Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 21 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
16.1°C
2.7° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 21 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 22 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 22 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,632 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 22 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Oct 25) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 17s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Fri morning, calm by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun night, calm by Mon night).

Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
1
0
1
2
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.7
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1041
1632
1185
715
694
1261
1200
1039
859
767
836
736
1123
471
637
541
380
315
236
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
5
N
15
ESE
20
N
35
NNW
20
NNW
10
WSW
5
SSW
20
SE
15
S
20
S
25
SSW
35
SSW
20
SSW
10
S
5
N
20
WNW
30
SSW
20
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
8:16AM1.96m
8:21PM1.76m
9:09AM1.91m
9:36PM1.77m
10:07AM1.88m
10:55PM1.86m
11:04AM1.90m
00:04AM2.03m
11:58AM1.95m
1:02AM2.22m
12:48PM2.03m
1:53AM2.40m
Low Tide
1:39AM0.70m
2:29PM0.97m
2:36AM0.81m
3:30PM0.92m
3:46AM0.89m
4:33PM0.81m
5:00AM0.92m
5:31PM0.65m
6:08AM0.90m
6:23PM0.45m
7:07AM0.84m
7:12PM0.25m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:24
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:18
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:46
—
—
7:47
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
10
3
7
21
11
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
18
22
25
25
23
28
18
14
14
14
12
13
13
12
12
13
12
13
12
Feels °C
18
21
23
22
17
24
14
13
14
9
7
8
7
6
8
11
7
7
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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