Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with 1,961 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Lucien. It’s a beach and point set-up, fairly exposed to the swell, and it likes it from the southeast. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.
The next 16 days are a tough stretch for surf here. There’s a real dry spell after the first day. Monday the 20th of July is the only window that’s even worth paddling out for, and even then, it’s a bit of a battle. The wind is a cross-offshore from the SSW at 12 mph, which keeps it clean, and the swell is a solid 6 ft from the SE with a 12-second period. That’s a nice groundswell, and the combined energy is strong at 1336. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so you’ll need to work the banks. For an intermediate surfer, this is the best on offer, with a decent shaped wave and clean conditions. The cross-off wind will hold it up nicely.
After that, it goes quiet. Tuesday the 21st right through to Sunday the 2nd of August is a long run of poor surf. The wind is mostly cross-on from the NE, often fresh or stronger, and the swell drops off or gets messy. The waves are small, choppy, or just plain ugly. On Monday the 3rd of August, there’s a brief flicker – a 7 ft NE swell with an 8-second period and a gentle cross-shore wind, giving a slight cross-chop. The energy is moderate at 1089, and it’s rated as marginal. It might offer a few, but it’s short period and a bit lumpy. The rest of the forecast is a write-off: strong onshore winds, small weak swells, and messy conditions.
The standout for the whole period is definitely Monday morning, the 20th of July. That’s your one clean, solid day. The rest is a long gap of poor quality, which is a tough run for this area. It’s not a surprise, though – sometimes it just goes flat and choppy for a while.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon night, fresh winds from the NE by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the E by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NE 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | NE 6 | NE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1236 | 841 | 614 | 478 | 478 | 376 | 361 | 282 | 381 | 158 | 230 | 736 | 991 | 798 | 361 | 358 | 362 | 239 | 261 | 278 | 884 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:55PM1.44m | 8:02AM1.24m | 8:39PM1.31m | 8:52AM1.12m | 9:39PM1.19m | 10:19AM1.03m | 11:17PM1.13m | 12:25PM1.03m | 00:56AM1.16m | 1:44PM1.12m | 1:58AM1.26m | 2:31PM1.24m | 2:40AM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:28PM0.32m | 2:06AM0.49m | 2:08PM0.46m | 2:55AM0.60m | 2:58PM0.59m | 4:08AM0.68m | 4:20PM0.69m | 5:59AM0.69m | 6:19PM0.70m | 7:28AM0.61m | 7:40PM0.61m | 8:19AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.51m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 1236 | 841 | 614 | 478 | 478 | 376 | 361 | 282 | 193 | 107 | 48 | 80 | 60 | 798 | 361 | 186 | 147 | 103 | 261 | 198 | 374 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | S 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 48 | 143 | 65 | 54 | 151 | 179 | 285 | 198 | 205 | 142 | 110 | 25 | 6 | 277 | 326 | 196 | 362 | 239 | 84 | 64 | 85 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | — | SSW 21 | SE 11 | S 20 | S 19 | SE 10 | E 9 | — | — | SE 9 |
| kJ | 30 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 6 | — | 98 | 158 | 98 | — | 44 | 42 | 194 | 358 | 15 | 6 | — | — | 21 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | SSW 3 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 11 | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | 176 | 381 | 10 | 230 | 736 | 991 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 278 | 884 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 36 | 36 | 117 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 4 | 100 | 376 | 4 | 256 | 256 | 49 | 184 | 101 | 72 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 410 | 599 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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