
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,791 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, and I've got the goods on Peak Rock. Right now, the water's sitting at 57°F, which is about 1°F warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just your average July water temp.
We've got a proper run of surf lined up, but it's a bit of a mixed bag for the first few days. Let's get into it.
Tuesday kicks things off with a clean 5 ft swell from the WSW, with a moderate 14-second period and a solid 931 (moderate wave energy) backing it up. The wind is offshore and light, so Peak Rock is looking clean and surfable. That afternoon, the swell dips a touch to 5 ft from the SW, but the wind stays offshore and gentle. It's a nice, mellow start.
Wednesday rolls in with a bit more wind. The morning swell is 4 ft from the WSW, but the wind’s a bit stronger. It's still offshore and clean, but that rain shower might put a bit of a damper on the session. The afternoon picks up a bit to 5 ft from the WSW, but the wind swings cross-offshore and freshens up. The conditions are still clean, but that wind is a bit more of a factor.
Thursday is where things get a little gnarly. We've got a big 10 ft swell from the SW rolling in, but it's packing a 14-second period and a massive 3285 (strong wave energy) in the morning. The problem is the wind is a strong cross-shore, making things messy and choppy. Not ideal for a paddle. The afternoon has the same size swell, but the wind is a bit better, cross-off, but still strong. It's a big, powerful swell, but the wind is making it a challenge.
Friday is the real standout. The morning is looking at 12 ft swell from the SW with a very long 15-second period and a massive 11439 (very strong wave energy). The wind is a fresh cross-offshore. This is a proper groundswell, and it's going to be powerful. For an intermediate surfer, this is a serious session. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 10 ft, but still a solid option.
Saturday sees the swell hanging around 10 ft from the SW, but the wind is a fresh cross-offshore in the morning. The afternoon, however, turns into a mess with a strong cross-shore and lumpy chop. Saturday morning is your best bet that day.
Sunday through Monday of the following week sees the swell drop back down to 5 ft to 6 ft, with the wind staying cross-off or offshore. It's not the biggest, but it's clean and surfable, with a moderate 11-second period. The energy is dropping back to moderate levels (594 to 887 range).
Tuesday, 28 July, the swell picks back up to 7 ft in the morning, then jumps to 10 ft in the afternoon from the SW. That afternoon swell has a 12-second period and a strong 4677 (very strong wave energy). The wind is a moderate cross-offshore, so it's clean, but it's a punchy, powerful swell.
Wednesday, 29 July, is the big one. The morning is looking at 13 ft swell from the SW with a very long 15-second period and a massive 10613 (very strong wave energy). The wind is a moderate cross-offshore. This is serious, expert-level swell. The afternoon goes sour with a strong onshore wind, so it's a morning-only deal.
Thursday, 30 July, we've got a 10 ft swell from the SW in the morning with a 13-second period and a strong 2669 (strong wave energy). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore, making it clean. The notes say "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" – that's a solid call.
Friday, 31 July, is a write-off. The wind is a strong cross-shore, and the swell is a messy 7 ft. Not worth the paddle.
Saturday, 1 August, looks good again. The morning has a 7 ft swell from the SW with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is offshore and moderate. The energy is at 2056 (strong wave energy), and it's described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." The afternoon is a bit smaller but still clean.
From Sunday, 2 August, onwards, things get a bit grim. The wind turns onshore and strong, and the swell drops. By Tuesday, 4 August, we're looking at tiny, clean surf with a 2 ft to 3 ft swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it's not great. The later days of the forecast have bigger periods (18 to 21 seconds), but with no wind protection and a tiny swell, it's a flat, blown-out mess.
So, the absolute standouts are Friday, 24 July and Wednesday, 29 July mornings. Both are massive, powerful groundswells with clean conditions. If you're up for a serious session, those are your times. The first week is the money, the second week is a washout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
895 | 711 | 449 | 480 | 657 | 966 | 3285 | 3805 | 6527 | 6082 | 3936 | 3217 | 2457 | 1966 | 1510 | 882 | 568 | 368 | 270 | 377 | 1278 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | 7:43AM1.70m | 6:53PM1.70m | 8:41AM1.65m | 7:37PM1.61m | 9:48AM1.64m | 8:32PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | 1:17PM1.01m | 1:45AM0.46m | 2:12PM1.10m | 2:37AM0.50m | 3:23PM1.16m | 3:38AM0.53m | |||||||
7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | — | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 12 |
895 | 711 | 449 | 480 | 144 | 241 | — | 32 | 313 | 5357 | 3936 | 3217 | 2457 | 1966 | 1305 | 882 | 568 | 368 | 270 | 377 | 1278 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | — | E 11 | WSW 12 | E 10 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — |
36 | — | 2 | 347 | 2 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 26 | 40 | 56 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — |
— | — | — | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 4 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 6 |
8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 657 | 966 | 3285 | 3805 | 6527 | 6082 | 6 | 2498 | 1569 | 1292 | 1510 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 34 | 86 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 50 | 32 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 497 | 63 | 60 | 458 | 63 | 93 | 75 | 59 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 37 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










