Norman Bay (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s cast an eye over the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a classic story: a slow start, a sweet window of clean waves, then a big, messy blowout that hangs around for a while.

The Overview:
Right now, things are pretty quiet. Monday and Tuesday are small and clean but honestly, not worth paddling out for. The real action kicks off on Wednesday, July 8 with a pumping bump in energy. The swell direction is SW, and the water is sitting at about 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus.

The Best of the Bunch:
The standout moment is definitely Wednesday, July 8. The swell builds nicely, with the morning seeing 3ft of SW groundswell and the afternoon pushing up to 4ft. The real story is the energy: the combined energy jumps from 594 to 790 (moderate energy) – that’s a solid push. The wind is light and offshore (ENE) both sessions, which means it’ll be clean and lined up. These are the best waves on offer. A close second is Friday, July 10 afternoon, where the wind goes glassy, and we’ve got 3ft of SW swell with a combined energy of 344 (weak to moderate). It won’t be as powerful as Wednesday, but that glassy surface will make it silky smooth.

Norman Bay (Wilsons Promontory) is a beginner-friendly spot, so the 3ft-4ft swell on those good days is perfect for learning and cruising. The long-period swell (15-19 seconds) means it’s proper groundswell with plenty of push, so expect longer lulls between sets. It’s fairly exposed to the SW, which is exactly what we’re getting. The crowds can be “sometimes” an issue, but with the best conditions falling mid-week, you should have plenty of room.

The Dirty Details:
After that sweet spot, things go sideways. From Saturday, July 11 onwards, the wind swings onshore and gets nasty. A big westerly swell arrives on Monday, July 13 – we’re talking 10ft and a massive combined energy of 3028 (strong). That’s pure grunt, but it’s blown out by near gale-force winds. This is expert-only, and even then, it’s going to be a mess. The beach break setup will be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfing during that stretch.

The Long-Range Glimmer:
We get a break from the wind late in the run. Friday, July 17 afternoon looks promising with glassy conditions and a 4ft SW swell. The combined energy of 530 (moderate) is solid. Saturday morning is already getting lumpy again, so that Friday afternoon window is the one to circle on the calendar for the second week. It’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed, but it’s a hopeful sign.

The Gaps:
There’s a gap of poor to blown-out conditions from Saturday, July 11 through to the morning of Friday, July 17. That’s a solid week of waves that are either too big, too windy, or both. After that, the surf settles back down to smaller, cleaner options through the weekend, but the wind looks like it’ll start to get messy again by Sunday.

So, in short: hit Wednesday, July 8 and Friday, July 10 hard. Keep an eye on that Friday, July 17 window. The rest... well, it’s a good time to watch the swell from the beach.

Rusty.

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