Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the surf over the next couple of weeks at Flynns Reef.

First up, the water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there. The spot is a consistent reef break for advanced surfers and it’s fairly exposed to the swell, with an optimum direction from the southwest.

Right now, we’ve got a solid pulse of SW groundswell rolling in, but the wind is a mess. Tuesday the 14th looks ugly – a strong breeze and a near gale wrecking the lineup with 10ft of SW swell. The energy reading is huge at 3,876 to 4,511, but you’ll be fighting a blown-out mess. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 15th is still on the poor side. Swell drops to 7ft, still SW, but with a moderate cross-onshore wind, it’s choppy and not inviting.

Thursday the 16th shows improvement – the wind slackens right off to next to nothing for the morning session. Swell is 6ft from the SW at 15 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell. The energy is moderate (1,308). It’s still only marginal, but the glassy morning could give you a few clean ones if you pick your tides.

Friday the 17th is where it gets interesting. The morning is still a bit cross, but the afternoon goes glassy. Swell sits at 6ft, SW, and the period stretches to 17 seconds – that’s very long period energy. The combined swell energy pushes up to 1,996, which is solid moderate. That’s the best wave quality on offer for this whole period. Clean, lined-up groundswell on a reef. That Friday arvo session is a standout.

Saturday the 18th still has a glassy afternoon with 4ft SW swell, but it’s smaller and the energy drops to 541. A fun, smaller day but not the same juice as Friday.

From Sunday the 19th through to Wednesday the 24th, things go flat or get wrecked by fresh to strong breezes. Swell drops under 3ft, and despite occasional glassy pockets, the energy is low (200 to 400 range). There’s a stretch of about 5 days here where it’s really not worth it – poor surf quality and mostly onshore junk.

Thursday the 24th sees a jump back up to 6ft SW swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore and lumpy again. Energy is moderate (1,320), but it’s blown. Not the pick.

Then from the 25th to the 27th, we get cleaner conditions with cross-offshore winds (ESE/SE), but the swell is only around 3ft to 4ft, and the energy is low. It’s clean but small.

The last date to keep an eye on is Wednesday the 29th. The morning shows 5ft SW swell with a massive 19-second period – that’s an incredibly long groundswell. The energy is moderate to strong (1,417), and the wind is a light cross-shore. That’s a promising long-range call, but it’s over a week away so things could shift. If it holds, that’ll be one for the experienced crew, as long-period swells can wall up on a reef and offer some proper lines.

Bottom line: Friday the 17th afternoon is the clear standout right now – glassy, solid groundswell, great energy. Wednesday the 29th is one to watch if you’re planning ahead.

Rusty.

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