Flynns Reef surf break

Flynns Reef surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 pm Thursday 14 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
16.0° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 1.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 21) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (May 16) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 15th May)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 15th May)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 21st May)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun night, min 13°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thu
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
19
1.2
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
1.4
SW
11
1.6
SSW
11
1.5
SSW
16
1.4
SW
16
1
WSW
12
1.6
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
520
802
560
350
228
221
408
879
581
596
480
451
286
200
190
423
628
1214
1031
280
982
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
20
NNE
10
NNE
20
NE
25
NNE
25
NNW
10
N
15
NNE
20
N
20
NNE
15
NNW
0
NW
5
E
30
SSW
35
SW
40
SSW
35
SSW
30
SW
30
SSW
25
S
25
S
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
9:46AM2.04m
9:33PM1.99m
10:55AM2.21m
10:32PM2.03m
11:57AM2.38m
11:31PM2.10m
12:53PM2.52m
00:27AM2.19m
1:45PM2.61m
1:22AM2.27m
2:35PM2.65m
2:16AM2.32m
3:23PM2.63m
Low Tide
3:09AM0.54m
3:44PM0.94m
4:08AM0.37m
4:54PM0.93m
5:07AM0.19m
5:57PM0.88m
6:03AM0.02m
6:54PM0.81m
6:58AM-0.10m
7:46PM0.74m
7:51AM-0.16m
8:36PM0.67m
8:43AM-0.14m
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:14
5:13
5:12
7
12
11
8
4
Temp °C
19
19
21
19
20
19
18
15
14
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
15
15
14
14
15
16
18
15
16
14
16
12
11
13
13
16
15
8
7
6
7
9
9
9
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
19
1.2
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
1.3
WSW
11
1.4
WSW
11
1.3
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
14
Energy kJ
520
802
560
350
228
221
317
879
581
596
480
451
286
200
190
359
458
372
359
280
672
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.2
ESE
7
0.2
ESE
7
0.8
SW
17
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SW
22
0.1
SW
21
0.4
SW
4
0.3
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.4
SE
10
Energy kJ
132
5
4
408
6
8
7
18
18
3
53
155
145
318
302
220
25
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
SSW
18
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
Energy kJ
18
18
60
8
8
31
9
9
10
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNE
3
0.4
NW
3
0.4
SW
4
0.4
SW
3
1.4
SW
11
1.6
SSW
11
1.5
SSW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.8
SSW
6
1.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
3
2
5
3
423
628
1214
1031
247
982
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
1
1
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
2
4
1
4
2
Distance (km)
7
9
0
7
9
2
2
9
9
7
2
0
0
131
451
382
490
306
126
306
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
1
1
2
3
2
3
2
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
4
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
5
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
7
6
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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