Express Point surf break

Express Point surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 pm Monday 04 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Express Point sea temperature is
17.1° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 07) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (May 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 5th May)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 5th May)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 7th May)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue night, strong winds from the SSW by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Thu night, moderate winds from the SSW by Sun morning).

Tuesday
5
Wednesday
6
Thursday
7
Friday
8
Saturday
9
Sunday
10
Mon
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
11
1.9
SW
8
1.5
SW
10
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
3
SW
9
2.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
10
3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.4
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
1
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
283
470
408
667
590
280
1277
2201
2570
3022
1864
3388
2232
1514
1179
746
549
511
205
199
352
Wind (km/h)
45
WNW
35
WSW
25
WSW
15
NW
30
NNW
30
WNW
45
SW
50
SSW
40
SSW
50
WSW
45
SW
40
SW
30
SW
25
WSW
35
WSW
25
SW
20
SSW
25
SSW
15
S
15
S
15
S
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:37AM2.01m
2:35PM2.34m
2:16AM2.03m
3:12PM2.35m
2:53AM2.03m
3:48PM2.32m
3:30AM2.01m
4:24PM2.29m
4:06AM1.96m
4:59PM2.24m
4:44AM1.91m
5:35PM2.18m
5:26AM1.87m
6:13PM2.13m
Low Tide
7:57AM0.28m
8:39PM0.80m
8:35AM0.27m
9:16PM0.79m
9:11AM0.29m
9:52PM0.80m
9:47AM0.34m
10:28PM0.83m
10:22AM0.40m
11:06PM0.85m
10:58AM0.48m
11:45PM0.86m
11:39AM0.58m
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:03
7:05
7:05
7:07
7:07
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:25
5:24
5:23
5:22
5:22
5:21
5:20
4
1
1
13
3
1
8
Temp °C
15
15
15
15
17
16
11
11
12
14
15
14
14
14
14
15
14
15
15
14
14
6
8
10
11
11
10
2
0
1
3
6
5
8
9
8
11
10
11
13
12
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
11
0.3
SSW
17
0.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
0.9
SW
9
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
1.5
SW
13
1.4
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.9
SSW
6
1
SW
13
Energy kJ
283
58
128
667
590
126
5
4
746
549
511
205
62
352
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
10
0.5
SW
16
0.1
SW
22
0.2
SSW
21
0.9
SW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.9
SW
12
0.7
SSW
6
Energy kJ
4
130
19
44
280
107
199
35
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
24
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
11
0.4
SW
20
0.1
SE
13
0.6
WSW
14
Energy kJ
11
4
4
98
7
129
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
W
5
1.9
SW
8
1.5
SW
10
0.4
NW
3
0.4
NW
3
3
SW
9
2.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
10
3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
0.9
SSW
6
1.3
SSW
12
1.2
SSW
6
Energy kJ
129
470
408
2
4
1277
2201
2570
3022
1864
3388
2232
1514
1179
53
488
117
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
3
2
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
6
5
4
2
3
3
2
1
2
Distance (km)
111
84
79
0
12
79
442
442
503
455
500
467
95
71
95
439
12
12
12
11
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
2
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
2
4
5
3
5
6
5
4
9
4
4
4
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
6
5
5
5
6
5
5
9
4
4
4
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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