Supertubos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. The next 16 days are looking pretty bleak for any decent surf. We've got a long stretch of weak, unexciting swell and inconsistent conditions. There's a real gap of over a week with nothing worthwhile. The only time things even look like they're waking up is right at the very end of the forecast period, and even then, it's far from a guarantee.

The water at Supertubos is sitting at 65°, which is a bit colder than we'd expect for this time of year – a solid degree cooler than normal.

Let's take it day by day. From Thursday the 9th of July right through to the weekend of the 19th, it's a wasteland. We're talking tiny swell, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, with weak energy readings – mostly under 100 (71, 65, 65 and so on) – and a lot of cross-offshore and onshore winds mixing things up. The waves are there, but they're just not offering anything rideable. It's a solid week and a half of "poor surf conditions" – the kind of time you'd rather be doing something else.

The first real flicker of life comes on Monday the 20th of July morning. The forecast bumps up to 5ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 250 (moderate). But the report still says "poor surf conditions". The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NNW, but the quality just isn't there. It's a tease.

The only standout that might be worth a look is Supertubos itself, but it's a long way off. The period from Thursday the 23rd of July into Friday the 24th shows the most promise. We're seeing a consistent 3ft to 4ft of NW swell, running at 8 seconds. The energy is building (147 and 179), and the wind is a clean, solid cross-offshore from the N/NNW at 15-18 mph. This is the only time the machine looks like it could turn on.

But, and it's a big but, this is over a week away. The forecast is promising but less certain. The 4ft size is manageable for intermediates, but the short period (8 seconds) means it won't have the punch of a groundswell. It's a classic Supertubos setup – a beach and reef break that's fairly consistent, but it can get crowded. On a morning like that, with clean offshore wind, it could be fun, but I wouldn't be planning a trip around it just yet. The rest of the window is a write-off. This area just isn't firing.

Rusty.

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