Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what we’ve got on the surf front. Let’s be straight with each other – this forecast is a long wait for a brief window of quality. There’s no surf worth paddling for until Sunday the 5th, so we’ve got a few days of watching the wind and waiting.

The standout window is Sunday morning, the 5th. After days of brutal onshore gales, the stars finally line up for Flynns Reef. We’ve got a solid 8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 17-second period, packing a hell of a punch with a combined swell energy of 4810. That’s a serious amount of water moving. But the real magic is the wind – light offshore from the ESE at just 12 mph. That breeze will groom that big SW swell into clean, lined-up walls. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers only; at over 8ft, this is expert territory. The long period makes it a proper groundswell, which for a reef setup like this, means thick, powerful barrels and long rides. Expect crowds often at this spot on a day like this.

After that peak, Sunday afternoon sees the swell drop slightly to 7ft from the SSW, but the wind freshens and turns offshore, still clean but with more juice. The energy drops a notch to 2680.

Things drop right off Monday the 6th. We’re down to a smaller 4ft SW swell, though the period stays long at 15 seconds. Light cross-offshore breezes will keep it tidy, with combined energy at just 547. It’s clean, small, and fun for a longboard or a fish, but nothing compared to the Sunday morning freight train.

From Tuesday the 7th of July right through to the 18th, the outlook turns bleak. Wind swings onshore or howling cross-shore, making a mess of things. The swell fluctuates between 2ft and 12ft but it’s all blown out or chopped up. That big 12ft pulse on Wednesday the 15th is a perfect example – huge wave energy (8751) but with a strong cross-onshore wind, so it’s just a lumpy, dangerous closeout. I wouldn’t bother. This stretch is probably more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

So, for the crew willing to wait, Sunday morning the 5th is your shot. Be early, be ready, and be experienced. That’s the only real highlight in the whole 16-day run.

Rusty.

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