Carcavelos Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° N 9.33° W

Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Carcavelos sea temperature is
20.2° C
0.0° 

Carcavelos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Carcavelos surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, W swell with 158 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carcavelos this week:

The surf forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Carcavelos in the next 16 days are 1.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 31st Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 9s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 31st Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Tue 4th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for the Lisbon stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much. The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until Sunday, the 2nd of August, and even then it’s only barely surfable. Before that, from the 30th of July right through to the afternoon of the 1st of August, it’s all poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swells and messy winds. A real waste of time. So, a solid three-day gap with no reason to even check the cam.

Sunday, 2nd August finally shows a glimmer of life at Carcavelos. The morning session is the only thing worth mentioning. You’ve got a 4ft swell from the NNW with a short period of 7 seconds, and the wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NNW, keeping the surface clean. The combined energy is weak at 197. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is about average for this time of year.

The rest of the outlook is a drag. From the 3rd of August through to the 14th of August, nearly every session is flagged as poor surf. The winds are mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, and while the swell bumps up a little here and there, the quality just isn’t there. The morning of the 7th of August offers another little 4ft window with clean conditions, but again, it’s just ordinary.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is the Monday afternoon of the 10th of August. The swell jumps to 3ft from the NNW with a 9-second period, but the energy reading hits 305, which is the highest in the whole forecast. The problem? The wind is a fresh cross-shore from the NW at 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. It’s not clean, but it’s the most juice we’ll see. Then Friday the 14th of August sees the biggest swell of the run, hitting 5ft from the NNW, but with a period of only 6 seconds and a fresh cross-offshore wind. It’s still poor quality.

Bottom line: This is a tough block for paddle surfing. If you’re desperate, the Sunday morning of the 2nd of August is your best bet for a clean, small wave. Otherwise, the 10th of August has the most energy, but you’ll be battling the wind. For beginners, the swell never gets over 5ft, so it’s safe, but the conditions are so ordinary you’ll be frustrated. Honestly, with that cross-shore wind and weak swell, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of the period.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the charts. It tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 19°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NNW
8
0.7
NNW
8
0.3
WNW
9
0.3
W
11
0.7
W
10
0.7
W
9
1.2
NNW
7
1
NNW
6
1.1
NNW
7
1.1
NNW
7
0.6
W
10
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
9
0.9
WNW
7
0.9
WNW
9
0.9
W
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
W
8
0.8
W
8
0.5
W
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
58
51
16
21
88
80
117
73
121
108
67
61
60
89
123
108
87
61
76
56
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
20
N
20
N
30
NNW
20
N
15
N
20
NW
15
NNW
15
NNW
25
NW
15
NW
10
W
15
WSW
15
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
10
NNW
15
NW
20
NW
10
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
4:06PM2.78m
4:24AM2.54m
4:38PM2.82m
4:57AM2.56m
5:10PM2.81m
5:30AM2.54m
5:43PM2.76m
6:05AM2.51m
6:19PM2.66m
6:44AM2.44m
7:01PM2.53m
7:31AM2.35m
7:52PM2.37m
Low Tide
10:18PM0.27m
10:21AM0.31m
10:50PM0.24m
10:53AM0.30m
11:22PM0.25m
11:27AM0.33m
11:56PM0.29m
12:03PM0.40m
00:32AM0.37m
12:44PM0.50m
1:15AM0.48m
1:33PM0.62m
2:07AM0.62m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:50
8:49
8:47
8:46
8:45
8:45
8:44
 mm
Temp °C
22
19
23
24
20
25
26
20
23
23
21
23
23
21
23
23
22
24
24
21
Feels °C
19
17
19
20
17
23
24
18
21
20
20
22
23
21
23
22
22
23
22
21
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Carcavelos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Carcavelos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carcavelos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carcavelos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carcavelos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carcavelos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Carcavelos is 1 km (1 miles) from Carcavelos. If you plan a holiday in Lisboa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carcavelos. Carcavelos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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