Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.6° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 7,926 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 26th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 11s
Best Surf 4PM (Sat 1st Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 19s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 29th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the beach. Let's get into it.

We've got one spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks, and that's Express Point. It's a point break for advanced surfers, and it's got a pretty consistent run of swell coming through. The water temp is sittin' around 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The first real action kicks off on the 25th of July. We've got a solid 8ft SW swell on Saturday, but the wind is a messy cross-off at 25 mph, giving it a combined energy of 1848. It's a bit of a battle, but it's clean. The afternoon eases off a touch with the same size swell, but the wind drops to 16 mph, making it a bit more manageable. The energy jumps to 3155, but it's still a grunt.

Sunday the 26th is where it gets good. The swell drops to a fun 5ft from the SW, but the wind goes offshore from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is a moderate 486. This is a clean, proper session. The afternoon is even better with the wind going light offshore from the NW, and the same 4ft SW swell. That's a glassy afternoon if I've ever seen one.

Monday the 27th is a write-off. The swell is tiny at 3ft, and the wind is a strong cross-off. No go.

Tuesday the 28th sees the swell bump back up to 5ft from the SW, with a strong offshore wind from the NNW at 25 mph. The energy is a strong 710, and the period is 13 seconds. It's clean, but it'll be a fight to get out. The afternoon gets bigger at 6ft, but the wind is howling at 28 mph. Hard work.

Wednesday the 29th is a big one. The swell jumps to 13ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the energy is a massive 11091. But the wind is a strong cross-shore at 28 mph, making it a messy, lumpy mess. This is for experts only, and even then, it's a maybe. The afternoon drops to 10ft, but the wind is still a problem.

Thursday the 30th is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops to 5ft, and the wind is a cross-shore, keeping the surface lumpy.

Friday the 31st is a nice little window. The swell is a playful 4ft from the SW, and the wind is offshore from the NW. Clean, gentle, and the energy is a moderate 409. The afternoon is the standout here: a 3ft SW swell with a glassy offshore breeze from the NW at just 3 mph. That's a 445 energy for a clean, light session.

Now, for the long-range stuff. Saturday, August 1st is the real gem. The swell is 4ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. The wind is a clean offshore at 16 mph, and the energy is 1130. The afternoon is even better: 6ft, 19-second period, and the same clean offshore wind. The energy jumps to 2145. This is a proper groundswell, perfect for a point break like Express Point. The only thing is, with a period that long, the sets will be spaced out, but the shape will be epic.

Sunday, August 2nd and Monday, August 3rd are blown out with strong cross and onshore winds.

Tuesday, August 4th is tiny, and from there, the swell fades into nothing for a few days.

Friday, August 7th pops up again with a 5ft SW swell, 19-second period, and offshore wind. The energy is 2130. This is a promising long-range call, but it's a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

The rest of the run into the second week is small or messy, with the wind picking up again. The surf will be here, but it's not gonna be the standout.

So, the best on offer? That's Saturday, August 1st at Express Point. The long-period groundswell, clean offshore winds, and moderate energy make it the pick of the bunch. The Friday, July 31st afternoon is a close second for a more relaxed, glassy session.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
12
2.5
WSW
12
2.3
WSW
11
1.4
SW
11
1.3
SW
11
1.1
SW
11
1
SW
11
1
SW
11
1.1
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.8
WSW
12
2.3
SW
14
4
SW
16
3
SW
14
2
WSW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1848
1946
1304
475
371
282
220
237
405
710
872
2201
6819
3810
1465
821
527
494
319
268
282
Wind (km/h)
40
WSW
25
W
30
WNW
20
WNW
10
NW
15
NNW
30
NNW
35
NNW
45
NNW
40
NNW
45
WNW
40
NW
45
SSW
30
SW
30
SSW
20
SW
15
WSW
20
WSW
15
NW
5
NW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
High Tide
7:12PM1.98m
8:46AM1.93m
7:57PM1.89m
9:46AM1.91m
8:51PM1.82m
10:50AM1.93m
9:54PM1.78m
11:49AM1.99m
11:02PM1.78m
12:40PM2.07m
00:06AM1.81m
1:23PM2.15m
1:03AM1.87m
Low Tide
1:30PM1.07m
1:58AM0.47m
2:23PM1.16m
2:49AM0.52m
3:25PM1.22m
3:45AM0.55m
4:35PM1.22m
4:45AM0.55m
5:43PM1.17m
5:42AM0.52m
6:42PM1.07m
6:34AM0.50m
7:30PM0.94m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:27
5:28
 mm
5
2
1
1
1
2
4
1
Temp °C
13
13
12
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
11
11
12
11
12
11
12
10
12
11
Feels °C
6
7
6
9
10
9
6
5
4
4
3
1
1
4
2
7
5
7
7
10
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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