Marley Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.12° S 151.15° E

Marley Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Marley sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.6° 

Marley surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Marley surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with 1,405 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marley this week:

The surf forecast for Marley over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Marley in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 30th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 11s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 11s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marley over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, let’s get into it. The surf outlook for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a decent run of swell coming through, but the wind is going to be the main player, keeping things a bit messy at times. The standout window looks to be early next week, with a few other promising windows later on.

We’ll kick things off at Marley (Garie-Point) . This is an exposed point break, very consistent, and it likes swell from the SE. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 29th is flat, with a tiny 0.7ft to 0.3ft S swell and a cross-off wind that’s just too strong. Thursday the 30th sees a jump in size to 6ft from the S with a 9-second period, but the wind is a cross or cross-on, making it choppy and poor. The combined energy is moderate though (456). Friday the 31st gets a bit bigger with a 8ft S swell (period 10s), but again, it’s a cross-on wind from the S at 12 mph, so it’s going to be a choppy mess. The combined energy is strong (1883), but it’s not for paddling.

Saturday the 1st of August drops a little to 5ft from the SSE, but the wind is light and cross, so not great. We’re still waiting for the good stuff.

Sunday the 2nd of August is where it starts to get interesting. The morning session is the clear winner. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSE swell with a long 11-second period, and most importantly, a light offshore wind from the NNW at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (452). This is a classic point-break swell; the long period means it will wrap in nicely with clean, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible here. This is one of the best on offer.

The surf dips through the middle of the week. Monday the 3rd drops to 2ft, and Tuesday is flat. The next real action comes on Thursday the 6th of August. The morning shows a solid 10ft S swell with a 10-second period. The combined energy is very strong (2828). This is big, expert-only territory. The wind is a cross-off from the W at 12 mph, so it should be clean. This is a raw, powerful day for the experienced crew.

Friday the 7th of August morning is also a standout. The swell drops to a still-chunky 7ft from the SSE, but the period is 10 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the W at 6 mph. The combined energy is strong (851). The forecast is for very good conditions. This is your best bet for the whole run if you don’t want the extreme size of Thursday.

After that, the swell fades again. The weekend of the 9th and 10th is small and ordinary. There’s a glimmer on Thursday the 13th of August morning, with a clean 4ft ESE swell and a gentle offshore from the NW at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (395). It’s a long way out, so take it as a promising, but less certain, option.

So, to sum it up: the surf is a bit hit and miss. The first week is mostly a write-off until Sunday the 2nd, then we get a big, clean swell on the 6th and 7th. The second week looks quiet again until maybe the 13th. Don’t get too excited about the early days; the wait is worth it for that Sunday and Friday session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed morning, light winds from the SW by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon).

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
8
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
15
0.7
S
11
1.7
S
9
1.7
S
9
2.1
S
11
2.3
S
10
1.9
S
10
1.6
S
10
1.4
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
9
1.5
SSE
11
1.3
SSE
11
1.3
SSE
11
1
SSE
10
0.7
SE
10
0.6
SE
9
0.4
SE
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
8
22
7
118
449
461
1011
1079
687
489
363
321
591
443
366
225
100
70
29
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
20
WSW
30
WSW
15
SW
10
SW
20
SSE
15
WSW
20
S
20
S
10
S
10
SW
10
E
15
NW
15
NNW
25
NE
15
NW
10
WSW
20
WSW
25
W
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
off
off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:14AM1.13m
8:10PM1.68m
8:51AM1.18m
8:46PM1.69m
9:26AM1.23m
9:23PM1.67m
10:02AM1.26m
10:00PM1.62m
10:38AM1.30m
10:39PM1.55m
11:17AM1.33m
11:21PM1.45m
Low Tide
2:21AM0.26m
1:36PM0.43m
2:55AM0.21m
2:18PM0.40m
3:29AM0.19m
2:58PM0.39m
4:02AM0.19m
3:40PM0.38m
4:35AM0.21m
4:23PM0.39m
5:09AM0.26m
5:11PM0.42m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
 mm
3
1
Temp °C
13
16
16
11
13
14
13
14
14
13
14
15
14
18
17
17
19
19
11
Feels °C
9
7
8
5
8
10
10
9
9
9
13
11
11
15
12
13
15
12
3
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Marley Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Marley provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marley can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marley surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marley) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marley may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Marley is 8 km (5 miles) from Cronulla. If you plan a holiday in Illawarra, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cronulla. Cronulla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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