Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

First up, we're looking at a pretty solid run of swell here at Flatrock, but it's a classic case of too much of a good thing at the start. We've got a massive pulse of SW groundswell rolling in, but the wind is going to be a problem, and the size will be a genuine hazard for most.

The first surfable opportunity is a bit of a wait. We've got no good options through Sunday and Monday. The swell is just too big, with wind howling straight onshore, making it a complete mess. You'd be mad to paddle out Sunday morning with 12 ft of SW swell and a 25 mph WSW wind destroying it. The combined energy is a massive 3324, but it's totally wasted.

Monday, 13th July, is a real shame. The morning sees a 16 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, giving a combined energy of 21709, which is incredibly powerful. The wording says "wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break." Word to the wise: that's not a session for anyone but the most elite, and even then, it's a gamble. Monday afternoon drops to 13 ft but the wind is still on, so it's still a no-go. Tuesday, 14th July, is more of the same – another 16 ft pulse in the morning with a cross-onshore wind. It's just too much power for this setup.

We finally get a window on Wednesday, 15th July. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 8 ft from the SW. Now, pay attention. The morning has a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE, and the afternoon turns glassy. That's right, glassy. If you are an experienced surfer, Wednesday afternoon is your day. The combined energy is still a decent 2612, and with 15-second periods, you're getting long, powerful lines that will wrap perfectly around this reef. This is the standout of the first week.

Thursday, 16th July, is a step down to the 7 ft range with a 14-second period. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the notes say "marginal," so it's a good option but not the highlight. Friday, 17th July, is also in the marginal camp with cleaner winds but a drop in size.

We then hit a lull from Saturday, 18th July, through to Sunday, 19th July. The wind is messy, the swell is small and choppy. It's a write-off.

Monday, 20th July, sees a new pulse of 12 ft of SW swell, but the wind is onshore and cross-onshore, so it's a messy, powerful bounce. Not a great prospect.

The next real standout is on Tuesday, 21st July. The swell is down to 6 ft from the SW, but the wind is offshore from the E. Combined energy is 1173, so it's a moderate push, but with 13-second period and clean conditions, this will be a fun, punchy session for the crew. The morning is the go.

We get a little bump in size on Wednesday, 22nd July, with 8 ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-shore, so it's a bit choppy. Thursday, 23rd July, is a drop-off in size with clean cross-offshore wind, but it's a smaller, weaker swell.

Then we get the real cherry on top. Friday, 24th July, is another cracker. A 6 ft swell from the SW with a 17-second period and a clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is a very healthy 3585. The afternoon is the pick of the day. Saturday, 25th July, is also excellent, with a 10 ft SW swell and a 16-second period, clean in the morning with a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is 4470, so it's a powerful, clean groundswell. This is the second standout of the forecast period.

The final few days from Sunday, 26th July, to Monday, 27th July, are back to "marginal" or "poor" conditions with messy cross-shore and cross-onshore winds. It's a fade out.

So, to wrap up: If you're an experienced surfer, block out Wednesday, 15th July, for the glassy afternoon session. And for the second week, the Friday, 24th July, afternoon and Saturday, 25th July, morning are the absolute standouts. The break is exposed and consistent, so it will be working, but it's an advanced reef, so don't be a hero if you're not ready for it.

That's the story from out here.

Rusty

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