Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you, this is a tough one. We're looking at a 16-day window for the Arrieta (Arrieta) area, and honestly, the first week is a write-off. For a spot that's already inconsistent and sheltered, the conditions are just not on our side. The combined wave energy is mostly weak to moderate, with values like 412 and 364, but the wind and swell direction have us pinned. The water is sitting at about 75°, which feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but don't let that fool you.

From Monday the 7th through to Sunday the 13th, it's a grim stretch. We've got a persistent northerly wind blowing 15 to 22 mph, mostly cross or cross-off, but with the swell coming from the same north-northeast direction, there's no real quality. The swell is between 4 ft and 7 ft, but the period is short, 6 to 8 seconds, just windswell junk. The wave comment consistently says "poor surf conditions" and the scores are flat zeros. You're better off staying home.

There's a slight lull on Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th. The swell drops right back to 3 ft, but the period stretches out to 11 and 13 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell, which is promising, but the size is tiny and the energy dips to 141. It's a tease, not a session.

Then, things might finally start to look up towards the end of the second week. Thursday the 17th sees the swell bump up to 8 ft to 8 ft from the north-northeast with an 8-second period, and the combined energy climbs to 763 and 952. The wind is off-shore from the north at 15 to 18 mph, so the surface will be clean. This is getting into expert territory with that size, and the inconsistency of Arrieta is a real worry.

The standout potential, however, is Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th. On Friday the 18th, we've got a 7 ft to 7 ft north swell with a 9-second period and moderate cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 984 and 1043, a solid moderate to strong push. Saturday the 19th holds a 7 ft north swell with a 10-second period, energy hitting 1177. The waves could have some decent shape, but the wind turns cross-shore from the northeast, adding a bit of chop. Arrieta is a reef setup that likes that north swell direction, but with crowds likely "sometimes" and the spot being inconsistent, you need to be patient and pick your time. If you're an advanced surfer, Friday morning looks like the absolute pick of the forecast, the biggest, cleanest window we're going to get. Just be aware that Saturday's energy is higher but the wind is less friendly.

Beyond that, the swell fades again into the 20th and beyond with more messy cross-shore winds. For the love of surfing, don't get your hopes up for the first half of this run.

Rusty.

Read more