Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple weeks are a proper mixed bag for Menakoz. We’re looking at a lot of ordinary conditions early, but there’s a real standout session coming up that’s worth holding out for.

The swell for the next few days is weak and short period, with a lot of onshore or cross winds messing things up. Wednesday morning the 26th sees a tiny 2ft swell from the WNW at 7 seconds, but at least the wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping it rideable. Still, only 1 out of 10 stuff. Thursday morning the 27th is glassy with a 1ft WNW swell, but it’s just too small to get excited about. Thursday afternoon sees a slight bump with 3ft swell from the WNW at 8 seconds and a light offshore, but again, it’s ordinary. Friday the 28th morning has the first real size jump with 5ft from the NW at 8 seconds, combined energy reading 306 (moderate), but the wind is cross-off and that’s about it. Friday afternoon is a write-off with strong onshore wind.

Now, Saturday the 29th morning is where it gets interesting. Early glass, 5ft from the NW at 9 seconds, combined energy of 311 (moderate), and this is the highlight of the first week. The water is 75°, which is 5° warmer than average – that’s notably warm for this time of year, a bloody treat. The break is a reef, expert-only, fairly consistent, and it’s fairly exposed to the NW swell. Swell direction is right in the optimum slot (NNW optimum, and the swell is from the NW, close enough). It’ll be clean and glassy. Crowds are often there, so expect company, but for a morning like that, it’s worth it. Saturday afternoon is messy with cross-on wind.

Sunday the 30th morning has another glassy window with 4ft from the NW at 8 seconds, but the quality slips. After that, it’s a few days of onshore winds and building swell, but nothing clean until we hit the real standout.

The best session of the whole outlook lands on Tuesday the 1st of September morning. Clear skies, light cross-offshore wind from the east at 3 mph, and a solid 5ft groundswell from the NW at 11 seconds – long period, proper groundswell energy. Combined energy is 615 (strong). This is a reef break, and long-period NW groundswell will set up nicely here, offering well-shaped, powerful waves. It’s expert territory, and with that period and direction, the sets will have good gaps, making paddling easier. This is the one to circle.

Wednesday the 2nd of September morning also looks promising – glassy conditions, 5ft from the NW at 10 seconds, combined energy 424 (strong). Another clean, powerful morning. After that, things go downhill with building onshore winds and rain, dropping back to tiny, weak swell by the end of the first week of September.

There’s one final wild card on Tuesday the 8th of September morning: a 10ft NW swell at 9 seconds, combined energy a massive 2443 (very strong). That’s huge – expert only, and with only a light cross-shore wind. But it’s a long way out, so treat that as promising but uncertain. For the average surfer, don’t even think about it.

So, to sum it up: Saturday the 29th morning is your first clean, decent wave. But the real standout is Tuesday the 1st of September morning – that’s the one. Get on it.

Rusty.

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