Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Flynns Reef are a mixed bag, and you’re gonna have to pick your moments. The first few days are pretty ordinary, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll have your heart pumping.

Right off the bat, Saturday morning (August 8th) has a bit of swell – 4ft from the southwest, but that northerly breeze is making things messy with a cross-chop. Not worth getting excited about. The water temp is 56°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no drama there.

We’ve got a rough run through Sunday and Monday. The wind is howling, and while Monday afternoon does see the swell jump to 8ft from the southwest, it’s onshore and messy. This is not a paddle-out situation; with that strong wind and a beach setup, this looks more interesting for the kite surfers than us.

Tuesday and Wednesday stay poor. Wednesday afternoon gets serious – 8ft from the west-southwest with a near gale. That’s wild, but not good surf. By Thursday morning, it’s up to 12ft – that’s big, gnarly, and only for experts, but the wind is still ruining it. 13ft on Thursday afternoon is just pure chaos. Over 8ft is only for the experienced, and with that onshore wind, even they’ll be scratching their heads.

Friday stays big and blown out. Honestly, the first week is a write-off. We’re looking at a solid seven days of onshore slop and building swell with nowhere to hide.

Now, we finally see a light at the end of the tunnel. Sunday morning, August 16th, the wind drops to nothing – glassy. The swell backs down to 5ft, still from the southwest. That’s clean. This is the first real chance to get a few.

Monday the 17th looks even better. A light cross-offshore breeze from the east-northeast, 4ft of southwest swell, and the conditions are clean. This is your first standout. It’s still a bit small, but it’s clean and rideable. The period is 14 seconds, which is a solid groundswell, and it’s hitting the reef properly. This is the one to circle.

Tuesday the 18th is still okay, but a bit smaller. The next real highlight, and the best of the whole run, lands on Friday, August 21st. The morning is glassy with a 7ft southwest swell, and the period is a solid 16 seconds. The notes say “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the standout. It’s got size, it’s got power, and it’s glassy. The afternoon backs off slightly to 7ft with a light cross-offshore breeze, still clean. This is the big one. The swell direction is southwest, which is the optimum for Flynns Reef, so it should be lining up nicely. This is going to be worth the wait.

The following few days are back to the usual cross-shore chop, so don’t sleep on that Friday window. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but it’s looking like the best surf on offer.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total dud. The second week sees clean conditions return, with Monday the 17th as a good warm-up, and Friday the 21st as the real standout – solid size, clean faces, and a proper reef break. That’s the one you want to be on.

Rusty.

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