Express Point surf break

Express Point surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 am Friday 15 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Express Point sea temperature is
16.0° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 15) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 1.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 21) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (May 16) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 15th May)4ft (1.2m) 16s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 15th May)4ft (1.2m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 21st May)6ft (1.8m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Mon morning). Mainly strong winds.

Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
0
0
1
3
3
2
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
17
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
11
1.5
SSW
18
1.6
SW
11
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
15
1.5
SSW
14
0.9
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
802
560
350
228
221
482
788
581
534
480
392
281
197
123
1464
637
1401
1517
1241
947
346
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
10
NNE
15
NE
20
NNE
20
NW
5
W
15
NNW
5
N
15
NNE
15
NNE
15
NE
10
NNE
45
SW
45
SW
35
SW
25
SW
30
WSW
20
SW
20
SSW
15
S
10
SE
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
9:33PM1.99m
10:55AM2.21m
10:32PM2.03m
11:57AM2.38m
11:31PM2.10m
12:53PM2.52m
00:27AM2.19m
1:45PM2.61m
1:22AM2.27m
2:35PM2.65m
2:16AM2.32m
3:23PM2.63m
3:10AM2.32m
Low Tide
3:44PM0.94m
4:08AM0.37m
4:54PM0.93m
5:07AM0.19m
5:57PM0.88m
6:03AM0.02m
6:54PM0.81m
6:58AM-0.10m
7:46PM0.74m
7:51AM-0.16m
8:36PM0.67m
8:43AM-0.14m
9:25PM0.61m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:13
7:13
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:15
5:15
5:14
5:13
5:13
5:12
4
1
3
1
3
8
8
1
2
1
Temp °C
19
22
19
20
21
19
16
18
15
15
14
14
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
15
14
16
20
15
16
18
18
14
17
13
14
12
13
8
5
6
9
8
8
10
12
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
11
0.9
WSW
11
1.3
WSW
11
1.3
WSW
11
1
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
11
0.1
SE
10
1.1
SW
7
Energy kJ
802
560
350
228
221
317
788
581
534
480
392
281
197
123
204
418
379
256
323
4
106
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
7
0.2
ESE
7
0.9
SW
17
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SW
22
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.3
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
WSW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
Energy kJ
5
5
482
8
7
18
18
60
53
157
202
260
306
149
301
346
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
SSW
18
0.2
SSW
17
0.5
SE
6
0.2
ESE
10
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
Energy kJ
18
18
8
8
31
30
17
9
28
27
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNE
3
0.4
NW
3
0.8
SSW
4
0.6
SSW
4
1.5
SSW
18
1.6
SW
11
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
15
1.5
SSW
14
Energy kJ
3
2
19
11
1464
637
1401
1517
1241
947
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
1
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
Distance (km)
1
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
95
442
84
95
95
12
12
11
11
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
1
1
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
2
4
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
5
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
4
4
6
4
6
4
4
6
4
5
5
5
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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