Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Arrieta. I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for decent surf. We start now and right through to the end of the period, the conditions are just not cooperating for a proper paddle session. The forecasts are all pointing to poor surf, with scores of zero across the board until the very last couple of days. That’s a long, dusty gap.

The main problem is the wind. It’s blowing from the NNE, which is a cross or cross-off shore, but it's a strong breeze – 12 to 22 mph most days. That’s creating lumpy, chopped-up faces or clean but gutless waves. The swell is mostly short-period windswell coming from the NNE, between 6 and 9 seconds. The period does creep up a bit in the second week, but it's still nothing special. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate for most of the run, with values under 500, and often much lower. For example, Monday morning sees 6 ft at 7 seconds from the NNE, but with a fresh cross-shore wind and energy at 318, it’s a messy, blown-out scene. The water temp sits at 74°F, about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a small comfort, but not enough to tempt you in.

Now, for the last few days there’s a tiny glimmer. On Sunday the 23rd, the comment changes to "marginal surf forecast" – a score of 1 – and the swell picks up to 6 ft from the NNE, with period stretching to 8 seconds, and energy climbing to 445. The wind turns cross-off, so the surface could be clean. On the Monday the 24th, it’s a similar story: 7 ft from the NE, 8 seconds, energy at 487, and clean conditions in the morning. At this stage, if you’re desperate and an expert, you could maybe find something rideable, but it won't be good. But hold on, the Tuesday the 25th sees a big jump: 8 ft from the NE, 8 seconds, and energy at 825, which is solid. The wind, however, is a fresh cross-shore, so it’ll be lumpy again. With that size – over 8 ft – it’s only for experts. Honestly, even then, the comments still say "poor surf conditions." The setup is more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers those days, given the strong, consistent wind and chunky swell.

So, for the entire 16 days? There is no standout. No day worth highlighting as the best on offer. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s a pretty normal pattern. Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change, but right now, leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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