Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Flynns Reef.

We’ve got a run of clean, rideable waves to kick things off this week, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The real standout to pencil in is Tuesday morning the 18th – that’s where the magic happens. The rest of the outlook gets messy with wind and drops off in quality for a long stretch before a possible, though uncertain, flicker of life right at the very end.

So, looking at the first few days. Monday the 17th, we start with a clean 4ft SW swell with a long 14-second period. The wind is light offshore from the ENE in the morning, making for some tidy lines at this advanced reef. The combined energy’s sitting at a moderate 549. It’s a good start, but it’s Tuesday morning the 18th that has my heart. The swell is a touch smaller at 4ft, but it’s still from the SW with a lovely 15-second period, and that cross-offshore NE wind will have it feeling glassy, with energy jumping up to 821. That’s your best bet this week. Tides will play a role as it’s a reef, but the quality is there. Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon still offer clean surf on the dropping tide, just not as punchy.

Now, from Wednesday the 19th, the wheels really fall off. We are staring at a solid week and a half of mostly dud conditions. A strong northerly breeze, gusting up to 25 mph, sets up a messy cross-shore chop on Wednesday that just ruins it. The swell drops to 2ft and the energy plummets to 209. This pattern holds through to the end of August. You’ll see some bigger SW swells pulse through, like 7ft on the 23rd, but it’s accompanied by onshore or cross-onshore winds that will make it a washing machine for experts only, or simply blown out. Even the cleaner look on Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th is marginal. By Friday the 28th, we are down to weak 3ft swell.

Honestly, from the 19th right through to the 29th, there is nothing I’d recommend paddling out for. It’s a real dry spell, with most sessions being blown out by cross-shore or onshore winds. The setup through this windy period looks like it might actually be more fun for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Finally, we get a tiny glimmer at the very end. Saturday the 30th and into Sunday the 31st show a bump back up to 6ft of SW swell with a 15-second period and solid energy (1994), and then 6ft on the 31st. However, the winds are still howling from the north and northwest, creating messy cross-shore chop both days. It’s a step in the right direction for size, but the conditions are far from clean. Those last few days are a long-range hope that the wind might ease off, but it’s very uncertain.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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