St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down real simple for ya.

To be straight with you, the outlook for St Mikes over this whole 16-day stretch is pretty grim. It’s one of those flat spells where you’d be better off waxing your board just for the smell of it.

We’re looking at Saturday, the 15th of August, right through to Sunday, the 30th of August, and there’s not a single standout session here. The first few days are a write-off: tiny little slop with waves barely pushing 3 ft, and with a short-period, weak windswell coming from the NNE, the energy is pathetic (50). The water temp is 70°, which is pretty normal for the time of year, so the ocean feels familiar, but it's flat. All day Saturday and into Sunday, it's just cross-shore winds messing up what little bump there is.

The swell tries to pick up around Thursday the 20th of August, seeing some 6 ft waves from the SSW with moderate energy (173), but it’s still crossed-up wind and the period is short (6-7 seconds), meaning lumpy, weak waves. That energy builds into Friday the 21st (834), but the swell period gets really long (15-16 seconds), which on a reef setup like St Mikes can be a bit gutless and straight—especially with a fresh cross-shore wind chopping it up. The conditions are poor across the board with zero clean windows.

Then Saturday the 22nd of August throws up 10 ft from the SSW, with strong energy (1098), but this is way too big for the average surfer, and with the wind still cross, it would be a messy, washing-machine kind of day. Kite surfers might have a field day in that, but for a paddle surfer, it's a no-go.

The only time the score even sneaks up to a 1 out of 10 is on Monday the 24th of August, with 6 ft of long-period S swell and very strong energy (1841), but again, the wind is cross and it’s described as marginal. The waves might have some push, but they’ll be hard to read and choppy.

After that, the swell fades again from Tuesday the 25th into the end of the month, dropping back to 2 ft or less. The last few days of August have tiny waves, weak energy, and still messy wind conditions. By Saturday the 30th, it’s a light cross-shore with a weak 2 ft SSW groundswell.

There’s just no good day in this run. The whole period is a blank for quality surf. We’ve got energy coming, but the conditions refuse to line up. Don’t lose hope completely—forecasts can change, but right now, leave the board in the garage.

Rusty

Read more