Mckenzies Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break down what’s happening at Mckenzies Beach in the next couple of weeks. Mostly it’s a quiet, small-swell period, so don’t expect much.

The first waves worth talking about start this Sunday, the 16th of August. Nothing special – Sunday morning we’ve got a tiny 2 ft south swell with a period around 9 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak (116), but the wind is glassy from the west-southwest. It’s surfable but average. The water temperature is about normal for the time of year.

Sunday afternoon is similar – 2 ft south swell, period up to 10 seconds, still glassy. Energy climbs a bit to (133). Still not a standout.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th get even smaller – under 2 ft. Monday morning has glassy wind but energy drops to (65). Tuesday morning is the same, glassy but only 1 ft south swell with energy at (53). The afternoons are poor with onshore or cross-onshore wind. Not worth a paddle.

Wednesday the 19th has a slight bump – 3 ft from the east-southeast in the morning, short period at 6 seconds, moderate energy (112). Wind is light and cross-offshore, so conditions are clean. But the afternoon gets blown out by 15 mph northeast wind.

From Thursday the 20th through Saturday the 22nd, it’s all poor. Small swell, mostly under 3 ft, cross-offshore wind but very low energy. Combined energy sits between (39) and (139) at best.

Sunday the 23rd offers a glimmer. Morning brings 3 ft south swell with period 8 seconds, energy (155), and light north wind cross-offshore. Clean but marginal. The afternoon improves – 4 ft south swell, period 9 seconds, energy jumps to (241), wind stays cross-offshore. That’s the best of a quiet period. If you had to pick one day that’s not Tuesday, Sunday afternoon is it.

Monday the 24th is back to 2 ft, glassy morning, only (103) energy.

Now, here’s the real standout. Tuesday the 25th. The morning shows 6 ft south swell with period 9 seconds, combined energy up at (610). Wind is cross-shore, a bit bumpy. But the afternoon – that’s the one. Swell drops to 4 ft, period 8 seconds, wind goes offshore from the northwest at 6 mph. Energy is still high at (419). Conditions are clean. That’s your best wave. The size might be a bit much for beginners, and the period is short, so it won’t have much power, but on a point break that’s very consistent, it’s your best shot.

Wednesday the 26th is on the way down – 4 ft south-southeast swell, period 10 seconds, but wind picks up to 12-15 mph cross-offshore. Energy at (312). Marginal, afternoon gets messy. Thursday the 27th is similar, dropping to 3 ft. Not worth it.

Friday the 28th shows a quick uptick – 4 ft northeast swell in the morning, but period is a short 6 seconds, energy moderate at (242). The afternoon pushes 5 ft but with cross-onshore wind and chop. Not good.

Saturday the 29th morning is glassy with a 4 ft east-northeast swell, period 8 seconds, energy (188). Clean but weak. Sunday the 30th morning is similar – 3 ft, glassy, energy (119).

In short: Tuesday the 25th afternoon is the clear standout. That offshore wind and solid 4 ft swell with good energy is your best bet. Sunday the 23rd afternoon is a distant second. Everything else is flat, weak, or blown out.

- Rusty

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