
Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with 1,847 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Lucien’s got cookin’ for the next couple weeks. Gonna be a bit of a wait for the good stuff, but there’s a couple windows that’ll get your blood pumpin’.
The first few days are a total write-off. From Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th, we’re looking at a messy, onshore mess. Swell is running 5 to 10 feet, mostly from the east, but the wind is howling from the south and southeast, turning everything choppy and cross-onshore. Not worth paddling out.
The real standout is Saturday, September 19th. Mark it down. Morning brings a 8-foot swell from the east-southeast with a clean, cross-offshore wind from the southwest (9 mph, gentle breeze). The afternoon glassed off even more with a 7-foot swell. Moderate wave energy (1139 in the morning, 905 in the afternoon), so you’ll get solid, lined-up waves at Lucien’s beach and point. That cross-off wind will keep the faces smooth. It’s fine for intermediate surfers, and crowds are possible, so get there early.
After that, Sunday the 20th goes onshore again, and it’s dead until Monday afternoon, September 21st. That afternoon offers a tiny 3-foot swell from the east-southeast, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm. Wave energy is low at 201, so it’s small and weak. If you’re desperate for a longboard or a mellow session, you might find a clean little ripple.
Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd are mostly poor, though Wednesday afternoon shapes up with a 6-foot swell from the east-northeast and a clean cross-off wind. Still marginal, with only 640 combined energy, but cleaner than the days around it.
Then we jump to Friday, September 25th. This is another one to watch. The afternoon brings an 8-foot swell from the south-southeast (10-second period) and a light, cross-off wind from the north-northwest. Combined energy is strong at 1764, with clean conditions. This is for experienced surfers only – over 8 feet and packing some punch. A promising long-range call, but keep an eye on it as we get closer.
The rest of the run into early October is mostly dominated by strong onshore winds and messy, lumpy surf. There’s a brief window on Monday, September 28th morning with a 7-foot swell from the east and light onshore wind, but it’s only a marginal call.
Bottom line: September 19th is your best bet for clean, quality waves. September 25th afternoon is the wildcard for the crew who want some size. The gaps are long – full days of nothing in between – but when it hits, it hits.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 103mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the SSW by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | S 7 | SSE 7 | E 10 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
696 | 610 | 562 | 408 | 369 | 482 | 1086 | 1549 | 1523 | 1470 | 1094 | 856 | 812 | 443 | 459 | 216 | 151 | 122 | 118 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 5:58AM1.48m | 6:12PM1.48m | 6:22AM1.34m | 6:36PM1.32m | 6:47AM1.19m | 7:02PM1.16m | 7:20AM1.03m | 7:50PM1.01m | 12:04PM0.94m | 00:37AM1.02m | 1:26PM1.10m | 1:29AM1.17m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:56PM0.23m | 12:01PM0.27m | 00:21AM0.36m | 12:26PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.51m | 12:53PM0.58m | 1:23AM0.66m | 1:31PM0.75m | 3:18AM0.80m | 6:14PM0.83m | 7:05AM0.69m | 7:29PM0.67m | |||||||
— | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
5:49 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 9 | 16 | 16 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 20 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 21 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 17 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
696 | 610 | 562 | 408 | 333 | 482 | 68 | 57 | 25 | 1470 | 1094 | 856 | 812 | 443 | 162 | 216 | 151 | 122 | 118 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | — | SSW 16 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | ENE 9 | SSW 11 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 |
21 | 8 | 66 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 8 | — | 24 | 34 | 22 | 42 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 131 | 76 | 62 | 72 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 12 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 9 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 19 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 4 |
5 | 3 | — | 109 | 200 | 62 | — | — | — | 22 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 111 | 57 | 17 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 6 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | E 8 | NE 6 | S 2 | SSW 4 | SW 4 |
— | — | 310 | 399 | 369 | 403 | 1086 | 1549 | 1523 | — | — | — | — | 45 | 459 | 202 | 1 | 12 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 100 | 256 | 49 | 134 | 254 | 310 | 310 | 881 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 143 | 206 | 72 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










