Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Lucien.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is a real mixed bag. We’ve got some decent sized swell coming through, but the wind is going to be a constant battle. The water is sitting at 71°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Friday the 7th through Sunday the 9th, the swell is tiny, only 2ft to 2ft, and the wind is all over the place – mostly cross-onshore. It’s just not worth paddling out.

Then things get interesting, but not in a good way for most of us. Monday the 10th morning, we see a big jump to 10ft swell from the south, with a short period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 1445, which is serious power. But the wind is howling at 25 mph from the SW. That's a strong cross-offshore breeze that’s going to make it a battle zone. This is big, messy, and dangerous – strictly for the experts, and even then, it’s dicey. That afternoon it drops to 8ft, but still onshore wind. Kite surfers might be drooling over this, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

Tuesday the 11th stays similar – 7ft to 8ft swell but with that same strong cross-off wind. It’s just not clean.

Now, here’s where we get a little glimmer of hope. Wednesday the 12th morning is the best on offer in the first week. The swell drops a touch to 6ft from the ESE, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind swings to a light SSW cross-off, and the combined energy is a massive 1494. The call is for clean surf. It’s still a solid size, maybe a bit much for beginners, but for an intermediate surfer, those clean, cross-off conditions could produce some fun, rippable walls. The afternoon remains clean but the swell bumps back up to 8ft, making it heavier.

Thursday the 13th morning is another standout. The swell holds at 6ft from the ESE, period of 9 seconds, and the wind drops to a light 6 mph from the WSW – that’s a light cross-off. The model is saying “very good surf conditions” here. The energy is a solid 688. This is your window for quality, punchy waves with that offshore groom.

The following week goes pretty quiet. From Friday the 14th onwards, the wind is almost constantly cross-on or onshore from the NE and ENE, messing up the waves. The swell sticks around 3ft to 5ft for a few days, but it’s choppy and lumpy. There’s a brief moment on Sunday the 16th afternoon with a 5ft E swell at 11 seconds and a cross-off breeze, giving a clean look, but the energy is moderate at 592. It’s the only other decent option, but it’s not a patch on that Thursday morning.

The final days from the 18th to the 22nd are a long, drawn-out stretch of poor conditions: small, weak swell and strong cross-onshore winds. Not worth getting excited about.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re a confident intermediate, Wednesday the 12th morning is your best bet for clean, head-high plus waves. For the absolute highlight, Thursday the 13th morning is the pick of the entire forecast – 6ft, clean, cross-off wind, and good energy. Get out there if you can. Otherwise, it’s a long wait for the next proper session.

Rusty.

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