Surf Forecasts:
Flynns Reef surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,805 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flynns Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flynns Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flynns Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, listen up. Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table.
We've got a solid pulse of long-period SW groundswell heading our way, but the wind is going to make you work for it. The water temperature is 56.8° which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
The pick of the window lands on Saturday the 12th. That morning, Flynns Reef is looking unreal. There's a clean 5.6 ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period – that's proper groundswell energy. The wind goes light and cross-offshore off the NNE, so the faces will be clean. The combined energy is a hefty 1402 (moderate-strong), so you'll feel the pull. This is the standout session for experienced surfers; the quality is rated excellent for the crew who know how to handle a reef. The afternoon on Saturday is still good with 5.2 ft and clean conditions, but the morning is the real gem. Crowds are possible there, so get in early.
Friday the 11th is building but it's rougher. The morning has a 5.6 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, leaving small wind ripples. It's marginal, but you could find a sneaky one. The afternoon improves slightly to 5.9 ft and goes cross-shore, so it's messy but better.
Sunday the 13th is a write-off. Fresh cross-shore winds up to 22 mph will turn the 3.9 ft swell into lumpy junk. That messy stretch runs through Monday and Tuesday the 15th, with strong cross-onshore winds and a big, lumpy 8.2 ft swell on Tuesday afternoon – that’s expert-only territory and ugly with it. Wednesday the 16th stays cross-onshore with a 6.9 ft swell; the combined energy is over 2000, meaning it's powerful but messy. It's surfable if you're desperate, but not a good look.
Things go quiet after that. The swell drops off and the wind stays on it or cross-shore, with a few clean-looking windows appearing around Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd, but the swell is tiny – 2.6 ft to 3.3 ft. On Monday morning the 21st, it's glassy with a 2.6 ft SW swell and a 15-second period, which could be a fun little session on a longboard. Tuesday morning the 22nd is clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a 3.3 ft SW swell. That's your backup plan.
So, bottom line: Saturday the 12th morning is your golden ticket. Get it while it's clean.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Mon night, light winds from the SSW by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2612 | 1856 | 1229 | 1540 | 1875 | 1402 | 1216 | 906 | 606 | 525 | 421 | 368 | 458 | 516 | 1749 | 2458 | 1956 | 2021 | 2075 | 1500 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 10:16PM1.99m | 11:22AM2.11m | 11:35PM2.06m | 12:16PM2.17m | 00:42AM2.17m | 1:04PM2.24m | 1:37AM2.28m | 1:46PM2.28m | 2:25AM2.36m | 2:26PM2.30m | 3:08AM2.39m | 3:03PM2.30m | 3:48AM2.37m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:21PM0.91m | 4:47AM0.51m | 5:32PM0.76m | 5:55AM0.53m | 6:30PM0.57m | 6:53AM0.53m | 7:20PM0.40m | 7:43AM0.54m | 8:04PM0.27m | 8:28AM0.56m | 8:45PM0.19m | 9:09AM0.59m | 9:23PM0.17m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 2612 | 1856 | 1229 | 1540 | 1875 | 1402 | 1216 | 906 | 606 | 525 | 421 | 368 | 15 | 79 | — | — | 1956 | 2021 | 2075 | 1500 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 191 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 15 | 36 | 12 | — | — | — | 87 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 5 | — | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 25 | 37 | — | 458 | 516 | 1749 | 2458 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 306 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 49 | 2 | 69 | 70 | 69 | 84 | 535 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flynns Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flynns Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flynns Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flynns Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flynns Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flynns Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flynns Reef is 32 km (20 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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