Massacres Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking like a proper winter swell train for Massacres. It’s a reef set-up that needs that southwest energy, and it’s going to be getting plenty of it. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest hood, but it’s not warm either.

The first solid window kicks off Friday morning, the 7th. We’ve got a clean 8ft SW swell rolling in with a 15-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. That’s a recipe for some proper lined-up pits on the reef. It’s a bit of a step up from Thursday, which was just too messy and marginal to get excited about. Friday afternoon goes totally glassy with the same size, so if you can get out of work, that’s the session to chase.

Saturday the 8th is still solid, around 8ft, but the wind swings more offshore and gets a bit stronger. It’ll be clean, but the surface won’t be as perfect as Friday. The energy is still there, and it’s a good day for anyone who’s comfortable on a bigger, more powerful reef wave.

Then we hit a bit of a lull on Sunday the 9th. The swell drops to 6ft and we get some rain and a fresh cross-offshore breeze. It’s not terrible, but the quality is down. By the afternoon, it’s swinging cross-on and getting choppy, so that’s a good time to do something else.

Now, here’s where things get serious. Monday the 10th sees a big pulse of energy. The swell is already 10ft, but it’s pushing up. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore chop, but the afternoon is the one. The swell jumps to 13ft with a 17-second period, and the wind is cross-offshore and clean. That’s a big, powerful, long-period west-southwest swell. This is for experienced surfers only. Over 8ft, it’s expert territory, and this is well beyond that. There will be some serious sets.

Tuesday the 11th keeps the size at 10ft, but the period drops a bit and the wind gets fresh again. It’s still big and clean, but the magic from Monday afternoon is gone. Wednesday the 12th is a write-off. The swell hits 16ft and the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and chaotic. That’s a big, blown-out mess. Not for paddling.

Thursday the 13th is another big one, 15ft, but the wind is more cross-shore, which puts a bit of chop on it. It’s still huge, but not as clean as Monday. Friday the 14th is the biggest of the run. The morning has a 16ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the wind is cross-offshore. The energy reading is massive, and the comment even says it might be too big for the break. It’s going to be a wash-through, hold-on-for-dear-life kind of session, only for the heaviest hitters.

The next standout is a week later, on Saturday the 15th. The swell backs down to a still-sizeable 13ft, but the period is 16 seconds and the wind is a light cross-offshore. The morning is looking exceptional, with a score that stands out above the rest. This might actually be the pick of the entire run – big, powerful, but with better conditions and a bit more manageable than the 16ft days. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, we start to see the energy slowly wind down. Sunday the 16th stays big at 10ft, but the wind is more onshore, so it’s not as clean. The following week sees the size drop to the 7-10ft range, with decent conditions on Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th mornings. The wind will be offshore and the surf will be in the 6-8ft range, which is a bit more user-friendly, though still a solid reef wave.

The energy picks up again around Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th, with 8-10ft swells and cleaner winds. The period is still in that good 14-16 second range. The final day we have, Friday the 21st, shows a big 15ft swell, but the period has dropped to 11 seconds, so it’s less organized and more of a wind-swell hybrid. Still powerful, but not with the same quality as the earlier bigger days.

So, if you’re picking your moments, Friday morning the 7th is a great opener, and Monday afternoon the 10th is a serious, heavy session. But the real standout, the one to make a plan for, is Saturday morning the 15th. Big, clean, powerful, and with the wind doing the right thing. That’s the one.

Rusty

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