Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s heading our way. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for Flynns Reef, but there’s a real gem hiding in the second week if you’re patient. The water temp is sitting at 57°F right now, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

First up, the forecast kicks off on Tuesday the 21st with a 4ft SW swell, but it’s coming in with a cross-onshore wind and the whole thing’s a bit lumpy. Not worth getting wet for, honestly. Wednesday and Thursday stay messy with onshore winds and rain, and the swell jumps up to 8ft on Thursday morning, but that wind is howling – 35 km/h onshore, making it a real chore. Even as the swell hits 10ft on Friday morning, it’s still blowing hard onshore, so it’s just a big, blown-out mess. The combined energy is strong (3729), but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

Saturday and Sunday the swell starts to ease, but it’s still onshore and lumpy. The wind finally drops back on Sunday afternoon, with a cleaner 4ft SW swell, but it’s only just a marginal call. We’re looking at a bit of a lull through Monday and Tuesday morning, with small, choppy waves.

But hold on – here’s the standout. On Tuesday the 28th, late afternoon, the wind goes glassy, just a light southerly breeze, and the swell is a solid 8ft from the SW with a long 14-second period. The combined energy is pumping (2027), and the conditions are glassy. This is the good stuff. It’s a big wave, though, over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The reef will handle that long-period energy beautifully.

Then Wednesday the 29th is looking even better. Morning brings a 10ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, light offshore winds, and clean conditions. The energy is very strong (3466). That’s a day for the big boys. The afternoon holds at 8ft with clean cross-offshores. For a few days there, the wind stays favourable, but the swell slowly drops.

After that, the swell fades into the first week of August. The first couple of days of August have clean, small waves – around 3ft to 3ft – with offshore winds, but you’ll be riding a longboard. The 16-second period on the 1st of August afternoon is very long, but on a 3ft wave, it’s just a gentle, clean push. The second week of the outlook is less certain, but a few cleaner windows are possible.

So, the real winner is Tuesday the 28th afternoon through Wednesday the 29th. That’s when the reef will be firing, with big, clean SW groundswell and perfect wind. If you’re an expert, that’s your window. Don’t expect many others out there, but the crowds are often there at Flynns, so don’t be surprised if you’ve got company.

Rusty.

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