Bay of Martyrs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this sorted. We’ve got a wild couple of weeks ahead, with a serious pulse of energy that’s going to shake things up. We’ve got a good window of surf coming, but we need to be patient and pick our spots.

The first real window opens up on Thursday morning, the 6th. Bay of Martyrs (VIC) is seeing a building southwest groundswell at 4.9ft, with a long 16-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW, which should keep it clean, but the energy is still a bit weak (1183). It’s a reef, so it needs more push. Water temp is 57.7°, right around normal for this time of year. Not bad, but not epic. The afternoon gets a bit cross and choppy with a west wind.

Now, Friday the 7th is where it gets good. The swell is up to 8.2ft from the WSW, with a 15-second period, and the energy is well up (4032). The morning is clean with a light NNW offshore, and the afternoon goes glassy with a 5 km/h westerly. This is a standout window – clean, solid, and the reef should be handling it well. This is the call for the experienced crew. This is what we want.

Saturday the 8th, the wind gets messy. We’ve got 25-30 km/h winds, mostly offshore, but there’s rain around. The swell holds at 7.5-7.9ft, but the freshness of the wind takes the shine off. It’s surfable, but not as good as Friday. The energy is still there, but it’s a step down.

Sunday the 9th, more of the same. The swell eases into the 6.6ft range, and the wind is still fresh offshore from the north. The morning is a bit raw, the afternoon cleans up a little. Not a standout, but rideable.

Now, here’s the big shift. Monday the 10th, we see a massive jump in size. The swell is forecast to be 14.8ft from the WSW, with an 18-second period. This is a serious groundswell, and the energy is huge (12496). The problem is the wind – it’s cross-shore and messy, making it a washing machine. The morning is average, the afternoon improves a bit with a cross-offshore. This is big, powerful surf for experts only. There’s potential for the reef to hold up, but it’s a serious day.

Tuesday the 11th, still big, but the wind is howling offshore at 30 km/h. The swell is 9.8ft, but the freshness makes it hard work. Not clean.

And then we get to the big one. Wednesday the 12th, the models are showing a huge pulse. The morning has 16.4ft of swell, but the afternoon is forecast to be 21.3ft. The energy readings are massive (15787 and 22990). The wind is going to be strong and cross, making it a total mess. This is too big for this break. A washout for paddling. This is kite surfing territory.

Thursday the 13th is even bigger. We’re talking 26.2ft of swell in the morning, with a strong cross-onshore wind. No way you’re surfing this on a paddleboard. It’s a complete write-off. The energy is astronomical (38421). Full-on storm surf.

Friday the 14th, the swell starts to back off, but it’s still 14.8ft. The wind is cross-onshore and choppy. Still not good. The afternoon is a bit better, but still heavy and messy.

Saturday the 15th, the swell eases, but we’ve got

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