Arrieta Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a tough stretch for Arrieta. We’ve got a blank run of poor surf that runs all the way from now through to the middle of next week. Nothing’s happening until we see Monday the 17th, and even then it’s only a marginal clean-up. That’s a solid week of flat or messy conditions to get through first.

Alright, let’s walk through it. From Wednesday the 12th right through Sunday the 16th, it’s all poor surf. Winds are mostly cross-shore from the NNE, gusting 15 to 19 mph, with swell hovering around 2 ft to 6 ft but it’s weak, short-period stuff—periods of just 6 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is mostly moderate, sitting between 76 and 405, but the quality just isn’t there. The water temp is 74°, about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing if you’re just floating around.

Finally, Monday the 17th sees a slight flicker. Morning and afternoon both show 5 ft swell from the north with a 9-second period, and clean conditions thanks to a cross-offshore wind from the north at 12 mph. The combined energy is a solid 415 (moderate-to-strong). But honestly, the score is marginal, tide-dependent stuff. Not something to get excited about, but it’s the first real window.

Tuesday the 18th is similar but a little better. Morning and afternoon both hold 5 ft north swell, 9-second period, with lighter north winds at 9 mph and 6 mph. That afternoon session in particular—light breeze, clean—will be the best of the whole outlook. Combined energy sits at 398, which is moderate. It’s surfable but very ordinary, and Arrieta breaks inconsistently, so don’t expect perfection.

After that, it fades again. Wednesday the 19th keeps 4 ft, 9-second north swell, but winds pick up. From Thursday the 20th right through the end of the 16-day window on Thursday the 27th, it’s back to poor surf—cross-shore winds, lumpy conditions, and combined energy that jumps around but never delivers clean, quality waves. There’s a spike on Saturday the 22nd with 6 ft north swell and 465 combined energy, but with 19 mph north winds, it’ll be messy.

The one standout? That Tuesday afternoon the 18th at Arrieta. 5 ft north swell, 9-second period, light offshore from the north, clean conditions. That’s your best shot, but it’s still ordinary. Not a week to plan a trip around, but if you’re local and desperate, that’s your moment.

Stay patient, Rusty.

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