El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a proper look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a quiet stretch overall, so we’ll need to pick our moments.

Right now, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit. To be honest, the first few days are pretty limp. Monday the 7th kicks off with tiny 1ft swell from the northwest, period around 11 seconds – that’s a long period for such a small wave, so it’ll have a bit of push but the energy is weak (58). Still, it’s glassy in the morning and the wind is light, so for a beginner, it’s a paddle. That swell sticks around Tuesday the 8th, holding at 2ft, and Tuesday afternoon goes dead calm with the wind dropping to zero – that’s a glassy sheet of water. If you just want to get wet, that’s your window. But let’s be real, the scores are low.

Wednesday the 9th drops right off – we’re talking 0.7ft to 1ft and energy numbers in the single digits and twenties. That’s not surf, that’s a lake. Thursday and Friday aren’t much better; a little 1ft groundswell from the south-southwest shows up, but it’s weak and the energy stays under 60. You’d be fighting for scraps. Saturday the 12th has a tiny 2ft pulse from the northwest, but again, very ordinary.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From Sunday the 13th all the way through to Tuesday the 15th, it’s mostly 0.7ft to 1ft slop, mostly glassy but essentially flat. That’s a solid three-day gap with nothing to recommend.

Things perk up a little mid-week. Wednesday the 16th morning brings a 1ft, 16-second south-southwest groundswell – that period is long and juicy, and the energy jumps to 114 (moderate). It’s glassy, too. That afternoon the swell picks up to 2ft from the south, period still a very long 16 seconds, and energy hits 131. For a beach and reef setup like El Conquistador, that long period should wrap in nicely and give you a few proper lines. Thursday the 17th keeps that south swell going, 2ft, with the energy at 107 in the morning and 156 in the afternoon – that’s the strongest energy of the whole outlook. Winds are cross-offshore and light, so it should be clean. If there’s a standout across these 16 days, it’s Thursday the 17th morning and afternoon. It’s not huge, but for the area this is about as good as it gets in this window.

After that, it fades again. Friday the 18th dribbles back to 1ft, and then from Saturday the 19th right through to Tuesday the 22nd, we’re back to poor conditions – 0.7ft to 1ft, energy in the teens and twenties, and no real push. A disappointing end to the run.

So, bottom line: don’t get your hopes up for the first week and a half. The real moment is Thursday the 17th – small but clean, with that long south groundswell and the best energy of the whole outlook. Get on it early. El Conquistador is very consistent, but even it struggles when the ocean goes quiet. The crowds are sometimes a factor here, but on a day like Thursday, with such small but clean surf, you’ll have plenty of room. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but the long period means the sets will have some push – fine for intermediates onwards.

Rusty out.

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