Surf Forecasts:
Raneika Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 18s period, S swell with 2,955 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raneika Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raneika Beach in the next 16 days are 2.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Raneika Beach.
Alright, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real potential sneaking in later this week. The water’s at 54.7°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent suit.
The first real glimpse of something worthwhile is on the morning of July 16th. We’ve got a clean, 2.3ft swell from the ESE with a 15-second period, and the wind is a nice cross-offshore. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and the energy is building (241). The standout window, though, is the afternoon of July 16th. The swell jumps to 3ft from the ESE, the period stretches to 17 seconds, and the wind goes fully offshore. The energy reading is 528, and it’s looking like a proper session.
Then we get into the real meat. July 17th morning is the one to circle. The swell is 5.6ft from the ESE, 16-second period, and wind is offshore. The energy is massive at 1484. This is excellent surf, but at 5.6ft, it’s getting into the realm where it’s for experienced surfers only. The wave comment backs that up.
The morning of July 20th is another cracker. 5.9ft from the South, 15-second period, and offshore wind. Energy is 1695. That’s a solid, powerful groundswell. Same goes for the morning of July 21st – 5.9ft, South, offshore wind, 1616 energy. Both of these are excellent for experienced surfers.
The swell drops off after the 21st, but there’s a late wildcard on July 30th morning. The swell is a massive 11.5ft from the South, but with a short 10-second period. Energy is 3320, which is powerful, but the wind is strong cross-offshore. That’s big, lumpy, and only for the brave. It’s a marginal call.
The best of the best? I’d be looking hard at the morning of July 17th for that ESE groundswell with offshore wind, and the morning of July 20th for the powerful South swell. Both are clean, strong, and will have proper waves. Keep in mind, Raneika Beach is a consistent reef break, so it can handle the long period stuff, but the longer intervals (15-17 seconds) will mean longer lulls between sets.
Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so during these standouts, expect some company.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 18 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 63 | 57 | 225 | 492 | 1055 | 1433 | 1344 | 1225 | 947 | 731 | 2513 | 1747 | 1729 | 967 | 1469 | 1386 | 2859 | 1509 | 1065 | 594 | 396 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:06PM1.74m | 6:32AM1.58m | 7:02PM1.74m | 7:29AM1.58m | 7:58PM1.72m | 8:25AM1.56m | 8:52PM1.68m | 9:20AM1.53m | 9:45PM1.62m | 10:14AM1.49m | 10:37PM1.54m | 11:07AM1.46m | 11:29PM1.47m | 11:59AM1.42m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:28AM0.01m | 12:45PM-0.03m | 1:26AM-0.00m | 1:43PM-0.02m | 2:22AM-0.00m | 2:39PM0.01m | 3:16AM0.01m | 3:34PM0.05m | 4:09AM0.05m | 4:28PM0.11m | 4:59AM0.10m | 5:20PM0.17m | 5:48AM0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 |
 | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | 5:10 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
Feels °C | 15 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 18 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 63 | 57 | 225 | 492 | 1055 | 1433 | 1344 | 1225 | 947 | 731 | 2513 | 1747 | 1729 | 967 | 1469 | 1386 | 2859 | 1509 | 1065 | 594 | 396 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | ESE 10 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 8 | S 11 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | S 19 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | S 17 | S 15 |
| kJ | 2 | 33 | 12 | 29 | 25 | 28 | 441 | 585 | 311 | 167 | 553 | 458 | 346 | 255 | 226 | 700 | 145 | 107 | 81 | 151 | 116 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | NE 4 | S 14 | NE 10 | — | SSW 15 | S 18 | — | S 19 | SSW 23 | — | — | — | S 20 | — | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | — | — | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | — | 23 | 160 | — | 30 | 730 | — | — | — | 194 | — | 177 | 145 | — | — | 66 | 45 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 9 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raneika Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raneika Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raneika Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raneika Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raneika Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raneika Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raneika Beach is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Hastings. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hastings. Hastings has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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