
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,715 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Peak Rock.
We’re looking at a solid run of southwest swell over the next couple of weeks, but it’s not all rideable. The first real window of clean, surfable waves arrives Thursday morning, July 9th. It’s cloudy, but the wind is light cross-off at 3 mph, and we’ve got a chunky 5ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. That’s long-period, deep-water energy, and the combined energy is strong at 1135. The water temp is about average for this time of year. This setup will bring very clean, well-shaped waves to the reef – expect good quality, especially on the low to mid tide. The afternoon turns glassy with ESE winds at 3 mph, similar 4ft swell, and still a very long 15-second period. This is the true standout: Thursday is a gem.
Friday, July 10th, keeps things going. The morning is clean with a 5ft SW swell (15s) and a moderate NNE cross-off breeze, but the wind is a little stronger. The afternoon is better: clear skies, offshore NNW wind at 6 mph, same 5ft swell. It’s very clean and inviting.
Now, Saturday through Tuesday of the next week get hairy. The swell jumps up massively – we’re looking at 12ft to 15ft WSW swells on Sunday and Monday, with wind speeds hitting 25 to 28 mph. The combined energy is pumping, over 6000, but the wind is strong as hell. Saturday morning has a strong 25 mph offshore wind – it’s clean but nearly impossible to paddle into. Sunday is just too big and howling cross-offshore for most. This is expert-only territory, realistically too big and blown out for anyone else. Monday and Tuesday are also oversized, with strong offshore winds again making it a paddle battle. This stretch is for the serious, experienced crowd only.
Things settle down by Wednesday and Thursday, July 15th and 16th, but the wind turns onshore from the SSE and ESE, making the surf choppy and poor. Not worth the drive.
Friday, July 17th, is more of the same: clean-looking swell, but the wind is a moderate onshore flow, so the surface is messy.
The next true highlight comes on Saturday, July 18th. Morning has a clean 7ft SW swell (14s) with a light N cross-off breeze at 6 mph, giving us excellent conditions for experienced surfers (combined energy 1873). The afternoon is even better – light offshore at 6 mph, 6ft SW swell, and glassy conditions. This is your best bet for the second week, and given it’s a week and a half out, it’s promising but keep an eye on it.
After that, the swell drops back to 3ft to 4ft from Sunday to Monday (July 19th-20th), but the wind is still fresh and offshore. That said, the waves will be small and a bit weak, nothing to get excited about.
We have a pulse of solid 8ft WSW swell rolling in on Tuesday, July 21st, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it lumpy. Not great.
The real banger in the long-range is Thursday, July 23rd. That afternoon looks absolutely pumping: a massive 12ft SW groundswell (16-second period) with light offshore NNW wind at 9 mph. The combined energy is off the charts at 10087 – that’s extreme wave energy. It’s described as exceptional for expert surfers. This is a once-in-a-while kind of forecast, but it's nearly two weeks out, so hold your breath on it.
So, bottom line: Thursday, July 9th is your best early call – clean, long-period SW groundswell with glassy afternoon conditions. Saturday, July 18th is the standout for the second week, with clean, manageable 6-7ft surf. Thursday the 23rd is the potential monster, but cross your fingers on that one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun night, near gales from the W by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 993 | 614 | 476 | 463 | 563 | 4232 | 6235 | 2795 | 3283 | 3341 | 6152 | 6715 | 6095 | 4376 | 3224 | 2562 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | |||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | |
— | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | — | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 993 | 614 | 476 | 463 | 563 | 4232 | — | 2795 | 3283 | 3341 | 4729 | 6715 | 6095 | 4376 | 3224 | 2562 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | SSW 14 | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
186 | 82 | 186 | 134 | 38 | — | 18 | — | 76 | — | — | — | — | 72 | 303 | — | — | — | — | 78 | 43 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | W 6 | NW 5 | WSW 13 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 14 | NW 4 | NW 4 | SW 16 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 25 | 66 | 288 | 58 | 6235 | 16 | 62 | 33 | 6152 | 16 | 20 | 3092 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 272 | 497 | 497 | 540 | 93 | 475 | 604 | 59 | 265 | 265 | 323 | 271 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











