El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next sixteen days.

Honestly, for most of the run, it’s a bit of a flat spell. There’s a little window of clean, rideable waves early on, but don’t get your hopes up for anything pumping. The best bet is to make the most of the first few days, because after that, the swell just disappears.

We’ll start with Saturday the 18th. El Conquistador is a beach and reef break, and it’s very consistent, so it’s always got a chance. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Saturday morning is seein’ a tiny 1ft SSW swell, with a long period of 18 seconds. That’s a groundswell, which is nice, but it’s small. The wind is a cross-off ESE breeze at 9 mph, keepin’ it clean. Combined wave energy is weak (127). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Beginners could handle this size easy. The afternoon glass’s off a bit, with the wind droppin’ to 3 mph, and it’s still clean (107 energy). Same tiny swell.

Sunday the 19th, the morning cleans up with a light offshore wind from the east at 6 mph, and the swell lifts a touch to 2ft from the south, period 16 seconds. Combined energy 150. Still weak, but it’s the pick of the bunch. The afternoon swings to a cross-off, staying clean but small.

Monday the 20th, the morning is a bit of a write-off with a cross-shore wind and only 2ft of south swell at 15 seconds (113 energy). The surf is poor. The afternoon, however, goes glassy, with zero wind. Swell drops to 1ft (80 energy). It’s clean, but tiny.

Tuesday the 21st through Thursday the 23rd, we’re stuck in the same pattern: tiny 1ft SSW swell, periods droppin’ from 13 to 11 seconds, with light cross-off or glassy winds. The wave energy is weak, between 58 and 71. It’s clean, but you’ll be huntin’ for something to ride. The best of these is Wednesday afternoon (22nd) and Thursday morning (23rd) – both glassy, with 1ft swell (58 and 58 energy). Dead flat otherwise.

Then from Friday the 24th, it gets worse. The swell drops to 1.0ft, and the wind turns cross-onshore. The combined energy falls to 36 or 43. Saturday the 25th has a tiny 1.0ft SSW swell in the morning (47 energy) and a strange little 2ft NW swell in the afternoon (53 energy), but that NW swell only has a 6-second period, so it’s junk. Sunday the 26th is similar.

From Monday the 27th onwards, the swell bottoms out. There are days with zero swell (28th, 31st, 1st August), and the odd tiny 0.3ft or 0.7ft blip with almost no energy (2 to 19). The wind is often glassy or offshore, but there’s simply no wave to catch.

So, if you absolutely have to paddle out, make it Sunday the 19th morning. That’s your standout. You’ve got a light offshore wind, clean 2ft south groundswell, and it’s the only day where the combined energy cracks 150. It’s still weak, but it’s the best on offer. The rest of the window is a long, flat gap. Don’t bother with the second week – it’s a total washout.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, it’s a board-waxing and story-swapping kind of fortnight.

Rusty.

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