Lucien Surf Break

Lat Long: 30.65° S 30.53° E

Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 15 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lucien sea temperature is
20.8°C
0.3° 

Lucien surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lucien surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with 1,847 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:

The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Wed 16th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Best Surf 2AM (Sat 19th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 18th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Lucien’s got cookin’ for the next couple weeks. Gonna be a bit of a wait for the good stuff, but there’s a couple windows that’ll get your blood pumpin’.

The first few days are a total write-off. From Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th, we’re looking at a messy, onshore mess. Swell is running 5 to 10 feet, mostly from the east, but the wind is howling from the south and southeast, turning everything choppy and cross-onshore. Not worth paddling out.

The real standout is Saturday, September 19th. Mark it down. Morning brings a 8-foot swell from the east-southeast with a clean, cross-offshore wind from the southwest (9 mph, gentle breeze). The afternoon glassed off even more with a 7-foot swell. Moderate wave energy (1139 in the morning, 905 in the afternoon), so you’ll get solid, lined-up waves at Lucien’s beach and point. That cross-off wind will keep the faces smooth. It’s fine for intermediate surfers, and crowds are possible, so get there early.

After that, Sunday the 20th goes onshore again, and it’s dead until Monday afternoon, September 21st. That afternoon offers a tiny 3-foot swell from the east-southeast, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm. Wave energy is low at 201, so it’s small and weak. If you’re desperate for a longboard or a mellow session, you might find a clean little ripple.

Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd are mostly poor, though Wednesday afternoon shapes up with a 6-foot swell from the east-northeast and a clean cross-off wind. Still marginal, with only 640 combined energy, but cleaner than the days around it.

Then we jump to Friday, September 25th. This is another one to watch. The afternoon brings an 8-foot swell from the south-southeast (10-second period) and a light, cross-off wind from the north-northwest. Combined energy is strong at 1764, with clean conditions. This is for experienced surfers only – over 8 feet and packing some punch. A promising long-range call, but keep an eye on it as we get closer.

The rest of the run into early October is mostly dominated by strong onshore winds and messy, lumpy surf. There’s a brief window on Monday, September 28th morning with a 7-foot swell from the east and light onshore wind, but it’s only a marginal call.

Bottom line: September 19th is your best bet for clean, quality waves. September 25th afternoon is the wildcard for the crew who want some size. The gaps are long – full days of nothing in between – but when it hits, it hits.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 103mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the SSW by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.6
E
10
2
S
7
1.9
SSE
7
1.6
E
10
3
SE
8
3
ESE
9
3
ESE
9
3
ESE
10
2.4
ESE
10
2.2
ESE
9
2.2
ESE
9
1.7
ESE
9
1.8
E
8
1.3
ESE
8
1
ESE
8
0.9
ESE
8
0.9
ESE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
696
610
562
408
369
482
1086
1549
1523
1470
1094
856
812
443
459
216
151
122
118
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
E
45
SSW
20
SSW
25
SE
30
SE
20
SE
30
ESE
35
SE
5
SW
15
SW
15
SSW
15
NNE
25
NE
30
NE
20
NE
15
ENE
5
ENE
5
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
High Tide
5:58AM1.48m
6:12PM1.48m
6:22AM1.34m
6:36PM1.32m
6:47AM1.19m
7:02PM1.16m
7:20AM1.03m
7:50PM1.01m
12:04PM0.94m
00:37AM1.02m
1:26PM1.10m
1:29AM1.17m
Low Tide
11:56PM0.23m
12:01PM0.27m
00:21AM0.36m
12:26PM0.42m
00:48AM0.51m
12:53PM0.58m
1:23AM0.66m
1:31PM0.75m
3:18AM0.80m
6:14PM0.83m
7:05AM0.69m
7:29PM0.67m
clear
clear
part cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:52
5:50
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
 mm
9
16
16
29
16
17
8
1
1
Temp °C
20
24
20
18
17
16
17
17
17
18
19
20
19
23
22
21
22
22
21
Feels °C
21
24
13
12
14
13
14
14
14
15
18
20
20
20
19
20
22
23
24
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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