Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.9° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, WSW swell with 2,148 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Mon 31st Aug)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Mon 31st Aug)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at what's on the table for Flynns Reef over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a pretty rough start. For a spot like Flynns Reef, which is this advanced-level reef break that's usually pretty consistent, we're looking at a lot of messy, blown-out days before we get to the good stuff. There's a block of proper junk surf from late August stretching all the way through the first week of September.

Thursday the 27th kicks off with a weak 3ft SW swell and light cross-on breezes. The combined energy is only 333, which is weak, and it's just gonna be a scratchy, marginal affair.

Friday the 28th through Monday the 31st is a write-off for clean waves. Swell builds, but it's either onshore, choppy, or just poor conditions. That Friday morning has a moderate 4ft SW swell with a long 18-second period and strong cross-on wind – a lot of energy in the water (1326), but it's gonna be a washing machine.

Now, Monday the 31st afternoon is our first real window. The wind drops to glassy – absolutely dead calm – and we've got a solid 5ft SW groundswell rolling in at 15 seconds. That's a great long-period swell for a reef like this, and the energy is strong at 1261. This is a standout session if you can get out. The water temp is 56°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then things get ugly again. Strong, messy winds from Tuesday the 1st through Thursday the 4th of September. Swells sit around 6ft to 7ft, but it's all cross-on and lumpy. By Friday the 4th, the swell jumps to 8ft (4285 energy), but it's still cross-on and choppy – that's just a washing machine for experts only, and it's not clean.

Saturday the 5th afternoon is another interesting one. The swell is massive at 12ft from the WSW (6418 energy) – that's very strong. The wind is light and offshore. But the guidance tells me for this break, that size is just too big. It's for the true big-wave chargers only; for everyone else, it's a pass.

The second week sees a slight improvement. Sunday the 6th has some clean cross-off winds and a 6ft SW swell, but it's only a 2/10 on the goodness scale. The real return to form looks like Thursday the 10th of September. Clear skies, light cross-on breezes, and a 7ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The energy is strong at 1880. For a reef, that's a dream setup – long lines, plenty of push, and clean texture. It'll be a bit bigger, so it's for the advanced crew. Definitely the best bet in the second week, but it's far out, so take it with a grain of salt.

To sum it up: if you can wait, Monday the 31st afternoon is your best bet for glassy, clean waves. For the big-wave hunters, Saturday the 5th afternoon is on, but it's huge. And keep an eye on Thursday the 10th of September for a solid, clean groundswell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Thu
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.8
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
203
369
694
1795
1297
746
581
431
1112
629
859
992
924
1415
864
674
677
1325
1273
1021
Wind (km/h)
5
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
15
SW
20
WSW
15
WNW
20
WSW
20
NW
20
WNW
15
SW
20
W
10
NNW
5
S
25
N
40
NNW
45
NNW
25
W
30
W
20
WNW
25
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
10:38PM1.75m
12:02PM2.00m
11:49PM1.82m
12:46PM2.08m
00:48AM1.94m
1:24PM2.16m
1:38AM2.07m
1:59PM2.23m
2:24AM2.20m
2:33PM2.28m
3:07AM2.31m
3:06PM2.32m
3:49AM2.38m
Low Tide
5:09PM1.14m
5:13AM0.64m
6:09PM1.00m
6:10AM0.61m
6:56PM0.84m
7:00AM0.58m
7:36PM0.65m
7:45AM0.55m
8:13PM0.48m
8:27AM0.54m
8:50PM0.31m
9:07AM0.56m
9:26PM0.18m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:55
5:57
 mm
Temp °C
13
12
11
12
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
14
15
18
19
17
13
13
12
Feels °C
11
10
8
9
6
6
7
6
7
8
8
9
12
11
8
10
9
8
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Flynns Reef:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Flynns Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest