
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,449 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 2.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of southwest groundswell building over the next couple of weeks. The main standout is the Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th, when that swell is still running strong and the wind is right. Peak Rock is a reef break, fairly consistent, and takes a south-southwest swell best. Water temp is sitting at 57°, which is just about average for the time of year.
We kick off on Wednesday the 15th with a 8ft swell from the southwest, period 14 seconds. Combined wave energy is pumping at 2514 – that’s strong stuff. Wind is a cross-off from the west-northwest at 16 mph, so it’s clean but a bit of a push. Not the cleanest of the stretch, but it’s rideable. The afternoon drops to 8ft, cleaner, but still cross-off.
Thursday the 16th sees the swell hold around 8ft, but the wind swings to a cross-on from the southwest at 6 mph, with light ripples. It’s a bit grotty. Combined energy is still up there – 2416 and 2621, but the wind spoils it.
Now, Friday the 17th is the highlight. Morning brings a 7ft southwest swell, offshore wind from the north-northwest at 6 mph, and the period stretches to 16 seconds – that’s long-period groundswell, proper energy. Combined energy is 2272. The afternoon is even glassier: 3 mph from the northwest, cross-off, clean as a whistle. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – the size is over 7ft, so it’s not for learners, but the quality is there.
Saturday the 18th is another beauty. Morning has 6ft, offshore wind from the north-northwest at 6 mph, period 14 seconds, energy 1194. The afternoon turns glassy – zero wind from the south-southeast, 5ft, 13-second period, energy 880. That’s clean, punchy, and a great day for a session.
From Sunday the 19th, the swell drops. Sunday morning is 4ft, cross-off, clean but small. Energy drops to 413. Sunday afternoon is 3ft, offshore from the north at 3 mph, clean but tiny. Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 22nd sees the swell hover around 2ft to 4ft. The wind is offshore from the north-northwest for most of that, but it’s blowing 16 to 22 mph, so it’s a fresh breeze. Energy is down in the 300s. It’s small and blown out, not worth getting excited about.
Wednesday the 23rd brings a jump – 6ft southwest swell, 16-second period, combined energy 2960. But the wind is onshore from the west-southwest at 16 mph, with rain showers and a cross-chop. It’s messy. Thursday the 24th is worse: 8ft to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore from the southwest at 9 to 12 mph, with a lumpy chop. Energy is huge – 4586 to 5477 – but the quality is poor. This setup at a beach would be kite-surfing territory, but Peak Rock is a reef, so it’s just gnarly.
Friday the 25th through Saturday the 26th stays big – 10ft with 15-16 second period, but the wind is cross-off or cross-shore, and there’s rain. Energy is over 5000 in the morning. It’s a choppy, powerful mess. Sunday the 26th morning cleans up: 7ft, cross-off from the west-northwest at 6 mph, 13-second period, energy 2081. That’s excellent for experienced surfers again, but the afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy.
From Monday the 27th into Tuesday the 28th, the wind is cross-onshore and the swell drops to 4ft to 4ft, period 10-11 seconds. Energy is down in the 500s. It’s poor. Wednesday the 29th morning looks better – 5ft, offshore from the northwest at 6 mph, 13-second period, energy 695. That’s clean and fun. The afternoon is cross-on again, so morning is the call.
Thursday the 30th finishes with a 4ft, offshore wind from the northwest at 12 mph, energy 481. It’s clean but small.
Overall, the best bets are Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th – that’s the combo of solid southwest swell, clean offshore or glassy winds, and long-period energy. The waves are over 7ft, so it’s for the experienced crew. The following week sees a few morning windows, especially Sunday the 26th and Wednesday the 29th, but the real juice is that first weekend.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2416 | 2372 | 1915 | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 358 | 236 | 197 | 532 | 229 | 367 | 257 | 400 | 504 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
— | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 |
2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2416 | 2372 | 1915 | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 358 | 236 | 147 | 532 | 229 | 367 | 257 | 400 | 504 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SE 10 | E 10 |
75 | — | — | — | 249 | — | 237 | 147 | 42 | 40 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | 10 | 91 | 264 | 12 | 4 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SE 10 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 75 | 22 | 25 | 9 | 21 | 4 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










