Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Honestly, the next two weeks are a write-off for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and not a single decent window of surf. From now through to the 21st, don’t even bother waxing up. The swell barely pushes past 3ft at Menakoz, and the period is mostly short and weak, so it’s messy and gutless. There’s a lot of cross-onshore breeze early on, and even when the wind goes glassy on the Monday and Tuesday mornings, there just isn’t any push behind it. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 40s to 90s (like 63 to 91), and that’s just not enough for a reef break like this to do anything.

The water’s a bit of a talking point too – it’s sitting at 75°, and that’s a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not need the full winter rubber just yet.

Now, there is a glimmer out there, but you’ll need patience. The first real sign of life shows up on Saturday the 22nd. The morning looks promising with calm, glassy conditions and a pulse of swell pushing 2ft from the NW at 11 seconds. The energy jumps to 141, which is still moderate, but it’s the best we’ve seen. It’s surfable, but only just. Menakoz is a reef break, so it needs a bit more size and power to really get going, and this is still pretty marginal.

The next morning, Sunday the 23rd, is a step back again, so I wouldn't get too excited.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is Monday the 24th of August. The morning is looking like the pick of the whole run. We’ve got 3ft of NW swell at 8 seconds, with a light cross-offshore ESE breeze and clean conditions. The combined energy jumps to a solid 252, which is moderate but with some real intent behind it. It's still not big, but it’s the most push we’ve seen in a fortnight. The period is a bit short, so it might be a little crumbly, but it’s the only morning I’d actually consider paddling out. The afternoon gets messy again with the cross-shore wind picking up, so make the most of the morning.

So, there you have it. A long, flat, frustrating run, with one promising but still modest window on the 24th. Keep your expectations low, and if you’re desperate, that Monday morning is the one to circle.

Rusty.

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