Mckenzies Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day window for Mckenzies Beach, a point break, and honestly, it’s a bit of a slow burner. The first week is mostly small and average, but there’s a clear standout waiting for us in the second week that makes this worth hanging in for.

Right off the bat, the water feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 63°F.

The first real chance of anything decent is early morning on Sunday the 26th. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the south, period around 10 seconds, and glassy conditions with a light WNW breeze. It’ll be surfable, with moderate wave energy (203). Not huge, but clean.

Monday the 27th morning is similar but smaller – 2ft from the SSE, still glassy, but the energy is weak (82). It’s an option, just nothing to write home about.

After a few days of tiny waves, Wednesday the 29th morning brings a punchier 5ft from the south. The period is short at 6 seconds, and the wind is cross-offshore from the southwest. The combined swell energy jumps up to moderate (231), so there’ll be some push. It’s clean enough, but the short period means it might be a bit walled.

Then there’s a real dry spell from Thursday the 30th through to Sunday the 2nd of August – just tiny 0.7ft to 1ft waves or flat conditions. A blank run of several days.

Now, the big one. Monday the 3rd of August morning is the true standout. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds, and it’s glassy calm – zero wind. The combined swell energy hits a strong 996. This is the best on offer, period. Clean, good size, and that point break will handle the SSE direction nicely. It’s a morning for the intermediates and up.

After that, Tuesday the 4th morning holds 4ft from the ESE, with a gentle offshore from the northwest keeping it clean. Energy is moderate (292). The afternoon bumps to 6ft from the east, but the wind goes cross-offshore. It’s still clean, but it’s a touch messy.

Wednesday the 5th morning is another clean one: 4ft from the east, light offshore wind, energy at 245. Worth a paddle.

Friday the 7th is a double-header – morning has 3ft from the east with a longer 12-second period (groundswell) and a gentle offshore from the northwest. Energy is strong (439). Afternoon sees 5ft from the northeast, shorter period (7 seconds), but still with a moderate offshore. Both sessions are clean.

Saturday the 8th morning: 5ft from the northeast, 9-second period, and glassy conditions. Energy is moderate (362). Clean and fun.

The last few days get windy. Sunday the 9th morning has a messy 2ft from the east with a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore wind – not pleasant.

So, the pick of the whole forecast is Monday morning, 3rd of August – that 6ft SSE groundswell with glassy conditions and strong energy. Honourable mention to Friday the 7th morning for that long-period east swell and clean offshore wind. For the rest, you’ll be picking the clean windows in the mornings.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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