Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 01 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
14.3°C
1.4° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 30 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 7 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 7 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,989 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 1 Oct, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 01) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 03) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Thu 1st Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 14s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 7th Oct)7.5ft (2.3m) 16s
Most Powerful 8AM (Wed 7th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu morning, strong winds from the ESE by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the WSW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.4
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
550
528
520
451
330
686
598
606
573
565
952
1109
1082
942
820
692
1976
2390
3185
3001
2147
Wind (km/h)
5
W
20
SSW
15
ENE
25
ESE
25
SE
40
ESE
45
ESE
35
ESE
20
SE
10
S
20
SSW
10
SW
5
W
10
SE
20
NNW
35
NW
45
SW
35
SSW
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
E
Wind State
on
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
2:36PM2.31m
3:30AM2.55m
3:16PM2.34m
4:14AM2.53m
3:58PM2.34m
4:59AM2.46m
4:42PM2.30m
5:47AM2.35m
5:32PM2.22m
6:39AM2.23m
6:29PM2.10m
7:36AM2.12m
7:37PM2.00m
Low Tide
8:58PM-0.00m
9:30AM0.61m
9:40PM-0.05m
10:11AM0.65m
10:25PM-0.02m
10:55AM0.70m
11:12PM0.07m
11:43AM0.76m
00:03AM0.22m
12:37PM0.82m
00:59AM0.39m
1:40PM0.85m
2:05AM0.57m
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
—
—
5:54
—
—
5:52
—
—
6:50
—
—
5:48
—
—
5:48
—
—
5:46
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:22
—
—
6:23
—
—
6:24
—
—
7:24
—
—
6:25
—
—
6:27
—
—
6:28
—
 mm
1
17
2
3
—
4
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
2
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
17
12
12
12
12
13
12
14
12
11
11
12
11
15
15
16
12
12
11
11
10
Feels °C
17
8
10
7
8
6
3
7
7
9
7
8
10
12
11
9
3
3
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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