Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it—this stretch for Menakoz is looking pretty bleak. We’ve got a long run of tiny, weak swell and not much to get excited about.

Right off the start, into the first week of August, it’s flat as a tack. Swell’s all under 3 feet, mostly from the northwest, with short, weak periods—5 to 8 seconds. Energy readings are low, mostly in the 20s and 30s, barely ever cracking 50. There’s a few glassy mornings, like Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th, but with only 1-foot waves, it’s just flat and clean. Not worth suiting up.

A slight bump on the 6th—swell climbs to about 3 feet, energy up to 82—but it’s onshore and rainy. No good. That pattern holds through the next week: small, weak NW slop, with the occasional clean spell but nothing rideable.

Now, the only real sign of life shows up on Friday the 14th. Morning has 3-foot swell from the NNW, but the afternoon pushes it to 4 feet, period up to 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to a moderate 117. That’s the most push we’ve seen all forecast. But the wind is onshore and it gets choppy. It’s a tease, not the day.

Then Sunday the 16th morning—that’s the one window I’d actually consider. Swell drops to 2 feet, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, giving it some real groundswell punch. The water’s glassy, winds are light offshore, and Menakoz (a reef setup) might actually have a clean little wave or two breaking. It’s small, but it’s the best we’ve got. By afternoon, the wind swings onshore again.

Water temp at Menakoz is 74°F, which is about 4°F above normal for this time of year—that’s noticeably warmer than usual.

Bottom line: this is a “no surf” forecast for the most part. From the 1st through the 13th, there’s pretty much nothing recommended. That last morning on the 16th is the only real chance, and even then, it’s marginal. But Menakoz is usually fairly consistent, so a blank run like this doesn’t usually last forever. Forecasts change, and that late-period swell on the 16th hints the ocean’s starting to wake up. Maybe we’ll catch something real in the third week.

Watch the 14th–16th—that’s where the only energy is. Otherwise, you might be better off on the kiteboard.

— Rusty

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