
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 3,207 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Peak Rock over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of surf on the horizon, with the first real action kicking off Friday morning, July 31st. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary there.
Friday July 31st starts things off with a clean 5ft SW groundswell, period a nice 12 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 592. It’s a nice, clean entry point for the weekend. Friday afternoon goes a bit marginal with light cross-shore wind, so the morning is the pick of that day.
Saturday August 1st is where it gets real. Saturday morning is clean again with 4ft SW swell and a gentle cross-off breeze. But Saturday afternoon… that’s the standout. We’re looking at 6ft of SW groundswell with a 17-second period – that’s long period, proper groundswell. The energy jumps to 2005, and the wind is offshore, clean as a whistle. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The reef setup at Peak Rock will love that long period. This is the best session on offer.
Sunday August 2nd holds similar size, with 6ft and 5ft SW swell, but the wind cranks up to 15-18 mph offshore. It’s clean, but fresh winds make it a bit more of a battle. Still good waves for the crew who can handle the breeze.
Monday August 3rd brings a big jump in size. The afternoon shows 10ft of WSW swell, with a very strong combined energy of 3207. That’s big, powerful, and only for the experienced. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but at that size, it’s a serious mission.
Tuesday August 4th stays big, with 10ft in the morning, but the wind swings cross-shore and turns messy by the afternoon. That afternoon session is a dud – poor conditions.
From Wednesday August 5th through to Thursday August 6th, the swell drops back and the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, giving us marginal, lumpy conditions. Not worth getting excited about.
Friday August 7th is another highlight. A classic swell of 5ft, 15-second period from the SW, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is strong at 1550, and conditions are clean. This is a great morning session, with the afternoon also holding clean at 5ft. Another real standout for the experienced crew.
Saturday August 8th still has good 5-5ft swell, but the wind is strong offshore, 21-25 mph. It’s clean, but that wind makes it hard work to paddle into. More of a challenge.
The window from Sunday August 9th to Tuesday August 11th gets blown out. Winds are strong, the swell is big and unruly. On the 10th and 11th, we’re looking at 8ft to 10ft swell with near gale-force offshore winds. The energy is massive – 3432 and 5113 – but the wind makes it nearly impossible to paddle into. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Wednesday August 12th and Thursday August 13th see the size drop, but the wind stays strong, with cross-shore chop making things messy. Not worth it.
Friday August 14th shows a pulse of very long-period energy, 22 seconds, but only 3ft of swell. The wind is moderate cross-shore, leaving it a bit lumpy. The energy is moderate at 2006, but the period is so long it might just break too straight for the reef, so it’s a gamble.
Saturday August 15th finishes the run with a solid 7ft SW swell, 18-second period, and strong offshore wind. The energy is 3447, but again, that strong wind makes it a paddling battle. Only for the hardcore.
Overall, the absolute best bets are Saturday afternoon August 1st and Friday morning August 7th. Clean, solid groundswell, good wind, and that long period will make Peak Rock come alive.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
565 | 494 | 383 | 386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 1006 | 3207 | 1945 | 1941 | 687 | 447 | 313 | 632 | 512 | 252 | 737 | 1187 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | 3:57PM2.03m | 4:37AM1.95m | 4:28PM2.02m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:52AM0.52m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:30AM0.60m | 10:55PM0.19m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 18 | — | SW 12 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
565 | 494 | 383 | 386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 1006 | — | 194 | — | 403 | 351 | 313 | 632 | 512 | 252 | 737 | 1187 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | WSW 11 |
18 | 61 | 131 | 366 | 168 | 311 | 153 | 138 | 75 | 154 | — | — | — | 25 | 217 | 306 | 350 | 366 | 251 | 24 | 218 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | S 8 | — | SSW 17 |
9 | 8 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 156 | 144 | 227 | 30 | 5 | — | 57 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 3 | N 4 | N 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 3207 | 1945 | 1941 | 687 | 447 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 32 | 21 | 64 | 75 | 63 | 60 | 136 | 59 | 50 | 63 | 50 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











