
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 6,645 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Peak Rock. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag, with cleaner windows early on and then some real power later, but with some serious wind issues to work around.
The immediate outlook is actually pretty decent. Starting Sunday morning, the 19th of July, we’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell rolling in with a 13-second period. The wind is a light cross-off, making for good surf conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 419, but the quality is there. The water temp is about average for the time of year at 57°F. The afternoon cleans up even more with a light offshore breeze and a 3ft SW swell, keeping things tidy. This is your best early window – clean, manageable, and the crowds are only sometimes an issue.
Monday the 20th sees a bit of a bump in energy. The morning is a bit marginal with a 16 mph offshore wind, but the swell is holding at 3ft SW with a very long period of 16 seconds. The afternoon is the real standout for the first week though. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph offshore, with a 3ft SW swell and a 15-second period. The energy is at 728, and the conditions are described as very good. This is a top pick for the week.
Tuesday the 21st keeps the fun going. The morning has a 5ft WSW swell at 14 seconds with a 12 mph offshore wind – very good conditions. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 5ft SW but still very good. The energy is strong here, hitting 931 in the morning.
Now, things get tricky. From Wednesday the 22nd onward, the wind starts to howl. The swell is building but the wind is becoming a problem. Wednesday morning has a strong 19 mph offshore, but it’s a fresh breeze, making it clean but hard work. The afternoon sees a bigger 7ft WSW swell, but the wind swings to a strong cross-off at 22 mph. The energy is up to 1182, but the quality is marginal.
Thursday the 23rd is a big day for swell but a poor day for surfing. We’re looking at an 12ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the energy is very strong at 4595. However, the wind is a strong 25 mph cross-off in the morning, turning into a 31 mph near gale cross-shore in the afternoon. This is pure chaos. This setup is much more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Friday the 24th is more of the same: massive 13ft SW swell at 13 seconds, but with 28 mph cross-off winds. The energy is extreme at 9422, but it’s a complete no-go for paddling. The conditions are poor.
The next week, from the 25th of July onward, is a washout for clean, quality surf. The swell stays big through the 26th and 27th, but the wind remains strong, shifting between cross and cross-off. The waves are there, but the wind messes it all up. You’ll see the energy reading stay high, but the comments are all about poor or marginal conditions due to the wind.
We finally get a bit of a lull towards the end of the month. The 28th of July has a manageable 4ft SSW swell with a long 14-second period, and a moderate cross-off wind. The energy is still high at 970, but it’s clean. The 29th and 30th have some hope with offshore winds, but the wind speeds are too strong, making it hard to paddle into.
Looking into the first days of August, the swell drops right off. The 1st of August has tiny 2ft swell with a very long 20-second period, but the wind is a brutal 28 mph. The 3rd of August shows a bit more promise with a 4ft SW swell at 20 seconds and a fresh offshore wind, but the wind is still strong at 19 mph. Everything is too windy to get excited about.
So, to wrap it up: your best bet for clean, fun waves is Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 21st of July. The Monday afternoon session is the standout. After that, it’s either too big and windy or just too windy. The second week is a write-off for quality surfing.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly near gales. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
364 | 236 | 197 | 502 | 435 | 367 | 895 | 711 | 464 | 421 | 1182 | 1642 | 4595 | 3788 | 4357 | 3916 | 5584 | 4488 | 2419 | 2640 | 1945 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | 7:43AM1.70m | 6:53PM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | 1:17PM1.01m | 1:45AM0.46m | ||||||||
7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | E 10 | SW 11 | — | SSW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 |
364 | 236 | 167 | 502 | 435 | 367 | 895 | 711 | 464 | 421 | 2 | 1642 | — | 63 | 4357 | 3916 | 5584 | 3853 | 2419 | — | 1945 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 10 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | SE 10 | N 5 | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | 60 | 197 | 2 | 279 | 32 | 36 | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 280 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
39 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 14 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | NW 4 | SW 12 | — |
— | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 1182 | 1172 | 4595 | 3788 | 7 | 58 | 3838 | 4488 | 24 | 2640 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 59 | 63 | 59 | 63 | 458 | 60 | 475 | 458 | 93 | 323 | 75 | 59 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










