St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for St Mikes.

Right off the bat, this is a tough run. We’ve got a long dry spell ahead. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 11th of August, and even then it's not exactly pumping. The whole first week is a write-off – tiny waves, messy winds, and energy so weak it’s barely registering. You’d be wasting your time paddling out.

The standout window, and really the only one worth talking about, is that Tuesday the 11th. We get a modest bump of 4ft swell from the south, with a period of 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, so the waves will have some shape and push. The combined energy is moderate at 451, nothing huge, but it’s something. The wind in the morning is a light offshore from the southwest, which will keep the lineup clean. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. St Mikes is a reef break, fairly well exposed to this south swell, and it’s an advanced spot. It can be a bit inconsistent, so patience is key. You might have company too – crowds are often around.

Then it all goes quiet again. The next pulse arrives around Sunday the 16th, but it’s a different beast. Swell jumps up to 6-6ft from the south with a decent 15-second period, and the energy spikes hard into the strong range (1196 to 1530). But the wind is a messy cross-shore from the northeast. It’s big, but it’s gonna be lumpy and hard to handle. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, the ride won’t be pretty. For most of us, that Sunday is a look-and-see day, not a go-day.

Honestly, if you’re a regular surfer, this 16-day forecast is a bummer. There’s one fleeting shot on Tuesday the 11th, and the rest is either flat or ugly. For the 16-day stretch, the blank runs are long and the quality is rare. That’s just how it goes here sometimes.

Stay frosty.
Rusty

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