Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Carcavelos.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some swell showing up, but the wind and conditions are gonna be the main thing to watch. The water temp is sitting around 70°, which is pretty much where it should be for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Kicking off on Tuesday the 8th, we’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the WNW with a 10 second period. Combined energy is moderate at 281. It’s a cross-off wind from the N at 12 mph, so it’ll be clean but the forecast says it’s marginal. Not the best start, but you could get a few if you’re keen. The afternoon drops off in quality.

Wednesday the 9th looks average at best. Morning is small and messy, then the afternoon sees a jump to 6ft from the NNW, but the wind swings to 19 mph cross-off and the quality is poor. That’s more of a washing machine.

There’s a little window on Thursday the 12th, Saturday morning. Glassy conditions with a NE wind at just 3 mph, and a 4ft NNW swell at 8 seconds. Combined energy is 245. It’s clean and glassy, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your best early call. The break is exposed to the west, but the swell is coming from the NNW, so it’ll wrap in alright.

Now, the standout. Sunday the 13th, Saturday morning, is looking like the pick of the whole run. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the NW, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy – with combined energy at a solid 571. Wind is light from the east at just 3 mph, cross-off and clean. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the one to circle. Just remember, Carcavelos is a beach break, and with that longer period, it might grind a bit straight, but the conditions should make it fun.

After that, we get a few more mornings with glassy conditions, like Monday the 14th and again on Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th, but the swell drops off. Expect clean, smaller waves in the 3ft to 4ft range. Good for a longboard or a foamie.

Towards the end of the window, on Wednesday the 23rd, we see a very long-period groundswell from the NW at 19 seconds, with a combined energy of 316, but it’s only 2ft in the morning and then jumps to 5ft in the afternoon with a cross-on wind. That’s one to keep an eye on, but it’s far out and uncertain.

For beginners, most of the surf sits between 2ft and 4ft, which is fine, but the stronger afternoons with 6ft to 6ft and fresh winds will be too much. Stick to the glassy mornings.

Overall, the pick is clear: Sunday the 13th morning. Clean, solid groundswell, light winds. Get on it.

Rusty.

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