Adraga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and pull up a chair, because I’ve had a good look at the forecast for Adraga, and I’ll be honest with you—it’s going to be a long, frustrating wait for any real waves. The swell is around, that’s for sure, but the wind is just going to tear it apart for most of the next two weeks. It’s one of those periods where you’ll be watching the cams and feeling the FOMO, but when you get there, it’s just a blown-out mess.

The first real chance of anything clean comes on Monday morning, August 3rd. After a weekend of onshore slop, the wind finally eases off to a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSW. We’re looking at a small but surfable 2ft of west swell, with a period of 9 seconds and weak energy. It’s not going to get anyone too excited, and it’ll be pretty ordinary, but it’s the first time the ocean will actually look clean. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a wetsuit isn't quite essential.

After that little tease, the wind goes straight back to crap for the next week. From the 4th through to the 13th, it’s a constant battle of cross-onshore and onshore winds, with speeds mostly in the 12-19 mph range. The swell gets a bit more consistent, bumping up to a moderate energy level, but it’s all for nothing. We see the swell height hover around 3ft to 5ft, with periods ranging from a short 6 seconds up to a more promising 10 seconds, but it's always accompanied by fresh, lumpy conditions. It’s just not worth paddling out for.

The pick of this entire window, if you can call it that, comes on Sunday, August 9th. The ocean will be pushing 5ft of swell from the NNW, with a period of 9 seconds and strong energy. It’s the biggest and most powerful swell we see for a while, but the 19 mph cross-onshore wind is going to make it a complete battle. This is big enough to be challenging for beginners, and the wind will make it an expert-only affair at best. It’s one of those days where you might be better off at the point, but even then, it will be wild.

The final few days of the forecast window, from August 14th to the 16th, see the swell size really pick up, reaching the 6ft to 7ft range. The energy readings are strong, too. But again, the wind is just howling, with strong breezes and even stronger cross-onshore winds. This is significant swell, over 5ft, which is starting to get big for the average punter. With that wind, the break at Adraga, being a beach and reef setup, is just going to be a messy, blown-out storm. To be brutally honest, this looks more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers. It’s big and powerful, but it’s just not clean.

So, mark Monday the 3rd in the calendar as a potential sneaky dawny, but don’t hold your breath. The rest of the window is a write-off. The only silver lining is that the swell is there in the background, so when this wind pattern finally shifts, the place will fire. It won’t stay flat for long—that’s for sure.

Rusty.

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