The Bubble Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, but honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about. The Bubble is the only spot on the cards, and it’s a no-go across the whole period.

We start off with the first recommendation on Monday, August 3rd. The Bubble is seeing a messy 3ft swell from the north, but it’s short period windswell at 6 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore breeze at 16 mph. The water’s sitting at 73°F, which is about average for this time of year, with a combined energy of 144 – that’s just weak stuff. The conditions are described as poor.

Tuesday and Wednesday are more of the same – cross-onshore winds, bumpy and lumpy, with swell barely nudging up. By Thursday the 6th, the swell tries to build a bit to 5ft, but it’s still onshore wind and the energy is only moderate at 248. Friday the 7th sees a bit more size, 5ft to 6ft from the north, but the wind is still cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy.

The weekend into the second week doesn’t improve. Saturday the 8th has 6ft north swell, but again, it’s cross-onshore, and the energy gets up to 463, which is moderate, but it’s all for nothing with the wind. By Sunday the 9th, it starts dropping. The whole first week is a write-off.

Moving into the second week, from Monday the 10th through to Tuesday the 18th, it’s a repeating pattern: swell between 4ft and 6ft, mostly from the north or north-northeast, and periods that are short, between 5 and 9 seconds. The wind never lets up – it’s a constant moderate to fresh cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy fluctuates, hitting a moderate 725 on Saturday the 15th, but the poor surf conditions tag never changes.

There’s not a single standout day. The Bubble is an expert reef break, but it’s consistently let down by the wind. It’s exposed to the swell, sure, but with the wind direction coming from the north and northeast, it’s just onshore or cross-onshore the whole time. For a reef break that needs clean conditions, this is a total washout.

If you’re a kite surfer, this setup with the cross-onshore wind and moderate wave energy might be more interesting than paddle surfing. But for us, it’s a long, frustrating gap. The forecast could change, but as it stands, don’t bother waxing up.

Rusty.

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