St Mikes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got on the cards for St Mikes.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it’s looking like a tough stretch ahead. We’ve got a long gap with pretty much nothing on offer. The first real pulse of anything worth paddling out for doesn't show up until Thursday, September 17th, and even then, it’s not all that simple. Before that, from now right through to Wednesday the 16th, we’re dealing with tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. A whole week of flat, choppy, or just messy surf with energy levels barely scraping triple digits at best, and mostly sitting in the weak 20s to 90s range. It’s a proper dry spell.

Now, let’s talk about that Thursday, September 17th. Things finally wake up. We see a solid, punchy 7ft swell rolling in from the south, but with a short period of only 8 seconds. The energy reading jumps to a moderate 543. This is a beach and reef setup, and with the swell over 5ft, it’s not for the beginners. The big caveat here is the wind. It’s cross-offshore from the southwest, which actually cleans it up nicely – "clean" is what I like to see. That’s a silver lining. But it’s also a windswell, so it won’t have that long, drawn-out power. Expect it to be peaky and a bit dumpy.

Thursday afternoon drops a touch to 6ft, still from the south with slightly more period at 9 seconds and strong energy at 591. The wind goes cross, so it’ll get a bit of a chop on it. Still, this is the standout period for St Mikes. The water temperature is sitting around 69°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Moving into Friday, September 18th, it’s still rideable. Friday morning has 6ft from the SSE with a light cross breeze, giving us 593 energy – solid. But the quality is called "marginal," and conditions can be tricky. After that, it drops off again, with messy cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions through the weekend.

Looking further out, September 24th (Thursday) has a brief moment with glassy conditions and a tiny 1ft, but that’s more of a longboard or flat-day session. Energy is weak at 73. Not really a standout.

Overall, if you’re looking for the best wave in this 16-day window, it’s Thursday, September 17th on the morning session. That 7ft south swell with clean, cross-offshore wind is your best bet. It’s not perfect – it’s a short-period affair – but it’s the only real swell we’ve got. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

Rusty

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