Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long range look at Raneika Beach. Let's be straight with you, there's a rough patch to get through before it gets interesting, so patience is the name of the game.

We've got a solid week of pretty ordinary conditions ahead before things start to fire up. The wind is messy and the swell is all over the shop. The water is sitting at 53°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll need a good steamer.

Thursday 13th to Friday 14th – Forget it. We've got small, choppy waves and onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday 15th morning – Now this is a brief glimmer. A glassy 8ft swell from the ENE with light ESE winds. The combined energy is moderate at 829. It'll be clean and has potential, but be aware the Saturday afternoon session looks like it will get sloppy again.

Sunday 16th and Monday 17th – Big swell is on the way, but it comes with a screaming southerly wind. Wave heights are up to 12ft, and the energy is strong (over 1600), but the wind is howling. This is more for the kite boarders than us paddle guys. The sets will be clean, but the power is wild.

Tuesday 18th to Wednesday 19th – The swell is still pumping. Wednesday morning is a monster, with a 15ft S swell and a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 5224. This is serious, expert-only stuff. There’s clean cross-off wind, but it's big and raw.

Thursday 20th morning – This is where it gets interesting. A 8ft S swell with a 13-second period, and a light offshore WSW wind. The energy is high (1909) but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a standout window – clean, lined up, and powerful. The long period means it'll be better for a point or reef, but for an experienced crew at Raneika, this is the one to circle. The crowd might be around, so don't expect it to be empty.

Friday 21st to Saturday 22nd – The swell eases back, but the mornings are still clean with a cross-off breeze. 5ft on Friday morning with a light wind and 578 energy is a solid option for a normal session. It's dropping off though.

Sunday 23rd to Monday 24th – Small again. Only ankle to knee high stuff.

Tuesday 25th morning – Another promising window. A 5ft S swell with a very long 13-second period. The combined energy is 899, and the wind is a light cross-off. This will be clean and have some decent push. It's definitely a morning to have the wax ready.

Wednesday 26th onwards – The forecast gets mixed again for the tail end with onshore winds and messy conditions.

So, the standouts – If you're an experienced surfer, Thursday 20th morning is the one. That 8ft clean S swell with offshore wind is going to be special. For a more relaxed, still very good session, Tuesday 25th morning is the call with a long period groundswell.

This forecast is more reliable for the first week, the later dates have promise but are less certain. Keep an eye on the charts, but at least there's light at the end of the tunnel.

Rusty.

Read more