Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 21 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
16.1°C
2.8° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 21 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 22 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 23 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, WSW swell with 1,834 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 22 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 1.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 23) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5ft (1.5m) 16s
Best Surf11AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 17s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 23rd Oct)6ft (1.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the N by Fri morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 40mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat night, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sun morning, calm by Mon night).

Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
4
0
2
1
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.8
SW
13
1.5
SW
16
1.7
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.3
SW
12
1.9
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
116
246
1041
1632
1185
715
694
1245
1482
1053
859
757
1389
746
1033
410
398
371
495
537
897
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
25
SSE
5
ESE
10
N
20
ESE
20
N
30
N
20
NNW
5
WSW
15
SW
15
S
30
SE
25
S
30
S
30
SW
20
W
15
W
10
NNE
25
NNW
20
W
15
SE
Wind State
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
High Tide
7:20PM1.82m
8:16AM1.96m
8:21PM1.76m
9:09AM1.91m
9:36PM1.77m
10:07AM1.88m
10:55PM1.86m
11:04AM1.90m
00:04AM2.03m
11:58AM1.95m
1:02AM2.22m
12:48PM2.03m
1:53AM2.40m
Low Tide
1:35PM0.96m
1:39AM0.70m
2:29PM0.97m
2:36AM0.81m
3:30PM0.92m
3:46AM0.89m
4:33PM0.81m
5:00AM0.92m
5:31PM0.65m
6:08AM0.90m
6:23PM0.45m
7:07AM0.84m
7:12PM0.25m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
light rain
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
—
—
6:24
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:16
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:42
—
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:46
—
—
7:47
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
9
4
2
9
10
2
—
—
4
—
1
2
Temp °C
15
14
20
23
26
25
23
28
18
14
13
15
13
13
13
13
14
12
13
16
13
Feels °C
14
12
19
21
23
22
18
24
16
13
12
14
8
10
8
8
10
6
6
11
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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