
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,933 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for Peak Rock. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, so you’re good on the rubber.
The first real action is Friday morning, July 24th. We’ve got a solid 11.5ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15 second period, packing a massive punch with combined energy reading at 10216. The wind is a cross-off from the west at 18.6 mph, keeping the surface clean, but the swell is big. This is expert territory—over 8.2ft, so leave the soft tops at home. The afternoon holds similar size, 11.5ft from the WSW, with a slightly shorter 14 second period and wind picking up to 21.7 mph. Still clean, but hefty.
Saturday the 25th gets messy. A 9.8ft SW swell sticks around, but a strong cross-shore wind from the WSW at 21.7 mph kicks up a lumpy chop on the morning. By afternoon, the wind drops to a moderate 12.4 mph from the west, cleaning it up a bit to a cross-off, with the swell dropping to 9.8ft and period shortening to 12 seconds. It’s still big, but the quality is marginal.
Sunday the 26th sees the swell ease. Morning has 6.2ft from the SW with an 11 second period and a moderate cross-off from the WNW. It’s clean but small. The afternoon bumps up to 7.9ft from the WSW with a 10 second period, still clean with a 12.4 mph westerly.
Monday the 27th brings a shift. We get a proper offshore wind from the NW at 15.5 mph in the morning, cleaning up a 5.2ft SW swell with a 10 second period. The afternoon is even better with a light offshore from the NNW at only 6.2 mph, holding 5.6ft SW swell at 11 seconds. The energy is low (663-664), but it’s clean and small enough for a fun session.
Tuesday the 28th is a mixed bag. The swell bumps up to 5.9ft from the SW with a 13 second period, but a strong offshore wind from the NNW at 28 mph makes it hard to paddle into—it’s clean but brutal. The afternoon holds 6.6ft from the SW with a very long 16 second period, but the wind is still a strong 28 mph cross-off. Hard work.
Wednesday the 29th is a write-off. The swell is 8.2ft from the SW, but a cross-on wind from the SSW at 9.3 mph in the morning and a cross-shore from the SW in the afternoon makes for choppy, crummy conditions.
The first standout is Thursday, July 30th. Morning hits with a 5.9ft SW swell at 13 seconds, a light offshore from the NW at 6.2 mph, and the conditions are clean. The afternoon is the real gem: glassy conditions with a 5.2ft SW swell at 12 seconds, light wind from the WSW at only 3.1 mph. This is a prime window for intermediates to get out there. The energy is moderate (1021 and 683), but the glass makes it all worth it.
Friday the 31st starts small with 3.9ft SW at 11 seconds and a gentle offshore, but the afternoon brings a 2.6ft SW swell with a very long 19 second period. That long period means the waves will be lined up and clean, but it’s small. A log day.
The biggest standout of the entire outlook is Saturday, August 1st. We’re looking at 6.2ft from the SW with a 17 second period in the morning, growing to 7.9ft from the SW with an 18 second period in the afternoon. The wind is offshore from the NNW all day, light at 6.2-9.3 mph. This is big, powerful groundswell—perfect for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (2213 and 3947). The only catch: this break can get a bit inconsistent, and crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get in early.
Sunday, August 2nd holds similar size (7.2ft to 6.2ft) from the SW with 17 second periods, but the wind picks up to a moderate 15.5 mph offshore/cross-off. It’s clean, but the wind is pushing.
The following week tails off. Monday, August 3rd sees a 9.8ft SW swell return, but with a cross-on wind from the SSW, it’s choppy and poor. Tuesday the 4th is small and clean but messy with cross-shore winds. Wednesday, August 5th shines with a 5.6ft SW swell at 14 seconds and a light cross-off from the NNE. That’s clean and good for intermediates. Thursday, August 6th is another solid window: 8.2ft SW at 16 seconds with a light cross-off from the NNE—expert territory again. The energy is strong (3488). After that, Friday and Saturday the 7th and 8th drop off in size with strong winds and poor conditions.
So, if you’re picking your days, Thursday July 30th for the glass and small stuff, or Saturday August 1st for the big, clean groundswell. That’
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Thu night, moderate winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
7961 | 6287 | 4955 | 3369 | 2407 | 2143 | 1372 | 850 | 1170 | 798 | 582 | 664 | 805 | 1021 | 1856 | 3285 | 2815 | 2385 | 1668 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | 7:43AM1.70m | 6:53PM1.70m | 8:41AM1.65m | 7:37PM1.61m | 9:48AM1.64m | 8:32PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | 11:57AM1.74m | 10:58PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | 1:17PM1.01m | 1:45AM0.46m | 2:12PM1.10m | 2:37AM0.50m | 3:23PM1.16m | 3:38AM0.53m | 4:44PM1.15m | 4:41AM0.52m | 5:56PM1.09m | |||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
— | 6287 | 4234 | 3369 | 2407 | 1922 | 1372 | 850 | 828 | 798 | 582 | 664 | 805 | 1021 | 1856 | 906 | 2815 | 2385 | 1668 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 17 | SW 16 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | 12 | 77 | — | — | 58 | 539 | — | 243 | 542 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 125 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 10 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 14 | — | — | — |
7961 | 3929 | 4955 | 2159 | 1521 | 2143 | 1 | 4 | 1170 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 52 | 3285 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 63 | 63 | 93 | 60 | 63 | 5 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 475 | 488 | 50 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










