La Derecha del Cartel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for this little slice of coastline. The next 16 days are a mixed bag with some real patience required, but there are a couple of windows that could deliver if you time it right.

The first few days are basically a write-off. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are flat with no real swell to speak of. You’re looking at a couple of days of nothing. It’s not until Sunday the 19th that we see something pop up. Sunday morning and afternoon have a small 5ft swell from the NE, but it’s a short period, weak 6-second affair. The combined energy is only 139 to 143 (moderate), so it’s not going to have much push. The wind is glassy though, which is a major positive. The water is sitting at 74°, which is about average for the time of year.

The standout of the first week comes on Monday afternoon, the 20th of July. The swell drops back to 1ft in the morning, but the afternoon jumps up to 5ft from the NE. The period is still only 7 seconds, but look at that combined energy: 299 (moderate). That’s a solid bump. The wind is glassy, making those waves clean and peaky. This is the best window early on, but it’s a short-lived pulse.

Tuesday the 21st is a mess with onshore wind, and the 22nd of July sees a similar pattern. Wednesday the 22nd afternoon has a clean 5ft NE swell with glassy conditions and combined energy at 225 (moderate). That’s worth a paddle, but it’s not a firecracker.

We then hit a dry spell from the 23rd through to the 26th. Lots of small, weak swell and glassy conditions, but nothing with enough size or energy to get excited about.

The real promise is way out there, over a week away. You’re looking at Monday the 27th of July. The morning is small, but the afternoon is a serious spike. A 7ft swell from the NE with a 6-second period, and combined energy of 395 (moderate). That’s the biggest swell of the entire forecast. The wind is offshore from the SE at 20 km/h, blowing clean and groomed. This is a heavy offering for experts only – that 7ft is pushing into the big stuff for a reef break. The hold-downs will be real. This is the standout if you’re experienced and hungry.

Then Tuesday the 28th drops back to 4ft, and Wednesday the 29th morning has a 5ft NE swell with a 9-second period and combined energy of 321 (moderate). The wind is glassy again. That’s a solid, clean, intermediate-friendly option with decent period.

After that, the 30th and 31st of July are a flat, fading mess. The 1st of August is tiny and weak.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is Monday the 27th of July afternoon for the brave, and Wednesday the 29th morning for a clean, fun session. The rest is mostly small or blown out. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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