Norman Bay (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. I gotta be honest, this outlook for Norman Bay is a rough one. We’ve got a 16-day window here, but for a solid chunk of it, the surf is gonna be pretty poor thanks to nasty wind. There’s a bleak run from right now all the way through to the 2nd of August – over a week of pretty average conditions before anything really lines up. Let’s break it down.

Right now, on Sunday the 26th, it’s a total write-off. A 5ft westerly swell is trying, but that 25 mph onshore wind from the W is trashing it. Same story into the arvo – 2ft and messy. The combined energy is weak, at 531 in the morning, dropping to 192 later. Water temps are sitting at 57°F, which is pretty normal for the season. Monday the 27th is more of the same: a small 3ft swell with cross-onshore breezes, just chop. Tuesday the 28th the swell jumps to 8ft, but it comes with a 25 mph cross-onshore howler from the NW, making it a total mess – the energy hits 1326, but it’s all wind and garbage.

Wednesday the 29th is raw. Swell pushes 8-8ft from the SW with a very long 17-second period – proper groundswell energy at 3439. Again, it’s blown out by a solid 28 mph cross-onshore wind. That combo of big, powerful groundswell and strong onshores is only gonna be fun for the kite crew, not paddle surfers. That messy trend continues through the 30th and 31st.

Now for the glimmer of hope. Sunday the 2nd of August is the standout. The morning shows a 3ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, but the real winner is the glassy conditions – zero wind, calm as a lake. The water will be silky smooth and clean (combined energy 477). That is definitely the window to paddle out. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, and that clean, glassy finish will make it a rare jewel in this run. The break itself (Norman Bay, Wilsons Promontory) is fairly consistent, and while crowds are sometimes around, the quality that morning should thin them out a bit.

Early August the 6th also looks promising for experienced surfers. Thursday morning brings clean, 6ft SW swell with a 14-second period and light cross-offshore breezes (combined energy 1705). That’s excellent, powerful surf, but at that size it’s going to be a bit much for learners. The afternoon holds a clean 5ft. That’s another solid pick.

The rest of the run after that? By the 7th we’re back into choppy cross-onshore slop, with a bizarre 18-second period swell on the 7th arvo that’s ruined by 12 mph winds. The 8th, 9th, and 10th are all small and messy again under strong breezes. The last few days (9th-10th) show tiny 1-2ft swells with terrible onshore wind, so not worth a look.

Bottom line: hang tight until Sunday the 2nd of August for that glassy morning session – that’s the real highlight. If you’re looking for more power, the morning of Thursday the 6th is your best bet for clean, solid waves for experienced surfers. Everything else in between is pretty grim.

Rusty.

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