Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,760 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's check out what's coming our way for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The first solid week is a write-off for clean surfing. We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap from now until around August 7th. The swell is there, for sure, but the wind is just brutal, coming from the wrong directions and blowing the whole lineup to pieces.
Things finally start to turn on Friday, August 7th. That’s our standout moment in this whole forecast. Flynns Reef is the spot to be at that point. We’ll have a clean, small SW groundswell running at about 3ft with a period of 13 seconds, and the wind will swing offshore from the NNE and then SE. The surf will be clean, glassy, and well-shaped. The combined wave energy will be modest, so it’ll be weak but perfect for a longboard or a retro single-fin. The water temp is average for the time of year, so the wetsuit you're used to will do just fine.
Saturday, August 8th keeps the good vibes going in the morning with clean lines again on the same SW swell, dropping a little to about 2ft but with a very long 16-second period. It’ll be clean again with a light offshore. After that, the wind gets messy again, so the window is small.
Before that, there’s a massive pulse from July 29th through July 30th. The swell energy is extremely strong, and the swell hits over 10ft. But the wind is a howling near-gale, so it’ll be a complete washing machine. That’s kite-surf territory, not paddling. The period is very long on that pulse (17 seconds), but on a beach setup, that long period tends to make things close out and straighten right out.
From July 31st to August 6th, it’s all marginal or poor. There's a small window on August 5th with a 6ft SW swell and onshore wind, but it’s not worth paddling out for unless you are desperate for a fight with the chop.
So in short: sit tight, don't get excited about the big numbers in the first week because the wind will kill it. Save your energy for Friday, August 7th and Saturday, August 8th. That’s the only real taste of clean surf we’ve got in the next 16 days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, near gales from the W by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed night, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1304 | 475 | 371 | 282 | 224 | 315 | 480 | 512 | 330 | 2037 | 5760 | 4193 | 2056 | 1134 | 954 | 590 | 355 | 283 | 209 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:46AM1.93m | 7:57PM1.89m | 9:46AM1.91m | 8:51PM1.82m | 10:50AM1.93m | 9:54PM1.78m | 11:49AM1.99m | 11:02PM1.78m | 12:40PM2.07m | 00:06AM1.81m | 1:23PM2.15m | 1:03AM1.87m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:58AM0.47m | 2:23PM1.16m | 2:49AM0.52m | 3:25PM1.22m | 3:45AM0.55m | 4:35PM1.22m | 4:45AM0.55m | 5:43PM1.17m | 5:42AM0.52m | 6:42PM1.07m | 6:34AM0.50m | 7:30PM0.94m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | -3 | -1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | — | — | — | WSW 13 | — | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 711 | 475 | 371 | 282 | 224 | 315 | 480 | 512 | 330 | 2037 | — | — | — | 1134 | — | 590 | 355 | 283 | 209 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 |
| kJ | — | 11 | 10 | 26 | 75 | — | — | — | 273 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 45 | 66 | 133 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 22 | S 20 | SSW 19 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 36 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 11 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1304 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 34 | 1487 | 5760 | 4193 | 2056 | 1083 | 954 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 70 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 84 | 258 | 265 | 131 | 776 | 1133 | 73 | 70 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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