Express Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.27° E

Express Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Express Point sea temperature is
13.1° C
0.6° 

Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Express Point surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,035 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 2.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 20th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for Express Point, and let me tell you, it's a mixed bag with a couple of absolute crackers hidden in the middle. We've got a solid run of surf coming, but you've got to pick your moments.

The water temp is sitting at 55.6°F, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The week kicks off on Tuesday, 18 August, with a bit of a so-so offering. The morning shows a 3.6ft swell from the SW at 15 seconds, with a gentle NNE cross-off breeze at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (821), and the conditions are clean. It's a surfable start, but nothing to get the heart racing. The afternoon drops off, turning marginal due to an onshore SE wind at 6 mph, so the morning is the only window that day.

Wednesday, 19 August, is a complete write-off. Strong N winds at 28 mph in the morning and 25 mph in the afternoon are going to ruin the 2.3ft and 2.0ft SW swells. Don't even bother looking at it.

Thursday, 20 August, gives us a glimmer. The morning is clean with a NW offshore breeze at 19 mph, and a 3.0ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The energy is moderate (388). The afternoon also holds offshore conditions, though the wind eases to 16 mph. The swell builds to 3.3ft, and the energy hits 446. It's still in the marginal range for tide, but it's clean and surfable.

Now, Friday, 21 August, is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is a real standout. We've got a 4.3ft SW swell at 12 seconds, with a steady NW offshore wind at 12 mph. The combined energy is strong (936), and the conditions are described as "very good." This is clean, punchy, and has some weight to it. The afternoon is also clean with a WNW offshore, but the swell drops back to 3.3ft, though the energy remains strong (922). It's a full day of good surf.

But the jewel in the crown is Saturday, 22 August. Holy moly. The morning sees a 7.5ft SW swell with a 16-second period, straight off the charts. The wind is WNW offshore at 16 mph, and the combined energy is massive (3218). This is expert territory, no doubt about it – the swell is well over 8.2ft, so if you're not a seasoned pro, stay on the beach. The wave energy is extraordinarily strong, and that long period means it's a true groundswell with serious power. Expect long, clean walls. The afternoon is even bigger, hitting 9.8ft from the WSW, with the same 16-second period. The energy skyrockets to 7590. It's a beast. The wind goes cross-off, but it's still clean. This is the best day of the entire forecast, no question. If you're good enough, you'll be having the session of your life.

Sunday, 23 August, is still a solid day. The morning has a 5.6ft SW swell at 14 seconds, with a gentle NW offshore breeze at 9 mph. The energy is strong (1576), and it's described as "excellent" for experienced surfers. The afternoon eases to 5.6ft with a light W cross-off at 6 mph, and the energy is still strong (1139). A great follow-up to the Saturday.

Monday, 24 August, drops off a bit. The morning

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue morning, strong winds from the N by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
2
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
1.1
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.5
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
535
398
339
206
147
171
89
142
215
539
844
1671
1983
2035
1808
1255
1091
954
581
492
666
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
15
SE
15
NNE
40
N
40
N
25
NW
25
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
WNW
30
NW
15
WNW
15
W
20
NW
0
W
20
NNW
30
NNW
25
NNW
30
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
3:35PM2.41m
4:16AM2.31m
4:11PM2.36m
4:59AM2.26m
4:46PM2.28m
5:39AM2.18m
5:20PM2.19m
6:21AM2.09m
5:54PM2.09m
7:05AM1.99m
6:31PM1.99m
7:57AM1.91m
7:14PM1.89m
Low Tide
9:58PM0.19m
10:12AM0.59m
10:36PM0.20m
10:51AM0.70m
11:14PM0.25m
11:28AM0.81m
11:51PM0.32m
12:06PM0.92m
00:30AM0.41m
12:47PM1.03m
1:13AM0.50m
1:35PM1.13m
2:04AM0.57m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
 mm
2
2
4
2
4
Temp °C
16
18
16
15
14
14
14
15
12
12
13
13
12
12
13
12
14
13
15
16
14
Feels °C
14
15
12
7
6
8
9
11
7
7
9
8
7
9
10
8
13
10
8
11
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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