Hope Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the surf ahead for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

The first few days are pretty slim, with only small, short-period leftovers. The first real window is Wednesday morning, the 5th, at Hope Beach. It’s only 2ft from the south, but that 19-second period means there’s some serious push in it. The wind is light and cross-off, so it should be clean. The water’s at 52°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is weak at 386, so it’s not going to be a standout, but it’s a start.

Thursday the 6th is a bit better with 4ft from the ESE early, and the wind is light cross-off again, keeping it clean. The energy is moderate at 326. Friday the 7th has a nice drop of swell, 3ft from the SSW, but the period jumps to 16 seconds, and the morning offshore wind makes it look fun. The energy is moderate at 459. Saturday the 8th looks like the pick of this first stretch. Morning has 3ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze. Afternoon stays clean with 3ft and offshore winds. Combined energy is moderate at 413. It’s not big, but it’s clean and consistent, and it’s about as good as it gets for a few days.

Then we hit a bit of a flat patch. Sunday the 9th is tiny, 1ft, and the wind is fresh. Monday the 10th gets a bit of swell but it’s messy and onshore, with a 6ft swell in the afternoon and a strong cross-onshore wind. That’s blown out. Tuesday the 11th has a clean 2ft in the morning with offshore winds, but it’s not much. Wednesday the 12th is all wind, 45-50 km/h, with a 4ft swell, but it’s just a mess. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 13th, the forecast is calling for a serious pulse. We’re looking at 15ft in the morning, jumping to 20ft in the afternoon, from the SSW with a 16-second period. The wind is offshore, so it’ll be big, raw, and powerful. But this is way too big for Hope Beach. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s probably just a wilderness out there. The combined energy is off the charts at 16,377 in the morning and 24,435 in the afternoon. It’s a monster, but it’s not a surfer’s friend at this spot.

Friday the 14th backs off to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore and lumpy, making for poor conditions. The energy is still strong at 4,998, but it’s not going to be clean. The weekend, the 15th and 16th, is still sizeable, 5ft to 5ft, but the wind stays cross and fresh, so it remains messy and lumpy.

The window starts to open again on Tuesday the 18th. The morning has 5ft from the SSW with a 19-second period, and a moderate offshore wind. The afternoon is similar, 5ft with offshore winds. The combined energy is strong at 1,291 in the morning and 1,134 in the afternoon. This is the standout of the whole run. It’s clean, it’s got push, and it’s a proper groundswell. This is the one to circle.

Wednesday the 19th has a bit of a drop to 3ft in the morning, but the afternoon bumps up to 6ft with a cross-shore wind, making it a bit iffy. Thursday the 20th is back to clean conditions with 3ft and a glassy morning. It’s a nice end to the run, but the 18th is the day.

So, the long and short of it is: the first week is small and clean, with Saturday the 8th being the best of that. Then a big, unmanageable swell on the 13th, followed by a messy few days. But keep an eye on Tuesday the 18th – that’s the one that’s got the quality and the cleanliness to be a proper session. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the day off yet, but it’s looking promising.

Rusty.

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