Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s size up the next 16 days at Menakoz. I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough one. The whole period is a write-off for decent surf. There’s genuinely no good option on the table, and I mean zero. The swell is tiny, the wind is nearly always wrong, and the water is a weird story. The first few days are a total bust, and the rest of the run doesn’t get any better.

Let’s start with the water, because it’s the only thing that’s memorable. The water temp is sitting at 75°, which is a massive 6° warmer than it should be for late July. That’s very unusual – feels like a different season out there.

Now, the surf. From Monday the 20th right through to the end of the forecast on August 4th, it’s a grim run. Monday morning the 20th sees a weak 3 ft swell from the NNE, but the period is a short, weak 6 seconds, and the wind is a cross-on from the NE at 6 mph. The combined energy is a paltry 115 (weak energy). It’s poor. Monday afternoon, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday – all the same story. Tiny waves, bad wind. The swell never gets above 4 ft for the first week, and the direction is always wrong, coming from the NNE or N. The wind is either cross-on or onshore, never clean.

There’s a brief moment on Friday morning the 24th where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is only 2 ft from the NNW with a period of 6 seconds and combined energy of just 51 (weak energy). It’s flat, not surfable.

Then the weekend of the 25th and 26th gets ugly. The swell bumps up to 6 ft from the WNW, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-on, making it lumpy and choppy. On Sunday the 26th, the swell hits 8 ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds and combined energy of 697 (moderate energy), but again, the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-on. That’s big, messy, and dangerous – only for experts, and even then it’s not worth it. For the rest of us, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The second week is no better. From Monday the 27th to August 4th, the swell drops back to 2 ft to 4 ft, with the wind either cross-on or onshore. The only tiny glimmer is on Sunday morning August 2nd, where the wind goes clean and cross-off from the E at 6 mph, but the swell is only 3 ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds and combined energy of 83 (weak energy). The comment says “surfable but very ordinary conditions,” but honestly, it’s a long paddle for nothing.

So here’s the reality: Menakoz is a reef break that needs a clean NNW swell and offshore winds. We’re not getting that. The swell is from the wrong directions, the wind is a mess, and the whole 16 days is a blank run. Sometimes this area just goes quiet, and this is one of those times. Don’t hold your breath – forecasts can change, but right now, leave your board in the car.

Rusty.

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