Peak Rock Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.44° S 145.05° E

Issued: 9 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Peak Rock sea temperature is
14.5° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Peak Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Peak Rock surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,948 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:

The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at the coming swell window.

We’re in for a bit of a wait, to be honest. For the first few days, there’s some serious size on the cards, but the wind is just blowing it to pieces. Starting Friday afternoon, July 3rd, right through to Sunday the 5th, we’ve got a solid, long-period SW swell pushing in – up to 15 feet at times, with incredible energy. But the wind is all wrong, a strong cross-shore mess, so it's a total write-off for a paddle. The setup at Peak Rock is a reef break, and with that much power, combined with the chop, it would be more of a kite-surfing show than anything else. That continues through the weekend; it’s just not worth getting wet.

Now, things start to clean up nicely come Monday morning, July 6th. We get a real drop in size to a much more manageable 5 feet, but the real win is that wind. It swings light cross-off from the NNE, and the water’s sitting at a pretty average 58° for this time of year. This is our first proper chance for a paddle, with clean conditions and a decent 14-second period swell from the SW. It’s gettable, but it's not the absolute standout of the window.

That standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is looking like Wednesday morning, July 8th. This is where it all comes together. The swell holds at a solid 5 feet from the SW, but the period stretches out to a very long 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, meaning real power and shape, but it might wall up a bit on a beach break, but on a reef like this, it should be incredible. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NE at just 3 mph, and the energy is pumping. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Get on it.

After that, conditions get a bit mixed again, but there are some smaller, cleaner windows. Friday, July 10th, both morning and afternoon look promising with glassy conditions and clean 5 feet of swell. Then we get another interesting one on Saturday, July 18th. It’s a bit further out, so less certain, but the forecast shows a glassy morning with 6 feet, 14-second swell from the SW. It’s got that clean, gentle feel, but with enough punch to be fun. That’s a promising one to keep an eye on.

The rest of the second week is largely blown out by strong, messy cross-onshore winds and a lot of rain, so it’s a bit of a write-off until that final Saturday.

So, to sum it up: wait through the messy big stuff this weekend, enjoy the consistent clean waves Monday and Tuesday morning, but if you can make it for Wednesday the 8th, that’s the one with the most power and the best shape. The later window on the 18th is a promising backup.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Fri night, calm by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
3
2
1
2
3
0
0
0
1
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
17
1.5
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
18
2.1
SW
18
1.9
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4168
2740
2305
2436
4745
3721
1904
1006
726
398
568
1109
1091
1467
2714
1832
1055
924
1082
879
773
Wind (km/h)
30
W
30
SW
30
SW
25
S
25
ESE
30
ESE
25
ENE
10
N
5
SSE
5
NNE
5
NW
10
WSW
10
SSE
10
SSE
10
S
20
E
20
E
20
ESE
25
E
15
NNE
5
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
on
cross-off
off
cross
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:03AM1.63m
2:59PM2.03m
2:46AM1.66m
3:30PM2.04m
3:28AM1.69m
3:59PM2.03m
4:10AM1.72m
4:28PM2.00m
4:53AM1.77m
4:57PM1.97m
5:41AM1.81m
5:30PM1.94m
6:34AM1.85m
6:09PM1.90m
Low Tide
8:16AM0.38m
9:13PM0.73m
8:54AM0.40m
9:46PM0.65m
9:30AM0.45m
10:18PM0.57m
10:07AM0.52m
10:50PM0.49m
10:46AM0.60m
11:24PM0.39m
11:30AM0.70m
00:04AM0.30m
12:19PM0.80m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:09
5:10
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
 mm
Temp °C
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
11
12
11
10
12
12
12
12
11
11
12
10
10
12
Feels °C
5
6
5
5
5
4
6
10
9
9
8
10
10
10
10
6
7
7
5
7
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
0.5
SSW
13
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
17
1.5
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
18
2.1
SW
18
1.9
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
Energy kJ
4168
102
2436
4745
3721
1904
1006
726
398
568
1109
1091
1467
2714
1832
1055
924
1082
879
773
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
18
1.8
SSW
17
1.4
SSW
17
1.1
SSW
15
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.3
SW
19
0.9
SW
13
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
1.3
SW
14
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
15
0.1
SE
11
Energy kJ
985
1859
1099
491
9
3
58
282
52
80
667
240
151
95
88
82
22
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
4
0.5
SSW
19
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.2
ESE
12
0.2
SSW
16
Energy kJ
2
205
5
4
14
24
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.2
SW
15
0.9
ESE
4
0.9
ESE
5
0.4
ESE
4
0.4
SE
4
0.4
ESE
4
Energy kJ
2985
2740
2305
2092
31
41
7
4
6
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
2
1
5
3
4
3
3
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
3
3
3
Distance (km)
63
63
458
458
10
121
38
0
10
0
0
2
10
10
10
10
10
24
11
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
5
5
5
9
5
4
4
8
7
4
5
5
9
5
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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