Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at the forecast for Flynns Reef. It’s a reef break that’s consistent and fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s an advanced wave. The water’s sitting at 56° which is right on the money for this time of year.

Right now, and for the next week or so, it’s a bit of a messy story. The swell’s coming through, but the wind’s been a mongrel – mostly NNW through to WNW, and it’s cross-on or onshore, making things choppy and lumpy. The early part of the week, from the 20th to the 24th, is a write-off, with poor surf conditions and the combined energy climbing from 365 to over 3800, but the wind’s just ruining it. The swell’s pushing 3ft to 8ft with a period around 12-16 seconds, but it’s all blown out.

Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th see some solid SW groundswell building – 7ft to 8ft, period 14-16 seconds – but the wind’s howling onshore, over 25 mph, and it’s messy. The energy’s strong (1875 to 3839) but it’s not paddleable. For a reef break, it’s looking more like a kite session than a surf session if you’re keen.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th stays big, with 10ft Saturday morning dropping to 6ft Sunday, but still onshore or cross-on. The energy’s massive (4764) then dropping, but no quality.

Then, from the 28th, things start to change. Tuesday the 28th has a cross-shore wind and solid 5ft swell with 16-second period, but the wind’s making it messy. The afternoon bumps up to a marginal 1/10, hinting at a possible tide window.

Now, here’s the standout. Wednesday the 29th of July is the pick of the bunch. The morning looks clean, with a gentle NNE breeze blowing cross-offshore, and the swell’s a nice 5ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The combined energy is strong (1943), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a top-quality window. The afternoon turns a bit cross-on and glassy, but still decent. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

The first week of August also has potential. Saturday the 1st of August morning has offshore winds and a 8ft SW swell (16-second period) – clean, but the afternoon builds to a massive 13ft with cross-shore wind. That’s too big for this break, even for experts. Sunday the 2nd stays big (12ft, 17-second period) and offshore in the morning, but again, it’s too large. The energy is through the roof (7493-7395).

Monday the 3rd of August is promising for the morning: 8ft SW swell, 16-second period, and glassy with a light offshore. That’s a clean, powerful wave for advanced surfers, but it’s a bit big. Tuesday the 4th has offshore winds and 8ft swell, but it’s also big.

So, the long-range standouts are the 29th of July morning, and keep an eye on the 3rd of August morning if you’re an expert. The rest of the run is wind-affected or too big. For a reef break, the long-period groundswells (16-17 seconds) will be lining up nicely, but the size is a factor.

Rusty.

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