Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 18s period, SW swell with 3,183 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Flynns Reef. This is a consistent, advanced-level reef break that’s fairly exposed to the SW swell, and it can get crowded. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about normal for this time of year.
The next couple of days are a write-off. Saturday the 4th is a mess with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Sunday morning the 5th cleans up a bit with a cross-off breeze, but the energy is still confused.
The real action kicks off on Wednesday the 8th. That morning, we’ve got a clean, gentle offshore wind from the east, a nice 4ft SW groundswell running with a very long period of 19 seconds, and the combined energy is solid (1473). This is the standout session for experienced surfers—that long period will really wrap into this reef, offering proper shaped waves and long lulls between sets. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft with a similar long period, still clean, and is also an excellent call.
Thursday the 9th keeps the goods coming with clean, glassy conditions in the afternoon and waist-to-chest high swell. Friday the 10th stays tidy with light winds and fun 4ft SW swell in the morning.
After that, things go quiet and messy from Saturday the 11th onward. We get a massive spike in size around Tuesday the 14th and Friday the 17th, but the conditions are blown out or too big for this break. That Friday afternoon the 17th sees a solid 12ft SW swell with a cross-shore wind and a combined energy of 5138, which is huge, but it’s simply too dangerous and messy for a paddle—this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than surfing.
So, to sum it up: if you’re an advanced surfer, Wednesday the 8th is your day. The rest of the window is mostly poor or undersized, so make the call early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 7°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1890 | 1346 | 2092 | 2964 | 2269 | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 272 | 671 | 567 | 614 | 1005 | 1591 | 909 | 683 | 472 | 871 | 783 | 557 | 404 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:03PM2.30m | 2:54AM1.93m | 3:36PM2.32m | 3:37AM1.96m | 4:08PM2.32m | 4:21AM2.00m | 4:39PM2.30m | 5:06AM2.04m | 5:11PM2.27m | 5:54AM2.09m | 5:47PM2.24m | 6:47AM2.13m | 6:28PM2.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:15PM0.79m | 9:02AM0.44m | 9:51PM0.70m | 9:40AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.61m | 10:19AM0.56m | 11:01PM0.51m | 11:00AM0.64m | 11:38PM0.41m | 11:45AM0.74m | 00:19AM0.31m | 12:34PM0.85m | 1:07AM0.22m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | — | — | 1427 | 2964 | 2269 | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 272 | 671 | 567 | 614 | 1005 | 1591 | 909 | 683 | 472 | 871 | 783 | 557 | 404 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 21 | SSW 18 | — | — | SW 14 | SSW 18 | — | SE 11 | ESE 10 | SSW 18 | — | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | — | — | 373 | 1576 | 469 | — | 4 | 1 | 17 | 31 | — | — | 341 | 240 | — | 5 | 11 | 64 | — | 14 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | — | ESE 3 | ESE 5 | E 5 | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1890 | 1346 | 2092 | — | 4 | 20 | 25 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 69 | 84 | 126 | 1 | 111 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Flynns Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest