Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for the next couple of weeks. The short version? We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real promise on the horizon, especially for the crew that can wait it out. The first few days are going to be a write-off, then we get a taste of something good, followed by a lull, and then a proper pulse to finish things off.

The first real chance to paddle out is Monday the 10th. After a pretty flat and messy weekend, a new SW swell is starting to fill in. Express Point (Express-Point) is the only game in town, and it’s a solid, consistent point break that handles this direction well. The early morning on the 10th sees a 5ft SW swell with a long 19-second period, and a fresh offshore breeze. That’s a powerful combo – those long-period swells have real energy, and the wind will keep it clean. The combined energy is strong at 1883, so you’ll feel the push. It’s not for the faint of heart, but for the advanced crew, this is a proper session. The wind backs off a bit into the afternoon, but it swings cross-off, which will still keep it organized.

The promise continues into Tuesday the 11th, though the swell drops a bit to 4ft. Still, the period holds at 14 seconds, and with a fresh offshore wind all day, the waves will be clean and lined up. The energy drops to a moderate 697, but for a point break, this is the sweet spot for a fun, rippable session without the chaos. This is a great window for the advanced surfer who wants quality over pure power.

But hold on, because Wednesday the 12th is a mess. The wind goes onshore and strong, with a 28 mph cross-shore whipping it up. The swell is there, 5ft, but it’s going to be choppy and messy. Honestly, this looks more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers. We sit that one out.

The next real standout is Thursday the 13th. After the wind settles, we get a cracker of an afternoon. The swell pulses back up to 7ft from the SW, with a 15-second period. The energy is strong at 1784. But the headline is the wind: a gentle offshore breeze that’s going to leave the face of Express Point as smooth as glass. This is the kind of surf that gets your heart going. It’s a big, powerful swell, so it’s for the experienced lot, but the conditions are going to be world-class. Friday the 14th morning looks very similar, with a moderate offshore wind and 7ft of swell. This is the pick of the first week, no doubt.

Then things back off. The weekend of the 15th and 16th sees the swell dropping and the wind going onshore, chopping it up. It’s a write-off. But if you’re patient, here’s the good news. The second week starts to clean up again on Monday the 17th, with lighter winds and a smaller, 4ft swell. It’s not huge, but the conditions are clean.

The real magic, though, is reserved for the final weekend. Sunday the 23rd is looking like a dream. The wind goes completely glassy in the morning, and there’s a solid 5ft SW swell with a 17-second period. The energy is a strong 1867. A glassy point break with a long-period south swell? That’s about as good as it gets. It’s going to be a proper session.

And then, Monday the 24th might just be the best of the entire run. The swell holds at 6ft, and the offshore wind is light, but the combined energy jumps to a very strong 2706. This is a big, powerful groundswell hitting a point break with clean offshore conditions. For the experts, this is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s over a week away, so we’re not locking it in, but the potential is huge.

So, to sum it up: forget the next couple of days. The first real window is Monday the 10th through Tuesday the 11th. Then, the standout is Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th. But the true epic finish is the Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th. Be patient, be ready, and don’t sleep on that last pulse.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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