Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Looking at Arrieta over the next 16 days, and I gotta be straight with you – there’s nothing really worth chasing. This reef is a fickle one anyway, inconsistent and best for advanced surfers when it lines up. But for this whole stretch from July 7th through the 22nd, the conditions are just poor across the board. Early on we’ve got tiny swell, like 0.7ft to 2ft, with short periods and weak energy (combined energy in the teens to twenties). The wind’s coming out of the north mostly, cross-off or cross, which isn’t terrible but the swell just isn’t there. Through the middle of the second week, around the 12th and 13th, we see a little bump – swell up to 4ft, combined energy hitting 243 – but the period is still short (9 seconds) and the wind is cross-shore, creating a lumpy chop. The comment calls it “poor surf conditions” and I’d have to agree. Then from the 15th onwards the swell really picks up: by the 16th we’re looking at 7ft, by the 18th 8ft, and by the 20th up to 10ft. Periods are still short around 8-9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps into the hundreds and even over 1000. But the wind stays cross or cross-off from the north, at 18–25 mph, and the surf is still labelled poor. For a sheltered reef like Arrieta, that size with that wind direction probably means it’s closing out or blown out. Plus these short-period swells don’t hold up well on a reef. Honestly, this looks more like a kite-surf setup than a paddle session. The bottom line: save your energy. This break is too inconsistent to gamble on, and the forecast offers nothing clean or rideable. The whole 16-day window is a blank run – which, for Arrieta, isn’t that unusual. Stick to the plan and wait for a proper groundswell with a light offshore. Rusty out.

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