Whites Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming our way.

We’ve only got one spot on the radar for this outlook: Whites Reef. It’s a fairly consistent reef break, intermediate level, and it loves swell from the west. Right now, the water temp is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a huge deal, but nice to know if you’re on the fence about a thicker wetsuit.

The first part of the run is a bit of a write-off. We see some swell building through Tuesday (11th) and Wednesday (12th), with southwest swell around 4ft to 6ft and periods in the 14-17 second range – that’s proper groundswell. Sounds good, yeah? Not really. The wind is just messy: cross, onshore, fresh breezes. The combined wave energy is moderate to strong (1246 to 1624), but the quality is poor. That’s not the kind of energy you want if it’s chopped up.

Thursday (13th) and Friday (14th) keep the southwest swell up around 6ft to 7ft with similar long-period groundswell, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. The energy peaks at 1919 on Thursday morning – strong stuff – but the conditions just aren’t there for decent waves. You’d be fighting the chop more than riding it.

We finally get a window worth paddling out for on Saturday (15th). The morning is still a bit cross-shore, but then the afternoon swings to a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE at 9 mph. The swell eases a bit to 4ft from the southwest, period around 15 seconds, and the energy is moderate (813). That’s the first time the forecast mentions “very good surf conditions.” Clean lines, light wind, proper swell.

Sunday (16th) morning is the standout. Clear skies, light ESE wind at 6 mph blowing cross-offshore, swell still 4ft from the southwest with a 14-second period. Combined energy is 524 – moderate – but the chart says clean conditions and very good surf. This is the one to point your board at. Just know that crowds are likely here often, so get out early.

Monday (17th) and Tuesday (18th) both offer small but clean waves. Swell drops to 2ft to 3ft from the southwest, with clean light offshore or cross-offshore winds. Good for a longboard or a mellow session, but not going to blow you away.

After that, it fades. Wednesday (19th) through to Sunday (23rd) is mostly small, weak swell (1ft to 3ft), and the combined energy drops way down to 103-346. Conditions are either blown out, cross-off but weak, or just not worth the paddle. A gap of several days with no real recommendations.

Then we see a flicker of life on Monday (24th). Swell picks up a little to 2ft with a very long 20-second period from the southwest, combined energy 451. Conditions are marginal, so it’s a maybe.

But the real second-week hope is Tuesday (25th). Both the morning and afternoon sessions are looking clean with offshore NE winds at 6 mph, 4ft southwest swell, and a 17-second period. Combined energy is strong (678 and 614), and the forecast says very good surf. It’s a big call for being that far out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s promising.

Wednesday (26th) then gets smashed by a fresh breeze from the north up to 22 mph, which ruins the fun.

So, if you’re picking your moment: Saturday the 15th afternoon and Sunday the 16th morning are your best bets. If you’re feeling lucky, pencil in Tuesday the 25th – two weeks out, but the signs are there.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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