
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,775 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve only got one spot on the table for the next 16 days, and that’s Peak Rock, a reef break that’s been pretty consistent lately. The water’s sitting about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
The week kicks off on Monday, 27 July, with a clean little morning session. You’ve got a 4ft SW groundswell, period a solid 11 seconds, and a nice NNW breeze blowing straight offshore. The combined energy is moderate (528), and the waves are looking tidy. That afternoon the wind picks up fresh from the N, still offshore, but the swell bumps to 5ft and the condition drops a bit – still rideable, but not as polished.
Tuesday, 28 July, gets a bit feistier. Morning brings a 5ft SW swell with a longer 13-second period, but the offshore wind is strong (40 km/h), making it clean but a real workout to paddle into. The energy jumps to moderate-strong (837). By the afternoon, we’re looking at 6ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period, and the energy is strong (1933). Again, clean but tough paddling in that strong breeze.
Wednesday, 29 July, is a write-off. The swell jumps to 15ft and 13ft, but the wind swings cross-shore, turning it into a total mess. Combined energy is massive (9775 and 6637), but this is strictly for the kite crew, not paddle surfing. Thursday and Friday settle down a bit in size, but the wind stays cross-shore or cross-onshore, leaving the surface lumpy and choppy. Not worth paddling out.
Now, here’s the standout. Saturday, 1 August, is the one to circle. The morning session is already a winner with a 4ft SW swell, moderate energy (660), and a light cross-offshore breeze. But the real gold is Saturday afternoon: glassy conditions, a 3ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the combined energy is still moderate (715). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a rare clean window at a reef break, and it’s going to be worth every minute. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Sunday, 2 August, still looks good. Moderate offshore winds, 6ft SW swell with a 17-second period, and strong energy (1698). The waves will be clean, but that long period means it’ll be lining up nicely at the reef. Monday, 3 August, keeps the clean offshore flow but the swell hits 8ft. That’s getting into intermediate-to-expert territory, and the energy is very strong (2564). Not for the faint-hearted.
The second week is a mixed bag. Tuesday, 4 August, and Wednesday, 5 August, are blown out with cross and cross-onshore winds. Thursday, 6 August, is a complete bust with onshore wind washing things out. But then Friday, 7 August, brings another glimmer of hope: glassy conditions again, a 4ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and moderate energy (611). It’s a smaller, cleaner window that could be a fun little session. The rest of the week into 10-11 August is either blown out or too big and messy, with the 11th seeing a 8ft SW swell and nasty cross-onshore wind.
So, to wrap it up: the best of the best is Saturday, 1 August, afternoon. Glassy, clean, and a beautiful long-period swell. The other standout is Friday, 7 August, morning for a smaller but glassy session. Everything else is either too windy, too big, or just plain messy.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun night, near gales from the WSW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed night, calm by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
487 | 422 | 544 | 821 | 784 | 1361 | 2436 | 9775 | 6637 | 3163 | 1514 | 1210 | 718 | 555 | 469 | 465 | 326 | 366 | 930 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:48AM1.64m | 8:32PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | 11:57AM1.74m | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:37AM0.50m | 3:23PM1.16m | 3:38AM0.53m | 4:44PM1.15m | 4:41AM0.52m | 5:56PM1.09m | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | |||||||
— | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 16 |
487 | 422 | 544 | 821 | 784 | 1361 | 2436 | — | — | 3163 | 1514 | 1210 | 718 | 555 | 469 | 465 | 326 | 237 | 853 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 9 | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 19 |
26 | 106 | — | — | 53 | 572 | — | — | — | 42 | 141 | — | 22 | 45 | 61 | 131 | 304 | 366 | 930 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | SW 21 | SSW 18 |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 112 | 134 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 |
— | 2 | 3 | 22 | 65 | 45 | 193 | 9775 | 6637 | 2201 | — | 802 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 32 | 75 | 272 | 265 | 500 | 493 | 75 | 75 | 5 | 75 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










