Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 19 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.6° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 3,100 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 24th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 26th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mates, settle in. We've got a wild 16-day forecast here, and it ain't for the faint of heart. Right now, Flynns Reef is a total mess. A strong cross-shore breeze is whipping up a nasty chop, and the waves are tiny and junky. It's a complete write-off for a paddle. The water temp is about 56°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

That poor excuse for surf is gonna hang around for the first few days. Thursday, Friday, and Saturday all have onshore winds messing everything up. The swell does start to build into the weekend, hitting a solid 7ft of SW groundswell by Saturday, but the wind is just ruining it all. Too lumpy, too choppy, just a headache.

Then, just when you've given up, we get a little gift on Sunday the 23rd. The wind dies completely, going glassy. The swell is still a decent 6ft, and there's plenty of push. This is the first real standout of the period. It's a reef break, so that long-period SW groundswell is going to wrap in perfectly. It'll be clean, and the advanced crew is going to have a field day. That's your pick of the first week, hands down.

After that taste of glory, Monday and Tuesday turn back to the ordinary. Wind picks up, and it gets messy again. But then, bam, a mid-week gem. Wednesday the 26th brings a cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. The swell is a bit smaller at 5ft, but with that groomed surface, it'll be an absolute ball. Another great day for the reef.

The end of the week gets blown out again on Thursday, but watch out for Friday the 28th. The ocean switches on. We're talking a massive 10ft SW swell with a huge 18-second period, and the energy is off the charts. This is a proper, serious groundswell. The reef will handle it. The wind is gonna be a problem, a fresh onshore, but at that size, it might not wreck the wave entirely. This one is strictly for the heavy hitters. It's going to be big, raw, and one to watch, but it's a different beast entirely from that clean Sunday.

The weekend keeps the love going. Saturday the 29th has clean cross-offshore wind and a still-mighty 8ft of SW swell. That's another perfect window. Then we get another solid day on Sunday the 30th with lighter winds and a good 6ft. A great run to close out the month.

The first week of September settles down. The swell eases off, and by Tuesday and Wednesday, it's small and a bit average again. But that's okay. We can't complain after that last week.

And for the grand finale, in the second week, on Thursday the 3rd of September, it's glassy, calm, with a clean 4ft SW swell rolling in with a long 17-second period. Perfect, lined-up reef waves with no wind. It's going to be a beautiful, pristine day. That, along with that big Friday swell, is the pick of the entire 16 days. But like any long-range forecast, it's a promise that could be broken. Still, it's a nice thought.

This is Rusty, keeping it real. See you out there.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed night, light winds from the W by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun night).

Wed
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
14
1
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
2.5
WSW
16
2
SW
15
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
12
1.4
SW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
145
134
114
144
147
468
844
3100
1776
1753
1413
1004
653
954
581
499
411
411
295
178
Wind (km/h)
40
N
35
NNW
25
NW
20
W
30
NW
30
NW
25
WNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
15
W
20
WNW
20
NW
5
NNW
25
NNW
35
NNW
25
WNW
10
SE
25
SE
30
SSE
30
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:11PM2.36m
4:59AM2.26m
4:46PM2.28m
5:39AM2.18m
5:20PM2.19m
6:21AM2.09m
5:54PM2.09m
7:05AM1.99m
6:31PM1.99m
7:57AM1.91m
7:14PM1.89m
8:58AM1.86m
8:09PM1.80m
Low Tide
10:36PM0.20m
10:51AM0.70m
11:14PM0.25m
11:28AM0.81m
11:51PM0.32m
12:06PM0.92m
00:30AM0.41m
12:47PM1.03m
1:13AM0.50m
1:35PM1.13m
2:04AM0.57m
2:37PM1.20m
3:03AM0.63m
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
 mm
1
1
1
3
Temp °C
14
14
14
12
10
12
13
12
12
12
13
12
15
13
16
17
12
12
12
12
Feels °C
7
7
9
8
4
6
8
7
8
8
9
8
12
8
10
12
10
6
6
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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