Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast for Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) is a real mixed bag, and it’s gonna test your patience. There’s a big gap of almost nothing good at the start, so we’re looking at a long wait for a proper session.

The water’s sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – nothing weird going on there.

We’ve got a stretch from Thursday the 23rd of July all the way through to Friday the 31st of July that’s just poor. The wind is howling from the west and west-northwest, mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s strong. The swell is all over the place, from 8ft down to 2ft, but it doesn’t matter because the wind is ruining it. The combined energy is weak to moderate (735 down to 138), but the waves are lumpy, messy, and choppy. There’s a couple of days late in July where the swell is a bit bigger, but the wind is still on it, so it’s not worth paddling out for. Beginners should steer clear of anything over 5ft, and there’s plenty of that around, but it’s all blown out anyway.

Then we hit Saturday the 1st of August, and things finally start to turn. The wind swings around to the southeast, then south, giving us a clean morning with light offshore and cross-off winds. The swell is 7ft from the southwest, with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (1533). It’s still a bit on the bigger side for beginners, but it’s clean and there’s some proper power in the water. The afternoon lightens up with a south wind, and the swell holds at 7ft but with a longer period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The energy jumps to 2962, which is very strong. This is the standout window. The longer period means better shaped waves with more energy, and the light wind will keep it glassy. A word of caution though: that long period stuff can make a beach break like Squeaky a bit straight, but with the wind being so light, it’s still your best bet. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so get in early.

But that window doesn’t last. Sunday the 2nd is back to cross-onshore winds and choppy. The swell drops to 4ft, and the energy fades to 635. Not worth it.

Now, hold onto your board, because Monday the 3rd of August is where it gets really special. The wind goes offshore from the east, gentle in the morning and moderate in the afternoon. The swell is 4ft to 5ft from the southwest, with a very long period of 18 to 19 seconds. The combined energy is strong (1332 and 1264). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions,” and I’m feeling it – this is classic point-and-reef territory. The offshore wind will keep it glassy, and that long period will give you proper, powerful lines. This is your best session of the whole 16-day run. The swell is a bit over 5ft, so it’s not just for beginners, but it’s totally manageable.

Tuesday the 4th stays good, with moderate offshore winds from the east-northeast and a clean 3ft to 3ft swell from the southwest. The energy is moderate (750 and 432). It’s not as big, but it’s clean and fun. Still a decent option.

From Wednesday the 5th through to Thursday the 7th, the swell drops right off to 1ft to 3ft, with the energy falling to as low as 65 on the 6th. The wind is mostly offshore or cross-off, so it’s clean, but there’s just not enough swell to do much. The 7th shows a bit of a pulse from the southwest with a very long period of 18 seconds and energy of 706, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s a bit of a tease.

So, here’s the bottom line: That gap from the 23rd to the 31st of July is a write-off. The real treasure is the window from Saturday the 1st of August through to Tuesday the 4th of August, with Monday the 3rd as the absolute standout. After that, it goes quiet again. If you’re keen, point your car towards Squeaky Beach for that Monday session – it’s the one.

Rusty.

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