Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.5° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,402 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 24th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey crew, Rusty checkin' in. Let's break down what Flynns Reef has in store.

First off, you have to be patient. From now through Friday, July 24th, the ocean is angry. We have a lot of rain and howling winds making the ocean lumpy and unrideable. Don't even think about paddling out.

The whole weekend and start of the following week is the same story. There's plenty of wave energy out there, with power readings over 4400 on Saturday the 25th, but strong onshore winds are just wreckin' every wave. It’s a real bummer.

The tide starts to turn on Wednesday, July 29th. The wind cleans up, going cross-offshore. Wednesday afternoon is where it’s at. A gentle breeze from the SE makes for clean conditions, and we’ve got 5ft surf from the SW with a 15-second period. That is legitimate groundswell with solid energy (1581), and on a reef setup like Flynns, this is your best chance for a session worth rememberin'. Mark it down.

Thursday, July 30th, is good too with offshore winds, but the swell is already droppin' down to about 4 to 4ft. By Friday the 31st, it’s glassy but tiny – maybe 2ft on a good one.

The first week of August, the swell builds again but the wind stays tricky. The 5th and 6th see some big numbers again, with a 6ft SW groundswell and a very long 17-second period, but you’ve got near-gale winds blowin' over 30 mph. That kind of power in the water with that much wind, even if it’s cross-offshore, is for experts only. The water temp is around 56°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

So here's the takeaway: your window is small but sweet. Wednesday the 29th of July, especially the afternoon, is your standout day. Get out there if you can.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the WSW on Wed night, near gales from the WSW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WSW
12
1.6
SW
11
2.4
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
3
WSW
12
2
SW
12
2.3
WSW
11
1.4
SW
11
1.6
SW
10
1.6
SW
11
1.6
SW
11
1.6
SW
11
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
545
652
2350
2643
4834
3729
2633
1968
2827
1144
1362
475
523
584
617
617
1103
1500
1643
1331
Wind (km/h)
30
SW
35
W
35
W
45
WSW
55
WSW
35
W
35
WNW
40
WNW
30
WNW
30
W
25
WNW
35
NW
30
WNW
30
NW
30
WNW
25
W
20
NNW
25
NNW
15
WNW
10
W
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
5:21PM2.31m
6:15AM2.11m
5:57PM2.20m
7:02AM2.04m
6:33PM2.09m
7:51AM1.98m
7:12PM1.98m
8:46AM1.93m
7:57PM1.89m
9:46AM1.91m
8:51PM1.82m
10:50AM1.93m
9:54PM1.78m
Low Tide
11:52PM0.29m
12:01PM0.83m
00:32AM0.34m
12:44PM0.96m
1:13AM0.41m
1:30PM1.07m
1:58AM0.47m
2:23PM1.16m
2:49AM0.52m
3:25PM1.22m
3:45AM0.55m
4:35PM1.22m
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:24
5:25
 mm
4
5
2
2
4
1
1
1
1
5
Temp °C
13
11
11
11
11
11
12
13
12
13
12
12
14
13
13
14
14
14
16
14
Feels °C
7
5
2
0
-1
3
4
5
6
7
6
6
10
8
7
10
10
9
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Flynns Reef:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Flynns Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest