Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the Arrieta region over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. We're lookin' at a long, dry run with no real standout sessions, but let's break it down day by day.

We kick things off on Thursday the 3rd, and honestly, it's a rough start. The swell is weak, only around 3 to 4 ft, coming from the NNE with a short, choppy 7-second period. The wind is a moderate cross-shore breeze at 12 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The combined energy is low, sitting at 204. It's just poor conditions out there, so don't even bother paddling out.

That poor trend hangs around all through the first week. Friday the 4th, the swell drops to 3 ft with the same short period, and the wind goes cross-off, cleaning it up a bit, but there's just no power. By Saturday the 5th, the swell tanks to 1 ft and the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph. That's just not surfable.

Sunday the 6th sees a pulse of energy jump up to 5 ft with a combined energy of 253, but the period is a dismal 6 seconds. It's just a wind-driven mess, even if it's clean. That trend of 5 ft to 6 ft, short-period NNE swell with fresh cross-shore winds continues right through until Tuesday the 8th, where the energy peaks at 565. But with the wind and the short period, it's all chop and no shape.

We finally get a little glimmer of hope on Monday the 14th. The morning is still weak, but by the afternoon we get a clean 3 ft swell from the NNE with an 8-second period and a gentle breeze at 9 mph. The conditions are finally clean. It's only rated as "surfable but very ordinary," but it's the first time all week you could actually get wet without hating life. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 75°, which is nice.

The real interesting bit, and the only thing that catches my eye, is way out on Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th. On the 16th, we see a big spike in energy, hitting 805 from the NW with a massive 18-second period in the afternoon, and swell at 4 ft. That's a proper groundswell. Then Thursday the 17th morning holds a clean 4 ft NW swell with a 14-second period and energy at 708. This is the closest we get to a standout. That long period, clean cross-off wind... Arrieta is a reef break and this long-period NW groundswell is exactly what it needs. It could produce some clean, lined-up waves. But it's far out, so treat it as a promising possibility, not a guarantee.

Outside of that one window, the second week fades back into weak 2 ft to 2 ft swells with clean but powerless conditions. The 16-day outlook is mostly a write-off, with that one distant potential on the 16th and 17th being the only thing worth circling on your calendar. Hang tight, and let's see if that long-range pulse firms up.

Rusty.

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