Surf Forecasts:
Express Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 6,865 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:
The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming at Express Point.
The first surfable day kicks off on Thursday, July 9th, but it’s a weak, wind-affected SW swell. The water temp is about 57°, which is standard for the season.
The real highlight of the first week is Friday, July 10th. Friday morning is the one to get excited about. You’ve got a clean 4-foot SW groundswell with a 15-second period, and the wind is pure cross-off from the north. The energy is strong, and the point is going to be looking good. The afternoon fades out, so don’t sleep on it.
Saturday and Sunday are a total loss. Saturday has 35 mph north winds and a tiny 2-foot swell. Sunday, the swell jumps to 8 feet with a 55 mph offshore, but that’s a near gale. It’s clean, but it’s a survival mission. The energy is huge, but it’s for experts only.
The middle of the week on Monday, July 13th and Tuesday, July 14th is too big and too windy. A 10-foot swell on Tuesday with a 16-second period and enormous energy, but the wind is messy, making it a bumpy, cross-chop mess.
The real prize is a week and a half out. Thursday, July 23rd is the standout. Thursday morning is glassy, with a 6-foot SW groundswell at a very long 18 seconds. The energy is massive. For a point break, that’s about as good as it gets. The sets will be clean, powerful, and spaced out, making the paddle out manageable. It’s a wave for experienced surfers, but it’s the best of the entire forecast.
Friday, July 24th keeps the momentum with a 10-foot SW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s heavy, expert-only territory, but it’s clean. The morning is also solid with 8-foot swell and clean wind.
So, for the short-term, get on Friday morning, July 10th. For the long-term, circle Thursday, July 23rd. That’s the one that’s got my attention.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Thu afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 472 | 943 | 724 | 657 | 472 | 297 | 245 | 326 | 1738 | 3145 | 2012 | 2150 | 1808 | 3468 | 4209 | 4328 | 4258 | 2401 | 1671 | 874 | 672 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:47PM2.24m | 6:47AM2.13m | 6:28PM2.20m | 7:46AM2.16m | 7:15PM2.16m | 8:51AM2.19m | 8:11PM2.13m | 9:59AM2.23m | 9:16PM2.10m | 11:07AM2.28m | 10:27PM2.11m | 12:10PM2.35m | 11:40PM2.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:19AM0.31m | 12:34PM0.85m | 1:07AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.96m | 2:01AM0.16m | 2:34PM1.04m | 3:02AM0.11m | 3:44PM1.08m | 4:07AM0.08m | 4:56PM1.04m | 5:14AM0.06m | 6:05PM0.94m | 6:18AM0.05m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 |
 | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 472 | 943 | 724 | 657 | 472 | 297 | 245 | 326 | 1738 | — | 2012 | 2150 | 1808 | — | — | — | 4258 | 2401 | 1671 | 874 | 672 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | W 5 | WNW 5 | SW 13 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 23 | 72 | 50 | 3145 | 22 | 49 | 80 | 3468 | 4209 | 4328 | 3182 | 67 | 74 | 17 | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 255 | 483 | 483 | 455 | 79 | 248 | 248 | 477 | 80 | 262 | 84 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Express Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Express Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest