Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Flynns Reef.

Overall, this is a pretty frustrating run. There’s a whole lot of swell on the way, but the wind is going to be a stubborn bastard for most of it, ruining what could have been some solid sessions. We’ve got a long wait ahead for anything truly good.

Kicking off Friday the 28th of August, the conditions are poor. We’ve got a 4ft SW swell with a long 18-second period, and combined wave energy is a strong 1326, but the 20 km/h NW cross-on wind just chops it up. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft from the SW at 17 seconds, and the wind backs off a touch, but it’s still cross-onshore, making it marginal at best.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are a write-off. We’ve got 4ft to 5ft of SW swell, but onshore and cross-on winds keep the surf quality poor. Not worth paddling out.

Monday the 31st is a little more promising, but still far from perfect. The swell holds at 5ft-5ft from the SW, with a period of 14-15 seconds. The wind gets light, but it’s still cross-shore. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy reads a moderate 992 to 1273, but with the wind angle, it stays marginal.

Tuesday the 1st of September is a total mess. Strong breeze winds from the NNW at 40 km/h hammer the 4ft-4ft swell. Just forget it.

From Wednesday the 2nd through to the weekend of the 6th of September, it’s a lot of the same story. There’s consistent SW swell, peaking at 10ft on Friday the 4th and again on the 6th, with combined energy hitting a very strong 4054 and 2406, respectively. But every single session is plagued by onshore or cross-on winds. This is one of those times where the *Flynns Reef (reef)* is going to be a mess for paddling. Honestly, with that much wind and swell, a kitesurfer would probably have a field day, but for a traditional surfer, it’s a no-go.

Finally, after that long stretch of poor conditions, the first real standout shows up on Monday the 7th of September. It’s a small morning session with a 4ft SW swell, 11-second period, light cross-offshore wind from the N at only 5 km/h, and a clean wave state. Combined energy is a weak 477, so it won't be powerful, but it will be clean. That’s the best chance for a fun, uncrowded paddle.

Tuesday the 8th of September keeps the hope alive. The morning brings 4ft of SW swell with a long 14-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ESE at 10 km/h, giving us clean conditions again. In the afternoon, the wind picks up to a moderate 20 km/h but remains offshore, keeping the 4ft surf clean. This is another good window.

After that, the wind turns nasty again. Wednesday the 9th sees onshore winds and poor surf. Thursday the 10th offers a glassy morning with small 3ft swell—a great option for a longboard or a beginner—but then Friday and Saturday the 11th and 12th of September get windy and messy once more.

The absolute best on offer in this 16-day window are the Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th of September mornings. For a clean, manageable wave with offshore or light winds, that’s the time to be at Flynns Reef. The rest of the period is mostly blown out.

Rusty.

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