Big Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s coming up. The window kicks off with a bit of a messy start, but there’s some real quality hiding in there if you’re patient and know what you’re doing.

The first call is for Big Rock – a reef break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell. Water temp is sitting at about 65°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Not a huge deal, but it’s nice.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off. We’ve got rain showers, a cross-on wind at 16 mph, and a bumpy 10ft swell from the WSW with a period of 13 seconds. Combined energy is strong (3003), but the conditions are poor. Don’t bother.

Sunday the 6th is where it starts to turn. Morning sees a clean offshore wind from the SSE at 19 mph, with a 12ft swell from the WSW, period 12 seconds. Energy is up (4291), but the tide might be tricky. It’s marginal. The afternoon cleans up even more – same wind, but the swell shifts to SW and period bumps to 13 seconds, energy jumps to 7143. Still a marginal call, but the wave quality improves. This is a good option for stronger surfers.

Monday the 7th morning is the first real standout. Clear skies, a gentle cross-off breeze from the SE at 9 mph, and a 12ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds. Energy is high (6307). This is exceptional for expert surfers – the long period will groom the reef nicely. Afternoon stays clean but the wind picks up to 19 mph – still cross-off, but it drops the score.

Tuesday the 8th is the best of the run. Morning has a 13ft SW swell, period 16 seconds, and a moderate cross-off breeze from the ESE at 12 mph. Energy is massive (8296). Conditions are clean and the reef will hold that size well. This is for experienced surfers only – it’s big, powerful, and lined up. The afternoon is similar but slightly smaller at 12ft with a gentle SE breeze. Both sessions are top-tier.

From Wednesday the 9th onward, the swell drops. Morning still has a 10ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is a bit stronger. Afternoon is better with a gentle NE breeze. It’s still good, but not as firing as Tuesday.

Thursday the 10th sees the swell drop to 7ft – still WSW, period 14 seconds. The energy is moderate (1785). Morning is clean but light, afternoon gets a bit cross-on and small. Nothing special.

From Friday the 11th through to Saturday the 19th, it’s a long stretch of poor conditions. Winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, often strong, and the swell is either too big, too messy, or both. There’s a quick look on Monday the 14th morning – a 12ft WSW swell with a gentle NNE breeze, clean, and energy over 5000. That’s another expert session, but it’s a one-off in a bad run.

Wednesday the 16th morning is glassy – no wind, 8ft WSW swell, period 14 seconds. Energy is moderate (2618). That’s a rare clean window, but the swell is a bit smaller.

After that, from Thursday the 17th onward, it’s onshore junk. Big swells but poor quality – 18ft on the 19th, but with strong onshore winds, it’s a mess. That’s more of a kite surfing scene than paddle.

Overall, the clear standout is Tuesday the 8th – morning and afternoon – at Big Rock. Big, clean, powerful SW groundswell with light offshore winds. That’s the one to circle. Monday the 7th morning is also solid. The rest is either marginal or not worth the paddle.

Rusty.

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