Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. Lookin’ at the next 16 days, it’s a mixed bag. We got plenty of southwest swell on the charts, but the wind’s gonna be a stubborn bugger for most of it.

First off, from Thursday the 3rd through to Monday the 7th, it’s a no-go. Swell from 5ft to 10ft, but the wind is howling onshore or cross-onshore, gustin’ up to 34 mph. That’s a solid 5-day stretch of nothing. The energy is strong (2471 to 3657 units), but it’s all for nothin’.

The first real window is Tuesday the 15th of September in the afternoon. Flynns Reef goes glassy – dead calm. You got a 6ft southwest swell with a 17-second period, proper groundswell. The combined energy is strong (2156). Water temp is about 57°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time – a nice little treat. It’ll be clean and powerful on that reef. The crowd factor is “often,” so there’ll be some heads out, but it’s the best of the whole run.

Earlier, there’s a couple of marginal days. Thursday the 10th in the morning has a 8ft southwest swell with an 18-second period – that’s a long one – and light cross-onshore wind. The energy is real strong (3756), but that little wind will put a crinkle on it. It’s the biggest swell you can try before the proper clean day. Also, Friday the 11th afternoon goes clean with cross-offshore breeze and a 4ft swell (788 energy). It’s small, but it’s clean.

The very end, Thursday the 17th of September morning, has a monster 12ft southwest swell with clean cross-offshore wind. But the report says it’s too big for the break. The energy is massive (3901). That’s for experts only, and you’d need a lot of nerve.

So, the first week is basically a blank. The standout is that glassy Tuesday the 15th afternoon. Everything else is either too windy, too small, or too big.

Rusty.

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