St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.

We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch for St Mikes. The next couple of weeks are mostly a no-go, with only a few tiny windows that might just about be worth a look. The forecast starts with a bit of hope on Thursday afternoon, but then it’s a long, messy slog from Friday morning through to the end of the first week, with a few small, clean-ish moments that are more about the feeling than the waves.

Thursday, July 23rd afternoon is the standout. The wind swings light easterly at 3 mph, turning the sea glassy, and we get a 3 ft SSW swell with a long 13-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 290. It’s a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will line up nicely. It’s a small wave, but clean and with that silky surface – a proper session for a longboard or a quiet fish. The water is 72°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no worries there. Crowds are often here, so you might have a few mates out, but with conditions this good, it’s worth it.

Friday morning, July 24th is a write-off. 8 ft of SSW swell, but it’s short period at 9 seconds and a strong 25 mph cross-shore wind. The energy is massive (1358), but it’s a complete mess – only for the well-experienced, and even then, it’s not fun. The afternoon is the same story, just slightly smaller.

Saturday, July 25th morning has a 6 ft SSE swell, period 9 seconds, with light winds. It’s cross-onshore, so a bit bumpy, and the energy is moderate (741). It’s a marginal session, best for a quick paddle if you’re desperate.

Sunday, July 26th through Tuesday, July 29th is a mix of small, weak, and messy. The swell drops to 2 ft with periods of 13-14 seconds, but it’s cross-shore winds all the way. Under 100 in combined energy – it’s flat, really.

Wednesday, July 30th into the first week of August sees a jump in size, but it’s all onshore or cross-onshore, with strong winds and a lot of energy hitting the beach. The 12 ft to 13 ft swell on the 29th and 30th is huge, but the quality is poor, and the wind is messy. This setup is honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

There’s a genuinely long gap from Friday, July 25th afternoon all the way through to the end of the forecast period with no recommended surf. The 9th and 10th of August have a tiny 3 ft SSE swell with a 10-second period, but it’s cross-shore and the energy is low (165). Not enough to get excited about.

Best bet: Thursday afternoon, the 23rd. It’s a small, clean, glassy window. Everything else is a battle or a miss.

Stay safe, and don’t force it too hard.

Rusty

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