Marley Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The first real surf window is Thursday morning the 17th, or really Friday morning the 18th is where you want to point the car. There’s a gap before then with nothing worth paddling for.

Marley (Garie-Point) – This is your only game in town for the next couple of weeks. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th are write-offs with messy, blown-out conditions from strong S/SSW winds and lumpy cross-chop. You’re looking at 3 ft of short-period junk on Tuesday, jumping to a big 12 ft on Wednesday, but the wind is ripping at 25 mph cross or cross-on. That’s not surf – that’s a washing machine. The combined wave energy is deep in the moderate range (148) on Tuesday, then cranks up to strong (2760) on Wednesday, but it’s all wasted with the wind.

Thursday the 17th morning offers a bit of a drop: 8 ft at 10 seconds from the south, but it’s still cross-on and fairly choppy. The energy is moderate at 1081, and it’s only rated as marginal. Hardly a standout.

Now, Friday morning the 18th – that’s where it gets interesting. We’ve got 5 ft of S swell at 9 seconds, but the real beauty is that glassy calm wind. Zero wind, pure clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate (494), but with the wind dead calm, Marley will look clean and shape up nicely. This is the standout of the whole outlook – you get a proper session in with no chop. The water temp is about 64°, which is normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

After that, it fades fast. Saturday the 19th morning drops to 3 ft with a light cross breeze – surfable but nothing special. Saturday afternoon is smaller (3 ft) and only worth a glance. By Sunday the 20th, we’re down to 2 ft, and while it’s clean in the morning, there’s almost no push. The energy is weak (46). That’s a longboard or a paddleboard kind of day if you’re keen.

Then there’s a huge dead zone. From Monday the 21st right through to the end of the outlook on Wednesday the 30th, it’s all poor surf conditions. Wind is constantly onshore or cross-on, often strong, and the swell is either too small or too messy. You’ll see a few pulses – like Tuesday the 29th with 8 ft from the NE – but the wind is howling at 19 mph onshore and it’s mod rain. Not worth your time.

Bottom line: If you want the only good wave in this 16-day stretch, be at Marley on Friday morning the 18th. Glassy conditions, 5 ft of S swell, and a moderate energy (494). It’s a pick-and-choose session, not a full day, but it’s the best we’ve got. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, and it’s a very consistent advanced point break, so expect a few heads out. After that, the forecast looks bleak until maybe the first week of October.

Rusty.

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