Surf Forecasts:
Raneika Beach surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 17s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 17s period, S swell with 1,947 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raneika Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raneika Beach in the next 16 days are 1.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raneika Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into this one. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but it’s a bit of a slow starter, so don’t be in a rush to grab your board just yet.
The first real chance to get wet doesn’t show up until Saturday the 22nd at Raneika Beach. It’s a reef break, fairly exposed to the swell, and the water temp is sitting at 53°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – so you’ll want that extra rubber.
Saturday morning the 22nd is the first decent call. We’ve got a 4ft south swell, clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze from the WNW, and the energy is moderate at 357. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and rideable. Monday morning the 24th looks similar – 4ft from the SSW, light cross-off wind, and clean. Solid for a longboard or a funboard.
Now, if you’re looking for a standout, I’d point you to Thursday morning the 27th. The swell jumps to 5ft from the SSW, with a very long 15-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light and cross-off, keeping it clean. The combined energy is a strong 905. This reef is going to handle that long-period swell beautifully, offering up some real shape. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so there might be a few others out, but it’s worth it.
The next big one to mark on your calendar is Tuesday morning, September 1st. We’ve got a 6ft south swell, 11-second period, cross-off wind, and a score that suggests excellent conditions. The energy is solid at 783. This is another top contender.
But hold onto your board – the real beast is Thursday morning, September 3rd. A massive 12ft south swell with a 16-second period, light offshore wind, and extremely clean conditions. The combined energy is a whopping 6251. This is very strong, expert-level surf. The break is a reef, so it’ll handle that long-period energy well, but this is strictly for experienced surfers only. Beginners need to stay on the sand and watch.
There will be a few gaps with no real winners, like the end of August and parts of early September, but the quality windows are there. The first week is a mixed bag, but the second week has some real promise. Keep an eye on that Thursday the 3rd. It’s a long way out, but it looks like a session to remember.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the NNE by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 17 | S 17 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1079 | 521 | 333 | 250 | 185 | 96 | 57 | 33 | 199 | 1259 | 727 | 270 | 198 | 356 | 528 | 297 | 657 | 869 | 1573 | 1903 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:32AM1.33m | 12:59PM1.37m | 1:20AM1.30m | 1:46PM1.36m | 2:07AM1.28m | 2:34PM1.36m | 2:55AM1.27m | 3:22PM1.37m | 3:42AM1.28m | 4:09PM1.39m | 4:29AM1.29m | 4:55PM1.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:27PM0.30m | 6:44AM0.30m | 7:14PM0.33m | 7:30AM0.32m | 8:02PM0.35m | 8:16AM0.33m | 8:50PM0.36m | 9:03AM0.32m | 9:38PM0.35m | 9:51AM0.31m | 10:27PM0.32m | 10:38AM0.28m | 11:14PM0.29m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | NNE 5 | ESE 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 17 | S 17 |
| kJ | 1079 | 521 | 333 | 250 | 185 | 96 | 17 | 33 | 199 | 1259 | 727 | 270 | 198 | 356 | 528 | 297 | 657 | 869 | 1573 | 1903 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | S 10 | NNE 5 | SSW 11 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SSW 16 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | S 17 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 10 |
| kJ | 92 | 61 | 22 | 8 | 34 | 57 | 50 | 2 | 41 | 34 | 35 | 33 | 86 | 15 | 17 | 146 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | NNE 4 | E 14 | — | — | ESE 13 | N 4 | ESE 13 | — | — | SSW 17 | ESE 13 | NE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 13 | NE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | — |
| kJ | — | 78 | 1 | 16 | — | — | 57 | 1 | 34 | — | — | 55 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 4 | 24 | 12 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 4 | N 3 | NNE 4 | N 3 | N 5 | NNW 4 | WSW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | WSW 6 | NNW 3 | NNE 10 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 83 | 21 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 53 | 2 | 10 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 80 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 0 | 101 | 0 | 43 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raneika Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raneika Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raneika Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raneika Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raneika Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raneika Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raneika Beach is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Hastings. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hastings. Hastings has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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