El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right now, the ocean’s pretty much flat out at El Conquistador. We’re staring at a stretch of tiny, weak swell that’s barely gonna push you around. The first few days are a write-off – Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th are all under a foot and a half, with poor surf conditions. You’re looking at weak, disorganized energy (16 to 57 combined), and even though the winds are light cross-off or glassy, there’s just nothing to ride. It’s a waiting game.

Then things start to get a little interesting mid-week. Wednesday the 16th, the swell starts to build a touch, with the morning showing some 2ft from the SSW at 16 seconds. The energy jumps up into the moderate range (113), and by the afternoon, it’s a bit better – 2-2ft at 16 seconds from the S (158 combined). It’s still small, but the period is getting long and the winds are glassy and calm. That afternoon is the first real window of opportunity. Thursday the 17th holds that small but cleaner energy, with light offshore ESE winds in the morning and cross-off SE in the afternoon. This is probably the best-looking run of the whole forecast – still only 2-2ft, but clean and lined up. Friday the 18th keeps the 2-2ft S swell going with glassy conditions, though the energy backs off slightly (135). It’s very ordinary, but it’s the most consistent stretch you’ll get. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

After that, it fades away again. Saturday the 19th is still surfable in the morning, but it’s on the way out. From Sunday the 20th through Monday the 21st, we drop back to poor conditions with tiny ankle-biters. Then there’s a bit of a lull until Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th, when we see a few 1-2ft pulses from the SSW again, with light winds and glassy conditions. The energy stays weak to moderate (41-104), and honestly, it’s just more of the same – small, clean, but nothing that’ll get your heart racing.

The second week is pretty uninspiring. There’s a couple of small windows on the 25th and 26th with some 2-2ft S swell, but the winds are a bit more mixed, and it’s inconsistent. By the 27th and 28th, it’s done. Small, weak, poor conditions. The best bet out of this whole 16-day window is the Thursday 17th and Friday 18th. It’s not big – nowhere near – but it’s the cleanest, most consistent swell with those classic SSW and S directions that El Conquistador likes. It’s a long-period groundswell, so it might be a little walled at the beach, but the reef sections should handle it better. With such small surf, the beginner-friendly nature of the break is fine, but don’t expect much push. Crowds could be a thing if people are desperate, but with this quality, it’s more likely to be quiet.

So, keep your expectations low. There’s a couple of fun, clean shimmery days on the 17th and 18th, but otherwise, it’s a whole lot of flat and small. That’s the way it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

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