
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 2,815 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Peak Rock.
We’ve got a decent run of surf kicking off this Saturday morning, July 18th, and it looks like the first few days are the real standouts. The swell is coming in from the SW with a solid 6 ft to 5 ft, and the period is a nice, long 13-14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light and offshore or glassy through Saturday and into Sunday, so it’s gonna be clean. The combined energy is pumping, sitting at 1154, which is a nice moderate-to-strong push. This is the best on offer; you want to be out there Saturday morning or afternoon.
Sunday, July 19th, eases off a bit – waves drop to 4 ft and 3 ft. Still clean with light offshore winds, but the power is lower. A good day for a longer board or a mellow session.
Monday, July 20th, is a bit of a curveball. The swell is back up to 4 ft, but the period jumps to 16 seconds – that’s very long-period groundswell. At a reef break like Peak Rock, this can lead to waves that stand up nicely with good shape, but the long gaps between sets mean you’ll be waiting. The wind holds offshore all day, so it’ll be clean. Modest energy (613) means it’s not a full-on assault, but the quality of the sets could be worth the wait.
Tuesday, July 21st, is another nice one. Swell drops to 4 ft to 5 ft, period 13-14 seconds, still offshore from the NNW. Energy is moderate at 711, and the wave comment says “very good.” This is a solid, clean intermediate day.
Now, things get a bit trickier. Wednesday, July 22nd, starts with a 19 mph offshore wind, making for a clean but bumpy session (4 ft, 12 seconds). The afternoon turns ugly with a cross-shore wind and rain, so morning is the only window, and it’s marginal.
Thursday, July 23rd, is a write-off. The swell pops to 8 ft, but the wind is onshore and cross-onshore, creating choppy, poor conditions. Unless you’re a glutton for punishment, give it a miss.
Friday, July 24th, through to Monday, July 27th, we get a big pulse of SW swell, hitting 8 ft to 10 ft. This is expert territory – over 8 ft at a reef can be a handful. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean, but the energy is massive (over 3000 in places). These are days for experienced surfers only. The period is 12-15 seconds, so it’s powerful, but the long period might make it a bit walled-off at the beach. For the reef here, it could be a freight train. Hard work paddling into those big, clean sets.
Tuesday, July 28th, the swell peaks at 10 ft with a 16-second period. Massive energy (4300). This is a serious, heavy swell. Only for the hardcore.
The first week of August brings a mixed bag. July 31st (Friday) is a standout for the brave: 12 ft, offshore early, glassy in the afternoon, with a 10-12 second period. The wave comment says “excellent for experienced surfers,” and the energy is huge (3279). But then August 1st and 2nd get hammered by onshore cross-winds, turning the big swell into a lumpy mess. Not worth it.
The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no need for a thick suit.
Best is definitely this Saturday, July 18th and Sunday, July 19th. Clean, solid, manageable waves. Get out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 352 | 236 | 197 | 587 | 461 | 437 | 672 | 711 | 456 | 480 | 545 | 981 | 2562 | 2094 | 1595 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | |||||||
— | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | E 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 352 | 236 | 167 | 587 | 461 | 437 | 672 | 711 | 456 | 480 | 2 | 981 | 2562 | 2094 | 1595 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 4 | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 10 | — | NE 4 | SW 8 | — | SW 14 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 |
42 | — | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | 1 | 249 | 21 | 2 | — | 1 | 65 | — | 440 | 85 | — | 223 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SE 11 | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 9 | 39 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 9 | 5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 545 | 897 | — | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 63 | 5 | 75 | 75 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










