Flynns Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming down the pipeline for Flynns Reef.

First up, don’t get your hopes up for the first week. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell rolling in, but it’s coming with a nasty onshore wind that’s gonna absolutely trash it. The energy is massive – we’re talking combined swell energy in the thousands (from 2350 right up to a whopping 7264) – but with that strong WSW wind blowing 25 mph, it’s just a messy, blown-out washout. The water temp is sitting around 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. This is a write-off for a paddle surfer, and honestly, with that much wind and swell, it’s looking more like a kite surfer’s session than a surfer’s. This messy run lasts from Thursday the 23rd of July right through the weekend and into the start of the following week.

Things start to shift around Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell is still big, but the wind begins to ease. Wednesday morning is still a bit lumpy and cross-shore, but by Wednesday afternoon, we get a cross-offshore breeze with a 7ft SW swell (period 14 seconds) – cleaner conditions start to appear. The real standout, though, is Thursday the 30th of July. That’s the day to circle. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period, and the wind goes light offshore from the east at just 6 mph. The combined energy is moderate (494), but the conditions are described as clean. It’s a bit on the smaller side, but for a reef break like Flynns, that light offshore wind is gold. Just keep in mind this is an advanced wave, and it’s often crowded, so expect some company.

After that, there’s a bit of a lull into the first few days of August, with smaller, choppier swells until Monday the 3rd of August. That’s another potential standout. Monday morning sees a 8ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period, and the wind is light cross-shore. The energy is strong (3603). Then Monday afternoon – that’s the real gem. The wind drops to glassy, and you’ve got a 7ft SW groundswell with that same 18-second period. That’s a big, powerful, clean swell for experienced surfers only. The combined energy is strong (3047), and it’s described as excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is the one you want to hold out for, even though it’s over a week away – it’s a bit less certain, but it looks promising.

Tuesday the 4th of August still has clean, smaller surf in the 5ft range with a cross-offshore breeze, which is a nice follow-up. After that, the swell drops right off into small, weak energy for the rest of the window, with nothing really worth getting excited about.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total loss. The two standouts are Thursday, July 30th for a clean, smaller session, and Monday, August 3rd afternoon for the big, glassy, expert-level groundswell. Get in there if you can.

Rusty.

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