Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next couple of weeks at Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll get you out there. The water’s sitting about average for this time of year, so no dramas there.

We’ve got a bit of a rough start. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are pretty much write-offs: rain, lumpy cross-onshore wind, and the swell’s all over the shop. Friday the 7th is a no-go too – strong onshore winds and messy conditions. You’ll want to wait until Saturday the 8th. That’s where it gets interesting.

Saturday morning, we’ve got a clean 3ft SW groundswell (period 16 seconds) with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. That’s a proper window. The combined energy is moderate (432), so there’s a bit of push, but the long period means better shaped waves and longer lulls between sets. It’s a fairly exposed spot, so those longer periods can make the paddle out easier. Expect some crowds though – it’s a popular spot when it’s clean. The afternoon holds similar, with light NE winds keeping it clean.

Sunday the 9th drops off a bit – the swell backs off to 2-3ft from the WSW, and the winds are a bit stronger, but still cross-offshore. It’s surfable, just ordinary. Then Monday the 10th through to Friday the 14th is a real mess. Strong onshore winds (28-34 mph), big lumpy swell up to 10ft, and combined energy readings over 1000 – that’s strong to very strong energy. For a beach break like this, that’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. The period drops to 5-10 seconds on some days, which is just short-period junk.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Saturday the 15th. The wind swings light onshore, but the swell is still a solid 5-6ft from the SW (period 16 seconds). That’s a big, long-period swell, so it’ll be powerful and a bit critical – better for more experienced surfers. The combined energy is still strong (1239-1916), so it’s not for the faint-hearted. Sunday the 16th is marginal, with the swell dropping to 3ft and a light cross-onshore breeze.

Now, the standout – and I mean the real standout – is Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th. Tuesday morning, we’ve got glassy conditions, absolutely still, with a 2ft SW groundswell (period 14 seconds). Clean as a whistle. The combined energy is moderate (326), but the glassy surface makes it a dream. Tuesday afternoon, the wind shifts to a light cross-offshore from the ESE, with the swell picking up to 3ft (period 16 seconds). That’s the best combo of the whole forecast. Wednesday morning is similar – clean, light cross-offshore wind, 3ft SW swell (period 15 seconds). These days are the ones to circle.

If you’re a beginner, keep an eye on Saturday the 8th – the 3ft swell is manageable, but the long period (16 seconds) can make it a bit more powerful than the size suggests. Anything over 5ft (like Saturday the 15th) is getting too big for learners, and over 8ft (like Wednesday the 12th or Thursday the 13th) is experts only.

The long-range stuff (second week) is a bit less certain, but those glassy windows on the 18th and 19th look promising. There’s a gap of rough conditions from the 10th to the 14th, so be patient. The forecast can change, but for now, get your gear ready for the 8th, the 15th if you’re confident, and definitely the 18th and 19th.

Rusty.

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