Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down this Carcavelos forecast over the next couple of weeks. It’s a story of two halves, so pay attention.

Starting right now, Tuesday, there’s nothing. Just a tiny 1ft dribble. Not worth the walk. But don’t worry, things are about to get real real quick.

Wednesday morning and afternoon, we see a big pulse of northwest groundswell pushing 10ft. That is a serious amount of water for this break. The wind is cross-offshore and clean, but honestly, this is way too big. The energy is massive – we’re talking readings of 1447 and 1575. It’s powerful, but you’d be risking it.

Thursday, it drops to 8ft, still significant. Morning has a light cross-off breeze and strong energy at 1337. Afternoon is similar size but with a fresher wind. Again, this is not the day for the average surfer.

Friday morning is 8ft, still sizable, with a nice NE cross-off. The afternoon eases to 7ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds and things get marginal.

Then Saturday the 19th morning is where it comes alive. Swell has eased to 6ft, but the period has jumped to a very long 14 seconds. This is real groundswell. Wind is light offshore – proper clean conditions. This is a standout for the experienced crew. The energy is still solid at 1543. Afternoon gets a bit cross-on and bigger at 7ft, so the morning is the one.

Sunday the 20th morning is another good session. 6ft of swell, 12 second period, light offshore breeze. Clean and punchy (814 energy). Afternoon gets more cross-shore, so get out early.

Then the swell starts to back off. Monday is much smaller, around 3-5ft, with average conditions. Tuesday is small too at 4ft, and the afternoon is choppy.

Now, here’s the next proper window. Wednesday the 23rd morning looks like a dream. Swell is a friendly 5ft, the period is a very long 14 seconds, and the wind is dead calm – glassy. This is clean, long-period groundswell at 933 energy. This could be the best day of the whole stretch. Thursday morning is also decent with 4ft and a glassy start.

Then it just dies. Poor and small from Friday the 25th through Tuesday. But, Sunday the 27th morning, there’s a clean little pulse: 2ft, but with a very long 15-second period and glassy conditions. Small, but there might be an epic clean wave if you’ve got a longboard.

Monday the 28th morning also looks okay, 5ft and glassy, but the afternoon turns marginal. After that, it fades to nothing and the forecast is poor into the end of the month.

Alright, so the pick of the bunch is Saturday morning the 19th and Wednesday morning the 23rd. Saturday is more powerful, but Wednesday is cleaner and friendlier. The water is about 66°F, a bit colder than the usual for this time of year. It’s a beach break, so these long-period swells might straighten out a bit. But when the wind is light and off, Carcavelos can be a blast. Just respect the size – anything over 8ft here is for experts only.

Rusty, signing off.

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