El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what we’ve got for the next sixteen days. To be straight with you, it’s a pretty lean run. We’re looking at El Conquistador, and this stretch is mostly about small waves and ordinary conditions. There’s nothing here that’s going to get your heart racing, but there are a couple of moments that might be worth a paddle.

The overall pattern is quiet. For the first several days, from Thursday the 10th through to the end of the first week, wave heights stay tiny, mostly around 1 ft to 1 ft. The energy is low, with combined swell energy in the double digits—around 35 to 59 on the better afternoons, and as low as 13 on the poor mornings. That’s weak, flabby stuff. Winds are mostly light and cross-off or glassy, so it’ll be clean, but there’s just no push.

The best we see in that first week comes on the afternoon of Thursday September 10th and into Friday the 11th. You’ve got 1 ft swell from the SSW, period around 12-13 seconds, with a light breeze keeping things clean. It’s barely surfable, but if you’re desperate and on a longboard, you might find a few little runners. Still, nothing to write home about.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From Sunday the 13th right through to Tuesday the 15th, the waves drop even more. Heights fall to 0.7 ft to 1 ft, energy is in the teens, and conditions are either glassy or crossed-up. It’s flat, plain and simple. That gap in any real surf lasts a solid three to four days.

Now, there’s a slight flicker of hope late in the second week. On Wednesday September 16th, the swell picks up a bit. Morning sees 1 ft from the SSW with a period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 132 (moderate). By the afternoon, it’s 2 ft from the south with the same long period, energy at 159. Winds are light and offshore, so the surface will be clean. That long-period groundswell is a positive for shape, but at just over a foot and a half, it’s still very small. This stretch continues through Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th, with similar size but slightly shorter periods—14 seconds on Thursday, 13 on Friday. Energy stays in the low 100s to 188 range. These are the best moments in the whole 16-day window, but they’re still only marginal. This spot is a beach-and-reef setup, and with that long-period swell, it might hold together a bit better than a beach break, but don’t expect much.

Beyond that, from Saturday September 19th through the end, it fades again into tiny surf, glassy mornings, and some light cross-onshore afternoons. No standouts.

So, the only true standout—if you can call it that—is the period from Wednesday September 16th through Friday September 18th. The waves are still small (1 ft to 2 ft), but the swell direction from the S and SSW with decent periods means there’s a bit more life in the water. Winds are light and mostly offshore or glassy in the mornings. It’s not the kind of swell that will have you calling in sick to work, but if you’re Jonesing for a paddle, that’s your best shot.

For the rest, you’re looking at a lot of flat, clean water and not much else. No big swells, no firing conditions. Just a quiet, sleepy stretch.

Keep your eyes on the forecasts, though—it tends not to stay this quiet for long around here.

Rusty.

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