Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – we’ve got a bit of a flat spell on the cards for the next week or so. The first proper surf I can see for Lucien (a beach and point break) isn’t until the afternoon of Wednesday the 10th, but even then it’s a write-off: 6ft of ENE swell, short 8-second period, with a cross-onshore wind making it choppy and poor. Don’t bother. That pretty much sets the tone for the whole first week.

Thursday the 11th stays poor – Friday and Saturday are the same story, with onshore winds and messy conditions. The swell sticks around 3ft to 4ft, short period, and the wind is never your friend. By Sunday the 13th, there’s a weird 2ft swell with a 18-second period, but a cross-onshore breeze ruins it.

Then Monday the 14th gets ugly. We’re talking 12ft to 13ft of ENE swell, but the wind is a near-gale from the NE, blowing it out totally. The combined energy is massive (1569 to 2489), but it’s a kite-surfing day, not a paddle day. Same for Tuesday the 15th – 6ft, onshore, still messy.

Now, here’s the standout. You’ve got to wait until Saturday the 19th. That afternoon, the wind swings to a glassy southerly, and we get 8ft of ENE swell. Sure, the period is short (7 seconds), but with glassy conditions, the waves will be rideable and clean. The combined energy sits at 623, which is moderate. Lucien is a beach and point setup, so look for the point to handle that short-period swell a bit better. This is the best on offer for the whole 16 days.

Sunday the 20th morning has clean conditions with a cross-offshore wind and 7ft of swell, but it’s NE swell, and the wind is SSW, so it’s a bit tricky. Still, a look.

Into the second week, things get patchy. The best chance is the morning of Tuesday the 22nd – 3ft of S swell with a 14-second period, combined energy of 714, and a cross-offshore wind making it clean. But the wind is fresh (19 mph), so it’s not perfect. Then the morning of Wednesday the 23rd is glassy with 3ft of S swell, long 12-second period, and a combined energy of 518. That’s a promising little window for a clean, small wave session.

After that, the swell hits again on the 23rd afternoon with 10ft of ENE swell, but the wind turns onshore and the period drops to 8 seconds – back to blown-out conditions. The 24th is the same: big swell, cross-onshore, messy.

Overall, the only real standout is the afternoon of Saturday the 19th. Glassy, 8ft, and rideable. The rest is either blown out, too small, or too big with bad wind. For this area, a blank run like this happens – forecasts can change, but right now, you’re waiting for that Saturday.

Rusty.

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