
Surf Forecasts:
Marley surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with 1,405 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marley this week:
The surf forecast for Marley over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Marley in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marley over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, let’s get into it. The surf outlook for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a decent run of swell coming through, but the wind is going to be the main player, keeping things a bit messy at times. The standout window looks to be early next week, with a few other promising windows later on.
We’ll kick things off at Marley (Garie-Point) . This is an exposed point break, very consistent, and it likes swell from the SE. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 29th is flat, with a tiny 0.7ft to 0.3ft S swell and a cross-off wind that’s just too strong. Thursday the 30th sees a jump in size to 6ft from the S with a 9-second period, but the wind is a cross or cross-on, making it choppy and poor. The combined energy is moderate though (456). Friday the 31st gets a bit bigger with a 8ft S swell (period 10s), but again, it’s a cross-on wind from the S at 12 mph, so it’s going to be a choppy mess. The combined energy is strong (1883), but it’s not for paddling.
Saturday the 1st of August drops a little to 5ft from the SSE, but the wind is light and cross, so not great. We’re still waiting for the good stuff.
Sunday the 2nd of August is where it starts to get interesting. The morning session is the clear winner. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSE swell with a long 11-second period, and most importantly, a light offshore wind from the NNW at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (452). This is a classic point-break swell; the long period means it will wrap in nicely with clean, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible here. This is one of the best on offer.
The surf dips through the middle of the week. Monday the 3rd drops to 2ft, and Tuesday is flat. The next real action comes on Thursday the 6th of August. The morning shows a solid 10ft S swell with a 10-second period. The combined energy is very strong (2828). This is big, expert-only territory. The wind is a cross-off from the W at 12 mph, so it should be clean. This is a raw, powerful day for the experienced crew.
Friday the 7th of August morning is also a standout. The swell drops to a still-chunky 7ft from the SSE, but the period is 10 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the W at 6 mph. The combined energy is strong (851). The forecast is for very good conditions. This is your best bet for the whole run if you don’t want the extreme size of Thursday.
After that, the swell fades again. The weekend of the 9th and 10th is small and ordinary. There’s a glimmer on Thursday the 13th of August morning, with a clean 4ft ESE swell and a gentle offshore from the NW at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (395). It’s a long way out, so take it as a promising, but less certain, option.
So, to sum it up: the surf is a bit hit and miss. The first week is mostly a write-off until Sunday the 2nd, then we get a big, clean swell on the 6th and 7th. The second week looks quiet again until maybe the 13th. Don’t get too excited about the early days; the wait is worth it for that Sunday and Friday session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed morning, light winds from the SW by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 17 | S 15 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
8 | 22 | 7 | 118 | 449 | 461 | 1011 | 1079 | 687 | 489 | 363 | 321 | 591 | 443 | 366 | 225 | 100 | 70 | 29 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:14AM1.13m | 8:10PM1.68m | 8:51AM1.18m | 8:46PM1.69m | 9:26AM1.23m | 9:23PM1.67m | 10:02AM1.26m | 10:00PM1.62m | 10:38AM1.30m | 10:39PM1.55m | 11:17AM1.33m | 11:21PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:21AM0.26m | 1:36PM0.43m | 2:55AM0.21m | 2:18PM0.40m | 3:29AM0.19m | 2:58PM0.39m | 4:02AM0.19m | 3:40PM0.38m | 4:35AM0.21m | 4:23PM0.39m | 5:09AM0.26m | 5:11PM0.42m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | N 4 | S 15 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 11 |
6 | 4 | 4 | 118 | 449 | 291 | 1011 | 802 | 687 | 489 | 363 | 321 | 591 | 443 | 366 | 225 | 100 | 70 | 29 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | S 17 | SE 13 | NE 7 | ENE 6 | S 12 | — | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | ENE 7 | NE 4 | E 17 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 |
8 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 228 | — | 2 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 147 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 13 | — | SE 13 | E 12 | NE 6 | — | — | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 18 | NE 9 | E 11 | S 22 | NE 8 | SE 14 | ESE 8 |
2 | 7 | — | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 2 | 8 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | S 9 | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | N 4 | NE 4 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 |
3 | 1 | 28 | 113 | — | 461 | — | 1079 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 12 | 11 | — | 2 | 1 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 627 | 318 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 7 | 67 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 45 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Illawarra | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Marley Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Marley provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marley can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marley surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marley) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marley may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Marley is 8 km (5 miles) from Cronulla. If you plan a holiday in Illawarra, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cronulla. Cronulla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










