
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,306 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking for our local stretch. We’ve got a 16-day window that’s gotta be picked through carefully, because there’s some real magic in there, but also some days that are best spent on the beach.
The first few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are suffering from less-than-ideal wind directions, so the swell is there but it’s messy. It’s not until the end of the week that we see the light. The real standout window is from Friday the 17th to Saturday the 18th. That’s your best bet.
Peak Rock is the only game in town, and it’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent and handles a south-west swell beautifully. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing to stress about in the wetsuit department.
Friday morning, July 17th, we’ve got a clean 7 ft swell from the SW with a long 16-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the NNW, which is a beautiful thing. It’s going to be clean and powerful. The afternoon is even better, with a glassy 7 ft pulse and the wind going nearly dead. That’s the best on offer. The combined energy is up around 2500 – that’s strong, punchy energy. But don’t be fooled, this is a long period swell, so it’ll be a bit more walled up at a beach break, but on a reef like Peak Rock, it’s going to be tubing. This is for experienced surfers only at this size.
Saturday the 18th is still a top pick. The morning sees a clean 6 ft swell with light offshore winds. Then the afternoon is absolutely glassy, with a 5 ft swell and the wind completely gone. It’s a bit smaller, but the combined energy is moderate (880) and the conditions will be epic. The crowds can be a thing here sometimes, but it’s worth it for waves like that.
Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th drop off significantly in size and energy, but the wind stays good. These are small-wave days for the longboard.
Then we hit a bit of a dead zone. From Tuesday the 22nd through to Friday the 24th, the wind howls offshore but it’s strong, and the swell is all over the place. The 23rd and 24th see a big jump in swell size – up to 10 ft on the 24th – but the wind is cross-off, not true offshore. That’s going to put a bit of a bump on the face. The energy is massive (over 4000), but it’s a raw, chunky affair. The 24th afternoon is cleanish and big, but it’s still a cross-off breeze. For the brave and experienced only.
The last weekend of the month is a bit of a mess with onshore winds, so don’t get your hopes up for the 26th and 27th.
The final pocket of hope comes on Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th. The 29th morning has a clean 4 ft swell with offshore wind, which is a nice little session. The 30th morning is similar, clean, and a bit smaller. These are good for the soul.
So, to wrap it up: Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are your standouts. Get on it. The rest is a mix of small clean days and big, wind-affected swell. Don’t be a hero on the 10 ft days unless you’re really keen.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4251 | 2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2278 | 2372 | 1784 | 2009 | 2297 | 1825 | 1170 | 880 | 535 | 341 | 236 | 194 | 502 | 387 | 482 | 701 | 623 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | ||||||||
— | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | |
— | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
4251 | 2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2278 | 2372 | 1784 | 2009 | 2297 | 1825 | 1170 | 880 | 535 | 341 | 236 | 142 | 502 | 387 | 482 | 701 | 623 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | WSW 15 | S 15 | — | — |
131 | 43 | — | 128 | — | — | — | 240 | 203 | 73 | 39 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 194 | 25 | 249 | 17 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 11 | — | S 10 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 39 | 75 | 22 | — | 8 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











