Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into the surf ahead for Flynns Reef. There’s a lot of water moving, but you gotta be smart about when you paddle out. The start looks mint before the wind turns it all to mush.

The first call is your standout. Sunday the 16th, early session at Flynns Reef (Big Island) is the pick. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell with a proper 14-second pulse. Energy is moderate at 726, and the water temp is 55°, right where it should be for this time of year. Light NE cross-offshore wind means it’s going to be glassy and perfect. That’s your session. The afternoon stays clean, just the wind shift a touch more south.

Monday the 17th keeps it going with a similar 4ft SW swell. The morning is clean with an offshore ENE breeze. The arvo picks up a 15 mph SE wind, but the swell period stretches out to 16 seconds, and the energy climbs to 931. Still a very good wave. Tuesday the 18th sees more of the same, with 3-4ft of SW swell and light winds keeping it tidy.

Now here’s where it turns. From Wednesday the 19th, the wind goes onshore and doesn’t let up. Wednesday and Thursday are poor, with bumpy, messy surf and the swell dropping off. Friday the 21st a new pulse of SW swell comes in at 4-5ft, energy jumps to 1670, but it’s buried under a strong north-west cross-onshore. Completely blown out.

The weekend is a full-on washout. Saturday the 22nd sees the swell jump to a solid 7-8ft with strong energy at 2567, but the onshore wind is relentless. This isn’t paddle surfing, it’s a full-on chaos zone, more for the kite crowd. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th stay poor as the swell eases, but the wind stays messy and we even see some showers. It’s a grim stretch.

Tuesday the 25th is more of the same: fresh, messy winds and a churned-up ocean. Wednesday the 26th, the swell pulses again to a powerful 8ft, but the period is short at 10 seconds, and it’s crossed up by a strong south-southwest cross-onshore. That’s only for the brave, and even then, it’s hard to see much fun.

Finally, we get a reprieve. Thursday the 27th, the wind drops to a light south-southwest cross. The swell settles to 3-4ft with a gorgeous 17-second period. Energy is still moderate at 1158. The notes say “marginal,” so the tide might be a factor, but it’s a huge improvement. Friday the 28th stays similar, small 3ft swell and light winds. Saturday the 29th looks the same.

Then we get the second standout. Sunday the 30th, the afternoon goes dead glassy, zero wind. Swell holds at a clean 3-4ft, SW, with a 15-second period. Energy at 542. The comment says “good surf conditions.” That Sunday arvo is your golden window for the second week. A clean, gentle, long-period reef wave. Just remember, it’s further out, so treat it with a bit of caution. Monday the 31st looks like the cross-shore winds come back, so that Sunday window is the one.

So, to sum it up: two golden windows. Sunday morning the 16th and Monday the 17th, and then Sunday afternoon the 30th. The middle stretch is a mess. Stick to those windows.

Rusty out.

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