Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Flynns Reef.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the next week or so is looking pretty grim. There's a solid run of days where the wind is just gonna mess everything up. The forecast kicks off Sunday the 13th with a messy cross-shore wind at 19 mph on a small 4ft SW swell, and it doesn't really clean up from there. The water is sitting at 57°, which is a touch warmer than we'd normally expect for this time of year, but that's small comfort when the conditions are this poor.

We've got a big pulse of SW swell rolling in around the 15th and 16th, with heights pushing up to 10ft to 12ft, and the combined swell energy is absolutely pumping – we're talking values up to 6982. That's serious power, and the period is a solid 14-15 seconds, so it's proper groundswell. But here's the catch: the wind is howling out of the SSW and SW at 22 to 28 mph, making it cross-shore or cross-onshore. It's going to be a lumpy, messy, blown-out mess. That kind of power is really only for experts, and even then, it won't be pretty.

We do get a brief window of something special. Monday the 21st, mark it on your calendar. After all that wind, we get a total glass-off. The wind goes NNE at just 3 mph in the morning, turning SSE at 3 mph in the afternoon. That's glassy conditions. The swell is still a solid 7ft to 8ft from the SW with a 13-14 second period (combined energy around 1649 to 1857), so there's plenty of push. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. That's your standout. Get on it early because Tuesday the 22nd, the wind swings back to the NW at 19 mph and it's game over again.

After that, we see another clean-up on Wednesday the 23rd with an offshore ENE breeze at 6 mph, making for clean 5ft SW swell. It's worth a look, but it's not as powerful as the Monday session.

Further out, on Monday the 28th of September, there's another promising morning with a light SE cross-offshore breeze and a clean 5ft SW groundswell (16-second period, combined energy of 1564). It's a bit smaller and the energy is moderate, but the conditions look clean for experienced surfers again. Keep an eye on that one.

So, to wrap it up: most of this 16-day run is a write-off thanks to the wind. The one true standout is Monday the 21st with that glassy morning and solid, powerful groundswell. The morning of the 23rd and the 28th are also worth a mention, but they're secondary. The rest is blown out, lumpy, or just plain ugly.

Stay patient, and keep your eyes on that Monday the 21st.

Rusty.

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