Surf Forecasts:
Express Point surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,597 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:
The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here again, giving it to you in feet, the way it should be.
Express Point has a solid run of surf coming, but you gotta pick your moments. The early part of the week is looking sweet, then things get a bit wild before settling back down.
Starting Monday afternoon, July 6th, we’ve got clean, 3ft SW swell with a light cross-offshore breeze. The water is about average temp for this time of year. Not huge, but conditions are good for an advanced point.
Tuesday the 7th morning is the real standout. A 4ft SW swell with a period hitting 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. Light cross-off wind and solid energy. Expect very good, clean surf. Get on it early before the wind shifts in the afternoon.
Wednesday the 8th sees a jump in size with a 4ft SW swell and a 19-second period, massive energy. The wind is cross-off in the morning, but tide might be a factor. Still worth a look for the advanced crew. Thursday the 9th is looking glassy in the afternoon with a 4ft SW swell and light ENE wind. Sneaky good.
We hit a rough patch from Saturday the 11th through Monday the 13th. The wind goes berserk – strong breeze to near gale – making it a battle. On Monday the 13th, the swell hits 12ft with 55 km/h winds. Expert-only, and even then it’s survival. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
After the blow, Thursday the 16th of July is another gem. A 6ft SW swell with a moderate period, but the wind goes light then glassy in the afternoon. Excellent for experienced surfers – clean and powerful.
The rest into the third week is mixed. Friday the 17th gets a fresh offshore, but the swell drops to 3ft. There are promising signs around Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st with 6-6ft SSW swells and offshore winds again, but that’s far out. Keep an eye on it.
Best bets: Tuesday the 7th morning and Thursday the 16th. Don't miss 'em.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, near gales from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 407 | 272 | 663 | 560 | 623 | 1005 | 1591 | 1109 | 611 | 472 | 861 | 773 | 657 | 485 | 346 | 327 | 443 | 442 | 553 | 4590 | 5597 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:08PM2.32m | 4:21AM2.00m | 4:39PM2.30m | 5:06AM2.04m | 5:11PM2.27m | 5:54AM2.09m | 5:47PM2.24m | 6:47AM2.13m | 6:28PM2.20m | 7:46AM2.16m | 7:15PM2.16m | 8:51AM2.19m | 8:11PM2.13m | 9:59AM2.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:26PM0.61m | 10:19AM0.56m | 11:01PM0.51m | 11:00AM0.64m | 11:38PM0.41m | 11:45AM0.74m | 00:19AM0.31m | 12:34PM0.85m | 1:07AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.96m | 2:01AM0.16m | 2:34PM1.04m | 3:02AM0.11m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | 5:14 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 10 | SW 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 407 | 272 | 663 | 560 | 623 | 1005 | 1591 | 1109 | 611 | 472 | 861 | 773 | 657 | 485 | 346 | 327 | 190 | 442 | 553 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | ESE 4 | — | SSW 24 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | — | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | 54 | 404 | 237 | — | 12 | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 21 | SSW 18 | — | SW 24 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 17 | 31 | — | 22 | 125 | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 10 | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 19 | 47 | 443 | 19 | 60 | 4590 | 5597 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 110 | 112 | 79 | 248 | 460 | 593 | 84 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Express Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Express Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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