Carcavelos Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° N 9.33° W

Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Carcavelos sea temperature is
19.4° C
0.4° 

Carcavelos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Carcavelos surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, NNW swell with 116 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carcavelos this week:

The surf forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Carcavelos in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 19th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Carcavelos over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a solid run of tiny, weak swell and less-than-ideal wind. The water temp is sitting at 19°, which is about normal for this time of year – nothing special there. You’ll be looking at a lot of days with choppy, cross-shore junk or just flat, glassy conditions with no real power. The combined energy is mostly in the double digits (86 to 31), which is basically weak and not worth paddling out for. There’s a bit of a clean-up on Wednesday morning the 15th with a light cross-offshore, but the swell is only 1ft from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds – it’s surfable but very ordinary.

The first real standout doesn’t come until Sunday morning, July 19th. The wind goes glassy out of the north at 3 mph, and the swell bumps up to 3ft from the NNW. The period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit walled-up and soft, but that glassy surface will make it feel like a million bucks. The combined energy is still weak (92), but for a clean, small-wave Sunday morning, it’s the best we’ve seen in a while. Carcavelos (Carcavelos) is exposed to the west, and this NNW swell will wrap in, so it’s worth a look.

Tuesday morning the 22nd also brings a clean window with a light ESE cross-offshore and 3ft of NNW swell (136 combined energy). The period is 8 seconds, so it’s weak but clean. Not a standout, but a solid option if you’re desperate.

The real promise is on the weekend of July 26th and 28th. Sunday morning the 26th, we’ve got a clean cross-offshore wind from the NW at 9 mph with 6ft of NNW swell. The period is 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit short-period, but the combined energy jumps to 285 – that’s moderate energy and the first real grunt we’ve seen. The morning session should be clean and fun.

Then, for the experts, Tuesday morning July 28th is the big one. We’re looking at 7ft of NNW swell, but with a period of 8 seconds and combined energy of 553 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a light cross-shore from the NW at 6 mph. However, the guidance says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. At over 8ft, this is only for experts, but even at 7ft, with the power behind it, it will be a handful. The afternoon has slightly less swell (6ft) but gets choppy again. Early morning on the 28th is the only window for the big-wave crew.

So, the best on offer is Sunday morning the 19th for the clean, glassy conditions, and Sunday morning the 26th for the clean, bigger swell. The 28th is a wildcard for experts only. For the rest of the time, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NW
8
0.6
NW
8
0.6
WNW
7
0.7
WNW
6
0.4
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
9
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
8
0.4
WNW
9
0.4
WNW
9
0.4
W
8
0.4
WNW
8
0.3
WNW
8
0.3
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.1
SW
19
0.1
S
19
1
NNW
6
1.2
NNW
7
1
NNW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
43
43
38
37
35
32
27
40
36
27
26
22
22
13
12
7
15
7
73
116
80
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
15
W
10
NNW
10
WNW
20
WNW
10
NNW
5
NW
20
WNW
15
NNW
10
NW
20
WNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
30
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
25
NNW
15
NNW
5
N
15
NW
15
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:28PM2.87m
3:00AM2.72m
3:20PM3.02m
3:50AM2.78m
4:08PM3.12m
4:38AM2.78m
4:55PM3.13m
5:24AM2.73m
5:40PM3.05m
6:09AM2.62m
6:26PM2.88m
6:54AM2.49m
7:11PM2.67m
Low Tide
8:48PM0.10m
9:03AM0.19m
9:39PM-0.02m
9:50AM0.12m
10:28PM-0.07m
10:36AM0.10m
11:14PM-0.03m
11:21AM0.15m
11:59PM0.08m
12:05PM0.27m
00:43AM0.24m
12:50PM0.42m
1:27AM0.44m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
6:22
6:24
6:24
6:24
6:26
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:01
9:01
9:00
9:00
9:00
8:59
8:59
 mm
Temp °C
21
21
19
23
22
20
23
22
20
23
22
20
22
21
19
22
22
19
26
27
26
Feels °C
20
20
18
22
20
20
22
20
19
23
21
19
20
18
17
20
19
17
24
24
23
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Carcavelos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Carcavelos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carcavelos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carcavelos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carcavelos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carcavelos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Carcavelos is 1 km (1 miles) from Carcavelos. If you plan a holiday in Lisboa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carcavelos. Carcavelos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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