Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 18s period, SW swell with 3,183 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright surfers, ol' Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way. We've only got one spot to focus on this time, Flynns Reef, and it's a bit of a mixed bag with some real potential if you're an experienced surfer.
Right now, the surf is a bit of a mess. The first couple of days are on the bigger side with a strong 7ft SSW groundswell (moderate wave energy of 4540) on Sunday, but the cross-off wind at 16 mph will make it tricky. This is a spot for advanced crew only at this size. The water temp is feeling about average for this time of year.
However, Monday afternoon is where it starts to get glassy. The swell drops to a clean 3ft from the SW, and with the wind turning glassy, it'll be pure perfection. The sets will have decent 14-second gaps, making the paddle out a bit easier as well. It's not a huge day, but the conditions will be pristine.
The standout window is really Wednesday, July 8th. By Wednesday afternoon, the swell picks up to a solid 5ft from the SW, and the wind is dead glassy. This is going to be the day for experienced surfers. The wave energy is moderate to strong (1828) and the long period of 18 seconds means awesome, powerful lines off the reef. This is as good as it gets. Keep in mind, this break sees crowds sometimes.
After that, the wind turns messy. From Thursday the 9th through Sunday the 20th, we get a long stretch of onshore, cross-on, and strong winds with the swell pumping from 4ft up to 10ft. A lot of that bigger stuff (over 8ft) is for experts only, but with the wind being so poor, it's really more of a kite-surfing show than a clean paddle session. The conditions will be choppy and lumpy, so you might want to sit this stretch out.
For the long-range look, Monday July 20th has an 8ft SSW swell, but those fresh cross-onshore winds will have it all lumped up. It's a promising swell, but less certain to be clean.
So, to sum it up: get on it Monday afternoon for the glassy perfection, or for the power and size, make Wednesday July 8th your target. Everything else is for the windsurfers or the very determined locals.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2092 | 2964 | 2463 | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 272 | 663 | 567 | 623 | 1241 | 1591 | 1004 | 692 | 472 | 307 | 773 | 696 | 535 | 377 | 867 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:54AM1.93m | 3:36PM2.32m | 3:37AM1.96m | 4:08PM2.32m | 4:21AM2.00m | 4:39PM2.30m | 5:06AM2.04m | 5:11PM2.27m | 5:54AM2.09m | 5:47PM2.24m | 6:47AM2.13m | 6:28PM2.20m | 7:46AM2.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:02AM0.44m | 9:51PM0.70m | 9:40AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.61m | 10:19AM0.56m | 11:01PM0.51m | 11:00AM0.64m | 11:38PM0.41m | 11:45AM0.74m | 00:19AM0.31m | 12:34PM0.85m | 1:07AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.96m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — |
 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 1427 | 2964 | 2463 | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 272 | 663 | 567 | 623 | 1241 | 1591 | 1004 | 692 | 472 | 293 | 773 | 696 | 535 | 377 | 469 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | ESE 12 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | — | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 373 | 1576 | 469 | — | 4 | 1 | 16 | 31 | — | 14 | 273 | 237 | — | 12 | 11 | 307 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | 125 | — | — | — | — | 31 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | SE 4 | ESE 5 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 2092 | — | 44 | 27 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 38 | 867 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 126 | 1 | 115 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 69 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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