Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,150 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Peak Rock.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some solid swell building through the middle of next week and into the weekend. The water’s sitting at a temperature that feels about average for the time of year, nothing crazy on the anomaly front.
Monday the 17th is a write-off – small, messy, choppy. Not worth paddling out. Tuesday the 18th brings a bit of hope. Morning session is the pick early on with clean conditions and a 4 ft SW swell. It won’t set the world on fire, but it’s rideable and the wind is a light cross-offshore, keeping things tidy. That combined energy is moderate at 966.
Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th are a total dud – strong winds and tiny swell. Best to find something else to do.
Now, Friday the 21st is where it starts to get interesting. The afternoon kicks up with a 6 ft WSW swell, period around 11 seconds, and light cross-offshore winds keeping it clean. Energy jumps up to 2260 – moderate to strong. This is one for the experienced crew as the size is pushing into proper territory. Saturday the 22nd stays solid with a 8 ft SW swell in the morning, but it gets a bit lumpy in the afternoon. Sunday the 23rd sees the swell peak at 8 ft from the SW, but winds are fresh, so it’ll be a bit of a test.
The real standout comes on Monday the 24th. Morning light offshore wind from the NNW, a clean 7 ft SW swell, and moderate energy at 1875. This is the pick of the forecast by a long shot. Conditions are set up for a classic session, and the exposure direction matches the optimum – this reef will be cooking. Crowds are possible here, so you might have some company, but it’s worth it.
After that, the swell backs off through the end of August and into September. There’s a brief bump on the morning of Saturday the 29th with a 5 ft SW swell, clean offshore wind, and moderate energy, but nothing compares to that Monday session.
Further out, Monday the 1st of September has a 6 ft WSW swell with fresh offshore wind, but the period’s shorter and energy is down. It’s a maybe if you’re keen.
So if I had to call it: Friday afternoon the 21st and Monday morning the 24th are your best bets. The Monday is the winner – biggest, cleanest, and the wind on it.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Mon morning, strong winds from the N by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Wed night, light winds from the SW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
911 | 885 | 1474 | 1171 | 597 | 630 | 465 | 305 | 239 | 217 | 157 | 219 | 216 | 625 | 668 | 1977 | 2418 | 1661 | 3832 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 2:37AM2.04m | 2:51PM2.14m | 3:24AM2.06m | 3:27PM2.12m | 4:08AM2.04m | 4:01PM2.07m | 4:48AM1.99m | 4:33PM1.99m | 5:28AM1.90m | 5:04PM1.90m | 6:08AM1.81m | 5:36PM1.80m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:41AM0.35m | 9:10PM0.21m | 9:24AM0.43m | 9:49PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.53m | 10:25PM0.18m | 10:39AM0.64m | 11:01PM0.23m | 11:15AM0.75m | 11:37PM0.31m | 11:50AM0.87m | 00:14AM0.40m | |||||||
— | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
911 | 885 | 1474 | 1171 | 597 | 630 | 465 | 305 | 239 | 217 | 147 | 116 | 175 | 625 | 389 | 1977 | 2418 | 1661 | 3832 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 4 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SW 20 | WSW 8 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 16 |
— | 5 | 58 | 84 | 362 | 51 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 60 | 41 | 219 | 72 | 447 | 589 | 56 | 74 | 1252 | 223 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 11 | — | SE 5 | — | ESE 4 | SW 15 | — | E 6 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | SSW 14 | — |
— | — | 25 | — | 7 | — | 7 | 9 | — | 1 | 157 | 25 | 216 | 376 | 614 | — | — | 110 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | E 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | — | ESE 5 | NE 2 | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | NW 4 | — | WSW 11 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
7 | 14 | 10 | 22 | — | 10 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 18 | 36 | 42 | 11 | — | 668 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 59 | 92 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 63 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











