Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at the surf ahead for Flatrock. This is a solid reef break for advanced surfers only, and it's exposed to the SW. The water temp is sitting at 60°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Alright, the pattern this week is a classic case of a huge pulse of swell that's just too big to handle, then a slow drop-off with some windows of clean conditions. The standout is going to be Wednesday morning, the 15th of July. We've got a serious 8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period, giving it heaps of energy (3093). The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, which will make for some clean, well-shaped waves. This is definitely the session for experienced surfers to lock in. The crowd factor is "sometimes" so you might have a few others out, but that's the price of a quality wave.

Tuesday morning, the 14th of July, is a write-off for paddling. The swell is a massive 16ft SW with a 16-second period and the combined energy is a mammoth 18661. The wind is just a cross-on moderate breeze, so it's going to be a gnarly, choppy mess. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day. Tuesday afternoon is still big at 12ft, but the wind drops to a gentle breeze, though still cross-on. It's marginal.

Wednesday afternoon, the 15th, is a real treat. The swell has dropped to a still-chunky 8ft SW, but the wind goes glassy. Absolutely no wind, just clean, clean lines. It's still big for most, but for the advanced crew, this is a magic window. Thursday morning, the 16th, has a 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a clean cross-off breeze, but it's only rated as marginal. The energy is still significant (2822). Friday morning, the 17th, is similar with a 8ft SW swell and a 17-second period, and a clean cross-off breeze, but again, it's marginal.

The weekend from the 18th of July drops off. Saturday sees a 5ft SW swell with a 13-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and choppy. Not great. Sunday, the 19th, has a tiny 3ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period, but it's being blown out by a 30 km/h cross-off wind. The energy is weak (766). It's a mellow day for the beach.

Into the new week, Monday the 20th is a write-off with strong winds and lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell is 7ft, but it's a mess. Tuesday the 21st of July gives us another brief window. The morning is glassy with a 6ft SW swell, and the energy is still moderate (1592). It's clean, but it's a marginal call for the conditions. The afternoon sees a 5ft SW swell with a light offshore wind, but it's also a bit marginal.

After that, things get a bit messy for a stretch. From Wednesday the 22nd through to the end of the month, the wind is mostly onshore or strong cross-shore, making for lousy, lumpy conditions. The swell is small, between 4ft and 6ft, and the energy is weak to moderate. Not worth paddling out.

Then, on the 25th of July, a Saturday, we get a real surprise. The morning is glassy again, with a 5ft SW swell and a 13-second period. The energy is moderate (903). This is looking like a fantastic, clean, uncrowded session. Mark it in the calendar. The rest of the month is a write-off with strong winds and storms.

So, to wrap it up: Wednesday morning, the 15th of July, is the big, clean, powerful day for the advanced crew. And don't forget the glassy session on the morning of the 25th of July for a sneaky, clean run. The rest of the period is either too big, too windy, or too small to get excited about.

Rusty.

Read more