Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Squeaky Beach over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about 2° warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year. Not a huge deal, but you'll notice it's a touch milder than usual.

The outlook over the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag, with a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions before we get a couple of real standouts right at the end. We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands, because for the first week or so, the wind is the main problem. There’s a long patch from Saturday the 11th right through to Friday the 17th of July where conditions are either blown out, messy, or just not worth the effort. The swell energy is all over the shop, but the wind is just too strong and from the wrong directions. It’s frustrating, but it is what it is.

That brings us to Friday the 17th of July. Now, Friday afternoon is where things start to look interesting. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW groundswell rolling in with a solid 16-second period. The wind goes glassy – offshore from the SW at just 3 mph. That’s the kind of setup that has you looking at the forecast all day at work. The combined wave energy is moderate at 803. It’s not huge, but for a beginner-friendly spot, that glassy window will make the waves feel much better than the number suggests. It’s going to be clean, lined up, and perfect for learning or just cruising. Crowds are possible here sometimes, but on a weekday afternoon in winter, you might just have it to yourself. This is one of the two standouts.

The next real standout is a beauty, but it’s a long way off. On Thursday the 23rd of July, the swell kicks up. Morning shows a solid 7ft WSW swell with a long 16-second period. The wind is light and cross-off from the NNE at 6 mph. Combined wave energy jumps right up to 2585, which is strong. This is proper groundswell. Now, at 7ft, it’s getting a bit much for beginners – you’ll want some experience under your belt. The direction is spot on for Squeaky Beach's optimum SW exposure. That afternoon holds a 6ft SW swell with the same clean cross-off breeze from the ESE. These are the best waves on offer in the whole outlook. Clean, powerful, and with that long period making the paddling easier between sets. Just be aware that with a period that long and the beach break setup, the waves might be a bit straight on the face, but the quality of the swell and the wind should make up for it.

Before that, there’s a smaller, less certain option on Wednesday the 22nd of July afternoon. That’s a 5ft WSW swell with a shorter period of 10 seconds and glassy conditions. It’s marginal and the energy is only moderate (392). It could be a fun little session if you’re keen for a quick paddle, but it’s nowhere near as good as the Friday or Thursday windows.

After that Thursday stand-out, the forecast falls away again. The 24th gets messy with strong onshore winds, and the final days of the outlook are a write-off with fresh to near gale force winds from the W and NW.

So, to wrap it up, you’ve got two main calls: the glassy, clean beginner-friendly session on Friday afternoon the 17th, and the bigger, more powerful swell for experienced surfers on Thursday the 23rd. Everything else in between is a no-go or highly marginal. Get out there when the wind plays ball.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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