Lucien Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s brewing over the next couple of weeks.

Right, straight up, the forecast for Lucien (beach and point) is a bit of a rollercoaster. We kick off with some clean, long-period groundswell mid-week, but the wind and conditions have it feeling more like a tease than a classic. The water temp sits at 69°, which is pretty average for this time of year, no surprises there.

Tuesday the 25th kicks off with a clean 3ft SSW swell at 15 seconds – that’s a proper, long-period groundswell pushing in. Combined energy is moderate at 456, but the early wind is a cross-off and the wave comment flags it as marginal. By the arvo, the swell bumps to 4ft with a 17-second period, so there’s serious energy in the water (811 combined), but the cross-shore wind chops it up. It’s fishy, but you could find a sneaky one on the point.

Wednesday the 26th is the real standout window. Morning glass-off with S wind at only 3 mph, swell 5ft from the south at a massive 18 seconds – that’s a very long-period groundswell. Combined energy is punching hard at 1401. This is the kind of swell that will wrap nicely around the point, but at a beach break it might run a bit straight. The tide could be a factor, but with almost no wind, it’s going to be clean as a whistle. This is your best shot for quality waves, just watch for it being a touch tricky for beginners at that size. Afternoon gets a bit lumpy as the wind swings cross-onshore, so make the most of the morning.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Thursday the 27th through to Monday the 1st September, the wind cranks onshore from the northeast, strong to near-gale at times. Swell hangs around between 5ft and 10ft, but it’s all blown out and messy. Combined energy spikes to 3523 on the 26th arvo, but the wind ruins it. This is a real write-off – kites and foils might have a ball, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard no. There’s a brief window Sunday the 30th morning with clean conditions and 6ft swell, but the period drops to 9 seconds and the energy is weak (529), so it’s average.

Tuesday the 2nd September sees a tiny 2ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, but wind is light and cross-onshore. Marginal at best. Wednesday the 3rd is clean but the wind is a near-gale cross-off, so the waves are tiny and blown flat.

The second week shows some promise, but it’s a longer-range call. Saturday the 5th has a 7ft SE swell (period 10s) with moderate cross-shore wind, combined energy at 1744. The real standout is Saturday afternoon: 10ft SSE groundswell at 11 seconds, light cross-onshore breeze, and a massive 3315 combined energy. That’s a lot of water moving, and it’s only for experienced surfers – well over the 8ft mark. Tide and wind will be critical. Then Sunday the 6th blows out again with strong onshore wind and 12ft swell.

Monday the 7th morning looks interesting again: 10ft from the east (8 seconds), clean with a moderate cross-off breeze, combined energy 1361. Could be a solid, lumpy option for strong paddlers.

The final run from the 8th to the 9th of September is all big, clean, but heavy. The 9th morning has an 12ft ENE swell at 10 seconds, cross-off wind, with a massive 4030 combined energy. That is powerful – expert-only territory, but if it lines up, it will be a session to remember. The point at Lucien will love that long-period groundswell wrapping in.

In short: Wednesday 26th morning is the pick of the first week – glassy, long-period swell, just watch the tide. For the second week, keep an eye on Saturday 5th afternoon and Monday 7th morning, but treat those as promising rather than locked in.

Rusty.

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