Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve got to be straight with you—this 16-day window for Menakoz is a tough one. There’s not a single good surf option in the whole run. The tide is out on quality, and the forecasts are serving up a real flat spell with a side of messy wind. It’s a long stretch of poor conditions, so don’t hold your breath.

We kick off on Wednesday, August 12th. Morning is glassy calm with a weak 2ft swell from the NNW, but the period is a short 8 seconds and the combined energy is a paltry 58—barely a ripple. The water is sitting at 75°, which is a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a weird little standout. But the surf itself is poor. Afternoon goes cross-on with a light breeze, still tiny at 2ft. Nothing doing.

Through Thursday and Friday, August 13th and 14th, we’ve got onshore and cross-onshore winds with swell barely scraping 2ft. The period bumps up to 10-12 seconds on Thursday, but the energy is still weak (32 to 75). It’s all poor surf, just small and chopped.

Saturday the 15th stays onshore with a 3ft, 6-second lump in the afternoon, finally hitting 101 combined energy—moderate, but short period and onshore wind means it’s junk. Sunday the 16th picks up to 4ft and 5ft with a risk of thunderstorms, the energy climbing to 257, but it’s all cross-on and onshore with a moderate breeze. For a spot like Menakoz, a reef break that’s expert-only and fairly consistent, this is a write-off. The wind is ruining it.

Monday the 17th keeps the 4ft, 7-second slop going, but the onshore wind just makes it a mess. Then it drops back to tiny 3ft stuff through Tuesday the 18th, and Wednesday the 19th is back to a glassy 1ft with only 12 energy—dead flat.

The second week has a few pulses, but none are surfable. Friday the 21st sees a 3ft, 8-second swell with 143 energy, but it’s cross-on and onshore. Saturday the 22nd has a 3ft, 9-second interval with 172 energy, but the wind swings to a moderate 15 mph cross-on, turning it choppy. By Sunday the 23rd, we get a 4ft, 9-second swell in the afternoon (235 energy), but it’s onshore with rain showers. Then Monday the 24th brings the biggest swell of the period: 6ft from the NNW with a 7-second period and a massive 376 combined energy. That’s strong energy, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-on, making it lumpy and dangerous. For a reef break, that’s not paddle surfing—that’s a kite session if anything. The rest of the week fades to tiny, weak, and onshore again.

So, the story is simple: a long, blank run. Menakoz is a reef that needs a clean swell, and we’re not getting one. The water is warmer than normal, but that’s the only highlight. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a solid “stay home” outlook.

Rusty.

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