Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the goods on Raneika Beach. It's a reef setup, fairly exposed to the swell and it likes a SE direction. Water temps are sittin' a bit colder than normal for this time of year, comin' in around 56°. So you're gonna want the thick rubber.

The next week and a bit is a mixed bag, but we do have some windows. Things start off Friday morning, July 3rd. We’ve got a clean 5 ft easterly swell rolling in at a solid 11 seconds and light offshore west winds. The combined wave energy is moderate at 536, so there’s some push. It's clean and the reefs should hold it nicely. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-on wind, so make the most of the morning.

Saturday the 4th is your first real standout. The morning session is looking prime: 5 ft of east swell with an 11-second period, light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW, and the energy bumps up to 691. Clean conditions, good shape – this is likely the best of the early run. The afternoon turns into a washing machine with a 16 mph cross-breeze, so be out early. Sunday the 5th has a short-period 6 ft ENE swell on the morning with a cross-off, but it’s only 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit walled up and gutless. The afternoon drops right off.

We hit a real rough patch from Sunday afternoon through to Monday. Choppy, onshore winds, and the quality goes down the drain. Tuesday the 7th brings a surprise – clean, glassy conditions in the morning with an offshore west wind and a solid 5 ft south swell at 10 seconds. Energy jumps to 794, and it should be lined up. However, it’s a short-lived window for a Tuesday morning paddle.

Wednesday the 8th pushes bigger numbers: 7 ft of east swell, 10 seconds, with a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is strong at 1234. This is solidly in the expert-only zone for size and the reef will be working hard, but for those with the skills, it’s on. The wind gets stronger that afternoon, making it harder.

Thursday the 9th through Saturday the 11th sees the swell hold size, but we are now into serious wind. Near-gale and strong breezes will shred the surface. For all that power (energy up over 2000 on Thursday), the surface will be a mess for a paddle board. This is more of a kite-surfing setup at a beach-and-reef spot like this when the wind gets that strong. You’d be battling just to get out.

The weekend of the 12th and into the new week remains windy and cleaner in the mornings, but the swell stays middling to small. There’s a flicker of hope on Tuesday morning, July 14th. That’s over a week out. Look for a clean 6 ft SE groundswell with an 11-second period, light NNW offshore winds, and energy around 926. It could be a beauty, but it's still long-range and a bit uncertain. Wednesday the 15th morning is smaller but still clean. After that, the wind and chop return, and the last few days of the outlook are one poor session after another.

So, if you’re picking your moment – Saturday morning, July 4th is your best early bet for clean, head-high waves with good shape. Tuesday morning, July 14th is the promising long-range standout that could be even better, with a more powerful long-period groundswell and perfect offshores.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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