Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The region is Menakoz, a reef break that only the experts should be paddling out at, and even then it’s a fairly consistent spot, but crowds are likely. The water temp? Nothing wild, pretty much average for this time of year. Let’s break it down.

The week kicks off on Friday the 3rd with a bit of life. Friday morning – that’s the standout. Clean, glassy conditions with a 4ft NW swell coming in at a snappy 12 seconds. The combined energy is sitting at 374 (moderate), and the wind is glassy from the WNW. That’s the window. It won’t be huge, but it’ll be lined up and clean for the experts. Afternoon goes a bit wonky – cross-onshore ruins it.

Saturday the 4th morning is glassy again with 3ft NW swell (10 secs) but the energy drops to 160 – still surfable but nothing to write home about, and it’s ordinary. Afternoon same story, poor.

Sunday the 5th is scratchy – tiny 2ft swell, cross wind, poor. Monday the 6th drops further, weak energy, only 60-61. The whole first week tails off into tiny, weak, poor conditions. Tuesday the 7th through to the 11th is a flat spell – swells below 2ft, energy in the 30s to 60s, poor surf. Nearly a week of nothing worth paddling for.

There’s a flicker on the 14th – Tuesday morning – energy jumps to 197 with a 2ft NW swell and a long 13-second period. But it’s still labelled poor surf conditions, cross-shore wind, not clean. Same afternoon, energy 218, but onshore wind. Frustrating. The 15th Wednesday morning turns glassy again but with only 2ft – energy 93, ordinary. Not a standout.

The best bet in the whole 16-day window is that Friday 3rd morning. That’s it. The rest is mostly small, weak, or blown out. If you’re an expert and can get on that Friday morning window, it’s your moment. Otherwise, expect a lot of flat days and ordinary small waves through the second week. The break is a reef, so the longer-period swells (like the 13 sec on the 14th) could have some shape, but with the wrong wind it’s not worth chasing.

For the crew looking at the second week (around the 15th-18th), there’s nothing that screams go. A few glassy moments on the 15th morning and 17th morning with 2-3ft, but energy is low and consistency is poor. Not a classic run.

Rusty.

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