Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. The only spot on the radar is Menakoz, a reef break that’s strictly for the experts. It’s a fickle one, but it’s all we’ve got to look at.

Right now, the water is a balmy 75°F, which is a solid 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real treat. But the waves? Don’t get your hopes up. For the first few days, from Thursday the 13th right through to the end of the following week, it’s either flat or tiny, with onshore and cross-onshore winds wrecking any chance of a clean wave. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (45 to 147), and the swell is a messy mix of short-period, wind-affected junk. You’re looking at 1ft to 4ft of slop.

There’s a brief moment on Monday morning, the 17th of August, where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is only 2ft with a period of 7 seconds. The energy is weak (70), and the comment says it’s “surfable but very ordinary.” It’s a tiny, weak closeout zone. Not worth the paddle out, really.

Now, later in the week, things get a bit more interesting, but it’s still a tease. On Thursday the 20th of August, we finally see some proper size. The swell jumps to 6ft from the NNW with an 11-second period, giving a solid energy reading of 963. The wind is offshore from the NW at 6 mph, which is clean. But the forecast says it’s “marginal” due to questionable tide conditions, so it’s not a green light. It’s a big, powerful groundswell, but at 6ft, it’s already pushing into expert territory, and the tide might turn it into a closeout.

The best bet, and the only real standout, is Tuesday the 25th of August. The afternoon brings an 8ft swell from the NW with a 9-second period and a very strong energy reading of 971. The wind is offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. Now, 8ft is big – that’s expert-only territory. The period is a bit short, so it might be a bit crumbly, but the power is there. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The rest of the 16-day window is just a mix of onshore junk and tiny, weak waves.

So, the long and short of it: don’t bother before the 20th, keep an eye on the 20th but be cautious of the tide, and the 25th afternoon is your best shot for a serious, heavy session at Menakoz. It’s a long wait, but there’s a pulse in there.

Rusty.

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