Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty checkin' in with a look at what's ahead for Flatrock.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week is a bit of a mixed bag, with some quality moments buried in there. We've got a solid south-west groundswell running, with some really long 15-second periods, meaning there's plenty of push and energy behind it. The combined energy readings are serious, hitting four and five-digit numbers, so there's no shortage of power.

Starting Sunday, August 2nd, it's a write-off. We're looking at 7ft to 8ft of SW swell, but a strong 22 mph onshore wind is just gonna trash it. The water's sitting at 59°, which is pretty average for the time of year, nothin' special. Monday the 3rd ain't much better – the swell is there, around 10ft, but that wind is still cross-onshore and the whole thing looks messy.

Now, here's where it gets good. Tuesday, August 4th, is your window. We've got a clean 7ft SW swell, but the real story is the wind. It's glassy. A 6 mph NNE breeze in the morning, then switching to a glassy WNW in the arvo. That's a major positive. The readings say "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and I can see why. For the advanced crew, Tuesday morning is a standout.

Wednesday the 5th gets blown out again with a strong cross-shore, and then we see a new pulse of energy. Thursday the 6th looks cleaner with a cross-offshore breeze and 6ft of 16-second SW swell – a good, solid combo. Then Friday the 7th gets a bit wild. We've got a massive 10ft of SW swell with a 17-second period and the combined energy hits 4358. The wind is a strong but clean cross-offshore from the NNE. That's serious power, and for experts only. It's gonna be big and lined up.

We then hit a real sour patch. Saturday the 8th through the end of the following week is basically a write-off. The swell is still pumping, but we get hammered by strong onshore and cross-onshore winds, turning everything into a messy, dangerous brown-out. On Sunday the 9th, the 28 mph SW wind is pairin' with a 13ft swell, and the energy reading is 6926. That's not surf, that's a washing machine. The output even says it's predicted to be too big for the break, and by August 14th we're looking at gale-force winds. It'll be more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

After that long stretch of poor conditions, we finally get a reprieve. On Monday, August 17th, the wind drops to glassy again with a 6 mph ESE breeze. That 8ft SW swell on a 14-second period will have some nice shape. The reading is calling it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." For the advanced surfer willing to wait it out, that Monday morning is the clear standout in the second week. The swell is a bit smaller than the monster stuff, but the clean conditions will make it a proper session.

So, to wrap it up: the best bets for a good paddle session are Tuesday the 4th for clean, manageable conditions, and Monday the 17th for clean but more powerful surf. The stuff in between is mostly for the hardcore chargers or the kite crew.

Rusty, signing off.

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