Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.02° S 146.29° E

Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) sea temperature is
13.6° C
1.0° 

Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 20s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 17s period, SW swell with 3,194 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) this week:

The surf forecast for Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) in the next 16 days are 2.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 8s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 8th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 10th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 20s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 13th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s see what’s on the cards for Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory).

We’re in for a bit of a frustrating start, I won’t lie. The first week is a real mixed bag of onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and messy surf. The water’s sitting at 57°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year – a bit of a treat if you’ve got a decent wetsuit. The real action, the standout stuff, doesn’t start trickling in until the middle of the second week.

Friday 7th and Saturday 8th are a write-off for quality. Friday has a 2ft to 3ft SW swell, but that 15-second period groundswell is completely wasted with 12 mph onshore winds. It’s a shame because the energy is there (492 to 693), but it’s just messy. Saturday is a bit cleaner with light cross-off breezes, but the swell is still small and the score is low. From Sunday 9th through to Thursday 14th, it’s a long stretch of poor surf. We get a moderate 3ft to 10ft swell on Monday 10th, but a 31 mph near gale from the WSW makes it absolute junk – the combined energy hits 1851, but forget about paddling out. Thursday 13th sees a big 8ft SW swell, but again, heavy cross-onshore winds ruin it. That’s about 6 days of no good options.

Now, there’s a flicker of hope. Saturday 15th and Sunday 16th are still marginal, but the winds are light and the swell is around 3ft to 5ft. It’s clean, but only just. The real standout arrives on Monday 17th morning. It’s glassy, dead calm, with a 2ft SW groundswell (14-second period). The combined energy is 194 – weak, but it’s clean. The best of the best, however, is Tuesday 18th afternoon. We’ve got a 4ft SW swell, 17-second period groundswell, and light offshore winds from the east. The combined energy is 671 (moderate), and the conditions are truly clean. This is the pick of the entire outlook. A bit further out, on Saturday 22nd, there’s a big 8ft WSW swell on the menu, but it’s short period (10 seconds) and glassy. That’s only for the experts – it’s powerful but messy, with a combined energy of 1432.

So, for the crew who can wait, Tuesday 18th afternoon is your session. It’s the cleanest, most lined-up swell we’ll see. After that, the end of the window is a bit of a gamble.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NW by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Mon morning, moderate winds from the N by Tue night).

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
2
2
2
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
WSW
13
0.9
SW
20
1
SW
19
3
WSW
10
2.5
WSW
10
1
SW
14
0.9
WSW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.7
SW
18
1
SW
16
2.5
WSW
11
2.5
SW
15
2.5
WSW
16
2.3
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
242
344
248
427
358
305
203
118
569
708
1851
1079
401
342
134
300
508
1384
2962
2874
2400
Wind (km/h)
25
W
15
WNW
10
NNE
10
NNE
10
ENE
15
NE
20
NE
15
NE
10
E
35
WNW
50
WSW
35
W
35
NW
35
NW
30
N
40
W
45
NW
50
WSW
30
SW
35
W
35
WNW
Wind State
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
2:44PM0.00m
Low Tide
8:13PM-0.00m
9:54PM-0.00m
3:39AM-0.00m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
 mm
2
2
2
8
2
2
2
5
7
6
1
1
Temp °C
12
11
14
14
15
12
11
12
12
11
11
12
13
13
13
11
10
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
7
7
10
11
12
8
7
10
10
1
1
4
5
6
6
3
1
2
4
5
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Coast of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory), camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Coast of Victoria, consider staying in Traralgon which is 95 km (59 miles) away.

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