Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) and, well, it’s a bit of a waiting game. The next 16 days aren’t going to offer much in the way of proper surf, but there are a couple of brief windows where the stars line up. Don’t get too excited early on – the first week is mostly a write-off with strong winds and messy conditions. The combined wave energy is weak through the first few days, with values like 28 mph cross-on winds and a 8 ft swell that’s just a huge, blown-out mess. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer comes on Saturday, August 1st. The morning starts with a tiny 1 ft SW groundswell (18-second period) and light cross-off breezes, but the afternoon is the pick. Around Saturday afternoon, the wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell bumps up to 3 ft from the SW, still with that long 18-second period. That’s going to be clean, but it’s small – only for the longboard or a big fish. The combined wave energy is 447 (moderate), so it’s not packing much punch. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but crowds are possible here, so don’t expect to have it all to yourself.

After that, we get a bit of a gap. Sunday the 2nd has a bit of cross-shore chop, and Monday the 3rd is back to strong onshore winds and a messy 6 ft swell. The whole week after that is a slog – strong cross-on winds, lumpy conditions, and combined energies in the 500-880 range (moderate), but it’s all poor quality. The swell direction stays SW, which is the optimum for this spot, but the wind ruins it.

The next standout is a beauty. On Friday, August 7th, the morning brings a clean 3 ft SW swell (18-second period) with a light cross-off breeze from the NE. The water is clean, and the combined energy is 657 (moderate). The afternoon is even better – offshore winds from the east at 9 mph and a 3 ft SW swell. That’s the best of the run, no question. It’s not big, but it’ll be lined up, especially for the longboard crew. Crowds are possible, so get there early.

Then we have a few more days of trade-offs. Saturday the 8th has clean but small waves, and then Sunday, August 9th is a real treat. The afternoon is glassy, dead calm, with a 4 ft WSW swell and a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy hits 736 (moderate), and the forecast says “very good surf conditions.” That’s your second standout. It’s a bit more size than Friday, still clean, and should offer some fun corners. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum (WSW vs SW), but it’s still good.

After that, the second week gets messy again. Monday the 10th brings a 5 ft swell with 16 mph cross-shore winds, and by Tuesday the 11th, the combined energy jumps to 2220 (strong) with a 6 ft SW swell, but it’s all cross-on and lumpy. The last few days of the run are poor – near gale winds on the 13th, 31 mph, and a 6 ft swell that’s just blown out. For the main event, stick with the afternoon of Saturday the 1st, Friday the 7th, and Sunday the 9th. The 9th is the pick of the litter. Don’t expect much between those windows; it’s a dry spell for anything decent.

Rusty.

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