Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this 16-day run at Flynns Reef is one for the patient, seasoned crew only. Most of the window is a write-off thanks to messy onshore wind or flat spells, but there are a couple of brief windows that’ll get the blood pumping—if you’re good enough to handle it. Right now, the water’s sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start with nothing on the cards for the first few days. Sunday 2 August through to about Wednesday 5 August is largely a waste—cross-shore and cross-onshore wind, lumpy chop, and swell energy that’s all over the shop. Bit of a gap, really. Thursday 6 and Friday 7 August morning stay poor, but then on the afternoon of Friday 7 August, something shifts. The wind goes glassy with a light NNE breeze, and we’ve got a solid 4 ft SW groundswell running at 15 seconds. The combined energy sits at 1130 (moderate energy), and while it’s not huge, those clean conditions will make it feel way better. This is your first real highlight—just know it’s a reef break, so it’s for the advanced crew, and crowds are often a thing here.

Then things get ugly again. Saturday 8 August through Monday 10 August is blown out or too messy—strong winds, lumpy, cross-shore junk. The swell pumps up to 12 ft on Monday 10 August, but it’s cross-onshore and rough. No good.

Now, the standout moment. Wednesday 12 August: morning and afternoon both offer excellent surf for experienced surfers. You’re looking at a clean 7 ft to 8 ft SW swell, period 15-16 seconds, with light cross-offshore breezes—NE in the morning, SE in the afternoon. The combined energy readings are 2975 and 3542, which is strong wave energy. That’s proper groundswell, and at this size it’s only for experts, but the lines will be clean, and the reef will shape it up nicely. This is the best on offer, no question.

Thursday 13 August sees the swell jump to 12 ft, but with cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions, it’s too big and messy—strictly for the kamikaze crew. From Friday 14 August onward it’s back to poor form: onshore gales, heavy rain, and blown-out surf right through to Monday 17 August. Some days the swell stays around 7 ft to 10 ft, but with near gale winds, it’s not worth looking at.

Overall, if you’re experienced and can wait, Friday 7 August afternoon and especially Wednesday 12 August are your moments. The rest is a long, windy blank.

Rusty.

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