Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
13.3°C
0.8° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,702 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 1.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Mon 24th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 31st Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s coming up at Express Point.

We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead over the next couple of weeks, but there are a few gaps to be aware of. The forecast kicks off with small, clean-ish waves that are just a tease for what’s coming. The real standout window is Friday the 28th through to Tuesday the 1st of September, and then again around the 4th and 5th of September. Be warned, though, the very end of the run, around the 6th to the 8th, is blown out by strong winds, so don't get too excited about that.

Let’s start with Monday the 24th. It’s a bit of a nothing burger to start. We’ve got 4ft SW swell with a 14-second period, but the morning is messy with a cross-offshore wind, so the quality is poor. The afternoon cleans up with a light offshore, making it look better, but the wave height drops slightly to 4ft. Not a day to rush out for.

Tuesday the 25th brings a little more hope. The morning is a bit lumpy with a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon swings around to a gentle cross-offshore, cleaning things up nicely. The swell holds at 4ft from the SW, and wave energy is moderate (696). This is a decent, workable session.

Wednesday the 26th is a mixed bag. A moderate cross-shore messes up the morning, but the afternoon gets cleaner with a cross-offshore breeze. Swell is 4ft from the SW, but the conditions are only marginal. Worth a look if you're keen for something, but don't expect perfection.

Now, Thursday the 27th is a sneaky good day. We’re into a smaller 3ft to 3ft SW swell, but a glassy, calm afternoon with zero wind makes it a perfect choice for a longboard or a fun board. The water temp is 56°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Here’s the big one: Friday the 28th. This is the standout day of the whole outlook. The morning kicks off with 4ft of SW swell, but the period is a very impressive 18 seconds – that’s groundswell, packing serious energy (1260). A light offshore wind makes for clean lines. Then the afternoon gets even better. The swell builds to 5ft from the SW, with a 17-second period and a glassy surface. This is the best on offer. The water will have that deep, rolling energy. Expect excellent conditions, but at 5ft, it’s getting into the territory where beginners might find it a handful. For experienced surfers, this is a no-brainer.

Saturday the 29th still has clean glassy conditions in the morning, with 4ft SW swell (598 energy), but the afternoon gets ruined by a cross-onshore wind, so get your session in early.

Sunday the 30th is small again, down to 3ft SW swell in the morning, but clean. The afternoon has a longer period (16 seconds) but a light cross-onshore keeps it from being great. It’s marginal.

Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September are another fantastic window. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SW with a 17-second period, and the combined energy is over 1700 – that’s strong. The winds are light, and the offshore conditions keep the waves clean. This is a proper swell. On Monday afternoon it’s glassy and clean, with 6ft SW swell. This is for confident surfers only. Tuesday stays locked in with 4ft SW swell and gentle offshore winds. Excellent quality.

Wednesday the 2nd of September holds that 4ft SW swell, with a glassy afternoon making it very surfable. Nice and clean.

From Thursday the 3rd of September onwards, things get tricky. A moderate cross-offshore keeps the surf clean enough on Thursday morning, but the swell is only 4ft. The wind ramps up into a fresh breeze by the afternoon and the waves get messy.

Friday the 4th of September sees the swell pushing back up to 6ft from the SW, but the wind is a fresh offshore, making it clean but hard work to paddle into. The wave energy is strong (1187-1350). Good for strong paddlers.

Saturday the 5th of September looks better, with 5ft SW swell and a moderate offshore wind keeping it clean. The energy is strong (938). A decent option if the previous days were missed.

Sunday the 6th and beyond is a write-off. Strong to near-gale force winds, even if they are offshore, make paddling out a nightmare. The swell will be there, up to 6ft with long periods, but it’s only for the very fit and experienced, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. The energy is very strong (1374), but the wind will ruin the experience for most.

So, to wrap it up: Friday the 28th is your absolute best bet, with Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September a close second. Get in the water early on the good days, because the wind changes fast. Keep an eye on the sky.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
0
1
3
0
0
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
2
0
2
2
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
20
1.2
SW
18
1.6
SW
17
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
581
434
369
488
480
668
513
628
480
228
200
377
891
1484
989
598
459
290
231
271
891
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
15
NW
15
NE
10
NE
15
W
30
SW
25
SW
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
NNW
0
SW
15
NNW
15
NNW
5
S
10
NNE
5
N
15
S
5
NNE
5
N
10
S
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
7:14PM1.89m
8:58AM1.86m
8:09PM1.80m
10:05AM1.86m
9:19PM1.75m
11:09AM1.92m
10:38PM1.75m
12:02PM2.00m
11:49PM1.82m
12:46PM2.08m
00:48AM1.94m
1:24PM2.16m
1:38AM2.07m
Low Tide
1:35PM1.13m
2:04AM0.57m
2:37PM1.20m
3:03AM0.63m
3:54PM1.21m
4:09AM0.65m
5:09PM1.14m
5:13AM0.64m
6:09PM1.00m
6:10AM0.61m
6:56PM0.84m
7:00AM0.58m
7:36PM0.65m
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
5
5
1
Temp °C
15
16
15
11
12
13
13
12
12
11
14
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
14
14
14
Feels °C
10
12
12
9
10
9
7
7
8
9
11
10
11
12
12
11
11
12
12
11
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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