Carcavelos surf break

Carcavelos surfForecast / Lisboa / Portugal

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Thursday 15 Jan 2026 WET
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Carcavelos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Carcavelos sea temperature is
14.6° C
(Which is 1.0°C colder than average for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carcavelos this week:

The surf forecast for Carcavelos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Carcavelos in the next 12 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 17) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jan 23) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (WET) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Thu 15th Jan)10ft (3.0m) 18s
Best Surf 9PM (Thu 15th Jan)10ft (3.0m) 18s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sat 17th Jan)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carcavelos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Sun morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue night, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
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1
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0
0
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0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
2.1
WNW
3.5
WNW
4
WNW
4
WNW
4.5
WNW
4.5
WNW
4
WNW
3.5
NW
3
NW
2.5
NW
2.4
NW
2.1
NW
1.9
NW
1.4
WNW
2.5
WNW
3
WNW
2.5
WNW
4
WNW
4
WNW
3.5
NW
3
NW
Period(s) (?)201716151515141312121111101815141516151413
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3472681771587213858980426576472825971791135193673912193079349626978407692443103076
Wind
(km/h)
35
SW
15
NW
20
WNW
30
NW
20
NW
20
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
10
NNE
25
N
15
NNE
15
NNW
35
NNW
25
N
15
WNW
25
W
25
WSW
30
WNW
15
NW
10
NW
40
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncrosscross-
on
crosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncrosscrosscrosscross
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:55AM
2.35
1:19PM
2.26
1:35AM
2.50
1:56PM
2.38
2:11AM
2.63
2:31PM
2.47
2:46AM
2.75
3:05PM
2.54
3:19AM
2.83
3:39PM
2.57
3:53AM
2.86
4:13PM
2.58
4:27AM
2.85
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:38PM
0.76
7:10AM
0.65
7:19PM
0.63
7:49AM
0.51
7:55PM
0.50
8:25AM
0.39
8:29PM
0.39
8:59AM
0.30
9:03PM
0.31
9:33AM
0.23
9:36PM
0.27
10:06AM
0.20
10:10PM
0.27
10:41AM
0.22
Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Sunrise--7:52--7:52--7:52--7:52--7:50--7:50--7:50
Sunset5:38--5:39--5:40--5:42--5:43--5:44--5:45--
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
Rain (mm)
71523323---1---2112-22
Temp. °C141312121112121011121113131214131515151313
Feels °C (?)11108667767667551089101275
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Carcavelos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Carcavelos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Carcavelos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carcavelos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carcavelos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carcavelos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Carcavelos is 1 km (1 miles) from Carcavelos. If you plan a holiday in Lisboa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carcavelos. Carcavelos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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