Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Flynns Reef has in store for us. This is a solid reef break, good with a SW swell, and it's consistent.

Water temp is about 57° F, pretty normal for this season. Nothing to fuss about.

First bit of action kicks off Sunday morning, July 5th. We’ve got a hefty 8ft SW swell pushing in, with an absurdly long period of 17 seconds. That’s a serious groundswell, packing a huge energy punch at 4686. The wind is cross-off from the ESE at 25 km/h, keeping things clean. This is proper heavy water, over 8ft, so leave this one for the experts only – big, powerful waves and rips. Sunday afternoon drops to 7ft with that long period still, but the wind cranks to 35 km/h, making it a bit hairier.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th drop right down to 4ft. It’s still a nice SW groundswell with periods of 14 to 17 seconds. Energy is moderate (547-693 range). Tuesday morning has near-glass conditions with a light N wind, so you’ll get some clean, peeling waves on the reef. Good for most surfers on these smaller days. Expect some company though – the spot is “often” crowded.

Now, here’s the standout. Wednesday, July 8th. This is the day. Morning swell sits at 4ft, picks up to 5ft by the afternoon, all from the SW with a very long 18-19 second period. The energy is strong (1534-1828). The wind is the star: an offshore ENE breeze in the morning, turning to glass in the afternoon. That offshore wind will groom the reef perfectly, giving you clean, powerful, well-shaped waves. If you’re going to get in the water this week, Wednesday is your money day.

Everything after Wednesday the 8th turns sour. By Friday the 10th, the wind switches onshore or cross-onshore from the N and NW, ramping up from 15 to 40-50 km/h. From Saturday the 11th onward, it’s all cross-onshore and messy. Even when the swell pumps up to 7ft on Monday the 13th, it’s accompanied by a fresh cross-onshore gale. The wave energy ranges from moderate to very strong (970-3102) during this period, but the surface is completely blown out. Not worth paddling out.

This poor pattern sticks around through the weekend and into the following week. We don’t see any real improvement until Sunday the 19th, and even that is marginal with a light cross-onshore. The last few days are just messy cross-shore chop.

So here’s the straight talk: your window is early. Thursday the 8th is the gem. The earlier Sunday swell is for the brave. After that, it’s a long gale-force slog until the very end. Keep an eye on that Tuesday the 7th too for small clean waves. Otherwise, it’s a tough stretch.

Rusty, signing off.

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