Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We've got a mixed bag of a forecast coming up for this spot. The long-range looks promising, but the first half of the window is a real test of patience.

The waiting game is the name of the game early on. We've got a solid southwest groundswell arriving, but it's going to be a bumpy ride for a few days. The first solid surf hits on Friday the 4th, but it's a write-off thanks to strong cross-onshore winds. That sizeable 8ft swell from the SW is wrapping in, but with a 16 mph NW wind, it's just a messy, choppy affair. The combined energy is a massive 3269, but it's all for nothing in those conditions. Saturday and Sunday the 5th and 6th are more of the same—big, jumbled, and blown out. The water temp is about average for the time of year, but you won't be caring about that when you're getting thrashed in the whitewater.

Hold on, though. Things start to turn around on Tuesday the 8th. The morning is looking absolutely glassy. The wind swings to a light N at 3 mph, and that strong SW groundswell (3ft at 18 seconds) is pure energy. The combined energy is a solid 1212, and with those glassy conditions, Flynns Reef will be offering up some seriously clean, long lines. This is a standout session for the more experienced crew, as the long period makes it a proper groundswell. The crowd potential is there, as it's a known spot, but for a Tuesday morning, you might find a quiet corner.

That clean spell is brief, though. Wednesday the 9th turns nasty again with a huge 12ft SW swell and strong cross-shore winds, making it a real mess. But then we get into a promising run from Thursday the 10th through to Saturday the 12th. Thursday is clean and cross-offshore with a solid 10ft SW swell (6992 energy). That's big, powerful, and clean but it's heading into the zone where it's better for experts only. Friday the 11th morning is another glassy winner with a 5ft, 15-second SW swell, and the combined energy is a solid 1062. This is the best mix of size and condition for the slightly smaller day. Then Saturday the 12th is glassy again in the morning with a 4ft, 15-second swell, and the afternoon cleans up too. That's a real run of good fortune.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The 13th and 14th are messy and windy, and the 15th and 16th are a write-off. But then, the real big one shows up. The 17th and 18th of September see a monster 12ft SW groundswell (with an insane 8626 combined energy) but the forecast says it's simply too big for this break. The rip will be wild, and it's a code red for experts only. The 18th afternoon settles down to a still-large 10ft, and the 19th drops back to a more manageable 6ft from the SW, but the wind is back onshore, so it's a choppy finish.

The true standout is the Tuesday the 8th morning session. That glassy, clean, long-period SW groundswell is a gift. For a slightly smaller but still very clean option, keep an eye on Friday the 11th morning. It's a long wait, but it's worth it.

Rusty, signing off.

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