El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for this stretch.

Right off the bat, don’t get your hopes up for the first four or five days. We’re lookin’ at a real flat spell through the end of August. The swell that’s creepin’ in from the south is tiny—barely 1 ft to 2 ft—and the energy is weak, in the double digits (71 to 19). It’s surfable only if you’re desperate and on a foamie, but honestly, it’s not worth paddlin’ out. The water temp at the start is 77°—a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re waiting for a ripple.

Come Sunday the 30th, we see a pulse of longer-period energy (17 seconds) but it’s still small—only 1 ft—and the combined energy bumps up to 95, which is still weak. The wind is light for the morning session, but the waves are just too small to get excited about.

Now, hang tight. Monday the 31st starts to show some life. The swell picks up to 2 ft with a 17-second period from the SSW, and the energy jumps into three digits (311). The morning’s a bit iffy with onshore wind, but by Monday afternoon the wind shifts to a clean cross-off from the SE, and we get a solid 2 ft SSW swell with 14-second period. The energy’s at 267—moderate. This is where it starts to get fun.

The real standout is Tuesday, September 1st. Tuesday morning is glassy—dead calm wind—with a clean 3 ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 457, so there’s plenty of push. By Tuesday afternoon, it gets even better: the swell holds at 3 ft from the SSW, period still 16 seconds, and the energy hits 522. The wind goes completely calm. This is going to be clean, lined-up waves with some real shape. El Conquistador is a beach and reef setup, so a long-period groundswell like this can sometimes break a bit straight at the beach, but the reef sections should handle it nicely. This spot is very consistent, so you can bank on waves. Expect crowds possible, especially with these conditions. This is the best on offer—get in the water.

Wednesday the 2nd holds decent as well: morning glassy again with 3 ft SSW swell, energy at 385, and the wind stays light. Afternoon stays clean with a light offshore from the east. Really solid two-day window.

After that, the swell fades again through the end of the first week of September. By the 4th and 5th we’re back to tiny, weak waves and mostly cross-off or onshore breezes. Not worth the drive.

However, looking into the second week, Monday the 7th of September shows another pulse: a 3 ft swell, but this time from the WNW, period 15 seconds. Combined energy at 454. Morning is glassy again. This is a direction shift, so it might offer a different look at the break. It’s promising but less certain this far out. Tuesday the 8th still holds some 3 ft to 3 ft WNW swell with clean morning offshores.

So, overall: the first several days are a write-off. The real action kicks off Monday afternoon the 31st and peaks on Tuesday, September 1st. That’s your best bet. Second week has another possible window around the 7th, but keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty, signing off.

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