. There are no real good surf options on offer. From now right through to the end of July, the waves are just too weak and the wind too strong for any kind of quality session.

First up, the water’s sitting at 69°F with a tiny anomaly of –0.2°F, so it’s pretty average for the time of year – nothing to complain about there. But the swell? Tiny. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th have a measly 1 ft of WNW swell with a short 9‑second period. Light to moderate cross‑off winds keep it clean but there’s just no power – combined energy (44) is barely a whisper. Friday through to the following Wednesday (17th to 24th) it gets even smaller – 0.7–1 ft, period dropping to 7–8 seconds, and the wind picks up to a fresh to strong offshore breeze. The energy numbers drop into the single digits or low teens – that’s basically flat. Not worth paddling out.

Now, there is a little pulse around the 25th and 26th – the swell jumps to 5–8 ft from the NW, period still short at 7–8 seconds, and combined energy hits 288–881 (moderate to strong). But don’t get excited. The wind is howling at 19–25 mph from the NNW, mostly cross‑off or strong offshore. At this size and with that wind, Beliche would be a messy, blown‑out mess – more of a kite‑surf show than a paddle session. And for the average surfer, over 5 ft is already pushing it; at 8 ft it’s expert territory. But even the experts would struggle with the chop.

The only faint glimmer comes right at the tail end. On Monday 27th morning, we get a 7 ft NNW swell with moderate offshore wind – that’s clean but the energy is 550, and the forecast says “marginal”. It’s a maybe. The real bright spot – if you can call it that – is Thursday 30th morning. A 6 ft NNW swell, period 8 seconds, offshore wind from the NNW at 16 mph, and combined energy of 487. The forecast actually says “expect good surf conditions” – that’s the one time we get a positivity stamp. It’s still a beach‑and‑point break, so with that short period it’ll be a bit walled‑up, but if you’re desperate, that’s your best bet. Keep in mind it’s 15 days out, so take it with a pinch of salt.

Overall, this is a long dry spell. For a spot that’s usually fairly consistent, this is a bummer. But forecasts can change – I wouldn’t write off the whole month just yet. Keep an eye on that 30th morning.

Rusty.

Read more