Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Flynns Reef is the only game in town this window, and it’s a proper reef setup that demands respect. The water’s sitting at 13°, which is right on the money for this time of year – nothing out of the ordinary there.

We kick off on Saturday the 15th with a solid pulse. Saturday morning is looking like the real deal: a 1.9m (6ft) SW groundswell with a 15-second period, pushing a heap of energy (1610). Glassy conditions with a light SE breeze. This is prime for experienced surfers only – it’s got power, it’s got length between sets, and it’s going to be clean. This is the standout of the whole outlook, no question.

Saturday afternoon takes a turn. The wind swings to the SSW and gets cross-on, making things choppy and messy. The swell drops a touch to 1.8m (6ft), but the quality drops off a cliff. Pass on it.

Sunday the 16th cleans right back up. Morning session with clear skies, a light ENE offshore wind, and the swell hanging at a clean 1.3m (4ft) from the SW (726 energy). It’s glassy, it’s lined up – really fun, user-friendly stuff for those comfortable on a reef. The afternoon gets a cross-shore wind from the south, so it’ll get a bit crinkly.

Monday the 17th keeps the good vibes rolling. Another morning with an offshore ENE breeze, 1.1m (4ft) of SW swell but a slightly longer 14-second period. Still in that sweet spot for a clean, rippable wave. The afternoon picks up a fresh ESE wind, but it’s cross-offshore, so the face stays clean. Monday afternoon actually looks sneaky good for a longer session.

Tuesday the 18th offers another clean morning. 1.1m (4ft) SW swell, 15-second period, with a cross-offshore NE breeze. It’s not big, but it’ll be tidy.

From Wednesday the 19th through to Thursday the 27th, it gets ugly. Strong winds from the north and west whip up a cross-on mess for days on end. The swell stays small, then gets way too big with poor wind. The combined energy spikes into the thousands (1700 to nearly 4500), but it’s all lumpy, choppy, and blown-out. Thursday the 22nd even sees a 2.5m (8ft) SW swell but with 35 km/h (22 mph) cross-on rain showers – a washing machine. This period is a write-off for surfing. Between the 19th and the 27th, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Now, we get a glimmer of hope deeper into the window. Friday the 28th morning has a 3.0m (10ft) SSW swell with a 11-second period, and a light cross-offshore NE wind. That’s a big, powerful swell for experts only. The energy is massive (2489), and the wind is clean, but it’s a solid step up. Saturday the 29th cleans up again with a 1.7m (6ft) SW groundswell, 16-17 second period, and light offshore winds through the afternoon. That afternoon session on the 29th is the second real standout – excellent conditions, clean faces, and that long-period power wrapping into the reef.

Sunday the 30th fades back to a smaller, cleaner 1.4m (5ft) swell.

So to wrap it up: Saturday the 15th morning is your best bet – get it early before the wind fouls. The 29th afternoon is the other gem in the second week. Everything between the 19th and the 27th is a mess. Flynns Reef is a consistent spot, so the blank run in the middle is unusual, but when it’s on, it’s a proper wave.

Rusty

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