Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.3° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, WSW swell with 1,914 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 7th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 7th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 9th Aug)7.5ft (2.3m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this 16-day run at Flynns Reef is one for the patient, seasoned crew only. Most of the window is a write-off thanks to messy onshore wind or flat spells, but there are a couple of brief windows that’ll get the blood pumping—if you’re good enough to handle it. Right now, the water’s sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start with nothing on the cards for the first few days. Sunday 2 August through to about Wednesday 5 August is largely a waste—cross-shore and cross-onshore wind, lumpy chop, and swell energy that’s all over the shop. Bit of a gap, really. Thursday 6 and Friday 7 August morning stay poor, but then on the afternoon of Friday 7 August, something shifts. The wind goes glassy with a light NNE breeze, and we’ve got a solid 4 ft SW groundswell running at 15 seconds. The combined energy sits at 1130 (moderate energy), and while it’s not huge, those clean conditions will make it feel way better. This is your first real highlight—just know it’s a reef break, so it’s for the advanced crew, and crowds are often a thing here.

Then things get ugly again. Saturday 8 August through Monday 10 August is blown out or too messy—strong winds, lumpy, cross-shore junk. The swell pumps up to 12 ft on Monday 10 August, but it’s cross-onshore and rough. No good.

Now, the standout moment. Wednesday 12 August: morning and afternoon both offer excellent surf for experienced surfers. You’re looking at a clean 7 ft to 8 ft SW swell, period 15-16 seconds, with light cross-offshore breezes—NE in the morning, SE in the afternoon. The combined energy readings are 2975 and 3542, which is strong wave energy. That’s proper groundswell, and at this size it’s only for experts, but the lines will be clean, and the reef will shape it up nicely. This is the best on offer, no question.

Thursday 13 August sees the swell jump to 12 ft, but with cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions, it’s too big and messy—strictly for the kamikaze crew. From Friday 14 August onward it’s back to poor form: onshore gales, heavy rain, and blown-out surf right through to Monday 17 August. Some days the swell stays around 7 ft to 10 ft, but with near gale winds, it’s not worth looking at.

Overall, if you’re experienced and can wait, Friday 7 August afternoon and especially Wednesday 12 August are your moments. The rest is a long, windy blank.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
2.2
WSW
11
1.7
SW
11
0.4
SW
20
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
12
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
18
1.5
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1137
886
623
677
666
518
699
1165
688
134
248
166
120
242
473
1137
753
1174
813
803
542
Wind (km/h)
30
N
30
N
30
NNW
40
WNW
35
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
20
WSW
35
SW
10
SSW
20
WSW
25
WSW
15
NW
10
NW
20
NNW
20
NW
5
NNE
20
NNE
25
N
30
N
45
N
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
2:35PM2.28m
2:41AM2.02m
3:07PM2.31m
3:24AM2.10m
3:38PM2.33m
4:07AM2.18m
4:09PM2.33m
4:50AM2.23m
4:43PM2.32m
5:36AM2.25m
5:19PM2.29m
6:26AM2.24m
6:01PM2.26m
Low Tide
8:48PM0.66m
8:45AM0.49m
9:23PM0.53m
9:24AM0.52m
9:57PM0.40m
10:03AM0.58m
10:32PM0.29m
10:44AM0.65m
11:10PM0.20m
11:26AM0.75m
11:53PM0.14m
12:12PM0.85m
00:41AM0.12m
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
 mm
1
1
7
1
2
5
1
Temp °C
13
15
13
12
12
10
10
12
12
12
13
12
10
12
13
12
15
13
13
14
14
Feels °C
6
8
7
4
4
5
4
8
6
9
8
6
6
8
9
9
13
8
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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