Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Raneika Beach.

The next couple of days are pretty flat and messy, so don’t bother paddling out just yet. But hold on, because things start to get interesting from Thursday the 16th onward. The standout period is clearly Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th, with some decent groundswell energy arriving.

Right now, Tuesday afternoon the 14th is a write-off. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the NE with a short period of 5 seconds, and the energy is weak (57). The water is a bit colder than normal at 55°. Wednesday the 15th is a little better with a glassy morning, but the swell is still only 2ft. The afternoon turns glassy with 2ft from the E, and the energy picks up a bit to 73, but it’s still very ordinary.

Thursday the 16th is where it starts to wake up. The morning has 2ft from the ESE with a long period of 15 seconds, and the energy jumps to 256 (moderate). The afternoon is even better with 3ft from the ESE and a very long period of 17 seconds, pushing the energy up to 527 (moderate). The wind is light cross-off, so it will be clean, but the wave height is still small.

Friday the 17th morning is the real gem. This is the best on offer. We’ve got a clean 6ft swell from the ESE with a long period of 16 seconds, and the energy is strong (1448). The wind is light offshore from the W, so it’ll be glassy and well-shaped. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – the 6ft is getting into the zone where it’s too much for beginners. The long period means it’s a groundswell, so at this reef break, it should set up nicely. The afternoon gets sloppy with a cross-on wind, so get your session in early.

Saturday the 18th morning is another strong option. You’ve got 5ft from the ESE with a 14-second period, energy is strong (1352), and the wind is light cross-off. It’s excellent for experienced surfers again. The afternoon wind turns cross-on, so it’s a morning session call.

Sunday the 19th sees a shift. The wind picks up to 15–19 mph from the SSW and S, and while the swell is 4ft from the SSW with a very long 19-second period, the strong cross-off and cross winds will make it lumpy. The energy is still high (1843), but the quality drops. Monday the 20th is similar – 5–6ft from the S, but with moderate cross-off to cross winds, making it a marginal call.

The following week, from Tuesday the 22nd, the swell drops back down to 3ft or less, with plenty of cross-on winds. There’s a little window on Saturday the 25th morning with 3ft from the ESE and a long 15-second period, light offshore wind, and clean conditions. It’s a small wave day, but it’ll be fun. The energy is moderate (346).

Then from Sunday the 26th, the swell picks up again. Monday the 27th morning has 6ft from the ENE with a 12-second period, energy is moderate (962), and the wind is cross-off. It’s a promising call for a weekday. Tuesday the 28th morning is also solid with 5ft from the ENE and a light offshore wind, energy is strong (1048). The 29th morning offers something similar, 5ft from the E, clean, with a good energy (773) – but these are all a week and a half out, so keep an eye on the forecast.

So, to wrap it up: Friday morning, 17th July, is your best bet. Get up early for clean, 6ft groundswell from the ESE with offshore wind. Saturday morning the 18th is a close second. If you’re a beginner, stick to the smaller days around the 25th or 26th. The occasional crowds are possible here, so don’t expect solitude.

Rusty.

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