
Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, S swell with 2,551 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, fellow wave hunters, Rusty here. We've got a 16-day look at just one break: Lucien. A beach and point setup that's fairly consistent and suits the intermediate surfer.
Right now, the water is running at about 73°F, which is a touch warmer than what's normal for this time of year – a nice little perk.
But to be honest, the first few days are a grind. From Saturday, July 4th, the wind is blowing cross or cross-onshore, and even with a 8-foot swell early Saturday, it's all over the place. The energy reading is pumped up to 1950, but the conditions just aren't there. It's a real bummer.
We're looking at a gap of several days with no genuine green lights. Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are small and scrappy. Wednesday the 8th gets a clean cross-off breeze, but the swell is gutless.
Then it gets interesting. From Thursday the 10th, a clean, long-period S swell starts to fill in.
Friday, July 10th, morning session is your absolute target. The wind is light, clean, and cross-off. The swell is a solid 5 feet from the S with a 13-second period – that's proper groundswell energy. The combined energy reading is 1301, and the direction is perfect for Lucien. We're talking long, clean lines on the point. It doesn't get much better. The afternoon gets trashed by a 30 km/h breeze, so you'll want to be out there at dawn.
After that, things go a bit sideways with onshore winds until Wednesday, July 15th. That morning shows a 7-foot NE swell. It's big and raw with a short period (8 seconds), so it's only for the experts who want a heavy, fast drop.
Thursday, July 16th morning looks similar – clean wind and another 8-foot NE swell. Again, big and powerful, but short and steep.
So, to keep it simple: You've got a quiet start. The only true standout is Friday morning, July 10th. That's the one to get excited about. After that, it's big but gnarly.
This is Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSW 6 | S 6 | SSW 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 17 | S 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1866 | 1227 | 844 | 671 | 471 | 263 | 177 | 124 | 350 | 248 | 117 | 121 | 33 | 205 | 79 | 375 | 1208 | 818 | 862 | 2289 | 2234 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:30PM1.54m | 6:34AM1.46m | 7:07PM1.52m | 7:12AM1.39m | 7:48PM1.48m | 7:59AM1.30m | 8:39PM1.42m | 8:58AM1.21m | 9:46PM1.37m | 10:20AM1.15m | 11:10PM1.35m | 11:57AM1.17m | 00:35AM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:12PM0.19m | 00:34AM0.35m | 12:46PM0.23m | 1:14AM0.39m | 1:24PM0.30m | 2:01AM0.45m | 2:09PM0.38m | 3:00AM0.50m | 3:07PM0.46m | 4:16AM0.54m | 4:25PM0.51m | 5:45AM0.51m | 5:57PM0.50m | ||||||||
6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 8 |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | S 8 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 17 | S 16 |
1866 | 1227 | 844 | 671 | 471 | 263 | 177 | 124 | 165 | 120 | 47 | 121 | 33 | 19 | 31 | 157 | 1208 | 818 | 862 | 2289 | 2234 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | E 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | S 16 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
67 | 64 | 61 | 41 | 40 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 82 | 48 | 18 | 31 | 22 | 14 | 75 | 375 | 61 | 40 | 417 | 20 | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 20 | S 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | ESE 11 | E 11 | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 9 | SE 15 | ENE 8 | SE 13 | — |
17 | 15 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 39 | 36 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 40 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 7 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | — | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 18 | 77 | 113 | 57 | 350 | 248 | 117 | — | 126 | 205 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 72 | 100 | 0 | 72 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 72 | 0 | 100 | 72 | 0 | 254 | 645 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 0 |
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










