Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with 5,989 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s get into it. This is your local surf outlook for Peak Rock (reef break). The forecast runs from now, starting Thursday, July 9th, through to the end of the month.
The first few days are looking decent, but don’t get too excited too early. There’s a solid run of quality surf kicking off on Thursday morning, with a clean 2ft SW swell (16-second period) and light cross-off winds from the NNE. The water is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is strong at 1135, so there’s plenty of push. Thursday afternoon stays glassy, with the swell dropping a touch to 1ft. Friday is also a good call – morning has 2ft SW swell with clean conditions, and Friday afternoon sees 2ft SW with offshore winds, giving you clean, lined-up waves. These are the best of the first week, no doubt.
Saturday morning, the wind cranks up to 25 mph from the north, making it a strong offshore but hard to paddle into. The swell drops to 1ft, and the energy weakens to 476. It’s a write-off for paddle surfing. Sunday is a no-go too – big 3ft to 4ft SW swell (energy up to 5989) but with near gale-force winds, it’s messy and dangerous, only for the kamikaze crew. Monday through Wednesday stays big, with 3ft to 4ft SW swell, but the wind is either strong offshore (hard to paddle) or onshore, so it’s marginal at best. Wednesday is a total loss with onshore winds.
The real standout of the entire outlook comes on Friday, July 17th. That morning, you’ve got 2ft SW swell with a 16-second period, light cross-off winds, and the energy is 1703. Clean, powerful, and a proper reef setup – this is the one to circle. The afternoon is even better with glassy conditions and 2ft SW swell. Saturday, July 18th, is also excellent – 2ft SW swell, offshore winds, and clean waves. Both days are for experienced surfers, as the size is solid.
After that, things taper off. Sunday, July 19th, has smaller 1ft SW swell but clean, moderate offshore winds, so it’s still a fun session. Monday and Tuesday, July 20th and 21st, stay around 2ft, but the wind shifts cross-off, and the quality drops off a bit – still rideable, but not the same punch. From Wednesday, July 22nd, onwards, it’s a write-off as strong onshore winds and smaller, messy swell take over, with energy dropping below 400. The last few days, July 24th, are small and clean but barely breaking, with 0.9ft to 0.8ft swell.
The best bets: Thursday/Friday this week (9th and 10th) for clean, fun waves, and then Friday, July 17th, and Saturday, July 18th, for the true standout – big, clean, and powerful. The second week is a lot quieter, so don’t hold your breath after the 21st.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the N by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Sun morning, moderate winds from the SSE by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1062 | 993 | 701 | 476 | 390 | 504 | 3088 | 5989 | 3045 | 3595 | 2873 | 5227 | 5324 | 5218 | 4569 | 3586 | 2614 | 1363 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | — | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1062 | 993 | 701 | 476 | 390 | 504 | 3088 | — | 3045 | 3595 | 2873 | 5227 | 5324 | 5218 | 4569 | 3586 | 2614 | 1363 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 19 | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — |
| kJ | 82 | 186 | 134 | 38 | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 151 | 358 | — | 318 | — | 217 | 125 | 120 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 6 | NW 5 | WSW 13 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SE 6 | SE 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 18 | 52 | 241 | 106 | 5989 | 22 | 54 | 83 | 3352 | — | 3624 | 2925 | — | 58 | 49 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 66 | 272 | 455 | 497 | 497 | 93 | 265 | 668 | 60 | 60 | 59 | 323 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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