El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, the next 16 days at El Conquistador are looking pretty flat, plain and simple. We’ve got a run of tiny, weak swell that’s barely gonna push a whitebait around. The water’s sitting at 24° which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Tuesday morning kicks things off with a weak 0.3m SSW swell. The energy is next to nothing (34), and we’ve got a light cross-onshore breeze messing with it. Honestly, it’s poor. The afternoon cleans up a touch as it goes glassy, but we’re still only talking 0.4m. Not worth getting wet for, but at least it’s pretty out there.

Wednesday sees the swell nudge up to 0.4m and then 0.5m, with the period stretching out to 16 seconds. That’s a hint of some longer-period energy, but it’s still small and the energy reading (113, then 155) is only moderate at best. The morning is glassy, and by the afternoon we’ve got a light offshore breeze. It’s clean, but still very ordinary. Thursday keeps the same vibe, 0.5m and 0.6m with a clean cross-offshore wind, but the energy is still nothing to write home about. The Thursday afternoon breeze picks up a bit and the surf quality drops off.

Friday rolls in with 0.5m and a clean cross-offshore wind, still small. The energy drops back under 100 in the morning (87), so it’s weak. Saturday back down to 0.3m and glassy, but that’s about as exciting as it gets – which is to say, not at all.

We go through a real dry patch from Saturday the 20th through Tuesday the 23rd. The swell drops to 0.2m, sometimes even flat. It’s glassy and clean, but there’s just nothing pushing in. If you’re a beggie or just keen for a splash, you might get a few ankle-biters, but that’s it.

Now, here’s the one little glimmer in this whole run. Wednesday the 23rd afternoon. We see the swell switch around to a 0.6m from the NW, and the period stays at 14 seconds. The energy jumps up to 246, which is the strongest we’ve seen in this whole forecast. And with a glassy, light air situation, it’s the best conditions of the entire period – they’re calling it good surf conditions, and for once it actually looks like a wave you might catch a little nugget on. That’s your best bet, full stop. Still not big, but it’s clean and has a bit of push to it.

After that little tease, Thursday the 24th has some 0.6m in the morning but it’s glassy, then the afternoon gets ruined by a strong 25 km/h onshore wind. Forget it. Friday the 25th is back to small, clean, and weak.

The second week from around the 26th onward is pretty slim pickings. We’re looking at 0.2m to 0.3m, mostly from the SSW, with periods dropping down to 11 or 12 seconds. There’s a bit of offshore wind here and there which keeps things clean, but the energy readings are pitiful – mostly in the teens and twenties. It’s the kind of surf where you’d be better off finding a rock pool to stare into.

So, to sum it up: there’s no real swell on the horizon for the next two weeks. The standout is that Wednesday afternoon the 23rd, where a cleaner, slightly stronger NW pulse lines up with glassy conditions. It’s still small, but it’s the one time you might actually get a decent little wave. Everything else is a flat, clean, glassy ocean that’s begging for a longboard and a lot of patience, or maybe just a nice paddle.

Catch you out there.

Rusty

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