Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Raneika Beach.

That first week is a bit of a slow burn, but once the wind plays nice, there’s some solid groundswell in the mix. The standout is going to be Monday morning, July 20th, and Tuesday morning, July 21st. That’s where the magic lines up.

The water temperature is sitting at 55°, which is about 2° cooler than normal for this time of year. Nothing too wild, a bit nippy, but nothing a good 4/3 won't handle.

For Monday morning, July 20th, the surf is coming in at 6ft from the S with a 15-second period, giving the waves some real shape and punch. The combined energy is moderate-to-strong (1589). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, so the face will be clean. This is a great session for experienced surfers.

Tuesday morning, July 21st, is probably the best of the bunch. The swell is 7ft from the S, period holding at 16 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (2034). You’ve got a light offshore wind from the W, making for glassy conditions. This is bigger, more powerful, and really clean. It’s a proper groundswell, so the reefs and points will be the go – it might wall up a bit too straight out the back of a beach break.

The rest of the week sees the swell dropping. Monday afternoon, July 21st gets a bit bumpy with a cross-onshore wind. The middle of the week around Wednesday and Thursday, July 22nd–23rd, the swell drops right down to 2ft–4ft, and the energy is weak (152–453). Not much to get excited about.

Then there’s a big gap. From Friday, July 24th, through to Sunday, July 27th, the conditions are pretty poor. The swell is tiny, or the wind is howling – one morning has a 31 mph offshore that’s just too strong to paddle into. It’s a write-off for a few days there.

The end of the month and start of August brings a bit of a pulse. Monday afternoon, July 28th, is a big one, but it’s a beast. 12ft from the S with a 14-second period and a combined energy of 4624. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a strong cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but this is expert territory only. Too big and powerful for most.

The following week, around July 29th to August 3rd, the swell settles back to a more manageable 3ft–6ft from the S and SSW. The periods are shorter, around 10–13 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell mix. The winds are mostly cross-offshore, keeping things pretty clean. It’s surfable, but it’s not the quality of that first Monday and Tuesday. The energy is moderate (436–899). There’s a decent-looking morning on August 1st with a 3ft SSW groundswell at 15 seconds, but the wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-off, so it’s going to be a bit choppy.

If you’re a kite surfer, the big wind days on July 25th and 27th, with the 31 mph offshore and solid swell, might be more your bag than a paddle surfer’s.

Rusty out.

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