
Surf Forecasts:
Raneika Beach surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 17,951 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raneika Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raneika Beach in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s lined up for Raneika Beach.
We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. It kicks off on Wednesday, July 29th with some solid surf, but then things get a bit wild before settling into a more manageable pattern. The water is sitting at 54.5°F, which is a bit cooler than we’d expect for this time of year, so you might want an extra mil.
The first real standout is on Wednesday morning, July 29th. The swell is a clean 6.2ft from the ESE, with a period of 13 seconds, giving it proper groundswell punch. The combined energy is strong at 1160, and with a light NNW breeze keeping it cross-off, the face is going to be clean. This is the best of the early window. The waves should have decent shape, and the water is a bit colder than normal, but the quality is there.
That afternoon, the wind swings NE and goes cross-on, and the quality drops off. Not worth it.
Thursday, July 30th morning is another good call. 4.9ft from the ESE with a 12-second period, and again a light NW cross-off breeze. The energy is still moderate at 729. The waves will be clean and fun. By the afternoon, the wind picks up to 18.6 mph and the swell drops, so get out early.
Friday, July 31st sees the swell fade to under 3.3ft. The morning has a 3.0ft swell from the ESE, but the period is still 11 seconds. The wind is 12.4 mph and cross-off, so it’s clean but weak. The afternoon has a strong offshore breeze at 18.6 mph, but the swell is too small to be much fun.
Now, we hit a big, powerful but messy period. Saturday, August 1st through Sunday, August 2nd sees a big jump in size. Saturday morning has 6.9ft from the SSW, but the period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s a bit jumbled. The energy is moderate at 946. By Saturday afternoon, it’s roaring 9.8ft from the SSW, but with a 24.9 mph wind, it’s just a washout. Sunday morning is a massive 11.5ft from the S, with a combined energy of 5206, but the wind is howling at 21.7 mph. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a good paddle session. The waves are too big and the wind too strong for clean surfing.
Monday, August 3rd is a big turnaround. That morning, we get 5.6ft from the SSE at 11 seconds, with a light WNW offshore breeze of 6.2 mph. This is clean, lined-up, and the energy is moderate at 753. The afternoon builds to 7.2ft from the S with the same glassy offshore wind. This is a solid, clean day for experienced surfers, especially the afternoon.
Tuesday, August 4th is a monster. The morning sees a 21.3ft swell from the SSW with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is enormous at 27045. The wind is light and offshore, but the swell is simply too big for this break. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s a serious health warning. The afternoon is similar at 19.7ft.
Wednesday, August 5th is the next real standout. The morning offers 11.5ft from the S at 13 seconds, with a gentle SW cross-off breeze. The energy is very strong at 5481. This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced crew. The afternoon jumps to 13.1ft from the S with a 15-second period, but the wind goes cross-shore and it gets a bit bumpy. Still, the morning session is a winner.
Thursday, August 6th through Friday, August 7th is a write-off. Heavy rain, strong onshore and cross-shore winds, and messy, lumpy conditions. The swell is still big (9.8ft to 11.5ft), but it’s blown out. Not worth paddling out.
Saturday, August 8th through Sunday, August 9th sees the swell holding at 11.5ft to 13.1ft from the SE, with the wind staying cross-off around 18.6 to 21.7 mph. The energy is strong (2309 to 3456), but the conditions are described as marginal. It’s clean, but big and a bit lumpy. It’s a step up from the days before, but still heavy.
Monday, August 10th through Tuesday, August 11th
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Wed morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 15 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1134 | 986 | 872 | 593 | 394 | 314 | 202 | 161 | 80 | 755 | 1976 | 3429 | 2998 | 1596 | 1144 | 711 | 1116 | 4054 | 17081 | 15490 | 11929 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:29PM1.42m | 5:48AM1.31m | 6:14PM1.44m | 6:33AM1.32m | 6:58PM1.45m | 7:17AM1.33m | 7:41PM1.45m | 8:01AM1.34m | 8:23PM1.45m | 8:45AM1.35m | 9:06PM1.45m | 9:30AM1.38m | 9:51PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:12AM0.28m | 11:49PM0.31m | 11:59AM0.26m | 00:35AM0.28m | 12:44PM0.25m | 1:20AM0.26m | 1:29PM0.24m | 2:04AM0.24m | 2:13PM0.23m | 2:46AM0.22m | 2:58PM0.23m | 3:29AM0.21m | 3:44PM0.22m | ||||||||
7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | -1 | -3 | -3 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 10 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 20 | S 12 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 |
1134 | 986 | 872 | 593 | 394 | 314 | 202 | 161 | 80 | 155 | 149 | 125 | 2135 | 1596 | 1144 | 711 | 38 | 2973 | 9964 | 8789 | 6507 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SE 15 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 13 | NE 15 | NE 14 | S 21 | NE 13 | NE 13 | — | — | — |
20 | 10 | 103 | 131 | 41 | 35 | 66 | 28 | 78 | 35 | 34 | 8 | 63 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 13 | NNE 4 | S 18 | — | SSW 14 | SE 15 | NNW 4 | NE 6 | ENE 17 | NE 16 | NE 16 | S 19 | S 24 | NE 13 | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | 5 | 114 | 6 | 25 | — | 40 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 3 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 5 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | — | — | W 3 | S 11 | S 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
— | — | 2 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 755 | 1976 | 3429 | 2998 | — | — | 7 | 1116 | 4054 | 17081 | 15490 | 11929 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 61 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 192 | 233 | 23 | 253 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 38 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raneika Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raneika Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raneika Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raneika Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raneika Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raneika Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raneika Beach is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Hastings. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hastings. Hastings has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










