
Surf Forecasts:
Express Point surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 7,926 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:
The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the beach. Let's get into it.
We've got one spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks, and that's Express Point. It's a point break for advanced surfers, and it's got a pretty consistent run of swell coming through. The water temp is sittin' around 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The first real action kicks off on the 25th of July. We've got a solid 8ft SW swell on Saturday, but the wind is a messy cross-off at 25 mph, giving it a combined energy of 1848. It's a bit of a battle, but it's clean. The afternoon eases off a touch with the same size swell, but the wind drops to 16 mph, making it a bit more manageable. The energy jumps to 3155, but it's still a grunt.
Sunday the 26th is where it gets good. The swell drops to a fun 5ft from the SW, but the wind goes offshore from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is a moderate 486. This is a clean, proper session. The afternoon is even better with the wind going light offshore from the NW, and the same 4ft SW swell. That's a glassy afternoon if I've ever seen one.
Monday the 27th is a write-off. The swell is tiny at 3ft, and the wind is a strong cross-off. No go.
Tuesday the 28th sees the swell bump back up to 5ft from the SW, with a strong offshore wind from the NNW at 25 mph. The energy is a strong 710, and the period is 13 seconds. It's clean, but it'll be a fight to get out. The afternoon gets bigger at 6ft, but the wind is howling at 28 mph. Hard work.
Wednesday the 29th is a big one. The swell jumps to 13ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the energy is a massive 11091. But the wind is a strong cross-shore at 28 mph, making it a messy, lumpy mess. This is for experts only, and even then, it's a maybe. The afternoon drops to 10ft, but the wind is still a problem.
Thursday the 30th is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops to 5ft, and the wind is a cross-shore, keeping the surface lumpy.
Friday the 31st is a nice little window. The swell is a playful 4ft from the SW, and the wind is offshore from the NW. Clean, gentle, and the energy is a moderate 409. The afternoon is the standout here: a 3ft SW swell with a glassy offshore breeze from the NW at just 3 mph. That's a 445 energy for a clean, light session.
Now, for the long-range stuff. Saturday, August 1st is the real gem. The swell is 4ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. The wind is a clean offshore at 16 mph, and the energy is 1130. The afternoon is even better: 6ft, 19-second period, and the same clean offshore wind. The energy jumps to 2145. This is a proper groundswell, perfect for a point break like Express Point. The only thing is, with a period that long, the sets will be spaced out, but the shape will be epic.
Sunday, August 2nd and Monday, August 3rd are blown out with strong cross and onshore winds.
Tuesday, August 4th is tiny, and from there, the swell fades into nothing for a few days.
Friday, August 7th pops up again with a 5ft SW swell, 19-second period, and offshore wind. The energy is 2130. This is a promising long-range call, but it's a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.
The rest of the run into the second week is small or messy, with the wind picking up again. The surf will be here, but it's not gonna be the standout.
So, the best on offer? That's Saturday, August 1st at Express Point. The long-period groundswell, clean offshore winds, and moderate energy make it the pick of the bunch. The Friday, July 31st afternoon is a close second for a more relaxed, glassy session.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1848 | 1946 | 1304 | 475 | 371 | 282 | 220 | 237 | 405 | 710 | 872 | 2201 | 6819 | 3810 | 1465 | 821 | 527 | 494 | 319 | 268 | 282 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 7:12PM1.98m | 8:46AM1.93m | 7:57PM1.89m | 9:46AM1.91m | 8:51PM1.82m | 10:50AM1.93m | 9:54PM1.78m | 11:49AM1.99m | 11:02PM1.78m | 12:40PM2.07m | 00:06AM1.81m | 1:23PM2.15m | 1:03AM1.87m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:30PM1.07m | 1:58AM0.47m | 2:23PM1.16m | 2:49AM0.52m | 3:25PM1.22m | 3:45AM0.55m | 4:35PM1.22m | 4:45AM0.55m | 5:43PM1.17m | 5:42AM0.52m | 6:42PM1.07m | 6:34AM0.50m | 7:30PM0.94m | ||||||||
7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
— | 1209 | 711 | 475 | 371 | 282 | 220 | 237 | 405 | 710 | 178 | 2201 | 6819 | 3810 | 1465 | 821 | 527 | 494 | 319 | 268 | 282 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 |
— | — | — | 11 | 10 | 25 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 72 | 138 | 181 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 39 | 64 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | NW 4 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1848 | 1946 | 1304 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 872 | 18 | 4272 | 2424 | 1450 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 84 | 21 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 71 | 248 | 79 | 248 | 262 | 262 | 526 | 80 | 12 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










