Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get stuck into it. Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on what’s shaping up for our little slice of coast.

Overall, it’s a rough start, no two ways about it. The first week is a write-off for any decent paddle. We’ve got a solid week of choppy, lumpy, cross-onshore slop that’s just not worth your time. The swell is there, but it’s all blown out. From Tuesday the 4th through to Sunday the 9th, it’s a mess of poor conditions. The wind is just relentless – fresh breezes, moderate breezes, and even a storm risk – all of it punching the surface into a chaotic wash. You’ll be looking at swell heights of 1ft to 5ft, but the energy is weak to moderate (128 to 593), and the period is mostly short and crummy. Don’t bother.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday the 8th. Both the morning and afternoon at Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) show a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NE, making for clean conditions. The swell is a consistent 3ft from the SW, with a long period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, which will wrap nicely into this fairly exposed spot. The energy is moderate (438 and 421), and the water temp is about average for the time of year. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, so it won’t be too intimidating. Crowds are possible, so keep an eye out. This is a solid shout for a fun, clean session.

Then we hit a brutal patch. Monday the 10th brings a massive spike in energy – 1981 and 2104 – with a 10ft to 8ft swell from the WSW. The wind is howling onshore at 25 mph, making it dangerous and unruly. That kind of size is for experts only, and even then, it’s a mess. The swell stays strong through Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th, with energy readings over 1000 and 3000, but the wind is always cross-on or cross, creating a lumpy, choppy ocean. Not a paddle in sight.

The next standout is a beauty. On Saturday the 15th, the morning session is pure magic. The wind drops to glassy – yes, glassy – from the ENE at only 3 mph. The swell is a clean 3ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. The energy is light (275), but the conditions are pristine. The afternoon is just as good with a light SE cross-offshore breeze. This is the best on offer in the whole forecast: a small, clean, long-period groundswell under perfect skies. It’s beginner-friendly, and the water is still about average temp. This is the one to circle.

The final stretch shows a bit of a mixed bag. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are back to choppy, onshore misery. But then, on Tuesday the 18th, the afternoon session at Squeaky Beach fires up. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the WSW with a 17-second period – that’s a very long groundswell. The energy is strong (1405), and the wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the S, making for clean waves. This is described as excellent for experienced surfers, so if you’re confident, it’s a solid option. The same goes for Wednesday the 19th morning, with a 5ft SW swell, 14-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. Clean, good energy (684), and well worth a look.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dud. Saturday the 8th is a decent warm-up, but the real standout is Saturday the 15th morning with that glassy perfection. Tuesday the 18th afternoon is also a belter for the more experienced crew. The second week is a bit more promising, but the long-range stuff is a little less certain. Still, for a spot that’s been so battered by wind, there’s light at the end.

Rusty out.

Read more