Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a solid window of surf coming up, but you’re gonna have to pick your moments. The long-range stuff looks promising, but it’s a waiting game for the really good ones.

Right now, it’s all about Express Point. It’s an advanced point break that’s fairly exposed to the SW swell, and it’s consistent, so there’s always something to look at. The water’s sitting at 55°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises there.

This Friday afternoon, the 14th, we’ve got a 7ft SW swell rolling in with a 16-second period. The energy is strong at 2266. There’s a cross-off breeze, which will keep things reasonably clean, but the guidance flags marginal tide conditions, so it’s not a total go-to. It’s surfable, but not the highlight.

Saturday the 15th starts off with better potential. The morning shows 6ft of SW swell, 15 seconds, and a super light SE wind that’s basically nothing. The energy is still solid at 1610, and it should be pretty glassy. This is a good window to get out before the afternoon breeze kicks in and messes it up. By Saturday afternoon, the S wind swings cross-on at 12 mph, making things choppy, so that window closes fast.

Sunday the 16th is a step down. The swell drops to 4ft, and the winds are cross-ish to cross-on, with some chop. It’s not terrible, but it’s not worth getting too excited about. Monday the 17th looks worse—the swell stays small, and the wind is on it. Tuesday the 18th is similar, just small and mediocre.

We hit a bit of a flat spot from Wednesday the 19th through Thursday the 20th. The swell drops to under 3ft, and while it’s clean with offshore winds, there’s just not enough push. It’s a bit of a lull for a few days.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 21st, the outlook starts to perk up again. The morning is showing a gentle offshore wind and clean conditions with 3ft of swell, but it’s that afternoon that’s the standout. We get a jump to a 6ft SW swell with a 15-second period and the energy climbs back up to 1524. It’s cross-off and clean. This is a solid pick for an afternoon session.

Saturday the 22nd brings more size, but a lot of wind. The morning has 8ft of SW swell with a 16-second period and some strong cross-off breeze at 25 mph. The energy is high at 3114, but that wind is going to make things challenging. By the afternoon, it swings cross and gets lumpy, so it’s less appealing.

Sunday the 23rd is a better bet. The morning has 6ft of swell with clean cross-off winds. The afternoon is where it shines though. The swell drops slightly to 5ft, but the wind lightens to a gentle cross-off, and the conditions are described as “very good.” The energy is still decent at 1242. This is a quality window.

Now, the big one. Monday the 24th is the standout of the whole run. The morning brings a solid 10ft of SW swell with a 14-second period. The energy is massive at 3940, and the wind is a gentle cross-off, leaving things clean. The guidance says it’s “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the day to clear your calendar. However, that afternoon, the swell just explodes. It’s predicted to be 12ft with a 17-second period, and the energy hits a massive 10983. There’s a light cross-on wind, but the guidance clearly states the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. So for Express Point, the morning is the go. For the afternoon, it’s time to watch from the cliff or find a sheltered spot. This is expert territory only—if you’re not confident, don’t even think about it.

After that, the week settles down. Tuesday the 25th is back to 5ft with clean conditions in the morning, a good but less intense option. The afternoon drops to 4ft. Wednesday the 26th turns windy and small, so that’s a miss. Thursday the 27th has some size at 4ft but with strong offshore winds, making it hard to paddle into. Friday the 28th is messy with cross-chop. Saturday the 29th is a mix—morning is clean but small, and the afternoon gets choppy with a new WSW swell at 5ft.

So, to sum it up: the best bets in the near term are Saturday morning the 15th and Friday afternoon the 21st. But the true standout is Monday morning the 24th. That’s the one. It’s a big, clean, powerful swell at Express Point. Get on it if you can. The long-range stuff after that is less reliable, so don’t put all your eggs in that basket just yet.

Rusty.

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