Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’m calling it straight from here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming.

Alright, the only spot that’s shown up in the forecast is Arrieta—a sheltered, inconsistent reef break that needs a specific northerly swell to fire. And for most of the next 16 days, it’s just not happening. We’ve got a long dry spell from now through to mid-September. From the 4th all the way to the afternoon of the 16th, the system keeps calling it “poor surf conditions,” scoring zero. That’s a solid stretch of nothing, so don’t bother waxing up until the back half of the window.

The first hint of life shows late on the 17th. That Thursday morning bumps up to a marginal call (score 1) with swell around 8 ft from the NE, period 8 seconds, and combined energy hitting a strong 820. Winds are cross-off from the NNW at 16 mph, so it’ll be clean on the face. That’s a chunky, expert-only wave—over 8 ft for a short period, so it’ll be a grunty, lumpy set. Arrieta can handle that direction if it’s from the north, but the NE angle might leave it a bit walled. Still, for a break that’s usually inconsistent, this is a true standout.

Friday the 18th morning carries that marginal vibe—6 ft, NNE, period 7 seconds, combined energy 407. Winds stay cross-off from the N at 12 mph, so it’s clean but still a bit ropy. Not a classic, but if you’re chasing anything, this is the second best.

Then come the 19th, Saturday morning, we see “surfable but very ordinary conditions” with 3 ft from the N, 6-second period, and light offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. Combined energy is weak at 174, so it’s a tiny, wobbly wave—fine for a longboard or a beginner session. The afternoon gets a bit more size at 4 ft but a cross-shore wind kicks in, so it loses that glassy finish.

Overall, the best of the whole outlook is Thursday the 17th morning. That’s where the size and combo of clean wind make Arrieta look interesting, but it’s a rare swell for a break that rarely breaks, so it’s a gamble.

Stay safe, check the tides, and I’ll catch you down the line.

Rusty

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