Lucien Surf Break

Lat Long: 30.65° S 30.53° E

Issued: 7 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lucien sea temperature is
22.8° C

1.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Lucien surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lucien surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, S swell with 2,551 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:

The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sat 4th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 12s
Best Surf 2AM (Sat 11th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 10th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, fellow wave hunters, Rusty here. We've got a 16-day look at just one break: Lucien. A beach and point setup that's fairly consistent and suits the intermediate surfer.

Right now, the water is running at about 73°F, which is a touch warmer than what's normal for this time of year – a nice little perk.

But to be honest, the first few days are a grind. From Saturday, July 4th, the wind is blowing cross or cross-onshore, and even with a 8-foot swell early Saturday, it's all over the place. The energy reading is pumped up to 1950, but the conditions just aren't there. It's a real bummer.

We're looking at a gap of several days with no genuine green lights. Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are small and scrappy. Wednesday the 8th gets a clean cross-off breeze, but the swell is gutless.

Then it gets interesting. From Thursday the 10th, a clean, long-period S swell starts to fill in.

Friday, July 10th, morning session is your absolute target. The wind is light, clean, and cross-off. The swell is a solid 5 feet from the S with a 13-second period – that's proper groundswell energy. The combined energy reading is 1301, and the direction is perfect for Lucien. We're talking long, clean lines on the point. It doesn't get much better. The afternoon gets trashed by a 30 km/h breeze, so you'll want to be out there at dawn.

After that, things go a bit sideways with onshore winds until Wednesday, July 15th. That morning shows a 7-foot NE swell. It's big and raw with a short period (8 seconds), so it's only for the experts who want a heavy, fast drop.

Thursday, July 16th morning looks similar – clean wind and another 8-foot NE swell. Again, big and powerful, but short and steep.

So, to keep it simple: You've got a quiet start. The only true standout is Friday morning, July 10th. That's the one to get excited about. After that, it's big but gnarly.

This is Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night).

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSE
12
2.1
SSE
12
1.8
SSE
11
1.6
SE
12
1.4
SE
11
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
10
0.8
SE
10
1.8
NE
8
1.5
NE
8
1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
7
0.6
ENE
7
1.7
SSW
6
1
S
6
0.9
SSW
15
1.7
S
14
1.5
S
14
1.6
S
13
2
S
17
2.1
S
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1866
1227
844
671
471
263
177
124
350
248
117
121
33
205
79
375
1208
818
862
2289
2234
Wind (km/h)
10
NNE
10
NE
10
WNW
15
NE
30
NE
10
NNW
10
ENE
15
NE
10
NNW
15
NE
15
NNE
10
SW
30
SSW
30
SSW
15
WSW
15
S
20
S
5
SW
15
SSW
30
SSW
15
SW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:30PM1.54m
6:34AM1.46m
7:07PM1.52m
7:12AM1.39m
7:48PM1.48m
7:59AM1.30m
8:39PM1.42m
8:58AM1.21m
9:46PM1.37m
10:20AM1.15m
11:10PM1.35m
11:57AM1.17m
00:35AM1.40m
Low Tide
12:12PM0.19m
00:34AM0.35m
12:46PM0.23m
1:14AM0.39m
1:24PM0.30m
2:01AM0.45m
2:09PM0.38m
3:00AM0.50m
3:07PM0.46m
4:16AM0.54m
4:25PM0.51m
5:45AM0.51m
5:57PM0.50m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
 mm
4
1
8
Temp °C
20
20
17
20
21
17
20
21
19
22
23
22
20
21
19
19
20
18
19
19
18
Feels °C
18
17
16
16
15
14
16
16
16
17
19
18
16
16
17
16
16
18
17
14
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSE
12
2.1
SSE
12
1.8
SSE
11
1.6
SE
12
1.4
SE
11
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
10
0.8
SE
10
1.2
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
0.5
SE
10
1.1
ENE
7
0.6
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
9
1.1
S
8
1.7
S
14
1.5
S
14
1.6
S
13
2
S
17
2.1
S
16
Energy kJ
1866
1227
844
671
471
263
177
124
165
120
47
121
33
19
31
157
1208
818
862
2289
2234
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
12
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.4
ESE
11
0.4
ESE
11
0.7
NE
5
0.7
ENE
6
0.3
E
11
0.6
SE
10
0.5
SE
10
0.3
E
10
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.4
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
15
0.6
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
8
0.9
S
16
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
Energy kJ
67
64
61
41
40
30
37
20
82
48
18
31
22
14
75
375
61
40
417
20
20
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
20
0.1
S
18
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
ESE
11
0.4
E
11
0.3
S
9
0.3
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.2
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
14
0.3
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.3
SE
9
0.5
ENE
9
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SE
15
0.4
ENE
8
0.1
SE
13
Energy kJ
17
15
6
33
31
39
36
14
19
18
21
40
17
17
13
45
3
8
22
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
NE
4
1.1
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
0.8
ENE
7
1.8
NE
8
1.5
NE
8
1
ENE
8
1.5
SSW
5
1.7
SSW
6
1
S
6
Energy kJ
18
77
113
57
350
248
117
126
205
79
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
1
2
4
3
3
4
4
Distance (km)
72
100
0
72
100
0
100
72
0
100
72
0
254
645
0
15
49
0
0
229
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
2
4
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
4
4
4
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
9
6
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
7
5
4
8
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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