Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,246 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down for Flynns Reef. The next 16 days start off rough. Monday the 13th has a 10ft SW swell, but it’s getting hammered by a 28 mph cross-on wind from the NW. That’s a mess. The combined energy is high (3469), but it’s all blown out. Tuesday the 14th is no better—13ft swell in the afternoon, still onshore and ugly. Wednesday the 15th is only marginal.
Thursday the 16th drops to 6ft, but the wind is still light cross-onshore. Water temp is 57°, about average for the season. Uninspiring.
Now, here’s the real deal. Friday the 17th afternoon. The swell drops to 6ft, but it’s a long-period SW groundswell at 17 seconds. The wind goes glassy—just 3 mph from the SE. That’s clean, steep, powerful waves for the advanced crew. The energy is 1751, so there’s plenty of punch. This is the best session of the whole window.
Saturday the 18th is still decent. Morning has 4ft swell with clean cross-offshore wind, and the afternoon goes glassy again. Not as strong, but good.
Then it goes quiet. From Sunday the 19th through Thursday the 24th, the swell is small and the wind is poor. That’s a 5-day gap of nothing.
But hold up. Friday the 24th afternoon. 7ft SW swell, 17-second period, and offshore wind from the ESE at 3 mph. That’s clean, lined-up waves with an energy of 2893. This is a standout for the second week, but it’s a long way out, so don’t book your flights yet.
Bottom line: Friday 17th afternoon is your best bet. Friday 24th afternoon is a promising look. Everything else is a pass.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3402 | 4013 | 9246 | 3876 | 6401 | 2597 | 1594 | 1423 | 1238 | 1308 | 1246 | 1020 | 1164 | 1643 | 1140 | 736 | 526 | 325 | 221 | 172 | 252 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:16PM2.10m | 11:07AM2.28m | 10:27PM2.11m | 12:10PM2.35m | 11:40PM2.14m | 1:06PM2.42m | 00:49AM2.19m | 1:57PM2.48m | 1:54AM2.24m | 2:43PM2.51m | 2:53AM2.27m | 3:26PM2.51m | 3:48AM2.27m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:44PM1.08m | 4:07AM0.08m | 4:56PM1.04m | 5:14AM0.06m | 6:05PM0.94m | 6:18AM0.05m | 7:07PM0.79m | 7:18AM0.08m | 8:04PM0.62m | 8:13AM0.14m | 8:55PM0.46m | 9:04AM0.25m | 9:43PM0.34m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 3402 | 4013 | 5058 | — | 3539 | 2597 | 1594 | 1423 | 1238 | 1308 | 1246 | 1020 | 1164 | 1643 | 1140 | 736 | 526 | 325 | 221 | 172 | 252 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 12 |
| kJ | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 108 | — | — | — | — | 18 | 98 | 86 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 43 | 98 | 24 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 67 | 43 | 9246 | 3876 | 6401 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 258 | 760 | 69 | 70 | 73 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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