Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, looking over the coming weeks at Flatrock. It’s a solid reef break that takes a good SW groundswell, and we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead. The first few days are mostly a write-off thanks to strong onshore wind and lumpy conditions, but there are some absolute gems hidden in there for the patient crew.

We kick off with a bit of a dud. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are blown out with strong onshore wind and big, messy swell. Wave energy is massive (2804 to 6665), but it’s all wind-affected junk. Monday the 3rd isn’t much better. Then things shift.

Tuesday the 4th morning is the first real standout. A 7ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period rolling in, combined with a light NE cross-offshore breeze. That’s clean, lined-up waves for experienced surfers. The combined energy is a solid 2117 – moderate but punchy. The water is sitting at 59°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. It’s a reef, so expect some proper shape, but it’ll be for the advanced crew only. Crowds are possible here sometimes.

After a bit of a lull with smaller, lumpy stuff on Wednesday and Thursday morning, we get another crack on Thursday the 6th morning. Glassy conditions (5ft SW, 16 seconds, 1918 energy) but that smaller size and glassy surface means clean but not epic. Not a standout, but a fun session if you’re keen.

Then Friday the 7th morning is a proper beast. A 10ft SW groundswell, 18-second period, and a NNE cross-offshore breeze. That’s an energy reading of 7335 – strong, powerful, and clean. This is for experts only, and it’s the best on offer in the near-term. The wind is moderate but cross-off, so the face should be holding up nicely. A serious session if you’ve got the skills.

We then hit another rough patch from the 8th through the 10th with strong onshore wind and blown-out conditions. Monday the 10th morning is pumping with 13ft SW and 18 seconds, but cross-shore wind makes it lumpy – more of a kite-surfing setup, honestly. Energy is 10012, so there’s heaps of power, just not for us.

After that, Tuesday the 11th afternoon is wild – 16ft SW, 14-second period, and an energy reading of 14536. That’s way too big for this break, even for experts. Definitely sit that one out.

Now for the long-range standouts. Wednesday the 13th afternoon sees a 8ft SSW swell, 21-second period (very long groundswell), with a SSE cross-offshore breeze. That’s clean, and at 6670 energy it’s got serious grunt. The long period means it’ll wrap well around the reef, so expect proper barrels. Less certain this far out, but promising.

Thursday the 14th morning is the pick of the second week. A 12ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and a light ENE offshore breeze. Clean as a whistle, energy at 6569. This is for expert surfers only, but if it holds, this will be the day to circle. Afternoon stays good too with 10ft SW and clean cross-off.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th both offer lovely clean conditions with 7-8ft SW swells, light offshore or glassy wind. Energy is between 2418 and 3329. Fun, manageable waves for experienced surfers, and the water stays average temp. A nice way to round out the outlook.

Overall, the best windows are Friday the 7th morning and Thursday the 14th morning. Mark those dates.

Rusty.

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