Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 3,645 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s shaping up for Flynns Reef over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow burner. The first week is pretty ordinary, with a lot of cross-onshore wind and crummy conditions. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about normal for the time of year, so no surprises there. The swell energy is mostly weak to moderate (276 to 1606), and the period is around 13 to 16 seconds, which is decent groundswell but the wind’s just not playing ball.
Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st are write-offs – small, messy, and choppy with NW winds. Saturday the 22nd sees a big jump in size, with 7 ft to 10 ft of SW swell, but the wind is onshore, so it’s a messy, blown-out scene. That’s expert territory at best. Sunday the 23rd starts to ease a bit, but still cross-on and lumpy. The real low point is Monday the 24th, with fresh NW winds making it ugly.
Then we get a little glimmer. Tuesday the 25th through Thursday the 27th are marginal, with light winds and some clean spells, but the swell is inconsistent and small. It’s not until Friday the 28th that things really turn. That morning, we’ve got a solid 6 ft SW groundswell with a period of 17 seconds, cross-off NNE wind, and clean conditions. The energy jumps to 2239, which is strong, and the waves are going to be well-shaped and powerful. This is the standout. Flynns Reef is a reef break, so that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely, and with cross-off wind, it’ll be firing. This is for experienced surfers only – the size and power are no joke. Saturday the 29th still has some clean cross-off breeze and a smaller 4 ft swell, good for a more relaxed session.
After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are blown out by strong northerly winds, with a weird 21-second period on Sunday afternoon that’s just too long for the break. The first week of September is weak and unremarkable, with tiny swell and cross-onshore winds. The energy drops right down to 157-233, and it’s not worth getting excited about.
So, the best on offer is hands-down Friday the 28th, with Saturday the 29th as a decent backup. The rest of the window is mostly forgettable, but that one day is a ripper.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun night, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 114 | 113 | 147 | 468 | 543 | 3436 | 2102 | 3645 | 1736 | 1107 | 673 | 1055 | 520 | 499 | 537 | 653 | 1215 | 984 | 641 | 424 | 363 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:46PM2.28m | 5:39AM2.18m | 5:20PM2.19m | 6:21AM2.09m | 5:54PM2.09m | 7:05AM1.99m | 6:31PM1.99m | 7:57AM1.91m | 7:14PM1.89m | 8:58AM1.86m | 8:09PM1.80m | 10:05AM1.86m | 9:19PM1.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:51AM0.70m | 11:14PM0.25m | 11:28AM0.81m | 11:51PM0.32m | 12:06PM0.92m | 00:30AM0.41m | 12:47PM1.03m | 1:13AM0.50m | 1:35PM1.13m | 2:04AM0.57m | 2:37PM1.20m | 3:03AM0.63m | 3:54PM1.21m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 114 | 113 | 147 | 468 | 543 | 1892 | 2102 | 1933 | 1736 | 1107 | 673 | 1055 | 520 | 499 | 537 | 653 | 1126 | 984 | 641 | 424 | 363 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 31 | 106 | 111 | 75 | 82 | — | — | — | 15 | 437 | 459 | — | — | 15 | 51 | 112 | 499 | — | — | 13 | 42 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 114 | — | — | 97 | 129 | — | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 16 | — | WSW 15 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | NW 4 |
| kJ | 17 | 39 | 24 | 12 | 21 | 3436 | — | 3645 | — | — | — | 7 | 15 | 12 | — | — | 1215 | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 2 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 70 | 70 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 61 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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