Baleal Sul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s cooking at Baleal Sul.

Well, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are a write-off. There isn’t a single session in the window that’s worth paddling out for. The whole forecast is marked as poor surf conditions, and honestly, the data backs that up. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with no real standouts on the horizon.

From Wednesday the 29th of July right through to Thursday the 13th of August, it’s just one flat, wind-affected story after another. The swell is tiny for the most part, with heights mostly between 1 ft and 4 ft, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, chopping everything up. Even when the swell does try to push a bit – like on Sunday the 9th of August when we see a 5 ft to 6 ft NNW swell – the wind is smashing it onshore at 12 to 16 mph, making it a messy, lumpy mess. The combined energy gets up to 275 (moderate) and even 358 (moderate) on that Sunday, but with that wind, it’s just not surfable.

The real kicker comes on Monday the 10th of August. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the NNW with a combined energy of 885 (strong), but the wind is howling onshore at 22 to 25 mph. That’s not surfable for a paddle board; that’s a kite-surfing setup if you’re into that kind of thing. Even for the experts, that’s a brutal, blown-out mess.

The water temp is about 68°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re sitting on the beach.

Look, Baleal Sul is a sheltered beginner spot that works best with a W swell and offshore SSE winds. The wind here is almost never from the right direction. The swell direction is mostly from the NNW or NW, which isn’t what this spot wants. The consistency is listed as “inconsistent,” so a blank run like this isn’t totally out of the ordinary.

There’s nothing to recommend. Not a single highlight. The forecast can always change, but for now, save your wax and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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