Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat. Let me level with you about this stretch of coast. To be honest, looking at the next couple of weeks, it’s not exactly firing. We’ve got a long, quiet spell ahead before any real energy shows up. The first proper surfable day is a while off, so we’re looking at a solid gap of over a week with hardly anything worth paddling out for.

Starting off from Wednesday, July 8th, right through the following week, the swell is tiny and the wind is a real mixed bag. The water is sitting at a pretty warm 74°F, which is a good 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real standout, like having a summer bath in the middle of winter. But the waves? The energy is weak, barely registering on the 8th, and it’s just poor conditions. You’ll see some glassy moments on Wednesday afternoon and Friday morning, the 10th, but the swell is only 1ft to 2ft from the NW with a short period. It’s barely a ripple. Saturday the 11th morning shows a cleaner look with a light cross-off breeze and a 1ft, 12-second groundswell, but it’s still a very small wave.

This quiet, disappointing pattern hangs around until Saturday the 18th of July. That’s the first real standout. Saturday morning brings some clouds, but the wind goes glassy and the swell finally gets a pulse. We’re looking at 4ft from the WNW with a combined energy climbing to 193 (moderate). The period is 8 seconds, so it’s a bit of a short-period groundswell. It’s still not epic, but it’s surfable and clean. This is the best window in the whole outlook. The break is Menakoz, a reef setup that needs a specific angle. The swell direction is WNW, which is a bit off from its optimum NNW, but with the glassy conditions, it’s your best shot at a few fun ones.

After that, the wind picks up hard. Saturday afternoon the 18th gets messy with a cross-on breeze and pumping 7ft swell, but it’s too lumpy and a bit too big for the average surfer – that’s expert territory. Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 21st continues with strong NW winds and big, powerful swell in the 6ft to 8ft range, with energy readings hitting 468 and even 854 (strong). The period is short, around 7-9 seconds, meaning it’s going to be a bit of a washing machine with the cross-on winds. Honestly, with that much wind and swell, this setup is looking more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The final few days, from the 22nd of July onward, the swell drops back down to 4ft and then 2ft, with the wind settling a bit but still not ideal. It’s a long, slow taper back to flatness.

So, the bottom line: if you’re desperate, wait for the glassy morning of Saturday the 18th. It’s the only real standout. Otherwise, sit this one out. The forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

Read more