Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, lookin’ at the charts for our spot.

This is a tough one to call, honestly. For the next week and a half or so, it’s a real battle. The wind is just relentless, mostly from the north and northeast, and it’s tearin' the place up. We’ve got swell, no doubt about it, but the conditions are just plain ugly for a proper paddle session. You’ll see the energy building, with moderate to strong readings (31 to 582) but the wind is just cross-off or cross, and that’s not the sweet spot for this reef. There’s a stretch from Saturday, September 6th right through to Monday, September 14th where the wave models are showing some size, over 5 ft at times, but the wind commentary is all "poor surf conditions." It’s a real heartbreaker.

The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 75°, so it’s comfortable enough, but that’s about the only thing going for us for a while.

Now, if you’re patient and you’re thinking about the second week, there’s a glimmer. The standout window is on Tuesday, September 15th. We’ve got a morning session that’s the only real hope in this whole outlook. The wind drops right out, just a whisper from the NNW, and the swell is a clean 2 ft from the NW with an 11-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with the lights-off wind, this reef could actually line up. The energy is still moderate (187), but it’s the cleanest we’ll see. The waves will be small, but they’ll be clean, and for a place that's inconsistent, that’s a rare treat. Don’t expect a crowd because it’s usually empty here, but on a tiny clean day like that, you might find a few others who’ve been watching the same charts.

After that, we get a bit of a pulse again on the 16th and 17th, with the swell jumping up to 6 ft and even 8 ft on the 17th, but the wind is back on it, and the models are still calling it marginal. The 8 ft day on the 17th is a big one, with a massive energy reading of 1064, but that’s a lot of power for a lumpy, wind-affected reef. That’s more of a kite-surfing set-up than a clean paddle day, to be honest.

So, for the die-hards, the only real recommendation is that Tuesday morning. It’s the one clean window in a sea of nor’easters.

Rusty.

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