Supertubos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I'm looking at the forecast for Supertubos over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I'm gonna be honest with you—it's a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of barely any swell, so you might want to save the wax for later.

We kick things off with a pretty flat spell. From Friday, July 3rd all the way through Thursday the 16th, it’s a saga of tiny waves. For days on end we're seeing nothing but ankle-biters, with swell heights hanging around 0.3 ft to 2 ft. The wave energy is weak, mostly under 100 (the combined energy is as low as 10). There are some nice clean mornings with light offshore winds from the ENE or N, which is a real tease, but there's just no power behind it. The wind stays mostly cross-off or glassy through the first week, but it doesn't matter when there's no swell to ride. Even on the 10th of July when we see a little lift to 2 ft and the energy creeps up to 108, the score is a 1 out of 10 – surfable, but very ordinary.

Then, things start to get more interesting, but it's a slow burn. Around the 11th and 12th of July, the swell picks up to 3 ft from the WNW, with the combined energy climbing into the 200s (252 and 244). But the wind is up too, a solid 16 mph from the NNW, and onshore enough at Supertubos to keep the score at 0. It's clean-looking but the power is just not aligning right for a good wave.

Now, here's the one bright spot on the horizon, and it's a bit of a standout if you can wait. For Monday the 13th of July, we see a proper long-period groundswell rolling in. The swell from the NW has a period of 14 seconds in the morning, stretching to 12 seconds in the afternoon, a sign of real deep-ocean energy. The swell height hits 3 ft to 4 ft, and the combined energy jumps to 369 in the morning and 456 in the afternoon – that's moderate-to-strong wave energy. The wind is offshore, cross-off from the NNW at 9 to 12 mph, so conditions should be clean. However, it's still scoring a 1 out of 10, which is described as "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." Keep an eye on the tide charts if you’re keen, but this is the best on offer in the whole window. For a break like Supertubos (Portugal), that long-period NW swell will put some proper shape on the wave, but the long period can make it a bit straight at a beach/reef setup like this.

After that, we fade back into smaller stuff and shifting winds right through to the end of the outlook on the 18th, with poor conditions returning.

So, my call is this: there isn't a great day for paddling here for a while. The Monday the 13th of July is your only real shot at something with a bit of life. If you’re a beginner, that 3 ft to 4 ft is fine, but the longer period will pack a punch. For the bigger crew, that swell is not big enough for you. Everything else is either flat or messy.

Keep your sticks waxed, check the tides on that Monday, and hope for a shift.

Rusty.

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