Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 3,111 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Flynns Reef.
We’re looking at a pretty challenging stretch ahead. The pattern starts off with a bit of small, long-period swell, but the wind is all wrong – it’s coming from the NW, which is cross-on for this reef. That keeps things messy and marginal right through the end of August. The water is sitting at 56°F, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
The first real standout is a brief window on Monday, the 31st of August. The afternoon glass-off is the one to watch. The wind drops to zero, glassy conditions, and we’ve got a solid 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is strong (1454). That’s a reef setup, so those long-period lines should wrap in nicely. This is for experienced surfers only – the size and power will be too much for beginners.
After that, it’s a tough run. From Tuesday the 1st of September, a nasty gale-force NW wind kicks in and doesn’t let up. We see a big spike in swell, up to 10ft and even 12ft, with massive combined energy readings (over 4000 at times), but every single session is blown out or chopped up by strong cross-on winds. The 9th of September is a tease – the wind goes gentle offshore from the ESE, and the swell is a huge 12ft SW with a 15-second period, but the commentary says it’s simply too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s dicey.
Things finally ease up on the 10th and 11th of September. Thursday the 10th has clean, cross-off winds and a 5ft SW swell, and Friday the 11th has clean offshore winds with a 4ft SW groundswell. These are your best bets for the second week, but they’re small and only marginal in quality. The long gap of blown-out conditions from the 1st to the 9th is a serious stretch of poor surf.
The pick of the period: Monday, 31st August afternoon. That glassy, 5ft SW groundswell at Flynns Reef with a 15-second period is the one to clear your schedule for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 193 | 203 | 369 | 694 | 1795 | 1297 | 911 | 650 | 437 | 659 | 609 | 885 | 1020 | 975 | 1537 | 864 | 674 | 924 | 1290 | 1427 | 1075 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:09AM1.92m | 10:38PM1.75m | 12:02PM2.00m | 11:49PM1.82m | 12:46PM2.08m | 00:48AM1.94m | 1:24PM2.16m | 1:38AM2.07m | 1:59PM2.23m | 2:24AM2.20m | 2:33PM2.28m | 3:07AM2.31m | 3:06PM2.32m | 3:49AM2.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:09PM1.14m | 5:13AM0.64m | 6:09PM1.00m | 6:10AM0.61m | 6:56PM0.84m | 7:00AM0.58m | 7:36PM0.65m | 7:45AM0.55m | 8:13PM0.48m | 8:27AM0.54m | 8:50PM0.31m | 9:07AM0.56m | 9:26PM0.18m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 |
| kJ | 193 | 203 | 299 | 609 | 1795 | 1297 | 911 | 650 | 437 | 659 | 609 | 885 | 1020 | 975 | 1537 | 864 | 674 | 924 | 1290 | — | 1075 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | SW 22 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | 73 | 369 | 694 | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 61 | 60 | — | 73 | 441 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 74 | 56 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 16 | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | — | NW 3 | — | SSW 6 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | 3 | — | 24 | 43 | 32 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 1427 | 14 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 469 | 322 | 4 | 2 | 70 | 69 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Flynns Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest