Cave Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie, let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Cave Rock.

Alright, look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some serious size coming through, but the wind is going to be a real bastard for the most part. The first few days, from the 8th through the 11th, are a write-off. We’re looking at a Saturday afternoon with a 5-foot swell from the ENE, but a howling 19 mph cross-off wind is just going to make it bumpy and horrible. Sunday and Monday get even worse, with a 10-foot swell on Monday morning from the south, but it’s pumping 25 mph cross-onshore – that’s just messy, dangerous, and honestly, better suited for a kite than a paddle. The combined energy on that Monday morning is a massive 1504, which tells you there’s a ton of power, but it’s all over the shop.

The real turning point doesn’t hit until the morning of the 15th. That’s when we get a little window of something special. The wind goes glassy – 3 mph from the ESE – and the swell is a clean 5-foot from the ESE with an 8-second period. The energy is moderate at 324, but that glassy surface is the key. It’ll be clean, fun, and the easiest paddling of the whole forecast. That Saturday morning is the standout for this entire window. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then, Sunday the 16th morning is another beauty. The wind is glassy again, swell bumps up to 6-foot from the east with a longer 10-second period, and the energy is a solid 700. This is the best combination of size and clean conditions we see. After that, we get into a long stretch of marginal conditions. The swell stays in the 5-foot to 7-foot range through to the 20th, but the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, keeping things lumpy. It’s not terrible, but it’s not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate. For the best of the best, you’re looking at the morning of the 15th and the morning of the 16th.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a washout. The 15th and 16th mornings are your golden tickets – clean, glassy, and fun. After that, it’s a slow fade into smaller, messier surf for the back half of the forecast. Don’t hold your breath for the 23rd – it’s just 2-foot dribble.

Rusty.

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