Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab your wettie, let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Flatrock over the next couple of weeks. This is a solid, exposed reef set-up that likes a good SSW to SW groundswell, and let me tell you, it’s about to get a proper hammering. The whole period is dominated by a big, long-period south-west swell train. The water temp is about average for this time of year, no weird anomalies to worry about.

We kick off straight away. Wednesday the 9th looks insane – we’re talking a 13ft SSW groundswell with a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is absolutely pumping at (10691). It’s serious power. The wind is a cross-off from the SE up around 25 mph, so it’ll be clean but with some serious welly behind it. This is big, powerful, expert-only territory. Thursday the 10th has a bit less size, 12ft dropping to 10ft, but still that strong 16-second period. The wind goes offshore from the East at 16 mph. That’s proper clean. The morning on the 10th has a marginal note on the tide, but the afternoon is flagged as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout window. Get on it if you’ve got the stones.

Friday the 11th holds in at 8ft to 8ft, still with a long 15 to 16-second period. Offshore East wind holds, 9 to 12 mph. It’s still big and clean, but for the advanced crew. Saturday the 12th starts to drop to 6ft, but the wind goes funky – cross-off in the morning, but cross-on by the afternoon from the NW. Conditions get a bit chopped out.

We hit a flat spell from Sunday the 13th through Monday the 14th. Small 4ft to 5ft leftovers with poor wind. It’s a lull. Wait it out.

Then it picks up again on Tuesday the 15th. A new 8ft SSW swell with a 14-second period rolls in. The morning has a clean offshore breeze from the ESE at 12 mph, and the combined energy is a solid (3023). This is your next good window – clean, powerful, and a proper step down from the monster stuff. That morning session is the one to aim for.

The week after that gets a bit messy and inconsistent, but the big dog returns. Sunday the 20th afternoon shows another solid pulse: 10ft SW, 14 seconds, combined energy at (3680), clean with a light NNE cross-off. That’s a sneaky good session.

Now, looking way out to Monday the 21st, the models have another massive 13ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and combined energy over 9000 (9159). It’s huge. The morning looks okay with a cross-shore wind, but that afternoon and into Tuesday the 22nd gets wrecked by strong onshore and cross-onshore winds. It’ll be a churned-up mess for most, maybe a kite surfer’s dream. Wednesday the 23rd is interesting – still 13ft, but the wind goes light and cross-on. The energy is massive (8382) but the surface might just be rideable if you’re an absolute animal.

Overall, your best bets are the Thursday and Friday of this week for the big, clean stuff, and then the morning of Tuesday the 15th for the next clean pulse. The last few days of the window are too far out to call with any certainty, but there’s potential for another big swell.

Rusty.

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