Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 03 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
14.6°C
1.7° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 3 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 5 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 6 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,912 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 5 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 05) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 06) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Oct 06) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 5th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 5th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Tue 6th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SE on Sat morning, light winds from the S by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
3
0
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.4
SSW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.2
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
1.4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
598
598
763
565
831
1297
1082
1082
1017
793
2653
2491
2150
2048
1474
882
686
525
973
1014
1004
Wind (km/h)
35
ESE
35
SE
15
SSE
20
SW
20
SW
15
W
10
WNW
10
S
15
NW
30
W
40
SW
15
SSE
20
ESE
15
SSE
15
NE
20
NNE
5
WNW
25
NE
30
N
30
N
20
SW
Wind State
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
3:58PM2.34m
4:59AM2.46m
4:42PM2.30m
5:47AM2.35m
5:32PM2.22m
6:39AM2.23m
6:29PM2.10m
7:36AM2.12m
7:37PM2.00m
8:39AM2.04m
8:58PM1.94m
9:44AM2.00m
10:21PM1.98m
Low Tide
10:11AM0.65m
10:25PM-0.02m
10:55AM0.70m
11:12PM0.07m
11:43AM0.76m
00:03AM0.22m
12:37PM0.82m
00:59AM0.39m
1:40PM0.85m
2:05AM0.57m
2:52PM0.83m
3:19AM0.70m
4:04PM0.74m
light rain
light rain
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
—
—
6:50
—
—
5:48
—
—
5:47
—
—
5:46
—
—
5:43
—
—
5:43
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:23
—
—
7:24
—
—
6:25
—
—
6:27
—
—
6:28
—
—
6:29
—
—
6:30
—
 mm
1
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
3
Temp °C
13
11
12
11
11
11
11
12
12
13
12
12
12
17
15
22
22
20
23
22
16
Feels °C
7
4
6
7
7
7
8
10
10
7
4
7
8
13
12
18
21
17
16
17
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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