
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 4,766 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, but it’s not all clean sailing. The week kicks off with some quality, clean groundswell, but by the middle of the window, the wind turns nasty and the waves get big and messy. The standout sessions are definitely the first few days.
Starting this Sunday afternoon, the 19th of July, Peak Rock is looking pretty tidy. We’ve got a clean 3ft SW swell rolling in with a 12-second period, and the wind is light and offshore from the NNW at just 3 mph. The water temperature is sitting at 56.8°F, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (371), so it’s not a beast, but it’s a fun, clean wave. This is a good one to get wet on.
Monday the 20th is where it really starts to shape up. The morning sees a 3.6ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and a solid 15 mph offshore wind from the NNW. That’s a recipe for some clean, lined-up waves, though the long period might make it a bit straight at the beach – but at a reef break like Peak Rock, it’ll be sweet. The afternoon is even better, with the swell picking up to 3.3ft from the WSW and the wind backing off to a gentle 9 mph offshore. The energy is ramping up (719) and the conditions are described as very good. This is the best on offer for the early part of the week.
Tuesday the 21st keeps the run going. Both morning and afternoon have 4.6ft SW swell with a solid 13-14 second period and moderate offshore winds. The energy is pumping (835 and 711), and the waves will be clean and powerful. If you can get out, this is your window.
Wednesday the 22nd is where things start to get tricky. The wind picks up to 18 mph offshore in the morning, but the swell drops a bit and the energy is lower (501). The call is marginal. By the afternoon, the wind swings to the west and goes cross-offshore, with the swell jumping to 5.9ft from the WSW. The period drops to 9 seconds, making it a bit wind-swell-y and lumpy. Not great.
Thursday the 23rd sees a massive jump in size. We’re looking at 11.5ft SW swell with a long 14-second period, but the wind is howling from the WNW at 21 mph, creating a cross-offshore mess. The energy is huge (4038), but this is expert territory only. The wind is too strong, and the surf quality is poor. This is more of a spectacle than a surf session.
The rest of the week into the weekend is a write-off. The wind stays strong, mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, and the swell stays big and messy. Friday the 24th still has 9.8ft+ swell, but the wind is too strong for clean conditions. Saturday the 25th is a total loss with strong cross and onshore winds. By Sunday the 26th, the swell drops back to 5.6-6.2ft, but the wind is still onshore or cross-shore, leaving it lumpy and unattractive.
There’s a short gap of poor quality before a brief window of hope on Monday the 27th. The morning brings a clean 3.6ft SW swell with a gentle offshore breeze from the north. The energy is low (344), but the conditions are clean. The afternoon is smaller at 3ft, but still clean. It’s a salvageable session, not a standout.
After that, the forecast goes downhill again. From the 28th of July through to the 3rd of August, the wind is a constant problem. Even when there’s swell, like the 4.6ft SW groundswell on the 28th, the wind is either too strong offshore (making it hard to paddle) or cross-shore and messy. The 29th sees an 8.2ft WSW swell, but with a cross-onshore wind creating chop. The 30th is marginal at best, with clean but energy-sapped conditions. The 31st and into August are a mix of cross-shore winds and lumpy, messy waves.
The long-range promise from the 2nd and 3rd of August has some decent size (5.2ft SW swell with 16-second period) but the wind is consistently cross-onshore, ruining the quality. The energy is there (1397), but the shape won’t be.
The best on offer:
Without a doubt, the standout is Monday afternoon, the 20th of July at Peak Rock. The 3.3ft WSW swell, gentle 9 mph offshore wind, and very good conditions should make for some clean, fun waves. The session on Tuesday the 21st is also a top pick, with bigger 4.6ft SW swell and clean offshore winds both morning and afternoon. If you can only get out once, make it the 20th. If you’ve got a couple of
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
236 | 197 | 587 | 461 | 367 | 799 | 711 | 449 | 480 | 543 | 2124 | 4038 | 3866 | 4766 | 4427 | 4561 | 4370 | 3619 | 2972 | 1687 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | 7:43AM1.70m | 6:53PM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | 1:17PM1.01m | 1:45AM0.46m | |||||||
— | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | SSW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
236 | 167 | 587 | 461 | 367 | 799 | 711 | 449 | 480 | 187 | 2124 | — | 31 | 4766 | 4427 | 4561 | 4370 | 3619 | 2972 | 1687 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | E 11 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
60 | 197 | — | 249 | 32 | 36 | — | 2 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
75 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | NW 4 | NW 4 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — |
— | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 543 | 1422 | 4038 | 3866 | 3314 | 16 | 18 | 3074 | 2356 | 1969 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 63 | 60 | 458 | 458 | 63 | 93 | 458 | 93 | 475 | 514 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










