Asling's Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Asling’s Beach are a bit of a tough watch. We’ve got a long dry spell to kick things off. From the start of the period, there’s nothing really worth paddling out for until we get to Friday the 11th of September, and even that’s just a glimmer. The wind is messy, the swell is small, and most of the time the conditions are just ordinary. The first proper chance to wet a line doesn’t come until Thursday the 17th of September, and even then it’s not exactly a world-beater.

Let’s break it down. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are a write-off – cross-shore wind, lumpy, weak energy (100 to 154) and the wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions.” Wednesday the 9th is even worse with a fresh breeze and a messy, short-period 4-5 second swell. The energy drops to just 56. Nothing to see here.

Thursday the 10th actually bumps up the combined energy to 317 in the afternoon, but the wind is still cross-shore and the quality is poor. It’s frustrating because there’s some push behind it, but it’s all blown out.

Then we get a quiet spell. Friday the 11th morning is the only real highlight in the first week – glassy conditions with a light southwest wind, 0.9m of SSE swell at 9 seconds. The energy is 127, and it’s the closest we get to “surfable” in the first week. But it’s still a very ordinary session, and it’s only for the early morning. After that, the swell drops away fast. From Saturday the 12th all the way through Wednesday the 16th, the swell sits at 0.7m or less, and the energy is down in the double digits – 29, 26, 19… it’s flat. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 16°, but that’s not going to help you catch a wave.

The standout opportunity comes on Thursday the 17th of September. The morning brings a clean 1.0m SSE swell (9-second period) with a nice cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 20 km/h. The combined energy is 170 – moderate, but it’s the best of the whole run. The wind is clean, the break is fairly consistent, and it’s a sheltered spot, so it should hold shape. The afternoon is similar but with a bit more wind at 30 km/h, still clean. This is your best bet. The crowd there is “sometimes” – so you might have a few mates out, but nothing too crazy.

After that, the energy fades again. Friday the 18th has a clean offshore breeze in the afternoon, but the swell is only 0.5m. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are tiny again. The last chance for anything decent is Tuesday the 22nd of September – clean cross-offshore wind again, with a 1.2m SSE swell at 9 seconds and a combined energy of 222. That’s a solid moderate push, and the offshore wind will make it clean. But it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecast.

In short, if you’re desperate, Thursday the 17th morning is the pick. Glassy, clean, 1.0m from the SSE. It’s not overhead, but it’s the only session that’s worth the drive. The rest of the window is either flat, windy, or both. Hang in there – it’s a quiet stretch, but it usually turns around.

Rusty.

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