Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Looks like we’re in for a rough ride for a while. The next ten days are mostly a write-off, with strong winds and messy conditions making it hard to get a decent wave. The good news is that the second week has some real potential, especially if you can hold out for a long weekend session.

It kicks off on Tuesday 15 September with a big SW groundswell pushing 7 ft but a strong WSW cross-on at 25 mph ruins it. That swell builds to 10 ft mid-week, but the wind stays ugly. The combined wave energy is chunky — 2295 on Tuesday morning — but you’re battling strong onshore chop. This stretch runs right through to Friday 19 September with nothing clean on offer. There’s a brief window on Sunday 20 September when the wind turns onshore but the swell jumps to 7 ft with a period of 11 seconds — still poor conditions though.

Monday 21 September is where things start to shift. The morning still has a cross-shore mess, but by the afternoon the wind turns cross-offshore at SSE 12 mph and the swell holds at 7 ft (SW, 16 seconds). The wave energy is 2539 — solid — and the conditions clean up. Not perfect, but a big step up. Tuesday 22 September follows with light NE cross-off winds and 7 ft SW groundswell (15 secs, 2018 energy). That’s a proper session. These two afternoons are the first real highlight, and the break is a consistent reef, so expect some crowds.

The standout of the whole outlook is without doubt Friday 25 September. The morning we’ve got glassy conditions, a light WSW breeze, 4 ft SW swell with a period of 14 seconds, and the wave comment says "expect good surf conditions." That’s a rare treat. If you’re keen on a clean wave, this is it. The afternoon pushes to 4 ft but with a long 17-second period and cross-off NNE breeze — very clean again. This is the one to circle.

Saturday 26 September brings a bigger swell — 8 ft SW (19 seconds, 4420 energy) — but a fresh NNW cross-shore in the morning makes it lumpy. The afternoon cleans up with a NNE cross-off, but that size is only for experienced surfers. Sunday 27 September morning looks magic: glassy with a light SE breeze, 7 ft SW groundswell (17 seconds, 2918 energy). The report says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is the other big highlight — clean, powerful, and rippable if you’ve got the skills.

From Monday 28 September we’re back into cross-on SW winds and dropping swell. By Thursday 24 September the waves are tiny — 2 ft — and not worth chasing.

One break to watch: Flynns Reef. It’s a consistent advanced reef break, exposed to the SW swell. The water temps are about normal for this time of year.

So the real action is 25th to 27th September. Be patient, and grab that window.

Rusty.

Read more