Flynns Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.49° S 145.15° E

Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flynns Reef sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.9° 

Flynns Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flynns Reef surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 8,904 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 12th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 12th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Flynns Reef. It’s a reef break, so we’re talking about a proper wave that needs the right conditions, and it’s for advanced surfers only. We’ve got some serious water moving around, but we have to pick our moments.

For the first week, it’s a tough slog. The wind is all over the place, mostly cross or cross-on, and the combined energy is all over the map. We start with a moderate 1690 (moderate wave energy) on Sunday the 6th, but it’s a cross-on 15 mph breeze, so the 7 ft SW swell is going to be a choppy, lumpy mess. Not worth paddling out. Monday and Tuesday stay poor with fresh breezes, though on Tuesday morning the 8th, the wind goes offshore at 15 mph, and the swell is a 4 ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period. The energy is moderate (1130), but the report says marginal, so it’s a maybe, not a yes.

The middle of the week gets wild. Wednesday the 9th sees a big 10 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the energy hits 4494 (strong). But the wind is screaming at 35 to 40 mph cross-on, making it a total mess. Thursday and Friday aren’t much better; the swell is still there, but the wind is too strong. The water is at 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Now, look here. The standout is Saturday the 12th. Absolutely. The wind swings to a light 10 mph cross-off from the NNE in the morning, and the swell is a clean 6 ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 1800 (moderate). The report calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the one. The long period will make the reef link up beautifully, and with the wind cleaning it up, it’s going to be a proper session. The crowd situation is “often,” so expect a few other boats out there, but it’s worth it.

After that, the wind goes bad again. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are blown out, with Monday bringing a near gale. There’s a gap of poor conditions until we get to another potential window.

Tuesday the 15th afternoon is a real secret. The wind goes glassy from the NNE, just 5 mph, and the swell is a solid 8 ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The energy is 2668 (strong). The report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The waves will be big, clean, and offering plenty of power. For a reef break, that’s a dream. But it’s a long way out, so we need to keep an eye on it.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The wind is mostly onshore or cross, and the swell is either too big or too small. Thursday the 17th has a promising 5 ft SW swell with an 18-second period and a light offshore wind, but the report says marginal. The potential is there for a clean, lined-up wave, but it’s a gamble. The 21st of September sees a monster 12 ft SW swell with a 17-second period, but the energy is 6788 (very strong). The report says it’s too big for the break, so unless you’re towing in, that’s a no-go.

The best of the best is the Saturday the 12th and Tuesday the 15th. The Saturday is the pick of the week for reliability, with the cleanest conditions and a solid swell. It’s a proper session for the advanced crew.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the N by Fri night).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.1
WSW
12
1.8
SW
8
0.6
SW
20
1.3
SW
13
1.6
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
19
4
SW
18
2.5
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.9
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1536
1063
699
341
358
276
535
1555
1694
3736
5600
8904
4284
2860
2035
1326
1325
1783
1571
1164
757
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
20
SW
25
WSW
35
SSW
30
SSW
15
SSW
15
WNW
20
WSW
35
SW
35
SSW
40
SW
30
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
25
W
25
WSW
20
SW
10
SW
10
NNE
5
SSW
30
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
5:41PM2.26m
6:59AM2.21m
6:33PM2.18m
8:00AM2.12m
7:35PM2.08m
9:08AM2.07m
8:51PM2.00m
10:18AM2.07m
10:16PM1.99m
11:22AM2.11m
11:35PM2.06m
12:16PM2.17m
00:42AM2.17m
Low Tide
11:54AM0.83m
00:19AM0.12m
12:46PM0.92m
1:16AM0.23m
1:48PM0.99m
2:20AM0.35m
3:02PM1.00m
3:33AM0.45m
4:21PM0.91m
4:47AM0.51m
5:32PM0.76m
5:55AM0.53m
6:30PM0.57m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
12
11
11
10
12
11
11
12
12
11
12
11
10
10
9
13
18
15
Feels °C
10
9
7
5
4
6
6
6
4
2
3
4
6
6
5
5
5
6
10
14
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Flynns Reef:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Flynns Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest