
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,782 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
We’re kickin’ things off on Monday morning, the 27th of July, with a clean little session on the cards. Peak Rock is a reef break, fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s fairly consistent. The water temp’s sittin’ at 56°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no shocks there. The swell’s comin’ from the SW at 4 ft, with a period of 11 seconds – that’s a solid groundswell with a bit of push. The wind’s a moderate offshore from the NNW, and the combined energy of all swells directed here is 528, which is moderate to strong. Expect moderate offshore and clean conditions. It’s a decent start, but not the standout.
Now, Monday afternoon brings a bit more size, up to 5 ft from the SW, still a 11-second period, and still offshore from the N at 25 km/h. The combined energy climbs to 544. The catch? The forecast flags it as marginal due to tide, so it might be a bit average. Tuesday morning, 28th July, gets a bit of a bump with 5 ft SW swell, period stretchin’ to 13 seconds, and a strong offshore breeze from the NNW at 45 km/h. Combined energy hits 837. But that wind is so strong it’s gonna be hard to paddle into, even though it’s clean. It’s a bit of a fight.
The real action starts to get messy from Wednesday, 29th July. We’ve got a massive 15 ft SW swell, with a period of 16 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. Combined energy skyrockets to 9344, which is very strong. But the wind’s a near gale cross-shore from the SW at 55 km/h, with rain. It’s a no-go zone. That size is for experts only, and even then, the conditions are junk. Thursday continues the trend with a 7 ft cross-shore wind, still messy. The swell’s still big, but the wind’s killing it.
We finally get a bit of a reprieve on Friday morning, 31st July. The swell drops to 5 ft from the SW, period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is 592. The wind shifts to a light W at 10 km/h, cross-offshore, and it’s clean. That’s a good session. But the real gem is Saturday, 1st August. The morning has a 4 ft SW swell, but the afternoon is where it’s at: 5 ft from the SW, period of 16 seconds, and the wind goes glassy from the E at 5 km/h. The combined energy is 1343. This is the standout. It’s excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers, glassy, clean, and a long period groundswell that will really line up on this reef. This is the one to circle.
Sunday, 2nd August, brings a bit more size with 6 ft, strong offshore winds from the N, but it’s marginal for tide, so it’s not as perfect. The patterns continue through the week with some clean, some cross-shore. The next big highlight is Sunday, 9th August. The afternoon session has a 5 ft SW swell, but the period is a massive 18 seconds, and the combined energy is 2143. The wind is a gentle offshore from the N, and it’s clean. That’s excellent surf for experienced surfers, with a very long period groundswell that will push through with serious power.
Monday, 10th August, has a 5 ft SW swell, period of 15 seconds, with a gentle cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. The combined energy is 1199. That’s a very good option. Then the final few days on the 11th and 12th get messy again with cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions.
So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Saturday afternoon, 1st August. That glassy, long period SW swell at Peak Rock is the pick of the bunch. The other spot to keep an eye on is Sunday afternoon, 9th August, for that long period groundswell, but it’s a bit further out. The first week has a lot of wind and size, so be patient. The gap between the good surf on Monday 27th and the next real standout on 1st August is a few days of junk, but it’s worth waitin’ for. Crowds are possible at Peak Rock, especially on the good days. It’s a reef, so the long period swells will handle it well.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon morning, near gales from the SW by Wed morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
422 | 544 | 809 | 784 | 1460 | 2265 | 9344 | 7991 | 3446 | 1619 | 1210 | 799 | 565 | 478 | 423 | 344 | 1004 | 2977 | 1882 | 1492 | 2205 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:32PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | 11:57AM1.74m | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:23PM1.16m | 3:38AM0.53m | 4:44PM1.15m | 4:41AM0.52m | 5:56PM1.09m | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | ||||||||
7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
422 | 544 | 809 | 784 | 1460 | 2265 | — | — | 42 | 1619 | 1210 | 799 | 565 | 478 | 423 | 344 | 1004 | 2977 | 1882 | 1492 | 2205 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | S 9 | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 21 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
106 | — | — | 53 | 572 | — | — | — | — | 194 | — | 22 | 18 | 61 | 133 | 304 | 222 | 184 | 155 | 89 | 79 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 18 | SW 21 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 117 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 6 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 |
2 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 40 | 41 | 9344 | 7991 | 3446 | 101 | 732 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 13 | 19 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 22 | 75 | 272 | 497 | 475 | 493 | 766 | 63 | 59 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 19 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










