Horseshoe Bay surf break

Horseshoe Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Tuesday 17 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Horseshoe Bay sea temperature is
20.4° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Horseshoe Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Mar 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Horseshoe Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 19) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Mar 19) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 18th Mar)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 19th Mar)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 19th Mar)15ft (4.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Horseshoe Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the SSE by Thu afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
2
0
!
!
!
3
2
2
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
NE
0.9
ENE
1.2
ENE
2.2
ENE
3.5
ENE
3
E
2.2
E
1.7
E
1.2
E
1
E
0.8
ENE
0.8
SE
0.7
SE
0.8
SE
0.8
SE
1
SE
1
SE
0.9
ESE
0.4
ESE
Period(s) (?)881167810111010101099999910914
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)37517349139650252923511000561268192115119819710915618114573
Wind
(km/h)
10
NE
10
E
10
SSE
15
E
15
SSE
35
SE
40
SSE
35
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SSW
15
SSE
0
NE
10
SSE
15
SSE
25
SE
20
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
20
SSE
20
SE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:17PM
1.89
6:55AM
2.02
7:07PM
1.94
7:36AM
2.07
7:55PM
1.99
8:18AM
2.10
8:42PM
2.05
9:04AM
2.10
9:29PM
2.09
9:54AM
2.08
10:17PM
2.11
10:46AM
2.07
11:08PM
2.10
11:37AM
2.06
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:37AM
0.54
1:12PM
0.53
1:23AM
0.48
2:00PM
0.43
2:11AM
0.43
2:46PM
0.35
3:00AM
0.40
3:31PM
0.30
3:51AM
0.38
4:17PM
0.29
4:41AM
0.38
5:05PM
0.30
5:30AM
0.41
Tue
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Sunrise--7:05--7:07--7:07--7:09--7:09--7:11--7:11
Sunset7:23--7:22--7:21--7:19--7:17--7:15--7:15--
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
----3671-------------
Temp. °C201720201717181819181719181618181517181518
Feels °C (?)191718181612121318181519191515131212131114
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Horseshoe Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Horseshoe Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Horseshoe Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Horseshoe Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Horseshoe Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 122 km (76 miles) away.

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