Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, S swell with 2,789 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
Alright, let me break down what Lucien’s got for you over the next couple weeks.
Right off the bat, Wednesday the 8th and most of Thursday the 9th are a bust—tiny, weak, and onshore junk. Not worth the walk.
Things pick up on Friday the 10th. We’ve got a solid 8ft south swell rollin’ in, with a long 16-second period. That’s real groundswell. The morning looks best with a light cross-shore breeze and moderate energy (2818). That’s a lot of punch. But with that long period on a beach setup, it could be a bit straight and sectiony. Still, the experienced crew will find some bombs.
Saturday the 11th morning is cleaner. You’ve got 5ft S swell at 13 seconds, light cross-off wind, clean face, and moderate energy (863). That’s a fun, head-high wave for intermediates. Afternoon drops a bit but stays rideable.
Then the real standout: Wednesday the 15th morning. Glass. Dead flat calm winds with a clean 6ft ESE swell at 10 seconds, moderate energy (657). That’s gonna be smooth, clean, playful waves. For my money, that’s the best session in the whole outlook.
After that, the end of the week and into the following week gets messy again with strong onshore winds and lumpy, choppy conditions. There’s a big 8ft SSW swell Friday the 17th with a very long 17-second period and clean offshore wind, but that’s expert-only with massive energy (3669). Not for the faint of heart.
So overall, it’s a mixed bag. The clear winner is Wednesday the 15th morning. Saturday the 11th morning is a solid backup.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the NE by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 62 | 53 | 53 | 79 | 350 | 1138 | 1014 | 2789 | 2147 | 1303 | 851 | 702 | 329 | 240 | 279 | 250 | 349 | 318 | 320 | 520 | 528 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:39PM1.42m | 8:58AM1.21m | 9:46PM1.37m | 10:20AM1.15m | 11:10PM1.35m | 11:57AM1.17m | 00:35AM1.40m | 1:19PM1.27m | 1:45AM1.49m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:42AM1.58m | 3:13PM1.54m | 3:31AM1.66m | 3:59PM1.66m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:00AM0.50m | 3:07PM0.46m | 4:16AM0.54m | 4:25PM0.51m | 5:45AM0.51m | 5:57PM0.50m | 7:05AM0.43m | 7:18PM0.42m | 8:08AM0.31m | 8:22PM0.30m | 9:00AM0.19m | 9:16PM0.20m | 9:44AM0.09m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  |  | | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — |
 | 5:08 | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 18 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | SSW 10 | S 13 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 62 | 38 | 22 | 20 | 235 | 1138 | 1014 | 2789 | 2147 | 1303 | 851 | 702 | 103 | 64 | 123 | 173 | 349 | 318 | 320 | 520 | 528 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 13 | SE 9 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 31 | 30 | 53 | 79 | 350 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 329 | 240 | 279 | 202 | 160 | 276 | 202 | 102 | 53 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 3 | SW 14 | E 10 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | E 9 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 13 | — | — | — | S 7 | SSE 7 | — | S 15 | SSE 7 | S 11 | S 11 | — | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 53 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | 68 | 67 | — | 67 | 42 | 2 | 151 | — | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | — | ENE 6 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — | E 7 | — | — | — | SW 4 | S 5 |
| kJ | 6 | — | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 142 | 186 | — | 250 | — | — | — | 15 | 67 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 120 | 27 | 0 | 101 | 49 | 0 | 25 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 8 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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