Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what we’ve got for Flatrock. Only one spot on the radar here, and it’s an advanced reef break, fairly consistent but exposed. The water’s sitting at 60°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing too unusual there.

The week kicks off with some clean surf. Tuesday morning brings a 6 ft SW swell with a long 16-second period and a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is pushing 1811, solid enough for a fun session if you’re dialled in. But Tuesday afternoon is where it gets real good—7 ft SW, still 16 seconds, with an offshore E wind at 6 mph. That’s the standout of the early window. Clean, powerful lines for the experienced crew.

Wednesday morning pumps up to 10 ft SW, 17 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 4856. That’s a serious groundswell, very long period, so think about how it hits the reef—these pulses can be potent. Wind is cross-off, still clean. Then Wednesday afternoon? Glassy. 8 ft SW, 16 seconds, with NNW wind at just 3 mph. That’s about as good as it gets for this break. If you can get out there, that’s your best bet early on.

Thursday sees the swell back to 6 ft and 7 ft, still long-period, but the wind turns cross-on during the afternoon and it gets messy. From Thursday afternoon onward, it’s a slow decline. Friday and Saturday are blown out with rain showers and strong onshore winds—12 ft swell on Sunday with fresh onshore wind means big, ugly, unsurfable conditions.

Monday the 13th sees another pulse—10 ft SSW moving to 13 ft SSW, but the wind is cross-on and a bit soft. The combined energy is massive, hitting over 9000, but the wind’s not helping. This is more for the chargers with big-wave boards and a tolerance for chop. Tuesday the 14th has clean-ish conditions with onshore wind, but the swell is still big—10 ft and 8 ft.

Then, a real treat for the patient surfer: Wednesday the 15th is glassy again—8 ft SW, 14 to 15 seconds, with no wind both morning and afternoon. That’s another clean window, but you’re looking at a two-week wait. After that, the second week gets increasingly windy and lumpy, with strong cross-onshore winds and big, messy swell up to 13 ft through to the 22nd.

There’s a long stretch from around the 17th through the 22nd where conditions are poor—heavy wind, rain, and choppy lines. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate. The surf is still there, but the quality drops hard.

So, the standout sessions are Tuesday afternoon the 7th, Wednesday morning the 8th, and that glassy Wednesday the 15th. If you’re keen on the early week, get on Tuesday afternoon—the wind’s perfect, the swell’s solid, and the combined energy is pushing 2095. For the longer look, Wednesday the 15th morning is a gem, though it’s a way off. The rest is either too big, too windy, or just plain messy.

Rusty.

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