Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on offer down at Squeaky Beach over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag—there’s some promise early on, then a long, ugly stretch of wind and slop, before things clean up again right at the tail end of the forecast.

We kick off on Monday the 17th of August with a solid little pulse. A 3ft south-west groundswell, period a very long 17 seconds, and clean conditions thanks to an offshore breeze. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The combined swell energy is moderate (400), and Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) is fairly exposed to the swell, so it’s handling that long-period groundswell well. That long period means the waves will have shape and power, but with it being a beach break, expect it to wall up a bit—best if you’ve got a bit of experience reading the sets. Crowds are only sometimes, so you might get a few waves to yourself. This is the standout of the early run.

Tuesday the 18th holds in with similar 2ft swell, still a very long 15-second period, and light cross-off winds in the morning. The morning is the pick—clean, fun, and easy. Afternoon gets a bit more ordinary with a gentle offshore but weaker energy.

Then we hit a wall. From Wednesday the 19th right through to Sunday the 30th of August, it’s pretty much a write-off. The swell drops right off, or gets hammered by nasty onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the north-west and west. There’s a day or two with a bit of size—like the 21st and 22nd—with 5ft to 6ft swell and strong energy (1177 to 1796), but those days come with fresh to strong onshore winds, making it lumpy, choppy, and messy. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Even the smaller days are ruined by wind. This is a gap of nearly two weeks with nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, if you can wait... Monday the 31st of August brings a beautiful reset. The morning is glassy—zero wind—with a 2ft south-west groundswell and a ridiculously long 20-second period. Combined energy is strong at 553, and that long period means long, clean lines. Absolute glass-off conditions. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook. The afternoon stays clean with a gentle offshore from the east. That 31st of August morning is your moment—mark it.

Then Tuesday the 1st of September keeps the run going with a 2ft to 3ft south-west swell, 16 to 17-second period, and clean offshore or cross-off winds. Good fun, but the Monday is the real gem.

So overall: get out Monday the 17th for a tidy session, then forget about it until Monday the 31st of August, which is the standout. That last day is the one to circle.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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