
Surf Forecasts:
Baleal Sul surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, NNW swell with 119 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baleal Sul this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baleal Sul in the next 16 days are 0.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Baleal Sul has cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, it’s a tough start. We’re looking at a solid week of small, onshore junk. From Friday the 17th all the way through to Sunday the 26th of July, it’s basically a write-off for good waves. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly blowing straight onshore from the NNW, and the wave energy is weak to moderate at best, with values hanging around the 17 to 148 mark. It’s not gonna be worth paddling out for; the conditions are just poor. You’d be battling wind and chop for nothing.
Then, things start to get interesting. Around Monday the 27th, the swell starts to build, but it’s still blown out with strong winds. The real shift happens on Tuesday the 28th of July. That morning, the wind goes glassy, and we’ve got a solid 8ft NNW swell rolling in with a moderate combined energy of 820. The water’s running about 66°, which is normal for this time of year. This is a proper window for the experienced crew. It’s still a big, powerful swell, over 8ft, so this is experts-only territory. The swell direction is a solid NNW, which is on the money for this spot.
Now, the standout period. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th of July mornings are looking like the best on offer. Wednesday morning brings a clean 10ft NNW swell with a period of 9 seconds and a massive combined energy of 1435. The wind is a light, cross-offshore from the SSW, keeping the faces clean. That’s proper groundswell energy. Thursday morning is very similar, with another 10ft NNW swell, 1202 energy, and a light cross-offshore breeze. This is big, powerful, clean surf. The morning of Friday the 31st of July is also a gem, with a glassy 10ft NNW swell and the highest energy reading of the whole period at 1521. That’s as good as it gets for the window.
For the weekend, Saturday the 1st of August morning is still a good option, with a glassy 8ft swell and 787 energy. It’s a step down in size from the epic runs, but still clean. Afternoons in this period tend to get a cross-onshore wind, so mornings are the key.
Bottom line: The first week and a half is a total loss. The best surf is definitely the mornings of the 29th, 30th, and 31st of July. That’s where you’ll find the biggest, cleanest, most powerful waves. It’s big, though, so leave your soft-top at home. Crowds are said to be “sometimes” an issue here, so you might have some company, but with this much swell, there’s usually enough peak to go around.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
13 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 46 | 47 | 37 | 24 | 81 | 77 | 86 | 88 | 119 | 88 | 38 | 31 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 44 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 5:54PM3.68m | 6:23AM3.26m | 6:39PM3.53m | 7:09AM3.12m | 7:25PM3.33m | 7:56AM2.97m | 8:14PM3.11m | 8:48AM2.83m | 9:09PM2.89m | 9:47AM2.73m | 10:14PM2.72m | 10:55AM2.69m | 11:27PM2.63m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:13AM0.62m | 12:19PM0.85m | 00:58AM0.78m | 1:05PM1.00m | 1:45AM0.98m | 1:54PM1.18m | 2:35AM1.18m | 2:50PM1.35m | 3:30AM1.35m | 3:58PM1.48m | 4:34AM1.46m | 5:15PM1.52m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 9:01 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 8 |
13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 81 | 77 | 86 | 88 | 119 | 88 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 44 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 19 | NW 8 | W 9 | NNW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 38 | 38 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | W 21 | — | — | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 8 | NW 13 | NNW 8 | WNW 11 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 5 | N 10 | W 4 | N 9 | N 9 | W 5 |
1 | 9 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | W 5 | WNW 5 |
2 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 46 | 47 | 37 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 4 | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1402 | 948 | 540 | 1017 | 203 | 142 | 401 | 130 | 4 | 406 | 4 | 4 | 507 | 4 | 60 | 507 | 182 | 74 | 401 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Peniche | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baleal Sul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baleal Sul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baleal Sul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baleal Sul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baleal Sul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baleal Sul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baleal Sul is 2 km (1 miles) from Peniche. If you plan a holiday in Peniche, look for hotels and other accommodation in Peniche. Peniche has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










