Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this part of the coast. We’ve got one spot on the radar, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks.

The overall pattern is a real tease. There’s a lot of swell energy coming through over the next week, but the wind is going to be a nightmare for most of it. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions before things finally clean up. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t even arrive until the second week.

Right now, there’s nothing doing. The first couple of days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday mornings are a mess with cross-on winds and choppy, poor surf. The swell is small and weak anyway, with combined energy sitting at just 353 (on Thursday) and 231 (Thursday afternoon), so you’re not missing much.

The first real standout of the whole forecast comes Friday afternoon, 7th August. That’s where it gets interesting. We’ve got a solid 1.4m (about 5ft) SW groundswell with a long 15-second period, and the wind is due to swing easterly and go glassy. That’s the magic window. The water temp is sitting around 13° (about 56°F), which is about normal for this time of year, so no shock there. The combined energy jumps right up to 1053, so there’s plenty of power in the water. This is the best on offer for the first week by a long shot. It’s a reef break, so it’s for advanced surfers only, and it’s a consistent spot, but you’ll want to keep an eye on the crowds—it can get busy.

After that, things go south again. From Saturday the 8th through to the end of the second week, it’s a real grind. The swell gets big, really big. We’re talking 2.5m to 3.5m (8ft to 12ft) from the 12th to the 14th, with combined energy readings well over 5000, hitting 7889 on the 13th. That’s serious power, but it’s all onshore or cross-shore with strong winds, creating messy, lumpy conditions. This is not paddle surfing territory. With that much wind and that size of swell at a fairly exposed reef, the setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

The light at the end of the tunnel comes on Sunday, 16th August. The wind finally goes offshore, easterly at 20 km/h (about 12 mph), and we’ve got a clean 1.4m (5ft) SW groundswell with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a solid 845. It’s a standout morning, and the conditions are described as “very good.” This is the one to circle on your calendar for the second week. Monday the 17th afternoon goes glassy again, and Tuesday the 18th morning is another glassy session with 1.3m (4ft) of 15-second groundswell and energy at 810. That’s another cracker. And then Wednesday the 19th afternoon is glassy too, with a 1.5m (5ft) swell and energy at 1028. That’s a three-day window of clean, glassy conditions with proper groundswell. The long period (15-16 seconds) means the sets will be well-spaced and the waves will have plenty of push, perfect for a reef like this.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust except for that Friday afternoon glass-off. The second week has a solid run of good windows from Sunday the 16th through to Wednesday the 19th. Keep your eyes on the charts, but for now, that’s the best we’ve got.

Rusty.

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