Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, lookin' at the surf for Squeaky Beach down at Wilsons Promontory. To be honest, this is a bit of a tough stretch. The water's sittin' at about 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

We're kinda in a holding pattern for the first week and a half, with not much to get excited about. The pattern is a lot of onshore or cross-onshore winds, choppy conditions, and just poor surf. From Saturday the 18th through to Monday the 27th, the wind is mostly from the NW, WNW, or SW, meaning it's pretty much always blowing across the swell. Most of the time the wave comment is "poor surf conditions" – the energy is there, like on the 18th morning with a combined energy of 401, but it's just messy. A couple of afternoons, like Sunday the 19th, go glassy, but the swell is only 2 ft, so it's tiny. On Wednesday the 22nd afternoon, the swell jumps to 7 ft, but it's a short period 8-second wind swell and the wind is howling onshore at 19 mph, making it a write-off.

Then, from Thursday the 23rd, things get a bit wild. The combined swell energy starts cranking, hitting 1558 on the Thursday morning and then a massive 2047 on the Thursday afternoon. We're seeing 7 ft to 7 ft of SW swell. But the wind is still a problem – 22 mph onshore and cross-onshore. That kind of power with that wind is a mess. It's not just poor for surfing; with that much wind and power, it's actually looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The same goes for Friday the 24th with even more energy (2326) and 7 ft of swell, but again, onshore wind.

Now, after a long wait, we finally get a couple of standouts. The best on offer is Tuesday the 28th. The morning has a 7 ft SW swell (combined energy 1913) and a clear sky with a cross-offshore SSE wind at 12 mph. The wave comment says "clean" – that's what we want. That's a chunky swell, over 7 ft, so it's going to be for the more experienced crew. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 6 ft, with a southerly cross-shore wind, still surfable.

Then, the real gem is Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning has a 4 ft SW swell, a 17-second period, and a light offshore NNE wind. The comment says "expect very good surf conditions". The afternoon is even better: 5 ft of clean SW swell with a 16-second period and a light offshore ESE wind at just 3 mph. The combined energy is 1063. That's a beautiful, long period groundswell with clean conditions. It's a bit of a ways out, so it's a promising outlook, but it's the one to circle on the calendar. The long period will mean it's a bit more lined up, and with the offshore wind, it'll be real clean.

So, the whole period is a bit of a grind, but if you're keen, keep your eyes on Tuesday the 28th for the bigger stuff, and definitely Sunday the 2nd of August for the cleanest conditions.

Rusty

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