Horseshoe Bay Surf Forecast

/ East Cape (19 surf breaks) /

New Zealand (466 surf breaks) / Lat Long: (37.59° S 178.30° E)

Surf Forecasts:

Horseshoe Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

48hr Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Saturday 16 May 2026 NZST

Forecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent

Horseshoe Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.

Today's Horseshoe Bay sea temperature is 18.0° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

How big are the waves at Horseshoe Bay today?

The current surf forecast for Horseshoe Bay at 12PM is: 0.7m 11s primary swell from a East-northeast direction and 0.6m 4s secondary swell from a Southeast direction (forecast issued at 05:00am May 16). An open ocean swell of 0.2m 12s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-offshore.

Time (NZST) & Date	Wave Height	Wave Period
Morning (16 May)	2.5ft (0.7m)	11s
Afternoon (16 May)	2.5ft (0.7m)	11s
Evening (16 May)	2ft (0.6m)	10s

Table - waves today at Horseshoe Bay. (Swell directed towards the surf break)

Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent

	Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.
	Saturday 16							Sunday 17								Monday 18								Tue 19
	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM
Rating (10 max)	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Swell Height Map See all maps
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s)	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	E 10	E 10	E 10	E 10	E 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ESE 5	ESE 5	ENE 10
Wave Graph
kJ	126	123	121	119	119	88	86	83	82	80	80	58	51	50	51	51	49	54	52	52	54	38	40	39
Wind (km/h)	S	S	S	SSE	SSE	SSE	S	S	S	S	SSE	SSE	SSE	SSE	SSE	SSE	SSE	SSE	SSE	SE	SE	SSE	SSE	SSE
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off	cross-off
High Tide		5:30AM2.13m					6:08PM2.17m				6:27AM2.17m				7:04PM2.26m				7:25AM2.22m				7:58PM2.32m
Low Tide				12:00PM0.47m					00:25AM0.57m				12:54PM0.43m				1:22AM0.52m				1:46PM0.39m


	—	7:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7:01	—	—	—	—	—	7:01
	—	—	—	—	5:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5:04	—	—	5:02
mm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—
Temp °C	13	12	13	15	14	12	12	12	13	12	13	14	14	13	13	13	13	13	14	15	15	13	13	13
Feels °C	10	8	9	10	9	8	8	8	9	8	9	10	9	8	8	9	9	10	11	11	12	10	10	10
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 11	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	E 10	E 10	E 10	E 10	E 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10	ENE 10
kJ	126	123	121	119	119	88	86	83	82	80	80	58	51	50	50	50	49	54	52	52	54	33	40	39
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	SE 13	SSE 13	SSE 13	SSE 12	SSE 12	SSE 12	SSE 12	SSE 11	SSE 11	SSE 11	SSE 11	SSE 11	NE 10	SSE 10	SSE 10	NE 9	SE 10	SE 10	SE 10	SE 10	SE 10	SE 10	SE 9	SE 9
kJ	28	17	16	15	14	14	13	12	12	12	11	11	4	10	9	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	NE 10	NE 10	NE 10	NE 10	NE 10	—	—	NE 10	NE 10	NE 10	NE 10	NE 10	S 22	NE 10	NE 9	E 15	NE 9	E 15	E 14	E 14	SE 14	SE 14	E 14	E 14
kJ	4	4	4	4	4	—	—	4	4	4	4	4	9	4	3	4	3	4	4	4	7	8	4	4
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s)	SE 5	SE 5	SE 6	SE 4	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 4	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	SE 5	ESE 5	ESE 5	ESE 5	ESE 5	ESE 5	ESE 5
kJ	11	15	22	12	28	40	28	22	14	16	19	23	29	49	51	51	41	39	45	39	34	38	37	36
Nearest Offshore or Glassy	Horseshoe Bay East Cape	Te Araroa East Cape	Whangaparaoa East Cape	Whangaparaoa East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Te Araroa East Cape	Te Araroa East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Waihau Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape	Tokomaru Bay East Cape	Papatea Bay East Cape
Rating (10 max)	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1
Distance (km)	0	8	28	28	33	33	8	8	33	33	41	41	41	41	41	41	33	33	41	33	41	41	60	41
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape	Three Points	Three Points	Three Points	Papatea Bay	Papatea Bay	Three Points	Three Points	Three Points	Tokomaru Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tokomaru Bay	Papatea Bay	Papatea Bay	Tokomaru Bay	Tokomaru Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tolaga Bay	Tolaga Bay	Three Points	Tolaga Bay
Rating (10 max)	3	3	3	1	1	2	2	3	1	3	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand	Mangamaunu Kaikoura and Marlborough	Fox River West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island	Dinner Plates Catlins	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Stent Road Taranaki	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island	Fox River West Coast South Island
Rating (10 max)	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	3
Header Global	The Hoek South Africa	Barbel Point South Africa	Cape St Martin South Africa	Cape St Martin South Africa	Cape St Martin South Africa	Boneyards South Africa	Barbel Point South Africa	Luna Park Australia	Trial Harbour Australia	Easter Reef Australia	Easter Reef Australia	Trial Harbour Australia	Buchupureo Chile	Saint Leu Reunion	Moss Landing United States	Steamer Lane-The Point United States	Boners United States	Steamer Lane-The Point United States	Balephetrish (Tiree) United Kingdom	Bali Village Indonesia	Steamer Lane-Middle Peak United States	Boners United States	Cojo United States	Bali Village Indonesia
Rating (10 max)	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	5	6	5	5	5	4	5	6	9	9	7	4	4	5	8	7	4

Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)

Latest Updates

Ben Mondy

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Horseshoe Bay Surf Forecast

Horseshoe Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

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