Surf Forecasts:
Baleal Sul surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NNW swell with 672 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baleal Sul this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baleal Sul in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baleal Sul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for Baleal Sul is a tough one. The surf just isn't cooperating, and for most of the run, you’ll be looking at very poor conditions. We’ve got nearly two weeks of messy, onshore wind and weak, choppy waves before we even get a whisper of anything that might be worth a paddle.
Starting off on Wednesday the 22nd, we’ve got a tiny 2ft NW windswell with a short 7-second period. The combined energy is weak (96), and with a cross-shore wind, it’s just small, rippled-up slop. That’s the story through the 23rd, 24th, and into the weekend. The swell does build a bit, hitting 5ft on Saturday the 25th and even 7ft on Sunday the 26th, with moderate combined energy (272 to 473), but the wind is blowing straight onshore or cross-onshore, making it all lumpy and poor. Honestly, that Sunday setup with 19 mph winds looks more interesting for a kite than a surfboard.
The following week is more of the same. Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th sees some chest-high waves (4ft to 5ft), but the wind stays on it, and the period is short and weak. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Now, let’s talk about the only real standout. It’s a long way off, but on Thursday the 30th of July, we finally get a moment that’s worth a look. The morning session shows a 6ft swell from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy jumping to 677 (moderate wave energy). The wind is light from the north, making it a light cross-onshore with just small wind ripples. The score is a 1, which is “marginal” but it’s the best we’ve got. That early light breeze might just clean it up enough for a session, but don’t expect perfection. The swell direction is NNW, remember Baleal Sul is sheltered and needs an optimum from the W, so this won’t be breaking at its best, but it’s the only time the combo of energy and wind isn’t totally against us.
After that, we slide back into poor conditions. The first week of August brings more onshore wind and a mix of short-period swell, so the outlook is bleak. The run ends on Thursday the 6th of August with a tiny 2ft swell and barely any energy (100). Bottom line: if you’re desperate, maybe the morning of July 30th offers a slim chance, but otherwise, this is a period to leave the board in the car and enjoy a cold one.
Stay patient,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sat night, calm by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 47 | 47 | 43 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 30 | 59 | 103 | 269 | 365 | 640 | 469 | 286 | 220 | 145 | 136 | 280 | 207 | 197 | 153 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 9:47AM2.73m | 10:14PM2.72m | 10:55AM2.69m | 11:27PM2.63m | 12:04PM2.74m | 00:37AM2.64m | 1:04PM2.84m | 1:35AM2.71m | 1:53PM2.98m | 2:20AM2.82m | 2:35PM3.12m | 2:59AM2.94m | 3:12PM3.25m | 3:34AM3.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:58PM1.48m | 4:34AM1.46m | 5:15PM1.52m | 5:42AM1.50m | 6:29PM1.47m | 6:44AM1.46m | 7:27PM1.36m | 7:35AM1.37m | 8:14PM1.23m | 8:18AM1.25m | 8:53PM1.10m | 8:55AM1.13m | 9:27PM0.99m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 6 | NNW 6 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | SW 16 | — | S 15 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 47 | 47 | 43 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 14 | 26 | 16 | 269 | 11 | — | 4 | 16 | 20 | 145 | 136 | 280 | 207 | 197 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 5 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | S 12 | — | — | — | N 13 | NNW 13 | NNW 12 | NNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 11 |
| kJ | 32 | 31 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 16 | 53 | 63 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 9 | N 9 | N 9 | WNW 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | W 13 | — | — |
| kJ | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | 28 | 15 | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 7 | — | — | W 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — | NW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 8 |
| kJ | — | 45 | — | — | 13 | 22 | 30 | 59 | 103 | — | 365 | 640 | 469 | 286 | 220 | — | — | — | — | — | 153 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 401 | 74 | 444 | 427 | 116 | 633 | 363 | 183 | 76 | 387 | 272 | 245 | 387 | 82 | 3 | 262 | 4 | 4 | 239 | 76 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Peniche | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baleal Sul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baleal Sul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baleal Sul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baleal Sul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baleal Sul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baleal Sul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baleal Sul is 2 km (1 miles) from Peniche. If you plan a holiday in Peniche, look for hotels and other accommodation in Peniche. Peniche has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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