Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

We’ve got a wild 16-day stretch coming up for Flatrock, so let’s break it down.

Right out of the gate, the first few days are a mess. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are rideable but ugly – think 8ft of SW swell hitting a lumpy cross-chop. It’s not going to be pretty, and the energy numbers are weak to moderate, around 3709 to 2309. Not worth stressing about.

Then things get properly nasty. From Sunday the 9th through Wednesday the 12th, we’ve got gale-force winds and a building swell. This is full-blown blown-out chaos. Swell heights jump to 13ft and energy spikes into the thousands, but it’s all for nothing – completely unsurfable. If you’re a kite surfer, this is your window, but for paddle surfing, forget it.

Now, the first real standout of the window is Thursday the 13th. We see an 18ft SW swell pumping in with a 16 second period, and the energy is massive – 23373. But here’s the catch: the comment says it's too big for this reef break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a big ask.

After that, the surf settles down, but it’s still not ideal. Friday and Saturday the 14th and 15th bring some cleaner conditions. Saturday morning the 15th is a highlight – 12ft of SW with 16 seconds, and the wind is dead glassy. That’s the kind of session you dream about, even if it’s a bit heavy. The energy is 5540, which is strong, but the quality should be there.

Sunday the 16th drops off in size to 6-6ft, but it’s clean with cross-off winds. It’s a smaller, more user-friendly wave, good for experienced surfers.

There’s a lull around Monday the 17th, nothing special. But then Tuesday the 18th morning – that’s the second standout. 10ft of SW swell with a 17 second period, clean, and the wind is cross-off. Energy’s at 4491. This is a proper groundswell, point-break style. It’s going to be well-shaped and have some power.

The rest of that week stays rideable – Wednesday and Thursday the 19th and 20th are in the 8-10ft range, with clean conditions in the mornings and some lumpiness in the afternoons.

We end the second week strong. Friday the 21st is another cracker: 10ft with a 15-second period, moderate offshore wind in the morning, and then glassy in the afternoon. The energy is moderate to strong. The 22nd fades out with smaller, choppier surf.

So overall, we’ve got two true standouts: Saturday the 15th for the glassy, big-swell perfection, and Tuesday the 18th for a proper clean groundswell. The long-range stuff is promising but not as certain, so keep an eye on it. It’s an exposed reef, SW is the money direction, and the water temp is 59°, right around average for this time of year.

Take care out there.

Rusty

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