Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 18s period, SW swell with 2,042 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's take a look at what's shaping up for the coastline.
Honestly, right now it's a bit of a slow burn. The first few days are looking pretty rough with that cross-onshore wind messing things up. Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is a touch warmer than we'd normally expect for this time of year, nothing too wild though.
Wednesday 26th is a no-go. We've got a 4ft to 4ft SW swell but the wind is ruining it, making for some choppy, poor surf. Not worth a paddle.
Thursday 27th shows a little bit of life. The morning is still cross-on and small, but the afternoon is where it gets interesting. The wind drops to glassy, and we get a clean 3ft SW swell with a nice 12-second period. For a reef break, that glassy surface is pure gold. It's not big, but it'll be clean. This is one of the best windows in the near term.
Friday 28th sees a big jump in energy. The combined energy of all swells is hitting 1378 (moderate) in the morning, climbing to 1795 (moderate) in the afternoon with a 6ft SW swell. The period is a solid 17 seconds, which is proper groundswell. But the wind is cross-on and choppy, so it's a bit of a tease. Strong energy, but the conditions are marginal.
Saturday 29th and Sunday 30th are more of the same – cross-on winds and small to moderate swell, nothing clean enough to get excited about.
Monday 31st is the standout of the first week. The morning has a 5ft SW swell with a 15-second period, but it's the afternoon that's the real deal. Winds go completely glassy, calm, with that same 5ft SW groundswell. The combined energy is 1175 (moderate). Clean, glassy conditions on a reef with a nice long-period SW groundswell... that's a recipe for some proper waves. This is the best session on offer.
Then things get messy again. Tuesday 1st September through to Thursday 3rd is a write-off with strong winds and poor conditions.
Friday 4th and Saturday 5th see the swell building up to 7ft to 8ft, which is pushing into expert territory, but the wind is howling onshore or cross-onshore, making it a messy, lumpy mess. Not worth it.
6th and 7th September keep that big swell going, 8ft, but the wind is still a problem. The energy is strong (over 2000), but the quality is poor.
Monday 8th September is another promising window. The morning is the best part: a 6ft SW swell, 14-second period, with light cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is 1734 (moderate). It's going to be a bit rippled, but it's the cleanest of the big-swell days and the score is the highest of the whole run. This is a good call for a more experienced surfer looking for some size.
9th September is a step down in size but with a nice 16-second period, though the wind is a bit cross-y.
10th September ends the run with a big 12ft SW swell, but the wind is howling cross-on and it's totally blown out. That's one for the kites, not the paddlers.
So, to wrap it up: The two standouts are Thursday 27th afternoon for a clean, glassy session on a small swell, and Monday 31st afternoon for the best combination of clean, glassy conditions and a solid 5ft groundswell at Flynns Reef. Keep an eye on Monday 8th September too, as it looks like a solid option for the second week, though it's a bit further out so less certain.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon morning, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
628 | 325 | 193 | 203 | 369 | 786 | 1795 | 1314 | 746 | 1427 | 330 | 591 | 619 | 701 | 1014 | 833 | 1267 | 864 | 753 | 1382 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:19PM1.75m | 11:09AM1.92m | 10:38PM1.75m | 12:02PM2.00m | 11:49PM1.82m | 12:46PM2.08m | 00:48AM1.94m | 1:24PM2.16m | 1:38AM2.07m | 1:59PM2.23m | 2:24AM2.20m | 2:33PM2.28m | 3:07AM2.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:09AM0.65m | 5:09PM1.14m | 5:13AM0.64m | 6:09PM1.00m | 6:10AM0.61m | 6:56PM0.84m | 7:00AM0.58m | 7:36PM0.65m | 7:45AM0.55m | 8:13PM0.48m | 8:27AM0.54m | 8:50PM0.31m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
628 | 325 | 193 | 203 | 299 | 680 | 1795 | 1314 | 746 | 1427 | 330 | 591 | 619 | 701 | 1014 | 833 | 1267 | 864 | 753 | 1382 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 17 | SW 21 | SW 19 | — | — | NE 6 | — |
— | 40 | 74 | 73 | 369 | 786 | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 60 | 60 | 195 | 70 | 236 | — | — | 1 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 16 | SSW 5 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | S 20 | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — |
— | 41 | 8 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 8 | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | SW 14 | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — |
42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | 813 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 23 | 27 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 11 | 306 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 457 | 101 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











