El Conquistador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer over the next couple of weeks at El Conquistador. Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it's gonna be a lean run. The pickings are slim, and for long stretches, there just won't be anything worth paddling out for.

The water is sitting at 74°, which is pretty much what we’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild there. Let's walk through it day by day.

We start off on Thursday the 16th with some tiny swell. The morning has a weak 1 ft from the WNW with a short period of 9 seconds, and combined energy is barely a whisper at (58). It's clean but there's just no push. The afternoon goes glassy but drops even further to 1.0 ft. This is surfable only if you're desperate for a float.

Friday the 17th sees a shift. The morning is a non-starter with a small 1.0 ft SSW swell and a cross-on breeze. But look here, Friday afternoon brings a bit of hope. That same 1.0 ft SSW swell gets a long period of 19 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate (102). The wind goes glassy. For a spot this exposed to the south, that long-period groundswell will wrap in, offering clean, peelable lines. The catch? It's tiny. For the patient soul on a log or a longboard, this might be the one glassy session of the week. Still, it's not much to write home about.

Saturday the 18th has a similar tiny 1 ft SSW swell (period 18 seconds) and glassy afternoon conditions, but the energy is still only moderate at (103). Same story, different day. It’s rideable but ordinary.

Sunday the 19th morning is the best of a weak bunch. We get a 2 ft S swell with a 16-second period, offshore wind from the ENE, and the combined energy hits (150). That's the highest we’ll see for a while. This is the standout of the entire first week. Clean, offshore conditions on a long-period groundswell will make the most of what’s there. It’s still small, and for a beach and reef setup, that long period might make the waves a bit walled. But for a few hours, it’ll be the best we’ve got.

Monday the 20th to Wednesday the 22nd is a dead zone. Tiny 1 ft to 2 ft swells with weak energy readings, mostly below (100). Winds go all over the place but the swell just isn't there. Don't bother.

From Thursday the 23rd all the way through to the end of the month, it’s grim. We’re looking at swells dropping to 0.7 ft and 1.0 ft, very low energy (often under 30), and periods short or just messy. Late July has a tiny lift on the 31st, with a 1.0 ft SSW swell, 13-second period, and glassy winds, giving us a combined energy of (43). That’s surfable in a very ordinary way, but nothing more.

So the one-and-only real standout is Sunday morning the 19th at El Conquistador. That 2 ft S swell with the offshore ENE breeze and that long 16-second period is the one bright spot in an otherwise flat forecast. It’s consistent here, so it usually doesn’t stay this poor for long, but for now, you’re looking at a whole lot of waiting around. If you're a kite surfer, the stronger wind days on the 18th and 30th might be more interesting, because for us paddle guys, it's mostly a write-off.

Rusty.

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