Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 4,771 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Flynns Reef over the next couple of weeks.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises when you get in.
Now, the honest truth is we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first week and a half is a tough slog. From Sunday the 30th of August right through to the 10th of September, the surf is mostly a write-off. The swell is there, but the wind is just wrecking it. You’ll see a solid SW groundswell pulse through, with energy readings climbing from 736 (moderate) right up to over 4000 (strong) by the 8th, and wave heights nudging 8ft. But with persistent cross-onshore winds, often fresh to strong, the surface is just a mess of chop and lump. It’s a classic case of “looks good on paper, feels awful in the water.” Unless you’re chasing a kite session, leave the boards in the shed. There’s a big gap with no real recommendations until the tail end of the forecast.
The light at the end of the tunnel comes on Friday the 11th of September. That’s the standout. We’ve got a very long-period SW groundswell, period hitting 20 seconds, bringing in a serious 6ft of energy (3089 – strong). The wind switches to a light cross-offshore, and the conditions go clean. This is a classic point-and-reef setup, and that long period will wrap in beautifully here. It’s advanced territory–over 5ft with that kind of power–but for the experienced crew, this is absolute gold. The Saturday morning after is also worth a mention: glassy conditions with a solid 5ft swell, but the energy is a bit lower. Still, Friday is the day to circle.
Apart from that one Friday, the rest of the second week is a mix of marginal conditions and less consistent energy. The run from the 14th onward fades out pretty quickly.
So, to sum it up: suffer through the first week, and get ready for a potentially epic Friday the 11th of September. That’s the one to plan for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 659 | 732 | 933 | 978 | 924 | 1502 | 853 | 648 | 1191 | 859 | 1572 | 1712 | 1615 | 2012 | 3493 | 3172 | 2475 | 1983 | 1216 | 1125 | 767 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:24PM2.16m | 1:38AM2.07m | 1:59PM2.23m | 2:24AM2.20m | 2:33PM2.28m | 3:07AM2.31m | 3:06PM2.32m | 3:49AM2.38m | 3:41PM2.34m | 4:32AM2.40m | 4:18PM2.34m | 5:17AM2.38m | 4:57PM2.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:36PM0.65m | 7:45AM0.55m | 8:13PM0.48m | 8:27AM0.54m | 8:50PM0.31m | 9:07AM0.56m | 9:26PM0.18m | 9:47AM0.59m | 10:04PM0.09m | 10:27AM0.65m | 10:45PM0.05m | 11:09AM0.73m | 11:30PM0.06m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 659 | 732 | 933 | 978 | 924 | 1502 | 853 | 648 | 54 | 859 | 1572 | 1712 | 1615 | — | 3493 | 3172 | 2475 | 1983 | 1216 | 1125 | 767 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 18 | SW 21 | SW 19 | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 61 | 60 | 31 | 112 | 299 | — | — | — | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 16 | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | WSW 6 | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 13 | — | NW 4 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 26 | 1191 | 113 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 2012 | — | 8 | — | 18 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 84 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 103 | 110 | 73 | 70 | 69 | 101 | 101 | 73 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 73 | 492 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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