St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, folks. Rusty here with a look at what’s comin’ down the pipe.

Well, gotta be straight with you – this 16-day stretch is a lean one. St Mikes is the only break on the cards, and for the majority of the run, it’s just not gonna be worth paddling out. We’re looking at a whole lotta nothing for most of the first week, with scores of zero across the board due to poor conditions. The water temp is sittin' around 71°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothin' unusual there.

Tuesday the 11th kicks off with a cross-shore S wind at 19 mph and a messy 6 ft SSE swell, combined energy of 678 (moderate). That's a write-off. Wednesday the 12th shows some clean offshore wind from the ESE, but the swell drops right off to 1 ft by the afternoon. Thursday the 13th has a tiny 2 ft swell, not worth the effort. From Friday the 14th through to Tuesday the 18th of August, it’s all tiny, wind-affected junk – period down to 4 seconds at times with mixed cross-shore winds. That's a long, bleak gap of about 8 days with no real hope.

We get a tiny flicker on Wednesday the 19th of August morning. A clean, cross-offshore breeze from the SW at 9 mph meets a 3 ft SSW groundswell with a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 393. That long period means better shape, but it’s still only marginal due to questionable tide conditions. If you’re desperate and can time the tide, it’s your one chance this week, but keep your expectations low.

Then we hit a spike of bigger energy, but it’s completely ruined. Thursday the 20th of August sees a strong cross-onshore wind and an 8 ft to 12 ft SSW swell, with combined energy shooting up to 2410 (very strong). That’s powerful, but with that wind it’s just a lumpy, dangerous mess. Not for the inexperienced, and even the experts will be battling.

For the rest of the outlook into the final days of August, it’s back to small, wind-affected slop. Strong breezes and near gale force cross-shore winds dominate, with swells rarely getting over 3 ft. A small 5 ft SSW pulse appears on Wednesday the 26th, but it’s slapped by an 19 mph cross-shore wind. Honestly, this whole window is a write-off for a decent surf.

If you’ve got a kite, the strong, messy cross-shore winds on the bigger days (like August 20th and 22nd) might look more interesting than a paddle surf. As for the waves, there's just nothing here to get excited about. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, this is a typical blank run for the area.

Rusty.

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