Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Raneika Beach.

First up, the water is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year – a solid 2° below the norm, so you’ll want a decent suit.

The surf kicks off on Tuesday the 21st of July, but it’s not a pretty picture. We’ve got a 5.6ft swell from the south with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is a hefty 1244 (moderate to strong), but a cross-on wind from the northeast is messing it up. It’s a marginal call, so I’d give it a miss.

Wednesday morning the 22nd looks much cleaner. The swell drops to 3.6ft from the south, period still a solid 12 seconds, and the wind swings to a light cross-off from the WNW. The energy is 388 (moderate), and the conditions are reported as clean. It’s a good, manageable size for most surfers, but nothing to write home about.

Thursday the 23rd is small – 1.6ft in the morning – and the wind is light, but it’s just not doing much. The energy is down to 155 (weak to moderate). By Friday the 24th, it’s a write-off: 1ft and 2.6ft with messy wind and poor conditions.

Now, Saturday the 25th brings a bit of life. The morning session shows a 2.6ft easterly swell, 11-second period, with a light offshore wind from the WNW. The energy is 288 (moderate), and it’s described as clean with gentle offshore conditions. It’s a small window, but the wind is good.

Hold on to your board for Sunday the 26th. The morning jumps to a 6.2ft south swell, 9-second period, and the combined energy is 1050 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light cross-off from the SSW, and the conditions are clean. This is a strong contender for the best of the first week – solid size, decent period, and clean lines. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6.9ft and a shorter 8-second period, but the cross-shore wind and rain make it less appealing.

The real standout, and I mean *the* standout of the whole run, is Monday the 27th of July through to Tuesday the 28th. On Monday morning, we’ve got a 13.1ft swell from the south, 10-second period, with a clean cross-off wind from the SW. The energy is a massive 4238 (very strong). By the afternoon, it’s still 13.1ft, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, and the energy hits 7120 (very strong). This is big, powerful, and clean – but at 13.1ft, this is strictly for experts. The crowd profile at Raneika Beach is “sometimes,” so you might share it, but the size will thin the pack out.

Then Tuesday the 28th is the absolute gem. The swell eases slightly to 9.8ft from the ESE, but the period is a very long 14 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the WNW. The energy is 4911 (very strong). The afternoon is even better: 11.5ft, 13-second period, with a glassy offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is 4251, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a long-period groundswell that will be breaking nicely at this reef setup. The consistent nature of the break means it will handle the energy well, and the light wind will make it a dream day for anyone who can handle the size.

Wednesday the 29th is still pumping at 8.2ft from the ESE, 13-second period, with a moderate offshore wind in the morning. Energy is 2237 (strong). The afternoon gets a bit dicey with a fresh 22 mph wind, so go early.

Thursday the 30th drops to 6.9ft, but the wind is fresh and strong, making it marginal. Friday the 31st offers a better afternoon session with a 5.2ft SE swell, 13-second period, and a gentle breeze. The energy is 1519 (strong), and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a fun, manageable size for the end of the week.

The first weekend of August (the 1st and 2nd) is small again – 4.6ft and 3.6ft – with clean mornings but onshore and messy afternoons. Not a highlight.

Looking further out, Monday the 3rd of August has a small morning, but the afternoon brings

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