Cave Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Cave Rock over the next couple of weeks.

First off, the water’s running a bit colder than usual for this time of year—about 1° cooler, so you might want an extra mil or a hood if you’re out there for a session. That aside, the forecast is a bit of a slow burner. There’s nothing worthwhile for the first few days. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are a write-off with strong cross-shore winds and tiny, messy waves. You’d be fighting a losing battle.

Things start to look a little more interesting by Wednesday the 16th morning. The wind swings light and offshore from the SSE, and we’ve got a 6ft swell from the east at 10 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 608, but it’s still a marginal call—tide might mess with it. That afternoon, forget it: strong cross-onshore wind blows it out.

Thursday the 17th isn’t much better—light onshore winds and the swell hanging around 5ft to 5ft with the same east pulse. Combined energy is moderate at 606 to 900, but the quality isn’t there.

Now, Friday the 18th is where it starts to get good. Early morning, we’ve got a clean 12ft swell from the ESE, period 9 seconds. That’s decent size, pushing into expert-only territory for sure—over 8ft. The combined energy is strong at 3405, and with a light cross-offshore breeze, the waves should have some shape. The afternoon drops a bit to 10ft from the SE, still clean but with a moderate cross-offshore breeze. That Friday morning slot looks like the standout of the whole run.

Saturday the 19th sees the swell still solid at 10ft from the SE, period lengthening to 11 seconds, giving it some extra push. Combined energy is strong at 1789, but the wind turns cross-shore from the NE at 16 mph, putting a bit of chop on it. Not as clean as Friday.

Sunday the 20th holds size around 8ft to 8ft from the east, but the wind is fresh cross-shore or cross-offshore. The afternoon session looks marginally better with a cross-offshore breeze giving some clean faces, but still not a top pick.

Monday the 21st brings a new pulse from the SSW. Morning is 7ft at 8 seconds with moderate cross-shore wind—just okay. But Monday afternoon? Watch out. A solid 13ft swell from the SSW at 10 seconds rolls in, with strong combined energy at 2985. That’s big, expert-only, and the strong cross-offshore wind keeps it clean. Another potential highlight, but you’ll need to know what you’re doing.

After that, the swell backs off through Tuesday the 22nd to Wednesday the 23rd, with onshore and cross-shore winds messing up the 8ft to 6ft waves. The later part of the window, from the 24th onward, is poor. The swell drops below 3ft, periods get short, and the wind stays strong and cross-shore or onshore. Combined energy is weak to low moderate—nothing worth paddling out for.

So, the two standout moments are Friday morning the 18th with a clean 12ft ESE swell and light cross-offshore breeze, and Monday afternoon the 21st with a big 13ft SSW groundswell and clean conditions. Both are for experienced surfers only. Crowds are possible here at Cave Rock, so get in early if you can.

Rusty.

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