Supertubos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Supertubos and, honestly, it’s a tough stretch. We’ve got a long, frustrating gap at the start. The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until the morning of Thursday, 31 July. That’s nearly a week away. The good news is that once we get there, the conditions are actually pretty special for a couple of sessions.

The first week is a write-off. From Saturday, 25 July right through to the afternoon of Wednesday, 30 July, it’s a total desert. The wind is mostly a cross-offshore from the north, but the swell is tiny, barely a ripple. You’ll see a few 1.0 ft waves, but the combined energy is pathetic – in the teens and twenties (20-30). It’s just not worth the wax.

Then, on the morning of Thursday, 31 July, we finally get a pulse. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the west-northwest with a period of 10 seconds, giving a combined energy of 240 (moderate). The real kicker is the wind: glassy. Dead calm. The surf will be clean, but the wave comment says “very ordinary conditions,” so don’t expect perfection. The crowd factor at Supertubos is “sometimes,” so you might have a few friends out, but it’s not a circus.

Friday, 1 August, morning is probably the best on offer. The swell holds at 4 ft from the west-northwest, period 9 seconds, combined energy of 253 (moderate). And again, glassy. That’s a rare and beautiful thing. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing wild. For a beach and reef break, those clean conditions are a massive positive. The waves will be rideable, but remember, this is Supertubos – it’s an advanced wave. At 4 ft, it’s fine for confident surfers, but beginners might find it a bit much.

After that, the swell fades again. The rest of the second week into early August is a mix of tiny 1.0 ft to 2 ft waves and cross-offshore winds. The Thursday morning, 7 August, shows a sniff of 2 ft with clean cross-offshore wind, but the energy is only 54 (weak). It’s not a standout.

If you’re after a wave, make the call for the morning of Thursday, 31 July, or Friday, 1 August. The glassy mornings are the only windows. The long-range stuff around Sunday, 9 August, shows a 5 ft pulse from the northwest, but with a short 8-second period and cross-shore wind, it’s a gamble. For now, keep your eyes on the first two days of August.

Rusty.

Read more