Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days at Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) are a real mixed bag, and honestly, there’s a lot of flat or ordinary conditions in there. You’re gonna have to pick your moments. The overall pattern shows a small window of clean, rideable swell early on, then a long stretch of poor conditions, before a possible last call at the very end.

Let’s start with the weekend. Saturday 15th August kicks off with some swell, 5ft from the SW with a very long 15-second period. That’s groundswell right there, and it’s packing moderate energy (906). Water temp’s sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. But the catch – the morning wind is light onshore from the WSW. It’s surfable, but it’s not gonna be a stunner. The afternoon sees the wind shift S cross-shore, and the swell drops to 4ft. It’s not the best.

Sunday 16th August is where it gets a little interesting. Morning has that sweet SSE cross-offshore breeze with 3ft of SW swell and a 14-second period. Waves will be clean, and the energy is moderate (341). The afternoon goes glassy with an easterly offshore at 6 mph. That’s the pick of this whole period – clean small waves, perfect for a beginner session. Crowds can happen here sometimes, so get in early if you want a bit of space.

Then Monday 17th August still looks okay. Morning has 3ft with a clean offshore ENE breeze. The afternoon jumps up to 3ft with a 17-second period and moderate energy (400), and still offshore. It’s a solid option for a longboard or a fun little cruiser.

But then it turns. From Tuesday 18th August all the way through Thursday 27th August, it’s a long stretch of poor surf. Wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, often strong, and the swell drops right off to barely a ripple. There’s a big spike in swell on Saturday 22nd August hitting 8ft with very strong energy (2690), but with strong cross-onshore winds and rain, it’s gonna be a washing machine. Too big and blown out for a beginner, and messy even for the crew. That’s more of a kite day than a paddle day.

After that big blow, the swell backs off again, but the wind stays brutal – up to 28 mph from the NW on the 28th and 29th. The ocean will be a mess.

Now, there is one last glimmer. Tuesday 25th August morning shows a return of clean conditions with a NE cross-offshore breeze, 4ft of SW swell, and a nice 15-second period. Energy is moderate (472). The afternoon holds offshore as well, though it’s smaller. That’s your last chance in this window, but it’s still over a week out, so keep an eye on it.

For the standout: Sunday 16th August morning is the best on offer. Clean, glassy, small, and perfect for a beginner to get out. The swell is only 3ft from the SW – it’s not big, but it’s got that long period groundswell (14 seconds) and light offshore wind. It’s the one session I’d lock in.

Remember, Squeaky is a beach break, and that long-period SW swell can sometimes make it a bit walled-up and straight. But with the wind direction we’ve got, it’ll be worth a paddle.

Stay safe, stay stoked.
– Rusty

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