Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks at Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory).

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a write-off. We're looking at a gap of about five days with absolutely no surf worth paddling out for. Onshore winds are howling, and the combo of swell and wind is just a mess. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th see some serious swell energy building – we're talking 6ft to 8ft from the SW and WSW, with a very long period of 14 to 15 seconds, and combined energy readings hitting 1554 and 3092 – that's strong to very strong energy. But it's all blown out by strong onshore winds. It's a classic case of plenty of ocean movement but no quality. For a beach break like this, with that much wind and size, it's honestly looking more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th are still poor, with the swell dropping right off and the wind staying onshore. Not much to get excited about.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 28th of July is the first real glimmer of hope. The morning is still a bit messy with a 8ft SW swell at 9 seconds and a cross-onshore breeze, but it's marginal. Then Tuesday afternoon, things shift. The wind swings around to the ESE, becoming a light cross-offshore breeze at 10 km/h. The swell is still solid at 8ft from the SW, period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is 1123 – moderate to strong. The wave comment says "expect very good surf conditions." This is the standout. For experienced surfers, that afternoon session is the pick of the whole forecast. It's a bit of size, over 8ft, so it's for experts only, but the lighter wind and clean conditions will make it worthwhile. The water temp is about average for the time of year here.

The following days, from Wednesday the 29th through to Friday the 31st, see the swell drop back to 2ft to 3ft, but the wind turns offshore from the E. That's clean, lined-up surf for the smaller-wave crew. Thursday the 30th is very ordinary with tiny waves, but Friday the 31st picks up a bit more energy with a 3ft SW swell at a very long 17 to 19 seconds, and combined energy of 587. The offshore breeze from the E at 25 km/h is a bit fresh, but it's still clean. For a beginner, the smaller days with offshore wind are your best bet.

Into the first week of August, Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd offer small, clean waves again, with the 2ft to 2ft SW swell. The wind is light offshore or cross-offshore, so it's clean but tiny. The period is long, over 15 seconds, which is a proper groundswell, but for a beach break like this, that long period can make the waves break a bit too straight and close out. It's a caveat.

Then from Monday the 3rd of August onwards, the window shuts again. The wind returns to strong onshore directions, and the swell drops to almost nothing – 1ft to 2ft with weak energy. The last few days of the forecast are a total bust.

So, to sum it up: the best surf on offer is Tuesday afternoon the 28th of July for the experienced surfers, with that 8ft SW swell and clean cross-offshore wind. For the smaller-wave crowd, the offshore wind days from the 29th to the 2nd of August are your window, but don't expect much size. The forecast is solid for the near-term, but the long-range standouts are a bit more uncertain.

Rusty.

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