Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 19s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 19s period, SW swell with 2,407 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.8m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let's get my bearings. I'm checkin' out Flynns Reef for the next couple of weeks, and it's gonna be a mixed bag.
The water's about average for this time of year, 56°F. No surprises there. This is a consistent reef break for the advanced crew, so it's got the shape, but the wind is gonna be the gatekeeper.
Monday morning, the 24th, is a write-off. That 30 km/h north-northwesterly cross-shore is gonna leave a lumpy, cross-chop mess on that 4-foot southwest swell. Not worth the wax.
Tuesday morning, the 25th, things clean up. We get a nice offshore breeze from the northeast, and it's reportin' clean conditions for a 4-foot, southwest swell with a 13-second period. It's the first real look you'll get.
Wednesday the 26th, the swell pumps to 6 feet from the southwest, with a big jump in energy (2377). But that cross-onshore wind from the southwest is gonna chop it all up. Disappointing.
Now, keep your eyes peeled for Thursday the 27th in the afternoon. The wind goes dead calm—glassy as a mirror. The swell drops to around 3 feet, but on a reef like this, glassy water is the golden ticket. It's gonna be smooth and perfect, even if it's a little smaller.
And then, the big one. Mark your calendar for Monday the 31st of August. In the afternoon, we’ve got a 6-foot, southwest groundswell with an 18-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, and it's packing a punch with over 2200 in wave energy. And the wind... it goes glassy again with a slight air from the south-southeast. The report says it's "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." The swell direction is perfect for this reef. That Monday afternoon is the absolute highlight of this whole stretch. It'll be big, powerful, and clean.
After that 31st, it gets messy again. A few windows pop up, like Wednesday the 2nd of September with a clean afternoon, but the swell is smaller.
Stay away from the first week of September. The 3rd brings a 10-foot, west-southwest swell with gale-force winds, and it only gets gnarlier from there. The 8th of September has a massive 11-foot, 18-second groundswell with energy readings of 6997, but it's pinned under a strong cross-onshore that'll make it a frothy, un-rideable mess.
No question about it. The best call in this whole forecast is the 31st of August, Monday afternoon at Flynns Reef. That's a day you won't forget.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 581 | 492 | 369 | 488 | 480 | 668 | 1491 | 1110 | 537 | 228 | 197 | 306 | 891 | 1624 | 1082 | 598 | 520 | 335 | 235 | 252 | 685 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 7:14PM1.89m | 8:58AM1.86m | 8:09PM1.80m | 10:05AM1.86m | 9:19PM1.75m | 11:09AM1.92m | 10:38PM1.75m | 12:02PM2.00m | 11:49PM1.82m | 12:46PM2.08m | 00:48AM1.94m | 1:24PM2.16m | 1:38AM2.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:35PM1.13m | 2:04AM0.57m | 2:37PM1.20m | 3:03AM0.63m | 3:54PM1.21m | 4:09AM0.65m | 5:09PM1.14m | 5:13AM0.64m | 6:09PM1.00m | 6:10AM0.61m | 6:56PM0.84m | 7:00AM0.58m | 7:36PM0.65m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
mm | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 581 | 492 | 369 | 488 | 480 | 668 | 1491 | 1110 | 537 | 228 | 197 | 286 | 891 | 1624 | 1082 | 598 | 520 | 335 | 235 | 252 | 685 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 20 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | 15 | 51 | 51 | 216 | — | — | — | 41 | 74 | 34 | 306 | 424 | — | — | — | — | 18 | 168 | 211 | 86 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 23 | SW 22 | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | S 22 | SSW 18 | SW 20 | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 20 | 73 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 31 | 60 | 131 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NW 4 | ENE 3 | E 3 | — | SW 4 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | — | 4 | 886 | 694 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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