Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Flatrock over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid pulse of energy rolling in. This isn’t a flukey little bump; there’s some serious grunt behind this southwest groundswell. The first decent window opens up Friday afternoon and that’s where I’d be looking first. Flatrock is a reef setup, so that long-period energy is going to line up nicely.

We're looking at a solid 8ft of swell from the SSW, with a deep 16-second period. The combined energy is pumping at 3062, so there's plenty of power. The wind is a light SSE cross-off, keeping things clean. Water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about normal for this time of year. This is advanced territory though – this spot isn't one for learners, and with that size, it's strictly for the experienced crew.

Saturday sees the swell dropping back a touch to 6ft, but a morning NNE breeze at 12 mph will still offer a clean cross-off. The energy is still moderate at 2171, so it’s a solid follow-up day. Sunday is a write-off with strong onshore winds, so don't bother.

Now, keep an eye on Tuesday the 15th. We see the swell jumping back up to 10ft from the SW with a 15-second period. The combined energy is a meaty 4076. The wind is cross-off from the SSE, so it’ll be clean. This is big, powerful surf – experts only.

The real standout, and I mean the best of the entire run, looks to be Wednesday the 16th. We’ve got a solid 10ft of SSW swell, clean as a whistle with a moderate offshore breeze from the East at 16 mph. The period is a long 15 seconds, and the energy is a massive 3733. This is the kind of day you call in sick for. The wind is blowing off the land, stacking the swell up on that reef. It’s going to be a proper session. After that, Thursday the 17th offers a decent 7ft option, but the wind swings onshore later in the day.

We then hit a lull from the 18th through the 20th. The swell drops below 5ft and the winds turn messy, so it’s a few days of flat or poor conditions.

The following week gets interesting again. Monday the 21st is a no-go – the swell jacks up to a massive 18ft with strong onshore winds. That’s just unsafe. Tuesday the 22nd sees it drop to 13ft, but the wind is cross-shore and messy. However, Wednesday the 23rd of September is another one to circle on the calendar. The swell drops to a still-big 13ft from the SW, but the wind goes offshore from the East again at 12 mph. The combined energy is off the charts at 10007. This is exceptional, high-performance surfing for experts only. The light winds on Wednesday afternoon will have it glassing off.

Right at the tail end, Saturday the 26th looks promising again with an 8ft to 12ft SW groundswell and clean conditions. It’s a long way off, so don’t lock it in, but it’s a good sign the sand might still be holding.

So, to wrap it up: your best bets are this Friday, the 11th of September, for the first solid swell, and next Wednesday, the 16th, for the cleanest, most powerful surf. That Wednesday is the one to chase.

Rusty.

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