
Surf Forecasts:
Express Point surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 10,443 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Express Point this week:
The surf forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Express Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Express Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Express Point over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a classic point break setup on our hands, and it’s going to be a bit of a wild ride. The water is sitting at about 57°F, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, but it’s a nice little bonus.
The first real sniff of action comes in on Saturday, the 5th of September. The morning is looking clean with a strong offshore breeze from the NNW blowing at 28 mph, but that swell is a messy 6ft from the SW with a long 15-second period. It’s got some serious energy behind it (1456), but the wave comment says it’s marginal, and that wind is howling so hard it’ll be a real battle to get out the back. Honestly, it’s more of a suffer-fest than a fun session.
Sunday the 6th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning cleans up nicely with a lighter cross-offshore breeze, and we’ve got a solid 8ft of SW groundswell at 14 seconds pumping in. The energy is massive (3855), but that’s getting into the range where it’s only for the experienced crew. The afternoon drops off a bit in size, but the wind swings cross-shore, keeping it rideable.
The standout window is shaping up to be Thursday, the 10th of September. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, and we’re looking at a solid 10ft of SW swell with an 18-second period. The energy is absolutely pumping (5685), and it's only for the experts. The afternoon is even better with the same size and period, but the energy jumps to 8967, and the conditions stay clean. This is the big one. The swell direction is straight from the optimum SSW, the point will handle the long period beautifully, and the wind is perfect. It’s going to be a freight train, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the session to aim for.
The following Saturday the 12th is a real treat. We’ve got a 6ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, but the wind is light offshore from the NW in the morning. Then the afternoon goes totally glassy, with a tiny 3 mph wind from the SSW and a clean 5ft swell. This is the pick for the more moderate surfer – clean, glassy, and small enough to be fun without being a nightmare. Expect company at the point though, as it’s often crowded.
Looking further out, the 15th of September (Tuesday) morning has a thumping 10ft of SW swell, but it’s a short 11-second period, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and jumbled. The wind is a gentle offshore, so the conditions are clean, but the size and period make it a big, powerful, and tricky one for experts only.
The 20th of September (Sunday) afternoon is a late highlight. We’re looking at 5ft of SW swell with a lovely 18-second period, and a solid offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph. It’s clean, it’s got power, and the energy is there (1753). It’s a promising way to finish the 16-day window, but it’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it just yet.
Other than that, there are a lot of days with messy onshore winds or lumpy conditions that just aren’t worth paddling out for. The first week has a few decent windows, but the second week is a bit of a desert until that final Sunday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Sat night, light winds from the W by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue morning, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 10 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 7 | SSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1456 | 1200 | 1914 | 2109 | 1063 | 772 | 580 | 332 | 293 | 591 | 1555 | 1082 | 4356 | 6981 | 10443 | 5132 | 5327 | 3842 | 1547 | 1402 | 1399 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:57PM2.32m | 6:05AM2.31m | 5:41PM2.26m | 6:59AM2.21m | 6:33PM2.18m | 8:00AM2.12m | 7:35PM2.08m | 9:08AM2.07m | 8:51PM2.00m | 10:18AM2.07m | 10:16PM1.99m | 11:22AM2.11m | 11:35PM2.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:09AM0.73m | 11:30PM0.06m | 11:54AM0.83m | 00:19AM0.12m | 12:46PM0.92m | 1:16AM0.23m | 1:48PM0.99m | 2:20AM0.35m | 3:02PM1.00m | 3:33AM0.45m | 4:21PM0.91m | 4:47AM0.51m | 5:32PM0.76m | ||||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | |
mm | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SW 22 | WSW 13 | SSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
1456 | 1200 | — | 2109 | 1063 | 688 | 18 | 69 | 293 | 591 | 1555 | 1082 | 2242 | 307 | 10443 | 5132 | 5327 | 3842 | 1547 | 1402 | 1399 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 21 | SW 14 | SW 18 | WSW 17 | — | WSW 21 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 210 | 85 | 51 | 71 | 44 | 187 | 534 | 789 | — | 784 | — | — | 553 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | S 20 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | — | SSW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 8 | 246 | 61 | 60 | — | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | W 5 | SW 10 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 7 | — | — | SW 5 | SW 7 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | — |
31 | 74 | 1914 | 1536 | — | 772 | 580 | 332 | — | — | 49 | 111 | 4356 | 6981 | 6623 | — | 3640 | 2354 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 483 | 448 | 310 | 79 | 7 | 21 | 80 | 116 | 12 | 0 | 84 | 442 | 565 | 616 | 79 | 79 | 84 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Express Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Express Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Express Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Express Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Express Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Express Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Express Point is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










