Flatrock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Flatrock.

Right now, we’ve got a decent run of swell on the way, but the wind is the big issue for the next few days. For an advanced reef break that needs clean conditions, it’s looking a bit rough early on. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is just about normal for this time of year – nothing weird there.

Friday morning the 24th kicks things off with a 10ft SSW swell, but that cross-onshore wind has it chopped up and messy, so not the one. That carries on through Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th – still solid swell, 8ft down to 6ft, but wind stays cross-onshore, keeping it bumpy.

Monday the 27th? Forget it. That NNW wind hits 25 mph, strong cross-shore, it’s blown out. Tuesday the 28th is a mixed bag – morning is messy with rain and a fresh SSW wind, but by the afternoon the wind backs off to a moderate cross-shore and the swell jumps back up to 10ft from the WSW. It’s still a bit lumpy, but that’s the first session that might have some power if you’re keen.

Now, pay attention to Wednesday the 29th afternoon. We’ve got a 10ft SSW groundswell with a 14-second period, and the wind swings cross-offshore, leaving it clean. That’s a standout window for experienced surfers – big, organised lines at Flatrock, but only for those who know what they’re doing.

Then Thursday the 30th gets glassy. Both morning and afternoon go glassy or near glassy with a 7ft to 6ft SSW swell. The combined energy drops to 1588 and 1376 – moderate but clean. That’s the pick of the early run: clean faces, long period, and manageable size for the advanced crew.

Friday the 31st still has clean surf in the morning with a smaller 5ft SW swell, but by the afternoon it’s back to cross-onshore chop.

August gets rough again. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are both blown out with strong onshore wind and lumpy 8ft swell – no good for paddle surfing.

But hold on – Monday the 3rd of August morning is your real standout. An 12ft SW swell with a 19-second period, light cross-shore breeze, combined energy a massive 8601 (very strong). That’s a serious groundswell hitting Flatrock. It’s big – only for experts – and with that kind of period, the reef will handle it beautifully. Keep an eye on the wind though; it’s cross-shore but light, so it should be clean enough. The afternoon stays solid at 12ft but gets cross-onshore, so the morning is the call.

The rest of the first week of August drops off. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are choppy or onshore, and Thursday the 6th is another big 10ft SSW swell but with moderate cross-onshore wind. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th fade away to 4ft and 3ft with lumpy wind – not worth it.

Overall, the best surf is Thursday 30th July for clean, manageable waves, and Monday 3rd August morning for big, powerful groundswell. Everything else gets messy or blown out.

Rusty.

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