Baleal Sul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We've got a bit of a rough patch to start, but there are some real diamonds hidden in this forecast if you're willing to be patient. We're going to have to wait for the ocean to settle down, but when it does, it'll be worth it.

For the first few days, it's pretty poor. A strong north breeze is up, making a mess of things. The surf is big but jumbled, and you’d be fighting more chop than a food processor. If you're just starting out, don't even think about it.

Things begin to turn around this Saturday, the 19th. The wind eases up and while the surf drops a little, we're still looking at a solid 2.4m of swell. More importantly, a long-period northwest groundswell starts moving in, and the morning is clean with a light east-northeast wind. It's not perfect, but Saturday morning is the first good sign.

Sunday the 20th is a bit better, with a light cross-offshore wind grooming things up. We’ve got a good size, 5-6ft of NW swell with a 12 second period. This is the best of the early days. The afternoons are being let down by a sea breeze, but the mornings will be worth the wait. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd are similar, clean and crisp in the morning, a little messy for the evening glass.

Now, mark your calendars for the first real standout. Wednesday the 23rd morning has the most potential of the whole run. The wind is light offshore out of the southeast, the swell is up to 6ft with a proper 15-second northwest groundswell. This has "parking lot full" written all over it because it should be good. We're looking at a big energy jump and with that offshore wind, the break should be holding shape. Baleal Sul is sheltered from the northwest, so the size will be held well. That's a morning for all the right reasons.

The next couple of days are a little quieter but still have some fun waves. Then, keep your eye on Saturday the 26th. The swell jumps back up to 6ft from the northwest with a 14-second period, and we're looking at some clouds and a big word: glass. The morning is showing light NW winds and a glassy surface, with high energy. That Saturday morning is another one to circle in the calendar.

After that, the run fades. The wave heights back off through the end of the month, and the wind turns onshore from the north. Sunday and Monday will be smaller and wind-affected, and by Tuesday the 29th we're down to ankle-slappers and the ocean is not a pretty place.

We end the run with one last tease. On the morning of Thursday, the 1st of October, there’s a fresh pulse of 6ft swell and a light SE wind that should make it glassy. It's a long way out there, so treat that with caution, but the signs are there.

So, the long and short of it is this: don't sacrifice your working week for sloppy surf. But if you can get out on the mornings of the 23rd or 26th, you might just score some of the best waves of the month. For the groms and beginners, the surf will be pushing the limits on those days, so be careful. But for everyone else, it's game on.

This is Rusty, out.

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