Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Honestly, looking at the next stretch, we’re in for a pretty grim run to start. If you’re hanging for a wave, you’re going to be waiting over a week for anything that’s even remotely rideable. The swell is tiny, the winds are messy, and the surf is basically flat to knee-high junk for the first seven days. It’s a real test of patience.

First up, on Thursday the 14th, we’ve got nothing. Swell is down around 2ft with a short-period WNW windswell, and the wind is cross-onshore. Not worth getting wet. Friday and the weekend follow the same script—sub-3ft slop, light onshore breezes, and no push. The water’s a balmy 75°, which is about 5° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s notable; it’s like the ocean’s had a bit of a fever, but that doesn’t mean it’s got any energy.

The beginning of the next week stays just as flat. Monday the 18th and Tuesday the 19th are glassy in the mornings, but the swell drops right away. We’re talking 1ft to 2ft of short-period leftovers. You’d be better off doing anything else. The energy readings are weak, dipping down to single digits and low double digits.

Now, on Thursday the 20th, there’s a flicker of life. The morning brings a calm, glassy session with a 2ft swell from the NW at 11 seconds, and the combined energy jumps up a bit to 143. It’s still only a 1 out of 10 in my book, but it’s the first real pulse of groundswell we’ve seen. The wind is dead calm, so it’ll look clean, but it’s still small and weak. The next few days keep the same theme—small NW swell, mixed winds, and nothing that would get you excited.

We finally get a proper pulse of bigger energy around the 26th and 27th. On Wednesday the 26th afternoon, the swell builds to 6ft from the WNW, but the period is short and the onshore wind is going to mess it up. Then on Thursday the 27th morning, things align. Menakoz (Bizkaia) gets a 5ft NW swell with a 9-second period, and the wind swings around to a light offshore from the SSE. That’s the standout of the whole window. The combined energy reads a solid 320, so there’s real grunt behind it. This is a heavy reef break, expert only, and it’s fairly consistent. It can get crowded, so expect company. The swell direction is right out of the NNW, which is exactly what this spot likes. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the ocean goes off the rails again. Friday the 28th sees a jump in size—6ft to 8ft from the NW—but the wind is screaming from the WNW at 28 mph in the afternoon, turning it into a complete washing machine. Energy spikes to 1302, which is strong, but it’s blown out. And then Saturday the 29th is a beast: 12ft from the NNW with a 14-second period, which is a serious groundswell. But again, the cross-onshore winds ruin it. 3891 in the energy bank is massive, but that’s not for paddling. That’s a solid nope.

For the second week, keep your expectations low. The swell gets bigger but the wind never lets up. The only real window is that Thursday morning, the 27th. If you’re an expert and you’re frothing, that’s your shot. For everyone else, maybe check back later. Forecasts change, and this place can turn on a dime, so don’t lose hope entirely.

Rusty out.

Read more