Peak Rock Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.44° S 145.05° E

Issued: 9 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Peak Rock sea temperature is
14.3° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Peak Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Peak Rock surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 7,035 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:

The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Fri 3rd Jul)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

First up, it’s a bit of a rough start. We’ve got a big, powerful swell hitting Peak Rock (reef) with some serious heft – combined energy is 10724 (strong to very strong) – but the wind is howling out of the west at 28 mph, and it’s just messing everything up. Friday is a write-off, and Saturday and Sunday aren’t much better with fresh cross-shore and cross-onshore winds making for lumpy, choppy conditions. There’s a good three days there where you’d be better off staying on the beach.

But then, things turn around. Monday the 6th of July morning is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to a clean 5 ft from the SW, with a period of 14 seconds – proper groundswell – but the real story is the wind: a light 3 mph from the north, giving us a glassy, cross-off shore. The combined energy is down to 1016 (moderate), but for Peak Rock, that’s worth getting up early for. The water temperature is sitting at 58°, about normal for the time of year.

Tuesday the 7th is genuinely the standout of this whole outlook. The morning has a small 3 ft swell from the SW, but the period is a lovely 17 seconds – very long period groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. It’ll be clean, with long waits between sets, perfect for picking off a few waves without battling the crowd. The afternoon keeps it clean too, with 4 ft SW swell and a light cross-off. This is the one to aim for.

After Tuesday, the wind gets a bit tricky again midweek, but from Friday the 10th of July right through to Monday the 13th, we’ve got a run of clean conditions. Friday morning shows 5 ft SW swell with a cross-off north wind, and Saturday the 11th has a clean offshore breeze at 12 mph with 5 ft swell – great conditions for intermediate surfers. The combined energy stays in the moderate range, so it’s not a massive swell, but the quality will be there.

Monday the 13th afternoon is another highlight: the swell bumps up to 6 ft from the SW, period of 16 seconds, and the wind is a clean offshore from the north at 16 mph. The combined energy is 1761 (moderate), but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a solid session for anyone who knows what they’re doing.

Things get messy again after the 14th with strong winds and onshore slop, but for the first couple weeks of July, that window from the 7th to the 13th is where you want to be. The crowds at Peak Rock are only “sometimes”, so you’ve got a good chance of getting some clean ones to yourself.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
2
3
0
0
1
3
0
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4.5
WSW
16
4.5
SW
16
3
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
18
2.1
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10724
9284
4168
2740
2180
3051
4432
3721
1904
1006
726
398
389
813
953
1451
2714
1707
1028
924
939
Wind (km/h)
45
W
45
WSW
30
W
30
WSW
30
SW
20
SSE
25
ESE
30
ESE
25
ENE
5
N
5
ESE
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
W
20
S
25
S
20
S
15
E
15
E
15
ENE
15
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:26PM2.00m
2:03AM1.63m
2:59PM2.03m
2:46AM1.66m
3:30PM2.04m
3:28AM1.69m
3:59PM2.03m
4:10AM1.72m
4:28PM2.00m
4:53AM1.77m
4:57PM1.97m
5:41AM1.81m
5:30PM1.94m
Low Tide
8:36PM0.80m
8:16AM0.38m
9:13PM0.73m
8:54AM0.40m
9:46PM0.65m
9:30AM0.45m
10:18PM0.57m
10:07AM0.52m
10:50PM0.49m
10:46AM0.60m
11:24PM0.39m
11:30AM0.70m
00:04AM0.30m
rain showers
light rain
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:09
5:09
5:10
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
12
12
12
10
11
10
11
12
11
10
11
12
11
11
9
9
12
9
Feels °C
2
3
5
5
5
6
4
4
7
9
10
8
7
8
10
6
6
6
4
8
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
1.3
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
18
2.1
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
Energy kJ
4168
3051
4432
3721
1904
1006
726
398
235
813
953
1451
2714
1707
1028
924
939
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
17
1
SSW
15
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.3
SW
19
0.8
SW
17
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SW
5
1.1
SW
14
0.7
SSW
6
0.7
SSW
7
0.5
S
6
0.4
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
15
Energy kJ
1628
958
411
10
4
56
389
50
9
536
34
57
20
85
44
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WSW
19
0.5
SSW
18
0.5
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
Energy kJ
34
193
149
95
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4.5
WSW
16
4.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
1.9
SSW
16
0.7
SE
5
0.9
ESE
4
0.9
ESE
5
0.4
NE
3
0.4
NW
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.7
SW
5
0.9
SSW
5
Energy kJ
10724
9284
2824
2740
2180
1762
30
31
42
4
2
4
25
37
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
6
5
2
4
5
5
4
3
3
2
2
3
2
1
4
3
3
2
3
Distance (km)
323
766
63
63
458
11
10
38
38
0
10
0
0
0
11
136
10
11
10
11
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
3
2
4
3
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
5
5
8
9
5
7
4
9
9
8
4
5
9
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
6
8
5
9
7
5
9
9
8
6
5
9
9
9
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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