Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, S swell with 2,864 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch. The first week and a half is looking pretty grim. From Thursday the 3rd all the way through to the morning of Saturday the 12th, there's just nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is a constant problem, mostly a cross-onshore breeze that's got the surface all chopped up and lumpy. We've got a few pulses of swell, like a 10ft southerly on Friday the 4th (moderate wave energy at 1249), but it's getting hammered by a strong, messy cross-shore wind. Not a pretty picture.
Then, finally, on the afternoon of Saturday the 12th, things look like they might turn. The forecast shows a glassy period with a 5ft southerly swell, and the combined energy is moderate at 704. The wind goes glassy, and the surf is rated as "very good." This is the one standout in the whole 16-day window. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year, so that's not a worry.
After that, it's back to the wind and chop on Sunday the 13th. Monday the 14th has a 7ft swell from the NE, but it's got a moderate cross-shore chop on it. The rest of the second week looks like more of the same – onshore winds and poor conditions. The afternoon of Friday the 18th has a 2ft southerly swell with a long period of 15 seconds, but a strong onshore wind will ruin it.
So, to be honest, if you're looking for a window, keep your eyes on the afternoon of September 12th at Lucien. It's a beach-and-point setup, fairly exposed to the swell, with the optimum direction coming from the SE. The wind should be glassy, and the waves should be clean and fun. It's not huge, but it's the best we've got. Crowds are possible, as it can get busy there sometimes. Don't expect much outside of that one session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Thu night, light winds from the NNE by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NE by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | SSW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 135 | 487 | 443 | 1138 | 1693 | 1222 | 783 | 474 | 259 | 216 | 198 | 660 | 2480 | 1279 | 499 | 307 | 431 | 483 | 410 | 606 | 642 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:16PM1.43m | 7:34AM1.22m | 8:14PM1.24m | 9:02AM1.06m | 10:36PM1.11m | 12:13PM1.09m | 00:53AM1.21m | 1:34PM1.29m | 1:53AM1.38m | 2:20PM1.50m | 2:35AM1.54m | 2:57PM1.68m | 3:10AM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:55PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.47m | 1:44PM0.51m | 2:45AM0.64m | 3:25PM0.68m | 5:31AM0.68m | 6:26PM0.65m | 7:16AM0.52m | 7:44PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.33m | 8:29PM0.29m | 8:42AM0.16m | 9:06PM0.15m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | 11 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | E 10 | S 10 | SSW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 135 | 111 | 443 | 59 | 68 | 1222 | 783 | 474 | 184 | 216 | 138 | 660 | 2480 | 1279 | 499 | 232 | 157 | 74 | 21 | 17 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | SSW 12 | — | E 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 | S 10 | SSW 17 | SSE 11 |
| kJ | 57 | 274 | — | 52 | 33 | 52 | 52 | 71 | 259 | 91 | 69 | 125 | 70 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | ENE 9 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 24 | S 14 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 12 | S 18 | SE 12 | — |
| kJ | 16 | 135 | — | — | — | 46 | 109 | 100 | 128 | 153 | 111 | 232 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 40 | 6 | 6 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | ENE 8 | SSW 6 | S 9 | S 9 | — | NE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | — | E 9 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 487 | 272 | 1138 | 1693 | — | 2 | 86 | 62 | — | 198 | 34 | 126 | 226 | 277 | 307 | 431 | 483 | 410 | 606 | 642 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 117 | 36 | 1509 | 767 | 1176 | 797 | 100 | 1172 | 72 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 209 | 818 | 100 | 376 | 599 | 100 | 323 | 455 | 104 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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