Supertubos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening in the water.

Right now, it’s dead calm. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak swell with dodgy winds through the start of the period. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd have barely a ripple – waves under 2 feet, poor conditions, combined energy is weak (91 at best, then dropping to 28). The water temp is about 68°, which is normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Friday the 4th afternoon shows a little bump – about 2 feet from the WNW at a short 8 seconds. The wind finally goes light offshore from the NE, making it clean, but it’s still “ordinary.” Not worth getting wet for.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off – onshore wind, risk of storms, only 3 feet of messy stuff. Sunday the 6th is a bit cleaner with NNW cross-off winds and 4 feet of NW swell at 9 seconds. Combined energy climbs to 184, but it’s still just ordinary. You might snag a couple, but don’t expect much.

Now, Monday the 7th morning is the first real standout. Swell hits 5 feet from the NW with a 12-second period – that’s groundswell. Combined energy jumps to 689 (moderate-strong). Wind is cross-off from the north at 18 mph. For Supertubos, this is the call. The crowd can be a problem sometimes, so plan accordingly. Swell direction matches the optimum SW, and the reef should be working. This one is for the advanced crew – 5 feet is getting big for beginners.

After that, it’s a desert. From Tuesday the 8th through Saturday the 12th, we’ve got almost nothing – flat or tiny 0.3-foot leftovers. That’s a 6-day gap. Winds are strong from the north (18–22 mph), so kite surfers might have a blast, but for paddle surfing, it’s a bust.

Sunday the 13th stays small – 2 feet – glassy in the morning, but not enough. The real return is Monday the 14th morning. We get 2 feet of NW swell at a long 13 seconds, combined energy of 277 (moderate), and calm, glassy winds. The comment says “expect good surf conditions” – that’s a solid 2 out of 10 in this drought. This is your second standout. Small, but the long period and glass will make the lines clean. The afternoon gets bigger at 4 feet with a 12-second period but a cross-shore wind, so stick to the morning.

Tuesday the 15th morning keeps it going – 4 feet from the NW at 11 seconds, light offshore from the NNE, clean, with 276 energy. Wednesday the 16th morning is similar – 4 feet, 11 seconds, light offshore, 331 energy, good conditions. That whole stretch from the 14th to the 16th mornings is your best window. By Thursday the 17th, it fades to 3 feet.

For the long-range, the 14th to 16th is promising but not locked in – forecasts can flip. If it holds, it’s worth the trip.

So here’s the bottom line: the standout is Monday the 7th morning (5 feet, NW, 12s, cross-off). The second best is Monday the 14th morning (2 feet, NW, 13s, glassy). Everything else is flat or marginal. Keep an eye on the 14th.

Rusty.

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