Mckenzies Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the next couple of weeks for Mckenzies Beach. Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first four days, from the 28th of July through to the 29th, are basically a write-off. We’re talkin’ tiny, weak waves with energy readings barely crackin’ 27 (weak energy). You’re better off savin’ your energy for later.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up Thursday morning, the 30th of July. It's still small, with a 3ft swell from the S, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it's a bit junky. The energy’s still low at 90 (weak energy). That afternoon, things get a bit more interesting for the experienced crew—a 7ft swell from the S rolls in with a long 11-second period, and the energy jumps to 1554 (strong wave energy). But the wind is onshore, so it’s gonna be messy, and the conditions are marginal. Only for the die-hards.

Friday the 31st of July morning is a better shout. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the SSE with a 10-second period, energy at 345 (moderate wave energy), and a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean, but the swell direction is a little off from the optimum (SE), so it’s not a full standout. The afternoon gets bigger (6ft) but turns cross-onshore and choppy.

Alright, here’s the standout. Saturday the 1st of August morning is the pick of the whole outlook. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a clean 4ft swell from the SSE. The energy is 265 (moderate wave energy). That’s a beautiful window for a point break like Mckenzies. It’ll be clean, and with the light wind, the surface will be butter. The crowd factor is “often” here, so expect company, but for conditions like that, it’s worth it.

Sunday the 2nd of August morning is also a solid backup. A 3ft swell from the SSE, 11-second period, energy at 453 (moderate wave energy), and a cross-offshore breeze. Clean again.

After that, things drop off. From Monday the 3rd of August through to the 12th of August, we’re in a long lull. The swell drops to 1ft, 1.0ft, and the energy readings are mostly in the weak range (below 100). The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. There are a few glassy mornings (like the 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th of August), but the waves are just too small to do anything with. The best you can hope for is a knee-high dribbler. It’s a real dry spell, and that’s a long time to wait.

So, to sum it up: the best session of the next 16 days is hands down Saturday the 1st of August morning at Mckenzies. Glassy, clean, with a bit of push. Don’t sleep on it. The rest of the window is mostly for the patient.

Rusty.

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