Surf Forecasts:
Express Point surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 6,101 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:
The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Express Point for the next 16 days. It’s a point break, takes a SW swell, and needs that NW offshore wind to get glassy. The water’s about 56°, which is normal for the season.
There’s a bit of a slow start, but the middle of the first week is where it’s at.
Wednesday the 2nd kicks off with a 5ft SW groundswell, long 16-second period, and a cross-off wind at 16 mph. The energy is moderate (991). Clean, but not a standout. The afternoon bumps to 6ft (1474 energy), still clean.
Thursday the 3rd morning is ugly – 8ft with a 22 mph cross-off and rain. The afternoon, though, is the big one. A 13ft SW swell, 14-second period, cross-off wind at 16 mph, and the energy is a massive 8574. The comment says it’s too big for the break, so that’s expert only. Best in the window.
Friday the 4th is a great follow-up. Morning has 8ft of SW groundswell (16 seconds) with a clean offshore from the NNW at 16 mph (3311 energy). The afternoon is even better – 8ft, same direction, wind drops to a gentle 9 mph offshore (2865 energy). Excellent for experienced surfers. That’s your second pick.
Saturday the 5th is a mess – 6ft in the morning but a 31 mph near gale wind. The afternoon is 8ft with 34 mph cross-off. No good.
Sunday the 6th is smaller – 6ft morning, light cross-off, then 5ft afternoon with a light breeze. Clean.
Monday the 7th is tiny – 3ft morning, offshore wind, but weak energy (336). Not worth it.
Tuesday the 8th morning is a nice surprise – 4ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, clean offshore from the NNW. Energy is 1004. Good lines, but the long period might make it a bit straight.
After that, the second week drops off. From the 11th to the 16th, it’s mostly 4ft to 5ft, clean but low energy. The 17th has 8ft to 10ft, but the wind is onshore and strong, so forget it.
The standout is Thursday the 3rd afternoon – 13ft for the experts. Second best is Friday the 4th afternoon with 8ft and clean offshore. The rest is a long run of small to moderate surf, with a few clean mornings that are okay for a session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 991 | 1474 | 1638 | 2519 | 5607 | 5639 | 3311 | 2865 | 2231 | 1456 | 2958 | 1300 | 1355 | 930 | 481 | 300 | 231 | 269 | 710 | 1404 | 979 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-on | off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:06PM2.32m | 3:49AM2.38m | 3:41PM2.34m | 4:32AM2.40m | 4:18PM2.34m | 5:17AM2.38m | 4:57PM2.32m | 6:05AM2.31m | 5:41PM2.26m | 6:59AM2.21m | 6:33PM2.18m | 8:00AM2.12m | 7:35PM2.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:26PM0.18m | 9:47AM0.59m | 10:04PM0.09m | 10:27AM0.65m | 10:45PM0.05m | 11:09AM0.73m | 11:30PM0.06m | 11:54AM0.83m | 00:19AM0.12m | 12:46PM0.92m | 1:16AM0.23m | 1:48PM0.99m | 2:20AM0.35m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 991 | 1474 | 1638 | — | 2967 | 3313 | 3311 | 2865 | 2231 | 1456 | — | — | 1355 | 930 | 481 | 300 | 231 | 269 | 710 | 1404 | 979 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62 | 51 | 18 | 45 | 253 | 231 | 444 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | S 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 9 | 37 | 63 | 60 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | — | NW 4 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | — | — | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 15 | SW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 59 | — | 18 | 2519 | 5607 | 5639 | — | — | 11 | 56 | 2958 | 1300 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 80 | 71 | 84 | 80 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 84 | 524 | 477 | 84 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 442 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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