
Surf Forecasts:
Express Point surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 11s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 8,174 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:
The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We're looking at a solid run ahead for the region, with a few days of clean, punchy surf and a couple of real standout sessions. The forecast is built around Express Point, a consistent advanced point break that needs a solid SSW groundswell to light up.
First up, the opening days are a bit of a slow burn. Thursday the 6th gives us a small 3ft wave from the SW, but with a solid 12-second period and a moderate offshore wind, it's rideable. The combined energy is weak (277), so it's a knee-to-waist high session for the skilled crew. It picks up a touch on Friday the 7th, with a 4ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. The wind goes glassy on Friday afternoon, making for a super clean, long-period wave. The energy is pushing into the moderate range (1195), so you'll feel the push. It's a solid Friday.
Saturday the 8th is a write-off for surfing. The swell is still there, but it's a mess of strong winds making for poor conditions. Skip it. Sunday the 9th is even worse with strong breezes and rain. Then we hit a massive gap. Monday the 10th brings a huge 12ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period. The energy is off the charts at 8510, but the file says it's too big for this break. That's a big wave day for experts only, and even then, the wind is strong. It's more of a spectacle than a session.
The real magic starts to build from the 12th. Wednesday the 12th has a 8ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-off and strong. It's not great. The standout for the whole period is Thursday the 13th. We get a clean 7ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, combined with a gentle offshore breeze. The energy is a strong 2325, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one. A long-period groundswell like this will be a dream at a point break like Express Point, with long walls and plenty of power. It's a weekday, so you might get a slightly quieter lineup, but this spot is known to be often crowded.
Friday the 14th is nearly as good, with a 8ft SW swell, 18-second period, and a moderate offshore wind. The energy is massive at 4547. This is another heavy day for the experts. The following days, from the 15th to the 17th, see the swell slowly dropping, but the quality holds. Saturday the 15th has a 6ft SW swell and clean conditions. The energy is moderate at 1809. It's a great option for the weekend if you can handle the size.
The second week gets quieter. By the 18th, we're back to 3ft waves with a glassy morning on the Tuesday, but the energy is low. The 20th brings another run of 7ft SW swell that looks promising for experts, but the wind is a bit sketchy. The 21st closes the window with a 8ft WSW swell and a clean offshore wind, another solid late-season option.
Overall, the best is the 13th and 14th. The 13th gets the nod for the cleanest winds and the most manageable size for the expert crowd. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly near gales. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 11 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
118 | 155 | 1516 | 820 | 882 | 453 | 813 | 611 | 528 | 371 | 212 | 593 | 3362 | 5176 | 2986 | 998 | 632 | 325 | 1461 | 5463 | 6568 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:43PM2.32m | 5:36AM2.25m | 5:19PM2.29m | 6:26AM2.24m | 6:01PM2.26m | 7:22AM2.21m | 6:49PM2.20m | 8:25AM2.16m | 7:46PM2.14m | 9:34AM2.14m | 8:56PM2.08m | 10:44AM2.16m | 10:15PM2.05m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:44AM0.65m | 11:10PM0.20m | 11:26AM0.75m | 11:53PM0.14m | 12:12PM0.85m | 00:41AM0.12m | 1:05PM0.96m | 1:36AM0.14m | 2:06PM1.04m | 2:39AM0.18m | 3:18PM1.08m | 3:48AM0.22m | 4:36PM1.02m | ||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 19 | — | — |
118 | 155 | 353 | 820 | 882 | 453 | 813 | 611 | 528 | 371 | 212 | 546 | — | 2121 | 2241 | 998 | 632 | 325 | 1461 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | SW 12 | WSW 18 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 20 | — | SSW 18 | — | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SW 22 | SW 13 | — | — |
11 | 68 | 413 | 55 | 36 | 437 | — | — | — | 51 | 111 | 593 | — | 62 | — | 41 | 13 | 169 | 488 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 20 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 6 | — | — | — | E 4 | ESE 6 | SSW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | S 22 | — | — | — |
93 | 15 | — | — | 136 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | W 4 | SW 18 | WSW 7 | — | N 3 | N 3 | NW 4 | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | SW 11 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 5 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
2 | 9 | 1516 | 65 | — | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 3362 | 5176 | 2986 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 65 | 5463 | 6568 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 116 | 84 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 86 | 113 | 111 | 442 | 84 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











