El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This one’s a tricky stretch.

Look, I won't sugarcoat it – the next 16 days at El Conquistador are looking flat and frustrating. We’ve got a long, dry spell coming at us. From now, Tuesday the 21st, right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, the wave energy is just pathetic. There are days where the combined swell energy barely hits double figures, like a measly 30, and plenty of zeros. It’s going to be a tough run.

The best of a bad bunch is right at the start. Tuesday morning, the 21st, we might see a tiny 2 ft south swell, but with a long 13-second period. It’s glassy as anything, no wind, and the water’s sitting at a pleasant 73°F, which is pretty average for this time of year. The combined energy is only 95, though, so it’s weak. You’ll be on a longboard, scratching for anything. By Tuesday afternoon, a light offshore ESE breeze at 6 mph will keep it clean, but the wave height drops to 1 ft. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so there might be a few others out, but with this kind of swell, it’ll be a lonely session.

Wednesday the 22nd is more of the same – glassy mornings, tiny 1 ft swells from the SSW. It’s surfable, but just barely. The wind stays light and the conditions are clean, but that’s about all you can say for it. This is all very ordinary, marginal wave energy (55 to 61).

After Thursday the 23rd, it goes truly poor. The heights drop to 1 ft or 2 ft but from the NW with a short, weak 6-second period and energy levels crashing into the 20s and 30s. It’s not worth paddling out. From Sunday the 27th through to the end of July, there’s genuinely no swell to speak of – zero combined energy for a couple of days, then just tiny little 0.7 ft slop from the S, or 0.3 ft from the NW. It’s all poor surf conditions.

There is a tiny flicker of life on Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon – a clean, glassy 2 ft S swell with a 13-second period and energy back up to 90. That’s the second-best window, but it’s still a super marginal longboard day. Then Monday the 3rd of August morning gives us a moderate offshore breeze (12 mph from the ESE) keeping a 1 ft SSW swell clean, but the wave energy is only 54. That’s the best of the whole run, and it’s still weak.

Honestly, if you’re looking for a proper wave at El Conquistador, the forecast doesn’t give us one. This is a tough stretch for the area, and it’s not unusual to see such a long blank run. The conditions are clean for the first couple of days, but the swell just isn’t there.

Stay patient, check the charts again in a few days.

Rusty.

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