Carcavelos Surf Break

Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.68° N 9.33° W

Issued: 6 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Carcavelos sea temperature is
21.4° C

1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Carcavelos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Carcavelos surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, NW swell with 180 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carcavelos this week:

The surf forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Carcavelos in the next 16 days are 1.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 6th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 6th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 12th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, let’s talk Carcavelos. It’s a slow start, no doubt. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.

First week is a bust. From Monday the 6th to Saturday the 11th, it’s tiny, weak surf with crappy wind. Waves are 0.7ft to 2ft, and the combined energy is pathetic – mostly under 100 (like 42 or 20). Not worth getting wet. Wind is cross or cross-off, and it’s just not clean.

Sunday the 12th sees a little bump, with waves around 4ft from the WNW, but the wind is cross-on and the period is short at 8 seconds. Energy hits 241 (moderate), but it’s still poor quality.

Then we get a couple of good windows. Monday the 13th morning is your first real chance. Waves are 4ft from the NW, period still short, but wind is light and cross-off, making it clean. Energy is 258 (moderate). Tuesday the 14th morning is similar, with 4ft NW swell, light cross-off wind, and clean conditions. Energy is 223. These two mornings are the best in the first week – fine for beginners.

Now, second week gets wild. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th, the swell hits 8ft from the NNW, with a short period of 8 seconds. Energy is huge – 784 and 908 (strong to very strong) – but it’s too big for this break. Experts only, and even then, it’s a lot of power. Wind is cross-off on Sunday morning, but the size is overwhelming.

Tuesday the 21st morning is more manageable, with 6ft NW swell, clean cross-off wind, and good energy at 443. That’s a solid session for experienced surfers, but beginners should pass.

Bottom line: first week is mostly flat. Best bets are Monday 13th and Tuesday 14th mornings for clean, small waves. The end of the second week brings a big, powerful swell for experts only. Beginners, aim for the 13th or 14th.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
9
0.3
WNW
10
0.3
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
11
0.3
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
9
0.5
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
9
0.4
WNW
11
0.9
NW
8
0.7
NW
10
1.1
NW
9
1.1
NW
8
1
NW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
21
18
16
14
7
12
20
38
56
52
48
46
54
53
50
51
91
98
178
162
148
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
25
NW
15
N
15
NNW
25
NNW
15
N
10
N
25
NNW
20
NNW
15
NNW
25
NW
20
NNW
15
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
10
NW
20
WNW
10
W
10
SSW
15
WSW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross
High Tide
7:35PM2.45m
8:09AM2.22m
8:27PM2.37m
9:07AM2.21m
9:30PM2.30m
10:15AM2.23m
10:43PM2.30m
11:26AM2.32m
11:58PM2.36m
12:33PM2.48m
1:06AM2.48m
1:33PM2.67m
2:06AM2.61m
Low Tide
1:15PM0.64m
1:53AM0.57m
2:07PM0.71m
2:47AM0.62m
3:10PM0.76m
3:51AM0.65m
4:23PM0.74m
5:02AM0.63m
5:40PM0.65m
6:12AM0.56m
6:50PM0.48m
7:15AM0.44m
7:52PM0.28m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:20
6:20
6:20
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:05
9:04
9:04
9:04
9:02
9:02
9:02
 mm
Temp °C
30
29
21
26
26
21
27
26
21
23
23
20
23
23
20
23
23
20
21
21
19
Feels °C
27
25
19
23
22
19
24
22
19
21
20
19
21
20
19
22
21
20
21
20
19
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
10
0.3
WNW
10
0.3
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
11
0.3
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
9
0.5
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
9
0.5
WNW
8
0.6
WNW
11
0.7
NW
10
1.1
NW
9
0.1
SW
19
1
NW
9
Energy kJ
18
18
16
14
7
12
20
38
56
52
48
46
54
53
50
38
79
98
178
15
148
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
9
0.1
S
11
0.2
NNW
8
0.1
NW
8
0.1
W
12
0.2
W
8
0.2
W
7
0.2
WNW
7
0.1
W
7
0.1
S
17
0.1
SW
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
17
0.2
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
11
0.1
SW
16
0.6
W
8
0.1
SW
19
0.1
SW
15
0.1
SW
14
Energy kJ
21
2
7
3
3
5
4
5
1
6
10
5
11
11
17
51
9
50
15
8
8
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
12
0.1
NW
8
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
16
0.1
S
21
0.1
SW
15
0.1
SW
15
0.1
N
7
0.1
SW
18
Energy kJ
3
2
3
3
2
6
6
6
10
10
9
8
8
1
12
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNW
6
0.7
NW
4
0.7
NNW
4
0.7
NNW
4
0.9
NNW
4
0.9
NNW
5
0.9
NNW
5
1
NNW
5
1
NNW
5
0.7
NNW
5
0.8
NNW
5
0.6
NNW
5
0.5
NNW
5
0.7
NNW
4
0.8
NNW
4
0.7
NW
5
0.9
NW
8
0.6
NW
4
0.4
NW
4
1.1
NW
8
0.6
NW
4
Energy kJ
14
12
15
18
32
36
41
42
40
21
28
22
14
11
19
22
91
13
4
162
12
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
Distance (km)
0
0
517
64
1296
438
103
338
434
5
4
434
110
3
434
0
3
434
185
1
5
Best forecast wave conditions in Lisboa
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
7
8
7
5
5
9
6
9
9
5
6
5
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Carcavelos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Carcavelos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carcavelos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carcavelos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carcavelos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carcavelos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Carcavelos is 1 km (1 miles) from Carcavelos. If you plan a holiday in Lisboa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carcavelos. Carcavelos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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