Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,611 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Flynns Reef. Water temp is about 56°F, which is normal for this time of year, nothing unusual.
First chance to get wet is Monday afternoon, August 31st. We’ve got a 5-foot SW swell with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 1261. Wind is light and cross-shore, so it’s a little bumpy but rideable. It’s marginal – tide might be a factor – but it’s the first decent window.
After that, it’s a mess. Tuesday the 1st through the 8th of September is all bad. Strong winds, onshore, messy. Swell gets up to 11–12 feet, but with 25–35 mph winds blowing straight onshore, it’s just blown-out junk. Not worth it for a paddle.
Then we get to the gold. Wednesday the 9th of September. Both morning and afternoon are glassy – wind is 5 mph from the south, dead flat. The swell is 7 to 8 feet from the SW, with a 17-second period, packing a punch. Combined energy is 3125. This is a reef break, and with that long period, it’s going to line up beautifully. It’s advanced-only, so if you’re not experienced, stay on the beach. This is the best session of the whole forecast.
Thursday the 10th is just as good. Glassy morning, 7 feet from the SW, 19-second period – that’s groundswell gold. Energy hits 3662. Afternoon turns cross-off and clean. Two days of absolute perfection.
The swell drops off after that, but Friday the 11th still has clean 5–6 foot waves in the afternoon with cross-off wind. Sunday the 13th morning is also clean with 6 feet. The second week is smaller and more inconsistent, but there are still a few clean sessions.
Crowds are a thing here – it’s often busy – but when the surf is this good, you’ll have to wait your turn. That Wednesday and Thursday are the real standouts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Mon night, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NNW on Fri night, light winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1502 | 853 | 648 | 535 | 1185 | 1613 | 1638 | 2293 | 3278 | 3760 | 3023 | 2567 | 1719 | 3175 | 4574 | 8611 | 3589 | 2094 | 904 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:24AM2.20m | 2:33PM2.28m | 3:07AM2.31m | 3:06PM2.32m | 3:49AM2.38m | 3:41PM2.34m | 4:32AM2.40m | 4:18PM2.34m | 5:17AM2.38m | 4:57PM2.32m | 6:05AM2.31m | 5:41PM2.26m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:27AM0.54m | 8:50PM0.31m | 9:07AM0.56m | 9:26PM0.18m | 9:47AM0.59m | 10:04PM0.09m | 10:27AM0.65m | 10:45PM0.05m | 11:09AM0.73m | 11:30PM0.06m | 11:54AM0.83m | 00:19AM0.12m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1502 | 853 | 648 | 535 | 1185 | 1613 | 1638 | 2293 | — | 3760 | 3023 | 2567 | 1719 | — | — | 4306 | 3589 | 2094 | 904 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 18 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 85 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | NW 4 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 17 | 20 | 21 | 69 | — | 19 | 29 | 3278 | 4 | — | 11 | 52 | 3175 | 4574 | 8611 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 451 | 76 | 69 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 469 | 70 | 70 | 22 | 69 | 483 | 456 | 457 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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