Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m lookin’ at the charts for the 16-day window and, honestly, it’s a tough stretch for Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory). The water temp is sittin’ around 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. But the surf? It’s mostly a write-off.

Workin’ through the period: Wednesday afternoon the 26th kicks off with a 4ft SW swell, but the wind’s howlin’ cross-on at 25 km/h, so it’s just choppy and messy. The swell energy is weak at 637. No good.

Thursday the 27th has a tiny 2ft SW swell, but the wind is onshore, and the energy is down to 143. Friday the 28th shows a bit more muscle first thing with a 3ft SW swell and a long 18-second period, and the energy climbs to 980, but the wind is onshore and it’s still poor. By Friday afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft from the WSW, period 17 seconds, and energy spikes to 3466 – that’s moderate energy – but it’s still only marginal because of the wind and likely tide issues.

Saturday the 29th through to the end of August is all onshore wind and poor surf. The swell sticks around 3ft to 4ft, periods from 12 to 15 seconds, but the wind never plays ball. The 31st has a 3ft SW swell with a 14-second period and 615 energy, but it’s only marginal.

Then we hit September. Tuesday the 1st is a write-off with 45 km/h cross-onshore winds and a messy 3ft SW swell. Wednesday the 2nd builds a 6ft W swell with a 15-second period, energy hits 2448 – that’s moderate – but wind is onshore and it’s still poor. Thursday the 3rd has a 6ft WSW swell, short 8-second period, and 45 km/h winds – just ugly. Friday the 4th through Sunday the 6th is a stormy mess: 7ft to 10ft WSW swells, strong onshore winds from 35 to 75 km/h, and energy ranging from 1127 to 3200. The 6th is especially gnarly with 10ft and near gale-force winds – that’s for experts only, but even then, the wind makes it unsurfable.

Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th keep the 8ft WSW swell going, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, keepin’ it rough. The 8th has a 8ft WSW swell with a 10-second period and 1959 energy, but it’s only marginal. The 9th drops to 6ft SW swells, still cross-onshore, and by the 10th we’re back to tiny 3ft and 2ft SW swells with weak energy.

So, the honest truth: there’s no standout window in this 16-day run. It’s a long stretch of poor conditions, with only a couple of brief marginal moments. This setup – with all that onshore wind and those big swells turnin’ the beach into a washing machine – looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. For a beginner, the swell is often too big (over 5ft many days), and conditions are rarely clean. Just one of those blank runs for the area. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a case of waitin’ it out.

Rusty.

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