Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty with the long-range look for our stretch of coast.

Right off the bat, I’ve got to level with you: this forecast window is a bit of a write-off for getting any proper waves. We’ve got plenty of swell on the charts, but the wind is just ruining everything. We’re looking at a solid week or more of onshore and cross-onshore conditions, which is going to chop up any potential and leave us all staring at a messy ocean. If you’re not prepared to wrestle a washing machine, you might want to find something else to do for a while.

I’m talking mainly about Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) here. The first real opportunity for a paddle doesn't come until Friday the 4th of September. Even then, it’s not anything to get too excited about. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell with a 16-second period, which is proper groundswell and should have some push, but a light cross-onshore breeze is going to make it pretty lumpy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so your wettie won’t feel any different from usual.

Before that, forget it. The wind is up, the forecast is bleak, and the surf quality is just poor. There’s a run of strong and fresh onshores from the get-go that are going to keep things messy and blown-out. On the 3rd, we’ve got a solid pulse of 8-8ft WSW swell, but it’s getting hit by 25+ mph onshores. That’s a churned-up mess, and at that size, it’s not for the faint-hearted anyway. The energy is pumping (between 2275 and 2377), but it’s all for nothing.

The run of poor conditions continues through the first week of September. There’s a period around the 5th and 6th of September where the swell really kicks up, reaching 10ft, but with near gale-force onshores, that’s a complete blowout. Honestly, as a paddle surfer, you wouldn’t want to be out there. If the wind was different, this would be a serious swell event. As it stands, with those sorts of winds and a beach-break setup, it’s looking way more interesting for the kite surfers than for us.

We keep looking for a window. By Friday the 11th of September, things start to calm down a little. The swell drops to around 4ft, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That’s a beautiful groundswell, and the wind finally drops to a light onshore. It’s about as good as it gets in this whole sorry forecast. The tide might make it marginal, but it’s worth a look if you’re desperate. The energy is getting weak, down around 838, but it might just be clean enough.

After that, it’s a bit of a fade-out. The swell keeps shrinking, and while the winds stay a bit more moderate, the waves just don’t have any size or energy behind them. We're looking at small, weak surf with onshore winds through the middle of September. It's a slow taper off.

So, what’s the call? The only window you should be looking at is Friday the 11th of September. It’s a long-range call, so don’t hold your breath, but it’s the only time when the wind drops enough for that long-period SW swell to have a chance of lining up clean at Squeaky. Get on it if you can, but otherwise, it might be time to fix the dings.

Rusty.

Read more