Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 06 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
14.2°C
1.3° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 6 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 11 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 6 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,001 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 8 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 08) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 06) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Oct 12) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Thu 8th Oct)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf11PM (Sun 11th Oct)6.5ft (2.0m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Tue 6th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu night, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 23°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
2
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
4
4
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
WSW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
2.3
SW
18
1.9
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1650
3962
2614
2238
2168
1513
975
777
728
710
719
532
472
1094
285
793
1339
3253
1948
1513
1616
Wind (km/h)
40
W
40
SW
25
S
20
ESE
35
SE
25
ENE
15
NNE
20
SE
20
NE
20
NNE
5
NNW
20
NNE
35
WSW
35
SW
15
NNW
10
N
15
SE
20
NNE
20
WNW
10
N
30
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
on
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
7:29PM2.10m
8:36AM2.12m
8:37PM2.00m
9:39AM2.04m
9:58PM1.94m
10:44AM2.00m
11:21PM1.98m
11:46AM2.01m
00:33AM2.08m
12:40PM2.04m
1:32AM2.20m
1:29PM2.08m
2:20AM2.31m
Low Tide
1:37PM0.82m
1:59AM0.39m
2:40PM0.85m
3:05AM0.57m
3:52PM0.83m
4:19AM0.70m
5:04PM0.74m
5:34AM0.77m
6:08PM0.60m
6:41AM0.77m
7:02PM0.46m
7:37AM0.75m
7:49PM0.34m
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
—
—
6:46
—
—
6:43
—
—
6:43
—
—
6:41
—
—
6:39
—
—
6:37
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:27
—
—
7:28
—
—
7:29
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:31
—
—
7:32
—
 mm
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
Temp °C
12
12
12
9
11
10
11
17
18
16
23
20
14
13
14
13
16
16
19
14
14
Feels °C
4
3
3
4
3
3
7
15
13
11
20
16
11
7
11
11
13
12
14
12
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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