Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,573 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s going on for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a real standout day coming up that’s worth keeping an eye on.
First up, the early part of the week is a write-off. Monday (24th August) is a no-go with a strong cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. The swell is there, a clean 4ft from the SW with a decent 14-second period, but the wind just ruins it. The wave energy is moderate (585).
Tuesday the 25th shows a little promise. The morning session sees a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE with 4ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The energy is still moderate (539). It’s not a world-beater, but it’s clean enough to get wet.
The real magic, the one you need to circle on your calendar, is Friday the 28th of August. The afternoon at Flynns Reef is going to be firing. We’re looking at a 5ft SW groundswell, with a very long period of 17 seconds and a strong wave energy (1519). The wind is going to be dead calm, glassy conditions. This is an excellent setup for experienced surfers. The long period means those waves will have real punch and shape, but it might be a bit much for the beginners. The crowd factor is something to consider though, as it’s often busy.
Thursday the 27th offers a small, clean window. The afternoon is glassy with a 3ft SW swell at 12 seconds. The energy is weak (307), but it’ll be clean and mellow for a longboard if you’re desperate.
The following weekend is mixed. Saturday the 29th has a glassy morning with 4ft SW swell at 15 seconds, but the energy is dropping (535). The wind turns cross-shore in the afternoon, so get on it early. Sunday the 30th is similar, with a glassy morning and a small 2ft SW swell at a very long 18 seconds (561 energy), but it’s small and clean.
Looking further out, the second week gets messy. From Monday the 31st through to the end of the forecast, the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell gets bigger but also more jumbled. By the time we get to the 6th and 7th of September, there’s a lot of energy (1890+), but it’s a strong, messy cross-shore wind. The waves are getting over 7ft, which is expert territory, and the conditions are poor. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a normal steamer is fine.
Basically, the only true standout is that Friday afternoon. Everything else is a battle with the wind or just too small. Keep your eyes on that forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1041 | 581 | 434 | 369 | 488 | 480 | 1244 | 513 | 694 | 537 | 228 | 200 | 377 | 995 | 1519 | 897 | 535 | 459 | 290 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:57AM1.91m | 7:14PM1.89m | 8:58AM1.86m | 8:09PM1.80m | 10:05AM1.86m | 9:19PM1.75m | 11:09AM1.92m | 10:38PM1.75m | 12:02PM2.00m | 11:49PM1.82m | 12:46PM2.08m | 00:48AM1.94m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:13AM0.50m | 1:35PM1.13m | 2:04AM0.57m | 2:37PM1.20m | 3:03AM0.63m | 3:54PM1.21m | 4:09AM0.65m | 5:09PM1.14m | 5:13AM0.64m | 6:09PM1.00m | 6:10AM0.61m | 6:56PM0.84m | |||||||
— | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
1041 | 581 | 434 | 369 | 488 | 480 | 1244 | 513 | 694 | 537 | 228 | 200 | 290 | 995 | 1519 | 897 | 535 | 459 | 290 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | SSW 7 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | SW 22 |
— | — | 15 | 51 | 51 | 216 | — | — | 68 | 41 | 74 | 73 | 377 | 369 | — | — | — | — | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 23 | SW 15 | SSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 21 | 34 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 911 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 69 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











