Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, S swell with 4,959 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 11) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Lucien for the next couple of weeks.
I’ll be honest, this is a rough start. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing good ahead. From now until the middle of next week, it’s all onshore junk from the NE and ENE. There’s plenty of swell on the way, but with the wind howling, it’s just going to be blown-out, choppy, and messy. Don’t bother.
The first glimmer of hope comes on Thursday, September 10th in the afternoon. The wind swings light from the south, becoming cross-offshore. Swell is 1.6m from the ENE and the surface cleans right up. The combined energy is moderate at 403. It’s not big, but it’s clean. Lucien is a beach and point setup, so that cross-off breeze might actually shape things up a bit. This is for the intermediate crew. Crowds can pop up here from time to time, so keep an eye out.
Friday the 11th stays clean with cross-off winds, but the swell drops to just 1.0m from the east. Weak energy at 316. You’ll need a longboard or a funboard to make the most of it.
Your next real chance is Monday, September 14th in the afternoon. A moderate cross-off from the SSW cleans up 1.9m easterly swell (combined energy 640). Still on the marginal side, but it’s a paddling option.
Looking further ahead, Thursday, September 17th morning shows promise. Again, cross-off winds with 1.9m swell from the ENE (combined energy 669). Marginal, but clean.
The rest of the period is ruled by strong NE winds and messy conditions. There’s a big spike on Sunday the 13th with 3.0m to 3.5m from the ENE, but with 40 to 45 km/h onshore winds, that’s a full-on storm surf. Only for the brave, or better yet, for the kite surfers.
Best call? Thursday the 10th or Friday the 11th for the cleanest, smallest waves. After that, it’s a waiting game. This spot is fairly consistent, so it won’t be flat forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sun night, strong winds from the NE by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SE by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 20 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 174 | 1978 | 3772 | 1841 | 816 | 306 | 523 | 441 | 421 | 638 | 681 | 471 | 371 | 283 | 162 | 138 | 138 | 143 | 205 | 527 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:53AM1.21m | 1:34PM1.29m | 1:53AM1.38m | 2:20PM1.50m | 2:35AM1.54m | 2:57PM1.68m | 3:10AM1.65m | 3:30PM1.82m | 3:42AM1.73m | 4:01PM1.89m | 4:12AM1.76m | 4:30PM1.90m | 4:41AM1.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:26PM0.65m | 7:16AM0.52m | 7:44PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.33m | 8:29PM0.29m | 8:42AM0.16m | 9:06PM0.15m | 9:15AM0.04m | 9:39PM0.05m | 9:45AM-0.04m | 10:09PM0.00m | 10:15AM-0.06m | 10:38PM0.00m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | |  |  | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 20 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 164 | 1978 | 3772 | 1841 | 816 | 279 | 158 | 123 | 90 | 63 | 42 | 471 | 371 | 283 | 162 | 138 | 137 | 143 | 205 | 33 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 14 | — | — | E 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 17 | SW 16 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 174 | 622 | — | — | 33 | 68 | 32 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 149 | 84 | 138 | 130 | 127 | 25 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | E 9 | — | — | S 19 | S 18 | — | — | SW 16 | SW 17 | SSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SSW 20 | SE 11 | SE 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 45 | 119 | — | — | 7 | 6 | — | — | 10 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 29 | 25 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | ENE 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 160 | 91 | 202 | 306 | 523 | 441 | 421 | 638 | 681 | 3 | 21 | 25 | 80 | 83 | — | — | — | 527 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 100 | 65 | 100 | 209 | 254 | 376 | 599 | 333 | 376 | 587 | 100 | 165 | 0 | 49 | 229 | 101 | 49 | 93 | 100 | 818 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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