Surf Forecasts:
Raneika Beach surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with 5,621 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raneika Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raneika Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of days are a total write-off. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are a total mess, with a near gale blowing cross-shore making a junkyard out of the lineup. The swell is massive, over 18 feet, but it’s all wind-slapped and unsurfable. The water is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 54.9°F.
We’ve got a bit of a wait. Saturday the 11th stays marginal, but the wind eases into a fresh breeze, and we start seeing some clean 6.9 ft swell from the SE. It’s not a standout, but it’s a step in the right direction. Then Sunday the 12th is where it gets interesting. The morning drops to 4.3 ft with a light breeze, and the afternoon goes glassy – a 5 km/h E wind, 3.0 ft of swell from the SSW, and a period of 13 seconds. That’s a clean, rideable wave, but the energy is weak (484). It’s a nice little window for the patient surfer.
The real highlight, though, comes further out. From Saturday the 18th through Monday the 20th, we’ve got a run of really good conditions. Saturday the 18th afternoon is the first true standout: 5.6 ft from the ESE, 13-second period, combined energy of 989, and a light 10 km/h SW breeze keeping it clean. The break is Raneika Beach, a reef setup that should handle the long-period swell well. The swell direction (ESE) is a good match for the optimum SE. Crowds are “sometimes” here, so you might not have it to yourself, but it’s worth it.
Then Sunday the 19th keeps the stoke going with a morning offshore wind from the WNW, 4.9 ft ESE swell, and glassy conditions in the afternoon. Monday the 20th morning is also excellent: 6.2 ft from the ENE, a light offshore, and combined energy of 964. These three days are the best on offer – clean, solid, and consistent.
But keep an eye on Tuesday the 21st. The morning has a 3.9 ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, light offshore NW wind, and a combined energy of 1511. The period is very long, so Raneika Beach, being a reef, will handle it better than a beach break. The water is still a bit cooler than average, but the anomaly is around -1.2°F, so it’s noticeable but not freaky.
The second week gets a bit messy again. A strong onshore flow kicks in from Thursday the 23rd, with 8.2 ft swell but poor conditions. The last few days of the outlook are a write-off.
In short, sit tight through the muck, then get after it from the 18th to the 20th. That’s your window.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the S on Thu afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | ESE 9 | S 10 | ESE 8 | SSW 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 13 | E 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7132 | 5621 | 3084 | 1432 | 784 | 782 | 699 | 333 | 255 | 277 | 213 | 127 | 92 | 36 | 48 | 96 | 129 | 63 | 40 | 53 | 75 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:42AM1.44m | 1:15PM1.47m | 1:38AM1.47m | 2:12PM1.54m | 2:37AM1.49m | 3:10PM1.60m | 3:36AM1.53m | 4:09PM1.66m | 4:35AM1.55m | 5:08PM1.71m | 5:34AM1.58m | 6:06PM1.74m | 6:32AM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:34PM0.23m | 7:01AM0.17m | 7:30PM0.20m | 7:54AM0.13m | 8:28PM0.16m | 8:51AM0.09m | 9:28PM0.12m | 9:49AM0.05m | 10:28PM0.08m | 10:48AM0.02m | 11:29PM0.04m | 11:47AM-0.01m | 00:28AM0.01m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 |
 | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | 5:06 |
mm | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 5 | SSW 12 | ESE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 7 | E 6 |
| kJ | 18 | 74 | 120 | 1432 | 784 | 782 | 699 | 333 | 255 | 199 | 164 | 113 | 82 | 28 | 48 | 17 | 129 | 45 | 26 | 49 | 38 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 13 | E 12 |
| kJ | — | — | 174 | 93 | 77 | 35 | 169 | 266 | 158 | 277 | 213 | 127 | 92 | 36 | 28 | 11 | 20 | 63 | 40 | 53 | 75 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 10 | — | S 7 | S 20 | — | E 12 | S 16 | S 9 | ESE 7 | SSW 12 | S 10 | S 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 137 | 77 | 20 | — | 34 | 8 | — | 3 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 43 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | — | — | S 7 | — | — | — | N 2 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 6 | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 |
| kJ | 7132 | 5621 | 3084 | 470 | 186 | — | — | 72 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 24 | 43 | 96 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 189 | 239 | 174 | 177 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 39 | 42 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raneika Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raneika Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raneika Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raneika Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raneika Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raneika Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raneika Beach is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Hastings. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hastings. Hastings has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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