Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. We've only got one spot on the radar for this 16-day window, and it's Flynns Reef. It's a consistent, advanced-level reef break that's fairly exposed to the SW. Don't expect much for the first few days, but there's a glimmer of hope later on.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The forecast kicks off on Thursday, 10th September, but you'll want to give it a miss. We've got a solid 8ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, but the 12 mph cross-on wind is making it choppy and messy. The combined energy is a strong 3334, but the conditions are just average at best.

Friday, 11th September is where things start looking up. The morning session is the standout for the entire forecast. The swell drops to a clean 6ft from the SW, still with a long 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy. Absolutely perfect, clean conditions with a combined energy of 1229. This is the one to circle. The afternoon holds 6ft SW swell with a cross-shore wind, still ridable but not as pristine. Saturday morning, 12th September, offers a slightly smaller 6ft SW swell with light cross-shore winds, and the afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-offshore breeze and 5ft swell.

Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are write-offs. The wind picks up and the swell gets small and lumpy. Tuesday the 15th sees a massive 10ft SW swell rolling in, but it's howling with a 19-22 mph wind, making it a complete mess. That's not a paddle session; that's kite-surfing territory.

The end of the first week and into the second week is a mixed bag. Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th have moderate 5-6ft SW swell with light winds, offering some clean but not epic waves. The energy is moderate (1048-1610). Friday the 18th brings a 10ft SW swell, but the period drops to 9 seconds, making it weak and disorganised, and the cross-on wind doesn't help.

The second week is rough. Saturday the 19th through to Tuesday the 23rd is plagued by strong winds and messy conditions, with swell sizes varying from 1ft to 10ft but all ruined by onshore or cross-onshore winds. The only real beacon is late in the forecast period. Thursday, 24th September, we get a solid 6ft SW windswell with a clean offshore breeze from the east. Conditions are clean and the energy is 1554. It's rated as excellent for experienced surfers, but there's a caveat: with that long-period swell and offshore wind, this reef break should produce some beautiful, lined-up waves. It's a promising long-range call, but keep an eye on it.

So, to sum it up: the absolute best on offer is Friday morning, 11th September, for that glassy, clean 6ft swell. The secondary standout is Thursday, 24th September, for the offshore winds and solid waves, but it's further out so less certain. For the rest, there are long gaps of poor conditions, especially from the 13th to the 15th and the 19th to the 23rd.

Keep your eyes peeled, and remember, forecasts can change. Catch ya in the water.

Rusty

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