Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,701 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We're looking at Lucien, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a bit of a mixed bag over the next sixteen days. The first few days are a write-off, but there are a couple of windows where it could get interesting if you're patient.
The first decent swell we see arrives on Friday the 24th. It's a big one, a solid 10ft SSW groundswell (period 10 seconds) rolling in early. The energy is pumping, registering 1804. But the wind is a strong cross-offshore, which will keep it clean. Now, this is *big* – over 8ft – so this is strictly for the experienced crew. The size drops to 8ft in the afternoon, still a heavy session. Beginners, stay on the beach for this one.
After that, it gets messy. Saturday the 25th has some size at 6ft but the wind is onshore, killing the quality. Sunday through Tuesday is a real mixed bag of small, weak, and choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out for.
The next real standout is a long way off, but it looks promising. On Wednesday the 5th of August, we get a clean morning with 3ft swell from the SE. The wind is a light cross-offshore, so the surface will be clean. The energy is moderate at 388, but it's a rare moment of good conditions. The swell is small, so a longboard or a fish would be your weapon of choice. This is your best bet in the whole window, but it's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.
There's another pulse on the 7th of August, with 5ft from the E, but the wind is cross-shore, so it's not as clean.
So, the long story short: the first week is a bust for quality surfing. Friday the 24th is for experts only. The real day to circle is Wednesday the 5th of August. It's a small clean window, and that's the best we've got.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 6 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSW 13 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | S 10 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 167 | 181 | 406 | 1810 | 1194 | 567 | 506 | 495 | 338 | 253 | 154 | 122 | 108 | 99 | 68 | 176 | 203 | 434 | 2701 | 2174 | 2090 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:19AM1.03m | 11:17PM1.13m | 12:25PM1.03m | 00:56AM1.16m | 1:44PM1.12m | 1:58AM1.26m | 2:31PM1.24m | 2:40AM1.36m | 3:07PM1.36m | 3:14AM1.46m | 3:39PM1.47m | 3:45AM1.55m | 4:08PM1.57m | 4:14AM1.61m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:20PM0.69m | 5:59AM0.69m | 6:19PM0.70m | 7:28AM0.61m | 7:40PM0.61m | 8:19AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.51m | 8:55AM0.38m | 9:05PM0.40m | 9:27AM0.27m | 9:38PM0.31m | 9:55AM0.17m | 10:08PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | ENE 7 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSW 18 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SW 15 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 9 | E 9 | S 10 | SSW 15 | E 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 61 | 57 | 106 | 61 | 254 | 567 | 506 | 495 | 338 | 225 | 104 | 42 | 54 | 99 | 68 | 102 | 102 | 434 | 308 | 104 | 1710 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SE 12 | NE 7 | SSW 21 | SE 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SE 8 | SW 13 | ESE 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 88 | 140 | 11 | 42 | 43 | 475 | 249 | 191 | 158 | 253 | 131 | 57 | 10 | 46 | 33 | 176 | 136 | 132 | 102 | 223 | 419 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSW 13 | E 9 | NE 8 | E 11 | SE 11 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | S 18 | E 9 |
| kJ | 167 | 181 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 85 | 24 | 21 | 37 | 10 | 203 | 191 | — | 238 | 60 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | — | SSW 6 | SSW 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | — | SSW 5 | SW 6 | S 3 | — | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 132 | — | 406 | 1810 | 1194 | — | — | — | 1 | 17 | 154 | 122 | 108 | — | 14 | 42 | 6 | — | 2701 | 2174 | 2090 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 36 | 36 | 456 | 587 | 599 | 0 | 4 | 100 | 4 | 100 | 599 | 104 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 49 | 0 | 100 | 100 |
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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