Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 7,747 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Imperial Units
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Flynns Reef over the next couple weeks. It’s a tale of a few epic sessions and a whole lot of wind trash.
We kick off straight away on Tuesday afternoon, July 7th. You’ve got a clean 4 ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 560, but the breeze is a light cross-off. Water temp is 57°F, which is normal for the season.
The big standout is Wednesday, July 8th. That SW swell puts out a 4 ft morning and pushes to 6 ft by the afternoon, with a very long period of 18 to 19 seconds. Energy goes strong to 1534 and then 1966. It’s a consistent reef, and with clear sky and light cross-off, the surf will be excellent. This is for the experienced crew – that afternoon is over 5 ft, so not for beginners. This is your best window.
Thursday, July 9th still has fun, clean 4 ft SW surf. The morning has a light cross-off, but the afternoon goes glassy with a 3 mph ESE breeze. The water will be like a mirror. Energy is down to moderate, but the quality is high.
Then it turns. Friday, July 10th has 4 ft of swell, but cross and cross-on winds make it choppy. Saturday, July 11th is a write-off – 28 mph cross winds, messy, and the swell drops to 3 ft.
The second week is a mess. Sunday, July 12th has 31 mph near-gale NW winds blowing out a 7 ft swell. Monday, July 13th brings a 13 ft WSW swell, but it’s hammered by onshore winds. That’s expert size but blown to bits – more of a kiteboarding scene than a surfing one.
There’s a little hope on Thursday, July 16th. After a few marginal days, Thursday afternoon goes glassy with a light 3 mph N wind. You get a clean 5 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and energy at 1281. Conditions will be very good. That’s your other standout call, but it’s over a week out, so keep tabs on it.
From there, it’s wind and rain and poor conditions right through to the 22nd, with just a tiny 2 ft, 21-second period groundswell that’s blown out. The run of bad surf is long and consistent from the 10th onward.
Score that Wednesday glass if you can. Treat it right.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 560 | 623 | 1005 | 1729 | 1109 | 603 | 472 | 966 | 724 | 648 | 472 | 350 | 341 | 624 | 1864 | 1242 | 2843 | 4483 | 7093 | 3725 | 3710 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:39PM2.30m | 5:06AM2.04m | 5:11PM2.27m | 5:54AM2.09m | 5:47PM2.24m | 6:47AM2.13m | 6:28PM2.20m | 7:46AM2.16m | 7:15PM2.16m | 8:51AM2.19m | 8:11PM2.13m | 9:59AM2.23m | 9:16PM2.10m | 11:07AM2.28m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:01PM0.51m | 11:00AM0.64m | 11:38PM0.41m | 11:45AM0.74m | 00:19AM0.31m | 12:34PM0.85m | 1:07AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.96m | 2:01AM0.16m | 2:34PM1.04m | 3:02AM0.11m | 3:44PM1.08m | 4:07AM0.08m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 560 | 623 | 1005 | 1729 | 1109 | 603 | 472 | 966 | 724 | 648 | 472 | 350 | 341 | 217 | 1864 | 1242 | — | 4483 | 4221 | 3725 | 3710 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 24 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | — | ESE 11 | SW 20 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | W 9 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 |
| kJ | — | 54 | 404 | 237 | — | 12 | 62 | 164 | — | — | — | 55 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 522 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 24 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | SE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 22 | 125 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 10 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 13 | — | WSW 16 | WNW 4 | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 21 | 46 | 624 | 17 | 59 | 2843 | — | 7093 | 15 | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 258 | 102 | 70 | 451 | 491 | 73 | 69 | 456 | 73 | 61 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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