Express Point surf break

Express Point surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Sunday 08 Mar 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Express Point sea temperature is
19.4° C
(Which is 1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 10) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 12 days are 1.6m 19s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 15) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Mar 11) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Tue 10th Mar)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Best Surf11AM (Sat 14th Mar)3ft (0.9m) 19s
Most Powerful11AM (Sun 15th Mar)5ft (1.6m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the ESE by Fri night).

Sunday
08
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.5
SW
1.4
SW
1.2
SW
1.1
SW
0.9
SW
0.9
SW
0.6
SW
0.6
SW
0.8
SW
0.7
SW
0.9
WSW
0.6
SW
0.7
SW
1.2
SSW
1.8
SSW
2
SSW
1.7
SSW
1.3
SSW
0.9
SW
0.9
SW
0.9
SW
Period(s) (?)141414131312121212111111126781212191817
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)9118215413802772121101121691272119413497325512861472608552505
Wind
(km/h)
25
SE
40
ESE
30
ENE
15
N
25
SSW
10
W
0
WNW
15
SSE
20
NNE
35
SW
45
SW
30
WSW
40
SW
25
SW
30
SSW
20
S
20
SSE
15
SSE
5
NNE
20
S
10
SE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
glassoncross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
onglasscross-
on
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:28PM
2.33
4:24AM
2.28
5:06PM
2.32
4:57AM
2.25
5:43PM
2.28
5:29AM
2.20
6:19PM
2.21
6:01AM
2.13
6:57PM
2.12
6:33AM
2.05
7:39PM
2.03
7:09AM
1.96
8:27PM
1.95
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:08AM
0.26
10:28PM
0.59
10:43AM
0.23
11:04PM
0.65
11:18AM
0.24
11:38PM
0.72
11:52AM
0.28
12:12AM
0.80
12:27PM
0.35
12:47AM
0.90
1:04PM
0.43
1:26AM
1.00
1:45PM
0.51
2:12AM
1.10
Sunday
08
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunrise7:07--7:09--7:09--7:11--7:11--7:13--7:13--
Sunset-7:50--7:47--7:46--7:45--7:44--7:42--7:40-
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C171918192118171820231917151414151414121515
Feels °C (?)1313121719171717191616986810910111111
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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