
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 11,354 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s cooking at Peak Rock over the next 16 days. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, with some real epic moments hiding in a long stretch of rough weather.
The first solid window to talk about hits Monday afternoon, the 27th of July. We’ve got a 5 ft SW swell rolling in with an 11-second period, and the water is a mild 56°F, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the N at 15 mph, keeping things reasonably clean. The combined energy sits at 488, which is modest, but it’s a start. Honestly, it’s not going to be a standout day.
The real story here is the clean-up on Tuesday the 28th of July. A strong offshore from the NNW is blowing at 28 mph, and the swell is building to 5 ft with a period stretching to 13 seconds. By the afternoon, the swell hits 6 ft and the period gets to a very long 15 seconds, with the combined energy jumping to 1888. This is proper groundswell, and it’s going to be glassy and clean as a whistle. But with that strong offshore breeze, it will be a battle to get out the back. This is for the experienced crew only.
Wednesday the 29th of July is a write-off. A near gale from the SW is blowing at 31 mph, kicking up a massive 15 ft SW swell (period 16 seconds, energy a huge 9617). The wind is cross-shore, creating crossing waves. Forget surfing, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
We get a bit of a reprieve on Thursday the 30th of July. The swell drops to 7 ft in the morning (period 13 seconds, energy 3170), and the wind turns to a moderate cross-off from the W. It’s surfable, but the quality is still marginal.
The first real standout comes together on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning has a clean, glassy cross-off from the NNE at 9 mph, with a long-period SW groundswell of 3 ft and an 18-second period. The combined energy is 738. The waves will be clean and lined up, but the long period might make them break a bit straight at this reef. The real magic happens in the afternoon. A moderate offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph, with the swell building to 5 ft and a period of 16 seconds, gives us excellent surf. The energy kicks up to 1725. This is the best call for the first week.
Sunday the 2nd of August and Monday the 3rd are a messy affair with strong winds and bumpy surf. By Tuesday the 4th of August, the wind goes completely glassy from the NE and ESE, with the swell sitting at 5 to 6 ft. The energy is around 960-1082. This is a very good, clean window for the intermediate surfer.
Now for the second week. The best call is Wednesday the 5th of August. A light offshore from the NE at 6 mph, with a 7 ft SW groundswell and a very long period of 19 seconds. The energy is 3040. This is a powerful, clean swell, but the long period means it’s best suited for the reef break. It’s only for the experts.
The rest of the second week is a downslide. Thursday the 6th of August is clean but small with 4 to 5 ft swells. The wind stays offshore or cross-off, making for okay conditions. From the 7th of August onwards, the surf fades away, with the wind picking up and the quality dropping. The 9th of August brings a strong offshore again, but the swell is inconsistent. By the 10th and 11th of August, the wind goes onshore and the whole setup is blown out. It’s a poor finish to the outlook.
So, to wrap it up: The best swell of the first week is Saturday the 1st of August at Peak Rock, with a solid 5 ft SW groundswell and clean offshore winds. For the second week, the standout is Wednesday the 5th of August, with a powerful 7 ft SW groundswell and light offshore winds, but it’s for the experts only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Tue night, moderate winds from the WSW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
488 | 809 | 784 | 1441 | 3842 | 9617 | 6637 | 3438 | 1619 | 1210 | 854 | 555 | 478 | 465 | 370 | 1109 | 2846 | 1771 | 1456 | 1983 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 8:32PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | 11:57AM1.74m | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:38AM0.53m | 4:44PM1.15m | 4:41AM0.52m | 5:56PM1.09m | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
488 | 809 | 784 | 1441 | 953 | — | 126 | 3438 | 1619 | 1210 | 854 | 555 | 478 | 465 | 338 | 1109 | 2846 | 1771 | 1456 | 1983 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 21 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 19 |
— | — | 53 | 447 | — | — | — | 43 | — | — | 22 | 45 | 61 | 133 | 370 | 616 | 219 | 151 | 84 | 184 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | — |
2 | 25 | 91 | 53 | 3842 | 9617 | 6637 | 2171 | 1551 | 802 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 16 | 16 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 75 | 272 | 265 | 475 | 766 | 75 | 59 | 60 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 59 | 50 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










