Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for Express Point, the only real game in town for the next 16 days.

Express Point is a point break that takes a consistent SSW swell, and it’s set to be fairly exposed to the action. Crowds are often a factor here, so don’t expect to have it to yourself. The water is sitting about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

We kick off the period on Sunday the 19th with a clean, small start. We’re looking at a 3 ft SW swell with a 13-second period and a combined energy of 326 (moderate). The wind is a gentle cross-off early, turning offshore in the afternoon. It’s not big, but it’s clean and rideable. The real standout for the whole run is a tricky one. While the swell is firing on Friday the 24th afternoon, hitting 13 ft from the WSW with a 14-second period and energy reading 8661 (very strong), the forecast explicitly says it’s too big for this break. That’s for experts only, and even then, it might be a handful. The best of the best, the one to truly circle, is actually Monday the 20th. The afternoon session sees a solid 3 ft SW swell, but it’s the 15-second period and the 628 moderate energy that really gets the juice going. More importantly, the wind is a moderate offshore from the NNW, keeping the waves clean and lined up. This is the sweet spot: a proper point break with a long-period groundswell and perfect offshore wind. Don’t sleep on it.

The week after that gets messy. Tuesday the 21st is clean but the wind goes cross-off, and the quality drops off. By Wednesday the 22nd, we get a fresh offshore wind but the swell is tiny at 2 ft, then a rain shower pushes through with a 6 ft WSW swell but the wind swings cross-off. Thursday the 23rd is a write-off: an 8 ft SW swell (2214 energy) but it’s a strong cross-shore wind, making it ugly.

Friday the 24th morning is for the brave. A 8 ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a strong offshore wind (25 mph) – it’s clean but hard to paddle into. That afternoon, as I said, the 13 ft swell is just too much. Saturday the 25th drops back to a clean 6 ft SW swell, a nice size for a point break, but the wind is cross-off. Sunday the 26th has a gentle offshore and a 4 ft SW swell, a good, clean, cruisy option.

Then we hit a gap. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are blown out by strong winds. Wednesday the 29th is a fresh offshore and a 6 ft SW swell, but it’s only marginal. Thursday the 30th is a total loss with a near gale cross-onshore wind. Friday the 31st through to Sunday the 3rd of August is a long stretch of poor conditions: cross-onshore winds, lumpy, and messy. There’s a small window on the final morning of the forecast, Monday the 3rd of August, with a 3 ft SW swell (17-second period, 547 energy) and a light cross-off breeze from the north. It’s clean, but it’s a whisper.

So, to sum it up: the first week has the best of it, with Monday the 20th afternoon being the absolute standout. The second week is a long, empty stretch of poor surf, with only a tiny glimmer of hope on the very last day. Keep your expectations low for the second week.

Rusty out.

Read more