Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers. Rusty here, and let’s take a look at what’s on the menu for the next 16 days. It’s going to be a bit of a mixed bag, with some real challenges early on and a couple of windows worth keeping an eye on.

We’re looking at a long stretch of tricky conditions to kick things off. From the start of the period right through the end of the first week, it’s mostly a write-off. The wind is howling from the northwest and west, and the swell, while occasionally pushing through decent energy, is blown to bits. The combined swell energy will be bouncing around from moderate (519) up to very strong (6797) mid-week, but it’s all cross-shore and lumpy. You’ll be fighting a gale, not catching waves.

Things start to turn a corner in the second week. The standout moment, and the one you really want to circle on your calendar, is Monday, August 3rd, late in the day. Flynns Reef is looking at a solid SW swell around 5ft, with a nice 15-second period from the groundswell. But the real secret weapon here is the wind – gentle breeze going cross-offshore. That’s the recipe for clean, lined-up waves with some real push behind them. The combined swell energy is up at 1064, so there’s plenty of grunt.

Also worth a mention, keep your eye on Friday, August 7th for the afternoon session. The swell drops a little to 2ft, but it's coming from a very long period SW groundswell at 23 seconds. Combined energy is a solid 1017, and more importantly, the wind goes totally glassy and calm. For a reef break like Flynns, those conditions could offer some real beauty, but with a period that long, the sets will be slower and more walled—perfect for a point or reef setup if you can get the drop right. It’s an expert’s wave.

Earlier in the week, Tuesday, August 4th has a couple of afternoons with clean, cross-offshore winds on smaller 3ft to 4ft swell, and even Thursday, August 6th looks clean and tidy with light cross-offshore breeze on chest-high waves. Good for a beginner or a longboard.

Just be aware, the last few days of the outlook, around August 10th and beyond, the swell really starts to pump again, getting up to 13ft, but that’s big and a bit unruly. The combined swell energy hits a massive 10749, marking it as very strong, but the onshore winds and size will make it a paddle-out mission that’s strictly for the experienced crew. For beginners, stay well away when it’s over 5ft, and definitely when it’s over 8ft.

So, to sum it up: first week is a write-off. The call for the best waves is Monday, August 3rd afternoon at Flynns Reef, with Friday the 7th afternoon as a close-second for the glassy conditions. Keep an eye on the winds, and we might get some good ones.

Rusty.

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