El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s Rusty here, and we’re looking at a pretty quiet stretch ahead for El Conquistador. For the next week or so, it’s mostly small and ordinary, but the back half of the outlook does show a flicker of something better, so don’t write it off entirely.

Right off the bat, the first solid fun shows up on Wednesday the 16th. It’s small, with swell around 1 ft from the SSW, but that 16-second period gives it some real push, and the wave energy is weak at 113. The real star here is the wind: glassy off the NW in the morning. Combine that with the water temp sitting at a pleasant 76°F, which is about average for this time of year, and you’ve got a chance to snag a few clean, smooth little runners.

That same pattern carries into Thursday and Friday the 17th and 18th. Swell stays in the 2 ft range, mostly S to SSW, with decent period around 13-14 seconds. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping things clean. The wave energy stays weak, bouncing around 107 to 135, so it’s not going to be pumping, but if you need a fix, it’s surfable.

We hit a real lull from the 19th through the 22nd. Swell drops to 0.7 ft to 1.0 ft, and the wave energy bottoms out into the teens and twenties. Conditions turn poor for a few days straight.

Now, hang in there because Wednesday the 23rd brings a change. A new pulse of NW swell shows up, pushing 2 ft to 3 ft. The period is a solid 15-16 seconds, and the wave energy jumps to a moderate 277-410. The problem is the wind is cross-onshore, so the quality isn’t there. It’s more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The true standout of this whole forecast is Thursday the 24th, morning. The NW swell is holding at 3 ft, period is a still-good 13 seconds, energy is moderate at 295. But the wind goes glassy from the S. That’s going to make El Conquistador (beach and reef setup) look clean and inviting for a few hours in the morning.

After that, the surf backs down again, with a few glimpses of small, glassy conditions around the 26th (morning) and 27th (Sunday morning), with a bit of offshore wind. But for the most part, the rest of the first week of October looks ordinary, with small SSW swell and onshore breezes.

So to boil it down: the best session in the next 16 days is undoubtedly Thursday morning the 24th. Get on it early for those glassy 3 ft NW lines. The other windows are small and average. It’s a waiting game.

Rusty, signing off.

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