Carcavelos Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° N 9.33° W

Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Carcavelos sea temperature is
20.9° C
0.8° 

Carcavelos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Carcavelos surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, NNW swell with 442 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carcavelos this week:

The surf forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Carcavelos in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Mon 27th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 27th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 7s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 1st Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carcavelos over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

What's happenin'? Rusty here, talkin' Carcavelos surf.

We've got a bit of a slow start, but a couple of real nice windows to paddle out. Water temp is about 70°F right now, which is just a little warmer than normal for this time of year.

The best early call is Monday morning, July 27th. It's gonna be glassy with a light NNE breeze and waves around 4ft from the NNW. The period is short, about 7 seconds, so it won't have a ton of push, but it'll be clean and fun. The combined energy is moderate at 203. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is a beauty. Remember, it can get crowded here often, so you'll wanna be an early bird.

Tuesday morning, July 28th, is another good one. You’re lookin' at a 4ft swell from the NNW with a 10-second period and light cross-off wind. The energy is up at 330. Clean, but not a classic.

Then we have a bit of a dry spell with small, ordinary surf. The next real standout is Saturday morning, August 1st. That morning we get a solid 6ft from the NNW with an 8-second period and light cross-off winds. The combined energy hits a strong 373 – that’s the most power we see. It's decent sized, and with the short period, it might be a bit lumpy, but for anyone on a log or a funshape, that's the day. Sunday morning, August 2nd, is similar with 5ft and cross-off winds, energy at 337 – another solid option.

After that it drops off again. The next time we see anything promising is Sunday morning, August 9th, with 3ft from the WNW and energy back up to 233. Gentle offshore breezes should clean it up for a fun, small session. Monday morning, August 10th, follows with 4ft from the WNW and 247 energy under light offshore winds – clean small waves again.

So here's the takeaway: aim for Monday the 27th for clean little waves, or Saturday August 1st for the biggest, most powerful surf of the whole stretch.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 19°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
0
2
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
NNW
7
1.5
NNW
6
1.2
NNW
7
1.1
NNW
7
1.3
NNW
10
1.3
NNW
10
1.2
NW
10
1.1
NW
9
0.9
NNW
9
0.9
NNW
8
0.5
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
10
0.3
WNW
9
1.3
NNW
7
1.4
NNW
7
1.4
NNW
7
1.7
NNW
8
1.7
NNW
8
1.7
NNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
262
183
117
121
278
314
286
203
138
123
55
37
36
17
141
181
191
327
432
385
Wind (km/h)
35
NNW
20
N
5
NNE
15
WNW
10
NNW
10
NNW
20
NW
10
NNW
5
NNW
20
NW
15
NNW
10
NNW
25
NW
15
N
10
N
20
NW
15
NNW
10
N
20
NW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:05AM2.21m
2:21PM2.45m
2:44AM2.32m
2:58PM2.59m
3:19AM2.42m
3:33PM2.70m
3:52AM2.50m
4:06PM2.78m
4:24AM2.54m
4:38PM2.82m
4:57AM2.56m
5:10PM2.81m
Low Tide
7:57PM0.69m
8:04AM0.69m
8:36PM0.56m
8:42AM0.56m
9:12PM0.43m
9:16AM0.44m
9:46PM0.34m
9:49AM0.35m
10:18PM0.27m
10:21AM0.31m
10:50PM0.24m
10:53AM0.30m
11:22PM0.25m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:33
6:35
6:35
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:53
8:52
8:52
8:51
8:50
8:49
8:47
 mm
Temp °C
23
19
26
25
22
27
26
21
25
25
21
25
25
21
26
26
22
27
27
21
Feels °C
18
15
26
24
23
27
24
20
24
23
19
23
22
19
25
25
20
26
25
20
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Carcavelos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Carcavelos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carcavelos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carcavelos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carcavelos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carcavelos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Carcavelos is 1 km (1 miles) from Carcavelos. If you plan a holiday in Lisboa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Carcavelos. Carcavelos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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