Flynns Reef surf break

Flynns Reef surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Friday 16 Jan 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
18.4° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 19) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 12 days are 1.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jan 20) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Mon 19th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Thu 22nd Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 21st Jan)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Fri night, light winds from the E by Mon morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon night, min 16°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SE on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Fri
23
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.3
SE
1.3
SE
1.6
SE
1.2
SE
0.6
SW
0.6
SW
0.6
SW
0.6
SW
0.5
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.3
SW
0.6
SW
1.1
SW
1.3
SW
1.1
SW
1
SW
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
Period(s) (?)66671415141413121223201816161414131312
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)13615020712716717112311484555386312777865627404289212166153
Wind
(km/h)
45
ESE
40
ESE
40
ESE
40
E
30
E
35
E
40
ENE
15
E
40
SE
30
ESE
15
ESE
50
SE
30
ESE
25
SE
35
SSE
15
SSE
15
SE
35
SE
30
E
10
E
35
SE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offcross-
off
offoffoffoffoffoffcross-
off
offoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffcross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:12PM
1.91
10:11AM
1.80
12:16AM
1.95
11:16AM
1.77
1:13AM
2.03
12:22PM
1.78
2:01AM
2.12
1:23PM
1.82
2:43AM
2.21
2:18PM
1.89
3:19AM
2.29
3:08PM
1.97
3:53AM
2.35
3:55PM
2.06
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:51AM
1.24
5:07PM
0.53
6:03AM
1.24
6:06PM
0.51
7:08AM
1.17
7:02PM
0.46
8:03AM
1.07
7:52PM
0.42
8:49AM
0.94
8:38PM
0.39
9:29AM
0.80
9:20PM
0.38
10:06AM
0.65
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Fri
23
Sunrise-6:13--6:13--6:15--6:16--6:16--6:18--6:20-
Sunset--8:44--8:43--8:43--8:43--8:42--8:40--8:40
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C171820182023202020212021201917171619211922
Feels °C (?)91113101517121717151816131612131613151717
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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