Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk Flatrock in feet and Fahrenheit over the next couple of weeks. There’s a whole lot of swell coming, but most of it is going to be way too big or too messy – we’ve only got a couple really clean windows in there.

Flatrock is a reef break that lights up on a good SW groundswell, but we’re starting Monday July 13 with a massive 16ft swell out of the SW, period 16 seconds. That’s insane – combined wave energy hits 21709 (very strong). Wind is offshore from the west at 35 km/h, but it’s just way too big for this spot unless you’re totally nuts. Tuesday July 14 morning stays oversized at 16ft, wind turns cross-on from the southwest at 20 km/h – messy and heaving.

Finally, on Wednesday July 15 morning, it drops to a much more surfable 10ft from the SW, period 15 seconds – combined energy 3281 (moderate). Wind is light NE cross-offshore at 10 km/h – clean conditions. This is the best on offer: solid groundswell, good shape, excellent for experienced surfers. Wednesday afternoon gets even better with nearly glassy wind (WSW 5 km/h) and swell down to 8ft, period 14 seconds. If you can handle the reef, this is the session.

Thursday July 16 through Friday July 17 sees swell 7ft to 8ft, same SW direction, periods 14-16 seconds – combined energy moderate (2242-3162). Winds are either cross-off or cross-on, not perfect, but still okay for a paddle if you’re keen. Saturday July 18 drops to 3-4ft but gets messy onshore – not worth it. Sunday July 19 has a weird long-period 19-second pulse but only 2ft swell, and the wind is poor.

Tuesday July 21 morning brings a cleaner setup: NNE cross-offshore wind at 30 km/h with 6ft SW swell, period 13 seconds – combined energy 1058 (weak to moderate). Clean and manageable for advanced surfers. After that, Wednesday July 22 through the end of the first week turns ugly – rain showers, strong onshore winds up to 45 km/h, swell 6ft to 8ft – complete blown-out mess.

Friday July 24 offers a solid 10ft SW swell, period 17 seconds – combined energy 6037 (strong) – but winds are cross-onshore and the surf quality is poor. Saturday July 25 and Sunday July 26 are even worse: gale-force winds and swell up to 14ft, combined energy over 11120 (very strong). That’s kite-surfing territory, not for paddle boards.

By Monday July 27, there’s cross-shore wind but still 11ft SSW swell, combined energy 5152 (strong) and lumpy. The rest of the outlook stays stormy and messy.

Water temperature is about 59°F, pretty normal for this time of year (anomaly -0.6°). Not much change there.

Bottom line: Wednesday July 15 is the day to be in the water – manageable size, clean wind, classic groundswell. Everything else is either huge, wonky, or blown out.

Rusty

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