Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 13,074 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's shaping up at Peak Rock.
Alright, we've got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards for Peak Rock. For the next few days, the ocean is going to be pretty angry and not much fun. We're looking at a big stormy spell from Tuesday the 28th right through to Wednesday the 29th, so you can pretty much write those days off. The wind is howling, up to 31 mph, and the swell is just a jumbled, messy mess with a combined energy that's through the roof (up to 10311). It’s simply not worth paddling out for a surf. The water temp is sitting at about 56°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
The first real sign of life comes on Thursday morning, the 30th. It won't be perfect, but we get a clean-up with a lighter cross-offshore breeze and a 8ft SW swell. The combined energy drops right back to a more manageable 3345, and while the conditions are just "clean" and not perfect, it's a massive step up from the chaos before it.
Now, if you want the standout window, you need to look at the end of the week into the weekend. Friday morning, July 31st, is where it starts to get good. Light cross-offshore winds of 6 mph, a 5ft SW swell with a solid 12-second period, and a combined energy of 678. The report says "expect very good surf conditions" and I have to agree. It's going to be clean. Then Saturday the 1st of August is another beauty, with a gentle offshore breeze, a clean 6ft SW swell building through the day, and a very long 18-second period. The energy jumps to 2473, but with offshore wind, this is a proper window for some solid, lined-up waves.
We do have a bit of a lull for a couple of days after that, with the winds turning a bit nasty on Sunday and Monday. But then we get a real stunner mid-week. Wednesday morning, August 12th, is looking like the best of the entire run. The wind is a fresh offshore at 22 mph. The swell is a serious 10ft from the WSW but it's the afternoon of August 12th that really stands out. An 12ft SW swell, clean with offshore wind, and a combined energy of 9596. The report scores it a 7. That is a big, powerful, clean swell for experts only. You will need to be on your game.
So, overall: Thursday the 30th is the first clean-ish chance, Friday the 31st is a solid start, but the absolute standouts are Saturday the 1st of August for a fun, clean weekend session and especially Wednesday the 12th of August for a proper, powerful clean groundswell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 784 | 1441 | 3717 | 13074 | 8380 | 3438 | 1723 | 1210 | 854 | 624 | 478 | 450 | 369 | 2293 | 2982 | 1750 | 1438 | 1626 | 2680 | 2436 | 1210 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | 11:57AM1.74m | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:44PM1.15m | 4:41AM0.52m | 5:56PM1.09m | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SSW 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 784 | 1441 | 953 | — | 131 | — | 1723 | 1210 | 854 | 624 | 478 | 450 | 369 | 2293 | 2982 | 1750 | 1438 | 1626 | 2680 | 2436 | 1210 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | SSW 9 | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 53 | 242 | — | — | — | — | 177 | — | 22 | 45 | 61 | 133 | 366 | 197 | 340 | 164 | 144 | 86 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 9 | SW 14 | — |
| kJ | 111 | 54 | 3717 | 13074 | 8380 | 3438 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 586 | 1580 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 272 | 497 | 497 | 493 | 766 | 75 | 5 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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