St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. St. Mike’s is the only spot on the cards for this whole stretch, and honestly, it’s looking pretty grim for a good chunk of the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a lot of small, junky surf and cross-shore breezes messing things up. But there’s a tiny glimmer of hope tucked in there, so let’s walk through it.

Right now, Tuesday morning, we’ve got a weak 0.3m (1ft) SSW swell with a 12-second period. The energy is weak (28) and it’s choppy with a cross-on breeze. Nothing to get excited about. Tuesday afternoon turns glassy but the swell drops to nothing. That’s a flat spell.

Wednesday morning is still flat. Wednesday afternoon, though, we see a quick spike – 2.2m (7ft) of SSW swell but the period drops to a junky 6 seconds. That’s short-period windslop, plus a strong cross-shore wind making it messy. The energy jumps to 478 but it’s not going to be any fun. Thursday brings a bit more size – 1.7m to 2.5m (5-8ft) – but it’s onshore and lumpy, with a period still under 10 seconds. This is all poor surf.

Then it completely dies again. Friday and Saturday are tiny, back down to 0.3m (1ft), with fresh cross-onshore winds. The water temp is sitting at 21° (70°F), which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

After that, we have a few days of nothing much until Monday the 21st. That’s when things get a little interesting. Monday morning, we’ve got 1.6m (5ft) of SSW swell with a 7-second period, but it’s glassy. The energy is moderate (275), and for once the conditions look clean. It’s not big, but it’s the best we’ve seen. Monday afternoon, the swell pushes up to 2.4m (8ft) but the period stays short, and a cross-off wind keeps it clean. Still, with that short period, it’s going to be lumpy and not particularly well-shaped. This is the only real window where you might get a few, but it’s far from perfect.

And that’s it. After Monday, it’s back to small, crumbly, and cross-shore chop for the rest of the run. We see some energy pick up around the 25th and 27th, but the winds are fresh and cross, and the periods are too short. There’s nothing that’s going to get your heart racing.

So, the honest truth is – for the next 16 days, St. Mike’s is not turning on. The only faint glimmer is that Monday the 21st window, and even that is marginal. A 2.4m (8ft) short-period swell with a cross-off wind, on a reef, might give you a few workable ones if you’re keen and don’t mind the inconsistency. But for the most part, you’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. When it’s like this for so long, you just gotta wait it out – forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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