Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 19s period, SW swell with 3,817 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 2.3m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what we’ve got lined up.
We’re focusing on Peak Rock, a reef set-up that swings for the intermediate crowd. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is running about 1° warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a touch on the warm side.
The first few days are building. Monday the 24th kicks off with a solid southwest swell, around 5ft, riding a 14-second period. The wind is offshore from the NNW in the morning and stays offshore through the afternoon. That’s clean, workable surf with moderate energy (874). It’s not huge, but it’s a nice start with decent shape.
Tuesday the 25th sees the swell holding steady around 5-6ft from the SW, period dropping a touch to 13 seconds. The energy picks up a notch (over 1000). The winds go cross-offshore from the NE in the morning, switching to a cross-off from the W in the arvo. Waves stay clean, but it’s not perfect glass. Still, very surfable.
Wednesday the 26th is a write-off. The swell is there, but the wind turns cross and then cross-on, making it choppy. Not worth the paddle.
We get a reprieve Thursday the 27th. It drops down to 4-4ft, but the wind goes offshore from the NW in the morning and turns glassy in the afternoon. Clean, small waves – good for a longboard or a fun log session.
Now, here’s the first standout. Friday the 28th. Morning brings a clean 5ft at 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell pushing in from the SW. Wind is offshore from the NW. The energy jumps to 1864. This is quality. It’s not too big, but the long period will wrap in nicely and offer some real shape. This one’s for the experienced crew. Expect good, lined-up waves.
Saturday the 29th stays fun with a 5ft SW swell and a cross-off breeze from the WNW. Clean, consistent, a good follow-up to Friday.
Sunday the 30th is a bit of a drop-off – 4ft in the morning, dropping to under 3ft in the afternoon. The wind is variable. It’s small, but there’ll be a few.
The real standout though – circle Monday the 31st of August. This one’s a cracker. We’ve got 8ft of SW swell pumping in with a 19-second period. The wind is offshore from the NNW in the morning and goes absolute glass in the afternoon. The energy reading is 4035 – that’s a powerful, clean swell. This is big, but it’s clean and lined up. This is the best session of the run. Not for beginners – this is expert territory. The reef will be working perfectly.
Tuesday the 1st of September backs off a touch to 6-6ft, with cross-off winds and a shorter 15-16 second period. Still clean, but the energy drops.
Wednesday the 2nd is messy with cross-on winds. Skip it.
Thursday the 3rd is a wild card. The morning is blown out with a 28 mph offshore wind – too strong to paddle into. But the afternoon flips: a 10ft WSW swell shows up, with an offshore NW wind and energy at 3925. That’s heavy, only for experts, and the wind is strong offshore – it’ll be clean but tough to get into. Hold out for Friday the 4th.
Friday the 4th of September delivers. 10ft of WSW swell with a 16 mph offshore from the NW in the morning. Energy is 4406. This is big, powerful, and clean. The reef will be handling some serious size. Again, experts only. By the afternoon, the wind swings cross-off and the swell drops to 7ft.
Saturday the 5th is a downsize to 5-6ft with cleaner winds. A good day for a step-down board.
Sunday the 6th sees the swell back up to 7-10ft, but the wind is strong offshore again – 16-28 mph. It’s clean but a battle to get out. The energy is high (2403 and 5819).
Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are a write-off for paddling. The wind hits gale force on Monday – 40 mph – and we see massive 18ft swell on Monday afternoon. Tuesday still has 13-15ft swell, but winds are still strong and the energy is huge (over 18,000). This is kite-surf territory or tow-surfing only. Leave the paddle board at home.
So to sum it up: Friday the 28th of August and Monday the 31st of August are the absolute top picks. Both offer clean, powerful, lined-up surf with offshore to glassy winds. The end of the run gets wild and blown out.
Keep your eyes on the horizon.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
874 | 722 | 643 | 969 | 710 | 1094 | 1344 | 905 | 732 | 389 | 324 | 552 | 1278 | 2368 | 1449 | 928 | 752 | 444 | 424 | 427 | 1171 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | 10:15AM1.59m | 9:08PM1.46m | 11:22AM1.66m | 10:38PM1.48m | 12:12PM1.74m | 11:51PM1.56m | 12:50PM1.83m | 00:48AM1.69m | 1:24PM1.90m | 1:35AM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:08AM0.63m | 5:24PM1.07m | 5:16AM0.60m | 6:19PM0.93m | 6:12AM0.55m | 7:00PM0.77m | 7:00AM0.51m | 7:35PM0.60m | ||||||||
6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | |
mm | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 |
874 | 722 | 643 | 969 | 710 | 1094 | 1344 | 905 | 732 | 389 | 324 | 431 | 1278 | 2368 | 1449 | 928 | 752 | 444 | 424 | 423 | 1171 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | S 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 22 | SW 20 | WSW 13 | SSW 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SW 24 | WSW 22 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 23 |
— | 15 | 50 | 51 | 381 | — | 4 | 12 | 91 | 76 | 118 | 552 | 555 | 96 | 45 | 17 | 22 | 45 | 212 | 427 | 187 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 22 | SSW 9 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | S 13 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SSW 18 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 73 | 8 | 31 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 40 | 61 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NE 3 | E 4 | — | SW 4 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | — | 12 | 886 | 694 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 75 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











