Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks aren’t looking too flash for a paddle, I gotta be straight with you. There’s a long stretch of rough conditions, but we might get a little window of something rideable towards the end of the second week.

Right now, and for most of the coming days, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a strong run of onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the northwest and west, that are going to mess up the surface. The swell itself isn’t the problem – there’s plenty of energy in the water, with readings hitting moderate to very strong levels, but the wind just won’t play ball. Because of that, there are no good surf options for the first ten days or so. That’s a big gap of nothing.

Then, around Thursday the 16th of July, things *might* start to soften up just a little. We’re looking at Flynns Reef here. It’s an advanced-level reef break, and it’s consistent, which is a positive. It’s fairly exposed to the swell, and it likes it from the southwest. On Thursday morning, the wind drops to a gentle breeze, but it’s still cross-onshore, so the surf is fairly choppy with a 5ft swell from the southwest, period of 14 seconds. That moderate wave energy combined with the leftover chop means it’s only just worth a look – marginal at best.

Friday the 17th of July offers a small glimmer. The morning is still choppy with a moderate breeze, but the afternoon sees the wind ease to a light breeze. The swell sits around 6ft from the southwest, with a long 16-second period. That’s a groundswell, which at a reef like Flynns should offer some nice, lined-up waves, though the period means longer waits between sets. The energy is moderate. Still, with a light cross-onshore wind making it fairly clean, this is probably the pick of the whole forecast, even if it’s only a 3 out of 10. It’s the closest we get to good.

After that, the wind picks up again, and we slip back into poor conditions for the rest of the window, with strong breezes and messy cross-chop returning.

So, to be honest, it’s a tough outlook. The only session that even comes close to being worth the drive is the Friday afternoon on the 17th of July at Flynns Reef. The swell is a decent size for advanced surfers, the direction is right, and that light wind makes it the cleanest option we’ve got. Everywhere else and every other time, expect blown-out, lumpy, or choppy conditions. Not a classic winter fortnight.

Rusty.

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