Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here to break down the next stretch at Flynns Reef. I gotta be honest, the first chunk is a total bust. The swell is pumping from the southwest, with combined energy readings from 1837 up over 4000 (moderate to very strong), but the wind is screaming out of the northwest at 31 mph. That’s a near gale cross-onshore, turning 8ft to 10ft of swell into a complete blown-out mess. Honestly, with that much wind and surf, this is looking more like a kite surfing situation than a paddle surfing one. Don't even think about it until at least mid-week.

Things take a slight turn on Wednesday the 15th. The swell drops to a still-chunky 6ft from the southwest, but the wind backs off to 9 mph from the northwest. It’s still cross-onshore, so expect a choppy surface. Combined energy is down to 1505 (moderate). Thursday the 16th is similar – 4ft swell with light winds, but it’s labeled as marginal. Not clean. This whole spell from the 12th to the 18th is a long gap of poor conditions.

But hang on, because Friday the 17th afternoon shows some promise. The swell hangs in at a solid 6ft from the southwest, with a very long period of 16 seconds – that's real groundswell energy. And the wind goes glassy, with a slight air from the south. That’s huge. Combined energy is 1357 (moderate). For a consistent advanced reef break like Flynns Reef, a long period southwest swell with glassy conditions is a dream. The internal numbers call it excellent for experienced surfers. At 6ft with that period, it's not for the groms, but for the crew who know what they're doing, this is the best bet of the first week.

Then it’s back to a rough patch from Saturday the 18th through Wednesday the 22nd. The swell gets tiny – down to 2ft to 5ft – and the wind cranks back up from the north at 22 to 25 mph, making everything a lumpy, choppy disaster. Combined energy drops as low as 156 (weak). Not worth a paddle.

Now for the second week. Thursday the 23rd afternoon looks interesting again. A 4ft southwest swell, but with a super long period of 19 seconds, and the wind is glassy from the SSE. That’s clean lines on the reef. Energy is 1745 (moderate).

But the real standout of the entire outlook is Friday the 24th. Clear skies, a light cross-offshore breeze from the northeast, and a solid 6ft southwest swell with a 17-second period. Combined energy at 2054 (moderate). The wind description is "clean." That’s the golden ticket. It’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the one to aim for. Saturday the 25th looks like it gets ruined by a fresh northerly wind again, so the window is tight.

To sum it up: Friday the 17th afternoon for a glassy session, and especially that Friday the 24th for cleaner conditions with solid groundswell. The rest of the time, the wind is the enemy.

Rusty.

Read more