Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on offer for this one spot, Flatrock. It’s an exposed reef break for advanced surfers only, and it’s fairly consistent, which is good. We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands though. The first few days are grim with poor surf or dodgy conditions, so don’t bother paddling out just yet.

Saturday the 12th kicks things off, but it’s a mess. You’ve got a 6ft SW swell with a long 15 second period, but the wind is a cross-off from the NNE at 12 mph. Combined wave energy is strong at 2180, but the conditions are marginal. It’s not worth suiting up. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are a total write-off with onshore winds and poor conditions. Forget about it.

Things start to look a bit more interesting on Tuesday the 15th. The swell pushes up to 10ft from the SW with a solid 15 second period, and the wind turns cross-off from the SSE. Wave energy is very strong at 4187, but the forecast is still marginal. That’s big, heavy reef stuff for experts only. Wednesday the 16th is where we get our first real standout. Wednesday afternoon is the pick of the early run. You’re looking at an 8ft SSW swell, 14 second period, with perfect offshore wind from the East at 16 mph. The combined energy is very strong at 3639, and conditions are clean and excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Thursday the 17th brings a drop in size to 7ft SSW, but the afternoon goes glassy with a WSW breeze at just 3 mph. That’s clean, smooth waves. Friday the 18th onwards turns rubbish again with strong winds and poor surf. There’s a big gap of poor conditions until Sunday the 20th. That afternoon the swell jumps back to 10ft SW with a cross-off wind and very strong energy at 5109, but the conditions are still labeled marginal. Not a standout.

Now, hold onto your board. Monday the 21st. Monday morning is the best on offer in this whole outlook. You’ve got 12ft of SW swell with a 17 second period. The wind is a cross-off from the NE at 16 mph. The combined wave energy is massive at 10894. Conditions are clean. That is proper, powerful, long-period groundswell. It will be working beautifully on this reef. It’s big, over 8ft, so experts only, but it will be a session to remember.

The rest of the week is a mix of big, unruly swell with onshore winds and poor quality. Wednesday the 23rd sees a whopping 15ft SW swell, but with onshore wind and a warning that it’s too big for the break. That’s a no-go. The tail end of the outlook on Thursday the 24th offers up a glassy 8ft SSW swell in the morning, which is great for experts, and then Sunday the 27th finishes with a clean, offshore 3ft SW swell with a 19 second period. That’s a very long period groundswell. It will be lined up and perfect on a reef like this.

So to sum it up, the best on offer is clearly Monday the 21st morning for the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell, with Wednesday the 16th afternoon and Thursday the 24th morning as our next best bets. For the rest, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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