Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got.

Alright, the first bit of action is a beauty. Tuesday the 7th of July, Flynns Reef is looking clean right from the go. The swell is a solid 4ft out of the southwest, and we’re talking a super long-period groundswell at 17 seconds. That kind of period, especially on a reef setup, means waves with proper shape, plenty of energy, and those nice long lulls between sets so you’ve got time to position yourself. The combined energy is solid at a moderate 694. You’ve got a light, cross-off breeze out of the northeast, so the face is going to be clean. This is a consistent break, but be aware it’s a spot for advanced surfers only – this is not beginner territory. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Now, Wednesday the 8th of July is the standout. The swell pushes up a touch to 4ft in the morning and then 5ft in the afternoon, still out of the southwest. The period is huge – 19 seconds in the morning and 18 in the arvo. That is some serious groundswell energy, with the combined energy jumping to a strong 1534 then 1828. For a reef break that’s fairly exposed, this is the pick of the week. Wind is light cross-off again, keeping it glassy. This is for experienced crew; when the swell gets over 5ft, it starts to get too much for the beginners.

Thursday the 9th of July is worth a paddle as well. A clean 4ft southwest swell, period still very long at 16 seconds. In the afternoon the wind goes glass – dead calm – with a slight air. That’s as clean as it gets. The energy is moderate at 603 and 535. A very nice option for a more relaxed session.

Now, the wheels fall off Friday the 10th. The wind swings around, getting stronger, and becomes a cross-shore to cross-onshore breeze. The surf quality drops hard. From Friday through to the end of the run, it’s mostly poor, blown-out, or messy. There are big gaps of no good surf. The wind hits near gale strength from Saturday the 11th, and even though the swell is pumping at times – like Monday the 13th with an 12ft southwest swell and a combined energy of 5357 (very strong) – the wind is howling onshore. That’s going to be a washing machine, not surfable paddle waves. For someone on a kite, that setup looks interesting, but not for a surfboard.

Later in the run, around Thursday the 16th of July, conditions turn marginal again with a gentler breeze and a 5ft swell, but it’s not clean enough to call good. The energy drops to moderate. After that, it’s more strong wind and chop right through to the end of the outlook on Wednesday the 22nd. Nothing to get excited about in that second week – it’s a write-off for quality surf.

So, the call: if you’re an advanced surfer, you hit Wednesday the 8th of July at Flynns Reef. That’s the one. Clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. Thursday the 9th is your backup. The rest is for looking at from the beach.

Rusty.

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