Carcavelos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what Carcavelos has in store. It's a bit of a quiet period ahead, so don't expect any fireworks.

The overall picture is one of small, weak surf and tricky winds for the next week or so. We've got a long gap here with very little to get excited about, stretching from now well into the middle of next week. The first real glimmer of anything worthwhile doesn't show up until Sunday the 12th, and even then it's marginal. The swell energy stays low, with combined energy values mostly under 100, which is pretty weak. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

Let's run through it day by day. Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th offer tiny 1ft waves from the WNW, but the winds are all over the place – glassy on Sunday morning but then turning to a messy cross-shore. Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th are flat and clean with the wind, but the swell drops to 0.7-1.0ft. Honestly, you'd be better off staying home.

We start to see a pulse of energy on Thursday the 11th of July. The swell picks up to 4ft from the NNW, but the period is a short 6-7 seconds. That's weak, windswell junk, and with a cross-onshore wind, it's going to be a bumpy, choppy mess. The combined energy hits 134 (Saturday morning), so there's a little bit of push, but the quality is poor.

The most promising, but still not great, window opens up on Sunday the 12th of July. The swell builds to 5ft from the NW with an 8 second period, and the combined energy climbs to 278, which is moderate. The wind morning is light, but it's a cross-onshore from the WSW, so expect a little texture on the surface. It's marginal, and the forecast calls it "questionable tide conditions" for the morning. Monday the 13th is similar, with 4ft NW swell, but a cross-shore wind keeps it from being clean. The swell direction is from the NW, which is *not* the optimum W for Carcavelos, so the shape might be a little off.

Beyond that, there's a small run of clean cross-offshore winds on the 15th and 16th, but the swell is tiny, 2-2ft. A little bump in size shows up again on the 18th and 19th of July, with 3-4ft NNW swell and clean cross-offshore winds from the NNW, but the period is short at 8 seconds. It's surfable but very ordinary.

So, if I have to pick a standout, it's the Sunday the 12th of July morning. It's the only time you get a little bit of size (5ft NW) with light winds, even if it is cross-onshore. The rest of the forecast is a waiting game for a real clean, lined-up swell, but it doesn't come in this 16-day window. The combined energy on Sunday morning is 278, which is the best we'll see, but it's not saying much. It's going to be a tough stretch for Carcavelos.

Rusty.

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