Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming up for Flynns Reef.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for this spot. A big pulse of swell hits early, but the wind’s a mess. Eventually, things clean up, but it takes a while to get there. The water temp is 57°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

We kick off on Tuesday the 14th with a solid 10ft SW groundswell, period at 15 seconds – that’s proper energy (4301). Problem is, the wind is screaming from the WSW at 31 mph, putting it directly onshore. The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. This is one for the experts only, and even then, it’s gonna be a choppy, blown-out mess. That kind of size and period is clean only at reefs and points, but the wind just ruins it here.

Wednesday the 15th drops to 7ft SW, still with long 14-second intervals, but the wind swings NW at 16 mph, making it cross-onshore and choppy. Thursday the 16th is more of the same – 6ft SW, 15 seconds, but cross-onshore wind. It’s marginal. Friday the 17th looks a little better with a 5ft SW swell, 16-second period, and a lighter cross-shore breeze, but it’s still just okay, not a standout. The combined energy is still in the strong range though (1265).

Saturday the 18th afternoon is where we finally get a glimpse of something good. The swell drops to 4ft SW with 14-second intervals, and the wind goes light offshore from the ESE at 3 mph. The forecast calls for clean conditions. It’s a small wave day, but if you want a longboard or a fun board and a glassy surface, this is your window. The crowd situation here says “often,” so expect company.

Sunday the 19th through to Tuesday the 22nd is a flat spell. Swell drops under 3ft and the wind is poor – cross-shore and lumpy. The combined energy sinks to just 2-digit numbers in the low 200s. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s the real standout for the whole forecast. On Thursday the 23rd, a new SW groundswell arrives at 7ft with 15-second periods, energy reading 2010. The wind is cross-shore and moderate, so it’s still a little bumpy, but the power is there. Then Friday the 24th morning – this is it. The swell holds at 6ft from the SW, period at 15 seconds, and the wind turns offshore from the ESE at 9 mph. The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a clean, lined-up reef break with proper energy (1295). It’s still in the advanced range for size, but if you’re competent, this is the session to aim for. The offshore breeze will groom it nicely.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th continue with 6ft to 5ft SW swells and offshore or cross-offshore winds, keeping things clean. The energy stays solid in the 3-digit range. Monday the 27th has a late burst, with 6ft WSW swell and light cross-offshore wind, but after that, it fades fast.

Forget the final days of the 28th and 29th – small, onshore, chopped-up. Not worth your time.

If I had to pick one day to mark on the calendar, it’s Friday the 24th morning. Clean offshore wind, solid 6ft SW groundswell, and that reef line-up handling the long 15-second period. It’s a gem in a forecast that’s mostly just okay.

Rusty.

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