
Surf Forecasts:
Baleal Sul surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, NW swell with 157 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baleal Sul this week:
The surf forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Baleal Sul in the next 16 days are 0.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long, honest look at what Baleal Sul has on offer over the next couple of weeks. I’ve got to be straight with you – this stretch is a tough one. There are long gaps with nothing worth paddling out for, so you’ll need to pick your moments carefully.
The overall pattern is dominated by persistent onshore winds. Most of the time the wind is blowing from the north or northwest, howling straight onshore or cross-onshore. This is killing the wave quality for a sheltered spot like this. The swell stays small and weak for the first week, with combined energy (80) barely registering, and those little waves are mostly short-period slop. The water temperature is 65°F, which is a bit colder than normal for the time of year – about a couple of degrees off.
We start with a major gap. From Friday the 10th right through to Saturday morning on the 18th, there’s basically nothing for a surfer. The data shows zero scores for surf quality day after day, with small 1ft to 3ft windswell coming from the northwest, accompanied by onshore or cross winds. Sunday the 12th morning looks *slightly* less ugly with a 2ft NW swell (128 combined energy) and a light cross-offshore breeze from the southwest, but the wave comment still calls it very ordinary. I wouldn't get excited.
The next notable spot is a couple of days on Saturday the 19th. The swell jumps to 7ft from the NNW with a short period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy surges to strong (601). But here’s the catch – the wind is still blowing cross-onshore from the NNE in the morning. For a beginner spot like Baleal Sul, 7ft is too big and messy. This is really only for experts, and even then, the short period at a beach break setup means it’s going to be a washing machine. The crowd profile says *sometimes*, so you might find a few others out, but it won’t be quality surfing.
Let’s skip ahead to Thursday the 23rd. Another pulse of 7ft NNW swell (567 combined energy) arrives in the morning with a gentle cross-onshore breeze, but again, it’s too big and poorly directed for this sheltered spot. The wave comment calls it poor.
The best of a bad bunch shows up on Friday the 24th morning. We get a 4ft swell from the NNW, but the wind finally turns favourable – a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE. The wave comment says it’s surfable but very ordinary. The combined energy is moderate (128). This is the only window in the entire 16 days where the wind and swell line up for something semi-decent. It’s not a standout, just the least bad option.
Through the final weekend, we see another solid 6ft NW groundswell on Saturday the 25th (589 combined energy), but it’s ruined by 16 mph onshore north winds. No go.
So, in a nutshell: the one window worth your time is the morning of Friday, 24th of July, at Baleal Sul. 4ft from the NNW, light cross-offshore wind. That’s your only shot, and even then, keep expectations low. This is a very blank run for this spot.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NNW 8 | W 7 | NNW 8 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
54 | 52 | 40 | 60 | 157 | 90 | 79 | 76 | 55 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 57 | 24 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy | cross | on | cross | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 11:41AM2.98m | 00:11AM2.98m | 12:48PM3.14m | 1:19AM3.09m | 1:48PM3.33m | 2:19AM3.22m | 2:42PM3.51m | 3:14AM3.34m | 3:33PM3.66m | 4:04AM3.40m | 4:21PM3.75m | 4:52AM3.41m | 5:08PM3.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:56PM1.20m | 6:26AM1.08m | 7:05PM1.03m | 7:27AM0.97m | 8:06PM0.83m | 8:24AM0.85m | 9:01PM0.66m | 9:15AM0.75m | 9:52PM0.53m | 10:03AM0.69m | 10:40PM0.48m | 10:50AM0.68m | 11:27PM0.52m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:06 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:02 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 10 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NNW 8 | W 7 | NNW 8 | W 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | W 9 | W 6 |
54 | 52 | 40 | 26 | 157 | 72 | 79 | 76 | 55 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 19 | 11 | 57 | 15 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | NW 14 | NW 12 | NW 11 | NNW 4 | NW 10 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | WSW 6 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | N 6 | WNW 8 |
11 | 8 | 24 | 60 | 6 | 90 | 45 | 43 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 21 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 24 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 6 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 5 | N 4 | NNW 9 | NNW 7 | WSW 6 | WNW 11 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NNW 7 | SW 12 | N 6 | SW 11 | N 6 |
— | 11 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | WNW 6 | — |
15 | 10 | 16 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 17 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 358 | 652 | 74 | 2 | 363 | 74 | 0 | 559 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 36 | 95 | 261 | 4 | 4 | 363 | 182 | 227 | 1017 | 414 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Peniche | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baleal Sul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baleal Sul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baleal Sul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baleal Sul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baleal Sul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baleal Sul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baleal Sul is 2 km (1 miles) from Peniche. If you plan a holiday in Peniche, look for hotels and other accommodation in Peniche. Peniche has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










