Marley Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Marley is a real mixed bag, with more flat spells than we’d like, but there are two sessions that’ll make the wait worth it if you’re patient.

Let’s start with the big picture. We’re looking at a classic point break setup here at Marley, exposed to the SE, and we’ve got a very consistent wave that should work best with a swell from the SE. Right now we’ve got a bit of a pulse pushing through, but it’s not all good news. The first real stand-out is this Saturday morning, July 11. The swell’s a touch undersized at 3 ft from the ESE, but the period is a solid 12 seconds, giving it some real push. The wind is a light, clean offshore from the NW, and that’s a major positive – it’ll be glassy and clean, perfect for an advanced crew. The combined wave energy reads 412 (moderate), so there’s enough grunt to have fun. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so expect company, but with conditions this good, who cares? That’s the best morning of the first week.

Now, after that, the wheels fall off for a solid stretch. From Saturday afternoon through to the end of Tuesday, July 14, the swell drops right off – we’re talking knee-high junk at best, with dirty cross-shore winds. We then get a spike in size mid-week: Wednesday morning, July 15, sees a solid 8 ft southerly swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore and it’s lumpy, so it’s a write-off – too big for anyone but experts and even then, it’s messy. The energy number hits 1085 (strong), but it’s wasted. That carries on through Thursday, with onshore winds ruining a 5 ft swell. The rest of that week is a write-off right through to Saturday, July 18 – flat and onshore.

Then we get the second, and maybe the better, highlight. Sunday morning, July 19, is a mirror image of the first Saturday: 3 ft from the east, clean NW offshore wind, and a combined energy of 248 (moderate). The period is 9 seconds, so it’s a shorter swell, but the point will still groom it. Again, a beautiful clean session. But the real gem lands the following afternoon: Monday, July 20. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the ENE, period 10 seconds, and the wind goes offshore from the NNW – that’s a moderate offshore and clean. The wave energy sits at 502 (moderate to strong). That’s the best combo of size and quality in the whole run, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat that as a promising one to pencil in, but not set in stone.

We get a few more small pulses after that – a 2 ft glassy day on Thursday morning, July 23, with a very long period of 18 seconds, but that’s only 2 ft – it’ll be glassy but barely breaking. The rest of the run is small, choppy, and not worth paddling out for.

So to sum it up for you: this spot doesn’t normally stay this quiet for this long – we get good waves here consistently – so it’s a bit of a freak blank run. But if you’re keen, the Saturday July 11 and Monday July 20 mornings are your best bets. Sunday July 19 is also a good option if you want the clean smaller stuff. Don’t bother with anything else in between.

Rusty.

Read more