
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,854 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s break down what we’ve got coming up for Peak Rock. This is a reef break, intermediate level, and it’s fairly consistent which is good. The optimum swell direction is from the SSW, and the break is fairly exposed to that.
Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first decent window opens on Friday afternoon, July 10th. The water's sitting at 57° – about normal for this time of year, nothing weird going on there. We’ve got a 5 ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a long 15-second period, and combined energy is moderate at 979. The wind is light cross-off from the NNE at just 3 mph, which will keep it clean. It’s a nice little intro to the run, but not the standout.
Then Saturday the 11th gets blown out. Strong north winds make it messy, and the swell drops. Not worth it.
Sunday the 12th gets big – 10 ft to 12 ft from the WSW – but a near gale rips across it. The combined energy jumps into the thousands (2409), but that wind makes it a no-go for paddling. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Monday the 13th is still huge – 12 ft SW swell with periods up to 15 seconds and energy hitting 6218 in the afternoon. It’s offshore but with a 28 mph wind. The power is there, but the paddle-out will be a fight. For experienced surfers only, and even then, it’s borderline.
Now here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday morning, July 14th – this is your standout window. You’ve got a solid 13 ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the energy is massive at 11440. The wind is cross-off from the west at 19 mph, so it’ll be chunky but clean. This is big, powerful surf – not for beginners, but if you’ve got the experience, this is the best on offer in the whole forecast. The wave quality should be excellent for the guys who can handle it.
Wednesday the 15th drops back to a more manageable 8 ft, still with good 14-second period and fresh offshore wind from the NW. A solid day, but not the standout.
Thursday and Friday, the 16th and 17th, deliver clean conditions with light winds and 6 ft to 8 ft SW swell, periods still long at 14-16 seconds. Great for experienced surfers, consistent, and the energy is moderate to strong (1344 to 2873). Crowds are possible at this spot – it says sometimes, so expect company.
The second week drifts into smaller waves and stronger winds. Saturday the 18th has 5 ft SW swell and clean offshore wind – a decent morning session. But from Sunday the 19th, the swell drops below 3 ft and winds crank up to 28 mph. It’s clean but hard to paddle into. Not much to get excited about.
Tuesday the 21st sees a small wave window with 3 ft to 4 ft WSW swell and clean offshore wind – a small-wave day.
Then late in the window, Thursday morning, July 23rd, we see another pulse: 13 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and energy at 7889. Winds are cross-off and moderate. This is a big, late-period swell, so at a reef like Peak Rock it could be excellent if you’re an expert. But it’s a long way out – promising but less certain.
Friday afternoon, July 24th, shows a cleaner 8 ft SW swell with light cross-off wind and energy at 2571. Could be another solid session if that holds.
So, the true standout is Tuesday morning, July 14th – that’s the day with the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the whole run. Lock that one in if you’ve got the skills.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the NW by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
979 | 701 | 476 | 395 | 444 | 2409 | 3461 | 3425 | 4849 | 5896 | 8854 | 6762 | 5224 | 3491 | 2232 | 1864 | 1558 | 1344 | 1423 | 947 | 1856 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | |
5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | 5:17 | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | — | — | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
979 | 701 | 476 | 395 | 444 | — | — | 3425 | 4849 | 5896 | 8854 | 6762 | 5224 | 3491 | 2232 | 1864 | 1558 | 1344 | 1423 | 947 | 1856 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 16 | SSW 16 |
— | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 113 | 322 | — | — | — | 144 | 175 | — | 68 | — | — | 517 | 140 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 120 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NW 5 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 5 | 13 | 34 | 47 | 2409 | 3461 | 42 | 110 | 80 | 5720 | 4678 | 3445 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 5 | 37 | 93 | 169 | 472 | 472 | 475 | 265 | 540 | 534 | 63 | 63 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











