Menakoz Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, honest look at what Menakoz is serving up over the next couple of weeks.

Real talk: this forecast is a long, flat spell with a late pulse of energy. We’ve got a pretty grim run ahead. The first solid recommendation doesn’t show up until Saturday the 11th of July, and even then it’s barely on the radar. For nearly a week before that, we're looking at tiny waves, mostly 1 to 2 feet, with lousy cross-on or onshore winds. It’s a real bummer.

Saturday the 11th of July morning offers a whisper of hope. The swell is a tiny 1 ft from the NW with a period of 12 seconds. Now, that’s a long-period swell for such a small wave, so it’ll be clean—the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is weak (68), but for a brief window, conditions are actually clean. Don't expect much, but it’s the first surfable wave in the whole outlook.

After that, we slide right back into junk. The 12th of July morning goes glassy with 2 ft, but it’s still poor. The rest of that week is a washout of tiny, onshore slop. It’s a long, dry gap.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real action, and I mean the *only* action worth getting excited about, is brewing for the very end of the month. Mark your calendars for the 21st and 22nd of July. On Tuesday the 21st of July afternoon, the swell bumps up to 7 ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds. The wave energy jumps to a solid 739 – that’s moderate-to-strong energy. The wind is light and onshore, but with that much power, it’s a start.

The standout, by a country mile, is Wednesday the 22nd of July morning. Menakoz (a reef break, so it handles this direction well) will see an 8 ft swell from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 971, which is strong. The wind is a light NE cross-on breeze. Now, 8 ft is expert territory. It’s going to be big, powerful, and definitely not for beginners. But for the crew who know this reef, that’s the one session to chase. Keep in mind, this is a long-range call, so treat it as promising but not set in stone. Also, the crowds here are listed as ‘often’, so expect company.

Water temp for the first break I mentioned? The data shows it was 74°F with a wild anomaly of 7°F early on. That’s much warmer than normal for the time of year, so you can leave the wetsuit at home.

For the rest of the period after that big pulse, it looks like we’re back to small stuff. The 23rd of July Thursday morning goes glassy with 2 ft, but the energy is gone.

So, there you have it. A long wait for a short window of proper, heavy reef break action. It’s not going to stay poor forever, but this stretch is a test of patience.

Rusty.

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