Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.3° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,246 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 17th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 17th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down for Flynns Reef. The next 16 days start off rough. Monday the 13th has a 10ft SW swell, but it’s getting hammered by a 28 mph cross-on wind from the NW. That’s a mess. The combined energy is high (3469), but it’s all blown out. Tuesday the 14th is no better—13ft swell in the afternoon, still onshore and ugly. Wednesday the 15th is only marginal.

Thursday the 16th drops to 6ft, but the wind is still light cross-onshore. Water temp is 57°, about average for the season. Uninspiring.

Now, here’s the real deal. Friday the 17th afternoon. The swell drops to 6ft, but it’s a long-period SW groundswell at 17 seconds. The wind goes glassy—just 3 mph from the SE. That’s clean, steep, powerful waves for the advanced crew. The energy is 1751, so there’s plenty of punch. This is the best session of the whole window.

Saturday the 18th is still decent. Morning has 4ft swell with clean cross-offshore wind, and the afternoon goes glassy again. Not as strong, but good.

Then it goes quiet. From Sunday the 19th through Thursday the 24th, the swell is small and the wind is poor. That’s a 5-day gap of nothing.

But hold up. Friday the 24th afternoon. 7ft SW swell, 17-second period, and offshore wind from the ESE at 3 mph. That’s clean, lined-up waves with an energy of 2893. This is a standout for the second week, but it’s a long way out, so don’t book your flights yet.

Bottom line: Friday 17th afternoon is your best bet. Friday 24th afternoon is a promising look. Everything else is a pass.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
4
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
4.5
WSW
15
3
SW
16
4
WSW
15
2.5
SW
15
2
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3402
4013
9246
3876
6401
2597
1594
1423
1238
1308
1246
1020
1164
1643
1140
736
526
325
221
172
252
Wind (km/h)
45
NW
45
NW
35
NW
40
WNW
40
WSW
20
WNW
20
NW
20
WNW
15
NW
10
SW
10
SSW
5
SSW
15
N
5
SE
10
NNE
15
NNE
5
NE
15
NNE
20
NNW
15
NNW
15
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
9:16PM2.10m
11:07AM2.28m
10:27PM2.11m
12:10PM2.35m
11:40PM2.14m
1:06PM2.42m
00:49AM2.19m
1:57PM2.48m
1:54AM2.24m
2:43PM2.51m
2:53AM2.27m
3:26PM2.51m
3:48AM2.27m
Low Tide
3:44PM1.08m
4:07AM0.08m
4:56PM1.04m
5:14AM0.06m
6:05PM0.94m
6:18AM0.05m
7:07PM0.79m
7:18AM0.08m
8:04PM0.62m
8:13AM0.14m
8:55PM0.46m
9:04AM0.25m
9:43PM0.34m
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
 mm
2
6
1
Temp °C
14
14
12
13
14
12
11
13
13
12
12
12
10
12
12
12
14
14
12
15
13
Feels °C
4
5
4
6
6
7
6
10
10
10
9
10
7
10
10
9
12
11
7
12
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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