Lucien Surf Break

Lat Long: 30.65° S 30.53° E

Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lucien sea temperature is
21.1° C
0.1° 

Lucien surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lucien surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, S swell with 10,804 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:

The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Mon 17th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Best Surf 2AM (Fri 21st Aug)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sun 23rd Aug)16ft (5.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, grab a coffee, 'cause we've got one break on the radar for this 16-day window, and it's Lucien, a beach and point set-up that's exposed to a fair bit of action.

The early days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. From August 16th through to most of August 22nd, we're looking at a lot of lumpy, cross-onshore wind and choppy conditions. The swell is all over the shop, but the wind is just ruining it. There's a combined energy of 562 on the Sunday, but it's a messy one, so not worth paddling out for.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The real story starts on the 23rd of August. Sunday afternoon we've got a solid 16 ft swell from the S with a very long 15-second period – this is proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy reading of 10804, so you're talking serious power. The wind is a strong cross-offshore, so it'll be clean but this is huge. This is strictly for experienced surfers only. For a point break, that long period will wrap in nicely, but at a beach break, it'll be closing out like a freight train.

That energy carries into Monday the 24th, with the swell staying over 12 ft and the period hanging around 15 to 17 seconds. The winds on Monday morning look much better – a light cross-on from the ESE, which will keep things manageable. The combined energy is still massive at 7715. This is the standout window if you've got the skills and the board for it. The water temp is sitting around a normal 70°F, so no surprises there.

The rest of the week sees the swell drop down into the 5 ft to 7 ft range, but by then the wind swings back onshore and messy, so it's back to the poor surf conditions. There's a little flash on the 31st of August, Monday morning – glassy conditions with a light rain and a 6 ft SSW swell (combined energy of 973). The winds are dead calm, so if you're looking for something clean after the big stuff, that could be a sneaky good session, but it's a long way off.

Overall, you've got a massive, powerful window from the 23rd to the 25th. If you're an expert and you've got a point break in mind, that's the call. For everyone else, the glassy window on the 31st is your best bet for something manageable and clean.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 17°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed night, calm by Thu night).

Sun
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
E
11
1.8
ENE
11
1.9
ENE
10
1.9
ENE
10
1.4
E
10
1.2
E
9
1.1
E
9
1
E
9
0.9
E
9
1.4
ENE
8
0.5
SSW
15
1.6
SSW
7
1.4
S
7
1.6
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
1.5
ENE
7
1.3
SSW
11
2.2
SSW
7
1.8
SSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
467
807
778
731
369
251
202
159
120
275
125
225
184
1365
646
273
192
394
487
365
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
20
NNE
20
NE
20
NE
15
SW
20
S
20
S
0
WSW
25
NE
25
NE
35
SW
35
SSW
20
SSW
5
WSW
30
NE
35
NE
20
NNE
30
S
25
SSW
15
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:02PM1.75m
6:09AM1.56m
6:31PM1.62m
6:37AM1.44m
6:59PM1.48m
7:05AM1.30m
7:27PM1.32m
7:35AM1.16m
8:04PM1.16m
8:23AM1.01m
9:37PM1.02m
12:15PM0.95m
00:56AM1.07m
Low Tide
00:09AM0.18m
12:13PM0.14m
00:38AM0.29m
12:41PM0.28m
1:07AM0.42m
1:10PM0.43m
1:40AM0.56m
1:43PM0.59m
2:28AM0.69m
2:39PM0.74m
4:59AM0.78m
6:13PM0.79m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:35
5:36
 mm
Temp °C
20
17
21
22
19
19
19
19
20
21
21
19
19
18
20
20
22
27
21
19
Feels °C
16
14
17
19
20
17
17
18
17
16
19
13
13
17
16
15
18
23
15
17
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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