Express Point surf break

Express Point surfForecast / VIC – Phillip Island / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Wednesday 06 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Express Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Express Point sea temperature is
16.9° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:

The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 11) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (May 08) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (May 06) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 11th May)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 11th May)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 8th May)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Wed night, moderate winds from the SW by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
6
Thursday
7
Friday
8
Saturday
9
Sunday
10
Monday
11
Tuesday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
3
SW
10
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
10
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SSW
12
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.6
SW
19
0.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
590
234
1584
3038
3201
3143
1778
3067
1977
1184
991
734
282
240
330
247
456
373
299
231
260
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
35
NW
50
WSW
45
SSW
40
SW
55
WSW
50
WSW
40
SW
25
SW
20
SW
25
SW
20
SW
15
SSW
15
SW
10
NE
5
ENE
15
SSE
15
E
10
NE
10
S
20
ESE
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
glassy
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
3:12PM2.35m
2:53AM2.03m
3:48PM2.32m
3:30AM2.01m
4:24PM2.29m
4:06AM1.96m
4:59PM2.24m
4:44AM1.91m
5:35PM2.18m
5:26AM1.87m
6:13PM2.13m
6:18AM1.85m
6:55PM2.07m
Low Tide
9:16PM0.79m
9:11AM0.29m
9:52PM0.80m
9:47AM0.34m
10:28PM0.83m
10:22AM0.40m
11:06PM0.85m
10:58AM0.48m
11:45PM0.86m
11:39AM0.58m
00:29AM0.84m
12:26PM0.69m
1:17AM0.79m
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:05
7:05
7:07
7:07
7:09
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:24
5:23
5:22
5:22
5:21
5:20
5:19
3
9
2
1
7
4
1
Temp °C
16
16
11
12
12
14
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
17
15
16
18
15
9
9
-2
2
2
3
7
7
8
11
10
11
12
11
12
12
13
12
16
17
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
14
0.9
SW
8
1.8
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SSW
12
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
13
Energy kJ
590
120
1184
734
282
240
330
247
456
373
299
231
205
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
21
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SSW
6
0.6
SSW
15
0.1
SE
14
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
19
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
44
234
44
148
7
23
160
231
260
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WSW
21
0.4
SW
20
0.1
SE
14
0.1
SE
13
0.3
SE
4
0.2
SSW
20
0.2
SSW
16
Energy kJ
44
98
8
7
3
37
26
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NW
3
0.6
NW
4
3
SW
10
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
10
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1
SSW
7
0.9
SSW
6
0.4
SE
3
0.4
SE
4
0.2
ENE
2
0.2
SSE
4
0.5
ESE
5
Energy kJ
5
8
1584
3038
3201
3143
1778
3067
1977
991
93
60
3
6
1
2
12
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
1
2
1
6
2
1
4
1
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
71
79
442
262
477
455
84
467
116
12
248
80
11
7
1
0
11
3
1
11
11
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
2
7
5
6
4
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
6
7
5
5
6
7
7
6
5
5
5
6
5
5
5
7
9
9
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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