Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 19s period, SW swell with 2,585 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 19s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk Flynns Reef. Classic reef break setup, gets plenty of SW swell and it’s fairly consistent, but we’ve got a mixed bag of wind conditions ahead.
We kick off on Tuesday morning, August 25th, with a clean 4ft SW swell with a 13-second period. That NE breeze is light and offshore, making the face glassy. The ocean energy is moderate (539). Water temperature is about 56°F – pretty normal for this time of year. That’s the pick of the early period.
The rest of the week gets messy. Strong onshore south-west wind from Wednesday onward churns it up, though Thursday afternoon the 27th goes completely glassy. Problem is the swell is only about 2-3ft with weak energy (205) – it’s clean but barely there. Not worth the session.
We go through a rough patch until Wednesday afternoon, September 2nd, when we finally get light offshore wind from the southeast, glassy conditions, and a 5ft SW groundswell with moderate energy (947). Looks clean and lined up. Then we hit the big one – Friday afternoon, September 4th. Swell pushes 7ft from the SW with a period of 16 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell packing serious power (3036 energy). The wind is almost nothing from the WSW at 5 mph, glassy. This is only for experienced surfers because it’s a solid, fast reef wave. Could be crowded, but if you know what you’re doing, this is the standout of the outlook.
After that, the wind switches back to strong cross-shore directions and ruins conditions right through to the end. The second week is largely a shambles with onshore junk. Not worth paddling out unless you have a kite.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 488 | 480 | 1126 | 1581 | 837 | 325 | 193 | 167 | 369 | 1186 | 1938 | 1410 | 825 | 736 | 290 | 380 | 2364 | 2241 | 1949 | 1420 | 1014 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:09PM1.80m | 10:05AM1.86m | 9:19PM1.75m | 11:09AM1.92m | 10:38PM1.75m | 12:02PM2.00m | 11:49PM1.82m | 12:46PM2.08m | 00:48AM1.94m | 1:24PM2.16m | 1:38AM2.07m | 1:59PM2.23m | 2:24AM2.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:37PM1.20m | 3:03AM0.63m | 3:54PM1.21m | 4:09AM0.65m | 5:09PM1.14m | 5:13AM0.64m | 6:09PM1.00m | 6:10AM0.61m | 6:56PM0.84m | 7:00AM0.58m | 7:36PM0.65m | 7:45AM0.55m | 8:13PM0.48m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 488 | 480 | 1126 | 1581 | 837 | 325 | 193 | 167 | 246 | 702 | 1938 | 1410 | 825 | 736 | 290 | 380 | 2364 | 2241 | 1949 | 1420 | 1014 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 4 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 22 | SSW 5 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 51 | 171 | — | — | — | 47 | 8 | 4 | 369 | 1186 | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 18 | 1365 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | 74 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 107 | 716 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 3 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 998 | 886 | 767 | — | — | — | 3 | 809 | — | — | — | — | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 2 | 84 | 2 | 126 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 306 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 61 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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