Horseshoe Bay surf break

Horseshoe Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Wednesday 14 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Horseshoe Bay sea temperature is
20.7° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Horseshoe Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Horseshoe Bay in the next 12 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 16th Jan)4ft (1.2m) 6s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 21st Jan)7ft (2.1m) 8s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 21st Jan)7ft (2.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Horseshoe Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 24°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the SSE by Sun morning).

Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tue
20
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NE
1
N
1.1
NNE
1.2
NE
1.3
NNE
1.2
NE
1.4
NE
1.2
NE
1.2
NE
1.2
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
SE
1.3
SE
1.6
SE
1.6
SE
1.7
SE
1.7
ESE
Period(s) (?)141312131155678999999910989
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)76635964304764120168164300210235251196176281446421392411
Wind
(km/h)
15
N
15
NW
20
NW
15
NW
20
NNW
15
NW
10
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
5
SSW
20
SE
30
SSE
25
SSE
30
SSE
30
SSE
30
SSE
30
SSE
30
SSE
20
S
25
SSE
20
SSE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
3:58AM
1.87
4:03PM
1.88
4:55AM
1.88
4:54PM
1.86
5:51AM
1.91
5:47PM
1.86
6:41AM
1.95
6:38PM
1.89
7:26AM
1.98
7:26PM
1.93
8:06AM
2.02
8:10PM
1.97
8:45AM
2.04
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:13AM
0.79
10:38PM
0.68
11:06AM
0.81
11:31PM
0.68
11:57AM
0.81
12:20AM
0.67
12:45PM
0.78
1:05AM
0.63
1:31PM
0.73
1:47AM
0.58
2:15PM
0.67
2:29AM
0.52
2:59PM
0.60
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tue
20
Sunrise-6:00--6:01--6:01--6:03--6:03--6:05--6:05-
Sunset--8:30--8:30--8:29--8:29--8:29--8:28--8:28
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
2--13431-------------
Temp. °C192323212322202424192119161918161919151920
Feels °C (?)192221212221212323191715121312101313101616
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Horseshoe Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Horseshoe Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Horseshoe Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Horseshoe Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Horseshoe Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 122 km (76 miles) away.

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