Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with ya – the surf outlook for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days is a real mixed bag. We’ve got some serious size and energy coming through, but the wind is going to be a constant battle for clean conditions. There are a couple of windows where it all lines up, but you’ll need to be patient and pick your moments.

The water temperature is sitting at 56°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance for a wave isn’t until the afternoon of Thursday, 31st July. Even then, it’s marginal. We’re looking at a 3ft swell from the SW with a 12-second period. Light cross-onshore wind and a combined energy of only 335 – it’s not going to be pumping, just a session for the desperate to wet a line. Friday morning, 1st August, is more of the same: a tiny 2ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and glassy cross-shore wind. The combined energy is weak at 384, and that long period will make it fat and straight on the reef, so it’s only for the patient.

Now, pay attention to Sunday, 2nd August. The morning session is our first proper standout. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell at 15 seconds coming in with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north. The combined energy is a solid 1185 – moderate but punchy. It won’t be huge, but it’ll be clean and lined up. Expect some crowds, because “often” is the word.

The real heavy hitter lands on Wednesday, 5th August. The morning is absolute gold for experienced surfers. A 6ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, glassy cross-offshore wind from the NNE, and combined energy of 1815 – that’s strong. The conditions are rated excellent. This is the best call of the whole outlook. It’ll be a proper reef break session with long, powerful walls. Again, crowds are likely, but for waves that good, you don’t mind sharing.

After that, the wind turns ugly again. There’s a flicker of hope on Saturday, 8th August. The morning is marginal with a 7ft SSW groundswell at a very long 17 seconds, light cross-shore wind, and massive energy of 4738. The size is serious – that’s too big for beginners and really only for experts. The afternoon cleans up beautifully with a glassy offshore breeze from the ENE. Swell drops to 5ft from the SW but it’s clean and the conditions are expected to be very good. That afternoon session is a solid secondary option if the morning is too gnarly.

After that, the wind completely destroys things from the 9th through the 10th of August. Strong, messy winds and lumpy seas – just forget about it.

So to sum it up: if you want the clean, solid, exciting stuff, be there on Sunday morning the 2nd of August. But the real standout is Wednesday morning the 5th of August – that’s the session for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Rusty.

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