Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the local stretch.

Honestly, for the next week and a half, it’s a pretty grim picture. We’ve got a long, dry run of tiny, weak, and messy surf ahead. The first real glimmer of anything worthwhile doesn't pop up until Thursday, the 6th of August, but even then it’s not stellar. The real standout is going to be further out, on Tuesday, the 11th of August, but that comes with major caveats.

Let’s walk through it. From Tuesday the 28th of July right through to Wednesday the 5th of August, it’s a wasteland. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, with periods barely scraping 8 seconds. The wave energy is next to nothing, with values like 46 (kind of weak) and 73 (kind of weak). Winds are all over the shop, cross-shore or onshore, and the forecasts are consistently calling it “poor.” There are a few glassy mornings, like Thursday the 30th of July, Saturday the 1st of August, and Tuesday the 4th of August, but with no swell to push them, it’s flat and frustrating. You’re looking at nearly a full week of boredom.

We finally see a pulse of energy on Thursday morning, the 6th of August. Menakoz gets a spike of 5ft swell from the NNW, but the period is a weak 6 seconds. The combined energy hits 160 (moderate). It’s glassy in the morning, making it surfable, but the wave quality is still described as “very ordinary.” It’s a small window for a log, but don’t expect much.

The real date to circle is Tuesday, the 11th of August. The morning delivers a serious 10ft swell from the NNW with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 2815 (very strong). This is a big, powerful groundswell. However, this is a reef break, so that long-period energy will wrap in nicely. The catch is that this is a notoriously tricky wave. Menakoz is rated an expert-only break, and with 10ft waves, this is not for the faint of heart. The wind is a light cross-shore in the morning, which is a major positive, keeping things relatively clean. The water temp is a notable 74°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year, making it feel like a tropical anomaly. This is the standout session, but only for the experienced crew. Crowds are to be expected at a break like this when it's firing.

The following morning, Wednesday the 12th of August, offers a bit of a consolation prize. The swell drops to a more manageable 5ft from the NW, the period is 9 seconds, and the wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the ESE, which is a fantastic direction for this spot. The energy is still a solid 314 (moderate). The forecast actually says “expect good surf conditions.” It won’t have the raw power of the day before, but it could be a much cleaner, more user-friendly session for the advanced surfer.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The one true standout is the big, powerful, and expert-only session on the morning of Tuesday, the 11th of August. The next best bet is the cleaner, smaller conditions on Wednesday morning, the 12th of August.

Rusty.

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