Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in on the local outlook for the next couple of weeks. Right now, it's a bit of a slow start, but there's some serious potential brewing later on if you're willing to wait for it.

For the first few days, we’re paying a price for that big swell. Wednesday the 5th is a write-off – messy cross-shore winds and a lumpy ocean with a combined energy of 1539, just not worth the paddle. Thursday the 6th is a different story though. A glassy morning with a 6ft SW swell and a 16-second period, the ocean is smooth as silk. The afternoon cleans up even more with a 7ft SW swell, and the energy jumps to 2502. Thursday is the stand-out of this first week. It’s a solid, clean wave, but that 7ft size and 16-second period means it’s got some punch; it’s one for the experienced surfers.

Then the wind turns ugly again. Friday the 7th through Tuesday the 12th is a no-go. We’re talking fresh onshore and cross-onshore winds, with swell heights pushing 13ft and even 16ft. The combined energy hits a massive 20784 on Wednesday the 12th. That’s not surfable, that’s a washing machine. The ocean is just too big and blown out for a paddle board.

Now, if you can hold out, we get a true reward. The focus shifts to Thursday the 13th. The morning is glassy again, with a 12ft SW groundswell pulsing at 16 seconds. The energy is still a hefty 6435, but with zero wind, the surface will be perfect. That’s the kind of day that’s worth calling in sick for, but it’s only for the experts.

The absolute best of the whole forecast, though, is Friday the 14th. The morning at Flatrock is clean with a light cross-off breeze and a 13ft swell from the SSW, with a long 18-second period. The combined energy hits 9101, and the conditions are described as exceptional. That’s a massive, powerful groundswell with clean conditions. Because it’s such a long period, it’ll be breaking a bit straight at the beach, so it’s going to be best for those who know the reef. It’s going to be a ripper, but it’s strictly for the experts. The crowds here are "sometimes," so expect a few other keen locals out there.

The weekend of the 16th and 17th settles down nicely. Sunday morning the 16th has a clean 6ft SW swell, 14 seconds, and an offshore breeze. It’s cleaner and more manageable for experienced surfers. Monday the 17th afternoon is glassy with a 5ft SW swell – a perfect, cruisy end to the run.

After that, the wind gets messy again around the 18th and 19th, with choppy conditions and onshore winds returning. The last few days of the outlook, the 20th, have some swell but the wind is cross-shore, making it choppy. The big moment is definitely that Friday the 14th.

Rusty, signing off.

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