Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.2°C
0.7° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,573 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 24th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 13s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 28th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 17s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s going on for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a real standout day coming up that’s worth keeping an eye on.

First up, the early part of the week is a write-off. Monday (24th August) is a no-go with a strong cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. The swell is there, a clean 4ft from the SW with a decent 14-second period, but the wind just ruins it. The wave energy is moderate (585).

Tuesday the 25th shows a little promise. The morning session sees a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE with 4ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The energy is still moderate (539). It’s not a world-beater, but it’s clean enough to get wet.

The real magic, the one you need to circle on your calendar, is Friday the 28th of August. The afternoon at Flynns Reef is going to be firing. We’re looking at a 5ft SW groundswell, with a very long period of 17 seconds and a strong wave energy (1519). The wind is going to be dead calm, glassy conditions. This is an excellent setup for experienced surfers. The long period means those waves will have real punch and shape, but it might be a bit much for the beginners. The crowd factor is something to consider though, as it’s often busy.

Thursday the 27th offers a small, clean window. The afternoon is glassy with a 3ft SW swell at 12 seconds. The energy is weak (307), but it’ll be clean and mellow for a longboard if you’re desperate.

The following weekend is mixed. Saturday the 29th has a glassy morning with 4ft SW swell at 15 seconds, but the energy is dropping (535). The wind turns cross-shore in the afternoon, so get on it early. Sunday the 30th is similar, with a glassy morning and a small 2ft SW swell at a very long 18 seconds (561 energy), but it’s small and clean.

Looking further out, the second week gets messy. From Monday the 31st through to the end of the forecast, the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell gets bigger but also more jumbled. By the time we get to the 6th and 7th of September, there’s a lot of energy (1890+), but it’s a strong, messy cross-shore wind. The waves are getting over 7ft, which is expert territory, and the conditions are poor. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a normal steamer is fine.

Basically, the only true standout is that Friday afternoon. Everything else is a battle with the wind or just too small. Keep your eyes on that forecast.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
4
1
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.7
WSW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
20
1.3
SW
18
1.6
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1041
581
434
369
488
480
1244
513
694
537
228
200
377
995
1519
897
535
459
290
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
30
NNW
20
NNW
15
NE
15
NE
20
WSW
30
WSW
20
SW
20
SW
15
W
10
NNW
0
E
15
N
15
NNW
0
E
15
N
5
N
10
S
5
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
glassy
cross
cross
glassy
cross
glassy
cross
cross-off
High Tide
7:57AM1.91m
7:14PM1.89m
8:58AM1.86m
8:09PM1.80m
10:05AM1.86m
9:19PM1.75m
11:09AM1.92m
10:38PM1.75m
12:02PM2.00m
11:49PM1.82m
12:46PM2.08m
00:48AM1.94m
Low Tide
1:13AM0.50m
1:35PM1.13m
2:04AM0.57m
2:37PM1.20m
3:03AM0.63m
3:54PM1.21m
4:09AM0.65m
5:09PM1.14m
5:13AM0.64m
6:09PM1.00m
6:10AM0.61m
6:56PM0.84m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
clear
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
4
6
3
Temp °C
13
14
16
16
12
13
13
13
12
12
11
14
14
14
16
15
13
14
14
Feels °C
9
8
12
13
10
10
8
7
7
8
8
11
10
12
14
12
11
11
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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