Flynns Reef surf break

Flynns Reef surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 pm Saturday 16 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
16.0° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 20) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (May 16) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 17th May)5ft (1.5m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 17th May)5ft (1.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 20th May)5ft (1.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon).

Sat
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
Friday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
3
0
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
1
SW
11
1.3
SW
11
1.5
SW
10
0.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SSW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
268
1014
879
581
471
424
392
277
197
237
414
450
167
1239
987
447
352
369
639
488
281
Wind (km/h)
20
N
15
NW
15
NNE
15
SW
5
WNW
5
NNW
5
SW
10
NW
10
WSW
30
SW
25
SSW
30
SSW
30
SW
25
SW
20
SSW
20
SW
15
W
10
NNW
5
SW
10
N
25
NNW
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
glassy
cross
cross-on
High Tide
10:32PM2.03m
11:57AM2.38m
11:31PM2.10m
12:53PM2.52m
00:27AM2.19m
1:45PM2.61m
1:22AM2.27m
2:35PM2.65m
2:16AM2.32m
3:23PM2.63m
3:10AM2.32m
4:09PM2.58m
4:04AM2.28m
Low Tide
4:54PM0.93m
5:07AM0.19m
5:57PM0.88m
6:03AM0.02m
6:54PM0.81m
6:58AM-0.10m
7:46PM0.74m
7:51AM-0.16m
8:36PM0.67m
8:43AM-0.14m
9:25PM0.61m
9:33AM-0.04m
10:15PM0.57m
10:23AM0.12m
cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:18
7:18
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:14
5:13
5:12
5:12
5:10
3
4
1
Temp °C
22
19
15
15
16
16
16
16
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
16
15
13
14
14
14
18
15
13
14
16
16
15
14
13
8
8
10
8
9
10
14
12
12
14
12
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.3
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
1.1
WSW
10
0.8
SW
10
1
WSW
10
0.1
S
11
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
12
Energy kJ
268
1014
879
581
471
424
392
277
197
53
155
245
120
220
2
447
352
369
639
488
281
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
7
1.3
WSW
13
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SW
22
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
18
0.2
SSW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.1
SE
11
0.5
SSW
4
0.1
SE
11
0.3
SE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
Energy kJ
5
569
6
7
7
18
18
60
84
32
148
167
302
314
5
11
5
17
10
10
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.2
SSW
3
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
SSW
17
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
11
0.3
SE
11
0.1
SE
12
Energy kJ
18
18
1
8
8
30
9
11
18
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NNW
3
0.4
SW
3
1
SW
11
1.3
SW
11
1.5
SW
10
1
SSW
6
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
5
0.4
NW
2
Energy kJ
2
3
237
414
450
58
1239
987
37
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
Distance (km)
9
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
306
69
70
490
69
2
70
2
2
0
2
10
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
1
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
2
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
6
6
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
6
7
4
7
4
4
4
4
7
4
9
9
9
9
9
5
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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