Express Point surf break

Express Point surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 pm Thursday 14 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Express Point sea temperature is
16.0° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 1.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 21) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (May 17) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 15th May)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 15th May)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 21st May)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
14
Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
2
0
0
1
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
12
0.8
SW
19
1.2
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
11
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
17
1.2
SW
10
1.7
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
52
520
802
560
350
228
221
1026
879
581
605
480
398
286
200
127
159
148
227
275
1222
Wind (km/h)
15
SE
15
NE
15
NNE
10
NNE
20
NE
20
NNE
15
NNW
20
N
20
NNW
10
NW
10
NE
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
E
25
SE
15
ESE
5
N
10
NNW
10
WSW
10
SSE
25
SE
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
High Tide
8:35PM1.99m
9:46AM2.04m
9:33PM1.99m
10:55AM2.21m
10:32PM2.03m
11:57AM2.38m
11:31PM2.10m
12:53PM2.52m
00:27AM2.19m
1:45PM2.61m
1:22AM2.27m
2:35PM2.65m
2:16AM2.32m
Low Tide
3:09AM0.54m
3:44PM0.94m
4:08AM0.37m
4:54PM0.93m
5:07AM0.19m
5:57PM0.88m
6:03AM0.02m
6:54PM0.81m
6:58AM-0.10m
7:46PM0.74m
7:51AM-0.16m
8:36PM0.67m
8:43AM-0.14m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:13
7:13
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:16
5:15
5:15
5:14
5:13
5:13
5:12
1
5
1
5
10
5
6
Temp °C
19
19
19
21
19
21
21
19
16
17
16
16
16
16
15
15
16
16
15
15
14
16
15
16
18
15
17
18
16
13
16
15
14
14
15
11
14
16
15
14
14
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
12
0.8
SW
19
1.2
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
11
0.7
SW
11
0.8
SSW
6
0.9
SSW
8
0.6
SW
16
0.1
SE
10
Energy kJ
52
520
802
560
350
228
221
1026
879
581
605
480
398
286
200
127
119
40
109
206
4
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
16
0.6
SW
14
0.2
ESE
7
0.2
ESE
7
1.3
WSW
13
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SW
22
0.2
ESE
4
0.3
SW
20
0.3
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
10
0.6
SW
10
0.1
SE
11
0.9
WSW
9
Energy kJ
41
132
5
4
538
8
7
18
1
60
53
159
85
80
5
127
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
23
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.1
S
24
0.2
WSW
21
0.1
SE
9
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
17
0.7
SE
5
Energy kJ
20
18
18
11
44
3
148
227
24
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSE
5
0.4
NNE
3
0.3
NW
3
0.4
NW
3
0.5
E
4
0.2
ESE
4
0.6
SE
3
0.6
SSE
4
1.2
SW
10
1.7
SSW
15
Energy kJ
2
3
1
3
7
2
7
14
275
1222
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
2
2
1
1
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
4
Distance (km)
11
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
11
84
3
0
0
0
11
11
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
3
2
1
2
4
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
7
5
5
5
4
7
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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