Raneika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

First off, water temps are running a bit colder than normal for this time of year at 55° – so don’t forget the extra rubber if you’re heading out.

The window kicks off on Friday the 10th of July, but honestly, it’s a rough start. We’ve got a huge 13ft SE swell hitting Raneika Beach with a 25 mph southerly crosswind, and the combined energy is a massive 3141 (strong). That’s a mess – poor surf conditions, and way too big for anyone but the most experienced. The afternoon drops to 8ft, still a lot of energy (2204), but the wind goes cross-off and cleans it up a bit – marginal at best.

Saturday the 11th is a little better: 7ft ESE swell, moderate breeze, clean. Still a lot of energy (862) but the sets are a bit more manageable. Sunday morning the 12th is the first real standout. Light WSW offshore at 6 mph, 4ft ESE swell, clean conditions, and the break is consistent. The energy is moderate (480). This is the best call in the first week – small but clean, and the reef setup will handle that long period nicely.

Monday the 13th drops off to 3ft, still clean but very ordinary. From Tuesday the 14th through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s flat or tiny – periods of 5 seconds, energy down in the 40s and 70s. A real gap. Then Thursday the 16th brings a pulse: 3ft ESE groundswell with a 17-second period, gentle offshore, clean – the energy jumps to 595. That’s promising, but the longer period means it’ll be better on the reef than a beach break. Friday the 17th sees 6ft ESE swell, 14-second period, moderate breeze, clean – energy at 1253, solid moderate.

Now, the real standout is Wednesday the 22nd of July. That morning, we’ve got 12ft SE swell, 10-second period, light NNW offshore at 6 mph, clean, and the combined energy is a massive 4783 (very strong). This is for experienced surfers only – too big for beginners. The reef at Raneika Beach will be handling it, but that’s a serious session if you’ve got the skills. The afternoon turns cross-on, so get it early.

The days leading up to that are building: Monday the 21st has 8ft E swell, but cross-shore wind, so not as clean. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th still have 10ft and 8ft, but the wind is more cross-off, keeping it clean. Then Saturday the 25th morning – 4ft ESE, light offshore, clean – that’s a nice little finisher for the period.

Overall, the best two windows are Sunday morning the 12th for a fun, clean small session, and Wednesday morning the 22nd for the big, powerful stuff – but only for the brave.

Stay safe, and keep an eye on that long-period groundswell – it’ll be lining up nicely on the reef.

Rusty.

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