Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 1,931 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 23s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 2.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Flynns Reef.
First off, don’t even bother waxing your board for the first week. From the end of July through the morning of Friday, August 7th, it’s a total washout. The wind is all over the place, and the swell is a mess. That’s a solid week of nothing worth paddling for.
The turn comes on Friday, August 7th. The morning has a clean 5-foot swell from the SW with a 14-second period and light cross-offshore breezes. The energy is moderate (1123), but the clean conditions make it feel like a gem. The afternoon gets even better: the swell holds at 5 feet from the SW, with a 16-second period, and the wind stays light and cross-offshore. The energy jumps to 1400. This is the moment for the advanced crew. That reef is going to be lined up.
Next, August 12th, Wednesday afternoon, brings a solid 7-foot swell from the WSW with a 12-second period. The wind is cross-offshore, and the energy is strong (2259). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The size is getting into expert territory, so bring your confidence.
The best of the bunch, though, is August 14th. Friday morning gives us a 3-foot SW swell with a very long 21-second period. The wind is offshore from the east at 12 mph, and the energy is a surprising 1671. The afternoon keeps that goodness with a 4-foot SW swell (19-second period) and offshore winds. That’s a recipe for a dream session on the reef. It’s a long wait, but the last day of the window is where it’s at.
Be careful on the morning of August 11th – that 12-foot monster swell is just too big for this spot. Save that for another day.
Water temp is about 56°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Nothing wild.
One thing: this spot is *often* crowded. When the forecast is good, expect a lineup.
So, the first week is a bust. The second week has a few good windows, but Friday August 7th and the entire day of August 14th are your absolute standouts. Mark it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the WSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 991 | 816 | 537 | 373 | 278 | 228 | 249 | 1087 | 1567 | 1123 | 783 | 542 | 506 | 1606 | 518 | 1439 | 638 | 134 | 336 | 290 | 283 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:40PM2.07m | 00:06AM1.81m | 1:23PM2.15m | 1:03AM1.87m | 2:01PM2.23m | 1:54AM1.94m | 2:35PM2.28m | 2:41AM2.02m | 3:07PM2.31m | 3:24AM2.10m | 3:38PM2.33m | 4:07AM2.18m | 4:09PM2.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:42PM1.07m | 6:34AM0.50m | 7:30PM0.94m | 7:21AM0.48m | 8:11PM0.80m | 8:05AM0.47m | 8:48PM0.66m | 8:45AM0.49m | 9:23PM0.53m | 9:24AM0.52m | 9:57PM0.40m | 10:03AM0.58m | 10:32PM0.29m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 11 | WSW 13 | SSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 991 | 816 | 537 | 373 | 278 | 228 | 184 | 1087 | 1567 | 1123 | 783 | 542 | 506 | 242 | 518 | 861 | 253 | 37 | 336 | 290 | 184 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 |
| kJ | — | — | 11 | 18 | 62 | 60 | 249 | 107 | — | — | — | — | 81 | 298 | 12 | — | — | 134 | 239 | 281 | 283 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 20 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | WSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 78 | 253 | 34 | 31 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 16 | WSW 7 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | — | — | — | NNW 2 |
| kJ | — | 802 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 66 | 1606 | 204 | 1439 | 638 | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 69 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 103 | 73 | 70 | 10 | 84 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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