Hope Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Hope Beach has a real mixed bag coming up over the next couple weeks. First few days are small and clean, then a huge pulse of swell mid-week that’s only for the hardcore, before it all fades out. There’s a couple of good windows if you time it right.

We start Monday the 10th with some clean, long-period groundswell. Monday morning shows a 3ft SSW swell with an 18-second period, combined energy of 790 (moderate), and light cross-offshore wind from the WSW at just 3 mph. The water’s at 52° which is about a degree and a half cooler than usual for this time of year – pretty chilly, so grab the thick suit. Hope Beach is an inconsistent spot that’s fairly exposed to S swells, and the wind is glassy enough to keep it clean. This is your best early window.

Monday afternoon goes to crap with a fresh 19 mph S wind smashing it onshore and lumpy – skip it. Tuesday the 11th has some hope with clean conditions and a small 2ft to 3ft SSW swell, periods of 15-18 seconds, combined energy from 316 to 639 (moderate). Light WNW to NNW winds keep it clean but the swell is tiny. Wednesday the 12th is messy with rain and moderate cross-shore wind at 12-16 mph and a cross-chop – not worth it.

Now Thursday the 13th gets serious. The morning has 6ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, combined energy of 1756 (strong), and clean cross-offshore wind from the WNW at 12 mph. The afternoon though, that’s a monster – 15ft SW swell with the same period, combined energy a massive 11630 (very strong). That’s way too big for this break, only for the most experienced. The swell direction is SW, not the optimum S, so it’ll be a heavy, closed-out mess at a beach break like Hope Beach. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Friday the 14th is the standout for experienced surfers. Morning has 8ft S swell with a 17-second period, combined energy of 4189 (very strong), and gentle WNW cross-offshore wind at 9 mph. The swell size is in the expert-only zone, but the wind is clean and the period is long – it’ll be powerful. Crowds can be a problem here sometimes, but on a Friday morning you might have it to yourselves. The afternoon drops to 7ft with lighter wind – still solid.

Saturday the 15th drops off with 6ft to 6ft SSW swell but the wind goes cross and onshore – marginal. Sunday the 16th has a small clean window with 4ft S swell and a 12-second period, offshore N wind at 6 mph – worth a paddle if you’re keen, but nothing special. The rest of the week into the 17th and 18th stays small and mostly clean but under 3ft.

Then there’s a gap of several days with nothing worth chasing – from about the 19th through to the 22nd, the swell drops right off to 0.7ft to 2ft, combined energy weak (57 to 194). The wind is offshore or clean but there’s just no power.

Finally, the last standout shows up on Sunday the 23rd. That morning brings 6ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, combined energy of 1864 (strong), and glassy conditions – NNE wind at just 3 mph. That’s a clean, groundswell pulse at a size that’s manageable for intermediates and up. Crowds are possible here. The afternoon holds 5ft with light cross-offshore wind. After that, the swell fades through the 24th and 25th into small, ordinary surf.

Bottom line: your best bet is the clean Monday morning on the 10th, and the expert-level Friday on the 14th. The Sunday the 23rd is the other decent option for clean, solid waves. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff – it’s promising but less certain.

Rusty.

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