Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks here. The only spot in the mix is Flatrock, a reef break that’s advanced only. It’s a fairly consistent spot, exposed to the swell, and it likes it from the southwest. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird to report there.

We’re starting off on Sunday the 26th of July with a bit of a mixed bag. The morning has some solid 5.6ft swell from the southwest, with a period of 11 seconds, but the wind is a light cross from the NNW. It’s not clean, and the combined energy is moderate (800). It’s only marginal. The afternoon gets worse with a stronger cross-onshore wind, so that’s a write-off.

Monday the 27th is a total no-go. A strong breeze and then near gale-force winds, messy and blown out. The swell jumps up to 7.5ft on Monday afternoon, but it’s a short period windswell of 8 seconds and the wind is onshore. Not for surfing.

Tuesday the 28th brings some serious size – 9.8ft to 11.5ft from the southwest, with a long period of 15 seconds. The energy is massive (up to 6114), but the wind is howling. Onshore in the morning, cross-onshore in the afternoon. This is only for experts, and even then, the conditions are poor. The wind is just too strong.

Wednesday the 29th still has a big swell running, 11.5ft from the south-southwest with a very long period of 16 seconds. The morning has a moderate cross-shore wind, and the score is a 5, but it’s still marginal. The energy is huge (6494). It’s a stand-out for size, but it’s a lumpy, big day. Then the afternoon also goes cross-onshore, so you’d have to be on it early and be a very good surfer to handle the power.

Thursday the 30th is a step down in size, but it’s still a decent 7.2ft from the south-southwest, period 13 seconds. The wind is light in the morning, but it’s cross-shore, so it’s a bit messy. The energy is still strong (1826). It’s a marginal day, but the cleanest we’ve seen for a few days.

Friday the 31st of July is where things get interesting. The morning has a clean, cross-offshore wind from the NNE and 4.6ft of swell from the south-southwest. The period is 13 seconds, so there’s some shape. It’s the cleanest window we’ve had all week, even if the energy is moderate (952). It’s still a bit marginal, but it’s the best on offer right now.

Saturday the 1st of August has a bigger, 6.6ft swell from the south-southwest with a very long period of 17 seconds, but a fresh cross-shore wind makes it lumpy. Not great.

The beginning of the next week is a write-off. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are blown out by near gale and fresh onshore winds. It’s pure survival stuff.

Tuesday the 4th of August is a monster day. 16.4ft of swell from the southwest, but the wind is onshore. That’s just a dangerous, horrible mess. The energy is over 12,900 – that’s a really strong, powerful ocean. Only for the crazies.

Now, here’s the real standout. Wednesday the 5th of August. The morning has a clean, cross-offshore wind from the north, with 7.9ft of swell from the south-southwest, period 14 seconds. The energy is strong (2313), and the report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers”. This is the best window. The swell is a bit big for beginners, but for any advanced surfer, this is the one to circle. Clean conditions and good power.

Thursday the 6th of August morning is also clean, with a cross-offshore wind and 6.2ft swell from the southwest. It’s a solid follow-up day.

Friday the 7th of August is another interesting one. The morning is clean and cross-offshore with 5.2ft swell, but the period hits 20 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The afternoon is even better: 7.9ft from the west-southwest, period 18 seconds, with a gentle cross-shore wind. The energy is massive (7302). It’s a marginal rating, but this is a big, clean, powerful swell. The long period will make the waves more organized at this reef, so it could be a fantastic session for the experienced crew.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th see a lot of wind come back in, with a fresh breeze and lumpy conditions, so that quality drops off.

Monday the 10th of August is a no-go, with near gale cross-onshore winds and a massive 13.1ft swell. That’s a kite day, not a paddle day.

So, to sum it up: the standout is Wednesday the 5th of August with clean conditions and a solid 7.9ft southwest

Read more