Hope Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well, grab a coffee and settle in, because this outlook is a bit of a slow burner. The next few days are looking rough—lots of wind and messy conditions—but there's a real payoff waiting if you’re patient. The main (and really, only) show in town is Hope Beach, and it’s got a bit of a split personality: some proper firepower coming through, but you’ve got to pick your moments. Water temp is sitting at 53°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

We start off Thursday the 3rd and right out of the gate it’s a write-off. Strong breeze from the west, 28 mph, cross-off but just too much wind to enjoy the 5 ft swell. Poor surf conditions. Friday the 4th is a bit of a tease: solid 8 ft SSW groundswell with a 17-second period—lots of energy (3179 combined energy)—but that cross-off wind is still messing with things. It’s not total junk, but it’s marginal, so I’d call it a maybe if you’re desperate.

Saturday the 5th sees the swell drop to 5 ft, still that long 17-second groundswell, but the wind switches to a cross-on from the SW in the afternoon, turning things choppy. Not your day. Sunday the 6th is a big drop-off: tiny 2 ft/2 ft surf, clean enough in the morning with a light breeze, but it’s barely surfable. Not worth a paddle.

Monday the 7th is a washout—fresh onshore winds, lumpy, messy, and a short-period 6-second windswell shows up in the afternoon that just looks ugly. Tuesday the 8th morning brings a bit of hope: 7 ft WSW swell, 10-second period, moderate energy (1500), and clean with a light WNW cross-off. It’s marginal, but the cleanest we’ve seen so far. The afternoon though? Brutal—25 mph cross-shore winds, massive chop.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting and a bit bonkers. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are not for the faint-hearted. Wednesday morning sees a 10 ft SSW swell pumping (5445 energy), and by the afternoon it’s a monster 16 ft SW swell with 16-second period and a whopping 17602 combined energy. That is seriously heavy. The wind is cross-shore and fresh, so it’s messy, but the swell size is so big that the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Thursday the 10th morning is still huge at 12 ft from the S, 18-second period, 7177 energy, and clean with a cross-off. But it’s too big for this break—experts only, and even then, caution. Thursday afternoon drops to 8 ft, still solid but still marginal with the wind.

Then comes the standout window. Friday the 11th morning is your best bet for the next week: a clean, 5 ft S swell, 15-second period, with light NNW offshore wind at just 6 mph. The combined energy is 1060—nothing crazy, but it’s clean, offshore, and surfable. That’s the one to aim for. Saturday the 12th morning is also excellent: 6 ft S swell, 18-second period, 2323 energy, with a gentle offshore from the N. That’s proper groundswell with clean faces—very good for experienced surfers. The long period will make it best at a point or reef, not a beachie, but the quality is there.

Sunday the 13th is a comedown—tiny 2 ft and glassy in the morning, but barely surfable. Monday and Tuesday the 14th and 15th see some pulse again. Tuesday the 15th morning is another standout: 7 ft SSW swell, 18-second period, 2730 energy, with a gentle WNW cross-off and clean conditions. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. Tuesday afternoon holds at 6 ft with NW cross-off—still very good.

Wednesday the 16th morning is clean with a 4 ft SSW swell and offshore NW winds, moderate energy (778), and good conditions. But by Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th, we’re back to onshore winds and messy, lumpy surf. Friday morning the 18th has a 7 ft SSW swell but onshore wind, making it marginal and unappealing.

Bottom line: The true standouts are Friday the 11th morning and Tuesday the 15th morning. Friday gives you clean, offshore conditions on a manageable 5 ft S swell—perfect for intermediate surfers wanting quality. Tuesday the 15th is bigger at 7 ft, still clean, and with more energy—excellent for experienced surfers. Don’t waste your time on the huge days unless you’re a gun looking for a tow or a kite session. Crowds at Hope Beach are listed as “sometimes” busy, so expect some company on those good days, but nothing crazy.

Rusty.

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