
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,504 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s lining up for us at Peak Rock (Peak-Rock). There’s a bit of a wait before things really click, but once they do, there are some beautiful windows coming.
First decent surf hits Saturday the 18th – clean, fun-sized SW swell at 6 ft with a nice 14-second period. Winds are light offshore out of the NW, and the water’s at about 57°, right around average for this time of year. Moderate combined swell energy (1154) means there’s some good push. Saturday afternoon goes glassy with a lighter WSW breeze and 5 ft SW swell – that’s a top pick right there. Sunday the 19th drops a bit, 4 ft and 3 ft across the day, still clean, but more of a small-wave session.
Now, here’s the standout. From Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 21st, we get a really good run of moderate offshore winds and building consistency. Monday morning sees 3 ft SW at 16 seconds with a 15 mph NNW breeze – clean and lined up. The energy is climbing into the hundreds. Tuesday is similar, 5 ft and 5 ft SW swell, both with offshore winds around 12 mph, staying clean all day. That’s the best stretch in the first week – go get it.
Mid-week gets messy. Wednesday the 22nd morning has a fresh offshore wind at 22 mph, but by afternoon it goes cross-shore and the swell jumps to 7 ft with a short 10-second period – choppy and sloppy. Thursday the 23rd is outright messy: 10 ft SW but cross winds over 22 mph, lumpy onshore chop – forget it unless you’re kiting.
Later in the week things settle some. Friday the 24th still has solid 8 ft+ SW swell but cross-offshore winds keep it somewhat clean – still tricky with those 15-second periods. That’s expert territory. Then Saturday the 25th is a real standout: 8 ft SW dropping to 7 ft, moderate to light offshore, clean and excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the pick of the second weekend.
Following week has potential but winds turn messy again. Sunday the 26th keeps offshore winds, but the swell drops to 5 ft – not bad but not top-tier.
Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see 10 ft SW but with onshore or cross-onshore winds – blown out and heavy. Wednesday the 29th still bumpy. However, Thursday the 30th morning goes glassy again with a light NNW breeze and 4 ft SW – small but clean.
End of the forecast window holds long-range promise. Friday the 31st morning: 7 ft SW at 11 seconds, clean and light offshore – excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday August 1st morning is 7 ft SW at 16 seconds, glassy cross-offshore – that’s a real standout. Sunday August 2nd sees 7 ft SW at 17 seconds, light offshore then glassy – very long-period groundswell, perfect for a reef like Peak Rock. Just remember those long periods mean longer lulls between sets, but the waves will be well-shaped and powerful.
Crowds? Peak Rock can get busy at times, especially on clean weekends, so expect company.
Top calls are Tuesday the 21st for the first week, and Saturday August 1st morning for the second week. Get out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1154 | 880 | 494 | 364 | 236 | 197 | 502 | 461 | 367 | 834 | 854 | 449 | 421 | 886 | 1838 | 3163 | 3515 | 3827 | 3051 | 3341 | 3126 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | ||||||||
7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
1154 | 880 | 494 | 364 | 236 | 167 | 502 | 461 | 367 | 834 | 854 | 449 | 421 | — | — | 3163 | 197 | 3827 | 3051 | 3341 | 3126 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | WSW 15 | WSW 9 | S 10 | — | — | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | — | 279 | 103 | 2 | — | — | 294 | — | — | — | — | 318 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | S 10 | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 9 | 39 | 75 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 886 | 1838 | 2201 | 3515 | — | 16 | 7 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 59 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 75 | 50 | 60 | 60 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










