Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got one break on the menu for the next 16 days, and it's a bit of a mixed bag, so let's walk through it.

The pattern shaping up is a bit of a slow burn, with a lot of noise to sift through. The surf is pretty much a no-go for the first few days, with onshore winds messing things up. But hold on, because we get a proper window of opportunity later on.

Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd are write-offs. Tuesday morning has a solid 6 ft SW groundswell (1741 energy), but a fresh 30 km/h NNW cross-on wind has it lumpy and poor. Afternoon improves a bit with an onshore wind, but it's still not surfable. Wednesday morning bumps up to 8 ft SW, but it's still onshore and choppy. The afternoon gets even bigger to 10 ft, but the same story applies.

Thursday the 3rd is still a bit raw. Morning has 10 ft SW swell with a cross-on wind, making it choppy. The afternoon looks better though, with the swell pushing 12 ft SW and the wind swinging onshore but dropping to a light 10 km/h. It's marginal, but there's a glimmer.

Friday the 4th is where things start to get interesting. The morning is a real standout. The swell is a solid 12 ft SW, but the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NNE at 25 km/h. The water temp is about 60°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is pumping at 5047, and it's described as clean. This is the best session on offer for the first week. The afternoon sees the wind swing back onshore, so get on it early.

Saturday the 5th is a massive day. We're talking 15 ft SW swell in the morning with a massive 13767 energy, but it's howling cross-on from the WSW at 25 km/h. That's a mess. The afternoon drops to 12 ft but a long 16-second period, and the wind eases to a gentle breeze, but it's still cross-on. It's a bit of a beast, and honestly, with that size and wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 6th is a redemption story. The morning has a clean cross-offshore wind from the NE at 20 km/h, with a 10 ft SW swell (3377 energy). It's clean. The afternoon is even better for the conditions: 7 ft SW swell with a cross-offshore SE breeze at 15 km/h. The report says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's a good call.

Monday the 7th is a write-off again. Strong winds from the SE and S at 40 km/h make it messy and dangerous.

Tuesday the 8th is a case of too much of a good thing. The swell is a massive 15 ft with a 17-second period from the SW, and the energy is through the roof at 22588. The report says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, it's a big call.

The second week sees the swell drop but still offers some windows. Wednesday the 9th has a 13 ft SSW groundswell, but it's cross-shore with a lumpy chop. Thursday the 10th has a 10 ft SW swell with a near-flat wind from the NNW at 5 km/h in the morning, making it glassy but with a slight cross-on ripple. It's clean but a bit weaker.

Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are smaller, with 8 ft and 7 ft swells, but the winds are light and manageable. Sunday the 13th has a clean morning with a 5 ft SSW swell and a cross-offshore wind, but it's a small one.

The last few days, Monday 14th to Tuesday 15th, are a total loss with strong onshore winds. Then, on Wednesday the 16th, we get a final little window. The morning has a clean 6 ft SW swell with a light offshore NE breeze at 10 km/h. It's described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." A nice way to end the run.

Best on offer: Friday the 4th morning for the big, clean 12 ft SW swell. Sunday the 6th afternoon for a more manageable, clean 7 ft SW swell. And Wednesday the 16th morning for a clean, smaller session.

Rusty.

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