Cowries Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty.

First up, we’ve got a solid run of waves on the cards for Cowries, starting from this Saturday, July 4th. It’s not a classic kick-off, but there’s something brewing. Saturday morning is the best of that first weekend. You’re looking at 3ft south swell with the wind swinging offshore from the west-southwest. It’s light, it’s clean, and the combined energy is moderate (184). It’s surfable, but the energy is still building.

Now, things get serious pretty quick. By Sunday the 5th, it’s going to jump up. We’re talking a solid 8ft swell from the south and south-southeast, with the period stretching to 11 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy vaults into the strong range (1651). The wind is a bit of a cross-off from the south-southwest, which will straighten it up a little, but it’s a punchy 25 km/h breeze. That morning window looks the cleanest. This is the standout for that first full week. For experienced surfers only at that size.

Through Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th, the swell hangs in the 8ft to 8ft range, still from the SSE. The energy stays high (1959, 2073). The wind holds cross-off, so the shape should be reasonable. It’s solid, consistent, but the quality is marked as marginal, likely due to tide and that strong south swell direction not being an absolute perfect match for the break’s optimum. That said, there’s plenty of power.

We start to wind down after that. The swell holds into the 9th, even hitting a peak of 10ft on Thursday afternoon with massive energy (3415). But heading into the second week, from the 11th of July, it fades. Saturday the 11th morning offers a brief window of 5ft swell from the SE with glassy, offshore conditions from the north-west. The energy is weak (359). It’s clean but small.

Then there’s a real dead spell. From Sunday the 12th through to Monday the 13th, the swell drops to under 2ft. The energy is weak (39). Nothing doing.

The pulse returns on Tuesday, July 14th. The morning looks good: a 6ft south swell with a gentle offshore breeze from the WSW, giving you clean waves and moderate energy (584). The swell period is a short 9 seconds, so it won’t be the deepest, but it’s rideable. The afternoon builds to 8ft, but the wind goes cross-shore, introducing ripple. The 15th holds on with a 5ft south swell and clean conditions, but the energy is dropping (459). After that, it’s a slow fade into the end of the 16-day run, with small, unappealing swell and weak energy. A small 3ft south swell on the 17th might be worth a check if you’re desperate.

Crowds at Cowries can be a problem, so expect company on those better days. The water temp? I can’t give you the exact number from here, but there’s no drastic anomaly flagged for that first break I mentioned, so it’s likely about average for this time of year.

So, the best on offer is hands down the morning of Sunday, July 5th, and the morning of Tuesday, July 14th. The Sunday is the heavy hitter. The Tuesday is the sneaky clean one.

Rusty.

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