Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the lowdown on Flynns Reef for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a rough start. The first few days are a write-off. We’re looking at Friday the 7th through to the 14th, and honestly, it’s a nine-day stretch of frustration. The wind is either howling onshore or ripping cross-shore, making a mess of it. Even when there’s some decent swell in the water, like the 10 ft to 12 ft Southwest swell we see on the 10th and 13th, the wind is just too strong – we’re talking near gale force – so it’s blown out and ugly. The combined energy is massive (5407 and 9605 in that period), but it’s all for nothing. The 14th isn’t any better, with a 7 ft to 7 ft Southwest swell but still moderate cross-shore wind and chop. There’s a couple of marginal windows on the 7th afternoon and the 14th afternoon, but nothing you’d get excited about.

Now, the turnaround. The real standout is Saturday the 15th of August. This is the one. Flynns Reef is a consistent, advanced reef break, and it’s going to fire. We’ve got a solid 8 ft Southwest swell running with a long 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and it’s gonna wrap in deep. The key is the wind: clear skies, and a light offshore breeze from the ESE at just 6 mph. That’s glassy, clean conditions. The combined energy is a strong 3393, and the report says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is a big, powerful wave, and it’s only for the crew who know what they’re doing. The afternoon session looks just as good, with 7 ft from the Southwest and clean cross-offshore wind. This is the day to circle.

After that, we get a nice run of clean conditions. Sunday the 16th morning is on the smaller side, with a 4 ft Southwest swell and a light offshore breeze, making for clean, fun waves. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th also look promising, with clean, chest to head-high sets from the Southwest, and the wind staying light and favourable. The 17th afternoon has a 4 ft, 16-second swell, and the 18th morning has a 3 ft, 18-second swell – very long period, which will be super clean and lined up, but it might race a bit at the take-off. The 18th afternoon bumps up to 5 ft, still clean. The combined energy is moderate to strong (up to 1269), so there’s plenty of push.

The very end of the run, on Saturday the 22nd, shows a bit of hope. The morning is messy with an 8 ft, short-period 10-second swell, but the afternoon gets glassy. A 6 ft, 9-second swell with glassy conditions and a "very good" surf report. That’s a fun little window to close out the forecast.

So, to sum it up: the first nine days are a total loss unless you’re a kite surfer in that wind. The absolute best is Saturday the 15th of August at Flynns Reef – big, clean, and powerful. The rest of the second week offers a few clean, fun days, but nothing will top that Saturday.

Rusty.

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