Supertubos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a tough watch for surf around here. We’ve got a long, dry spell of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions, so don’t get your hopes up for any quick sessions. The good news is, there’s a glimmer of life showing up toward the end of the run, but you’ll need patience.

The first proper surf we see is a tiny pulse on Friday the 14th of August. Supertubos has a 3 ft swell from the WNW, but it’s pretty weak with only 127 units of combined energy. The wind’s a fresh cross-offshore from the NNW at 19 mph, which keeps the surface clean, but the swell is just too small and short-period (9 seconds) to get excited about. It’s a poor session, really.

Then we hit a dead zone. From Saturday the 15th right through to Tuesday the 25th of August, we’re looking at flat to almost flat conditions. Swell heights barely reach 0.3 ft to 2 ft, energy readings are pitifully low (often under 50), and the wind is mostly cross or onshore, with a few glassy mornings but nothing to surf. The water temperature is sitting around 68°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Things start to stir on Wednesday the 26th of August. The swell picks up to 5 ft from the NW with a period of 12 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 634 – that’s moderate energy. But the wind is a fresh cross-offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, and it’s still only a marginal forecast. Not our best day.

Thursday the 27th of August looks a bit more promising. In the morning, we get 4 ft of NW swell (period 10 seconds, energy 346), with glassy conditions thanks to a light NNE breeze at 3 mph. The break is clean, but the swell’s still a bit short-period and not super consistent. The afternoon holds up with 4 ft swell and a gentle cross-offshore wind, keeping it clean. This is the best we’ve seen in a while, but it’s still only a 2-out-of-10 kind of day.

Now, the standout – and it’s a long way off – is Saturday the 29th of August. The morning brings a solid 7 ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 12 seconds and a massive 1272 units of combined energy. That’s strong wave energy, and it’ll be a proper groundswell. The wind is light from the NW at 6 mph, creating a light cross-shore with small ripples – not glassy, but not terrible. This swell is big enough for experts only, and at Supertubos, which is a beach and reef setup, it could get heavy. The afternoon drops to 6 ft, but the wind shifts to a gentle cross-onshore, making it a bit choppier. If you’re an advanced surfer, keep an eye on the 29th, but remember, it’s nearly two weeks out, so the forecast could change.

Overall, this is a slow period. The first real hope is Thursday the 27th, and the best chance of a proper wave is Saturday the 29th. Hang in there, and check back closer to the day.

Rusty.

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