St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what St Mikes has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

First up, water temps are sitting at 71°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year. Not a major factor, just good to know.

Now, I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for St Mikes is a long, tough slog. We're looking at over a week of basically nothing worth paddling out for. The first real whisper of anything comes on Thursday, August 20th, but it's not a pretty picture. We get a solid, clean 7ft swell from the S, with a period of 14 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 1572 (strong). That's a groundswell with some serious grunt, but it's coming in with a light cross-onshore breeze. The report calls it "marginal" and given the size and the wind, this is strictly for the experienced crew. A 7ft S swell with a long period like that is going to be powerful and a bit raw, especially with that light onshore bump. It's an expert-only kind of day.

After that, it's back to the doldrums for a good stretch, with poor conditions and mostly cross-shore winds. The wind really starts to howl around the 21st and 22nd, with near gale-force winds making a mess of things. The 22nd and 23rd see some clean conditions from strong SW winds, but those are howling at 25-31 mph, so it's more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddling one.

We do get a flicker of hope on Monday, August 24th. Another substantial S groundswell rolls in, 6ft at 17 seconds, pumping out a combined energy of 1820 (very strong). Again, that's a lot of power. But the wind is a light cross-onshore from the E, and the report again calls it "marginal". It's a better look than the 20th, with a slightly smaller swell and a longer period, but that onshore wind is the enemy of clean lines. Another one for the experts, and you'd want to be well across the conditions before you go.

The rest of the period into the 27th just fades away into tiny, weak swell with no clean wind. There's just nothing to get excited about.

So, to be honest, the only two windows that might offer a wave are Thursday, August 20th and Monday, August 24th, and both are expert-only, marginal conditions with a cross-onshore wind. There's no standout session here. If you're an experienced surfer and you're desperate, maybe keep an eye on the 24th, but otherwise, I'd be giving this one a miss.

Rusty.

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