Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SW swell with 2,158 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab a coffee, let's have a look at the outlook for Flynns Reef.
The first week or so is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. We've got a run of messy, windy days that really aren't going to do this reef any favours. The good news is that there's a real standout waiting for us in the second week, so don't give up hope just yet.
Friday 31st July kicks things off with a bit of swell on the way, but the wind is a mess. It's cross-on at 9 mph and the forecast is for poor surf conditions with a combined energy of 391. The swell is 4 ft from the SW with a solid 12-second period, but it's just not worth paddling out for. We move into Saturday 1st August and the morning looks clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell has dropped right back to 2 ft. The energy is moderate (466), but that wave height is tiny. The period is a very long 18 seconds, so there will be some nice, glassy lines for a log if you're desperate. The afternoon gets lumpy again.
Then from Sunday 2nd August right through to Monday 10th August, it’s pretty grim. We get a mix of onshore and cross-shore winds, often fresh to strong, with lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell sticks around 3 ft to 5 ft, but the quality is just not there. This is a solid run of poor surf.
Now, look ahead to Thursday 13th August. This is the one. The morning kicks off with a 7 ft SW swell, a period of 20 seconds, and glassy conditions. Combined energy is a very stout 4100. This is big, powerful, long-period groundswell for experienced surfers only. The wind is flat calm—0 mph—and it will be absolutely glassy. This is expert territory, but for those guys, it's going to be incredible. The afternoon stays glassy with a light 7 ft swell. This is the standout.
Friday 14th August is still solid. The swell holds at 7 ft for the morning with a 18-second period, but the wind swings cross-shore, so it'll be a bit lumpy, not as perfect as Thursday. The energy is still massive (3197), but the wind is the difference. The afternoon sees the wind turn cross-on and the quality drops.
Saturday 15th August fades. The swell drops to 5 ft, the energy is down to 1186, and the cross-onshore wind returns with a lumpy chop. That run of promising swell is over.
So, you've got a long wait. The first week is a right-off. But if you're an experienced surfer and you can wait, Thursday 13th August at Flynns Reef is your target. It's a powerful, glassy, groundswell day for experts only.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 9 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 537 | 373 | 314 | 228 | 249 | 1087 | 1432 | 1137 | 897 | 686 | 606 | 603 | 1805 | 1048 | 826 | 281 | 241 | 293 | 297 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 00:06AM1.81m | 1:23PM2.15m | 1:03AM1.87m | 2:01PM2.23m | 1:54AM1.94m | 2:35PM2.28m | 2:41AM2.02m | 3:07PM2.31m | 3:24AM2.10m | 3:38PM2.33m | 4:07AM2.18m | 4:09PM2.33m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:34AM0.50m | 7:30PM0.94m | 7:21AM0.48m | 8:11PM0.80m | 8:05AM0.47m | 8:48PM0.66m | 8:45AM0.49m | 9:23PM0.53m | 9:24AM0.52m | 9:57PM0.40m | 10:03AM0.58m | 10:32PM0.29m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | — | — | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 8 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 537 | 373 | 314 | 228 | 187 | 1087 | 1432 | 1137 | 897 | 686 | 606 | 603 | — | — | 245 | 83 | 231 | 93 | 256 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | — | — | SSW 16 | WSW 20 | WSW 17 | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 11 | 18 | 62 | 60 | 249 | 64 | — | — | 85 | 38 | 261 | — | — | — | — | 75 | 241 | 184 | 297 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 20 | S 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | — | — | 8 | 7 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 112 | 71 | 293 | 30 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 100 | 1805 | 1048 | 826 | 281 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 69 | 70 | 70 | 73 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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