Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Well, I’m not gonna lie to you—it’s a tough stretch ahead. The first few days are a write-off. We’re looking at a solid gap of about a week with nothing really worth paddling out for. The wind is howling from the north and west, and the swell is just a mess. It’s not until the afternoon of Friday, August 7th that we finally see a glimmer of hope.

The overall pattern is a long, drawn-out period of poor conditions. The wind is just relentless, and the swell is all over the place. The one spot we’ve got to talk about is Flynns Reef. It’s a consistent, advanced reef break that’s fairly exposed to the SW, which is exactly where this swell is coming from. The water temp is sitting around 56°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing crazy.

Now, the standout. The best of the whole 16 days, and it’s not even close, is the afternoon of Friday, August 7th. Flynns Reef is going to be the place to be. The wind swings around to a light ESE breeze, coming cross-offshore, which will have the waves looking clean. The swell is a solid 4ft from the SW, with a very long period of 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, full of energy. The combined energy is a beefy 1321, so there’s plenty of push. This is a reef break, so that long period will wrap in beautifully and give you some proper, well-shaped lines. It’s an advanced wave, so beginners should stay on the beach, but for the experienced crew, this is the one. The crowds are often there, so you won’t be alone. The water is average temp for the year, no surprises there.

The morning of the 7th is a "maybe" if you’re desperate, with a light cross-shore breeze, but the afternoon is the real deal.

After that, it goes back to the wind woes. The 8th and 9th are blown out again with strong northerlies. We get another little flicker on the morning of Saturday, August 15th and Sunday, August 16th. On the 15th, the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SE, but the swell is only 4ft with a combined energy of 705. It’s marginal, but it’s clean. The 16th is the best of the second week. The morning of the 16th shows a light offshore wind from the east, with a clean 3ft SW swell and a period of 16 seconds. The energy is down to 466, so it’s not a powerhouse, but that offshore breeze will make it look like a million bucks. It’s a good session for the more experienced surfer who can make the most of the clean conditions.

Overall, it’s a long, frustrating wait, but that Friday the 7th afternoon is a true gem. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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