
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 3,555 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s get this straight. The first few days are a write-off thanks to a big, messy, onshore-churned swell. But after that, we’ve got a solid run of clean, long-period groundswell that’ll have Peak Rock firing. Let’s break it down, day by day.
Right now, Sunday the 5th is a total no-go. We’ve got a 10-foot SW swell with a 17-second period, and a strong ESE wind is tearing it apart. The combined energy is massive (6604), but it’s all for nothing—cross-onshore wind and choppy, lumpy conditions. Not worth paddling out for.
Monday the 6th is where things turn around. The swell drops to a clean 5 feet, still from the SW with a 14-second period, but the wind swings to a light NE cross-offshore in the morning. That’s going to be smooth, clean surf. The afternoon gets even better with a glassy 4-foot swell. The energy is moderate (1020 and 730), but the quality will be there.
Tuesday the 7th keeps it going. Morning has a 3-foot SW groundswell, 17-second period, with a light NE cross-offshore wind. It’s clean and glassy. The afternoon picks up a bit to 5 feet, but the wind shifts to a light S cross-on, so it’ll get a little bumpy. Still, the morning is a standout.
Wednesday the 8th is a serious call. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon… that’s the one. A 7-foot SW swell, 18-second period, with glassy conditions. The energy is strong (2951). This is a big, clean, powerful groundswell. It’s a bit big for beginners, but for experienced surfers, this is the best of the whole forecast. The long period means it’ll hold up well at this reef break.
Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are both excellent. Clean, light offshore winds, 4 to 5-foot SW swell, and good energy. Friday morning is especially good, with a 5-foot 16-second groundswell and clean conditions. The energy is solid (1398).
Saturday the 11th is still surfable, but the wind picks up a bit. Morning is 4 feet with a moderate N cross-offshore wind, still clean, but the energy is dropping (672). It’s more of a fun session than a standout.
Sunday the 12th is a drop-off. The swell fades to 3 feet, and the wind is strong from the north. The energy is weak (240). Not worth it.
Monday the 13th brings a new pulse. A 3-foot SW swell, 18-second period, with a moderate NNE cross-offshore wind. The energy is moderate (1011). Clean, but the size is small. The afternoon gets a 6-foot WSWe swell, but it’s marginal.
From Tuesday the 14th through to Thursday the 16th, it’s a mess. Onshore winds, heavy rain, and choppy conditions. The swell is there, but the quality is poor. Thursday the 16th afternoon has an 8-foot SW swell, but with a 35 km/h SW cross-on wind and a fresh, lumpy sea state. It’s a kite surfing day, not a paddle surfing day.
Friday the 17th is a bit cleaner, but the swell is small and the wind is strong. Not great.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th start to show some promise. Saturday has a 3-foot SW swell, but the wind is light and variable. The energy is moderate (722). Sunday the 19th has a bigger 8-foot SW swell, but the wind is onshore, so it’s marginal.
Monday the 20th is a big swell event. 10-foot SW swell, 15-second period, with a light ENE cross-shore wind. The energy is very strong (4805). The size is big, and the wind is okay, but the cross-shore angle will keep it lumpy. This is an expert-only day.
So, the standout? It’s got to be Wednesday afternoon, July 8th at Peak Rock. A glassy, 7-foot SW groundswell with an 18-second period. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The water temp is about 58°, which is pretty normal for the time of year.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4745 | 3555 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1096 | 1062 | 1483 | 2714 | 1571 | 1028 | 757 | 1327 | 1317 | 1060 | 805 | 672 | 525 | 398 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:30PM2.04m | 3:28AM1.69m | 3:59PM2.03m | 4:10AM1.72m | 4:28PM2.00m | 4:53AM1.77m | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:46PM0.65m | 9:30AM0.45m | 10:18PM0.57m | 10:07AM0.52m | 10:50PM0.49m | 10:46AM0.60m | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | ||||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
4745 | 3555 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1096 | 1062 | 1483 | 2714 | 1571 | 1028 | 757 | 1327 | 1317 | 1060 | 805 | 672 | 525 | 398 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SE 5 | SSW 15 | S 16 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
1859 | 1099 | 491 | 14 | 4 | 57 | 282 | 50 | 48 | 676 | 237 | 146 | 3 | 43 | 43 | 81 | — | 44 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | ESE 12 | SSW 19 | — | SE 12 | SSW 16 | ESE 4 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 14 | 201 | — | 6 | 97 | 2 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 |
— | 38 | 59 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 121 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










