
Surf Forecasts:
Baleal Sul surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NNW swell with 1,855 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baleal Sul this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baleal Sul in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this is a tough one. We're looking at a 16-day window, but honestly, for the first week and a half, it's a write-off. The wind is just hammering this spot from the north and northwest, keeping everything blown out and messy. The main break on offer is Baleal Sul, but it's a tough sell.
The water temperature at Baleal Sul is sitting at 69°, which is right on the money for this time of year, so at least you won't be shivering while you're getting skunked.
We've got a massive gap here. From Tuesday the 11th right through to Saturday the 15th, it's all "poor surf conditions" with onshore wind and horrendous energy. The swell is there, but it's useless. Then on Sunday the 16th, there's a little flicker of hope. The wind swings around to a light NE breeze, going cross-shore, and the swell jumps up to 10ft from the NNW with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 1299 (moderate to strong), but even then, the forecast only calls it "marginal." That's a lot of water moving around, and with that size, this is strictly for the experienced crew. Beginners, stay well away. For a sheltered spot, that's a big, raw swell, and the cross-shore won't be giving you the clean lines you'd want.
After that, it's straight back into the onshore wind tunnel until we get to Sunday the 23rd. That morning, the wind finally turns favourable, coming from the southwest as a clean cross-offshore breeze. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the NNW, with combined energy of 992 (moderate). Now, that's what we're talking about. It's a long way out, over a week, so treat this as a promising but not guaranteed opportunity. The size means it's still for the stronger paddlers, but the clean wind could make Baleal Sul a whole different wave. You'll want to be watching that one closely.
The rest of the forecast tails off into smaller, onshore mush again. It's a frustrating outlook, no doubt. But that one Sunday morning window on the 23rd is the only real standout worth circling on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 20°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 75 | 126 | 156 | 156 | 150 | 202 | 175 | 158 | 158 | 503 | 674 | 808 | 1855 | 1288 | 867 | 1026 | 851 | 574 | 887 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 3:07AM3.35m | 3:22PM3.70m | 3:51AM3.45m | 4:06PM3.80m | 4:33AM3.49m | 4:48PM3.80m | 5:13AM3.45m | 5:28PM3.71m | 5:51AM3.36m | 6:07PM3.54m | 6:29AM3.22m | 6:46PM3.31m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:55PM0.64m | 9:06AM0.75m | 9:41PM0.51m | 9:50AM0.65m | 10:23PM0.46m | 10:31AM0.61m | 11:03PM0.49m | 11:10AM0.65m | 11:42PM0.61m | 11:49AM0.76m | 00:19AM0.79m | 12:28PM0.93m | 00:57AM1.00m | |||||||
— | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 20 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | — | S 19 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | NNW 9 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
50 | 75 | 126 | 156 | 156 | 150 | 202 | 175 | 130 | 101 | — | 7 | 12 | — | 11 | 11 | 9 | 851 | 12 | 11 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 11 | NNW 10 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 10 | NW 12 | N 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — |
23 | 58 | 50 | 32 | 33 | 52 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | NNW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — |
18 | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | — | NNW 8 | NNW 8 |
39 | 41 | 25 | 29 | 53 | 51 | 72 | 98 | 158 | 158 | 503 | 674 | 808 | 1855 | 1288 | 867 | 1026 | — | 574 | 887 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 358 | 74 | 74 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 261 | 76 | 98 | 524 | 183 | 150 | 527 | 151 | 2 | 545 | 74 | 60 | 265 | 167 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Peniche | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baleal Sul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baleal Sul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baleal Sul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baleal Sul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baleal Sul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baleal Sul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baleal Sul is 2 km (1 miles) from Peniche. If you plan a holiday in Peniche, look for hotels and other accommodation in Peniche. Peniche has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











