Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper surf around here, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of energy in the water, but the winds are just killing it. It’s a real shame.

We start with a lumpy, cross-shore mess on Tuesday the 4th. There’s a solid 6ft of northeast swell, but that 30 km/h NNE wind has it all chopped up. The water is sitting at 73°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s one small positive. The energy is moderate at 362, but it’s not doing us any favors.

The wind stays up through the middle of the week, with the swell actually building. By Thursday the 6th, we’re seeing 8ft of NE swell, and the energy is really pumping at 722. But that wind is still howling. It goes a bit cross-offshore on Thursday afternoon, which cleans it up some, but the period is only 8 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit unruly. This is pushing past the beginner mark, but it’s not quite expert-only yet.

The weekend isn’t any better. The swell stays solid, over 7ft, and the wind remains a fresh cross-offshore. The surf is clean, but the quality is just poor. There’s a lot of power there, but it’s not organized. It’s just a wall of whitewater.

The energy starts to drop a bit into the start of the second week, but the wind stays fresh and cross-shore, putting the chop back on it. All this points to a period where the conditions are just not allowing for any good surf.

The blank run continues for a long stretch. Honestly, from the 4th all the way through the 18th, there’s nothing that’s worth getting excited about. The swell is there, but it’s constantly being ruined by the wind. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean looks like a washing machine.

Finally, on the 19th, the wind eases off. We get a gentle breeze and some clean conditions. The swell has dropped a lot by then, down to 2ft, but the period jumps to 12 seconds. That’s some long-period groundswell, and it’s coming from the NNW, which is more aligned with what Arrieta (Arrieta) actually wants. The energy is weak, at 205, but the conditions are clean. This is the only window that even gets a “surfable” tag, and it’s still pretty ordinary. It’s not a standout, but it’s the only chance you’ll have to get a clean wave in the whole 16 days, and it’s a long way off, so treat it as a promising but not guaranteed prospect.

So, the short version is: the next couple of weeks are a write-off for the most part. The 19th is your only hope, and even then, it’s going to be small. Keep your expectations low, and maybe go for a swim instead.

Rusty.

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