Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.6° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SW swell with 2,158 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 31st Jul)4ft (1.2m) 12s
Best Surf 1PM (Sat 1st Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 3rd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers. Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a solid run of surf coming up, but it's a bit of a slow burn at the start. There's a gap of a few days with no real recommendations before the good stuff rolls in. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The standout is Express Point, a classic point break that loves a SSW swell. It's an advanced wave, so you need to be on your game, especially when it gets big.

We kick off on Friday the 31st of July with some clean, glassy conditions in the afternoon. The swell is a modest 4ft coming from the SW with a 12-second period, but the energy is moderate (391). It's a gentle start, but the wind is light and offshore, making for some clean, fun waves.

Saturday the 1st of August is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is small at 2ft, but the afternoon brings a much better 4ft SW swell with a long 18-second period. The combined energy jumps right up to 1151, and with a light offshore NW breeze, it's going to be clean and lined up. That's a solid session.

Sunday the 2nd is a mixed bag. The swell is there, 5ft in the morning, but a strong cross-offshore wind messes with the quality. The energy is still strong (1137), but the wind is just too fresh to make it perfect.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are a bit of a write-off with strong onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell is still around, but you'd be fighting a losing battle.

We get a reprieve on Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th. The swell drops to 2ft but the period is very long, over 19 seconds. The energy is moderate (543-570). The wind is light and offshore, making for some clean, glassy waves, but you'll be waiting for the sets.

Friday the 7th of August is back on. The morning brings a 4ft SW swell, a 15-second period, and a light offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (725), and the forecast is very good. Get on it.

The next few days, Saturday the 8th through Monday the 10th, are a mix of clean conditions and strong winds, with the swell hovering around 3ft to 5ft. The energy is moderate to strong (317-2026). The wind is the main issue, often cross-offshore.

Now, for the real highlight. Tuesday the 11th of August. We're looking at a 10ft SW swell in the morning, with a 16-second period and a massive energy reading of 4175. That's very strong. The wind is fresh offshore from the NW. This is big, powerful, and clean. It's an expert-only wave at this size. The afternoon eases slightly to 8ft, still excellent for experienced surfers.

And then, the absolute best on offer. Thursday the 13th of August. The morning is glassy, with a 7ft SW swell, a 20-second period, and a staggering energy of 4095. The wind is calm. This is a dream scenario. The afternoon is just as good, with 7ft swells, a 19-second period, and glassy conditions. Perfect. This is the one to circle. Friday the 14th stays excellent with a 7ft SW swell and a 18-second period, though the wind is cross-offshore.

Saturday the 15th of August closes out the run with a clean 5ft SW swell and a gentle offshore wind. The energy is 1180. A very solid end to the forecast.

Stay safe, and I'll see you in the water.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 7°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the W by Wed morning).

Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
2
2
1
3
3
1
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
1.3
SW
18
1.6
SW
17
1.5
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
16
2.4
SW
13
1.9
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
1.3
SW
9
0.6
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
0.7
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
537
373
314
228
249
1087
1432
1137
897
686
606
603
1805
1048
826
281
241
293
297
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
15
NNW
5
WSW
10
NNE
15
N
10
NW
20
N
30
N
25
NNW
20
N
35
NNW
30
NW
35
WNW
30
WSW
35
WSW
25
SW
10
W
15
WSW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:06AM1.81m
1:23PM2.15m
1:03AM1.87m
2:01PM2.23m
1:54AM1.94m
2:35PM2.28m
2:41AM2.02m
3:07PM2.31m
3:24AM2.10m
3:38PM2.33m
4:07AM2.18m
4:09PM2.33m
Low Tide
6:34AM0.50m
7:30PM0.94m
7:21AM0.48m
8:11PM0.80m
8:05AM0.47m
8:48PM0.66m
8:45AM0.49m
9:23PM0.53m
9:24AM0.52m
9:57PM0.40m
10:03AM0.58m
10:32PM0.29m
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:31
 mm
3
1
4
1
7
4
1
3
2
1
Temp °C
12
10
12
11
11
14
12
14
15
13
10
10
12
12
13
13
12
13
12
Feels °C
7
8
11
9
7
11
7
8
9
8
2
3
6
5
5
8
10
11
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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