Baleal Sul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well, folks, it’s Rusty here. I gotta be straight with you—this outlook for Baleal Sul is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a wasteland for paddle surfing. The problem is that every single forecast slot is flagged as poor surf conditions, so there’s no real standout day to get excited about. The swell is all over the place, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the quality just isn’t there.

Let’s start with the first usable shape. On Monday, 27 July, the morning actually shows some promise. The wind drops to nothing—glassy conditions—with a 5ft swell from the NNW. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s a bit weak, but the combined energy reading is moderate (265). The water temperature is 70°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s the only window with glassy conditions, so if you’re desperate, that’s your best bet. Baleal Sul is a sheltered spot, and the optimum swell direction is from the west, but this NNW swell is coming in a bit off-angle. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

After that, things go downhill fast. The next few days see light onshore breezes and small, weak swells. By Thursday, 30 July, the swell drops to a tiny 1ft from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, and combined energy is a weak 71. That’s not worth paddling out for.

The second week, from 1 August onward, is a mess. The wind is consistently onshore, often fresh breezes at 18 mph or more. On 5 August, there’s a 7ft swell from the NW with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 733. But the wind is onshore at 9-15 mph, so it’s going to be blown out and messy. That’s too big for beginners anyway, and with the conditions, it’s only for the experienced, and even then it’s ugly.

There’s a gap of several days with no real surf recommendations. From 30 July through to 9 August, every morning and afternoon is poor. The occasional bump in swell, like on 4 August with a 4ft WNW swell, is ruined by cross-onshore wind.

Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The consistent onshore winds and occasional moderate swell energy are a better match for a kite. For the surfer, it’s a blank run. But don’t get too down—forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

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