Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Stoked to be looking at the next couple of weeks for Flynns Reef. It’s a solid reef setup, but it’s not going to be one of those easy weeks. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year, so no drama there.

We start off with a real slow burn. The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Monday morning, August 3rd, you’ve got a 4ft SW swell but with a fresh cross-onshore wind from the NW at 22 mph, and the whole thing’s lumpy. The combined swell energy is weak (1010). That trend continues through Tuesday and Wednesday, with the wind never letting up and the swell bouncing around between 4ft and 7ft, but it’s all blown out. Nothing to get out of bed for.

The first real glimmer comes on Friday morning, August 7th. The swell drops a bit to 4ft from the SW, but it’s a long-period groundswell at 16 seconds. The wind swings light cross-on from the NW at 6 mph, so it’s still pretty average. The energy is moderate (974). But then Friday afternoon… that’s the standout. The wind goes glassy, just a slight air from the NW at 3 mph. The swell is 4ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, and the energy jumps to 1160 (moderate). It’s going to be clean, lined up, and that reef will hold shape. This is your best window. Crowds are likely at Flynns, but with it being a consistent reef, there’ll be waves for everyone.

After that, it goes messy again. Saturday and Sunday are a write-off, with strong cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. The swell drops off to around 4ft. Then Monday, August 10th, we see a big jump in size – 12ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the energy is massive (6433). But the wind is cross-on from the WNW at 16 mph, and it’s choppy. That’s expert territory only, and it’s not clean. The afternoon drops to 10ft, still onshore. Not the day for a casual paddle.

The middle of the week (August 11th-13th) stays punchy with 6ft to 10ft swells, but the wind is either cross or onshore, keeping things messy. The 13th afternoon has a 10ft WSW swell with a 17-second period and energy of 9502, but the wind is onshore. It’s raw power, but only for the brave.

The last few days from August 14th to 18th see swells between 5ft and 7ft, mostly from the SW, but the wind stays cross-onshore or onshore. The 18th Tuesday morning has a 5ft SW swell, 17 seconds, and a gentle onshore breeze from the W at 9 mph, which is a marginal call. It’s not the clean Friday we had, but it’s the next best thing in a patchy run.

If you’re going to pick a session, Friday afternoon, August 7th is the only true standout. After that, it’s mostly for the committed or the experts.

Rusty.

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