Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what we’ve got on the horizon for Menakoz.

The overall pattern is a bit of a slow burn, with a few standout windows of proper, clean swell where conditions will line up, mixed with plenty of days where it’s going to be pretty ordinary. The water at Menakoz is sitting at 72°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s a nice bonus.

We start with a genuine window on Saturday morning, the 5th. The swell is a modest 3 ft out of the NW, but the period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s not a groundswell. The big positive here is the light ENE breeze at 6 mph, leaving the surface clean. The combined energy is moderate at 292. It’s clean, but the swell direction is a bit off from the optimum NNW, so it’s a decent opening to the forecast.

The real standout, the one you’d want to circle on the calendar, is Thursday morning, the 10th. That’s where the magic happens. We’ve got a 4 ft NW swell wrapping in with a solid 11-second period, giving it some proper push. The ocean is glassy with a light S wind at 3 mph – that’s a major positive. The combined energy is moderate at 366, and with that glassy surface, Menakoz will be clean and offering some beautiful lines. This is a reef break, and it’s for experts. It’s also fairly consistent, but it gets crowded often, so expect company for this one.

The next really promising window is Sunday morning, the 13th. Another glassy session, with a 4 ft swell from the NNW at a 12-second period. The combined energy is 378, and with no wind, it’s just you and the ocean. This is a similar setup to the 10th, but you’re a week out, so it’s a little less certain. Still, the signs are good.

We also have a couple of interesting sessions further out. Saturday morning, the 19th, is looking spicy with a 4 ft NW swell, but the real story is a moderate offshore wind from the south at 12 mph. That’s clean and offshore, which is a dream for a reef. The combined energy is 284. It’s a long-range call, so don’t lock it in, but it’s a promising one.

There are a few gaps in the quality. After Saturday, the 5th, the surf gets a bit messy with cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions through Sunday and Monday. Tuesday the 8th is poor. Wednesday the 9th is marginal. The week from the 11th to the 16th is mostly poor, with a couple of surfable but ordinary windows. The 14th and 15th are not worth the paddle. The 16th is flat with a 1 ft swell.

The combined energy of the swells across the period varies from very weak 47 (on the 16th) up to a strong 759 on Wednesday afternoon, the 9th, but that day has a cross-onshore wind, so the energy doesn’t translate to good surf. The bigger swells, like the 5 ft on the 9th, are more for experts as it’s over 5 ft, and the period is 12 seconds, which is a long period groundswell that will hold up well on this reef.

So, bottom line: the best bets are Thursday morning the 10th and Sunday morning the 13th. The 19th is a long-shot shout for a clean offshore session. The rest of the time, you’re either waiting or dealing with wind.

Rusty.

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