Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this is a tough one. The next sixteen days at Arrieta are a real heartbreaker. The swell is there, but the wind is a constant enemy, and it just doesn’t let up.

Right from the start on Monday the 27th, we’ve got a solid 6 ft swell from the NNE with a short 8-second period, packing a moderate 406 combined energy. But the wind is a stiff cross-offshore from the N at 19 mph, and the guidance says poor surf. The wave comment agrees: it’s just not happening. That sets the tone for the whole first week. For days, we’ve got heights between 3 ft and 6 ft, but always cross or cross-off wind, mostly fresh breezes, and the feedback is consistently “poor surf conditions.” It’s a frustrating grind.

The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

We finally get a tiny glimmer of hope on the weekend. Saturday afternoon the 1st sees the swell drop to 5 ft from the NNE, period a short 7 seconds, but the wind eases to a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore. The wave comment finally upgrades to “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s a 1/10, but it’s the best we’ve got. Sunday morning the 2nd is even lighter, with a 4 ft swell and a near-calm 3 mph cross-off wind. The same “surfable” comment. If you are desperate for a paddle, this is your window. It’s marginal, but it’s clean.

After that, it’s back to the same story. The wind ramps up again, and poor conditions return. The 4th of August sees a 7 ft swell from the NNE, but with a 16-22 mph cross wind creating a lumpy chop. It’s a mess.

The second week looks more powerful but even more wild. The 9th of August, Sunday, we’re looking at a 10 ft NNE swell with a very strong combined energy of 1127. That’s a lot of water. But the wind is a strong breeze at 25 mph, cross-off. It’s an expert-only, survival mission. The 10th and 11th of August keep that 8 ft+ swell with the same brutal wind. For a reef break, that’s a lot of power and a lot of wind. Honestly, unless you’re a kite surfer with a death wish, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing in that second week.

So, the best on offer? The two windows on the 1st and 2nd of August. That’s your only chance for a clean, surfable, if very ordinary, wave. The rest of the two weeks is a write-off.

Rusty, signing off.

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