Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m gonna give you the straight-up local outlook for Flynns Reef. We’ve got a 16-day window, but let’s be real – there’s a heap of dross to wade through before we get to any decent waves.

The forecast kicks off on Thursday, the 13th of August, with a solid 8ft SW swell packing a massive punch of energy (3212) – that’s some serious power. But the wind is a cross-on from the WNW at 15 mph, and it’s choppy. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. Honestly, Thursday and Friday are a write-off for a clean surf. The swell is big, but it’s messy. We’re looking at a long gap of poor to marginal conditions right through until the end of the week.

Now, we finally get a little hope. The standout of the whole outlook is Sunday, the 16th of August, morning. The swell has dropped to a very manageable 4ft from the SW, but the key is the wind – it’s a clean cross-off from the ENE at 9 mph. The water will be glassy, and the wave energy is moderate (737). This is your best bet for a proper session. The afternoon looks good too, with a light SSE breeze.

Monday, the 17th, is also a solid option. The morning sees a true offshore wind from the ENE (9 mph) with a 4ft SW swell. The waves will be clean and lined up. The afternoon is even better, with a 4ft SW swell and a 16-second period – that’s a long period groundswell, which means great shape and energy, but be aware it can make the reef a bit more shifty. The energy is still moderate (909).

Tuesday, the 18th, holds some clean surf too, with a 3ft to 4ft SW swell and light cross-off winds. It’s not a giant, but it’s clean and fun. After that, the swell backs right off into the 19th and 20th, so we’re looking at a few days of nothing much.

There’s a bit of a tease for Monday, the 24th of August. The morning is marginal with a 4ft SW swell and onshore wind, but the afternoon is a gem. The wind goes glassy – absolutely flat calm – and the swell is still 4ft from the SW. That’s a rare, clean window. The energy is moderate (722). This is your second standout.

The end of the run gets wild. The 26th of August shows a massive 10ft swell from the WSW with a 17-second period and a near-gale force wind. That’s huge energy (8209), but it’s a complete mess with onshore winds. That’s not for paddle surfing – that’s a kite surfer’s dream. The rest of the month is a mix of onshore and cross-shore winds with dropping swell, so it’s mainly a washout.

Bottom line: Sunday the 16th morning is your best wave of the month – clean, a decent size, and good energy. Monday the 24th afternoon is your dark horse, if the glassy conditions hold. Everything else is a struggle.

Stay frothy,
Rusty.

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