
Surf Forecasts:
Surfies Point surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 5,828 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Surfies Point this week:
The surf forecast for Surfies Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Surfies Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Surfies Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Surfies Point over the next couple of weeks. It’s a slow start, but there’s some proper late-period potential if you’re patient.
The first few days are pretty ordinary. Wednesday and Thursday are dominated by small, weak swell and cross-onshore winds, so the surface is going to be messy and bumpy. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. You’re not missing anything if you give it a miss.
The first real glimmer shows up on Friday morning. The swell jumps to 4ft from the southwest with a 15-second period, and the wind is light and offshore. That’s a clean, workable wave. By Friday arvo, it’s glassy as anything, with the swell holding around 5ft. This is the first proper window, and it looks like a decent one for a point break like this. The energy is moderate, but the conditions are doing all the heavy lifting.
Saturday still has some size, but the northerly wind picks up strong, making it a bit more challenging. It’s clean, but that fresh offshore breeze is going to make it hard to get into the waves. The swell backs off a bit into Sunday, and the wind gets even stronger, so it’s a bit of a battle. Not worth the hassle, really. That’s the end of the first run.
Then there’s a bit of a lull. Monday the 10th brings a big jump in energy – a strong reading – but it’s a messy 10ft with strong cross-onshore winds. That’s a washing machine. Not for the faint-hearted, and probably more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers. The arvo cleans up a touch, but it’s still big and tricky.
Tuesday the 11th is a write-off with more strong winds and poor quality. But then, Wednesday the 12th is where things get interesting. That’s the standout of the whole period. The swell is back up to 10ft from the west-southwest, with a 16-second period and a very strong energy reading. The wind is cross-offshore, which for a point break like this is often perfect. It’s going to be big, powerful, and properly hollow. This is expert territory, no doubt about it. The surface should be clean, but you need to know what you’re doing.
Thursday and Friday the 13th and 14th see the swell ease back to a solid 8ft, still with that long 16-17 second period. The winds are lighter, but a bit more cross-onshore, so it’s not as perfect as Wednesday. Still, there’s a lot of water moving and plenty of energy. These are good, solid days.
Saturday the 15th is another standout. The morning is clear, with a light offshore breeze and a 8ft southwest swell. That’s a recipe for a clean, powerful point surf. This is the one you want to plan for. The energy is still strong, and the winds are perfect. It’s classic stuff.
After that, the swell starts to fade. Sunday the 16th is smaller, around 5ft, and the winds turn a bit onshore. Monday and Tuesday are smaller again, with weaker energy. There’s still some clean morning sessions, but it’s not in the same league as the middle of the period.
The final call comes on Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th. Wednesday morning looks great – 5ft of clean southwest swell with light offshore winds. Then Thursday brings a bit more size, up to 5ft, with a moderate offshore wind and a long period. It’s a good, clean finish to the run.
So, the pick of the bunch is clearly Wednesday the 12th for the big, heavy, expert-only session, and Saturday the 15th for the cleaner, slightly more manageable but still powerful point surf. The rest is a mix of small, wind-affected days and some solid but not perfect mid-range swell. Keep your eyes on that middle window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sun afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Sun night, moderate winds from the NW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1648 | 175 | 325 | 144 | 242 | 311 | 820 | 882 | 453 | 813 | 692 | 528 | 366 | 253 | 617 | 5828 | 3404 | 979 | 535 | 565 | 2138 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:09PM2.33m | 4:50AM2.23m | 4:43PM2.32m | 5:36AM2.25m | 5:19PM2.29m | 6:26AM2.24m | 6:01PM2.26m | 7:22AM2.21m | 6:49PM2.20m | 8:25AM2.16m | 7:46PM2.14m | 9:34AM2.14m | 8:56PM2.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:03AM0.58m | 10:32PM0.29m | 10:44AM0.65m | 11:10PM0.20m | 11:26AM0.75m | 11:53PM0.14m | 12:12PM0.85m | 00:41AM0.12m | 1:05PM0.96m | 1:36AM0.14m | 2:06PM1.04m | 2:39AM0.18m | 3:18PM1.08m | 3:48AM0.22m | |||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 8 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 6 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
186 | 132 | 150 | 144 | 242 | 70 | 820 | 882 | 453 | 813 | 692 | 528 | 366 | 253 | 553 | — | 2460 | 979 | 535 | 565 | 2138 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 21 | — | SSW 18 | SW 7 | — | — | WSW 20 |
93 | 130 | 30 | 93 | 15 | 311 | 52 | 23 | 437 | — | — | — | 51 | 108 | 617 | — | 61 | 63 | — | — | 603 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SW 19 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 20 | SW 14 | — | SW 20 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — | SW 25 | SSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
37 | 175 | — | 5 | 38 | 130 | — | 136 | 14 | — | — | — | — | 25 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | SW 13 | NW 2 | W 4 | NW 3 | WSW 7 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 19 | SW 17 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 13 |
1648 | — | 325 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 132 | — | 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 6 | 5828 | 3404 | — | 23 | 38 | 1261 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 96 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 11 | 82 | 82 | 247 | 85 | 11 | 80 | 142 | 8 | 96 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Surfies Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Surfies Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Surfies Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Surfies Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Surfies Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Surfies Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Surfies Point is 39 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











