Mckenzies Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Mckenzies Beach, and I’ve got to be honest with you – it’s gonna be a bit of a slow grind for a while. This is a very consistent spot, but the next week or so is looking pretty lackluster. We’re looking at a real dry spell until things finally start to wake up around the 10th.

The water temp is sitting at 62.2°F with a slight positive anomaly of 1.1°F, so it’s pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. Nothing wild there.

For the next few days, we’re dealing with tiny, gutless waves. The energy is weak, with values down in the double digits – like 11 on Wednesday morning. The swell direction is all over the place and the periods are short, so it’s not going to be worth paddling out for. A few clean windows appear on Thursday and Friday mornings with glassy conditions, but the swell is only 1.3ft to 2.3ft. Surfable, but barely. It’s the kind of thing you’d only do if you were desperate for a knee-board session.

The weekend doesn’t offer much either. Saturday morning is clean but still small at 1.6ft. The wind picks up in the afternoon and chops it all to pieces. Sunday sees a bit more size, up to 3.3ft, but the wind swings onshore and makes it messy. There’s a gap here with no real recommendations for a solid stretch – looks like from the 5th through the 9th, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Monday the 10th is the first real standout. The swell jumps to 4.6ft in the morning, with a fresh offshore wind from the west. That’s a major plus – clean conditions. The energy is building too, with values in the 200s and 300s. By the afternoon, it’s even better, with 5.2ft of swell and a moderate offshore wind. This is the first time we see a “good surf conditions” call, and I’m stoked on it. The period is 10 seconds, so there’s some decent shape to it. This is your window.

Tuesday the 11th continues the trend with a solid 3.6ft of swell, offshore winds, and good energy (236 in the morning). It’s not as big as Monday, but it’s still clean and fun. After that, it backs right off again. Wednesday and Thursday are back to small, weak dribble. The long-range stuff around the 15th and beyond shows some more size, with 4.6ft on the Saturday morning, but the winds are cross-shore and it doesn’t look clean. The period is short, too.

So, the standout pick has to be Monday the 10th. It’s the biggest, cleanest swell of the first week, with offshore winds. Conditions will be good, and the point should be firing. It’s an exposed spot, so it needs the swell, and it’s getting it. Crowds are often here, so expect some company, but it’ll be worth it. The swell is coming from the ENE, which is a bit off the optimum SE direction, but it’s still solid.

Tuesday is a good backup, just a notch smaller. After that, you’re waiting until the 15th for any real size again, but that comes with onshore winds, so it’s not a great call. The long-period stuff around the 19th-20th looks promising with a 12-second period, but that's a while away. Keep an eye on it. For now, set your alarm for Monday morning.

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