Surf Forecasts:
Baleal Sul surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, NNW swell with 151 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baleal Sul this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baleal Sul in the next 16 days are 1.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, lookin' at the charts for Baleal Sul. Gotta be straight with you, the next two weeks are a real mixed bag. We're kickin' off with a flat spell that's hard to ignore, and the first real chance of anything decent is a long way off. Let's get into it.
First up, the water temp is a bit nippy for this time of year, about 65°, which is a degree or so cooler than normal. You'll want a spring suit, maybe a light hood if you're feeling the cold.
The outlook starts with a whole lot of nothing. From Thursday the 16th right through to Saturday the 26th of July, the surf is just... poor. It's a full ten days of tiny, weak waves and onshore winds. The swell energy is barely a whisper (mostly under 200), and the fetch is all wrong. You're looking at ankle to knee-high mush at best, and even then it's choppy and messy. Honestly, unless you're keen for a paddle and a tan, leave the board at home.
Things start to get interesting around July 27th. The morning of Monday the 27th is the one to circle on the calendar. Swell jumps up to 10ft from the NNW, with a moderate 9-second period. The energy is a massive 1588 (strong). The real kicker? The wind is glassy, dead calm from the SSW. For a sheltered spot like Baleal Sul, that's about as good as it gets for conditions. The waves will be big and clean. However, at 10ft, this is expert territory only. If you're not comfortable on a big wave, this is a spectator sport. The afternoon looks to get messy as the wind swings onshore, so that morning window is the key.
The rest of the second week, from the 28th to the 31st, is a letdown. The swell stays in the 6ft to 8ft range, but it's hammered by strong onshore winds (15-22 mph). The wave quality goes straight in the bin. The energy is there (up to 909), but it'll be a blown-out, bumpy mess. Not worth the paddle out.
So, the standout? Without a doubt, it's the morning of the 27th of July. That's your one-shot window for a proper session, and it's a big one. But it's a long way off, and the rest of the two weeks is a write-off. Get your chores done and be ready for that Monday.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | N 8 | N 9 | WNW 10 | NNW 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 20 | 53 | 56 | 31 | 99 | 108 | 111 | 79 | 147 | 50 | 40 | 31 | 25 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 5:08PM3.75m | 5:38AM3.36m | 5:54PM3.68m | 6:23AM3.26m | 6:39PM3.53m | 7:09AM3.12m | 7:25PM3.33m | 7:56AM2.97m | 8:14PM3.11m | 8:48AM2.83m | 9:09PM2.89m | 9:47AM2.73m | 10:14PM2.72m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:27PM0.52m | 11:34AM0.74m | 00:13AM0.62m | 12:19PM0.85m | 00:58AM0.78m | 1:05PM1.00m | 1:45AM0.98m | 1:54PM1.18m | 2:35AM1.18m | 2:50PM1.35m | 3:30AM1.35m | 3:58PM1.48m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NW 11 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | N 8 | N 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 |
| kJ | 26 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 99 | 108 | 19 | 79 | 147 | 50 | 40 | 16 | 25 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | W 4 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 19 | NW 8 | W 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 7 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 16 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | NW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 21 | — | W 5 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NNW 9 | NW 13 | NW 12 | WNW 11 | SW 16 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 5 | W 5 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | — | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 38 | 8 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | WNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | — | — | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | — | 7 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 56 | 31 | — | — | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 392 | 565 | 622 | 414 | 949 | 526 | 414 | 227 | 130 | 401 | 130 | 130 | 363 | 81 | 4 | 427 | 36 | 95 | 524 | 76 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Peniche | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baleal Sul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baleal Sul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baleal Sul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baleal Sul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baleal Sul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baleal Sul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baleal Sul is 2 km (1 miles) from Peniche. If you plan a holiday in Peniche, look for hotels and other accommodation in Peniche. Peniche has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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