Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 25 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.5°C
1.0° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 18s period, SW swell with 2,042 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 27th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 12s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 30th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let's get into it. The next week and a half at Flynns Reef is a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of absolute gems buried in there for those who can wait.

We're kicking off on Tuesday the 25th with a real tease. The morning is looking glassy with a clean 4ft SW swell, period around 13 seconds, and hardly a breath of wind from the NNE. The water temp's sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year – no surprises there. The combined energy is moderate at 539, and it's feeling good. But don't get too excited; the arvo turns messy with a W wind coming up. That Tuesday morning window is a solid little session if you can sneak out early.

Wednesday the 26th is a write-off. A 5ft+ WSW swell but with a strong, cross-onshore SSW breeze up to 25 km/h, it's choppy and messy. The energy jumps up (1914) but that wind will tear it apart. Thursday the 27th is quiet, with a small 3ft SW swell, but keep an eye on Thursday afternoon – it turns glassy again with that same small clean swell. It's weak energy (314), but the cleanest surf of the week after Tuesday morning.

Friday the 28th picks up with a 6ft SW swell and a proper long 17-second period by the afternoon. The energy is pumping (1971), but it's cross-onshore again. The wind is light, so it's not terrible, just a bit rippled. This is a long-period groundswell, so Flynns being a reef will handle it nicely, but it's not glassy.

We hit a stretch of poor conditions from Saturday the 29th right through to Wednesday the 2nd of September. Strong winds, onshore and cross-onshore, with lumpy, choppy conditions. A few days there are well over 25 km/h. It's not worth paddling out, to be honest.

Then, things get very interesting. Friday the 4th of September morning looks like a standout session. A clean 6ft SW swell, 15-second period, with light cross-offshore winds from the SSE. That's excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (1658). That will be clean, powerful, and lined up on the reef.

Saturday the 5th of September is also a standout, particularly the afternoon. The swell bumps up to 8ft from the SW with a 16-second period, still with clean cross-offshore winds from the SSE. The energy is very strong (2865). This is big enough that it's for advanced surfers only, but the conditions are pristine. Sunday the 6th morning repeats the theme – 8ft SW, 15-second period, clean cross-offshore from the SE. Three near-perfect sessions in a row if you can handle it.

Monday the 7th morning offers a reprieve for the less brave: a glassy 5ft SW swell, 14-second period, and light westerly wind. The energy is moderate (1021), conditions look very good. It's a great way to start that week before the wind swings onshore in the afternoon.

After that, the forecast gets a bit messy again with strong winds and a lot of energy, but it's not surfable in the traditional sense. The setup by the 8th and 9th of September, with 7ft+ swells and near-gale winds, looks more like a kite-surfing playground than a paddle-surfing one.

So, the real winners for Flynns Reef are the Friday morning and the Saturday afternoon of the 4th and 5th of September – those are your sessions to circle on the calendar. Tuesday the 25th morning and Monday the 7th morning are the smaller, cleaner backups.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
4
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
13
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
19
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.6
WSW
14
0.9
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.6
SW
17
1.6
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
17
1.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
480
1244
886
444
325
193
203
369
809
1795
1297
825
982
286
543
1506
1219
1331
1399
1082
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
30
SW
25
SSW
20
SW
10
SW
15
NW
5
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
10
SW
15
WSW
20
W
20
SW
15
SW
5
SSW
10
SSW
5
N
10
NNW
5
SW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
glassy
cross
High Tide
8:09PM1.80m
10:05AM1.86m
9:19PM1.75m
11:09AM1.92m
10:38PM1.75m
12:02PM2.00m
11:49PM1.82m
12:46PM2.08m
00:48AM1.94m
1:24PM2.16m
1:38AM2.07m
1:59PM2.23m
2:24AM2.20m
Low Tide
3:03AM0.63m
3:54PM1.21m
4:09AM0.65m
5:09PM1.14m
5:13AM0.64m
6:09PM1.00m
6:10AM0.61m
6:56PM0.84m
7:00AM0.58m
7:36PM0.65m
7:45AM0.55m
8:13PM0.48m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
12
12
11
11
12
12
12
12
11
9
10
11
11
11
11
13
17
15
Feels °C
9
9
7
8
7
8
10
10
9
10
8
5
5
7
10
9
10
11
15
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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