Baleal Sul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this out there. Look, it’s been a bit of a flat, frustrating stretch out here at Baleal Sul (Baleal-Sul). For the first week, we’ve got plenty of wind but the swell just isn’t doing us any favors. On Saturday the 9th, we’re looking at tiny 3 ft waves with a short 7-second period, blown out by onshore winds. It’s messy, it’s weak, and honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for. The energy is low too, with combined energy around 134. It’s a blank run.

That pattern sticks with us for the next few days. We’ve got onshore winds from the North and Northwest, keeping the surface choppy. Even though the swell bumps up a touch, the quality is poor. Sunday the 16th brings a bit more size, 7 ft from the NNW, but the wind is still on it. It’s a lot of water moving but it’s going to be a mess—not the clean, lined-up waves we want. The water’s running about average for this time of year at around 68°, no real surprise there.

The real story, the only one that matters, is the wave we can see on the horizon for Friday the 21st. After a week of mediocrity, the energy charts blow up. We’re talking about a serious jump in the combined energy, hitting a strong 1455. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the NNW with a 9-second period. That’s proper size, real push behind it. And the wind, well, it goes glassy in the morning—absolutely dead calm. That is the window. If you can get out there early on the 21st, that’s your standout session. Baleal Sul is a sheltered spot, and this northwest groundswell is exactly what it wants, even if it doesn’t love the period. It’s a point break, so this longer-period stuff will wrap in nicely. It’s going to be big, 8 ft, so it’s not for the timid. This one’s for the crew that knows what they’re doing.

The afternoon on the 21st sees a bit of cross-onshore wind pick up, and we start to lose the magic. Then Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, the Northerly winds crank up to 22-25 mph. That’s not surfing weather, that’s just messy. You’re battling wind and chop, and the swell gets a bit disorganized. It’ll be big, but it’ll be sloppy. That stretch is going to be more of a fight than a glide.

So, here’s the deal: the first week is a write-off. Do something else. Then, keep Friday the 21st circled on the calendar. That morning glass-off with 8 ft NNW swell is our one true standout. Don't sleep on it. This is promising, but with it being a week out, keep an eye on the forecasts. It could easily shift, but the combo of size and clean conditions is too good to ignore. A rare and special day for Baleal Sul.

Rusty.

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