Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Flatrock. We’ve got a bit of a delayed start, but when it kicks off, it kicks off proper.

Right now, there’s nothing going on. The first real action shows up on Saturday the 4th of July. That’s when we start seeing some proper SW groundswell. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Let’s talk about the standout. Without a doubt, the best session of this whole run looks like Sunday the 5th of July, first light. Flatrock’s an advanced reef break, and on Sunday morning it’s gonna be firing. You’ve got a solid 12ft swell rolling in from the SSW, with a very long 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell – plenty of energy (6602) and those long lulls between sets will make the paddle out a bit easier. Wind is clean offshore from the ENE at 12 mph. That’s a winning combo. This is for experts only though – 12ft is no joke. It stays good through to Sunday afternoon with a still sizeable 10ft and the same offshore wind.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are still excellent, especially the mornings. Monday morning has clean 6ft SSW swell with gentle offshore wind (ENE 9 mph). Tuesday morning bumps back up to 6ft but with a 16-second period, also clean offshore wind. Both are for experienced surfers, but the energy is still big (1504 and 1767). Tuesday afternoon sees the wind swing cross-off, but the swell is a touch bigger at 7ft.

Wednesday the 8th is a bit of a mixed bag. Morning brings a big 10ft SW swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is cross-off from the NE at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean but tricky. The wave comment flags marginal conditions, so maybe not the pick. The energy is massive at 4856. Wednesday afternoon the wind goes cross-shore, which isn’t ideal.

By Thursday the 9th, things start to slide. The morning still has decent 6ft SW swell and light cross-off breeze (NNE 9 mph), but by the afternoon, the wind swings cross-onshore and it gets choppier.

Friday the 10th gets messy. Strong northerly cross-shore winds and later cross-onshore winds in the afternoon with rain. Not worth paddling out.

From Saturday the 11th through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s basically a write-off. Strong to near-gale winds from the west and southwest, constant cross-onshore, rain. The swell is there – even some huge 13ft days on the 13th and a massive 12ft SW groundswell on the 14th (energy over 10000!) – but the wind is just ruining it. For breaks like Flatrock, this kind of wind and swell combo is more interesting for kite surfing than paddling.

Thursday the 16th shows some light at the end of the tunnel. By the afternoon, we’ve got a clean 10ft SW swell with a fresh offshore ESE wind at 19 mph. The energy is back up at 5830. That’s a proper clean swell for experts again. Friday the 17th is a nice follow-up: 6ft SSW swell with moderate to gentle offshore winds (E and ENE). Clean, manageable for experienced surfers.

The last couple of days, Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th, are back to poor conditions with strong cross and cross-onshore winds from the NNW, and the swell drops right off.

So, the big standout is Sunday the 5th of July, first light. That’s the one you don’t miss. The secondary bright spot is Thursday the 16th afternoon.

Rusty

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