
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 3,684 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right. Let's have a look at what's happening at Peak Rock. It's a reef break, so it needs a decent groundswell to get going, and it's about to get a heap of it. The water is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual.
The first real action kicks off Friday morning, July 17th. We've got a solid 7ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a 16-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, and combined energy is a hefty 2281. That's strong enough to get the blood pumping. The wind is a gentle offshore from the north, which is going to keep the surface clean. This is for experienced surfers only at that size, but it's the standout of the first few days. Friday afternoon goes glassy with a light WNW breeze, which is just magic.
Saturday the 18th sees the swell easing to 6ft, still a good 14-second period, with a clean NW offshore in the morning. Saturday afternoon drops to 5ft, and the wind goes glassy again from the SW. The wave energy is down to 880, but the quality is still there. Sunday the 19th is smaller again, around 3ft, but the wind stays offshore or clean, making for some fun, smaller waves.
Monday the 20th has a moderate offshore breeze at 15 mph, but the swell is a bit mixed. A 4ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period gives you 631 energy. The offshore wind is strong, so it'll be clean, but the period is so long that it might be a bit straight at Peak Rock, which is a reef. Not the best, but still rideable.
Tuesday the 21st is a nice little pick-up. The afternoon sees 5ft of SW swell with a 13-second period and a light offshore breeze, giving you 721 energy. That's a solid, clean option for the intermediate crew.
Then we get a bit of a messy spell. Wednesday the 22nd is still clean with offshore winds, but the swell is down to 4-4ft. The real trouble starts Thursday the 23rd. The swell jumps to 10ft, but the wind goes cross-off and then straight cross-shore, making it a write-off. Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are similar – big lumpy, cross-shore junk. Not worth a paddle.
The real treat is the following week. Sunday the 26th of July sees the swell back to a clean 6ft with a 12-second period, light winds, and energy around 977. That's a very good day. But the absolute standout of the whole 16-day window is Monday the 27th of July. We're looking at a massive 10ft SSW groundswell, with a 17-second period. The combined energy is 4951, which is huge. The wind is a moderate offshore from the NNW, which will groom it. This is big, powerful, and clean. It's for experts only, but it's the best wave of the forecast. The afternoon ramps up to 12ft, but the wind goes cross-off, making it more of a challenge.
Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are messy with rain and cross-shore winds, but Wednesday afternoon shows a nice clean-up with 8ft, light winds, and 1364 energy. Thursday the 30th has another 10ft pulse, but with a strong offshore wind, it's more of a challenge.
The very end of the window, July 31st and August 1st, goes completely nuts. Swells of 15ft to 16ft, but with strong cross-onshore winds. That's not surfable; that's a kitesurfing setup if anything. Don't bother.
So, the best on offer is Friday the 17th for a solid, clean swell, and the absolute standout is Monday the 27th of July. That's the one to circle. The long-range stuff looks promising, but as always, things can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 311 | 278 | 197 | 587 | 226 | 367 | 437 | 721 | 563 | 373 | 400 | 1338 | 1806 | 2511 | 3684 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 14 | — | SW 16 |
2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 311 | 278 | 167 | 587 | 226 | 367 | 437 | 721 | 563 | 373 | 400 | 12 | 564 | — | 3182 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 9 | S 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — |
246 | 140 | 80 | — | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | 19 | 119 | 80 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 9 | 39 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1338 | 1806 | 2511 | 3684 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 63 | 75 | 63 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










