El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin’ at ya from the beach.

You know what, the next couple of weeks are gonna test your patience. We’re lookin' at a long stretch of small, weak energy. The wave heights are tiny, barely a ripple for most of it. The main spot on the radar is El Conquistador, but it's not exactly firing. The water temp is sittin' around 72°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.

We kick things off this Friday the 10th. The morning session is a tough sell. There's a bit of swell, but the combined energy is weak at just 85, and with wave heights of only 1ft, you're not going anywhere fast. The wind is glassy though, which is the one small mercy. But honestly, it’s a snooze. The afternoon stays small and just as ordinary.

Now, Saturday the 11th is where it gets a little interesting. The morning is the real standout of the whole period. We get a jump in energy with the combined swell hitting a solid 378, with 2ft waves rolling in from the SSW. What makes it special is the glassy, clean conditions and a long period of 20 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy, making those little waves feel a lot punchier. For a spot like this, a longer period tends to hold it together better. The crowds can be around though, so get in early. The arvo on Saturday gets ruined by a cross-on wind, so don't bother.

Sunday the 12th is a good shout too. Both the morning and afternoon sessions are clean, with that same 2ft SSW swell hanging around. The morning has a light offshore breeze and the afternoon goes dead glassy. Wave energy stays moderate at 312 and 337. That’s a full day of fun, if you call 2ft fun. It’s consistent and clean, which is the best we’re gonna get.

Monday the 13th keeps the vibe going with clean conditions in the morning and another glassy afternoon. Waves nudge up to 3ft by the arvo, with energy at 291. Still very small, but the window of good, clean surf is wide open.

After that, things take a dive. Tuesday the 14th is back to "ordinary," and from Wednesday the 15th onward, it's a slow bleed of shrinking swell and dropping energy. By the time we hit Thursday the 16th, the combined energy is down to 34. We’re basically looking at flat spells with occasional tiny bumps for the next week and a half. There’s a bit of a pulse again around the 21st and 22nd of July, with waves back up to 2ft, but the winds are messy or just not ideal.

For the true standout: Saturday morning, July 11th is your best bet. It’s the biggest energy of the whole forecast, with a long, groundy swell and clean glass. After that, Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th offer the most consistent, clean windows for a paddle.

For the rest of the second week, it’s mostly small and weak. The 21st and 22nd of July see a slight bump up to 2ft-2ft, with clean conditions on the 22nd morning, but the energy is just moderate. Nothing to write home about. The gap between the decent early swell and the late-July bump is a real dry spell. Hang loose, the forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game for the next real pulse.

Rusty.

Read more