Hope Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer at Hope Beach.

We’ve got a pretty solid run of surf coming up, but it’s not all going to be firing on all cylinders. The early part of the window sees some nice, clean, long-period groundswell, but we’ll have to be patient through a couple of smaller, wind-affected days. The real standout is shaping up for Monday the 10th and then again on Thursday the 13th. If you’ve got a flexible schedule, those are the days to circle.

The water temp is sitting at 52°F, which is about bang on average for the time of year - no surprises there.

Let’s start with Friday morning the 7th. We’ve got a 3ft south-southwest swell, with a very long 16-second period, and a light NNW offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (465). It’s inconsistent, but when it comes, it’ll be clean. Friday afternoon goes glassy with a 2ft, 19-second period swell and a glassy sea surface – that’s a real treat for an evening session (530 energy).

Saturday the 8th stays clean in the morning with a 3ft, 16-second swell and a firmer 15 km/h offshore from the NNW (406 energy). The afternoon gets a bit cross-off, but still surfable.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off. The swell drops to 1.0ft with a long period, but the wind is up and it’s just not worth paddling out for. The combined energy plummets to 100.

Now, Monday the 10th – this is the pick of the first week. The morning session is glassy, with a 3ft south-southwest swell and an 18-second period. The combined energy is a solid 781 (moderate). Zero wind. It’s inconsistent, but the quality will be there. The afternoon goes cross-on and choppy, so get out early.

Tuesday the 11th is clean again in the morning with a 2ft, 15-second swell and a 10 km/h offshore (358 energy). Tuesday afternoon goes glassy with a 2ft, 18-second swell from the south – clean and long-period.

Wednesday the 12th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning has a 4ft, 17-second swell, but the wind is a strong 25 km/h cross-off, making it a bit lumpy. The energy is strong (794), but it’s marginal. The afternoon stays cross-off and lumpy.

Here’s your true standout – Thursday the 13th. The afternoon session is the one. A 4ft, 18-second south-southwest swell, with a moderate 20 km/h offshore wind from the NNW, and the combined energy is 934 (strong). It’s clean, it’s powerful, and it’s the best wave quality of the whole forecast. The morning is cross-off and marginal, but the afternoon is a go.

Friday the 14th goes a bit sideways. The morning is a cross-shore mess with a 4ft, 15-second swell (882 energy). The afternoon sees a massive 10ft, 19-second swell, but it’s blowing 30 km/h cross-shore, making it a lumpy, choppy beast. The energy is a massive 6084 (very strong), but this is for experts only, and honestly, it might be more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle-surfing session.

Saturday the 15th is still big. A 10ft, 18-second swell in the morning with a 15 km/h cross-off (6039 energy), and a 8ft, 18-second swell in the afternoon. Still big, still for experts. The crowds are possible at Hope Beach, and on a day like this, it’ll be heavy.

Sunday the 16th settles back down. A 4ft, 14-second swell with a 20 km/h offshore in the morning (618 energy), and a glassy 3ft, 13-second swell in the afternoon. Clean and surfable.

The second week sees smaller, cleaner conditions. Monday the 17th morning is a 2ft, 17-second swell with a light offshore (312 energy). Tuesday the 18th morning is a 3ft, 18-second swell with a light offshore (568 energy). Wednesday the 19th is small and marginal. Thursday the 20th has a 2ft, 20-second swell with a moderate offshore in the morning (282 energy) – that’s a very long-period groundswell, so it’ll be lining up nicely at the right spots. The afternoon is light and clean.

The last few days, from Friday the 21st to Saturday the 22nd, are pretty ordinary with small waves and onshore or cross-off winds. The energy drops to 91 on Friday afternoon. Not worth getting excited about.

So, to sum it up: Monday 10th morning and Thursday 13th afternoon are your best bets. The 13th is the clear winner for a proper session with solid, clean, long-period swell. The big days on the 14th and 15th are for experts only.

Rusty.

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