Ansteys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut straight to it – this stretch looks pretty bleak for a good chunk of the next two and a half weeks. We’re zeroing in on Ansteys, and honestly, for the next week or so, it’s mostly about small, bumpy slop. There’s a big pulse of swell coming, but it’s gonna be a case of “too much of a bad thing.”

The early days, starting Monday the 3rd, are pretty marginal. We’ve got a clean-ish 6ft SE swell on tap with light SSE wind, but the energy is only moderate (785) and the forecast is calling it questionable. Water temp is sitting at 71°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday the 4th is a write-off. The swell drops a bit, but the NE wind picks up and puts a nasty cross-chop on it. Wednesday the 5th morning is the one bright spot in this first stretch – it’s glassy with a light E wind and a clean 3ft ESE swell. It’s small, but it’ll be the best we see for a while. After that, it’s all downhill: Thursday and Friday are poor, with the swell fading into the knee-high range and wind messing everything up.

The weekend of the 9th and 10th is just ugly. The swell bumps up a bit on Sunday the 9th to 6ft ENE, but it’s short-period junk and that NE wind is howling at 22 mph, creating a lumpy mess. Monday the 10th is more of the same – messy, onshore, and not worth getting wet for.

Then things get wild. Tuesday the 11th sees a massive S groundswell roll in. We’re talking 18ft in the morning and 21ft in the afternoon, with energy readings of 7230 and 18371 – that’s very strong. The wind and tide are favorable in the morning, but this is way too big for Ansteys. This is a day for watching from the cliff, not for paddling out. It’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a stretch. This swell will linger into the 12th, but the NE wind is blowing a gale, making it completely unrideable.

After that big pulse, it settles back down. Thursday the 13th has some 6ft SE swell with a 11-second period, but the S wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and marginal. From the 14th through to the 18th, it’s back to small, crumbly, and mostly wind-affected. There’s a brief break on Monday the 18th afternoon with a clean cross-offshore NNE wind and a 4ft S swell, but it’s short-period and weak energy (151) – not worth planning around.

So, to be honest, there’s no real standout session in this window. The only glimmer of hope is Wednesday morning the 5th, and even that is just “okay” at best. The massive swell on the 11th is the only thing that gets the heart racing, but it’s a closed-out, dangerous beast, not a fun one. This is a period where you’d be better off checking the cams and waiting for the next system to line up. The spot is inconsistent, and this run of poor conditions is just the way it goes sometimes. Stay patient.

Rusty

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