Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period, SW swell with 1,591 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let me switch gears here for you folks who think in feet and miles.
We’re looking at Flynns Reef for the next couple of weeks, and the start is looking real nice.
Monday the 6th of July is a good day to get wet. We’ve got a 3 to 4 ft SW groundswell, with a long 15 second period, and a combined energy reading of 550. The morning wind is a light NE cross-off, keeping the surface clean. Solid.
Tuesday the 7th keeps it going. Another 3 to 4 ft SW swell, but the period stretches to a very long 17 seconds, pumping the energy up to 694. Light NE cross-off winds again. Powerful, clean lines.
Now, Wednesday the 8th is the real standout. The morning brings a 4 ft SW swell with a massive 19 second period – that's serious groundswell energy hitting 1534. Winds are light NE cross-off. Expect excellent, powerful waves for experienced surfers. The afternoon builds to a 5 ft swell with an 18 second period and energy at 1828, with light SE cross-off winds. That afternoon session is just as good.
Thursday the 9th is a bit of a letdown after Wednesday. The morning has a 4 ft swell but with northerly cross-winds that’ll put a bit of texture on it. The afternoon goes glassy with a light ENE breeze, so it'll be clean but with lower energy at 479.
Then we hit a rough patch. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th see northerly winds picking up, turning the surf lumpy and messy. By Saturday, it’s a fresh breeze creating chop.
Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 15th is a total loss. Strong onshore winds and rain dominate. We get a big pulse of energy on the 13th and 14th – a 6 ft to 8 ft SW swell – but it’s blown to pieces by strong winds. That’s big and unsurfable, more of a kiteboarding day.
The next real chance is Thursday the 16th. The morning brings a 4 to 5 ft SW groundswell with a 15 second period, energy of 860, and a light N cross-off wind. Clean conditions return.
After that, the forecast goes quiet again through the 21st with poor winds and dropping swell.
So, to put it plain: Wednesday the 8th of July is your best bet by a long shot. Tuesday the 7th and Monday the 6th are also top days. Thursday the 16th is your next decent window. Flynns Reef is a consistent reef, so it loves a groundswell, but expect crowds on those clean days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Sun night, calm by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the N by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 224 | 663 | 560 | 623 | 1005 | 1591 | 1109 | 692 | 472 | 370 | 793 | 572 | 492 | 459 | 377 | 221 | 96 | 201 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 3:37AM1.96m | 4:08PM2.32m | 4:21AM2.00m | 4:39PM2.30m | 5:06AM2.04m | 5:11PM2.27m | 5:54AM2.09m | 5:47PM2.24m | 6:47AM2.13m | 6:28PM2.20m | 7:46AM2.16m | 7:15PM2.16m | 8:51AM2.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:40AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.61m | 10:19AM0.56m | 11:01PM0.51m | 11:00AM0.64m | 11:38PM0.41m | 11:45AM0.74m | 00:19AM0.31m | 12:34PM0.85m | 1:07AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.96m | 2:01AM0.16m | 2:34PM1.04m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | |  |  |  | |
 | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — |
 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 2 | 4 |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 224 | 663 | 560 | 623 | 1005 | 1591 | 1109 | 692 | 472 | 281 | 793 | 572 | 492 | 459 | 377 | 221 | 96 | 51 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 4 | SSW 18 | — | SSW 24 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | — | SE 5 | SE 4 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | SW 18 | SW 24 |
| kJ | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | — | 54 | 404 | 237 | — | 6 | 3 | 370 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 23 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SSW 19 | — | — | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | 22 | 125 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 28 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 201 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 111 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 82 | 69 | 84 | 314 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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