Norman Bay (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for Norman Bay is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got a long, dry spell of poor surf ahead, with a flicker of something decent right at the very end. You’ll want to be patient, because most of the next two weeks is a write-off.

The first real surf we see is on Saturday morning, July 18. It’s only a 3.3ft swell from the SW, but with a 14-second period, there’s some decent energy behind it (401). Unfortunately, the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not clean. The afternoon picks up a little to 3.6ft, with onshore wind, and it’s just marginal. Nothing to get excited about.

Sunday the 19th is the best of the early days. The swell drops to 2.3ft from the SW, but the wind goes glassy – light and offshore. That’s a major positive. The waves are small and ordinary, but with clean conditions you might scratch out a few fun ones on a log. The combined energy is low (192), so it’s not powerful, but it’s surfable.

Then we hit a long, ugly gap. From Monday July 20 right through to Thursday July 30, it’s just poor surf with messy, choppy conditions. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, often moderate to fresh, and the swell is all over the place – from 1.3ft to 9.8ft, but always with poor quality. A few days have huge energy (like 2025 on July 28), but it’s all wind-affected and lumpy. That 4.9ft to 6.6ft range is too big for beginners anyway, and the conditions are just ugly. Not worth a paddle.

The real standout is Saturday August 1. The early morning has a 8.2ft SW swell with a 10-second period and moderate offshore wind from the ESE. That’s clean, powerful surf, with 1510 energy. The afternoon gets even bigger – 9.8ft from the SW – but fresh offshore winds keep it clean. This is expert-only territory, but for those with the skills, it’s the best on offer in the whole outlook. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Sunday August 2 is a solid follow-up: 5.2ft SW swell, offshore wind, and 852 energy. It’s much more manageable, and the conditions should be clean. Not as big as Saturday, but a good option for the fit intermediate.

So, the takeaway: the first week-and-a-half is a write-off. Sunday the 19th is your only early chance for a clean, small wave. The real prize is the first weekend of August – Saturday the 1st is the standout for experts, and Sunday the 2nd is a good all-rounder. Hang tight, it’ll be worth it.

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