Baleal Sul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me have a look at what we’ve got for the Baleal Sul area.

Well, mate, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a decent paddle at Baleal Sul. There’s a long stretch where you’re better off leaving the board in the car.

We kick off Sunday the 12th with tiny 2ft swell from the NW, period a weak 9 seconds, and it’s cross-shore from the WSW at 12 mph. The water’s sitting at 63°F, which is a solid 4°F colder than it should be for this time of year – you’ll feel that chill. The combined wave energy is a weak 154, and it’s all looking like poor surf. That’s the start of a real dry spell.

From Monday the 13th right through to Friday the 17th, it’s a total washout. Swell heights barely nudge above 3ft, periods are short and weak, winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore from the NW, and the scores are all zero. The energy readings are all below 100, just sad little numbers. Don’t bother.

Saturday the 18th brings a bump – 6ft from the NNW with a 7-second period and moderate wave energy of 312 – but it’s straight onshore wind at 12 mph, choppy, and still rated poor. Sunday the 19th is similar but bigger at 8ft, energy climbing to 623, but again, all onshore wind. Not surfable.

Now, here’s where we get a tiny glimmer. On Monday the 20th of July, the swell jumps to 10ft from the NNW with a 9-second period and *strong* wave energy of 1505. The morning has light onshore breeze at 6 mph, and it’s the first time we see a "marginal" rating – a 1 out of 10. Now, 10ft waves are expert territory, and with onshore wind, it’s going to be a messy, powerful closeout. For most surfers, this is a look and leave session. It’s still not good.

Tuesday the 21st sees 8ft from the NNW, 9-second period, strong energy at 1223 – again marginal in the morning with light wind, but then the wind picks up and the afternoon is back to poor.

Wednesday the 22nd drops to 7ft, still onshore, still poor. Through Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th it fades back to under 3ft with weak energy. A couple of days in the 2-2ft range with offshore winds on the 25th and 26th? No, the wind is cross-on or onshore, and the swell is tiny.

Then, there’s a late possibility on Monday the 27th of July. The swell builds to 6ft from the NW with a long 11-second period, energy of 936. That’s groundswell, and it has potential for shape at a sheltered spot like Baleal Sul – but the wind is still onshore from the N at 12 mph, and it’s rated poor. By the afternoon it’s 7ft, 12-second period, energy a massive 1722 – that’s very strong energy and very long period. But the wind is still onshore. That much energy with onshore wind is just a washing machine. It would be a punchy, lumpy mess, and with that period, it’ll be straight and fast at this beach setup.

Honest verdict: There is no standout session in this 16-day outlook. The best shot is probably Monday the 20th in the morning for experts only, if you’re desperate and don’t mind sloppy, powerful waves. Or maybe Monday the 27th if you want to gamble on the wind laying down – but as it stands, the wind is wrong. For the rest of us, it’s a two-week blank. Don’t hold your breath.

Stay patient, mate. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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