Surf Forecasts:
Lucien surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SSE swell with 849 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lucien this week:
The surf forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lucien in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lucien over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's shaping up for the next couple of weeks around Lucien (beach and point).
Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. For most of the next week, we’re staring at a whole lot of nothing good. There’s a window on Thursday, the 30th of July, that shows some potential if you’re patient. Thursday morning will see clean conditions with a light SSW breeze and 6 ft of SE swell. The water temp is sitting about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 73°. But the afternoon gets choppy again, so the morning is your only real shot there.
The real standout? Hold out for Saturday, the 1st of August. Saturday morning is the one day I’d circle on the calendar. We’ve got glassy conditions, no wind to speak of – just a slight air – and a solid 6 ft SSE swell. Lucien is fairly consistent, likes swell from the SE, and with that glassy morning, it’s going to be clean and fun for intermediate surfers. It won't be crazily big, but it’s the best quality on offer in the whole window.
After that, it’s back to the grind. From Sunday the 2nd all the way through to Saturday the 8th of August, it’s dominated by cross-onshore NE winds and choppy, poor surf. There’s some size here and there, but the wind ruins it.
Then, right at the tail end, on Sunday the 9th of August, there’s a flicker of hope. A clean, gentle offshore WNW breeze kicks in with 5 ft of S swell. The period is short so it won’t be the most powerful, but with clean offshore wind, it’ll be rideable for those looking for a last-chance session. Still, nothing comes close to that glassy Saturday morning.
Hang in there. The forecasts can always shift, but as it stands, Saturday the 1st is your day.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Thu night, strong winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 16 | NE 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 307 | 162 | 139 | 262 | 101 | 100 | 258 | 364 | 575 | 412 | 538 | 514 | 450 | 370 | 255 | 315 | 129 | 413 | 561 | 572 | 831 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:31PM1.24m | 2:40AM1.36m | 3:07PM1.36m | 3:14AM1.46m | 3:39PM1.47m | 3:45AM1.55m | 4:08PM1.57m | 4:14AM1.61m | 4:37PM1.65m | 4:42AM1.65m | 5:05PM1.70m | 5:10AM1.66m | 5:33PM1.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:19AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.51m | 8:55AM0.38m | 9:05PM0.40m | 9:27AM0.27m | 9:38PM0.31m | 9:55AM0.17m | 10:08PM0.24m | 10:23AM0.10m | 10:38PM0.19m | 10:50AM0.06m | 11:07PM0.17m | 11:18AM0.05m | 11:37PM0.17m | |||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | S 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 10 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 230 | 132 | 46 | 99 | 74 | 75 | 258 | 223 | 575 | 412 | 538 | 514 | 450 | 370 | 255 | 77 | 129 | 413 | 561 | 572 | 831 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | ENE 6 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 15 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 14 | E 9 | SSW 13 | E 11 | S 10 | E 11 |
| kJ | 307 | 162 | 139 | 41 | 101 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 188 | 85 | 117 | 85 | 81 | 98 | 92 | 107 | 40 | 16 | 63 | 122 | 22 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | — | E 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | E 10 | SSW 13 | — | SW 12 | E 11 | — |
| kJ | 23 | 134 | 83 | 54 | 10 | 100 | 42 | — | 68 | 175 | 77 | 123 | 147 | 145 | 172 | 71 | 67 | — | 39 | 58 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | SSW 3 | S 5 | S 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | SSE 9 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | NNE 3 |
| kJ | 3 | 68 | 112 | 262 | 8 | 99 | 84 | 364 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 315 | 66 | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 100 | 590 | 104 | 100 | 101 | 49 | 818 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 36 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 304 | 304 | 36 | 0 | 101 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lucien Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lucien provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lucien can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lucien surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lucien) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lucien may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lucien is 13 km (8 miles) from Port Shepstone. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Shepstone. Port Shepstone has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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