
Surf Forecasts:
Smiths Beach surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,465 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Smiths Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Smiths Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Smiths Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Smiths Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s break it down.
The next 16 days are a real rollercoaster for Smiths Beach. The first week-plus is mostly a bust, but there’s some clean potential right at the end for those who wait.
Starting out, Friday the 3rd and Saturday the 4th are a total write-off. There’s a massive SW groundswell hitting, with huge wave energy (6465), but it’s completely ruined by 50 km/h winds. The water temp is 14°, right where it should be for this time of year. It’s just a dangerous, choppy mess. Don’t bother.
Sunday the 5th teases us. The swell is still big and long-period (17 seconds) with a lot of energy (4144), but the wind is cross-shore again. It’s lumpy and marginal. Not worth the drive.
Finally, Monday the 6th shows some clean conditions, but the swell has dropped to a tiny 1.0m. By the afternoon it’s glassy. Good for a foamy if you just need to get wet.
Tuesday the 7th is the same – clean but small, with a 1.0m swell and cross-offshore wind. It’s clean, but barely breaking.
We then hit another ugly patch. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th bring a bigger pulse of swell with onshore wind, chopping it all up. The energy is back (1711 on the 8th), but the quality is poor.
Looking ahead, our stand-out window arrives on Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th. On Friday morning, we get a gentle offshore breeze (15 km/h from the NNE) and a clean 1.3m SW groundswell (15 seconds). The energy is moderate (784), but the surf is very clean and the sets are well-spaced. Smiths Beach (beginner) is the spot – the wind is offshore, the waves are a perfect size for a fun session, and even though this spot is inconsistent, when it’s like this, it’s just glassy and uncrowded.
Saturday the 11th morning is also a ripper. A moderate offshore breeze (20 km/h from the N) and a clean 1.2m SW swell (14 seconds). Moderate energy (738), but high quality. This is your other top call.
A final shout for the experienced crew: Thursday the 16th morning. We have a 1.6m SW swell with offshore wind and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (1937) and it’s rated as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a bigger, more powerful groundswell. The period is 14 seconds, so it should hold its shape well on the beach. Best wave size with clean conditions, but it’s 16 days out, so take it with a grain of salt.
The end of the outlook on the 17th and 18th goes back to small, clean stuff. Friday the 17th afternoon looks stunning – glassy, 0.8m, clean lines. Perfect for a sunset slide.
So, your best bets: Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th for the best mix of clean wind and fun-sized swell. For the big-wave crew, Thursday the 16th morning is your call.
Stay patient, and watch the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
6465 | 6158 | 2824 | 1776 | 1521 | 2010 | 2746 | 2296 | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 228 | 493 | 492 | 479 | 1099 | 1729 | 1109 | 927 | 685 | 897 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:28PM2.26m | 2:09AM1.90m | 3:03PM2.30m | 2:54AM1.93m | 3:36PM2.32m | 3:37AM1.96m | 4:08PM2.32m | 4:21AM2.00m | 4:39PM2.30m | 5:06AM2.04m | 5:11PM2.27m | 5:54AM2.09m | 5:47PM2.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:36PM0.88m | 8:24AM0.41m | 9:15PM0.79m | 9:02AM0.44m | 9:51PM0.70m | 9:40AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.61m | 10:19AM0.56m | 11:01PM0.51m | 11:00AM0.64m | 11:38PM0.41m | 11:45AM0.74m | 00:19AM0.31m | ||||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | 2010 | 2746 | 2296 | 1101 | 543 | 407 | 228 | 493 | 492 | 479 | 1099 | 1729 | 1109 | 927 | 685 | 897 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | — | SW 22 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | SW 5 | — | SW 20 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 1375 | 357 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 59 | 29 | — | 120 | 341 | 237 | 13 | — | 61 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | — | — | SSW 22 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | SW 19 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 45 | 271 | — | — | — | 179 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SE 5 | SE 4 | E 3 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | W 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | — |
6465 | 6158 | 2824 | 1776 | 1521 | 1783 | 23 | 36 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 17 | 33 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 310 | 83 | 83 | 83 | 94 | 11 | 10 | 102 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Smiths Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Smiths Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Smiths Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Smiths Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Smiths Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Smiths Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Smiths Beach is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










