Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m gonna break it down for you straight. The next 16 days are a mixed bag for Lucien. There’s some decent swell coming through, but wind and conditions are going to play havoc with the quality. Don’t expect a non-stop run of good waves – there are some real gaps you’ll want to skip.

The first real stand-out appears on Monday morning, August 3rd. The wind goes glassy, like a mirror, and it’s clean. Swell is from the ESE at 7 ft, with a period of 10 seconds, giving you moderate wave energy (967). The water is a warm 72°F, which is about average for this time of year. This is the best on offer for the whole window – a true moment of calm between the chaos. The glassy conditions will make for some real smooth, peeling waves. Later that afternoon, it gets a bit bumpy with a cross-onshore breeze, so get out early.

The second standout is a bit of a gamble, but it’s worth a look. On Tuesday, August 11th, there’s a big pulse of energy from the south. The swell hits 8 ft with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (2499). The wind is offshore, but it’s a strong breeze at 28 mph. That’s going to keep the surface clean, but it’ll be a battle to paddle into. This is for experienced surfers only – the size and the wind will be a handful.

The rest of the period is a tough read. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd have some solid swell (7 ft to 8 ft) from the SE with a long period of 12 seconds, but the cross-off wind is a bit too strong for it to be clean and fun. The combination of size and wind makes it look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. After Monday the 3rd, it’s a real struggle. From Tuesday the 4th right through to the 7th, conditions are poor, with choppy, cross-onshore winds and small, weak swell. The energy drops way down. There’s a flicker of hope on Saturday the 8th afternoon with a clean cross-off wind and 6 ft swell, but it’s a short-lived window.

The second week is a real desert. From the 9th onwards, the wind is a constant problem – either howling offshore or onshore, making it tough to find a clean wave. The best of a bad lot is the morning of Thursday the 13th, with a clean 5 ft swell from the east, but even then, it’s just a marginal call.

So, bottom line: get your best session on Monday morning, August 3rd at Lucien. If you’re a strong paddler, keep an eye on the 11th for a big, lumpy challenge. The rest of the time, you’re probably better off finding something else to do.

Rusty.

Read more