Smiths Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.51° S 145.25° E

Issued: 3 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Smiths Beach sea temperature is
14.1° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Smiths Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Smiths Beach surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,465 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Smiths Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Smiths Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Smiths Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 6th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 10th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 3rd Jul)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Smiths Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, let’s break it down.

The next 16 days are a real rollercoaster for Smiths Beach. The first week-plus is mostly a bust, but there’s some clean potential right at the end for those who wait.

Starting out, Friday the 3rd and Saturday the 4th are a total write-off. There’s a massive SW groundswell hitting, with huge wave energy (6465), but it’s completely ruined by 50 km/h winds. The water temp is 14°, right where it should be for this time of year. It’s just a dangerous, choppy mess. Don’t bother.

Sunday the 5th teases us. The swell is still big and long-period (17 seconds) with a lot of energy (4144), but the wind is cross-shore again. It’s lumpy and marginal. Not worth the drive.

Finally, Monday the 6th shows some clean conditions, but the swell has dropped to a tiny 1.0m. By the afternoon it’s glassy. Good for a foamy if you just need to get wet.

Tuesday the 7th is the same – clean but small, with a 1.0m swell and cross-offshore wind. It’s clean, but barely breaking.

We then hit another ugly patch. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th bring a bigger pulse of swell with onshore wind, chopping it all up. The energy is back (1711 on the 8th), but the quality is poor.

Looking ahead, our stand-out window arrives on Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th. On Friday morning, we get a gentle offshore breeze (15 km/h from the NNE) and a clean 1.3m SW groundswell (15 seconds). The energy is moderate (784), but the surf is very clean and the sets are well-spaced. Smiths Beach (beginner) is the spot – the wind is offshore, the waves are a perfect size for a fun session, and even though this spot is inconsistent, when it’s like this, it’s just glassy and uncrowded.

Saturday the 11th morning is also a ripper. A moderate offshore breeze (20 km/h from the N) and a clean 1.2m SW swell (14 seconds). Moderate energy (738), but high quality. This is your other top call.

A final shout for the experienced crew: Thursday the 16th morning. We have a 1.6m SW swell with offshore wind and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (1937) and it’s rated as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a bigger, more powerful groundswell. The period is 14 seconds, so it should hold its shape well on the beach. Best wave size with clean conditions, but it’s 16 days out, so take it with a grain of salt.

The end of the outlook on the 17th and 18th goes back to small, clean stuff. Friday the 17th afternoon looks stunning – glassy, 0.8m, clean lines. Perfect for a sunset slide.

So, your best bets: Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th for the best mix of clean wind and fun-sized swell. For the big-wave crew, Thursday the 16th morning is your call.

Stay patient, and watch the wind.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Tue night).

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.2
SW
15
2.2
SW
17
2
SSW
17
1.5
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
17
1
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.3
SW
19
1.7
SW
18
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6465
6158
2824
1776
1521
2010
2746
2296
1101
543
407
228
493
492
479
1099
1729
1109
927
685
897
Wind (km/h)
50
W
50
WSW
35
W
30
WSW
30
SW
25
S
20
ESE
30
ESE
25
ENE
10
NNE
5
ESE
15
N
20
NNW
15
NW
30
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
15
S
10
SSE
10
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
2:28PM2.26m
2:09AM1.90m
3:03PM2.30m
2:54AM1.93m
3:36PM2.32m
3:37AM1.96m
4:08PM2.32m
4:21AM2.00m
4:39PM2.30m
5:06AM2.04m
5:11PM2.27m
5:54AM2.09m
5:47PM2.24m
Low Tide
8:36PM0.88m
8:24AM0.41m
9:15PM0.79m
9:02AM0.44m
9:51PM0.70m
9:40AM0.49m
10:26PM0.61m
10:19AM0.56m
11:01PM0.51m
11:00AM0.64m
11:38PM0.41m
11:45AM0.74m
00:19AM0.31m
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
5:10
5:12
 mm
3
1
3
Temp °C
13
12
12
12
12
11
10
10
9
11
12
11
10
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
Feels °C
3
2
4
5
5
4
5
3
5
9
10
8
6
8
8
6
5
5
7
7
6
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
15
2.2
SW
17
2
SSW
17
1.5
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
17
1
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.3
SW
19
1.7
SW
18
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
Energy kJ
2010
2746
2296
1101
543
407
228
493
492
479
1099
1729
1109
927
685
897
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.4
SSE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.1
SE
5
0.3
SW
19
0.2
SSW
17
0.4
SW
22
0.9
SW
14
0.6
SSW
17
0.5
SW
5
0.3
SW
20
Energy kJ
1375
357
9
4
1
59
29
120
341
237
13
61
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
4
0.2
SSW
22
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
19
Energy kJ
3
45
271
179
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
1.8
SSW
16
0.6
SE
5
1
SE
4
0.5
E
3
0.4
NE
3
0.6
NNW
3
0.6
W
5
0.8
WSW
5
Energy kJ
6465
6158
2824
1776
1521
1783
23
36
6
3
7
17
33
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
6
5
4
4
5
3
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
4
4
4
3
3
Distance (km)
310
83
83
83
94
11
10
102
57
0
0
0
1
1
83
11
11
11
11
9
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
3
2
2
2
2
4
4
4
4
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
5
5
4
5
9
7
4
4
9
8
6
8
5
4
6
5
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
5
6
5
9
7
5
8
9
8
6
8
9
6
9
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Smiths Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Smiths Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Smiths Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Smiths Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Smiths Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Smiths Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Smiths Beach is 38 km (24 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Phillip Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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