Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a rough start, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get you smiling if you’re patient.

We’re looking at a period that starts off pretty average, with a whole lot of onshore and cross-onshore wind messing things up. There’s a real stretch of days where the surf is going to be poor, especially from Wednesday the 19th right through to Sunday the 23rd. It’s not that there’s no swell, it’s just that the wind is going to have it all chopped up and lumpy. That Saturday the 22nd looks particularly trying, with a solid push of swell – we’re talking up to 10ft – but it’s coming with moderate cross-onshore winds, making it a messy, powerful beast. That’s one for the experts only if they’re desperate, and honestly, the conditions will be more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers.

The first real sign of life comes on the morning of Sunday the 23rd. It’s still a bit rough, but the swell is a clean 5.6ft from the SW with a solid 14-second period. Then the next day, Monday the 24th, is a bit of a step back again. So, not much to write home about in the first week.

Now, hold on, because the start of the second week is where it gets interesting. The standout window is the morning of Monday the 31st of August. We finally get some glassy conditions with a light SSE wind, almost no breeze at all. The swell is a clean 3.9ft from the SW with a long 16-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and Flynns Reef (Big Island) will be handling it beautifully. It’s a reef break, so that long period is perfect – you’ll get those long, clean lines wrapping in. The energy is moderate, coming in at 855, but with that glassy surface, it’ll be worth it. This is the best call for a clean, quality surf.

Following right behind that, the morning of Wednesday the 2nd of September looks promising too. We’ve got a 4.3ft SW swell with a 17-second period, again with offshore ENE winds. Another very clean option, though a bit later in the forecast, so treat it as promising but less certain. The energy is moderate at 1045, and onshore it’ll be clean and lined up.

So, the long and short of it is: the first week is mostly a write-off for a good surf. Get your chores done. But keep your eyes on that Monday the 31st and Wednesday the 2nd. Those are your windows.

Right, that’s the long-range forecast for Flynns Reef. The water temp is sitting around 55.6°, which is about normal for this time of year. It’s not a shock to the system. Stay patient and pick your moments.

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