
Surf Forecasts:
Peak Rock surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,562 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Peak Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Peak Rock in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Peak Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way. Peak Rock’s the main show here, a reef setup that’s fairly consistent and picks up a solid SSW swell. The water temperature is pretty average for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama beyond the usual.
The window kicks off on the morning of Thursday the 16th, but honestly, that first day is a write-off. You’ve got a 8ft SW swell pushing through, but it’s a cross-shore breeze and the conditions are marginal. Not worth paddling out for. It’s not until Friday morning the 17th that things start to look good. We’ve got a nice drop to 7ft from the SW, period stretching out to 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy – and the wind swings around to a clean, light offshore from the NNW. The combined energy is pumping at 2275 (moderate to strong), and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon holds up too, just as clean with a slight cross-off wind and similar 8ft swell. That Friday is the standout of the whole run: the wave quality is there, the wind is right, and the reef will be handling that long-period SW swell beautifully. Expect a crowd, though – this spot can get busy when it’s on.
Saturday the 18th is another strong day. Morning sees a 6ft SW swell, still an offshore breeze, and by the afternoon it turns glassy with 5ft and that same SW line. The energy drops to 880 (moderate) but the conditions are top shelf. It’s going to be clean and fun.
Sunday and Monday are smaller and weaker. Sunday the 19th starts with 4ft SW and clean morning winds, turning glassy in the arvo – good for a grovel, but nothing to get excited about. Monday the 20th livens up a bit with a 4ft 16-second SW swell, and a strong NNW offshore at 25 km/h, keeping it clean. The energy’s only 631 (moderate) but the longer period might make it more interesting. Tuesday the 21st sees the swell direction shift slightly to WSW at 4ft with a 14-second period, and clean offshore conditions persist. Wednesday the 22nd is smaller again, 4ft SW, but the afternoon goes totally glassy with no wind – a dream for a longboard or a fish.
Then we hit a rough patch from Thursday the 24th. The morning brings a 8ft SW swell with a brutal 25 mph offshore that’s strong enough to make paddling a nightmare. That gets a marginal rating. By the afternoon, the wind swings cross-shore at 25 mph, and it’s pure chop – a zero-score. Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th are similar stories: messy, lumpy, cross-onshore winds with 7ft to 7ft swell. Not worth it for a paddle. Sunday the 26th afternoon is a bit better, 7ft with light cross-shore wind, but it’s still marginal.
The last real chance rolls around Monday the 27th. A 7ft SW swell with a solid 16 mph offshore from the NNW, keeping things clean. The energy is 1378 (moderate), and while it’s labelled marginal, if you’re a competent surfer that offshore wind on a reef will clean it up nicely. After that, the week fades out with smaller swell and shifting winds, nothing to write home about.
So the big standout is Friday the 17th through to Saturday the 18th – that’s your window for quality. Everything else is either small, windy, or both. If you’re a beginner, that Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th with 8ft swell is going to be too much, stick to the smaller days around the 19th or 22nd.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2125 | 2416 | 2372 | 1915 | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 563 | 358 | 278 | 252 | 587 | 269 | 367 | 261 | 617 | 546 | 336 | 330 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy |
High Tide | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | ||||||||
— | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | |
— | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
2125 | 2416 | 2372 | 1915 | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 563 | 358 | 278 | 169 | 587 | 269 | 367 | 261 | 617 | 546 | 336 | 330 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | SE 10 | S 9 | — | E 10 | E 10 |
— | — | — | — | 240 | 140 | 68 | 40 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 252 | 19 | 90 | 21 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | NW 3 | — | NW 2 | — | NW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Peak Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Peak Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Peak Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Peak Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Peak Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Peak Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Peak Rock is 25 km (16 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











