
Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,105 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with ya – the surf outlook for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days is a real mixed bag. We’ve got some serious size and energy coming through, but the wind is going to be a constant battle for clean conditions. There are a couple of windows where it all lines up, but you’ll need to be patient and pick your moments.
The water temperature is sitting at 56°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real chance for a wave isn’t until the afternoon of Thursday, 31st July. Even then, it’s marginal. We’re looking at a 3ft swell from the SW with a 12-second period. Light cross-onshore wind and a combined energy of only 335 – it’s not going to be pumping, just a session for the desperate to wet a line. Friday morning, 1st August, is more of the same: a tiny 2ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and glassy cross-shore wind. The combined energy is weak at 384, and that long period will make it fat and straight on the reef, so it’s only for the patient.
Now, pay attention to Sunday, 2nd August. The morning session is our first proper standout. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell at 15 seconds coming in with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north. The combined energy is a solid 1185 – moderate but punchy. It won’t be huge, but it’ll be clean and lined up. Expect some crowds, because “often” is the word.
The real heavy hitter lands on Wednesday, 5th August. The morning is absolute gold for experienced surfers. A 6ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, glassy cross-offshore wind from the NNE, and combined energy of 1815 – that’s strong. The conditions are rated excellent. This is the best call of the whole outlook. It’ll be a proper reef break session with long, powerful walls. Again, crowds are likely, but for waves that good, you don’t mind sharing.
After that, the wind turns ugly again. There’s a flicker of hope on Saturday, 8th August. The morning is marginal with a 7ft SSW groundswell at a very long 17 seconds, light cross-shore wind, and massive energy of 4738. The size is serious – that’s too big for beginners and really only for experts. The afternoon cleans up beautifully with a glassy offshore breeze from the ENE. Swell drops to 5ft from the SW but it’s clean and the conditions are expected to be very good. That afternoon session is a solid secondary option if the morning is too gnarly.
After that, the wind completely destroys things from the 9th through the 10th of August. Strong, messy winds and lumpy seas – just forget about it.
So to sum it up: if you want the clean, solid, exciting stuff, be there on Sunday morning the 2nd of August. But the real standout is Wednesday morning the 5th of August – that’s the session for the crew who know what they’re doing.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the W by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed night, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
890 | 371 | 282 | 228 | 309 | 480 | 512 | 423 | 3385 | 5105 | 3778 | 2191 | 919 | 669 | 335 | 361 | 264 | 228 | 194 | 208 | 728 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:57PM1.89m | 9:46AM1.91m | 8:51PM1.82m | 10:50AM1.93m | 9:54PM1.78m | 11:49AM1.99m | 11:02PM1.78m | 12:40PM2.07m | 00:06AM1.81m | 1:23PM2.15m | 1:03AM1.87m | 2:01PM2.23m | 1:54AM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:23PM1.16m | 2:49AM0.52m | 3:25PM1.22m | 3:45AM0.55m | 4:35PM1.22m | 4:45AM0.55m | 5:43PM1.17m | 5:42AM0.52m | 6:42PM1.07m | 6:34AM0.50m | 7:30PM0.94m | 7:21AM0.48m | 8:11PM0.80m | ||||||||
7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | — | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 |
475 | 371 | 282 | 228 | 309 | 480 | 512 | 423 | 1835 | — | 3778 | 2191 | 919 | 669 | 335 | 361 | 264 | 228 | 184 | 132 | 728 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 20 |
11 | 10 | 26 | 75 | — | — | — | 273 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 18 | 63 | 96 | 194 | 208 | 75 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 22 | S 20 | — | SE 12 | SE 12 | WSW 19 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | — | 6 | 6 | 37 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | — | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 4 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 6 | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 |
890 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 62 | 45 | 3385 | 5105 | 3204 | 1918 | 80 | — | 50 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 92 | 258 | 491 | 469 | 776 | 306 | 451 | 73 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










