Surf Forecasts:
Raneika Beach surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 11,840 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raneika Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raneika Beach in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, we’re looking at Raneika Beach, a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the south-east. The water’s at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a thicker suit.
Saturday’s a rough start: 10ft of SSW swell, but with a 30 km/h cross-off wind and a combined energy of 1602, it’s not clean. Afternoon sees the wind up to 35 km/h, still cross-off, and the swell’s from the south with energy at 1844. Surfable, but a battle.
Sunday morning is where it turns. Swell drops to 8ft from the south, period hits 12 seconds, and the wind switches to a light westerly offshore at 10 km/h. Energy is still strong at 1848, and conditions are clean. This is a solid window for experienced surfers. Then Sunday afternoon gets even better: glassy calm, 7ft south swell at 11 seconds, energy at 1349. This is a standout – clean, lined up, and the reef will be working.
Monday morning drops to 4ft from the SSE, cross-off wind, energy 585. Okay, not the pick. Monday afternoon has 4ft of south swell, 13-second period, clean offshore at 20 km/h. Energy 725, shaping up nicely.
Tuesday is wild. Morning: 8ft of south swell, wind howling at 35 km/h cross-off, energy 2692 – messy. But Tuesday afternoon: 16ft of south swell, 15-second period, energy 10102. Wind cross-off at 30 km/h. Expert-only, a standout for big-wave crew.
Wednesday holds around 10ft to 12ft of south swell, moderate cross-off winds, energy in the 2000-3000 range. Consistent but not as clean as Sunday.
Thursday morning is a gem: 6ft from the SSE, 12-second period, gentle offshore wind from the west-southwest. Energy 1526, clean conditions. Another standout for experienced surfers.
Friday morning brings 6ft of south swell with a 17-second period – very long period groundswell. Light cross-off from the northwest, energy 2385. The reef will make the most of it. A standout for long, drawn-out rides.
The weekend after drops off. Saturday morning: 6ft from the south, 13-second period, light cross-off. Clean but smaller. Sunday morning: 4ft, energy 400. Okay, nothing special.
Second week gets quiet. Monday 10th to Wednesday 12th: 4ft to 5ft of swell, mostly from the east-northeast, light cross-off winds. Energy 300-500. Surfable, but longboard territory. Thursday 13th afternoon: small bump to 5ft from the east-northeast, clean offshore, energy 445.
Friday 14th afternoon: 10ft from the south-southwest, cross-on wind, energy 1537 – choppy and messy.
Saturday 15th: 7ft from the SSE in the morning, moderate wind, energy 965. Not great. Afternoon is a write-off with 40 km/h winds.
Sunday 16th: 1ft of very long period swell, low energy, messy wind. Not worth paddling out.
Best of the forecast: Sunday afternoon (2nd August) for the glassy, clean 7ft south swell, and Tuesday afternoon (4th August) for the massive 16ft south swell – but only for experts. Thursday morning (6th August) and Friday morning (7th August) are also standouts for clean conditions and long period groundswell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue morning, calm by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 19 | S 16 | S 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1382 | 1664 | 2716 | 1717 | 1037 | 862 | 373 | 339 | 299 | 3871 | 8823 | 10952 | 3354 | 2326 | 1610 | 686 | 637 | 402 | 1576 | 3897 | 2424 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:41PM1.45m | 8:01AM1.34m | 8:23PM1.45m | 8:45AM1.35m | 9:06PM1.45m | 9:30AM1.38m | 9:51PM1.45m | 10:17AM1.41m | 10:38PM1.45m | 11:07AM1.44m | 11:29PM1.45m | 11:59AM1.48m | 00:23AM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:29PM0.24m | 2:04AM0.24m | 2:13PM0.23m | 2:46AM0.22m | 2:58PM0.23m | 3:29AM0.21m | 3:44PM0.22m | 4:13AM0.20m | 4:32PM0.22m | 4:59AM0.18m | 5:23PM0.21m | 5:48AM0.17m | 6:17PM0.19m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Feels °C | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 8 | -1 | -1 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 16 | SE 15 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | — | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 19 | S 16 | S 15 |
| kJ | 155 | 149 | 2716 | 1717 | 1037 | 862 | 373 | 339 | 299 | 3204 | — | 6122 | 3354 | 2326 | 1610 | 686 | 637 | 402 | 1576 | 3897 | 2424 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | SE 14 | NE 16 | SSE 14 | NE 14 | SSW 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | NE 12 | — | — | — | — | SE 16 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 53 | 19 | 125 | 10 | 307 | 8 | 143 | 176 | 55 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 41 | 430 | 291 | 108 | 258 | 168 | 50 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 18 | NE 17 | E 10 | ENE 16 | NE 15 | S 24 | SSW 13 | SSW 20 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 18 | E 16 | S 10 | SE 11 | NE 14 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 38 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 162 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 6 | S 12 | S 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 |
| kJ | 1382 | 1664 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 120 | 3871 | 8823 | 10952 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 177 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 39 | 129 | 38 | 23 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raneika Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raneika Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raneika Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raneika Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raneika Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raneika Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raneika Beach is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Hastings. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hastings. Hastings has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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