Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for our region over the next couple of weeks.

First thing to say is, the next few days are a right-off. We’ve got a massive swell on the way, but it’s pretty much unsurfable right now. Monday the 27th is a total no-go with strong cross-shore winds and a lumpy mess, and Tuesday the 28th stays ugly with fresh cross-onshore winds and a big, raw 10ft SW swell. The energy is massive – we’re talking over 5000 (combined energy of all swells directed here) – but it’s all blown out. This is more of a kite session than a paddle session for the next couple of days.

Wednesday the 29th is still rough, but it’s a turning point. The swell is still big at 12ft from the SSW, and the period is a very long 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s getting there. The energy is still pumping over 6000. This is for the experts only, and even then, it’s a battle.

Now, the first real standout is Thursday the 30th. Flatrock (reef) wakes up. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft from the SSW, with a solid 13-second period. The real story is the wind: a light offshore Easterly at 3 mph. That’s glassy. It’s clean. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there. The energy is a solid 1918 – moderate but packing a punch. This is the best window of the week for an experienced surfer. The morning is the call.

Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August are a step down in size and quality, with cross-off and cross-shore winds messing with the shape. The swell is still there, but it’s not as clean. Skip it.

Sunday the 2nd of August is a write-off again with a strong onshore wind and rain. The swell is a messy 10ft.

Here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 4th of August brings another clean window. The swell has settled to a clean 7ft from the SW, with a nice 13-second period. The wind is a light cross-off, and the conditions are described as excellent. The energy is moderate at 1412. It’s a great option for experienced surfers who want a less hectic session than Thursday.

Wednesday the 5th of August is the real long-range gem. The morning is absolute perfection: 6ft of SW swell at a very long 16 seconds, with a clean offshore wind from the ENE. The energy jumps to 2475. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 8ft with a 19-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell, which will be proper and powerful. For a reef like Flatrock, that’s going to be incredible. This is the standout of the second week. It’s promising, but it’s a week away, so keep your fingers crossed.

After that, the 6th and 7th of August have some clean windows but with smaller swell and moderate winds. The 8th and 9th get hammered by near-gale winds and a massive 13ft swell on the Sunday – that’s 13684 energy, which is dangerous and blown out. The run ends on the 11th of August with a clean, light wind morning on a 7ft SW swell, which is a solid note to finish on.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a struggle, but Thursday the 30th of July morning is the clear winner for the near term. For the long-range, Wednesday the 5th of August is looking like the absolute best of the whole forecast, with clean, offshore winds and a powerful, long-period swell.

Rusty.

Read more