Surf Forecasts:
Baleal Sul surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, NNW swell with 146 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baleal Sul this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baleal Sul in the next 16 days are 0.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about Baleal Sul. This is a tough stretch, mate. Straight up, the next two weeks are looking pretty grim for any kind of decent paddle session. The data shows a long run of poor surf conditions, with barely a single window that’s worth getting excited about. We’re talking about a solid stretch of over a week with nothing to recommend.
The first real chance of something that might be rideable doesn’t show up until Wednesday the 30th of July. That morning, you’ve got a 7ft swell rolling in from the NNW with a period of 7 seconds. The wind is light and cross-shore from the ENE, which is about the only clean part of the picture. The wave energy is strong at 508, but it’s paired with a marginal surf forecast. The swell is a bit short-period, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. Baleal Sul is a beginner spot and is inconsistent, so this isn’t going to be a classic day. Water temp is about average for the time of year, so no need for a thick wetsuit.
Before that, from the 15th all the way through to the 29th, it’s a total write-off. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the scores are all zeros. It’s just not worth paddling out. The 20th has a little bump to 3ft, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, so it’s a no-go. The 28th and 29th see the swell building to 4ft and 6ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, blowing 30 km/h, making it lumpy and ugly. The 29th afternoon has a 6ft swell with 526 energy, but it’s blown out by a fresh onshore wind. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, the only real "standout" is Wednesday the 30th of July, but it’s a weak one. A 7ft swell with light wind and a low score is not a classic. For a sheltered spot that needs a W swell, the NW/NNW direction isn’t ideal. The water is a bit colder than normal, sitting at 64°, but that’s not a huge deal.
Honestly, keep your board in the car and wait for a better forecast. It tends not to stay this poor for long, but for now, it’s a hard pass.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NW 9 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 36 | 37 | 40 | 30 | 35 | 110 | 111 | 86 | 67 | 37 | 146 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross | cross | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:21PM3.75m | 4:52AM3.41m | 5:08PM3.75m | 5:38AM3.36m | 5:54PM3.68m | 6:23AM3.26m | 6:39PM3.53m | 7:09AM3.12m | 7:25PM3.33m | 7:56AM2.97m | 8:14PM3.11m | 8:48AM2.83m | 9:09PM2.89m | 9:47AM2.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:40PM0.48m | 10:50AM0.68m | 11:27PM0.52m | 11:34AM0.74m | 00:13AM0.62m | 12:19PM0.85m | 00:58AM0.78m | 1:05PM1.00m | 1:45AM0.98m | 1:54PM1.18m | 2:35AM1.18m | 2:50PM1.35m | 3:30AM1.35m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 |
 | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:59 | — | 8:59 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | W 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 |
| kJ | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 37 | 40 | 30 | 35 | 10 | 111 | 86 | 67 | 36 | 146 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | N 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | SW 5 | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | N 8 | WNW 12 | NW 11 | NW 10 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 29 | 14 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 36 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | N 6 | N 6 | SW 11 | NW 6 | SW 6 | — | W 21 | — | SW 19 | NW 11 | W 9 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | 9 | — | 15 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 37 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | — | — | W 5 | — | NW 5 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | — | WNW 5 | W 4 | — | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 10 | — | — | 8 | — | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 36 | — | 7 | 9 | — | 110 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 442 | 74 | 998 | 414 | 76 | 622 | 1399 | 441 | 973 | 507 | 167 | 507 | 406 | 182 | 102 | 76 | 4 | 130 | 364 | 4 | 66 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Peniche | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baleal Sul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baleal Sul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baleal Sul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baleal Sul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baleal Sul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baleal Sul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baleal Sul is 2 km (1 miles) from Peniche. If you plan a holiday in Peniche, look for hotels and other accommodation in Peniche. Peniche has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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