Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s shaping up for Raneika Beach. It’s a bit of a slow build, but there’s some serious grunt on the horizon if you’re willing to wait.

The water’s running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 54°, so a 3/2 is a good call if you’re heading out.

We start off Thursday morning the 30th with some clean, cross-off conditions. Swell is coming in at a modest 5ft from the ESE with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is sitting at a moderate 657. It’s surfable and clean, but nothing to get too excited about. Thursday afternoon gets a bit lumpier with stronger side-shore winds.

Friday the 31st drops off a touch with smaller 3ft swell. The afternoons see the wind go offshore, but the swell’s too weak to really make it count. You’ll be scratching for waves.

Saturday the 1st of August is where things get weird. There’s a pulse of 10ft swell, but the wind is howling from the SW at 19 mph and it’s cross-off. Combine that energy (2099 on Saturday morning) with the strong wind, and this beach setup starts looking more interesting for the kite crew than the paddle crew.

The first real standout arrives Sunday morning the 2nd of August. The swell holds at 10ft from the south, the period stretches out to a proper 12 seconds of groundswell, and the wind goes clean offshore from the WSW at 9 mph. Combined energy is pumping at 2620. This is excellent for experienced surfers. It’s a solid, powerful S swell, but at this size with strong energy, it’s going to be a bit much for beginners. The long period means better shaped waves, but at a beach setup like Raneika, it might be a bit fat and straight. Look for the peaks to handle it.

Monday the 3rd is a nice drop in size to 5ft, and Monday afternoon sees a clean 4ft swell with a very long 13-second period and offshore wind. Clean and fun.

The next serious highlight is Wednesday afternoon the 5th of August. Swell jumps back up to 8ft from the south, 12-second period, combined energy of 2206, and the wind is a gentle 9 mph from the SSW keeping it clean. This is another excellent window for experienced surfers.

Tuesday the 11th of August brings a weird shift in direction. Swell swings to the NE, a little over 7ft, but it’s a shorter period (9-10 seconds) with fresh cross-off winds. It’s clean but the quality won’t be as good as the S swells earlier.

Now, if you’re looking for the absolute best on offer in this 16-day window, keep your eyes on two dates. First, Wednesday the 12th of August afternoon. The swell bumps up to 10ft from the ENE, 9-second period, combined energy of 2322, and, get this, glassy conditions. Dead flat calm. That is a rare treat for clean, big waves.

But the true standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Friday morning the 14th of August. This is a big one. A massive 20ft ENE swell with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 10033. That is very, very strong. And the wind is a fresh 22 mph offshore from the west, keeping it clean. For the experts only, this is the session to plan for. It’s two weeks out, so things can shuffle, but if this holds, it’ll be the best and biggest swell of the window by a long shot.

There’s not much else after that, with the week prior being mostly blown-out or weak. So, get on the morning of the 2nd, the afternoon of the 5th, and keep the 12th and 14th of August in your sights.

Rusty.

Read more