Horseshoe Bay surf break

Horseshoe Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Tuesday 13 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Horseshoe Bay sea temperature is
20.8° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Horseshoe Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Horseshoe Bay in the next 12 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jan 20) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jan 18) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 14th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 17th Jan)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 20th Jan)6ft (1.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Horseshoe Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Wed morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 34mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the SSE by Sat night).

Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Mon
19
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.3
NNW
0.3
NNE
1
E
1
ENE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
1
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
1.2
NE
1.3
NE
1.3
ENE
1.1
NE
1
NE
0.9
NE
1.5
SE
1.6
SE
Period(s) (?)14145613121211111166788899956
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)404155766359563130307394128187219235193152115117177
Wind
(km/h)
15
SE
15
E
15
NE
15
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
10
WNW
10
NNW
20
NNW
5
NW
5
N
10
N
0
WSW
10
ESE
10
SE
20
SSE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
30
ESE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
oncross-
off
crosscrosscross-
off
crosscrosscrossglasscross-
on
glasscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
3:05AM
1.88
3:15PM
1.92
3:58AM
1.87
4:03PM
1.88
4:55AM
1.88
4:54PM
1.86
5:51AM
1.91
5:47PM
1.86
6:41AM
1.95
6:38PM
1.89
7:26AM
1.98
7:26PM
1.93
8:06AM
2.02
Low Tide
/ height (m)
9:18AM
0.75
9:46PM
0.65
10:13AM
0.79
10:38PM
0.68
11:06AM
0.81
11:31PM
0.68
11:57AM
0.81
12:20AM
0.67
12:45PM
0.78
1:05AM
0.63
1:31PM
0.73
1:47AM
0.58
2:15PM
0.67
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Mon
19
Sunrise-5:58--6:00--6:01--6:01--6:03--6:03--6:05-
Sunset--8:30--8:30--8:30--8:29--8:29--8:29--8:28
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
heavy rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
Rain (mm)
--11---131673312--2823
Temp. °C181919202323202323202222202120191817161818
Feels °C (?)161819212121202322202323222120191413131313
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Horseshoe Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Horseshoe Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Horseshoe Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Horseshoe Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Horseshoe Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 122 km (76 miles) away.

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