Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I'm looking at what's on the cards for the Prom. First thing's first, water temp's sitting at 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year, mate. Not a standout anomaly, just your standard winter chill.

Alright, let's be straight with you. The outlook starts on Tuesday, 28 July, and the first few days are a write-off. The wind is howling from the NNW and NW, hitting 22 to 25 mph, which is just tearing the surface apart. The swell is there, but it's all cross-onshore and messy. We've got moderate wave energy (266) on Tuesday morning, but it's not worth paddling out for. Tuesday afternoon jumps up to 820 (moderate energy), and by Wednesday, 29 July, we're into near gale-force cross-onshore wind and a 8ft to 10ft SW/WSW swell. The energy is massive – 3832 and 1516 – but it's blown out and dangerous for anyone but the most experienced. No good.

Thursday, 30 July, sees the wind ease a little, but it's still onshore and the conditions are poor. The swell drops to 5ft in the morning (780 energy) and 3ft in the afternoon (334 energy), but the wind is on it. Friday, 31 July, is a light breeze day, but the swell is small and the wind is cross-on. Nothing worth a paddle.

Saturday, 1 August, we get a little glimmer. The morning is clear with a light cross-shore breeze, but the swell is only 1ft with a very long 18-second period. The energy is weak at 219. That's a groundswell, but at a beach break like Squeaky, that long period will make it break too straight and dumpy. By afternoon, the swell bumps to 3ft with a 19-second period and 601 energy. It's rated marginal, but with light offshore wind, it's clean. This is the first real sniff of a wave, but it's inconsistent. The best on offer for the first week would be that Saturday afternoon – small, clean, but you'll be waiting for sets.

The middle of the week gets hammered again. Sunday, 2 August, is back to strong cross-onshore wind and messy. Monday, 3 August, is a bit better: a 6ft SW swell with a 15-second period (1404 energy) and a moderate cross-shore wind. The conditions are marginal, but it's a solid swell. Tuesday, 4 August, is a standout. The wind swings to light offshore from the E and ESE, and we get a clean 3ft to 2ft SW swell. The energy is weak (181–153), but it's clean, and the water is glassy. This is a genuine option for a beginner to intermediate surf. The crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.

Wednesday, 5 August, is similar – light offshore wind, clean, but the swell is tiny (2ft to 1ft) with a very long period (14–18 seconds). The energy is weak (218–220). It's surfable, but you'll be scratching for waves.

Then we hit a dry spell. Thursday, 6 August, through Saturday, 8 August, is poor. The wind picks up, the swell is small and messy. The only real glimmer in the second week is Sunday, 9 August. This is the highlight of the whole outlook. The morning is clear with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, and a 2ft SW swell with a 17-second period (383 energy). It's clean. Then the afternoon gets even better: glassy conditions with a NNW breeze, 3ft WSW swell, 16-second period, and 397 energy. The wind is glassy, and the conditions are good. This is the best on offer. The swell is small, but the quality will be there for those who want a clean, small-wave session.

After that, Monday, 10 August, is a drop-off with a moderate cross-shore wind, and Tuesday, 11 August, has a 3ft to 6ft swell but with poor conditions. Wednesday, 12 August, has a 8ft swell with moderate wind, but it's marginal and only for experts.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a bust. The standout is Tuesday, 4 August, with clean, offshore conditions and small waves. The true highlight is Sunday, 9 August, with glassy conditions and a clean, long-period swell. That's your day.

Rusty.

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