Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up at Raneika Beach. This is a reef break, fairly exposed, and the water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing to write home about.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the real action kicks off later. The first standout is Tuesday morning, July 21st. The swell is coming in at 6ft from the S, with a very long period of 19 seconds, and we’ve got clean, offshore W winds at 6 mph. The water will be glassy. This is a proper groundswell, and with that period, it’s going to have some serious energy (combined energy of 1850). The break is consistent, and it’s a reef, so that long period stuff should line up nicely. This is the best on offer for the early part of the week. Keep in mind, it’s a solid 6ft, so it’s getting into the intermediate-to-expert territory.

The waves will drop off a bit through Wednesday and Thursday, turning into smaller, cleaner but weaker surf. Then things get a bit messy. The weekend of the 25th and 26th has some decent size, but the wind is gnarly – strong breezes and lumpy conditions. Not ideal for a clean session.

Now, the real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Monday, July 27th. The swell swings around to the ESE at 6ft to 7ft, with that same long, powerful 13-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, so the surface will be clean. The combined energy is huge (1417 to 1705). This is another one for experienced surfers given the size. The break is consistent, and the offshore wind direction is a big plus. This is the best looking window in the whole run.

The following week settles down into a smaller, cleaner pattern through the end of July and into early August, with ESE swell in the 3ft to 5ft range. It’s surfable, but nothing to get overly excited about.

Then we hit a wildcard. On Sunday, August 2nd, a big S swell arrives at 15ft, but it’s being hammered by a fresh cross-shore wind of 22 mph. The energy is absolutely pumping (4775), but the conditions are poor – it’s a lumpy, choppy mess. Don’t even think about paddling out. This setup is much more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The next day, Monday the 3rd, the wind is still strong, dropping the swell down to 4ft.

The final hint of something good comes on Tuesday, August 4th, with a new SSW swell of 5ft and a 14-second period. Light winds and clean conditions. It’s a promising note to end the outlook on, though it’s well into the second week, so treat it as a maybe.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday morning the 21st is your first good call, but the absolute pick of the litter is Monday the 27th. The rest is a mixed bag.

Rusty.

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