Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, it's Rusty here.

Right, let’s be honest with you about the next couple of weeks. We've got a bit of a slow burn on our hands with Flynns Reef. The ocean's going to be in a bit of a mood, and we're going to have to wait for the good windows.

The week starts off pretty average. Tuesday the 8th is nothing to write home about—there's some small swell around 3ft to 5ft, but the wind is on it, and it's looking choppy and marginal. The water's sitting at a notable 57°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a small bonus if you're keen for a paddle.

Wednesday the 9th is a write-off. A strong SW swell builds to 10ft, but it's coming with a strong cross-onshore wind that's going to make a mess of things. The wave energy will be strong (8044), but it's not going to be any fun. This is big and lumpy, and only for the experienced if anyone's silly enough to go out.

Thursday the 10th is still messy, with 8ft of cross-onshore chop. Not good. We finally get a bit of a breather on Friday the 11th, with the swell dropping to around 5ft, but it's still cross-shore and pretty weak. The best bet is Saturday the 12th afternoon—the wind swings to a light cross-offshore, cleaning things up on the 5ft SW swell. It's not huge, but it'll be the first clean session of the run. Make the most of it because Sunday the 13th gets blown out again by a fresh northerly.

The start of the following week is poor. Monday the 14th is small and choppy, and Tuesday the 15th has fresh cross-onshore winds on a short-period 5ft swell. That's poor.

Then we get a classic. Wednesday the 16th morning looks like a beauty. The wind drops to glassy, and there's a clean 5ft SW swell with a period of 13 seconds. The energy is moderate (1299), but the surface is going to be like a mirror. This is your standout for the week. It'll be clean and lined up. The break is a reef setup, so this longer-period swell will work well.

After that, the wind turns onshore again from Thursday the 17th through the 19th, and it's back to messy conditions. Saturday the 19th has a bit more size at 5ft, but it's still lumpy.

Then, looking into the long range, we've got another promising window around Monday the 21st. There's a 7ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and light offshore winds are forecast for the morning. The energy will be moderate (2140), and the conditions are looking clean. This is a proper swell, and Flynns should be handling it well. It's a bit far out, so we'll see, but that's the one to keep an eye on. Tuesday the 22nd afternoon also has a glassy window with a smaller but still clean 4ft swell.

After that, the winds get strong and messy again to close out the period.

So, to sum it up: we've got a rough start, a clean little window on Saturday the 12th afternoon, a true standout on Wednesday the 16th morning, and a promising but less certain larger swell on Monday the 21st. Keep your expectations low for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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