Short Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks.

We've got a real mixed bag on the horizon. It starts off with a bit of hope, then fades into a long, flat spell, and then just when you might be about to pack the boards away, there's a monster swell on the final day that's gonna be a whole different story.

The first bit of action is Wednesday morning, July 22nd at Short Point. It's a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, and it'll be exposed to a 4ft NE swell. The wind is glassy, dead calm from the west, so the surface will be like a mirror. The combined wave energy is sitting at a moderate 226, and with a period of 10 seconds, it's a decent little groundswell. Water temp is 60°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. This is your best bet for the near term—clean, rideable, and not too hectic. It's a good one for the learner crew or anyone wanting an easy paddle.

Wednesday afternoon, the swell drops to 3ft from the ENE with a light cross-offshore breeze. It's surfable, but nothing to write home about.

From Thursday the 23rd all the way through to Monday morning, August 3rd, it's a long, drawn-out stretch of small, weak, and often messy surf. We're talking about a solid 11-day lull. The swell dips below 2ft for days on end, the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, and the energy readings are in the weak double-digits. A few mornings like the 28th show a glassy surface with a little pulse from the SE, but it's only 1ft—barely a ripple. Honestly, it's a great time to clean the wax off your boards or go for a paddleboard cruise.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Monday morning, August 3rd, a new SE swell rolls in proper. We're looking at a 3ft swell with a long period of 14 seconds. The wind is glassy again, dead calm, and the combined energy is a solid 434. This is a strong, clean groundswell that will really have some push. The longer period means better shaped waves and longer waits between sets. This is your standout session for the entire forecast period; it's a promise of some proper, clean lines.

Tuesday the 4th goes dead flat again, and Wednesday the 5th is a tiny 0.7ft dribble.

But hold onto your board shorts for Thursday, August 6th. This is a heavy one. A massive SE swell comes in, hitting 12ft in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a staggering 3053, which is a full-on, very strong event. The wind is a strong cross-offshore, which would usually be a dream, but the problem is the size. This is way too big for beginners and is solidly in the "experts only" zone. At this size, Short Point might be a washing machine, and honestly, the setup there looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing unless you're a seasoned charger. This one is for the brave, not the faint of heart.

So, to sum it up: the best swell for the average surfer is that glassy, clean SE groundswell on Monday, August 3rd. The big day on the 6th is for the kamikaze crew.

Rusty.

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