Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 7,747 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 3.0m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Flynns Reef for the next couple of weeks.
First off, the early days are a bust. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are blown out with strong cross-onshore winds, big lumpy surf over 8ft, and a ton of energy. It’s a mess. Not worth your time.
The first real chance to score is Friday morning, the 11th. It’s glassy, with a 6ft SW groundswell and a very long 15-second period. The energy is solid. This is a reef break, so that long period will line up nicely. It’s an advanced wave, and it can get crowded. This is the pick of the first week.
Saturday morning, the 12th, is clean with a light offshore breeze, 6ft SW swell and a 16-second period. Another excellent window for the experienced crew.
It gets sloppy again from Sunday into Monday, then Tuesday the 15th sees a huge jump to 10ft of SW swell, but it’s cross-onshore and messy. The energy is huge (4508), but the quality is poor.
The next big standout is a long way off, on Wednesday the 23rd of September. The morning shows a massive 12ft SW swell with a 19-second period and enormous energy (7979). The wind is moderate cross-shore, but the report says the swell is too big for this break. That’s a serious caution – only for the absolute top-level experts. The afternoon is still a massive 10ft.
There are a few clean-ish windows on the 19th and 22nd, but nothing compares to those Friday and Saturday morning sessions.
Bottom line: Friday morning, the 11th, and Saturday morning, the 12th, are your best bets. Glassy, clean, long-period groundswell, and proper energy. The huge stuff on the 23rd is for the daredevils only.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, strong winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7344 | 5419 | 7284 | 3334 | 2465 | 1719 | 1229 | 1417 | 1852 | 1384 | 1200 | 918 | 614 | 580 | 309 | 261 | 176 | 447 | 2752 | 1591 | 1343 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:51PM2.00m | 10:18AM2.07m | 10:16PM1.99m | 11:22AM2.11m | 11:35PM2.06m | 12:16PM2.17m | 00:42AM2.17m | 1:04PM2.24m | 1:37AM2.28m | 1:46PM2.28m | 2:25AM2.36m | 2:26PM2.30m | 3:08AM2.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:02PM1.00m | 3:33AM0.45m | 4:21PM0.91m | 4:47AM0.51m | 5:32PM0.76m | 5:55AM0.53m | 6:30PM0.57m | 6:53AM0.53m | 7:20PM0.40m | 7:43AM0.54m | 8:04PM0.27m | 8:28AM0.56m | 8:45PM0.19m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1299 | 373 | 7284 | 3334 | 2465 | 1719 | 1229 | 1417 | 1852 | 1384 | 1200 | 918 | 614 | 580 | 309 | 261 | 176 | 79 | 2752 | 1591 | 1343 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 216 | — | 454 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | W 4 | SW 8 | SW 13 | — | — |
| kJ | 7344 | 5419 | 5122 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 447 | 1756 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 516 | 1484 | 73 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | 61 | 21 | 73 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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