Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag, no doubt. We’ve got some fun stuff coming up, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully. The swell’s going to be there, but the wind’s going to be the deciding factor on most days.

The first real window of opportunity kicks off on Monday the 10th. We’ve got a solid 10ft of SSE swell rolling in at Lucien, with a period of 9 seconds. The energy’s strong, reading 1377. It’s a little bumpy with a fresh cross-offshore breeze, but it’s clean. Water temp is 71°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no worries there. It’s a bit of a handful for the weekend warriors, but for the crew who knows their way around, it’s on.

Tuesday the 11th has a bit less size, but the quality jumps. Morning is still a bit cross-off with a moderate breeze and light rain. By the afternoon, the wind drops to a gentle breeze, still cross-off, and the swell settles to 5ft from the SE. This is when it gets good. The waves will have shape, and even with the crowd factor, it’s worth the paddle out. This Tuesday afternoon is looking like a proper highlight.

Then we run into a bit of a lull. Wednesday the 12th is messy with onshore wind and rain, not worth your time. Thursday morning the 13th looks promising with glassy conditions and a clean 5ft from the ESE, but it’s short-lived. The wind swings onshore and chops it up for the rest of the week. Friday through to the middle of the next week is a write-off. Nothing but onshore wind, choppy conditions, and poor surf. Just don’t bother.

Now, for the second week, things get interesting again. Thursday the 20th has a clean glassy morning with a small 6ft ENE swell. It’s a short-period swell, 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but with no wind, it might be fun for the longboard. Then Friday the 21st is a mixed bag with the wind blowing cross-onshore again, so you can skip that.

The big one, the standout of the whole period, is Saturday the 22nd. We’re looking at a solid 10ft of SE swell, with a period of 11 seconds. The energy readings are massive, 2589. That’s a serious pulse of groundswell. Wind is just a gentle cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy on the surface, but the power is there. This is one for the experienced surfers only. It’s going to be big and heavy. For the experts, this is the day. It’s over 8ft, so the beginners should sit this one out.

After that, Sunday the 23rd gets blown out by a strong cross-offshore breeze, and the rest of the window just gets messy with strong onshore winds. The swell is still there on the 24th, but it’s a bit disorganized and the conditions are poor.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday afternoon is your clean, fun session. Next Saturday the 22nd is the big, powerful one, if you’ve got the skills. Everything else is a waiting game. That's the story.

Rusty.

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