North Broulee Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the waves coming up for North Broulee. The first thing I gotta tell you is, don’t get too excited for the next week or so—it’s gonna be a bit of a flat spell with only tiny, messy leftovers. The real action, the stuff you’ll want to clear your calendar for, is waiting for us later on. We’ve got a long window of small, poor surf to get through first, so patience is the name of the game.

We’re looking at a solid stretch of nothing much from now until about the 19th. Most days are showing tiny waves—under 3 ft—with cross-onshore breezes messing up the surface. The water’s sitting at 63°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so not too bad, a touch on the mild side. There’s a weak pulse of energy on Thursday the 10th with a 7 ft south swell, but the wind is cross-on and the period is only 10 seconds, making it a bit of a choppy mess. The combined energy is strong at 1239, but the quality isn't there. It’s a “look but don’t jump in” kind of day.

After that, we drop right off. From Friday the 11th all the way through to the 18th, we’ve got a run of days where the swell is under 4 ft, mostly with short, weak periods and onshore winds. It’s going to be frustrating, with plenty of flat, bumpy water. There are a few moments on the 14th and 19th morning where the wind goes offshore and it cleans up, but the swell is still too small and weak to get you moving. Honestly, the setup is looking more interesting for the kiteboarders than us paddle surfers during this stretch.

Now, let’s talk about the first real standout. It’s a bit of a late call, but Saturday the 19th afternoon is where things start to wake up. We’ve got a 7 ft south-southeast swell arriving, and while it’s not huge, the period jumps up to a solid 11 seconds—that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind swings to a cross-off from the southwest, which should keep the face reasonably clean. The combined energy is a strong 1040. This is still a couple of days out, so don’t bank on it, but it’s a promising sign that the ocean hasn’t forgotten how to work.

The real gem, the one that’s got me a bit excited, is lining up for Thursday the 24th. It’s a long way off, so treat it with caution, but the models are hinting at something special. We’ve got a 7 ft northeast swell with a 7-second period. The period is a bit short, which means it could be a little lumpy, but the wind is forecast to be a moderate offshore from the west. That’s the kind of wind that puts a real shine on the waves. The energy reading is strong at 533, and the comment says to expect good surf conditions. North Broulee likes an east-southeast swell, so this northeasterly is a bit off its ideal angle, but with clean, offshore conditions, it should still offer up some fun, walled-up waves. It’s the best on offer in the whole run, promising but not guaranteed.

So, in short, the next ten days are a write-off for quality surf. Get through the flat spell, keep an eye on the 19th as a pick-me-up, and clear your schedule for the 24th. That’s your window. Be patient, and we’ll get some.

Rusty.

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