Beliche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. It's Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you – this is one of those outlooks where you might wanna pick up a new hobby for a while. We've got a 16-day window, and for the vast majority of it, the surf is just not there. This is a long, quiet stretch for the Algarve.

Beliche’s a beautiful spot, a beach and point set-up that’s normally got some charm, but for almost two full weeks, it’s a no-go. The water is sitting right around 69°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, nothing weird there. The problem is that these small, weak swells (combined energy struggling, barely hitting 30 or so) just aren't doing anything. Winds are mostly strong and fresh out of the NNW, which is offshore for Beliche, but without any real swell to work with, it's just a clean, flat ocean. You'll get the odd day like the 22nd of July, where we see a tiny bump to 2ft to 3ft, but with a period of just 6 seconds, that’s all chop and close-outs. Not worth the wetsuit.

You’re looking at a real dry spell from the 16th right through to the morning of the 28th of July. That's nearly two weeks of nothing, just wind and clean, flat water.

Okay, let's talk about the one bright spot. It’s a long way out, so hold your horses, but on the 28th of July, things finally shift. The Tuesday morning shows a pulse of new swell: 4ft from the NNW, with a combined energy that finally has some punch to it at 156. The afternoon cleans up a bit more, with the swell easing to 3ft but the energy is still solid at 166. The wind swings to a moderate N breeze, holding offshore, making for some clean, surfable waves. It's not a massive day, but after two weeks of flatness, it's the best we've got. It’s beginner-friendly size, under 5ft, so it’s a good one to get back into the groove.

After that, it gets pretty average again until the very end of the month. On the 31st of July, Friday, the models are hinting at something bigger. The morning shows 5ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy jumps right up to 541. The wind is a strong N breeze at 25 mph, blowing straight offshore. That’s a lot of power and it will be glassy, but at that size with that much wind, it’ll be a battle to get out and the paddle will be a mission. By the afternoon, it pushes up to 5ft (energy at 620) and the wind backs off to a fresh 19 mph from the NNW. This is the only real potential standout of the whole period, but we are talking about a forecast nine days away, so don't start planning your trip around it. It’s on the radar, but it's a long-range call. If it comes together, Beliche could be firing for the few who are willing to work for it.

But for the bulk of the next two weeks, save your petrol and your energy.

Rusty.

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