Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, cobber, Rusty here with a look at what's on the menu for Menakoz over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, first thing’s first, the water temp at Menakoz is at 71°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so a spring suit and maybe a rashie should do you fine. The next week and a half starts a bit slow, but there are a few windows of solid, clean surf on the way. The standouts are definitely the morning sessions on Saturday the 19th and Wednesday the 23rd of September, when the wind does the right thing and the swell has some proper grunt. This place is an expert reef break and it’s fairly consistent, but with crowds often around, you might need to be patient. The best swell direction it wants is from the NNW, which is exactly what we’ve got coming.

The first few days, Wednesday the 16th through to Friday the 18th, are poor. Thursday afternoon shows the swell energy picking up to a moderate 505 (combined energy), but the light onshore winds and questionable tide just aren't doing us any favours. We're looking at swell around 5 ft from the NNW with a short, weak period of 7 to 9 seconds, so not much to get excited about.

Saturday the 19th of September looks like the first real highlight. The morning is where it’s at. We’ve got a solid 7 ft swell from the NNW, but the real beauty is the light offshore breeze from the east. The wave energy is strong at 1417 (combined energy) and the period is a nice long 13 seconds, which means proper groundswell lines. That’s clean, well-shaped surf for the experienced crew. The afternoon turns a bit cross, but that morning window is a ripper.

Sunday the 20th will still be fun. The morning is glassy with a 5 ft NNW swell, period of 11 seconds, and moderate energy (667). If you miss the Saturday morning, Sunday morning is a solid backup while the swell slowly backs off.

Monday the 21st is another glassy morning, but the swell drops to 5 ft. Good shape with a 12-second period, but the energy is dialling back. Still a nice option for a quiet paddle out. Tuesday the 22nd looks small and marginal again.

Wednesday the 23rd of September is the other standout. The morning session has 5 ft of NW swell, but with a very long 15-second period and strong wave energy of 1017 (combined energy). A light cross-offshore breeze from the southeast will have it clean and lined up. This long-period swell will wrap into the reef nicely, giving long, grinders perfect for the experts. The afternoon gets a bit more wind.

After that, we taper off into the end of the month. Thursday the 24th has clean offshore wind but the swell drops right off to 4 ft, and then Friday the 25th is tiny.

We then hit a dry spell with hardly any swell from the 25th of September through to the 29th. Waves are ordinary, small, and weak. The energy on the 28th Monday morning is just 150 (combined energy) and it's flat out poor.

Then, into the first of October, things get interesting again but it’s a raw, powerful affair. On Wednesday the 30th of September, the swell jumps to a heavy 10 ft from the NW. The morning has strong energy at 1622, and the afternoon is even more extreme at 2418. But with a short, choppy 10-second period and onshore winds, that’s for experts only and it won't be pretty. Thursday the 1st of October is still big at 7 ft but still messy. This late window looks more like a novelty for the very experienced, but the quality drops off.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re keen, lock in Saturday the 19th and Wednesday the 23rd of September mornings for the best combo of size, clean conditions and proper swell. The rest, you're rolling the dice.

Rusty.

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