El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's have a honest look at what's coming up for El Conquistador. I gotta be straight with you – this forecast is a lean one. We're kicking off on Thursday, July 23rd, and for the first week and a half, it's mostly a flat spell with tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. The water temperature is sitting at 73°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start with a tiny 1ft swell from the SSW on Thursday morning, but it's cross-shore and just messy. The combined wave energy is a weak 48, so you're not exactly getting any power. Thursday afternoon goes glassy, but the wave energy is still only 55 – you might get a knee-high roller, but it's ordinary. Friday the 24th stays tiny, with 1.0ft swell and glassy conditions, but it's still just not enough to get excited about. Saturday the 25th sees a shift to a shorter period, weaker windswell from the NW, and by the afternoon it's cross-on with a 2ft wave that's all chop and no shape. The energy drops to just 18.

From Sunday the 26th right through to Friday the 31st, we're looking at 0.7ft to 1ft waves, mostly clean but with almost no push. The combined energy stays in the single or low double digits – that's barely enough to move a sea lion. The swell directions are all over the place, from SSW to WNW to NW, and periods are all over the shop too. Don't bother paddling out.

Now, here's where it gets a little more interesting. The first weekend of August, starting Saturday the 1st, we finally see a pulse. Saturday morning is still flat with a 0.7ft SSW swell and a very long 15-second period, but the energy is only 20. However, Saturday afternoon sees that swell build to 1.0ft, still with a 15-second period, and the energy jumps to 77. You might get a few clean, glassy lines. Sunday the 2nd is the best of the bunch. The swell picks up to 1ft to 2ft from the SSW and S, with periods around 13 seconds. The combined energy reaches 124 on Sunday afternoon under glassy calm conditions. That's moderate energy, and it's clean. The size is small, but for a beach-and-reef setup like this, a long period swell from the S is a good thing – it'll wrap in and offer some shape. The wind is calm, so it'll be glassy.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th keep those 2ft S swells rolling, with consistent energy in the 100-139 range. The wind is light cross-off, so the faces will be clean. The swell direction is S, which is the optimum direction for this spot, so you're getting the best angle. The crowds are noted as "sometimes" here, so you might have some company, but it's not a circus.

The real standout? It's the afternoon of Sunday, August 2nd. The conditions are glassy, the swell is a clean 2ft from the S, and the period is a solid 13 seconds. The energy is 124 – that's the highest we see in the whole window. It's not a big-wave day, but for a spot that's been flat for a week, this is your moment. After that, the swell fades again. Wednesday the 5th to Friday the 7th sees the energy drop back to weak levels, and by Friday the 7th, it's flat again.

So, in summary: a long, flat gap for the first eight days, then a small window of clean, workable surf from the 2nd to the 4th of August. The best session is likely Sunday afternoon, August 2nd. After that, it's back to the flat stuff. Stay patient, lads.

Rusty.

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