Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,713 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on offer for Flynns Reef over the next couple of weeks.
First up, we gotta be straight with you: the first several days are a write-off. Strong onshore winds and building swell are making a mess of things. Wednesday the 2nd through to Saturday the 5th are all blown out with poor conditions. The energy is there, with combined swell energy readings hitting over 1000 and up past 3000, but it’s all crud. You’d be wasting your time.
Sunday the 6th is the first real glimmer. The morning is still a bit lumpy with a cross-onshore breeze, but the afternoon turns it around. We get a clean cross-offshore breeze from the SE, a 5ft swell from the SW with a solid 14-second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 1064. It’s tidy, but it’s really just a warm-up.
Monday the 7th is a small day. The swell drops right off to 2ft and 3ft, with combined energy barely hitting 200. Clean conditions in the afternoon, but it’s tiny.
Now, here’s the standout you’ve been waiting for: Tuesday morning the 8th. It’s glassy. As in, zero wind. A 3ft SW groundswell hits with an 18-second period – that’s a very long period, meaning proper, powerful lines. The combined energy is a reasonable 886. This is about as clean as Flynns gets. This is the pick of the bunch for the whole forecast. For a reef break, that long period is perfect, and the conditions are pristine. Get on it.
The afternoon of the 8th gets a bit choppy again with a moderate cross-onshore wind, so the morning window is the clear winner.
Wednesday the 9th is a no-go. The swell jumps to 8ft and then 12ft with a near-gale wind, making it far too big and messy for this spot. The energy is extreme (15,342). That’s a big swell for experts only, but the wind is throwing it off.
The 10th is also too big for this break, with 12ft SW swells and gale-force cross-offshore winds. Massive energy numbers (around 7000). It’s clean, but it’s a beast.
The next real window to get excited about is Friday the 11th in the afternoon. The swell drops to 7ft, still a solid SW groundswell at 15 seconds, with a gentle cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. Combined energy is 1966. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The morning of the 11th is also good with a moderate offshore wind and 8ft, but the afternoon is that little bit more manageable.
Saturday the 12th is another good one. A 5ft SW swell in the morning with a very light cross-offshore and clean conditions, then it builds to 8ft in the afternoon with the same clean conditions. Both windows are excellent for experienced surfers.
After that, it gets a bit mixed. Sunday the 13th has an 8ft swell in the morning but a fresh cross-offshore wind keeps it clean, though the energy is high (4091). The afternoon drops off. Monday the 14th is too big again at 12ft. Tuesday the 15th morning has a moderate offshore wind and a 7ft SW swell – excellent for the crew who can handle it. The week finishes with a couple of marginal days, but Wednesday the 16th afternoon is glassy with a 6ft SW swell at 15 seconds. That’s a lovely way to end the period.
So, to sum it up: the best waves are on Tuesday morning the 8th for the glassy perfection, and Friday afternoon the 11th for a bigger, powerful session. The crowds are likely here, so keep that in mind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
535 | 991 | 1592 | 1638 | 2032 | 2967 | 3491 | 3269 | 2865 | 2087 | 1456 | 3154 | 2254 | 1760 | 1033 | 529 | 217 | 161 | 256 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:07AM2.31m | 3:06PM2.32m | 3:49AM2.38m | 3:41PM2.34m | 4:32AM2.40m | 4:18PM2.34m | 5:17AM2.38m | 4:57PM2.32m | 6:05AM2.31m | 5:41PM2.26m | 6:59AM2.21m | 6:33PM2.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:07AM0.56m | 9:26PM0.18m | 9:47AM0.59m | 10:04PM0.09m | 10:27AM0.65m | 10:45PM0.05m | 11:09AM0.73m | 11:30PM0.06m | 11:54AM0.83m | 00:19AM0.12m | 12:46PM0.92m | 1:16AM0.23m | |||||||
— | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
535 | 991 | 1592 | 1638 | 2032 | — | 3491 | 3269 | 2865 | 2087 | 1456 | — | — | 1760 | 1033 | 529 | 217 | 161 | 184 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | SSW 9 | SW 22 | SE 4 | SW 20 |
85 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 256 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 22 | SSW 19 |
13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 37 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 12 | SW 13 | — | — | ENE 3 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 5 |
15 | 57 | — | 16 | 43 | 2967 | — | — | — | 19 | 75 | 3154 | 2254 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 70 | 4 | 10 | 61 | 73 | 73 | 69 | 22 | 2 | 113 | 456 | 457 | 73 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











