
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 15,278 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 6.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s cookin’ for Peak Rock over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the heart rate up.
First up, the water temp is around 57°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. We’ve got a solid run starting Wednesday morning the 8th. Wednesday morning delivers a clean 5 ft SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is strong at 2403, and with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE at 6 mph, the conditions are pristine. This is proper reef-break quality for the experienced crew. The swell is a good size, has that long-period push, and with the wind holding, it’s a standout session.
Thursday morning the 9th keeps the good vibes rolling with a clean 5 ft SW swell, period dropping a bit to 16 seconds but still decent. The wind is lighter from the NNE at 3 mph, keeping things clean. That afternoon, it goes glassy as the wind swings ESE at 3 mph – 4 ft of SW groundswell, with period at 15 seconds. Perfect for a twilight session.
Friday the 10th is another top pick. Morning and afternoon both see a clean 5 ft to 5 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the north at 9 mph. That’s about as good as it gets for a reef setup – clean lines, manageable size, and that classic offshore groom. The energy is moderate to strong (1209 and 993).
Now, things get rugged from Saturday the 11th. The wind cranks up to 25 mph from the north, which makes paddling a nightmare even though it’s offshore. The swell drops to 4 ft with a shorter 14-second period. Sunday the 12th through Wednesday the 15th sees a big pulse of swell – 10 ft up to a massive 18 ft – but it’s accompanied by howling winds from the NW, W, and SW, with speeds hitting 31 mph. The combined energy readings are off the charts (5674, 4314, even 15696), but with near-gale cross-offshore and cross-onshore winds, it’s a washing machine. This is strictly for the lunatics or, honestly, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Thursday the 16th through Monday the 21st stays messy with cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions, so you’re best off giving it a miss.
There’s a light at the end of the tunnel, though. Saturday the 18th afternoon finally sees a return to form with a clean 6 ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the NW at 6 mph. Energy is moderate at 1315. That’s a solid session.
Then, the big finish. Thursday the 23rd of July is the absolute standout of this whole outlook. Morning and afternoon serve up a fantastic 8 ft to 7 ft SW groundswell with a 15 to 14-second period. The combined energy is strong (2560 and 2113), and the wind is a gentle offshore from the NNW at just 6 to 9 mph. The surface will be clean as a whistle. This is big enough to have plenty of push but not out of control – excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Crowds are possible at Peak Rock, so get in early.
So, to wrap it up: your best bets are Wednesday the 8th morning, Friday the 10th all day, and if you can wait, Thursday the 23rd is the one to circle on the calendar. That long-range call looks promising, but it’s still a couple of weeks out, so keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the N by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat night, moderate winds from the WNW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 993 | 606 | 476 | 395 | 549 | 3208 | 3188 | 4107 | 4314 | 8767 | 6346 | 4414 | 3121 | 8553 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:46AM0.60m | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 7 |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | WSW 13 | — | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — |
1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 993 | 606 | 476 | 395 | 549 | 3208 | — | 4107 | 4314 | 6929 | 6346 | 4414 | 3121 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | SSW 14 | — | W 9 | WSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — |
784 | 240 | 181 | 82 | 186 | 134 | 38 | — | 18 | — | 56 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | 333 | 353 | 215 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
262 | — | — | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WSW 15 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | SW 13 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 33 | 59 | 29 | 2466 | 3188 | 46 | 95 | 8767 | — | 11 | 45 | 8553 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 265 | 94 | 265 | 94 | 475 | 604 | 265 | 765 | 59 | 265 | 561 | 534 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










