
Surf Forecasts:
Stingray Bay surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SSE swell with 1,447 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stingray Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Stingray Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Stingray Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stingray Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Stingray Bay. This is a reef and point setup, so it’s got that structure to hold a swell nicely. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
The pattern starts with a solid ESE groundswell rolling in. Monday morning the 27th of July, we’re looking at clean 4ft waves from the ESE with a 13-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (742). That’s a really nice morning for an intermediate surfer. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-shore wind and the swell bumping up to 5ft, but the quality drops off.
Tuesday the 28th has a similar morning: 5ft ESE swell, 13 seconds, cross-off wind, and moderate energy (813). It’s clean, but the wave height is creeping up to that point where beginners might start to feel the push. The afternoon sees a light cross-onshore, so morning is the call.
Now, Wednesday the 29th of July is the standout. The morning is glassy. Flat calm. No wind at all. The swell is 4ft from the ESE, 13 seconds, and the energy is moderate (524). That’s a rare treat for a reef break – clean, lined-up, and manageable. If you can get out there, do it. It’s the best of the first week.
Thursday the 30th keeps the glassy conditions in the morning with a smaller 3ft E swell, 12 seconds, and lower energy (285). It’s a good surf, but not as punchy. The afternoon picks up a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still small.
Friday the 31st of July has a morning offshore wind, but the swell drops to 2ft from the E, 11 seconds. The energy is weak (169). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The afternoon is better with a stronger offshore and 3ft, but still small.
Then we hit a quiet patch. The first of August has a tiny 1.0ft, 16-second period swell that’s just not got the power. The rest of the weekend into the start of the next week is mostly blown out or small. There’s a few days gap here with no real recommendations.
Tuesday the 4th of August shows a pulse of 5ft SE swell, 12 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze in the morning. The energy is moderate (769). That could be a decent session, but the morning is the only window before the wind swings.
Wednesday the 5th of August has a nice 4ft ESE swell, 14 seconds, with a light offshore wind. The energy is moderate (664). It’s clean, but the swell is a bit long in the tooth for a point break, meaning it might be a bit straight. Still, it’s a good option.
After that, the surf fades away to tiny, weak waves for the rest of the first week of August. There’s a long gap of really small surf.
Now, looking further out, the 9th of August brings a big pulse. The swell jumps to 7ft on Sunday morning, then 10ft in the afternoon, from the E with a short 8-second period. The energy is strong (615 and 1364). But the catch is, this is predicted to be too big for Stingray Bay. That’s expert territory only, and honestly, with that short period, it’s going to be a washing machine. Not a paddle surfer’s friend. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The 10th and 11th of August keep the swell big at 7ft to 8ft, again with the same caveat – too big for the break. The periods are a little longer, but still, it’s for the experts only.
So, the best on offer is without a doubt Wednesday the 29th of July, first light when it’s glassy. Tuesday morning the 4th and Wednesday morning the 5th of August are your next best bets, but they’re not as clean. Be patient through the flat spells, and don’t get tempted by the big stuff in the second week unless you’re a real gun.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 2°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 5°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | SE 16 | SE 8 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
225 | 476 | 630 | 700 | 787 | 769 | 653 | 514 | 459 | 425 | 279 | 248 | 158 | 123 | 152 | 91 | 41 | 135 | 101 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 3:34AM1.33m | 4:01PM1.42m | 4:20AM1.33m | 4:48PM1.43m | 5:06AM1.34m | 5:33PM1.45m | 5:52AM1.35m | 6:17PM1.47m | 6:36AM1.35m | 7:01PM1.48m | 7:21AM1.36m | 7:44PM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:29PM0.36m | 9:43AM0.32m | 10:17PM0.35m | 10:30AM0.31m | 11:05PM0.34m | 11:16AM0.29m | 11:52PM0.31m | 12:02PM0.27m | 00:39AM0.29m | 12:48PM0.25m | 1:24AM0.27m | 1:33PM0.24m | 2:07AM0.25m | ||||||
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 12 | 54 |
Temp °C | 6 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
Feels °C | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ENE 6 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | SE 8 | SSE 11 |
225 | 476 | 630 | 700 | 787 | 769 | 653 | 514 | 459 | 425 | 279 | 248 | 158 | 36 | 152 | 91 | 40 | 135 | 101 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | — | — | SE 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 19 | S 18 | S 17 | SSW 13 | E 11 | NE 9 | S 7 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 6 |
38 | — | — | 31 | 26 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 17 | 123 | 61 | 4 | 41 | 63 | 25 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | — | — | SSW 11 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 9 | — | SSW 17 | S 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 13 | ESE 11 | SE 14 |
3 | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | 29 | 21 | 10 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 51 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 8 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | S 3 | SSW 4 | SW 4 |
— | 266 | 576 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 10 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 118 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stingray Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stingray Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stingray Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stingray Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stingray Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stingray Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Stingray Bay is 18 km (11 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










