Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let me break down what's on the table for the Carcavelos stretch. It's a bit of a flat spell to start, so don't be in a rush to grab your board just yet.

We're looking at a long, quiet run from now through the end of July. The first real hint of something happening doesn't show up until Saturday, July 25th, with a couple of sessions that are barely worth a look. The water temp is sitting at 68°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The whole first week is a write-off. From Thursday, July 16th right through to Friday, July 24th, it's all tiny, weak waves with poor conditions. The swell is mostly under 3 ft, the energy is pitifully low (often under 100), and the wind is a mess of cross and cross-on directions. You'll be staring at a lot of flat, choppy water. It's a proper drought.

Then, on Saturday, July 25th, we get a flicker of life. The morning sees a 6 ft swell from the NNW, with moderate wave energy (349) and clean, cross-off winds. It's a marginal call, but it's the first thing that isn't a total dud in over a week. The afternoon is bigger but gets blown out by a stronger breeze.

The real standout, and I mean the one that makes you sit up, is way out on Friday, July 31st. This is a long-range call, so don't bank on it, but the numbers are wild. The morning shows an 8 ft swell from the NNW with a long period of 12 seconds, and a massive combined energy of 2293. The wind is light and offshore from the NE, which would make Carcavelos clean as a whistle. But here's the catch – 8 ft is expert territory, and the file says it might be too big for this break. The afternoon is similar, with an 8 ft swell and 11-second period, but the wind turns cross-shore. For a beginner-friendly spot like Carcavelos, this is strictly for the experienced crew who know the lineup. That's your one true standout, but it's a big, powerful, and uncertain one.

For the rest of the second week, from Sunday, July 26th through Wednesday, July 30th, we're back to small, weak surf with mostly clean but unproductive conditions. The energy is low, and the swell is barely a ripple. Nothing to get excited about.

So, to sum it up: a whole lot of nothing for the first 10 days, a brief, marginal window on the 25th, and then one big, expert-only promise on the very last day of the month. Keep your eyes peeled on that 31st, but don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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