
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,278 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 23s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening at Peak Rock over the next couple of weeks.
First up, the water temp is sitting around 56°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no nasty surprises when you get wet.
The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Wednesday afternoon sees a messy 13ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but that’s getting hammered by a 22 mph crosswind, making it lumpy and poor. The combined energy is a massive 7534, but it’s just not rideable. You’d be mad to paddle out in that.
By Thursday, the swell drops to 7ft, but it’s still cross-shore. The wind is lighter, but the surf is still marginal. That carries on into Friday morning, but here’s the first real glimmer: Friday morning we get a 5ft SW swell with a 12-second period, and the wind turns offshore from the NW at 6 mph. It’s clean. Then Friday afternoon goes glassy, with a 4ft SW swell. This is your first real window for a session, but the swell is small.
Saturday 1st August is the first standout. The morning has a clean 4ft SW swell with a cross-offshore breeze. It’s not huge, but it’s fun. The real highlight is Saturday afternoon: a 6ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, light offshore wind from the NNW, and the combined energy jumps to 2003. The break is a reef, so that long-period groundswell will line up nicely. It’s for experienced surfers though, and crowds are possible here.
Sunday 2nd August still has a solid 6ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is pumping 19 mph offshore. It’s clean, but that fresh breeze will make paddling a battle. The surf is still good, but you’ll earn your waves.
The middle of the week gets a bit messy again with stronger winds, but by Thursday 6th August, we’re back in the groove. The morning has a 4ft SW swell offshore, and the afternoon jumps to 5ft with a 15-second period and light offshore wind. Very clean.
Friday 7th August is another top day. Both morning and afternoon have a 6ft SW swell with a 16-second period, moderate offshore wind, and a combined energy around 1680. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The reef will handle that long period beautifully.
Then we hit a bit of a lull from Saturday 8th through to Monday 10th. The swell is still around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is strong offshore, making it clean but hard work. The energy drops off.
Now, if you’re looking at the long-range, keep your eyes on Tuesday 11th August. This is the big one. Tuesday morning pumps out a 12ft WSW swell with a 17-second period, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 8051. That’s exceptional. The afternoon gets even bigger, with a 15ft SW swell, 16-second period, and 9171 energy. This is for experts only. The reef at Peak Rock will be firing, but that size is serious. The wind is light, so it’ll be clean, but it’s a beast.
Wednesday 12th August is still huge, with 13ft in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, both with offshore winds. It’s still for experienced surfers, but the crowds might be on it.
After that, the swell settles back to around 7ft through Thursday 13th, with clean conditions but nothing that stands out like the Tuesday session.
So, the best on offer is definitely Saturday 1st August afternoon for a solid, clean session, and then Tuesday 11th August for the big, expert-level groundswell. The long gap after the first few days is worth the wait.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
7396 | 3278 | 1619 | 1210 | 786 | 565 | 442 | 427 | 367 | 1837 | 2413 | 1728 | 1281 | 844 | 988 | 857 | 3148 | 1347 | 821 | 377 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:56PM1.09m | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | |||||||
— | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 |
138 | 3278 | 1619 | 1210 | 786 | 565 | 442 | 427 | 367 | 1837 | 2413 | 1728 | 1281 | 844 | 988 | 857 | 2452 | 1347 | 821 | 377 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | S 20 | — | S 16 | S 16 | SW 21 |
— | — | — | — | 22 | 45 | 61 | 131 | 366 | 166 | 313 | 147 | 133 | — | — | 7 | — | 20 | 5 | 351 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | S 9 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 13 | — | — | — |
7396 | 2171 | 165 | 732 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 3148 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 297 | 59 | 59 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 265 | 93 | 60 | 60 | 59 | 5 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










