Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what we’ve got. The first few days aren’t much to write home about for most, but there are windows of absolute magic for those who know what they’re doing. Flatrock (reef) is the only spot on the radar in this 16-day stretch, and it’s an advanced-only wave, so the beginners can sit this one out. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

Wednesday 8th July starts clean and promising. A solid 10 ft SW groundswell with a long 17-second period rolls in, packing some serious grunt – combined energy is a whopping 4856 (strong to very strong). The morning breeze is a light cross-off from the NE at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is a standout for experienced surfers only; anything over 8 ft is expert territory. The afternoon goes glassy with a light SE breeze and 8 ft SW swell, but the period is still a meaty 16 seconds. Crowds can show up here, but with conditions this good, it’s a justified line-up.

Thursday 9th July holds solid with 6 ft SW swell and 15-second period in the morning under a light cross-off breeze. Still clean, still powerful. The afternoon gets a bit messy as the wind swings cross-on, so the morning window is the pick.

Now, Friday 10th through to Tuesday 14th July is a write-off. Strong onshore winds, rain, and choppy conditions ruin what is otherwise a consistent run of sizeable SW groundswell. Not worth paddling out.

The next real standout hits Wednesday 15th July. The morning sees a clean 10 ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period under a light cross-off breeze from the SSE at just 3 mph. The energy is still strong (3665), and it’s glassy. Another expert-only day but one of the best of the window. Crowds are a possibility, but the quality will have everyone frothing.

Thursday 16th July is the absolute gem of the entire 16-day outlook. The afternoon session delivers an exceptional 8 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 21-second period, combined energy hitting 7977 (very strong). The wind goes glassy from the WNW at 3 mph. For a reef break, that long-period groundswell is a dream – expect long, racy lines, but it’ll be barrelling. This is a top-tier session for experts. Crowds are likely, but you’d be bonkers to miss it. The morning is also very good with 8 ft SW swell and clean conditions.

Friday 17th July starts to degrade with a cross-shore breeze and a moderate chop, so the clean windows are gone. Saturday 18th and Sunday 19th get blown out by strong winds and lumpy seas, even though there’s still some swell. Not worth it.

Monday 20th and Tuesday 21st stay messy with onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell drops off, with period shortening. The combined energy dips below 1400, so weak to moderate. Not recommended.

Wednesday 22nd July shows a glimmer. The afternoon has a 10 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and moderate cross-shore wind – combined energy of 7904 is very strong. It’s scored as marginal due to the wind, so if you’re a glutton for punishment and expert, it might offer some unruly power. Thursday 23rd July closes the window with a moderate cross-onshore breeze and messy conditions again.

Overall, the standout sessions are Wednesday 15th July morning and Thursday 16th July afternoon. That afternoon on the 16th is the pick of the bunch – glassy, long-period groundswell, and pumping waves. Everything else is either blown out or for experts only.

Rusty

Read more