El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the forecast is a bit of a flat spell for a while. We’re looking at several days of tiny, weak waves. From Monday the 27th of July right through to Friday the 31st, the swell is barely a ripple, with heights stuck at 0.7ft or 0.3ft and combined energy rarely getting into double figures. It’s surfable on a log if you’re desperate, but honestly, it’s poor. The wind is mostly light and from the SE to ESE, so it’s clean enough, but there’s just no push.

Now, the first real sign of life comes on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning starts to show a pulse of 1ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 61 (moderate). The wind is glassy from the WSW – that’s going to be clean as a whistle. This is the best we’ve seen. The water temp is about 74°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout for this whole stretch is El Conquistador. It’s a beach and reef setup, very consistent, and exposed to the south. The optimum swell direction is from the south, so those swells we get on the 1st and 2nd have a bit of an angle. On Saturday the 1st, the afternoon picks up a 1.0ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy, and with glassy conditions, it’ll be clean. The energy is 75 (moderate), so it’s small but has some grunt. Sunday the 2nd is even better: the morning holds 1ft from the SSW at 13 seconds, and by the afternoon, we get a 2ft swell from the south, also 13 seconds, with the combined energy hitting 126. That’s moderate wave energy, and with the glassy wind, it’s going to be a fun little session. The caveat is that this break can get crowded sometimes, so you might have company.

After that, the swell fades again. Monday the 3rd drops back to 1ft to 2ft with a bit of cross-onshore wind, so it’s messy. Then Tuesday the 4th through Wednesday the 5th offers clean conditions with offshore winds, but the swell is small, 1.0ft to 1ft, and energy is low. It’s surfable but ordinary. Then we hit a dead zone from Thursday the 6th to Sunday the 9th of August – those days are mostly flat, with zero swell and no energy. A tiny 0.7ft spike shows up on the 7th and 8th, but it’s barely worth a paddle. The 9th of August afternoon shows a tiny 1.0ft from the SSW with 21 energy, but it’s still poor.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th stay small, with 0.7ft to 2ft swells, but the wind on the 11th is a moderate breeze from the ESE at 12 mph, which is cross-off, so it’s clean but the swell is short period (8 seconds) and weak. Not a great way to finish.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the first weekend of August. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are your windows. The 2ft SSW groundswell on Sunday afternoon with glassy conditions is the pick of the bunch. It’s small, but it’s clean and has some energy. Don’t expect much else until the forecast changes.

Rusty.

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