Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

We’ve got a slow start, but a couple of real gems are hiding in there. The standout is gonna be this Sunday afternoon, and then there’s a beast of a swell in the second week that’s got me buzzing, even if it’s a bit of a long shot.

First up, Flynns Reef is a deep-water reef, consistent, and it loves a southwest swell. Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises.

The first few days are a complete bust. Saturday morning (22 August) is a mess with rain showers and a 22 mph onshore wind, smashing a 8ft SW groundswell right into the face. The energy is massive (3204), but it’s ugly. Saturday afternoon is no better, still onshore and lumpy. Sunday morning (23 August) is still marginal – a bit of cross-shore wind on a 6ft SW swell, but not worth paddling out.

Then things get good. Sunday afternoon (23 August) is the clear winner for the first week. The wind drops to dead glassy – zero, calm as a pond – and we’ve got a clean 6ft SW groundswell rolling in with a sweet 15-second period. The energy is still strong (1509), but it’s all about the glassy surface. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The sets will be lined up, and with that period, it’ll be a proper reef-snapper. There’s a bit of a crowd risk here, as it’s “often” busy, but for that kind of glass, it’s worth sharing.

The rest of the week is a dud. Monday (24 August) through to Friday (28 August) is a mix of cross-shore chop, onshore slop, and inconsistent energy. A couple of windows show clean conditions, like Tuesday morning (25 August) with a light cross-off and 4ft swell, but it’s just not enough push to get excited about. The energy is weak (603). Thursday afternoon (27 August) goes glassy again, but with a tiny 3ft swell, it’s barely a ripple.

The following week kicks off with a few more windy days, but then we get a glimpse of something special. Saturday morning (5 September) is a big one. The wind is a light cross-off from the southeast, and we’ve got a solid 7ft SW groundswell, with a 16-second period. The energy is cooking (2479). This is a clean, powerful swell, and it’s aimed right at the reef. It’s a big wave, only for those with the skills, but it’s pure. The afternoon holds up similarly, though a bit more wind.

And then, Sunday morning (6 September) – whoa. The forecast is showing a massive 12ft SW groundswell, with a 17-second period, and a combined energy of 7011. The wind is a light cross-off, and the afternoon goes glassy. This is a monster. The swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so unless you’re a total charger on a big-wave gun, this is one to watch from the cliff. It’s a full-on, expert-only situation. The risk is high, but if it lines up, it’ll be sessions you tell your grandkids about. Keep in mind, this is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in yet.

Overall, Sunday afternoon (23 August) is your best bet for a clean, fun session. Saturday morning (5 September) is the standout for the bigger, more powerful stuff. The monster on 6 September is a wildcard. Stay stoked.

Rusty

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