Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period, S swell with 1,949 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 2.2m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in on what we've got cookin' for the next couple weeks at Lucien.
We've got a bit of a slow start, but things start to shape up as we go. The first real action we see is on Friday afternoon, July 10th, but the wind is a bit of a handful from the SSW, making it cross-off. Swell is a solid 8ft from the south with a decent period of 14 seconds, and a ton of energy in the water (2214). Be warned though, with the swell that size and that kind of wind, this is probably more for the experienced crew.
The real standout window starts to open Saturday morning, July 11th. The swell drops a touch to 6ft from the south, but the period holds at 13 seconds. The wind lightens right up to a light breeze, staying cross-off. This is where you want to be. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. This is the best call in the first week for sure.
After that, we hit a rough patch. Sunday the 12th through to Tuesday the 14th is basically a write-off with onshore winds and messy conditions. Don't bother. The whole mid-week from Wednesday the 15th starts to tease us again. Wednesday afternoon shows potential with a clean 5ft swell from the east and light cross-off wind. Then Thursday morning, July 16th, is another beauty – glassy conditions, 5ft from the east, and clean lines. That's a solid second-place option.
The following week gets interesting but bumpy. Saturday the 18th sees a big jump in energy (1191) with a 5ft south swell and a long 14-second period, but the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit tricky. The real long-range highlight looks to be Monday morning, July 20th. Glassy conditions again, 5ft swell from the SSE with a 12-second period and strong energy (938). That's a promising one if the forecast holds. Then into the last week, Thursday the 23rd has another glassy morning with a solid 6ft from the SSW, but the period is short at 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit weaker and mushier.
Overall, the early morning sessions around the 11th and 16th of July are your best bets for clean conditions. The later standouts on the 20th and 23rd look good but are further out, so keep an eye on it. For a spot that's fairly consistent, this is a pretty solid run.
Stay safe, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2187 | 1283 | 912 | 986 | 702 | 480 | 228 | 226 | 324 | 389 | 367 | 269 | 280 | 476 | 464 | 494 | 452 | 386 | 333 | 333 | 279 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | glassy | on | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:35AM1.40m | 1:19PM1.27m | 1:45AM1.49m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:42AM1.58m | 3:13PM1.54m | 3:31AM1.66m | 3:59PM1.66m | 4:14AM1.70m | 4:42PM1.74m | 4:55AM1.70m | 5:23PM1.77m | 5:33AM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:57PM0.50m | 7:05AM0.43m | 7:18PM0.42m | 8:08AM0.31m | 8:22PM0.30m | 9:00AM0.19m | 9:16PM0.20m | 9:44AM0.09m | 10:04PM0.13m | 10:26AM0.03m | 10:48PM0.10m | 11:04AM0.00m | 11:29PM0.13m | 11:41AM0.02m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | 5:15 |
mm | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 2187 | 1283 | 912 | 986 | 702 | 480 | 111 | 149 | 186 | 292 | 320 | 269 | 280 | 476 | 464 | 494 | 452 | 386 | 333 | 333 | 279 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 6 | E 6 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | S 5 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 20 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 64 | 52 | 228 | 202 | 154 | 149 | 100 | 201 | 212 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 147 | 92 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | S 14 | S 13 | — | S 10 | S 10 | SW 16 | — | SSE 11 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | S 8 | S 9 |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | — | — | 14 | 5 | 12 | 58 | 14 | — | 51 | 48 | 10 | — | 11 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | — | — | N 4 | — | — | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | NNE 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 77 | 85 | 62 | 226 | 324 | 389 | 367 | — | — | 15 | — | — | 7 | 41 | — | 3 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 229 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 101 | 49 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 4 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 256 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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