Ansteys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Looks like it’s gonna be a long, frustrating wait for any decent surf at Ansteys. The first week and a half is a write-off, with a whole lotta nothing but messy, blown-out junk. Then, right at the very end of the 16-day window, we get one clear standout that looks absolutely mint, but you’ll need patience and a bit of luck with the forecast holding.

The pattern starts off rough. We’ve got a solid pulse of south-southwest wind hammering the coast, which is just murder for any sort of quality. That big 10ft south swell on Thursday 30 July looks like a beast, but it’s getting smashed by a strong 28 mph cross-shore wind. The wave energy is massive (1270), but it’s just a washing machine out there – strictly for kites if you ask me. That crappy setup lingers right through the first weekend and into the start of August, with moderate cross-onshore winds and lumpy, choppy conditions.

We finally get a bit of a breather on Sunday 2 August. The wind drops right off to a light breeze, leaving just a light cross-shore. The swell settles to a clean 7ft from the southeast, with a moderate period of 11 seconds – that’s decent groundswell energy (1115) and the waves will have some shape. It’s still only a marginal call with questionable tide, but it’s the first half-decent window. The water’s sitting at 73°, which is about normal for the time of year.

Then after that, it goes quiet again. The swell drops, the wind swings around to the northeast, and we’re back to small, weak, and ordinary conditions. There’s a long, boring gap right through until the second week of August.

Now, here’s the big one. Mark your calendar for Monday 10 August. This is the standout of the whole forecast. We’ve got a solid 10ft northeast groundswell rolling in, with the wind swinging around to a light 3 mph easterly – that’s basically glassy, offshore. The wave energy is absolutely pumping at 2625. The only catch? It might actually be a bit too big for the break. The forecast says it’s “too big for this break” so it’s probably one for experienced surfers only, but the conditions will be world-class if you can handle the size.

After that, the swell hangs around but the wind comes back onshore and it gets messy again. The final decent window is on Wednesday 12 August morning, with a clean 5ft south swell under light cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is only moderate (872) and it’s a bit less certain that far out.

So, bottom line: the first ten days are a write-off barring a brief window on Sunday 2 August. The real session to aim for is that big NE swell on Monday 10 August – it’s the one that could be special.

Rusty.

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